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Alexeywolf

WTI: weekly seller targets reached, monthly targets still lowerHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). The sellers have reached the targets mentioned in the previous review (65.628 and 64.378). What to expect next. Daily timeframe On the daily timeframe (D1) for WTI, we see a manipulation of the 65.771 level, which may indicate that the market is moving toward the monthly targets I mentioned earlier — 61.818 and 58.504. Hourly timeframe On the hourly timeframe (H1), this manipulation appeared as a false breakout of the upper boundary of a sideways range. The range boundaries are clearly defined: the upper boundary at 65.771 and the lower boundary at 63.580. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
ETHUSDT. Where to Go Long and Where to Take ProfitsHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). August has ended, and it’s time to look at the monthly charts. Let’s focus on Ethereum. The price is trading within the 1,700–4,868 range. The August candle touched the upper boundary of this range and we saw a pullback. If we go back a bit to June 2022, we can see a strong seller candle that broke through the lower boundary of the range on high volume. After that came accumulation, and then the buyer absorbed the seller’s candle. That was the moment when investors could look for long entries with the goal of reaching the upper boundary of the range. The second good entry opportunity for investors came in April–May of this year, when the price retested 1,700. So, where should we be looking for trades now? Let’s first identify where the price could go. To do this, we measure the price deviation downward from the 1,700 level and project it onto the upper boundary of the price range. I estimate the price could reach around 5,681. Now it’s important to understand where we can find an entry. For this, let’s look at the daily chart. On the daily timeframe, the price is also trading within the 4,060–4,956 range. There’s a strong buyer candle with high volume, but so far the buyer hasn’t been able to resume the move from it. That’s why I expect the price might dip below 4,207 and then head toward a new ATH. That’s the first scenario. The second scenario is a dip below 4,060 into the 3,880–4,060 range, followed by a move to a new ATH. The target of about 5,700 was already defined on the monthly chart. So, where should you enter? The entry comes after the price, in either of these scenarios, moves back above the broken level. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
DXY: False Breakout, Targets BelowHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). On the daily timeframe, the Dollar Index is in a sideways range. Upper boundary 98.959, lower boundary 95.906. We see a familiar false breakout pattern of the upper boundary of the range. The price then returned back into the range with a seller IKC candle (the highest-volume candle within the initiative). During this false breakout, the price moved above the 50% level of the last seller initiative on the weekly timeframe, which strengthens the pattern. I am waiting for the first target at 96.66 and the second target at 95.90. As a reminder, my broader expectation is a move toward 94.6. Indirectly, the likelihood of continued decline in the Dollar Index is supported by the fact that the sideways range has expanded more to the downside than to the upside. Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
The weekly, D1 and H1 timeframes all currently favor the sellersHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe On the weekly timeframe, we see a buyer’s initiative, but at the same time, the seller absorbed a strong buyer candle — with the highest volume in recent months — and formed a seller zone (marked with a red rectangle). That’s a negative sign for long entries and a potential setup for short entries from the seller’s zone. Below, the weekly chart shows three important levels: 3268, 3244, and 3201. I expect the price to move down toward 3244, where there is likely more liquidity (possibly with a touch of 3201). That’s where we can start looking for buy patterns. Daily timeframe On the daily timeframe, we have a sideways market and a seller’s initiative now, with a target at 3154. The buyer tried to start a move from the buyer zone (blue rectangle), but both candles had declining volume, and the second candle failed to close above the first one. That’s a negative sign for long entries. Friday’s buyer candle also had low volume and showed no result — That’s a negative sign for long entries too. With a seller’s initiative in place and no real buying signals, we’re focusing on short opportunities. Hourly timeframe On the 1H chart, the price has formed a sideways range with a buyer’s initiative. The lower boundary of this range is at 3331, where we saw price interaction on declining volume — a negative sign for long setups. I expect price to interact with 3329, after which a buyer move is possible (unlikely, but possible). The target is 3358. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Where to look for buys?Hi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). On the weekly timeframe, there was a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines) that the buyer broke to the upside, but so far has been unable to extend the initiative further. Sellers are still defending the 123,000 level — we can see this from the volume that appears whenever price touches this zone. On the weekly chart, there’s also the 114,723 level, where price interacted with a seller candle on declining volume. That’s not a bullish signal for looking at longs and suggests price may move lower. If 114,723 doesn’t hold, we could see a retest of the local low at 111,920. On the daily timeframe, price has formed a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines). The current vector is with the sellers, with a target at 115,736. We’ll be watching how price reacts at 115,736 and at 114,723 — and whether a strong buyer appears at these levels. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
WTI: downside potentialHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe A buyer initiative is tentatively developing, yet the strongest buyer candle (highest volume) produced no follow-through. It was followed by two buyer candles on weak volume. Last week volume expanded again and clustered around 69.975, showing that sellers are still defending this level. Weekly seller targets: 65.628 and 64.378. Daily timeframe Sellers remain in control. The chart clearly shows volume manipulation around 69.975. Daily seller targets: 65.628 and 64.736. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD. Weekly and Daily AnalysisHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly TF Price has tapped the 50 % level of the last buyer initiative at 1.14477 and run a manipulation around 1.15569. Daily TF We’ve seen a manipulation of the lower boundary of the buyer initiative, and an IKC candle has printed. Buyer targets on the daily chart: 1.17110, 1.17888, 1.18299. Before aiming for those, buyers first need to clear the potential sell zones at 1.15994 and 1.16108. Conservative long setup: Wait for buyers to defend 1.15994 (or a higher level). Alternatively, watch the 1-hour support at 1.15165; if buyers hold it, there’s scope for a move toward 1.15994 — and potentially higher after that. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Total3: Fourth Interaction with 1.07 LevelHi traders and investors! The altcoin market capitalization (Total3) is interacting with the 1.07T level for the fourth time — and once again, on increased volume. Yesterday’s price action formed a bearish candle after touching this level — a clear seller’s candle. We’re now watching the 997.47B level closely. A reaction from this level could trigger a reversal in altcoins, with buyers potentially regaining initiative. Since the last outlook, a new level has appeared at 974.74B — this could also serve as a strong support area and trigger a buyer response, aiming for a retest of the local high at 1.09T. 👉 If no bullish reaction follows at 997.47B, attention shifts to 974.74B. 👉 If that level also fails to hold, we return to the previously mentioned support zone between 921B and 963B — the optimal correction range for a potential new ATH scenario. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by AlexeyWolf
The move is up to the buyersHi traders and investors! The price has already played out the upper boundary of the scenario, rising above 120,500. Then it also reached the lower boundary by dropping below 115,222. Now we are at an interest moment: will the price continue to move upward or not? This situation is clearly visible on the 8-hour timeframe. On the 8H chart, we see a sideways range, similar to the 1D timeframe. The lower boundary is 115,736 and the upper boundary is 123,218. The active initiative is currently with the buyers, and their target is 120,998 и 123,218. There is a notable bar attacking the lower boundary (115,736) with very high volume. The high of that bar is 118,451. We’re watching to see whether buyers absorb this bar — that will determine how the next move plays out. There are three key levels where buyers may step in: 116,782, 116,128, and 115,736. If the price drops to any of these, we can look for a long setup. Above, we also have three resistance levels from the sellers: 118,451, 119,676, and 120,247. We’ll be watching how sellers react if the price tests these zones. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Altcoin Correction Scenario: Where to Look for EntriesHi traders and investors! The market capitalization of Total3 has reached $1.07 trillion, marking the first major target for the altcoin market. This level corresponds to the Point of Control (POC) from the previous bullish rally and the subsequent correction — a key area of traded volume and market interest. Several factors now suggest the potential for a continued move higher. On the fundamental side, the recent signing of a pro-crypto bill by Donald Trump has boosted overall sentiment in the digital asset space, especially among altcoins. From a technical perspective, many leading altcoins are showing bullish continuation patterns. Ideally, if the altcoin market corrects its capitalization (Total3) into the 963B–921B range, it would be a good zone to look for buying opportunities with the target of renewing the capitalization ATH. Wishing you profitable trades!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by AlexeyWolf
Altcoin Market Hits First Target at $1.07THi traders and investors! The market capitalization of Total3 has reached $1.07 trillion, marking the first major target for the altcoin market. This level corresponds to the Point of Control (POC) from the previous bullish rally and the subsequent correction — a key area of traded volume and market interest. Several factors now suggest the potential for a continued move higher. On the fundamental side, the recent signing of a pro-crypto bill by Donald Trump has boosted overall sentiment in the digital asset space, especially among altcoins. From a technical perspective, many leading altcoins are showing bullish continuation patterns. Wishing you profitable trades!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by AlexeyWolf
Gold. 3310 reaction & will Buyers reach their remaining targets?Hi traders and investors! The 3310 level worked out perfectly. We can see a familiar buy pattern forming. If the buyer fails to push the price higher and the seller returns to the 3310 level, it's likely that the price will continue to decline on the daily timeframe toward the next nearest targets — 3244, or more likely, 3154. For now, however, we still expect the buyer to pursue the remaining unmet targets at 3393 and 3403. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Gold. Where to look for buy setupsHi traders and investors! The price is currently in a sideways range, with the boundaries marked by black lines. Sellers defended the buyer's first attempt to break through the 3366 level — the key volume in the candle that touched this level was accumulated exactly at that point. Now, it would be ideal to symmetrically expand the range downward by 11.230 points, which would bring the price right to the 3310 level. From the 3310 level, it makes sense to look for potential buy patterns. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
OPUSDT: Buyers try to regain control inside the rangeHi traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, OPUSDT is trading in a sideways range. The price has repeatedly dipped below the lower boundary at 0.545, but each time, buyers managed to bring it back. Now, we’re seeing another attempt to return into the consolidation zone — a possible sign of renewed buyer initiative. If the price secures above 0.545, the path opens toward the next targets at 0.844 and 0.954. However, a short-term dip below 0.52 may occur within this bullish scenario. Therefore, buying becomes a priority once the price is firmly back above 0.545. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Final move by the bears? Bulls lining up for ATHHi traders and investors! Buyers have reached the first target at 108,952. On Binance spot, BTC missed the second target (110,530.17) by just 99 cents. Is this a setup for a breakout and a run toward a new ATH? So far, the price action looks like a level manipulation around 108,952: volume in all 3 bars interacting with this level is concentrated above it. Just below lies a buyer zone (107,500 – 105,100). I am watching for buyer reaction once the price reaches this area. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! Hourly Timeframe 📍 Context The hourly chart is in a sideways range.   Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55. 📊 Key Actions The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%). A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89 Daily Timeframe 📍 Context Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89. 📊 Key Actions On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer. 🎯 Trade Idea Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458 With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The boundaries are marked with black lines. Buyer initiative is currently active. Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980. 📊 Key Actions The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone. There is no context for short trades at the moment. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf