PIEVERSE — Rising Channel Exhaustion & Correction SetupThe price is moving inside a clean rising channel , forming a classic three-wave structure: (a) → (b) → (c). The upper boundary of the channel has now been reached, and wave (c) shows signs of exhaustion, which often precedes a corrective move.
Given the overextended structure and the repeated reactions from the channel resistance, the market is likely preparing for a downside correction. Once the local top is completed, the price may break down from the channel and retrace toward the $0.20–0.16 zone, where the next major support cluster sits.
This area also aligns with the expected correction depth after a completed ABC pattern.
Key Points:
Clean rising channel structure
Wave (c) is nearly completed
Expecting a correction after resistance rejection
Main target for the pullback: $0.20–0.16
ALT
$OTHERS and altcoin mcap is hitting resistance zoneCRYPTOCAP:OTHERS is reaching a multi-year resistance zone.
From here, two scenarios are possible:
1️⃣ It breaks through and flips the zone into support, or
2️⃣ It gets rejected.
🔎 1H Time Frame
Price is touching the multi-year red resistance line — a key level to watch.
- Stochastic RSI is high, suggesting a possible short-term cooldown.
- However, the local structure remains bullish, showing a clear uptrend with periods of consolidation.
📆 1D Time Frame
- The trend boxes indicate that the broader, higher-timeframe trend is still bearish.
- We still have 2–3 days of Stochastic RSI uptrend, followed by about a week of downtrend.
📈 Summary
We’re seeing a bullish reaction in the short term (1H),
but the macro / higher timeframe (1D) trend remains bearish.
If I were looking for a long-term entry, I would personally wait until the 1D Stochastic RSI resets to the bottom, but in the current macro environment anything can happen — news and liquidity shocks can override technicals.
⚠️ DYOR and trade carefully.
$XRP count changed, wave 4 underwayCRYPTOCAP:XRP Wave 4 appears to be a flat correction defined by the poke above the all-time high. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, also the weekly 200EMA ~$1.2.
The multi-year triangle is a penultimate move, so continuation in wave 5 to price discovery is my preferred count. For no,w price is stuck in a range aboev the weekly pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $4.31 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall after printing bearish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $0.64, as wave 4 can not go below 0.55 Fibs
Safe trading
Sol continues to hold up strongCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding up well with only a shallow retracement to the 0.382 for wave (4)- the weekly 200EMA.
Price is above the weekly 200EMA, which is bullish, but lost the pivot, which is bearish, giving the overall pattern ambiguity. Wave C is underway, but looks near completion at wave 4’s expected Fib targets.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $660 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall, but doesn’t often reach oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $50, as wave 4 can not go below the 0.5 Fib.
Safe trading
HBAR still holding strongCRYPTOCAP:HBAR Price has printed a textbook ABC for wave 2, but as long as we are below the descending trend-line, the probability is lower still. The wick has now been revisited, which is expected behaviour.
Price is below the weekly pivot. The next downside target is the S1 pivot at $0.075, which is also the alt-coin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $0.8
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with no divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 2, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
FET looking more and more like a pump & dump scam.Huge engulfing candle from the oversold threshold just above the 0.786 alt-coin golden pocket.
The trend remains down despite this candle with no bullish market structure yet. The weekly 200EMA is finally turning down. Until we get above the descending trend-line, the probability is lower. The 5-wave structure down hints at no new all-time high, as this is a motif wave.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high $1.2 when momentum returns
📈 Weekly RSI tapped oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months
👉 Analysis is invalidated above the weekly pivot
Safe trading
ETH hit my downside target now what?Wave 1 appears to have completed a leading diagonal with a poke above all-time high- what we expect from wave 1. Wave 2 is underway, testing the weekly 200EMA so far, and an expected reversal point- also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
The retracement has been shallow, but ETH was beaten down and undervalued, making a shallow pullback expected. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is the next downside target at the S1 pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $9000
📈 Weekly RSI was oversold with bearish divergence and has now reset below the channel EQ.
👉 Analysis is invalidated only if we get below the wave (4) bottom $1365
Safe trading
DOGE, Weekly bullish divergence!Uptrend remains intact from the wave 4 bottom. We could still be in wave 4 as they are characterised by their long, complex ranges. A flat or a triangle is possible.
Wave (1) appears complete as a leading diagonal followed by a deep wave (2), which is expected after this pattern. Price is bullishly riding the weekly 200EMA but bearish below the pivot. Wave (3) should be powerful and fast; any slow grind may hint that we are still in wave IV
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1.7 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence, a good sign but it can take weeks to play out
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (2)
BNB Count changed, wave 4 underwayPrice completed a macro wave 3. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci and may not extend below the 0.5. Crypto assets can overextend in wave 5, which I believe we will see over the next year.
ave 4 is underway testing the previous all-time High Volume Node and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement zone. Price remains in an uptrend.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $2000, the R5 weekly pivot
📈 Weekly RSI printed bearish divergence from overbought and is already resetting below the EQ. It rarely gets oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below the weekly pivot and 200EMA
Safe trading
AAVE Macro outlook, weekly bullish divergenceA price range between $440 and $130 continues. Price appears to have completed triangle wave (c) of a larger wave B. Wave (D) is next, with a target of the upper boundary trend-line ~$340.
Price has lost the 200EMA but followed the outlined path of a pump and pullback after wave ©. The weekly pivot is the likely termination point for wave (E), but there is work to be done first. Price found terminal support at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement.
We are just in a huge range, and there isn’t much more to say on the macro. This asset has been one of the best winners for trading the last 3 years, sticking to the rules strictly.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle is still the 1:1 Fib extension, but may be overextended to the 1.272, per wave C rules. Both are around the all-time High Volume Node ~$600
📈 Weekly RSI has room to fall and has printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (A) or wave (B)
Safe trading
XRP count changed, wave 4 underwayPrice appears to have completed a WXY after the Oct 10th flash crash, but further downside is possible to complete wave 4.
Wave (B) completed a barrier triangle, which suggests the thrust down was the final move before reversal. Price has revisited the wick- expected price behaviour, and we are now looking for a bottom.
Price is below the daily 200EMA and pivot, which is bearish.
📈 Daily RSI reached oversold with no divergences
👉 Continued downside brings up the $1.75 High Volume Node EQ
Safe trading
SUI Dropped hard! More to come?Price accelerated in a downtrend, falling below a major High Volume Node support, invalidating the macro triangle.
Wave C of a textbook ABC correction is underway with a target of the golden pocket. and S2 pivot at $1.
📈 Daily RSI is oversold with no divergence
👉 Continued downside has a next target of $1
Safe trading
SOL looks weak, lower in wave C?Price continues lower, a textbook ABC correction so far.
Wave B ended shy of all-time high. Price lost the daily 200EMA and is testing the major High Volume Node support. The probability is a continuation to the downside.
📈 Daily RSI reached oversold with no divergence
👉 Continued downside brings up the $112 target
Safe trading
HBAR still in the channel!Price is back in the descending range after dropping below during the flash crash, which can be viewed as an anomaly.
Wave 2 appears complete at the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement. Price was rejected at the daily 200EMA and channel upper boundary and has lost the daily pivot and High Volume Node, suggesting further downside is to come.
📈 Daily RSI bounced from oversold alongside price with no divergence.
👉 Continued downside has a target of $0.07 at the next High Volume Node support and alt-coin golden pocket 0.786
Safe trading
FET looks weak, more downsidePrice bounced with a one-day candle of 70% for wave (4), immediately being rejected on daily bearish divergence.
Chasing candles higher is what’s on the cards of naive investors now. Greed and FOMO immediately took over socials with much gloating, and price humbled them. This is a recipe for lower. Price has lost the High Volume Node, pivot and is well below the 200 EMA.
📈 Daily RSI went too high, too fast, and now has bearish divergence in a bear market, a strong signal.
👉 The next downside target is $0.13
Safe trading
ETH downside target hit, bottom soon?Wave 2 is taking the form of a complex WXYXZ correction broadening wedge. Ugly, hard to trade or find any entries. This will cause a lot of stress. This is also potentially a wave 4, but my preferred count is 2 for now.
Wave 2 appears complete with a swing below the boundary at the High Volume Node. Price is below the saily 200EMA. The trend is down, so we should expect more down. Wave X printed a triangle, hinting at this move down being the final move before reversal.
📈 Daily RSI has reached oversold with unconfirmed bullish divergences.
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node $2080, where I will be adding.
Safe trading
Doge, bullish divergence on daily.Price was rejected at the daily pivot per the last report’s analysis. The downtrend is intact.
Wave (2) appears complete after the Oct 10th flash crash, just above the ‘alt-coin’ golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. The trend remains down, so further downside is the higher probability. Price needs to overcome the heavy resistance ahead before we can talk about being bullish long-term.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node $0.12
Safe trading
BNB, downtrend in tact.The downtrend is intact. Price completed macro wave (3) at the R1 pivot, retraced and lost the daily 200EMA, 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and S1 pivot, but the downtrend looks exhausted.
Wave 4 appears complete with a textbook ABC correction ending at strong support and the channel bottom. The downtrend is intact, so the probability is still to the downside until the structure flips or price recovers the daily 200EMA.
📈 Daily RSI has reached oversold with no divergences
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node at $730
Safe trading
AAVE Local, bottoming soon?Locally, price continues bearish after falling out of the wedge, completing wave (B) of the macro triangle. Price action looks ready to reverse
Wave © appears complete after the big drop, black swan event- Oct 10th. I was looking for a dip back into the long lower wick, which we have and price is finding support. This suggests we grind higher from here, but we must get through the daily 200EMA, just above the High Volume Node resistance and daily pivot. This area will be tough to crack and was rejected on the first attempt.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from the oversold threshold- a bottoming signal.
👉 Continued downside has a next target of $114.
Safe trading
SUI remains in a shallow Fib triangleCRYPTOCAP:SUI Price remains in a downtrend, falling below a major High Volume Node support, tapping the macro triangle lower boundary.
Wave C of the triangle appears complete. If this count is correct, we should accelerate to the upper boundary around $3.6 over the next month or so, with some difficulty at the daily 200EMA and pivot as resistance.
📈 Daily RSI printed bullish divergence from oversold
👉 Continued downside loses the triangle pattern, and the next target is $1.6
Safe trading
SOL holds up wellCRYPTOCAP:SOL Price continues lower in the channel, a textbook ABC correction so far.
Wave 1 ended with a wedge throw-over. Price has found support above the Fibonacci golden pocket and High Volume Node at the channel's lower boundary. The probability is a continuation to the downside with a target of $140.
📈 Daily RSI tapped oversold with no divergence to suggest a bottom
👉 Continued downside brings up the $112 target, a great buy opportunity
Safe trading






















