$DOGE Flipping to Bullish Structure!CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is coming to life after a second test of the weekly 200EMA as support and about to make a higher high, cementing in that higher low and flipping the macro structure bullish!
If the count is correct wave 3 of (III) should be powerful! The weekly pivot should put up a challenge as the first resistance before the High Volume Node at $0.45
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ALT
$RENDER Weekly Brings Clarity!CRYPTOCAP:RENDER weekly chart shows long term strength through the depth of the Fibonacci retracement not even reaching 0.5.
The depth of the recent swing low been so close wave (C) does concern me that the larger correction is not yet over and maybe price does want to visit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of the 0.618-0.768 Fib retracement Where the would be a High Volume Node (not drawn).
For now the upside target is the weekly pivot but the local chart has a lot of work to do first with daily 200EMA!
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$RENDER At Major Resistance!CRYPTOCAP:RENDER has been relatively weak. Looking at the local chart it appears we have finished a wave (3) at the daily 200EMA and descending resistance.
Price has overcome the High Volume Node (HVN) support flipped resistance but a strong at coin pull could see fresh lows for Render.
There is also daily bearish divergence on the RSI.
The Elliot Wave count could also be an ABC corrective wave up which has now terminated.
If its a new motif wave and a major bottom has formed , wave 2 should find support at the HVN, daily pivot and 'alt-coin' golden pocket between 0.168 and 0.782 Fibonacci retracement
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$AVAX Ready to breakout!CRYPTOCAP:AVAX looks ready to pop.
High Volume Node resistance and daily 200EMA is clear and now support. We don't want to see price rejected and moving back below this area.
The R5 daily pivot is my first partial take profit $35-36 followed by the major resistance High Volume Node at $48
Daily RSI is overbought with unconfirmed bearish divergence so watch out for this but should be good to run in the mean time. BTC permitting...
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/3.5 The Winner's Psychology & The Hunt for Trade
Introduction: The Dangerous Time of Euphoria
I want to start by thanking you for the phenomenal support for the "Altseason: Live" experiment. We closed Round 1 with a +92% profit on the initial capital from just two trades.
But I need to be brutally honest with you: the most dangerous time is just beginning. Let's be clear: for these two months, I won't be chasing a conservative 3% per month. I will be trading quite aggressively.
That's why, in the coming weeks, you will see various coins "pump" without any logic. Your inner FOMO will be screaming at you: the feeling that you're late, you're in the wrong coin, you've missed out. In this frenzy, many will jump on a moving train. And my forecast remains: sometime around July 17th to 21st, the market will brutally shake out these passengers.
My Philosophy: The Battle with the Main Enemy—My Own Euphoria
After a huge win like +92% on the portfolio, it's very easy to get caught up in the "winner's high." A dangerous confidence appears, the feeling that you've figured out the market and that it will always be like this. This is a trap.
That is why I did something that might seem illogical: I cut my position size for the next trades by a factor of four.
Why? To tame that euphoria. To prove to myself that discipline is more important than elation. To remember that my win rate is not 100%, and a single losing trade on a wave of overconfidence can wipe out all the previous hard work. The most important thing is my inner calm.
Of course, when I talk about "calmness" in the context of futures, leverage, and altcoins, it sounds ridiculous. I get that. But striving for inner composure is the only shield a trader has.
My core principle remains unchanged: Fear losing more than you fear missing out on gains.
The Hunt for Leaders: My Methodology for Picking the Next Trade
Rebranding and New Tokenomics:
When a project undergoes a rebrand, it almost always means the team has a plan. The pressure from old sellers decreases, and the probability of a subsequent rally is high.
' Smart Money' Footprints (Accumulation):
This is my favorite pattern. Long periods of accumulation at certain levels, anomalous volumes, and candles with long wicks—all of this indicates that a major player has entered a position and is preparing for a breakout.
New Listings and Unique Patterns:
Projects recently listed on top exchanges don't have the "baggage" of disappointed holders. Over the years, I've noticed certain unique patterns in their charts that have a high probability of leading to growth.
The Art of the Entry: Hunting for the Entry Point
I try to enter positions with limit orders, and I always wait for a pullback. I look for an entry on a local correction when panic is shaking out the random passengers.
Hunt for your entry point. That is the most important thing.
The Golden Rule: Not a Single Step Without a Stop-Loss
Trading without a stop-loss is suicide. Accepting a small, planned loss is not a weakness but a part of the professional game.
What's Next?
I've already missed one coin I wanted to trade—it took off without me. I didn't chase it. Now, I am patiently waiting and searching for the next setup that meets ALL of my criteria.
The "Altseason: Live" experiment continues. You can watch everything in real-time on my streams. The hunt is on.
Thank you for your attention.
Best Regards EXCAVO
$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5.
The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend!
Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5.
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$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
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NCN (Neurochain AI) Main Trend 18 07 2025Logarithm. 3 days. Crypto project (imitation of utility) was made in autumn 2024 for local AI hype. Twitter 102 thousand subscribers. This is not enough... Reduction from the maximum pumping by -99%. It is rational to work according to the pump/dump strategy, in spot.
If a local alt season is launched, then I would recommend locally - medium urgently working with the % range (maximum) specified in the idea itself. This crypto imitation of usefulness is unlikely to survive until the big AI hype....
Currently, there are trades on 2 exchanges:
1) Gate
2) MEXC
For this group of assets as a whole. Collect assets where AI is at least somehow actually used (there are none of those), or are simply mentioned for hype (imitation of usefulness). Some assets will "die", most, if you hold them, will show a greater profit than assets of other groups.
OFFICIAL TRUMP Main trend. 16 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a super pump and a drive of "stupid money", a descending channel was formed on a natural dump. The price came out of it. Now a triangle is forming. The price is clamped. The reversal zones and percentages to the key support/resistance levels are shown extremely accurately according to TA.
If there is no aggressive exit in the medium term, then there will be consolidation and, as a consequence, the formation of a horizontal channel "sholtai / chattai", its key zones are shown.
Now, this "cryptocurrency" is now on 16 05 2025 in 41st place by capitalization.
Reductions from the price highs are about -90%.
From the liquid zone about -84%.
These are not the minimum values of the decline of such hype cryptocurrencies. Just take this into account in your money management. For clarity, the level zones and the % of potential decline if the trend breaks again are shown on the chart (pull the chart down).
Even with such a decline, the price is now at a huge profit. I am not speaking for the creators of the cryptocurrency, but for the first speculators and "investors" who may not have sold everything on the hype.
For the creators of the cryptocurrency, perhaps these are manipulators close to the Trump family, for them, any sale is super profit. But in order to sell, you need to maintain liquidity, and from time to time make interest in speculation and asset retention by investors, that is, do pumps and hype. Use this, and do not be greedy...
Levels and zones, pump/dump, which the price will "feel" are shown in advance. Click "play" on the chart and move the chart up. With a high degree of probability, the hype and pumping of the price of this cryptocurrency will be repeated, given the hype and the long term of the political figure whose name this cryptocurrency bears. Now it is a Trump dump, in the future it will become a Trump pump for some time.
Do not forget to sell on the next hype. If you understand that you are very greedy, and the news background affects you, then sell in parts, or use stop losses to protect profits.
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones, and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend, and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
Bitcoin Cash will do a solid 10X For years bitcoin cash is been selling off.
But let me tell you this, we are just getting started.
If we pass the blue line we are officially triggered for a 85 billion marketcap.
Can still take some time but eventually it will happen. Make sure to fomo in when the party is starting!
Bearish Breakdown in USDT Dominance - Altseason Loading?The chart shows a clear long-term descending trendline acting as resistance since mid-2023. After multiple failed attempts to break this trendline, USDT dominance has broken below a key horizontal support around ~4.35% on strong bearish momentum.
- Weekly close below the ~4.35% horizontal support.
Next key support zone: ~3.65–3.70% (marked by previous 2023 lows).
- Strong bearish engulfing candle confirming breakdown.
- Bearish continuation expected if dominance remains below 4.35%.
Further drop of the usdt dominance will start the altseason
Cheers
GreenCrypto
$XRP All Tie High After Shallow Pullback?CRYPTOCAP:XRP had a fantastic week smashing all resistances. I am looking for a shallow pull back to test the High Volume Node support at $2.7 at the .236 Fibonacci retracement before continuing to challenge the all time high.
Wave (3) of a motif wave appears complete adding confluence to a shallow retracement for wave (4).
Daily RSI is extremely overbought.
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$HUT Clear for Further Upside?NASDAQ:HUT is having a great time clearing resistances, the weekly 200EMA and the weekly Pivot point did not prove challenging.
It is currently sitting in a High Volume Node (HVN) where price is likely to reject and retest the weekly pivot as support before continuing upwards towards $32 and beyond in wave 3.
Wave 2 tested the 'alt-coin' golden pocket between 0.618-0.782 Fibonacci retracement giving me confidence in the count.
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$HBAR Weekly Pivot Time...In classic CRYPTOCAP:HBAR fashion what a powerful move this week! Moves like this leave me skeptical of continuation straight away as you often get a pretty decent pullback afterwards before the next leg up. However how many times have you seen a move like this that completely unwinds weeks later and goes lower?
Wave (3) looks truly underway after wave (2) tested the High Volume Node and 'Golden Pocket' 0.50.618 Fibonacci retracement as support on weekly bullish divergence from the RSI.
The weekly pivot is now resistance and it already proving itself. If price continues the all time high is next resistance and price has a weekly R5 pivot target of $1.2 while the Fibonacci extension targets have a minimum of $5.2..
Analysis is invalidated below $0.12
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$FET Does Zooming out look better?NYSE:FET has been underperforming lately and the local chart looks trash so I wanted to zoom out to give us all some context on the larger picture which hasn't really changed.
Price appears to have completed wave II at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and 0.5- 0.618 'Golden Pocket' Fibonacci retracement and wave 3 is underway but finding local resistance.
Pivots are warped due to the strength of the move last year so wouldn't count them as reliable so focusing on support and resistance. The megaphone pattern is clear and the next area of resistance when FET starts moving is the $1.2
Weekly RSI is decreasing and is attempting to cross bearishly. If Bitcoin has a significant pullback I would expect new lows for FET at this rate. I have a neutral stance at this point.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.546
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$ETH Pullback to $2630 Support?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has a great week pushing through resistance and making new local highs after testing the daily 200EMA and daily pivot as support.
Price is likely to retest the swing high and previous resistance as support around $2600-2700, also the .382 Fibonacci retracement.
RSI is printing daily bearish divergence in overbought from the wave (3) top to current as it did at the wave (5) top seeing large rejection. The retest of $2600 would reset RSI.
Price is ultimately set to test $3600 as the next resistance if the Elliot wave count is correct.
Analysis is invalidated below $2050
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$AAVE Macro outlook Grinding the PathCRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to grind higher poking above the swing high which was rejected to test the weekly pivot and .382 Fibonacci retracement as support successfully. This was a shallow wave 2 so I am expecting a big thrust up in wave 3. However, the alternative count could suggest a wave is only completing now with wave 2 actually being wave (4) of 1, this would be the case if price falls back below $171.
Weekly RSI is still bullish with plenty of room to rise ahead of it. It printed a weekly bullish divergence at the wave II low and major support high volume node.
AAVE is definitely one too watch this cycle.
Safe trading
ALTUSDT Forming Potential BreakoutALTUSDT is shaping up to be an interesting opportunity for crypto traders watching for potential breakout plays. The pair has recently tested a strong horizontal support zone multiple times, forming a solid base around that level. This accumulation range is a key area where buyers seem to step in aggressively, suggesting that a bounce and a trend reversal could be on the horizon. The technical outlook points toward a projected gain of around 90% to 100%+, which could attract more traders looking for high risk-to-reward setups in the altcoin market.
The trading volume remains healthy on ALTUSDT, confirming that there’s good liquidity and market participation to fuel a potential rally. When volume supports the price action like this, it generally adds strength to the bullish case. Many traders keep an eye on such setups because once the price breaks out from the consolidation phase, it often does so with momentum that can yield quick returns. The chart also shows early signs of a move upward with bullish candles forming off the support zone.
Investors are increasingly taking interest in the project behind ALTUSDT, drawn not just by its technical potential but by the community sentiment and developmental updates. This is critical because strong fundamentals combined with a bullish technical pattern can create the perfect storm for a powerful price surge. As the crypto market enters a more optimistic phase, coins like ALTUSDT could see amplified moves as traders look to rotate capital into promising altcoins with clear breakout setups.
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$XRP Macro Tiangle Final Thrust ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:XRP completed a macro triangle pattern last year. Triangles proceed a terminal motif wave which already completed a wave 3.
Wave (3) of (5) is underway with a terminal target around $5.7 after price broke out of the pennant / wedge pattern.
Weekly RSI confirmed bullish divergence.
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$SUI Wave 3 to Continue with a Strong Weekly CloseCRYPTOCAP:SUI printed a great weekly candle that will be closing today above the weekly pivot point with RSI trying to flip bullishly.
Price found support at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node.
Wave 4 penetrated wave 1 which we potentially have a ending or leading diagonal Elliot Wave count limiting the potential upside with my current terminal target being around $10-13. Wave 4 could also actually be another wave 2 which would give us ridiculous targets but this is my preferred count for now.
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$HBAR Shooting Up in Wave 3CRYPTOCAP:HBAR is flying off the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with Elliot wave 3 characteristics keeping the count alive.
Price is testing the weekly pivot point which should act as resistance for the time being but a break straight through will demonstrate a very bullish trend. Traders should be cautious about entering here.
RSI confirmed a weekly bullish divergence
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$ETH clear for an impulsive move to $3600?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has slowly but surely cleared resistance, with just the swing high to tackle which will activate another trade signal in my Trade Signals Substack.
Major support High Volume Node, daily pivot and daily 200 EMA proved tough support and demand continues to come in.
ETFs had an astonishing amount of inflows yesterday at $200M+
Analysis is invalidated below $2100
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$HBAR Resistance at daily 200EMA!CRYPTOCAP:HBAR analysis continues to play out but should consolidate for a while before moving to the next target at $0.22.
This area should be tough resistance as its the daily 200EMA and major High Volume Node resistance and R1 daily pivot.
The CRYPTOCAP:HBAR signal has now hit take profit #1 from my Trade Signals Substack posted last week.
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