Alts to make a move in Q1 2006The Altcoin market is still holding strong above the trendline.
Are we entering a supercycle? Your Thoughts?
ALTS
New Court Case DISASTEROUS for SOLANA?Quite silently, Solana may be heading into one of the most consequential legal challenges it has faced to date.
The implications reach far beyond short-term market of SOL -it will likely affect MANY more crypto's and projects.
A US federal judge has recently (past few days) approved a class action lawsuit to proceed against several parties tied to the Solana ecosystem, including Solana Labs and entities connected to PumpFun. This isn’t speculative rumors; the court has ruled that the claims presented are substantial enough to warrant deeper examination.
The argument of the case is an allegation that cuts directly into Solana’s technical design. Plaintiffs argue that certain insiders benefited from preferential access created by the network’s validator structure and transaction-ordering mechanisms. In practice, this allegedly allowed privileged actors to enter positions earlier, exit faster, and systematically offload risk onto retail participants.
The court’s decision suggests regulators and judges are increasingly willing to scrutinize not just token issuers or apps, but the underlying blockchain infrastructure itself when assessing fairness and market access. Therefore, it could be consequential for the rest of the crypto market as well in the near to long term.
That framing introduces a serious existential risk.
#RIOT and the miners pumping = AltseasonThe Bitcoin miners have quietly entered a Bull market since April, without much attention.
This indicates that investors are looking for additional risk beyond #BTC as they prepare for an exciting Altseason.
Their reasoning might arise from the perception that Bitcoin can provide only a limited return going forward based on its current point in the cycle and the outsized returns it has already delivered over $100K+ per coin from the low 3 years ago.
As you can see, RIOT has recently broken out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern against Bitcoin dominance.
Historically, when this pattern has emerged in the previous two cycles, the logarithmic target has been achieved and even exceeded, coinciding with strong altcoin performance.
We have much to look forward to in the upcoming months.
LINK to 3 dollars -- Last exit before the elevator down.Chainlink is flashing a head and shoulders.
It is looking to break the previous bear market lows.
And there are fib retracement confluence projections that align with single digit prices.
ONE Chart. SIX targets. Thats HYPE!The hyperliquid chart is showing signs of a head and shoulders pattern.
#HYPE has certainly garnered significant attention and acclaim for being one of the few altcoins to experience a surge this cycle.
This is due to the development of an innovative product: a decentralized perpetual DEX.
It has achieved product-market fit.
Receiving considerable attention on X.
However, it is not larger than the ongoing cycle.
At one point, they were purchasing $83M worth of tokens each month—this is why it has created a distorted head and shoulders pattern with multiple necklines.
Yet, in the world of crypto, if you develop something useful,
the code, idea, or platform will inevitably be replicated.
This highlights the fundamental issue with altcoins: the absence of a competitive moat and long-term sustainability.
Recently, they began unlocking a substantial amount of tokens, and it is likely that the team is offloading them through OTC transactions.
While innovation and profitable dapps are commendable... they can also become problematic.
Here are some bear targets for your consideration.
Which you can use to your advantage on their perp DEX ;)
Solana ~ TRADE The CHOP: 3 Ways to Make ATLEAST +15%Choppy markets are identified by low volume and sideways trading / range trading. It seems uninteresting in most cases, but you don't have to sit around and wait for the next big impulse wave!
Here are three plays YOU can take during choppy markets:
1) 4H : Short Resistance
Chop trading can be a blessing - the price often touches the same support zone and the same resistance zone 2 - 3 times, before breaking out either way. This means that if you spot your zone early, you could take a short timeframe swing trade. Another way to find a trade is to look for gaps in the candles, for example:
2) 4H : Long Support
South Africa is in a time of turbulence, and the Rand is unpredictable as the effects of G20 settle in. During these times, and this counts for all markets, placing a low risk leveraged long on support is a way to trade the chop:
3) Daily : SPOT Hold to TP Zone
Nothing like a classic low risk trade - but you may need some patience with it! If you're not willing to look at charts all day, or have alarms wake you up at 2:30am to take a trade then this is your style., for example:
What do you do during choppy markets?
GRT - PRICE ANALYSIS#GRT - Price Analysis: 🟥
I've been here through many bull market phases over the years, and I feel sad for holders seeing such a big project trading under levels from years ago, before the run...🥶
Current chart looks pretty bearish, reflecting the lack of demand & users in the market. 📉
Technical outlook:
I don't see any historical support here except point 0 (LL) around $ 0.0300.
Same as and many others:
under red zone & downtrend, seeing another wave of dump looks more realistic 📉
Other key levels are marked on my chart. I'm staying transparent with what I'm seeing here. 🥵
DYOR before investing.
Altcoin's OutlookAltcoins have historically tended to overtake Bitcoin. We can see that the dominance of the top 10 altcoins correlates with the price of Bitcoin. It used to generally outperform it, but today it still has plenty of room to recover even in a pessimistic view. Altcoins will increase 10-50x depending on their distance from the all-time high (ATH).
PIEVERSE — Rising Channel Exhaustion & Correction SetupThe price is moving inside a clean rising channel , forming a classic three-wave structure: (a) → (b) → (c). The upper boundary of the channel has now been reached, and wave (c) shows signs of exhaustion, which often precedes a corrective move.
Given the overextended structure and the repeated reactions from the channel resistance, the market is likely preparing for a downside correction. Once the local top is completed, the price may break down from the channel and retrace toward the $0.20–0.16 zone, where the next major support cluster sits.
This area also aligns with the expected correction depth after a completed ABC pattern.
Key Points:
Clean rising channel structure
Wave (c) is nearly completed
Expecting a correction after resistance rejection
Main target for the pullback: $0.20–0.16
ETHEREUM is about to EXPLODEEthereum is doing similar thing it did in April 2025 :
- Falling channel
- Breaking resistance
- Rise again
Altcoins \ Altseason Others / BTC ratio is in its lowest momentum zone in history...
Historic demand area has been tested once again, marking the final phase of capitulation.
Every major altcoin season has begun with just such silence.
What's coming will explain the silence.
BTC.D OutlookFalling down with the 2017's pattern is a possible scenario. If happens so, we can have Altseason Q1-Q2 2026 until BTC.D reaches 40%. It may be the final target, but it can reach 24% in Q1 2027 if it wants to do the complete pattern; however, the whole market is down probably by that time.
ALTS HAVE ROOM TO THE DOWNSIDE.Alt's need retail participation to thrive.
If Global Liquidity tightens, #BTC rolls over into 4 year cycle lows (q4 2026)
BTC.d will rise along with Stablecoin dominance.
This inverted chart shows a well formed Head and Shoulders that is about to test again a key level of significance.
I DO NOT expect it to hold.
Ethereum (1W) 5 Year Pennant, Weekly Hidden Bullish DivergenceEthereum seems to be gearing up for a huge rally, despite the what I call 'Bearish Propaganda' in the news and permeating throughout social media crypto influencer discourse, calling for a 12-15 month bear market.
We see Ethereum bouncing off the lower trend line (demand line) of the approx. 5 year pennant formation on the weekly timeframe.
In addition, we have weekly hidden bullish divergence between the weekly MACD and weekly price action. Couple these 2 facts together, along w/ QT ending the 1st of Dec. 2025 and QE via liquidity injections coming soon, I find it hard to believe that Ethereum alongside major cap alt-coins will not rally.
This could turn into the most hated bull rally we've seen since crypto's inception.
Keep an eye on the charts!
Understanding BTC, Bitcoin Dominance and TOTAL3 Rotations✅Bitcoin Dominance, BTC, Altcoins✅
Today, We're talking about the rotation of cash between Bitcoin and altcoins.
Imagine a pie where each slice represents a different cryptocurrency. The pie here indicates the total cryptocurrency market cap of both Bitcoin and altcoins, which can increase or decrease at any given time. In other words the TOTAL chart.
- If BTC market cap increases but altcoin market cap shrinks (relative), the pie stays the same size.
- If BTC market cap increase and altcoin market cap increases, the pie size increase and so forth.
Total Market Cap and BTC.D
At most of the key moments, we see a clear inverse relationship here. Alts drop harder than BTC, as this clearly shows. But during the cycle, investors hop on and off, injecting money into the ride (buying) and taking it out (selling). This constant movement is what keeps the crypto markets going.
Let's break it down with visuals:
Chart 1: Bitcoin
This rollercoaster represents Bitcoin's price action, and also my view on where we are in the current cycle. (I believe we're in a multimonth correction, followed by the last impulse wave up probably close to XMAS 2025 as usual). You'll need this to know where we are in the cycle right now:
Chart 2: Bitcoin & Bitcoin Dominance
This chart shows Bitcoin's dominance, which is basically its share of the total crypto market capitalization (market cap = total value of all cryptocurrencies). When Bitcoin's dominance goes up (higher on the chart), it means investors are putting more money into Bitcoin, potentially at the expense of altcoins. Conversely, when dominance goes down, it suggests capital is flowing towards altcoins. The difference is clear:
Chart 3: BTC.D vs TOTAL3
In this chart, we overlay the Total 3 Priceline (BLUE) on top of the Bitcoin Dominance chart. TOTAL3 shows us all alts except ETH.
The Bitcoin Rollercoaster and the S&P 500:
When Bitcoin surges (line goes up), it can sometimes lead to increased investor risk appetite. This might entice some investors to move funds from the S&P 500 into riskier assets like Bitcoin, potentially causing a slight dip in the S&P 500. Conversely, when Bitcoin experiences a price drop, investors might flock back to the perceived stability of the stock market, potentially causing a rise in the S&P 500.
So, is there a guaranteed CORRECTION? All the signs are proving this may be the case. By understanding the relationship between Bitcoin, altcoin prices and dominance, you can get a better sense of where the money merry-go-round might be headed.
Altcoins - A Shift in Plain SightOne thing that stands out lately is how several mid-caps and low-caps have started to drift above CRYPTOCAP:BTC on relative performance. When BTC sits in the middle of the pack while pockets of alts are steadily printing higher % moves, it usually hints at a rotation brewing.
This kind of spread normally shows up when:
- BTC cools off or ranges after a strong move
- Liquidity becomes more comfortable chasing risk
- Traders start searching for higher beta plays
- Early bids creep in across multiple alt sectors at the same time
You don’t need a breakout or a big narrative to see it — the relative strength alone is a decent tell. When alts cluster above BTC while the rest flatten out, it’s often the first sign that the market is prepping for an alt window.
It doesn’t guarantee a full-blown alt season, but historically this type of structure gives a decent shot at short-term relief rallies or sector pops, especially if BTC remains stable and doesn’t nuke volatility across the board.
For now, the key read is simple:
If you see BTC is no longer the top performer in the group. When that happens, attention tends to rotate outward — and alts usually breathe.
TOTAL2 - Testing Middle Band Using this Gaussian Channel indicator it can be seen on Weekly chart that price is testing this middle line
This line has been a point of strong support and many breakouts have been seen along it
Price will likely bounce off it allowing a rally for alts
$XRP count changed, wave 4 underwayCRYPTOCAP:XRP Wave 4 appears to be a flat correction defined by the poke above the all-time high. Wave 4 is expected to end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, also the weekly 200EMA ~$1.2.
The multi-year triangle is a penultimate move, so continuation in wave 5 to price discovery is my preferred count. For no,w price is stuck in a range aboev the weekly pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $4.31 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall after printing bearish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $0.64, as wave 4 can not go below 0.55 Fibs
Safe trading
SUI Macro outlook changed...Price appears to be near the completion of a wave C correction.
Price is falling below the S1 pivot, bringing up the next target of the golden pocket and High Volume Node. There is no weekly 200EMA. The series of macro ABC’s suggests upside targets may be limited to the R3 pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $10 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish, almost oversold with no divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave B at $0.43
Safe trading
Sol continues to hold up strongCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding up well with only a shallow retracement to the 0.382 for wave (4)- the weekly 200EMA.
Price is above the weekly 200EMA, which is bullish, but lost the pivot, which is bearish, giving the overall pattern ambiguity. Wave C is underway, but looks near completion at wave 4’s expected Fib targets.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $660 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with room to fall, but doesn’t often reach oversold.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $50, as wave 4 can not go below the 0.5 Fib.
Safe trading
HBAR still holding strongCRYPTOCAP:HBAR Price has printed a textbook ABC for wave 2, but as long as we are below the descending trend-line, the probability is lower still. The wick has now been revisited, which is expected behaviour.
Price is below the weekly pivot. The next downside target is the S1 pivot at $0.075, which is also the alt-coin golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $0.8
📈 Weekly RSI is bearish with no divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 2, keeping wave 2 alive.
Safe trading
