$spx $amzn bull trap of the decade setup?made a vid for a friend, thought I'd make public to get feedback (on the analysis, the vid's my first so take it easy! :)
both amazon and the market as a whole are due for a leg lower but one that could occur in a stand-out fashion, befitting the historic significance of this moment from multiple perspectives.
AMZN
AMZN $2500 Price Target by Mid-OctoberFollowing the same trend and momentum patterns of the SPY and QQQ ideas I posted earlier today. I see another consolidation phase after a sharp initial continuation of this incline. The stock split should help generate retail momentum additionally. Not trading advice.
AMZN: A $ 500 REVERSAL ahead? Let's see.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMZN is doing today!
Like many other stocks, AMZN is trying to reverse. After finding a bottom around the $ 2,048 (blue line), AMZN bounced and it dropped again to this line, making this a possible Double Bottom chart pattern. This is a powerful reversal pattern, and usually it works very well, when triggered.
In this case, AMZN must break the $ 2,316 (red line) in order to trigger the reversal pattern. The red line is the last resistance, and it is quite close to the 21 ema, which is another technical resistance that AMZN must break, otherwise, the bear trend will just persist.
If AMZN triggers a reversal, we have two possible targets to work with, in the mid-term. First would be the $ 2,707 area, which was a previous support level, and it could be a resistance in the future, according to the Principle of Polarity. Second, and my favorite one, is the gap at $ 2,806, which I do believe will be filled, eventually.
In the weekly chart, we see that the possible Double Bottom chart pattern in the daily chart couldn’t have a better timing. AMZN just hit a very curious technical support level, which is the February 2020 top level, before the crash.
In addition to this, AMZN is reacting nicely. So far, we see two Hammers candlestick patterns, with long shadows under the candlestick’s bodies, indicating some strength in this area.
For now, let’s wait for a clear reversal, as AMZN could fly roughly $ 500 (or 20%) if we do trigger the reversal we want. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
AMZN: ON THE DIVING BOARD.AMZN is currently sitting on a major historical support between 2020 and 2080.
I believe it has never been so oversold. It does't mean it cannot go lower.
So, will it dive? One thing is for sure, tech and growth are not in favour.
You have 3 options here:
1. You think the support holds. Go long. The coming stock split could boost the price.
2. You believe the market keeps on selling. Short it if it breaks the support.
3. Wait for lower levels (1683, 1593, 1346) to go long.
Pick your winner.
Trade safe!
AMZN Amazon valuation is still high! If you haven`t sold Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) at $2891, when you saw the slowest growth since 2001:
Then you should know that the 51.89 Price per Earnings ratio is still high compared for example to BABA, Alibaba, who has the same business model, but a P/E of 23.39 - which is still high, btw. Should be around 18 in my opinion.
So my price target for AMZN is $1900.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMZN - The Jungle Ugly in the extreme.
EPS missed the mark and the punishment is extraordinary after
the Q4 Short Squeeze - we're seeing price well below 3400...
used to SELL SELL SELL.
Ouch, effing ouch.
Depression, yes, Rexcession entry? crazy talk by design.
It's a Depression and has been for some time.
Consumption, Savings Real Incomes... yeah screwed beyond.
Retracement?
Hmmm... Good Luck.
Only the FED can save this overpriced Paper.
___________________________________________________
#x Sub Sales Multi, good luck, 20% growth is gone for a LONG
LONG time.
EL/LA Tiempo reveals Rivian's gains are captured 2021 Q4.
$8 Billion write down... some gains.
Ouch.
Expense Side - Ouch.
Net Sales North America - Ouch.
The decline in Internation Sales... Only $# Billion from a marginally profitable
Business at best.
Ouch again.
Losing Money, AWS still the story, it's ain't expanding.
For now, they have a Plenty O' Cash... for now.
CASH FLOW Neggy ... again Ouch.
Amazon 75 Day Target - $2380Amazon is looking poised to trend towards the $2380 level. We could see a jump back to the ceiling of this down-channel, implying around an 8% rise over 75 days. Amazon's ATR has been at an all-time high since 2020, and the stock needs some time to consolidate; however, an 8% move from pre-COVID support levels over 50 days is not entirely unrealistic. Expecting a slow climb to this level and then to test from there. Following upside, levels seem to be $2700 based on volume profile.