Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively.
The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through.
On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move.
If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets.
Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
Analyis
Why Every Trend Begins and Ends With LiquidityEvery trend in crypto begins and ends with liquidity. Before a trend can move with force, the market must collect the stop orders that provide the fuel for expansion. These orders sit above equal highs, below equal lows, inside inefficiencies, and around obvious retail breakout levels. Price does not trend because sentiment magically aligns.
It trends because the market clears liquidity at one side of the structure and then expands toward the next pool. The earliest phase of any trend usually starts with a sweep: price reaches beyond a key high or low, triggers stops, absorbs the resting orders, and immediately snaps back. This wick is the first sign that the breakout attempt failed and that larger participants have used the liquidity to take positions.
Once liquidity is taken, the market shifts into structural progression. Higher highs and higher lows form not because traders collectively decide to buy, but because the market now has trapped sellers below the sweep, providing momentum as price moves toward the next logical liquidity target.
Structure becomes the visible footprint of this process. Impulse legs show aggression after liquidity collection, and pullbacks tend to remain orderly because the directional objective has not yet been completed.
Every trend is essentially a journey from one liquidity pool to the next, with structure simply describing how that journey unfolds.
The end of a trend is equally tied to liquidity. A trend rarely dies from weakening momentum alone. Instead, it typically completes when price reaches a major pool of opposing liquidity, often equal highs in an uptrend or equal lows in a downtrend.
The final move into that level is usually fast and dramatic, designed to trigger breakout traders while simultaneously running the stops of those holding late in the trend. Once the liquidity is collected, the market loses incentive to continue and snaps back inside the level, exposing the sweep as a terminal event rather than a continuation. This reversal wick marks the end of one trend and the beginning of the liquidity cycle in the opposite direction.
From there, the process repeats. Liquidity is taken. Structure shifts. Displacement confirms intention. A retest provides the entry. And the new trend begins by targeting the next liquidity pool in line.
When traders understand this cycle, trends become far easier to read. Direction is no longer based on hope, indicators, or isolated candles. It is built on recognising how liquidity motivates movement and how structure validates that movement.
Liquidity shows where the market wants to travel, structure shows how it gets there, and together they form a practical framework for identifying when trends are forming, when they are maturing, and when they are preparing to reverse.
$AVAAI Looks Ready to Explode — Don’t Blink!$AVAAI looks locked in for the next leg up.
After a clean breakout from the previous resistance zone, the price is now forming a solid base above its classic bullish structure.
The trendline’s been respected. Buyers stepped in early.
Volume’s healthy. Structure’s is strong.
In my view, the chart is screaming continuation.
$0.095 and $0.11 could come faster than expected.
Don’t blink, this move could get explosive.
DYOR, NFA
#ALTSEASON #CRYPTOMOJO_TA
NZD/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis –📊 NZD/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Feb 20, 2025
🔹 Current Price: 0.57239 (-0.11%)
🔻 Recent High: 0.57324
🔻 Recent Low: 0.57031
🔴 200 EMA: 0.56935 (Acting as support)
🧐 Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Structure: The price has been trending upwards with higher lows, showing strength.
✅ Support Zone: A key support zone around 0.5720 - 0.5730 (highlighted in orange).
✅ Trendline Retest: Price is currently testing the support zone, potentially setting up for a bounce.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Case: If buyers hold the support zone, a bounce toward 0.5740 - 0.5750 could be in play 🚀.
🔹 Bearish Case: A break below 0.5700 could lead to a deeper pullback towards 0.5670 - 0.5660 ❄️.
🎯 Trading Plan:
📌 Buy Setup: Look for confirmation (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) around the orange support zone for long entries.
📌 Sell Setup: If the price breaks below 0.5700, consider short positions with targets around 0.5670.
🔥 Final Thoughts: The trend remains bullish unless we break below key support levels. Watch price action near the support zone for potential opportunities!
📢 Traders, what’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking down? Let’s discuss! 👇💬 #NZDUSD #Forex
2 possible scenarios for Bitcoin with chance of pump to 41800Hello everyone,
Lets talk Bitcoin
so after our recent post regarding the uptrend line that was acting as support but BTC broke it, and now it's at around 39k-38k area,
2 possible sceanrios now,
BTC might bounce back to 41800 if it breaks the downtrend on the RSI as shown in the chart, also MACD shows a chance of crossing and positivity, If BTC was not able then we might see BTC numbers near 37k
Trade safely and do your own research
hope this helps
BTCUSDT
In this bitcoin analysis
Important support levels are displayed
Scenario 1:
If the strong support that is fully displayed in the chart fails, we will see a drop in the price of bitcoin
Scenario 2:
Considering that we are in the third wave of daily time
We see correction to the support lines in the chart and then in the fifth wave we will see an ATH bitcoin.
Good luck
DXY W/C 17.05.2021Dollar is weak in my opinion and looking to run the lows on the daily chart. IF we do break to the upside I will be looking at 91.40 and 91.95 for a reversal. Currently long from last week on Aussie and Fibre. So just managing this for now and waiting for new opportunity. HV News only thurs/friday this week for AUD and EUR
USD/CAD Bullish AnalysisGood morning, traders! Today we will analyze USD CAD in three timeframes to show you why we consider upside potential in this pair. We will analyze from a higher to a lower timeframe to contextualize the analysis and detail how the three visions coincide.
🔸First of all, we have the Weekly Chart:
- In this chart, the analysis is very simple. We see a marked downtrend and the price facing an interesting support zone. This is not enough to consider a trade, but we already have a key level that is being tested. There is the possibility of a rebound.
🔸Now we are going to reduce the timeframe to the Daily Chart:
- Here, we will mark the most recent trend that we can put within a channel, and we will mark the support and resistance areas closest to the price. This will determine between which zones the price can move during the following weeks. We already have the Weekly and Daily context, but we don't have a setup idea yet.
🔸It is time to go down to the 4H timeframe, and here we are going to raise the situation that we will look for:
- We see the rebound in the support zone and a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick that shows us a rejection in the zone. This is the first bullish sign. Also, the price is trying to break the descending trendline. What we will expect will be a clear breakout and then a retest/correction. Once that happens, the next thing will be to wait for the bullish continuation. If this happens, we will be facing a potential movement whose target is the next Resistance zone or the descending trendline, whichever comes first.
GBP/JPY - expect a move down ,15min -27.09.20-> In this analysis, I decided to look at the GBP / JPY currency pair, the analysis comes from a 15 min chart. As we can see in the graph, a rising wedge formation was formed for us. I assume a downward movement and then an upward movement. Entry into the position is at the current price and then the buy order on the reflection if it happens. I expect to move down to around the price point @ 134.340 and then expect a reflection upwards to around the price point @ 134.690.
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-> if the price breaks through the channel, the Buy position does not apply
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-> If you have any questions or concerns, feel free to comment in the comments section. If you like my idea you can support it with like.
-see also my other analyzes, 90% were correct
-This is not financial advice.
Trade safe!
DXY (U.S Dollar Index) Bearish Analysis🔸 WEEKLY CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸Price broke the Ascending Channel.
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🔸It is now facing the Support Zone at 93.00.
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🔸If this zone is broken to the downside, the next bearish target is the Support Zone at 89.00.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
NZD/USD Potential Downside Move by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸 Price bounced at the Confluence Zone between the Resistance Zone and the Descending Trendline.
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🔸 It has also broken the Ascending Trendline.
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🔸 It has potential to make a downside move.
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe bearish setup.
🔸DAILY CHART ANALYSIS:
EURJPY looking to go a lil higherI have entered this pair some times now, made nice profits, yesterday i closed a trade going +50pips profit because i thought it was going to come back to breakeven! Now i think it's going further up, i'm in again!
what you think?? Leave your opinion in the chat!
Also, if you would like to join me in Telegram, here's the link : t.me/tradingbayfx






















