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GOLD Sell Signal (XAUUSD)📉 GOLD Sell Signal (XAUUSD) 🔹 Entry: 4140 🎯 Final Target: 4095 🛡️ Stop Loss: (Set according to your risk plan) Analysis: Gold is facing strong resistance around 4140, showing signs of bearish momentum. If sellers stay active below this level, price could move down toward 4095. Wait for confirmation with bearish candles or a break below intraday support before entering. 📊 Trend: Bearish Bias Developing 💬 Share your thoughts below & follow for more GOLD setups! #Gold #XAUUSD #SellSignal #ForexSignals #BearishSetup #TradingView
TVC:GOLDShort
by VIP-Forex-Signals-free
CHFJPY - Potential LONGCHFJPY is pressing up against its old ceiling around 191.0–191.2 and just made a small pause/flag before pushing higher. I’m interested in buys only if it can stay above that ceiling—ideally a clear close or a quick dip-and-bounce that shows the level turning into support. If I’m in, I’ll hide my stop near 190.60 and aim for 191.90 → 192.60, with a stretch goal near 193.20 if momentum kicks in. If price pops above 191 and immediately falls back under 190.9, I’ll skip the long—that would smell like a fake breakout and could pull back toward 190.20 or 189.50. Keep position size modest up here; let confirmation do the work.
Long
by AmirZary
Gold update- Bullish Reaction from Key Level..Price reacted beautifully from the 4000 key level / demand zone we marked last week. We’re now seeing early bullish signs and structure holding. At this stage: I’m managing my current positions with the trend No need to force trades — just letting price action develop As long as structure holds, I remain bullish on gold for now Risk is managed, emotions aside — focus is on what the chart is showing I’ll update again after data/news prints or if structure changes.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Solomoney99
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1) • Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381. • Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend. • RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce. • MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause. Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229. • Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias. • RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg. • If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely. Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel. • RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase. • MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only. • Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150. Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt. • MACD positive with expanding green bars. • RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106 🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160 🔹 50% Fib = 4,180 🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198 ✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198 This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Scenarios ✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred) ⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080 🛑 SL above 4,210 ✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play) ⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040 🛑 SL above 4,120 ⸻ 🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability) ✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear. 🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180 🛑 SL below 4,090 🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only) ✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest) 🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254 🛑 SL below 4,180 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range. • Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling. • USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback. • Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Type Level Description Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone Support 4,120 Minor intraday support Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf Support 4,080 Deep corrective target ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation. 🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength. 🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone. 📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106. ✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +70 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY +270 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips 📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 86% --- 🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
A strong market. Timing is crucial.Gold prices continued their upward trend for the fifth consecutive day, reaching a new record high. Concerns about the economic risks posed by the US government shutdown, international trade wars, and escalating geopolitical tensions continue to drive capital flows into gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. Furthermore, recent speeches by most Federal Reserve officials have paved the way for interest rate cuts, making the market virtually certain that an October rate cut is a foregone conclusion, with even a 100% probability of a December cut. The government shutdown, which has lasted 15 days and is costing approximately $15 billion in lost economic output daily, has also led to a decline in the US dollar index, which has fallen for two consecutive trading days, further bolstering gold's upward momentum. On the 4-hour chart, prices continue to trade along the upper Bollinger Band. Despite a slight pullback early on, they have rebounded strongly, with current support levels moving up to around 4240-4230. Bullish momentum remains strong in the short term. Quaid believes the trading strategy remains focused on buying on pullbacks. However, caution is advised when following orders mid-trade to prevent sudden price pullbacks from causing losses. Please follow our channel for more real-time trading strategies. Trading Strategy: Buy in batches between 4240 and 4230, with a 10-point stop-loss. Profit range: 420-4280-4300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a strong demand zone, an area where buyers have previously shown clear dominance. After a corrective move, price action is now showing signs of stabilization and accumulation, suggesting that a bullish reversal could be forming. If the market continues to respect this zone and prints a bullish candle formation (such as a higher low, bullish engulfing, or rejection wick), it would confirm that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators also show signs of strength building on the buy side, indicating that selling pressure is fading and the market may be preparing for an upside move. As long as Gold maintains its structure above the support zone, the bias remains bullish. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation candle or structure break before entering to ensure alignment with market momentum.
TVC:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a key support zone, an area where buyers have previously shown strong reactions. After a period of correction, price action is indicating buyer accumulation and a potential shift in momentum. If the price continues to respect this support area and forms a bullish structure (such as a higher low or bullish engulfing candle), it could signal the beginning of a bullish reversal. Volume and momentum indicators are also hinting at reduced selling pressure and a gradual return of buyer strength. As long as Gold holds above the support level, the market bias remains bullish, with potential for an upward continuation in the coming sessions. Traders should wait for clear confirmation from price action before executing buy entries to align with smart money flow.
TVC:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
Gold is strong. 4200 is not far away.Gold continued its upward trend after the Asian market opened on Tuesday. It reached a high near 4180 in the European session before plummeting, quickly falling back to around 4090 before continuing its upward trend. This marked a distinct bottoming-out and rebound pattern, causing significant market volatility. Wednesday's Asian market opened with a continuation of Tuesday's trend, reaching a new all-time high near 4191, once again approaching the 4200 mark. Gold's current pattern makes bears vulnerable to the powerful bulls, leaving short-term bears in despair. Gold continues its upward trend, with a remarkably strong daily chart, giving the market continued hope for a bullish outlook. The previous gains were excessive, and any pullback would be far greater than we had anticipated. Tuesday's drop is a case in point. Although it was merely a market correction, it led many traders to believe the bull trend was over. However, this was not the case. The price pullback merely provided an opportunity to go long, and the bravest traders are already enjoying the rewards. Overall, the current trend remains strong. Barring any negative news regarding gold, the overall strategy remains to buy on pullbacks, with an eye on new highs. Trading Strategy: Go long on pullbacks near 4150, with a stop-loss at 4135. Profit range: 4080-4190-4200. For aggressive trading, go long in batches between 4160-65. When the price first hits 4195, you can try shorting with a small position, which can yield a profit of 15-20 pips.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oc 14)News & Event Map (ET) • 06:00 NFIB Small-Business Optimism (Sept). • 08:45 Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman remarks. • 12:20 Fed Chair Powell keynote. • Mid-day U.S. T-bill auctions (6-wk, 13-/26-wk close mid-day). • Backdrop: Fresh U.S.–China port fee headlines add a macro risk-off/risk-on toggle. • Earnings: Early-season, light but picking up (e.g., Bank OZK, ESLT, NEWT). Read: plan London 02:00–05:00, NY AM 09:30–11:00, PM 13:30–16:00. Avoid initiating during Powell’s window unless already risk-reduced. For overnight London session: 1) A Bounce (Tier-3) — Long from 6,661–6,672 (only on exhaustion + reclaim) • Trigger: Flush into the band → 1m reclaim → 5m up-close. • Invalidation/SL: Below 6,653. • TP1: 6,689–6,692 (take 70%, runner BE). • TP2: 6,706–6,710. • Note: If the stop required to the 15m wick makes TP1 < 2R, skip. 2) Reclaim-Fail Short (Tier-1 quality) — Short on 6,689–6,692 retest-fail • Trigger: Pop back into 6,689–6,692, 15m can’t hold above, 5m rolls over; 1m LH entry. • SL: Above 6,696–6,698. • TP1: 6,672 → 6,666. • TP2: 6,661. • Stretch: 6,640–6,650 if momentum persists. 3) Breakdown Continuation (Tier-1) — Short on 15m acceptance below 6,661 • Trigger: 15m full-body close < 6,661, then 5m retest holds below. • SL: Back above 6,666–6,668. • TP1: 6,640–6,650. • TP2: Trail for a bleed toward mid-650s if tape stays heavy. For NY session: Tier-1 A++ (Major) — Short at 6,718–6,725 • Trigger (Rejection-Fade): 15m close back below 6,718 after a wick through; 5m re-close lower with LH; 1m first pullback entry. • SL: Above 6,730 (±0.25–0.50). • TP1: 6,689–6,692 (close 70% → runner BE). • TP2: 6,661–6,672. • TP3: 6,645–6,650. • Invalidation: 15m full-body acceptance ≥6,725 (don’t fade; flip to the long continuation play). Tier-1 A++ (Major) — Long continuation on 6,725+ acceptance • Trigger (Acceptance-Go): 15m full-body close ≥6,725 → 5m pullback holds 6,718–6,721 and re-closes up → 1m HL entry. • SL: Below 6,712 (±0.25–0.50). • TP1: 6,735–6,745. • TP2: 6,760 area. • TP3: 6,780 stretch. • Invalidation: 15m close back inside 6,718 after entry. Tier-2 A+ Bounce — Quick-reclaim long at 6,689–6,692 • Trigger: Sweep/flush into the band, instant reclaim on 1m → 5m up-close. • SL: Below 6,682. • TP1: 6,707–6,710. • TP2: 6,718–6,725. • TP3: 6,735. • Size: ¾ standard. Tier-3 A Bounce — Exhaustion flush long at 6,661–6,672 • Trigger: Capitulation wick + 5m bullish re-close from the band. • SL: 6,653. • TP1: 6,689–6,692. • TP2: 6,706–6,710. • TP3: 6,718. • Size: ½ standard. PA projections: Market Analysis: London to New York Trading Session London Session (02:00–05:00) In the early hours, the base case scenario for the market suggests a modest advance to the 6,661–6,672 range, followed by a brief spike to 6,689–6,692. However, resistance is expected to kick in at this level, potentially leading to a reversal back to 6,672 and down to 6,661. In a bearish scenario, if there is a 15-minute acceptance below 6,661, we may target 6,640–6,650 as potential support levels. Pre-New York Session (08:00–09:30) As long as prices remain below 6,689, we anticipate the formation of a lower high beneath 6,700, exerting downward pressure towards 6,661. There is a heightened risk of a flush toward 6,645–6,650 during this period. New York Morning Session (09:30–11:00) The bearish sentiment is likely to persist if prices remain under 6,689, with selling opportunities expected towards 6,661 and the 6,645–6,650 range. The momentum in this phase will determine whether we establish a base or continue to decline. Conversely, a bullish alternative may emerge if there is a sustained 15-minute close above 6,689 for 30 to 60 minutes, which could pivot the market towards a buying strategy, targeting 6,706–6,710 and possibly testing 6,718–6,725. A decisive move above 6,725 would shift the focus to 6,735–6,745. Key Levels to Watch Bullish Scenario: A successful flip to bullish sentiment would require two consecutive 15-minute closes above 6,689, with pullbacks holding at this level. Bearish Confirmation: A bearish confirmation would manifest through a 15-minute full-body close below 6,661, followed by a failed retest from below. Conclusion: The outlook remains inherently biased towards a sell-rallies strategy throughout the trading day from London into New York, as long as prices stay below 6,689. A recovery and sustained hold above this threshold would redirect attention to tests of 6,706 and 6,718.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Gold continues to surge. Is it unstoppable?Last week, a single social media post by President Trump wiped out $2 trillion in US stock market value, with the S&P 500 index falling 2.7% that day, its worst performance since early April. The reality of this incident demonstrates that Trump's authoritarian trade policies continue to influence the fate of the global economy. In early Asian trading on Monday, gold briefly hit $4,060, a new all-time high. With market concerns easing slightly, it is currently fluctuating around the 4,050 high. Looking at the 4-hour chart, Quaid believes gold prices still have the potential to reach new highs. Current support is around 4,035, followed by 4,020. If support at 4,035 is broken, gold could potentially reach the 4,080-4,090 high. This is because 4,035 is at the 0.618 Fibonacci support level, while 4,020 is at the 0.50 level. However, the possibility of a deeper pullback to 4020 cannot be ruled out. As long as gold remains above 4020 in the short term, it remains strong. For short-term operations, Quaid recommends that you can go long around 4035. If the price breaks through 4060, the target may reach 4080-4090.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
In-depth Market Analysis. Outlook for Next Week.The gold market experienced several pullbacks this week, but it rebounded during the US trading session, driven by risk aversion, ultimately closing at a relatively high level. Current geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold prices, keeping the metal strong. On a weekly basis, gold has risen for eight consecutive weeks, maintaining an overall bullish trend. Weekly support is currently around 3944, with resistance primarily focused on the 4040 area, followed by this week's high near 4059. On a daily basis, gold rebounded after a second dip on Friday, ultimately closing at the high, indicating strong buying support at lower levels. This provides a positive signal for the medium- to long-term market trend. At the same time, the daily chart shows that the closing price is above the 5-day moving average, and the short-term trend continues to be bullish based on the 5-day moving average. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are flattening, suggesting a period of high volatility in the short term. The candlestick chart has closed above the middle band, and the 5-day moving average is converging with the 10-day moving average and is about to diverge upwards. This indicates that gold is currently experiencing a volatile and strong trend, with the potential for further upward movement in the short term. Based on a comprehensive analysis of technical patterns and fundamental factors, long-term dips remain the primary strategy unless a clear reversal signal emerges. At the beginning of next week, the focus will be on whether prices can continue their upward momentum, but at the same time, we must be wary of the risk of a pullback if we fail to break through the upward resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups for Thu, Oct 9Market Drivers (ET) • 08:30 — Fed Chair Powell: pre-recorded welcoming remarks at the Community Bank Conference. risk flag • 08:30 — Initial Jobless Claims: suspended while the federal government remains shut down; will publish only if funding is restored before release time. • 08:35 — Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman: opening remarks (same conference). • 09:45 — Treasury Sec. Bessent remarks & fireside chat (conference item; headline risk is modest). • 10:30 — EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage (standard Thursday slot). • 11:30 — Treasury 4- & 8-week bill auctions (regular Thursday bills). • 13:00 — Treasury 30-Year Bond (reopening) auction. • All day: Other conference sessions (payments, community-bank panels; closing remarks late afternoon) may generate minor tape headlines. A++ Setups (NY kill-zones: 09:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00) 1) Breakout Continuation LONG (Tier-1 A++) — 6,809 unlocks Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,809, then 5m holds a retest 6,803–6,806 and re-closes up. Entry: 1m higher-low on the retest hold. Invalidation: Hard SL just below the 15m trigger-wick (±0.25–0.50 pts). Targets: TP1 6,828–6,832, TP2 6,844–6,848, stretch 6,895± if trend day forms. 2) Rejection SHORT (Tier-1 A++) — Fail at 6,803–6,809 Trigger: Sweep/fail above 6,803–6,809 → 15m closes back inside ≤6,803; 5m forms a lower-high and re-closes down. Entry: 1m LH after the 5m re-close. Invalidation: Hard SL a tick beyond the rejection wick. Targets: TP1 6,789, TP2 6,766–6,759, stretch 6,738–6,733. Market Update and Trading Insight Overnight Analysis: As we enter the London session, we should expect a balanced trading range between 6,789 and 6,806. If we can hold above 6,797 as we transition into the European market, this may set the stage for a pre-New York move targeting the 6,803 to 6,809 area. Any shallow pullbacks that maintain the 6,797 to 6,799 support level will likely keep the bullish trend intact. 08:30 ET (Powell Speech - Pre-recorded): The potential for significant market movements at this timing appears modest. Since there is no jobless claims data this week, we anticipate that the typical volatility around 08:30 will be lighter than usual. Should Powell's comments come across as neutral, expect trading activity to focus more on market levels and flows rather than on hard data.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
Gold is strong. There is no way to guess the high point.Gold's strong upward trend continues. As prices climb, fluctuations are increasing, but the overall trend is very clear. Upside potential has opened up, and the magnitude is even greater than expected, with a very sharp upward trend. On Wednesday, gold prices held steady at the 4,000 mark. Previous predictions suggested that a break above 4,000 would open up further upside potential. The current trend is in line with expectations, and the peak is nowhere in sight. There will most likely be a small adjustment after the rise, but you just need to follow the market trend and continue to adhere to the principle of following the trend. On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently range-bound and correcting at a high level, but the K-line remains relatively strong above the short-term moving average. This kind of trend has appeared many times recently, and the strength of the sideways fluctuation and pullback after the rise is not strong. It is highly likely that gold will continue to rise in the 4-hour trend. The only caveat is that the Federal Reserve meeting minutes may bring some uncertainty to the market. Trading strategy: Buy near 4035, stop loss at 4025, profit range: 4060-4080.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
Gold Feast. Ending Time?Gold Feast. Ending Time? During Wednesday's Asian session, gold reached Quaid's predicted level, breaking through the 4,000 mark and continuing its strong upward trend. Gold has now reached a critical juncture. Not only is time, but also space and current news factors could lead to a reversal. According to US Congressional news, US Senate Majority Leader and Republican Senator John Thune stated that the Senate will vote again on two short-term appropriations bills on the 8th. He revealed that some members of both parties met for dinner that evening to discuss the government shutdown progress, but did not provide further details. This will be the Senate's sixth attempt to pass a temporary spending bill to end the federal government shutdown; Judging from the current chart, after each period of high point, there will be a retracement correction. The amplitude of the callback determines where the exact high point will appear. Based on Tuesday's trend, there are several retracement lows: 3940, 3960, and 3970. Quaid believes that if gold experiences a correction, it will only retrace to these levels. Based on the maximum retracement level of 3970, the high point is approximately around 4040, which is also the current estimated maximum level. If the price retraces to around 3940, the high point will be around 4020.The location of the high point requires a short period of observation to verify. The location of the high point requires a short period of observation to verify. Everyone should pay close attention to the appearance of the high point. After a small short position at the high point, wait for the price to fall back and continue to go long.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Upward trend. Bullish momentum persists.Gold opened higher in Asia on Monday, continuously hitting new highs, reaching a high near 3970 in the US session, a previously unimaginable high. The Asian session continued its strong performance on Tuesday, reaching near 3977. It is currently experiencing a small pullback, with gains reaching 86 points. Given the current momentum, it's only a matter of time before it reaches 4000. Currently, the bullish structure of gold remains intact, with prices approaching the 4000 mark. The RSI indicator on the daily chart has crossed above 80, indicating overbought conditions. Bullish momentum continues, with prices slowly rising along the high of the 5-day moving average. Prices on both the 4-hour and daily charts are trading within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages trending upward. After a short-term correction on the 1-hour moving average, gold has stabilized and continued to rise. The upward trend of the moving averages indicates continued upward momentum, and any current price corrections are opportunities to enter the market and go long. Although the current price has exceeded imagination, the trend continues to move upward. It is important to note that stop loss must be strictly enforced. Trading strategy: Go long on a price pullback to around 3945, with a stop loss at 3935. Profit range: 3970-3980.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Abundant energy. Breaking through 4000?Gold continues its strong bullish trend, and the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Having already broken through the 3900 mark, the upside target could reach 4000. Based on the cyclical rhythm, we expect continued unilateral gains in the early part of this week (Monday and Tuesday); be wary of a shift to a volatile upward trend or a reversal in the midweek (Wednesday and Thursday); Friday is likely to see a corrective rally, but if a reversal occurs midweek, there is a risk of a sharp correction on Friday. Technically, gold maintains a healthy upward trend along its short-term moving average on the 4-hour chart. The bottoming out during the US trading session has completed the technical pattern repair, accumulating momentum for further gains. Although the current price is fluctuating at a high level, a new high is inevitable, as similar patterns have repeatedly demonstrated strong breakouts recently. Even if it maintains a high and narrow consolidation in the short term, there is a high probability that it will see a direct rise. From the 1-hour level, the gold price is temporarily consolidating at a high level, but the small-cycle technical indicators have shown a certain degree of top divergence. This indicates that the short-term trend may continue to fluctuate at a high level and be strong, and we need to pay attention to the opportunity for bullish intervention after the correction. Watch for opportunities to enter the bull market after a pullback. The overall technical structure remains solid and supports a bullish outlook. Trading Recommendation: Continue to buy on a pullback to 3945, with a stop-loss at 3935. Profit range: 3970-3980-3990.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Gold is strong. Analysis for next week.Gold rose slightly to around $3,886 in US trading on Friday, attempting to recover some lost ground. This followed a sharp correction on Thursday, with gold prices plummeting after reaching a record high of $3,896.60. The price fluctuated nearly 2% daily, ultimately closing slightly lower. From the current technical perspective, gold's overall bullish trend remains intact. The trading strategy remains focused on buying on dips, avoiding chasing rallies. On the daily chart, gold prices are trading firmly above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, maintaining a strong technical outlook. The 4-hour chart shows a narrowing of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting that gold prices may enter a period of high-level fluctuations rather than a one-way rally on Friday. Key resistance above is around $3,900, while initial support below is $3,850. For next week's trading, we need to adapt to the rhythm of gains in the Asian and European sessions, followed by pullbacks and subsequent gains in the US session. Until a fundamental trend reversal occurs, every technical pullback is considered an opportunity to position for long positions. In the short term, we should focus on a breakout above the 3900 high. A successful breakout would open up new upside potential; conversely, a prolonged failure could lead to continued volatility. Overall, the key strategy remains bullish, but caution should be exercised against the risk of a market whipsaw amidst high volatility. Patiently waiting for a low entry point after a pullback is a more prudent approach.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Gold rises. Latest analysis.Key Points: With the federal government shutdown, Trump's consideration of firing federal employees has dampened risk appetite. The White House said the layoffs will begin soon, and Trump plans to meet with White House budget director Russell Vought to discuss the cuts. The government shutdown has halted the release of US economic data, and Fed officials' speeches have become a substitute for data, with every statement being over-interpreted by the market. The non-farm payroll data failed to be released as scheduled, marking the first time since 2013 that a government shutdown has delayed the release of key data, further increasing market uncertainty about the economic situation and Fed policy. Market Analysis: Although gold prices retreated during the European session, the factors supporting the long-term uptrend remain intact. From the 4-hour chart, the current important support level is at the 38603865 area where the MA5, 10 and 20 moving averages intersect. Although the RSI14 period indicator fell slightly, it still remained above the midline. Judging by the indicator data, any dip in price is likely to be bought quickly. Due to the data blank period on Friday, the price is likely to remain volatile at a high level today. Quaid recommends that you wait and see for a short period of time. Consider a small long position if the price pulls back to around 3860.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Non-farm payrolls delayed? Here's the analysis.Due to the government shutdown, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is not expected to release the non-farm payrolls report on Friday. However, several recent private sector indicators suggest weak hiring, limited layoffs, modest wage growth, and easing labor demand in September. This data generally aligns with the low hiring and low layoff trends observed before the government data release was suspended. Even without the non-farm payrolls report, the market can still get a general sense of the labor market situation, allowing the Fed to confidently proceed with a rate cut later this month. At the same time, combined with the MACD indicator, the downward cross formed far above the zero axis indicates that the upward momentum has weakened and the price is in a correction phase. In the short term, watch for signs of slowing in the decline; if the correction breaks below 3793, the trend could quickly shift to a downtrend. Looking at the 1-hour level, with the sharp drop on Thursday, the overall trend is moving down from high to low and creating a new low, indicating that the 1-hour level trend has begun to fall. Short-term support is at the 3860-3865 area, which has been a significant resistance level for gold. If the price cannot break through 3865 strongly, it will still usher in a trend of correction. At the same time, we should pay close attention to whether the non-farm data can be released as scheduled. Before the non-farm payroll data release, if the price corrects to around 3830, consider a small long position, waiting for the data release.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1