Gold Is Preparing for a Reversal — Only Smart Money Will 📌 1. Market Structure
Gold is currently forming a bullish market structure on higher timeframes, with clear sequences of:
- HH (Higher Highs)
- HL (Higher Lows)
The recent drop created a series of LL & LH patterns, but this occurs inside a falling wedge, which typically appears as a bullish correction phase before a strong continuation upward.
The wedge + liquidity sweep + key HL zone indicates a potential trend continuation.
📌 2. Key Zones
Major Support Zone: 4163 – 4170
This is the large liquidity zone where price previously formed HL + BOS.
Price is now dipping back into this zone — ideal for liquidity collection.
Upper Resistance Target: 4230 – 4265
This is where previous HH formed and where price may extend after breaking the wedge.
📌 3. Price Action
- Price broke structure (ChoCh) during the drop, but this move is corrective, not reversal.
- The wedge is compressing with lower volatility and higher rejection wicks.
- Sellers are losing strength; buyers are absorbing entries near the HL liquidity zone.
- Current projection shows a possible V-shaped reversal or a slower corrective retest bounce, both converging to bullish continuation.
This matches your yellow & green projection lines.
📌 4. Technical Confirmation
-Falling Wedge: A classic bullish reversal pattern.
-Liquidity Sweep: Price wicked below the previous LL, grabbing liquidity for buyers.
-BOS signals: Multiple Break-of-Structure points confirm prior bullish intent.
-Rejection at Support: Strong wick rejections inside the wedge base show institutional buying.
-Fib Confluence (if applied): 0.618–0.705 zone aligns perfectly with the current rebound.
All technicals suggest a bullish reversal is highly probable.
📌 5. Trading Plan
🎯 BUY Setup
Entry Zone: 4165 – 4175 (at wedge bottom / liquidity zone)
Stop-Loss: 4148 (below liquidity sweep & wedge invalidation)
Take Profit 1: 4210 (first structure break)
Take Profit 2: 4235
Final Target: 4260 – 4265 (previous HH)
Why this setup works:
You’re entering at the end of a liquidity sweep, inside a falling wedge, at a major HL zone, with BOS support behind you.
This is exactly where institutions enter not retail traders.
Analyse
ETH Is Reloading — The Next Expansion Will Shock the Market.ETHEREUM 4H MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Current Price Structure
- ETH previously completed a strong impulsive wave up, breaking through multiple resistance levels until it reached the major resistance zone at 4,800–5,000.
- From that zone, price entered a clear distribution phase, followed by a large corrective decline, shown by the descending dotted trendline on your chart.
- Recently, ETH formed a large accumulation range (marked in green), similar to the accumulation phases earlier in the chart where massive trends began.
- Price is currently respecting the bottom of this range, showing signs of building higher lows inside the zone.
2. Liquidity Zones
- Major resistance zone: 4,800–5,000 (the next big target once the accumulation completes).
- Accumulation zone: 2,750–3,150 (where the current building structure is taking place).
- This zone is identical in behavior to the previous accumulation block that preceded the massive ETH rally in mid-year.
- Liquidity has been swept multiple times inside this green zone, indicating smart money absorption.
3. Today’s Market Scenario
This matches the green projection you drew:
🔹 Main Scenario – Bullish Breakout After Accumulation
ETH is likely to:
- Continue ranging inside the accumulation block → building a complex structure of higher lows and equal highs.
- Break the descending trendline with a bullish structure shift.
- Retest the breakout zone creating the final HL inside the range.
- Expand upward, targeting the mid-resistance area around 3,600 – 3,800.
- Continue the larger expansion toward the large resistance zone at 4,800 – 5,000.
This scenario aligns perfectly with your chart’s projected movement.
4. Market Psychology
- Big players are clearly absorbing positions in this wide range.
- Retail traders are getting shaken out by constant spikes up and down.
- This sideways accumulation is typical before a major bullish run.
- Same behavior occurred in earlier zones of your chart → accumulation → breakout → expansion.
- Market is preparing energy for a strong uptrend once liquidity collection is complete.
5. Intraday Strategy Guidance
- No aggressive selling inside the accumulation range — smart money is buying here.
- Look for false breakdowns, wick sweeps, liquidity grabs at the bottom of the green zone.
Best setups:
+ Buy the bottom of the range
+ Buy retest after trendline breakout
+ Targets: 3,600 → 4,000 → 4,500+
This zone is where big investors position themselves before the trend reversal.
Gold Just Flipped Structure.....The market just transitioned from a bearish sequence into early bullish structure. Most traders will miss this shift but if you understand BOS, ChoCH, and liquidity behaviour, this is where smart money prepares for the next leg up.
1. Market Structure Overview
Your chart shows a full bearish sequence (LH–LL) that has recently transitioned:
-Multiple Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) → clear bearish structure.
-A Change of Character (ChoCH) occurs at the key zone → first signal of reversal.
-A clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside confirms buyers stepping in.
-Price then creates a Higher Low (HL) followed by Higher Highs (HH) → early bullish trend established.
This is a textbook reversal from bearish → bullish.
2. Key Zones Identified
Support Zone (Demand)
Located around 4195 – 4174
→ This is where the ChoCH and HL formed, confirming buyer strength.
Resistance Zone (Supply)
Located around 4219 – 4229
→ Price is currently approaching this zone. If it breaks, bullish continuation is expected.
3. Price Behaviour & Expectation
Your yellow projection is correct:
- Price may pull back into the minor support (near current level).
- After that, a bullish leg toward 4219 zone is expected.
- If BOS occurs above 4229, price has room to expand toward new highs around 4238–4244.
This aligns perfectly with the HH → HL structure forming now.
4. Trading Logic
Why bullish?
- Clear BOS on bullish side
- Higher Low forming above support
- Liquidity taken from previous LL
- Price respecting the new bullish structure
Invalidation
If price breaks below 4174, bullish structure is invalidated.
5. Trade Signal
This follows your trading style — structure-based, clean, and logical.
📌 BUY ENTRY: 4203 – 4207
(Retesting minor support + inside new bullish structure)
📌 STOP LOSS: 4178
(Below HL and below ChoCH zone — strong invalidation)
📌 TAKE PROFIT 1: 4219
(Retest of resistance zone)
📌 TAKE PROFIT 2 (Main Target): 4229 – 4233
📌 TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended Target): 4242 – 4244
Risk–Reward:
1 : 2.5 up to 1 : 4 depending on TP
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/12/2025, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)🧭 Market Overview
Gold enters the new session trading around 4,208, consolidating after rejecting the 4,221 PDH zone, but maintaining a short-term bullish recovery from the 4,189 sweep.
The rebound pushed price above the intraday EMAs, indicating buyer strength, yet price is now compressing under descending trendline resistance, suggesting a potential breakout setup.
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, but intraday flow is currently mixed until 4,221 breaks or 4,200 fails.
⸻
📉 Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
• Structure is bullish with consecutive higher lows since the November pullback.
• Price remains above the 50EMA and inside the ascending channel.
• Momentum indicators remain positive — no bearish reversal signal unless price breaks below 4,170.
• Key daily resistance remains 4,259–4,260, the institutional liquidity zone.
1H (H1)
• Price rejected 4,221 and is pulling into a corrective mid-range between 4,200–4,217.
• The 4,189 sweep created a strong demand base; buyers responded aggressively.
• EMAs are attempting a bullish curl; maintaining above 4,200 keeps buyers in control.
• A break and close above 4,217–4,221 unlocks continuation toward 4,230–4,242.
15M–5M (Intraday)
• Clean HL structure from the sweep → BOS → continuation.
• Price is stalling directly under trendline + PDH resistance → typical compression before breakout.
• Momentum indicators (MACD/RSI) show cooling but not reversal; micro-bias remains bullish above 4,200.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Analysis
Bullish Swing (4,189 → 4,221)
• 38.2% = 4,210
• 50% = 4,205
• 61.8% = 4,200
🎯 Golden Buy Zone → 4,210 – 4,200
Bearish Countertrend Swing (4,221 → 4,189)
• 38.2% = 4,203
• 50% = 4,205
• 61.8% = 4,207–4,208
🎯 Golden Sell Zone → 4,205 – 4,208
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
⸻
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
Buy Zone: 4,210 – 4,200 (FIB + EMA confluence + BOS origin)
Targets:
→ 4,217
→ 4,221
→ 4,230
→ 4,242
Stop Loss: Below 4,189
Confirmation:
• Liquidity sweep of 4,200
• 5M BOS or bullish engulfing
• RSI > 50 on 15M
Comment:
As long as price holds above 4,200, bulls remain in control and a retest of PDH (4,221) is expected.
⸻
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend Only)
Sell Zone: 4,205 – 4,208 (61.8% counter-swing + trendline + PDH underside)
Targets:
→ 4,195
→ 4,189
→ 4,176
Stop Loss: Above 4,212
Confirmation: CHoCH on 5M + bearish momentum shift.
Comment:
Only valid if the compression breaks downward — trend remains bullish HTF, so treat this as a liquidity play.
⸻
💥 Breakout Setups
Bullish Breakout
Trigger: Break & hold above 4,221
Retest: 4,217–4,218
Targets:
→ 4,230
→ 4,242
→ 4,259
SL: Below 4,212
Bearish Breakout
Trigger: Break below 4,189
Retest: 4,191–4,193 rejection
Targets:
→ 4,176
→ 4,170
→ 4,162
SL: Above 4,200
⸻
🧠 Fundamental Watch
• Asia session low volatility, mainly technical movement.
• Market preparing for tomorrow’s macro catalysts — expect fakeouts near PDH and 4,200.
• Dollar index stabilizing — no major shift yet.
• Liquidity clusters at 4,221 and 4,189 will drive direction.
⸻
📌 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,217 / 4,221 / 4,230 / 4,242
Support: 4,204 / 4,200 / 4,191 / 4,176
Golden Buy Zone: 4,210 – 4,200
Golden Sell Zone: 4,205 – 4,208
Break-Buy Trigger: > 4,221
Break-Sell Trigger: < 4,189
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold is building bullish structure after a strong demand sweep at 4,189, but now compressing under resistance.
The next major move will come from a break of either 4,221 (bullish expansion) or 4,200 (bearish correction).
Bias remains bullish HTF, with intraday pullbacks providing the best entries.
⸻
📈 Final Bias Summary
Bias: 🔼 Bullish above 4,200
Invalidation: 🔽 Below 4,189
Next Expansion Zone: 4,221 → 4,230 → 4,242
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 09/12/2025 🥇
⚡ Precision Trading. Premium Results.
📉 SELL +60 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
📈 BUY +70 PIPS
📈 BUY +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
📈 BUY +60 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
▶️ SESSION RESULTS
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
📉 SELL +110 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +380 PIPS
🎯 9 Signals → 8 Wins
🔥 Accuracy: 89%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ A disciplined day with clean bullish and bearish opportunities delivered across both sessions.
Momentum remains strong — swings continue stacking massive gains.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Resistance at 4210. A point to short.On Monday, gold's rebound was clearly a bull trap. The seemingly upward movement in the early Asian session actually revealed the weakness of the rebound. Last weekend, Quaid's analysis pointed out that the high of $4220-$4225 was a key resistance level, and shorting near this level could be considered. This was also confirmed in Monday's market.
Similarly, during the US session, Quaid analyzed the market's long-term dynamics from multiple perspectives, including logic, fundamentals, the Fed's rate cuts, and central bank rate hikes, and also analyzed the pros and cons behind the current market frenzy. During the US session, gold prices fell sharply from $4220 to $4176 after hitting resistance, a drop of nearly $50.
From a technical chart perspective, gold prices rose and fell several times last week due to data releases. There was significant selling pressure in the $4250-$4260 range. The decline is still ongoing, but it is not a one-sided downward trend. Instead, it is a volatile correction, meaning that it falls and then rebounds, using time to create space for fluctuations.
Gold prices rebounded to $4200-$4210 on Tuesday, essentially reaching a high. A small short position can be considered at this level, with a downside target of $4170-$4165. I will update more transaction information in the channel.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (09/12/2025, ASIA SESSION)
🧭 Market Overview
Gold opens the Asia session trading around $4,188–$4,191, stabilizing after New York extended the downmove into the higher-timeframe demand zone. Price swept the $4,176 liquidity low, triggering a technical rebound, but remains capped below $4,195–$4,205, where intraday sellers defend.
The macro structure (D1) remains bullish, but intraday trend (H1 → 15M) is still bearish-to-neutral.
Asia is expected to create a base or retracement before London dictates direction.
⸻
📉 Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
• Price continues to respect the higher-timeframe bullish structure while correcting from the recent swing high.
• Reaction from the $4,176 region confirms active demand.
• 50EMA supports the long-term uptrend.
• Daily downside invalidation remains far at $4,150.
• A daily close above $4,205 would resume bullish flow; failure opens continuation chop.
⸻
1H (H1)
• Price sits between $4,176 (demand) and $4,205 (intraday resistance).
• Trend is still corrective; EMAs remain mixed.
• A clean H1 close above $4,205 shifts the intraday trend bullish.
• Liquidity above: $4,195 → $4,199 → $4,205
• Liquidity below: $4,182 → $4,176
• Current equilibrium range: $4,182–$4,198
⸻
15M–5M (Intraday)
• Market shows early accumulation signs after sweeping $4,176.
• Multiple CHoCH attempts but not yet a sustained BOS.
• EMAs still bearish but flattening — indicating weakening downside momentum.
• RSI hovering neutral; MACD showing early bullish curvature.
Asia likely remains inside $4,187–$4,199 until volatility increases.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Analysis
Last Intraday Swing: $4,176 → $4,195
• 38.2% = $4,187
• 50.0% = $4,189
• 61.8% = $4,191
🎯 BUY Golden Zone → $4,187 – $4,191
(Strongest Asia liquidity-reaction zone)
⸻
Retracement Swing: $4,205 → $4,188
• 38.2% = $4,195
• 50.0% = $4,197
• 61.8% = $4,199
🟥 SELL Golden Zone → $4,195 – $4,199
(Key countertrend sell zone unless $4,205 breaks)
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias for Asia)
Buy Zone: $4,187 – $4,191
Targets: → $4,195 → $4,198 → $4,205
Stop Loss: Below $4,176
Confirmation:
• 5M BOS
• Bullish engulfing from zone
• EMA 20 reclaim
Comment:
Asia is sitting directly inside the bullish Golden Zone. Strong probability of stabilisation + rebound unless $4,176 breaks.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & hold above $4,205
Retest: $4,198–$4,205
Targets: → $4,212 → $4,219 → $4,230
SL: Below $4,195
Comment:
Break above $4,205 flips intraday structure bullish.
⸻
📉 SELL Scenario (Countertrend Play)
Sell Zone: $4,195 – $4,199
Targets: → $4,188 → $4,182 → $4,176
Stop Loss: Above $4,205
Confirmation:
• Rejection wick at zone
• No BOS above 4,199
Comment:
Only valid if Asia retraces into premium pricing before continuation.
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Setup (Continuation of NY Move)
Trigger: Break below $4,176
Retest: $4,180–$4,182 failing
Targets: → $4,170 → $4,163 → $4,150
SL: Above $4,188
Comment:
Break of 4,176 exposes deeper inefficiency.
⸻
🧠 Fundamental Watch
• Asia usually consolidates → expect accumulation or shallow retracement.
• No major data during Asia; volatility will remain controlled.
• London + US data will create the real directional push.
• Watch for engineered liquidity sweeps around:
→ $4,187 (downside)
→ $4,195–$4,199 (upside)
⸻
📌 Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
• 4,195
• 4,199
• 4,205
• 4,212
Support:
• 4,187
• 4,182
• 4,176
• 4,170
Golden Zone:
BUY: 4,187–4,191
SELL: 4,195–4,199
Break Buy Trigger: > 4,205
Break Sell Trigger: < 4,176
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold enters Asia inside the HTF demand + intraday BUY Golden Zone, signalling high probability for stabilisation and a move toward $4,195–$4,205.
However, structure is not yet bullish, and the trend only flips once $4,205 is reclaimed.
• Above 4,205 → bullish continuation
• Below 4,176 → deeper correction resumes
Asia is a preparation session — expect the real expansion in London.
⸻
📈 Final Bias Summary
Bias: 🔼 Bullish-to-neutral above 4,187
Invalidation: 🔽 Below 4,176
Volatility Trigger: London session
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 08/12/2025 🥇
⚡ Smart Entries. Consistent Wins.
📉 SELL +110 PIPS
📈 BUY +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +30 PIPS
📉 SELL +60 PIPS
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
📈 BUY +120 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +160 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
📊 Intraday direction aligned cleanly with higher-timeframe strength — every setup played out with precision.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +560 PIPS
🎯 8 Signals → 8 Wins
🔥 100% Accuracy
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Flawless execution today — controlled entries, clean market structure, and another strong performance.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
BTC Reversal Loaded — The Uptrend Has Officially Started1) Market Structure
- After a strong sell-off, BTC formed a new low and immediately bounced from a confluence zone of trendline + support (circled area).
- The previous move was a descending structure, but the sharp rebound signals the formation of a first Higher Low → a clear early sign of trend reversal.
- Price has slightly broken the descending trendline and is now retesting it, building the foundation for a bearish → bullish structure shift.
2) Key Levels
Support Zone:
Strong support around 86,300, where the price rejected and reversed.
Resistance Zone:
Major resistance between 93,600 – 94,400, previously a strong rejection area.
Uptrend Line:
- A new uptrend line is forming.
- Every pullback toward this trendline → a potential long opportunity.
3) Scenarios
✅ Main Scenario (Bullish – High Probability)
As long as BTC holds the circled support area and continues forming Higher Highs & Higher Lows, the uptrend remains intact.
Strategy: wait for pullbacks to the trendline to enter long positions.
Targets:
TP1: retest 93,600
TP2: break higher into 94,400
❌ Invalidation Scenario (Bearish)
- If price breaks below the uptrend line and falls back toward 86,300, the bullish structure fails.
- That would signal a deeper correction or a full bearish continuation.
4) Summary
BTC has bounced off a critical support zone with clear signs of a trend reversal. The bullish structure is forming, and pullbacks to the uptrend line will be the key opportunities.
The market rewards discipline — wait for your setup, then execute with confidence
XAU/USD (Gold) H4 AnalysisXAU/USD (Gold) H4 Analysis: Anticipating a Market Structure Shift (CHoCH) using Proprietary Trend Break Target Indicator
Hello traders,
We are conducting a detailed technical analysis on XAU/USD (Spot Gold) using the 4-Hour (H4) timeframe. Our focus is on identifying a high-probability reversal point using a custom-developed tool: the Trend Break Target (TBT) Indicator. This indicator is designed to detect early market structure shifts and project potential continuation targets.
Current Market Context and Bias
Gold has shown volatility, but the immediate structural integrity is being tested. Our analysis suggests that the current move is consolidating or approaching a critical inflection point. The resolution of this consolidation, specifically relative to our defined structural levels, will dictate the next significant directional move.
The Critical Confirmation Trigger
The entire bearish hypothesis hinges on one non-negotiable condition, which defines the Change of Character (CHoCH) in the H4 structure:
The Structure Break: We are closely monitoring the Red Dashed Line generated by our TBT indicator. This line represents a crucial swing low or internal support level whose violation signals a definitive shift in market control from buyers to sellers.
Confirmation Requirement: A sustained break and a clear candle close below this Red Dashed Line is required. A mere wick breach is insufficient. This close will officially mark the Change of Character (CHoCH), confirming that the short-term market bias has switched to Bearish.
Actionable Signal: Only upon this confirmed breakdown should traders consider entering a short position, using the close below the line as the entry trigger or confirmation point.
Projected Downside Targets (TBT Projections)
Should the CHoCH be confirmed, our proprietary indicator projects two key targets for the continuation of the bearish momentum:
🎯 Target 1 (Initial Objective): $4125
This level acts as the first high-probability objective, typically aligning with a measured move calculation or a previous area of interest (POI). It represents the immediate profit-taking zone for the initial bearish thrust.
🎯 Target 2 (Continuation Objective): $4067
If bearish momentum persists and the 4125 level is broken, the market is likely to extend its move toward 4067. This target represents a deeper structural test and a potential area for a significant price bounce or further capitulation.
Risk Management Consideration
For any trade initiated based on this breakdown, an appropriate stop-loss placement should be considered above the swing high that precedes the breakdown, or judiciously placed above the Red Dashed Line to invalidate the bearish structure quickly if price reclaims the level.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary trading model and is for informational and educational purposes only. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always apply sound risk management and conduct your own due diligence.
XAUUSD update 1h Chart The price is in a short-term ascending channel, marked by your blue parallel lines. The candles show consistent higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels Highlighted on Chart
Upper resistance zone: ~ 4265–4280
(Thick purple zone at the top; price is approaching this area)
Lower support zone: ~ 4160–4180
(Thick purple zone at the bottom)
These zones indicate past strong reactions (buying and selling pressure).
3. Price Reaction Expectation
The blue drawing shows two potential scenarios:
Scenario A – Bullish breakout
If price breaks above the channel + resistance zone, then:
This signals continuation of the uptrend.
Next upside target would likely be 4300+.
Scenario B – Bearish reversal (most likely according to your structure)
Your blue arrows suggest:
The price may touch the upper resistance, then reject.
A decline toward the 4204 area first (minor support).
Further drop into 4160–4180 (major support zone).
This aligns with:
The rising wedge–like structure (which often breaks down)
Exhaustion at a high-timeframe resistance.
4. Indicators on Chart
Red arrow signal at prior top → selling pressure.
Green arrow signal near bottom → buying pressure.
These confirm that the purple zones are strong supply/demand.
5. What the Structure Suggests
The pattern looks like a bearish rising wedge, which typically breaks downward. If price stalls or prints long wicks near the 4260–4280 zone, a correction is likely.
---
📉 Summary
Most probable path:
✔ Price tests upper resistance → rejects → drops toward 4200 and then 4170 support.
Alternative:
✔ Strong breakout above 4280 → bullish continuation.
GOLD SHOOK THE MARKET – STRUCTURE STILL UNBREAKABLE!📌 CURRENT MARKET UPDATE (GOLD – 4H)
The market continues to respect the wave structure exactly as projected:
- Wave (1) – (2) has already completed
- Wave (3) tapped into the Liquidity zone 4250–4260, creating a clean corrective reaction
- Price is currently in a technical retest phase, perfectly normal within a strong macro uptrend
🎯 Key Level to Watch
The Swing Zone 4147–4150 remains solid — this is the core foundation of the entire bullish structure.
- Only if this zone breaks will the trend lose strength
- EMA34 & EMA89 continue trending upward, acting as strong dynamic support
✅ Main Scenario (High Probability)
Price makes a mild correction before pushing up to complete Wave (5) of (3).
Expected pullback zones:
🔹 4210 – 4180
🔹 Reaction confirmation → bullish continuation toward:
- 4310 – 4325 (Resistance)
- 4365 – 4370 (Liquidity – Completion of Wave (C))
Current liquidity flow still favors buy setups at support retest.
⚠️ Sub-Scenario (Low Probability)
If a 4H candle closes below 4147 → deeper correction toward EMA200 (4060–4080).
↳ Currently, there is NO sign of this scenario.
✅ TODAY’S TREND SUMMARY
Trend: Corrective – Accumulation
Optimal Buy Zones: 4210 → 4180 → 4150
Targets:
- 4310 – 4325
- 4365 – 4370
Trend invalidation: Break 4147
Prices are pulling back; look for buying opportunities.The current market trend is largely in line with expectations, and market sentiment remains bullish, mainly due to market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The need for technical adjustments in the short term remains, while fundamental factors may continue to fuel bullish sentiment. Therefore, the overall bullish trend remains unchanged for the time being, just not very strong.
The 4-hour chart shows the Bollinger Bands narrowing, and the moving average system is relatively flat. Influenced by the ADP data, the price rose slightly to around 4241, above the middle Bollinger Band, before pulling back. The 5, 10, and 20-day moving averages are currently converging near the middle Bollinger Band, offering little short-term reference value. Meanwhile, the 30-day moving average at 4200 remains a crucial support level.
The overall trading range is currently between 4250 and 4190. Although there have been significant downward pullbacks, they have been short-lived, indicating a lack of strong continuation of the bearish trend.
For trading, continue to focus on the resistance level of 4250-4260 in the short term. Failure to break through this level could present opportunities to short in this area. On the downside, pay attention to the support level at 4200. Without news to support the continuation of the downtrend, short-term long positions can be taken within the 4250-4200 range.
I will adjust my strategies flexibly based on market fluctuations and update the channel accordingly.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (02/12/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold begins the Asia session trading around $4,205–$4,207, following a controlled pullback from the $4,264.58 1H swing high. Yesterday’s decline created a clean corrective structure, now sitting below the 1H Fibonacci Golden Zone.
The market currently shows:
• Bearish corrective momentum
• Lower-timeframe exhaustion
• Untested liquidity below at 4190 → 4181
Asia session is positioned to determine whether price forms a continuation leg down toward deeper liquidity, or if a reclaim of the Golden Zone signals a bullish reaccumulation phase.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Macro bullish trend intact above 4,150.
• Price rejected the 4,262 zone with a long upper wick — a textbook sign of exhaustion.
• RSI ~53 and flattening → market still balanced but favors retracement toward 4,150 if structure weakens.
• A daily close back above 4,230 would shift momentum toward another retest of 4,264 → 4,315.
⸻
🔹 1H Chart
• Corrective bearish structure from 4264.58 is clean and orderly.
• Price sits below the 50EMA, 100EMA, and under bearish CHoCH.
• Fresh supply formed at 4213 → 4223, aligning exactly with the 1H fib 50–61.8% zone.
• Demand zones: 4200 → 4190 → 4181.23.
• Reclaiming 4226 would be the first sign of bullish recovery.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Micro-trend bearish with lower highs under 4213–4216.
• MACD still negative, no sign of bullish momentum shift yet.
• Liquidity layers below: 4195, 4188, 4181 remain untouched → magnets for Asia.
• Reversal requires BOS + strong rejection wick + MACD flip.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (1H Swing: 4181.23 → 4264.58)
• 38.2% = 4232.63
• 50.0% = 4222.90
• 61.8% = 4213.17
🎯 Golden Zone = 4232.63 – 4213.17
(Currently below → bearish pressure confirmed)
This fib selection is ideal for sessions where momentum is corrective but the larger trend is bullish — allowing for both continuation sells AND potential reaccumulation signals.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Scenario (Primary Bias)
Best option as long as price stays under the Golden Zone.
Sell Zone:
• 4213 – 4223 (61.8–50% fib retest)
• Secondary: 4230–4233 (38.2 fib + structure flip)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4238
⚡ Confirmation:
Bearish rejection wicks + BOS on 5M.
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close below 4200
Retest: 4203–4205 failing
🎯 Targets:
4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 SL: Above 4213
⸻
📈 BUY Scenario (Countertrend)
Valid only at liquidity sweep zones.
Buy Zone:
• 4188 – 4181 (major 1H liquidity + previous structure low)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4213 → 4223
🛑 SL: Below 4174
⚡ Must see:
Strong BOS + volume shift + RSI divergence.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Aggressive Trigger:
4226 (clears 5M swing high)
Safer Trigger:
4233 (reclaim of fib 38.2% + structure)
Retest: 4220–4223
🎯 Targets:
4245 → 4260 → 4264.58
🛑 SL: Below 4213
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia low liquidity but strong positioning ahead of London.
• No major news early, US events later may dictate trend continuation.
• DXY stable; gold reacting primarily to technical structure.
• Key watch today: 4200 support and 4226 resistance.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4213 / 4223 / 4233 / 4260
Support: 4200 / 4190 / 4181 / 4170
Golden Zone: 4232.63 – 4213.17
Break Buy Trigger: > 4226 (aggressive) or > 4233 (safe)
Break Sell Trigger: < 4200
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a controlled correction under the 1H Fib Golden Zone.
As long as price stays below 4213–4223, bearish continuation into 4200 → 4181 is the highest-probability scenario.
Only after reclaiming 4226–4233 does bullish momentum return meaningfully.
A sweep of 4181 could form the base for the next macro leg up.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → toward 4200 → 4181
📈 Alternative Bullish Bias: Only above 4226–4233
🎯 Key Decision Levels: 4200 & 4226
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 02/12/2025 🥇
📌 DAILY RESULTS
✅ BUY +40 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +470 PIPS
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY +100 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +70 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION ▶️
✅ SELL +120 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +120 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,090 PIPS
📊 12 Signals → 11 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: ~92%
Great start to December continues – structured entries, strong swings and solid intraday gains.
Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Support after price pullback. Watch for the rebound high.Gold has rebounded after hitting a low of around 4164. Currently, it's experiencing a slight rebound and is now consolidating within a large range. This consolidation, coupled with uncertainty surrounding upcoming news, has left both bulls and bears hesitant, awaiting further market developments.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, after encountering resistance at 4264, the price has been declining, but the downward momentum has been weak, with occasional rebounds from lower levels. Currently, the short-term moving averages have formed a death cross, coupled with the MACD data showing a death cross, indicating a downward pressure in the market, and the Bollinger Band's middle line has also been broken.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the price continued to decline in the Asian and European markets on Tuesday, reaching support around 4200, but without effective support. At this point, the key support level to watch in the US session is the 4150-4160 range.
In summary, Quaid recommends a short-selling strategy as the primary approach, with buying on dips as a secondary strategy. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4215-4220. Traders must follow the trend closely, manage their position size carefully, and strictly set stop-loss orders.
Trading Strategy:
Short in batches between 4210-4220, stop loss at 4230, profit target 4160-4170. If it breaks below 4160 again, watch for a move towards 4140.
Go long between 4150-4160, stop loss at 4140, profit target above 4200.
I will adjust my strategies flexibly based on market fluctuations and update the channel accordingly.
XAUUSD ANALYSISThis signal is generated using a disciplined, data-driven approach that evaluates price action, trend dynamics, and liquidity distribution. The trade setup highlights a moment where market conditions align to create a balanced opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward profile.
The analysis emphasizes precision and clarity, focusing on key decision zones where buyers or sellers are most likely to take control. This signal is crafted to help traders navigate the market with structure, consistency, and confidence.
📌 Signal Breakdown
Entry Level: Identified through market structure validation and momentum confirmation
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed at a strategic invalidation zone for controlled downside risk
Take-Profit (TP): Target levels modeled around liquidity pockets, trend projections, and volatility range
Technical Reasoning: A brief yet clear explanation outlining the logic behind the chosen direction
Market Scenarios: Expected price behavior under both bullish and bearish conditions
⚠️ Disclaimer
This signal is not financial advice and is intended solely for analytical and educational purposes. Always manage your risk appropriately and stay adaptable to changing market conditions.
BTCUSD – CHANNEL RESPECT & BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO 📌 BTCUSD – CHANNEL RESPECT & BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO (H1 Analysis)
1. Market Structure – Dow Theory Perspective
On the H1 timeframe:
- BTC has consistently printed Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) inside a well-defined ascending channel.
- The recent corrective move into the ENTRY ZONE aligns perfectly with the channel’s mid-support.
- Buyers have shown early signs of stepping back in, forming a localized HL and rejecting lower prices.
According to Dow Theory:
➡ An uptrend remains intact as long as price continues forming higher lows and doesn’t break key structure support.
➡ BTC is currently maintaining all bullish conditions.
This confirms that the pullback is structural, not a reversal.
2. Channel Confirmation & Price Reaction
The ascending channel remains active and respected:
✔ Price rejected the upper resistance of the channel
✔ A healthy retracement is ongoing
✔ The market is approaching the ENTRY ZONE with decreasing bearish momentum
The reaction behavior is typical of bullish continuation within a trend channel.
There is no sign of market breakdown as long as price stays above the SUPPORT ZONE.
3. Key Zones to Watch
🔹 Support Zone (Entry Zone)
Located at the mid-range of the channel — a high-probability area for buyers to return.
This zone has historically shown strong demand and fits perfectly into the channel geometry.
🔹 Resistance Zone
The upper boundary of the chart and liquidity zone.
This is where previous rejection occurred, and where TP2 & TP3 are aligned.
4. Bullish Scenario – Primary Outlook
BTC is expected to follow a standard:
pullback → bullish rejection → continuation upward structure.
🎯 TP1: Minor channel resistance (short-term reaction zone)
🎯 TP2: Previous strong resistance zone
🎯 TP3: Channel top & extended liquidity zone
As long as BTC holds above the SUPPORT / ENTRY ZONE, upward continuation remains the highest-probability scenario.
5. Alternative Scenario
If BTC breaks below the support zone:
- Price may retest the lower channel boundary
- Market would enter a deeper correction phase
- Trend remains bullish unless the lower channel is broken
This scenario is less likely but still important to consider.
6. Technical Summary
✔ BTC continues respecting the rising channel
✔ Price is forming clean HL patterns
✔ Pullback is controlled — not impulsive
✔ Liquidity targets remain untouched above
✔ Structure supports bullish continuation
Everything aligns with a high-probability bullish continuation setup.
🔥 Conclusion
BTC remains in a well-defined bullish channel, and current price action is moving exactly according to prior projections. As long as price stays above the SUPPORT / ENTRY ZONE, the market strongly favors an upward continuation toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3.
This is a clean, structure-based opportunity for channel traders, trend traders, and momentum traders alike.
Consolidate the upward trend. Buy on dips.Gold prices have fluctuated wildly, causing losses for many investors. The frustration and helplessness of investing can be summarized as bad luck. Not knowing when to take profits, hesitating for a short time resulted in losses, and there was no way to grasp the bullish or bearish trend of the market. It is hoped that Quaid's analysis and trading strategies can help those learning how to trade, how to control risk, and how to judge market trends.
Okay, back to market trading. Gold closed strongly this week, settling at $4219 on Friday and successfully holding above the key $4200 level. Early in the week, trading was relatively quiet due to the Thanksgiving holiday, with gold prices briefly dipping to $4142, but then rebounding quickly, accumulating a 3.8% gain for the week, forming a clear upward breakout.
Gold's strength was mainly supported by three factors. On the policy front, expectations of a Fed rate cut have strengthened, with CME data showing the probability of a December rate cut rising to 86.9%. A weaker dollar reduces the opportunity cost of gold. On the demand side, global central banks continue their aggressive gold purchases, with net purchases reaching a record 902 tons in the first three quarters. Goldman Sachs predicts that monthly purchases will average 80 tons in the future, providing long-term support. Geopolitical risks and ETF inflows have further stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, creating a synergistic effect of simultaneous increases in holdings by central banks and private capital.
Technically, the trend has strengthened. After breaking through $4200, gold prices face resistance at $4260 and $4285. Short-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment, with initial support at $4170 and strong support at $4150, limiting downside potential. The long-term uptrend line remains intact.
Trading Strategy:
Buy around $4190-$4195, targeting $4230-$4240. After a breakout, watch for $4160-$4180.
I will adjust strategies flexibly based on market fluctuations and update them on the channel.
Structure of the Double Top PatternStructure of the Double Top Pattern
The Double Top consists of three main components:
1. First Top
- Price rises strongly and forms the first peak.
- Then price pulls back → creating the middle low (neckline).
2. Second Top
- Price rallies again but fails to break above the first top.
- This indicates weakening bullish pressure.
3. Neckline Breakout
- When price breaks below the neckline, the pattern is confirmed.
- This is the safest SELL entry.
Meaning of the Double Top Pattern
- Buying pressure weakens after the second top is formed.
- Sellers begin to dominate.
- Once the neckline is broken → a new downtrend begins.
- It is considered a strong and reliable reversal pattern when it forms after a clear uptrend.
Conditions for a Valid & High-Quality Double Top
✔️ The prior trend must be strongly bullish
✔️ Both tops should be approximately equal in height
✔️ Volume is usually higher on the first top and lower on the second
✔️ A strong neckline break with high volume → solid confirmation
How to Trade the Double Top Pattern
1. SELL Entry
Enter when price breaks the neckline and retests it.
✔️ The safest entry: SELL on the neckline retest → higher probability.
2. Stop Loss Placement
- Place SL slightly above the second top (or the first top).
- SL should be placed outside the structure to avoid false breakouts.
3. Take Profit (TP)
- How to estimate the target:
- Measure the distance from the top to the neckline, then project it downward.
Tips to Avoid Getting Trapped by a Double Top
1. Do NOT SELL just because price forms the second top → not confirmed yet
2. Only SELL when the neckline is clearly broken
3. Check volume or candle strength to increase accuracy
4. Combine with RSI, FVG, Trendline, Liquidity concepts for higher probability
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️❤️❤️
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold continues to trade inside a narrowing compression zone, with price hovering around 4156–4158 after reclaiming structure and maintaining support above the prior liquidity sweep 4136–4142. The current positioning suggests indecision beneath macro resistance, with momentum leaning bullish as long as structure remains intact.
Next directional leg will be defined by whether price breaks 4172 or falls back below 4147.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔸 Daily (D1)
• Price holds a strong base above 4136, rejecting deeper breakdowns.
• Market remains compressed under trendline resistance drawn from swing high.
• Bulls remain controlled while above 4114, with upside continuation on a break above 4172.
• RSI mid-level — expansion potential exists.
🔸 H1
• Trend structure bullish above 4147 with BOS sequence intact.
• Price currently retesting the median zone under 4166–4172 Supply Block.
• A successful breakout here exposes continuation toward 4186–4200.
• Breakdown below 4147 shifts momentum into correction phase.
🔸 15M–5M
• Lower-timeframe push formed a BOS long leg into resistance.
• MACD shows buy momentum but weakening — suggesting pullback before continuation.
• Current intraday range: 4150–4172.
• A liquidity sweep into FVG + Golden Area offers best long entries.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Range: 4136 → 4172
Level Price
38.2% 4157
50.0% 4154
61.8% 4150
🟩 Golden Re-Entry Zone → 4157 – 4150
Ideal area for bullish continuation if respected.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SETUPS (Primary Bias)
Condition Entry TP Targets SL
Pullback to Golden Zone 4157–4150 4166 → 4172 → 4186 → 4200 4147
Break & Retest Break + Hold above 4172 4186 → 4200 → 4215 4154
⚡ Confirmation Required: BOS + momentum continuation on LTF.
⸻
📉 SELL SETUPS (Countertrend)
Condition Entry TP Targets SL
Reaction from Supply Block 4166–4172 4157 → 4154 → 4150 → 4142 4179
Breakdown Continuation Break + Retest below 4147 4142 → 4136 → 4128 4157
🔻 Valid only if momentum shifts down — no early shorts.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia accumulation suggests London & NY will define expansion leg.
• DXY flat which increases breakout probability later in the session.
• Expect volatility around structural borders — reaction zones more important than prediction.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Support
4166 / 4172 / 4186 / 4200 4157 / 4154 / 4150 / 4142
Break Buy Trigger: > 4172
Break Sell Trigger: < 4147
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold remains bullish while trading above 4150–4147, with continuation potential to 4172 → 4186 → 4200.
If sellers reject the high block again, price may retrace into 4154–4150 before reloading.
Structural failure below 4147 invalidates the long sentiment and opens downside targets.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Bullish Outlook holds above 4150–4147
Break → 4172 = Expansion.
Break ↓ 4147 = Correction.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/11/2025 🥇
⚡ Low-volatility session — still closed green.
📈 BUY +100 PIPS
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
❌ BUY LIMIT -40 PIPS (SL)
⚖️ SELL - BE
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
▶️ LIVE TRADING SESSION
📉 SELL +70 PIPS
📉 SELL +45 PIPS
📈 BUY +70 PIPS
❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL FLOATING
🔵 BUY → +2,850 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +1,600 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY
💰 Total Pips Gained: +265 PIPS
📈 Win Rate: 75% (6 Wins / 8 Signals)
⚠️ Low volume due to U.S. Bank Holiday, still profitable.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Even slow markets pay those who stay patient & trade with skill.
Congratulations if you profited! 🔥
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
XAUUSD — PRO ANALYSIS (27/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold is currently consolidating inside a tight intraday range 4154–4168, holding above the 200MA while failing multiple times to break the 4171–4173 supply zone. Current conditions show compression, suggesting liquidity buildup for Asia before London expansion. Macro bullish structure remains intact but short-term direction is indecisive until breakout occurs.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
D1
• Macro bullish trend structure remains active.
• RSI mid-zone → momentum neutral, market waiting for catalyst.
• Price capped by trendline + supply at 4171–4173, support below at 4140–4127.
H1
• Higher-low structure still intact above 4140.
• Price hovering below mid-term resistance 4168–4173.
• Break above = bullish continuation → 4183/4198.
• Break below 4140 = structure shift → deeper correction likely.
15M–5M
• Compression wedge forming — equal highs & equal lows visible.
• MACD flattening → energy building, expansion incoming.
• Manipulation highly likely before directional move.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Measured: 4140 → 4171
Level Price
38.2% 4159
50% 4155
61.8% 4151
🟦 Golden Zone: 4159 – 4151
Ideal retracement for long entries — only valid if structure confirms.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Primary Bias)
Sell Zone: 4168 – 4173
Targets: 4159 → 4151 → 4140 → 4127
SL: Above 4180
Confirmations Required:
• 5M CHoCH
• Rejection candle + MACD momentum shift
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Clean break & retest below 4140
Targets: 4127 → 4114 → 4105
SL: 4159
Bias strengthens if volume increases with break.
⸻
📈 BUY Setup (Countertrend)
Buy Zone: 4159 – 4151 (Golden Zone)
Targets: 4164 → 4168 → 4173
SL: 4146
Only trade with BOS + clear bullish rejection.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break + hold above 4173
Retest Entry: 4168–4171
Targets: 4183 → 4198 → 4220
SL: 4159
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia normally sets range → main move expected London/US.
• DXY direction will decide breakout strength.
• Expect liquidity sweeps at extremes before expansion.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 4164 / 4168 / 4173 / 4183
Support 4155 / 4151 / 4140 / 4127 / 4114
Break Buy Trigger > 4173
Break Sell Trigger < 4140
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is coiling inside consolidation — breakout pending.
Sell bias active below 4173, with momentum favouring downside into 4159 → 4151 → 4140.
Bullish continuation only confirmed after 4173 breakout hold.
Patience > prediction — wait for trap/sweep before entries.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Bearish-leaning range.
Sell rejection 4168–4173, Buy only 4159–4151 if confirmed.
Breakout levels decide next wave.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 26/11/2025 🥇
⚡ Smart Entries. Consistent Wins.
📈 BUY +200 PIPS
📉 SELL +60 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +50 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📉 SELL +60 PIPS
📈 BUY +100 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +2,850 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +1,730 PIPS
📊 Long-term setups maintaining bullish structure while intraday precision continues delivering steady gains.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +510 PIPS
🎯 7 Signals → 7 Wins
🔥 100% Accuracy
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Another flawless trading day — precise setups, clean executions, and consistent results!
Stay tuned for tomorrow’s continuation 📈
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Gold continues its upward trend. Continue buying.Gold prices remained range-bound above 4110 on Tuesday, with the short-term upward trend unchanged. Yesterday's article clearly stated that after breaking through the key resistance zone of 4110-4130, a short-term pullback to near support levels could present a buying opportunity, but one should not be overly optimistic about this upward move.
Recently, the most influential news is the expectation of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and Tuesday's news that Ukraine has agreed to the terms of a peace agreement. One is positive, the other negative, but the expectation of a rate cut alone is unlikely to drive a significant rise in gold prices.
The expectation of a Fed rate cut forms the core support currently, reinforced by dovish comments from several officials. If subsequent economic data is weak, the upward momentum in gold prices will continue. Geopolitical risks have not completely subsided; details of the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement and the Middle East conflict remain uncertain, and market risk aversion could escalate at any time.
Technically, Tuesday's daily candlestick chart shows intense competition between bulls and bears; the 4-hour chart shows a bullish moving average alignment, with the Bollinger Bands widening upwards, and gold prices trading along the upper band, indicating a slightly stronger short-term trend. In the short term, a buy-on-dips strategy is recommended, with a key focus on the resistance level around 4180.
Trading Strategy:
Buy at 4130-4135, stop loss at 4120, take profit at 4180; if it breaks through, watch the 4200 level.I will adjust the strategy flexibly according to market fluctuations and update it in the channel.
XAUUSD – PRO ANALYSIS (26/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold opens London strong after Asia surged into 4,164–4,166, tapping a key supply block while maintaining bullish market structure. Trend remains upward with price trading above EMA200 & EMA50, but London now decides whether we break through resistance or retrace for liquidity before continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Price remains bullish, holding above 3,966 support zone.
• RSI climbing from mid-range — momentum improving.
• Clean upside path if 4,170 breaks convincingly.
🔹 H1
• Structure bullish with BOS continuation from yesterday.
• Price currently rejecting first touch of supply 4,166–4,170.
• EMA confluence below at 4,155–4,150 — ideal retest zone for continuation.
🔹 15M–5M
• Micro breakout in Asia followed by consolidation under resistance.
• Short-term overextended — expecting either breakout sweep or pullback.
• Intraday liquidity pockets remain below at 4,158 → 4,154 → 4,147.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Last swing: 4,147 → 4,166
• 38.2% → 4,158.20
• 50% → 4,156.70
• 61.8% → 4,155.10
📌 Golden Zone: 4,158–4,155 → Best continuation buy area if retracement occurs.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY Scenario (Main Bias)
Buy Zone: 4,158–4,155 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 4,166 → 4,175 → 4,188 → 4,195
🛑 SL: Below 4,147
⚡ Confirmation Required: BOS + retest on 5M.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & hold above 4,170
Retest: 4,166–4,168
🎯 Targets: 4,180 → 4,195 → 4,210 → 4,233
🛑 SL: Below 4,160
⸻
📉 SELL Scenario (Countertrend Only)
Sell Zone: 4,166–4,170 (supply)
🎯 Targets: 4,158 → 4,154 → 4,147 → 4,137
🛑 SL: Above 4,176
⚠️ Only valid if rejection with volume confirms.
⸻
📉 Sell Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break below 4,147
Retest: 4,150–4,152
🎯 Targets: 4,137 → 4,125 → 4,111 → 4,104
🛑 SL: Above 4,158
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Low-impact during early London — volatility expected from technical breakout.
• BoE speaker later may affect GBP pairs indirectly → watch Gold correlation reaction.
• A breakout today likely comes from liquidity grab, not slow drift. Stay reactive.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,166 / 4,170 / 4,180 / 4,195 / 4,210
Support: 4,158 / 4,155 / 4,147 / 4,137
Golden Zone: 4,158–4,155
Break-Buy Trigger: > 4,170
Break-Sell Trigger: < 4,147
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Trend bullish — continuation favored. Best high-probability entry remains a pullback into 4,158–4,155, but a breakout above 4,170 unlocks aggressive upside. Only consider sells on confirmed rejection or breakdown below structure.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
Bullish above 4,155 — bearish only if 4,147 breaks.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
⸻
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (26/11/2025, ASIA)Gold enters Asia holding above key intraday support after a corrective US move. Price is compressing inside a breakout structure, sitting between liquidity pockets and preparing for a directional expansion. Momentum indicators show early recovery signals, but the session remains sensitive to liquidity sweeps from Tuesday’s volatility.
⸻
📉 Technical Outlook
🔵 D1
• Daily structure remains bullish above 4,022–3,936 demand zone.
• Price is forming higher lows inside a tightening wedge.
• RSI recovering from mid-levels (≈57), indicating potential upside continuation if liquidity allows.
🟣 H1
• Price consolidating between 4,159 high and 4,121 intraday low.
• Rejection from upper trendline + BOS retest confirms Asia range conditions.
• H1 liquidity sits both above 4,142 and below 4,121 → expect stop sweeps before trend direction.
🟢 15M–5M
• Multiple BOS & CHoCH confirming short-term compression.
• Price trading just above 50 EMA & near 200 EMA support at 4,113–4,121.
• Momentum histogram turning positive after London close recovery.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Last swing:
Swing High: 4,159
Swing Low: 4,109
Golden Zone: 4,134 – 4,142
(This exact range aligns with current consolidation + liquidity pool.)
⸻
🎯 High Probability Zones
🔻 SELL SETUP (High-Probability Rejection Zone)
• Sell Zone: 4,142 – 4,150
• Confirmation:
• M5/M15 rejection
• Bearish CHoCH ↘
• MACD histogram turning red
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,127
• TP2 → 4,114
• TP3 → 4,109 (liquidity low)
• Invalidation: Above 4,155
⸻
🔹 BUY SETUP (Strong Demand + Trendline + EMA Confluence)
• Buy Zone: 4,113 – 4,122
• Confirmation:
• Tap into the blue demand zone
• Bullish CHoCH ↗
• MACD shift to green
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,134
• TP2 → 4,142
• TP3 → 4,150
• Invalidation: Below 4,108
⸻
📌 Breakout Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Above 4,150
• Activation target: 4,159
• Expansion target: 4,175 – 4,185
🔽 Bearish Breakout
Below 4,108
• Activation target: 4,095
• Expansion target: 4,070 – 4,060
⸻
📰 Fundamental Watch (Asia)
• Low-impact data during Asia → price may remain technical.
• Market still digesting US Consumer Confidence drop and earlier volatility, meaning liquidity manipulation likely between sessions.
• Watch JPY flows around Tokyo open.
⸻
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 4,142 • 4,150 • 4,159
Support: 4,121 • 4,114 • 4,109
Golden Zone: 4,134 – 4,142
Breakout Triggers: 4,150 / 4,108
⸻
📈 Summary (Directional Bias)
Asia likely to range inside 4,121–4,142 until liquidity breakout.
Bias remains bullish above 4,121 and bearish below 4,108.
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 25/11/2025 🥇
⚡ Precision. Patience. Profit.
📈 BUY +80 PIPS
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
🕐 SELL LIMIT – Not Activated
📈 BUY +80 PIPS
📉 SELL +40 PIPS
❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +60 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +50 PIPS
📈 BUY +335 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +2,850 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +1,600 PIPS
📊 Long-term positions remain strong with continued bullish momentum.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +705 PIPS
🎯 10 Signals → 9 Wins
🔥 Accuracy: 90%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
👏 Congratulations if you profited — consistent setups, precise entries, and top-tier results again today!
Stay ready for tomorrow’s session — GOLD momentum remains 🔥
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Data week. Focus on trend continuation.This week's intensive data release could be a catalyst for market volatility:
Due to data delays caused by the government shutdown, a large amount of economic data will be released this week. Tuesday: September PPI, September retail sales, October pending home sales. Wednesday: Durable goods orders, Q3 GDP preliminary estimate, PCE price index, new home sales, initial jobless claims. The market will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and there will be no major data releases on Friday.
Market Analysis:
Gold initially fell before rising on Friday, briefly dipping to the 4022 level before a bullish reversal, and has been hovering around the previous resistance level of 4100 for an extended period. Currently, there is no clear direction.
The daily chart shows that since encountering short-term resistance at 4110, each attempt to bottom out has been followed by a rebound. Therefore, this is a strong rebound, not a reversal. However, without significant positive news, further upward movement at the previous resistance level of 4110 will be difficult.
In the short term, the key level to watch is the breakout of the triangle pattern. Support is at $4020, and resistance is at $4110. A breakout from this range will likely lead to further continuation of the trend.
After rebounding last Friday, it failed to hold $4,100. The highs have been moving lower and the lows have been moving higher, and the trading range has begun to narrow. This is a good thing, meaning that a one-sided trend is coming soon.
Short-term trading strategy:
Buy in batches between 4020 and 4030, with a stop loss at 4010. The profit target is the resistance level at 4100.
Short sell with a small position when the price first touches around 4110, aiming for a profit of 40-50 points.






















