XAUUSD 1H โ Range Breakout Zones with Buy/Sell Targets Description:
This 1H XAUUSD (Gold) chart highlights a clear transition from a bullish ascending channel into a consolidation range, offering both buy and sell opportunity zones.
Price previously respected an upward channel, showing strong bullish momentum. After reaching the channel top, Gold entered a sideways range, where key levels are now well-defined.
๐น Buy Scenario:
Entry Buy: Around 5,111 โ 5,086
Bullish continuation is expected if price holds above range support.
Target Buy: Near 5,145, aligning with previous highs and range liquidity.
๐น Sell Scenario:
Entry Sell: Around 5,065 โ 5,057
A rejection from range highs may lead to downside expansion.
Target Sell: Near 4,967, where liquidity and prior demand sit.
๐น Market Structure Insight:
The marked liquidity zone below the range suggests a potential downside sweep before any larger move.
Price is currently reacting inside the range, making confirmation and reaction candles key for entries.
๐ Best suited for intraday & short-term traders waiting for either a range breakout or liquidity grab before the next impulsive move.
โ ๏ธ Always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
Analyse
XAUUSD Breakout Rally Buyers in Full ControlXAUUSD โ Technical Analysis (Based on Chart)
Market Structure: Clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. Breakout from consolidation confirms trend continuation.
Key Demand Zone: The highlighted area acted as strong support; price reacted sharply, showing institutional buying interest.
Momentum: Strong bullish impulse leg followed by controlled pullbacks โ healthy trend, not exhaustion.
Trendline: Price respected the ascending trendline, confirming buyers are in control.
Support Levels: Previous breakout zone and demand area below can be used as buy-on-dip entries.
Resistance / Targets: Price is approaching a supply zone; partial profit booking is reasonable, with continuation possible if volume sustains.
Bias: Bullish until demand zone or trendline is broken with strong bearish close.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setup for Fri (Jan 16)
The S&P 500 futures market is signaling renewed optimism heading into Friday's session, buoyed by a powerful earnings report from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and resilient labor market data that together have eased concerns about the durability of the artificial intelligence trade.
E-mini S&P 500 futures extended gains for a second consecutive session, settling Thursday near 6994, advancing 12.25 points, or 0.18%, from the prior close of 6981.75.
The catalyst proved to be TSMC's fourth-quarter results, which showed profit growth of 35% and a commitment to capital expenditures of $52 billion to $56 billion in 2026. The guidance dispelled fears that hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure might be cooling, sending Nvidia Corp. shares up more than 2% and lifting the broader semiconductor complex.
"Taiwan Semi's results today, and more importantly, their capex spending plans, point to reassuring investors that the AI trade is not necessarily a bubble at this point," said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners.
The CBOE Volatility Index fell 5.43% to 15.84, its lowest level in weeks, suggesting options traders see diminished risk of near-term turbulence.
Trade Developments Add Tailwind
Taiwan's Vice Premier confirmed that a bilateral tariff agreement with the United States would be signed within several weeks. The arrangement includes $250 billion in company-led investment alongside $250 billion in credit guarantees a framework the official described as distinct from recent deals struck with Japan and South Korea.
The development carries implications for semiconductor supply chains that remain central to U.S. economic competitiveness. Taiwan emphasized that domestic investment would continue even as companies expand their American footprint, a signal that TSMC's Arizona operations will complement rather than replace its home-island capacity.
Bank earnings provided additional support. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley both exceeded analyst expectations, capitalizing on a resurgence in dealmaking activity. BlackRock Inc. reported record assets under management of $14 trillion.
Labor market data reinforced the constructive tone. Initial jobless claims for the week ending January 10 totaled 198,000, well below the 215,000 economists had forecastโevidence that employment conditions remain firm despite elevated interest rates.
Technical Picture Favors Continuation
From a structural perspective, the daily chart maintains a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, with price holding above a significant volume concentration between 6880 and 6900. Fibonacci extensions derived from the recent swing project potential upside targets at 7149.75, 7226.75, and 7311.75.
The four-hour timeframe shows consolidation between a premium zone near 7025-7050 and equilibrium around 6900. A higher low established at 6923 earlier this week suggests buyers remain willing to defend pullbacks.
On the one-hour chart, a series of bullish momentum signals have confirmed the near-term uptrend. The 6900-6910 zone, representing the prior week's low, now serves as structural support. Overhead, resistance near 7050, where distribution activity would be expected.
Treasury yields present a modest headwind, with the 10-year note at 4.17% as of Thursday's close.
Key Levels
Resistance
7050 โ Premium zone, Weak High 39%
7017.25 โ PDH (primary target)
7000 โ Psychological, PWH area
Pivot
6992.25 โ VWAP
6981.75 โ Prior Close
Support
6974.75 โ PDL (range edge)
6949.50 โ ONL
6920-6925 โ 1H HL structure
6900-6910 โ PWL, critical support
6860 โ Strong Low 61%, 1.272 Fib extension
Primary Setup: Long ES at PDL Support
Bias: Bullish above 6992.25 VWAP
Entry Zone: 6974 - 6978 (PDL range edge)
Stop Loss: 6964 (below PDL structure)
Target 1: 6992.25 (VWAP) โ Scale 50%
Target 2: 7017.25 (PDH) โ Runner at breakeven
Risk: 10-14 points
Confirmation Checklist
- CVD divergence at 6974-6978 (selling exhaustion)
- Bid wall formation / absorption
- Hold above 6970 on retest
- Volume decline into the pullback
Alternative Setups
Long Breakout
Entry: Above 7020 (with retest)
Target: 7040-7050
Stop: Below 7010
Short at Premium
Entry: 7040-7050 (rejection only)
Target: 7020 / 7000
Stop: Above 7060
Long Deep Pullback
Entry: 6920-6925 (1H HL)
Target: 6975 / 7000
Stop: Below 6910
Economic Calendar - Friday Jan 16
8:30 AM ET โ Business Leaders Survey (Low)
9:15 AM ET โ Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization โ ๏ธ (High)
11:45 AM ET โ NY Fed Staff Nowcast (Low)
Industrial Production is the main event. A beat confirms manufacturing strength and supports continuation toward 7017.25+. A miss could offer pullback opportunity toward structural support.
ElDoradoFx - GOLD ANALYSIS (13/01/2026, ASIA SESSION)
Gold is consolidating below the recent high at 4,630 after a strong bullish impulse from the 4,500 area. Price is holding above prior breakout structure and intraday demand, suggesting this is a pause before continuation rather than a reversal. Asia opens in compression, meaning the session is likely to set up either a continuation breakout or a deeper pullback into demand.
As long as price holds above the 4,560โ4,580 zone, bullish structure remains intact.
โธป
๐ Technical Outlook (D1, H1, 15Mโ5M)
๐น D1
โข Macro trend remains strongly bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
โข The previous swing high near 4,550 has been broken and reclaimed.
โข No bearish shift unless price loses 4,500 on a daily close.
๐น H1
โข Strong bullish BOS occurred through 4,520 and 4,560.
โข Price is now consolidating just below 4,630 (liquidity / weak high).
โข Structure remains bullish while price holds above 4,560.
๐น 15Mโ5M
โข Compression forming between 4,590 and 4,630.
โข No bearish structure yet โ pullbacks are corrective.
โข Watch for either breakout continuation or a clean demand reaction.
โธป
โจ Fibonacci Golden Zones
BUY Swing: 4,500 โ 4,630
โข 38.2% = 4,580
โข 50% = 4,565
โข 61.8% = 4,550
๐ฉ BUY Golden Zone: 4,580โ4,550
SELL Swing (intraday scalp): 4,630 โ 4,585
โข 38.2% = 4,602
โข 50% = 4,607
โข 61.8% = 4,612
๐ฅ SELL Golden Zone: 4,602โ4,612 (countertrend / scalp only)
โธป
๐ฏ High Probability Zones
๐ BUY Scenario (Main Bias)
Buy Zone: 4,580 โ 4,550
๐ฏ Targets โ 4,610 โ 4,630 โ 4,660
๐ SL: Below 4,535
โก๏ธ Confirmation:
โข Bullish reaction from zone
โข 5M BOS to upside
โข Holding above 4,560
โโโโโโโโโ
๐ BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close above 4,630
Retest: 4,620 hold
๐ฏ Targets โ 4,660 โ 4,690 โ 4,720
๐ SL: Below 4,600
โโโโโโโโโ
๐ SELL Scenario (Countertrend Only)
Sell Zone: 4,602 โ 4,612
๐ฏ Targets โ 4,585 โ 4,565
๐ SL: Above 4,630
โ ๏ธ Only valid if bearish structure forms on 5M.
โโโโโโโโโ
๐ SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close below 4,550
Retest: 4,560 fail
๐ฏ Targets โ 4,520 โ 4,500 โ 4,470
๐ SL: Above 4,575
โธป
๐ฐ Fundamental Watch
โข No major Asia session data โ technicals will dominate.
โข Watch for USD strength/weakness during Tokyo open.
โข Liquidity remains thin in Asia, increasing the risk of fakeouts.
โธป
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 4,612 / 4,630 / 4,660
Support: 4,580 / 4,560 / 4,550 / 4,520
Break-Buy Trigger โ > 4,630
Break-Sell Trigger โ < 4,550
โธป
๐ Summary
Gold remains in a bullish continuation phase, consolidating just below the 4,630 liquidity high. As long as price holds above the 4,560โ4,550 support zone, continuation toward 4,660 and beyond remains favored. A clean break above 4,630 would confirm trend continuation, while a break below 4,550 would signal a deeper pullback toward 4,520.
Trend-defining level: 4,560
โ
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ PERFORMANCE 12/01/2026 ๐ฅ
โก๏ธ Momentum continuation. Swing profits unlocked.
๐ BUY +1,500 PIPS (05/01)
๐ BUY +1,300 PIPS (08/01)
๐ BUY +140 PIPS
๐ BUY +70 PIPS
โ SELL โ35 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY +20 PIPS
๐ BUY +290 PIPS
๐ BUY +60 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฐ TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +3,345 PIPS
๐ฏ 8 Trades โ 7 Wins | 1 SL
๐ฅ Accuracy: 88%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Strong swing follow-through combined with clean intraday execution โ excellent risk control and discipline.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐ผ๐
H1 Bullish Trend, Will Next Move Possible 4509The "Break and Retest" Play
We are currently seeing a classic technical correction within a strong macro bullish trend. After the aggressive rally earlier this week fueled by geopolitical tensions (Venezuela crisis), the market is now in a "cooling off" phase.
Technical Breakdown
1. The Ascending Channel Breakout
Context: Gold was trading within a well-defined bullish channel (the blue box) until Jan 7th.
The Shift: Weโve seen a decisive break below the channel's lower boundary. In professional terms, this is a Change of Character (CHoCH) on the lower timeframe, shifting the intraday bias from bullish to neutral/corrective.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support (The Floor): Your grey line at $4,406 is a critical structural level. If price breaches this, we could see a deeper slide toward the psychological $4,380 zone.
The Pivot (The Red Line): The red line at roughly $4,445 is the current "battleground." This acted as recent resistance; flipping this back into support is mandatory for the bulls to regain control.
Target (The Blue Line): Your target at $4,501 aligns with major liquidity. Institutional sellers are likely sitting just above the $4,500 round number.
3. Price Action Projection (The "Z" Pattern)
Your black drawing suggests a bullish continuation via a "Double Bottom" or a "Higher Low" formation at the red support line. This is a high-probability setup if the 1-hour candle closes with a long lower wick (rejection) at that red line.
Fundamental Context (The "Why")
As a pro trader, you cannot ignore the macro drivers hitting the tape right now:
Index Rebalancing: We are currently in the Jan 8โ15 window where major commodity indices (like Bloomberg & S&P GSCI) rebalance. This usually creates artificial selling pressure on gold, explaining the current dip.
NFP Uncertainty: Today is Friday. The market is waiting for the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. High volatility is expected. If the jobs data comes in stronger than expected, gold may test your $4,406 support level before finding buyers.
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (07/01/2026, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)
1. Market Overview
Gold remains in a strong bullish macro trend, trading near the highs around 4,495โ4,500 after a sustained impulsive move from the 4,300 region. The rally was clean, structured, and supported by higher-timeframe trend alignment.
Price is currently compressing under a weak high / liquidity zone near 4,500, forming a short-term equilibrium. This suggests one of two outcomes:
โข A liquidity sweep above 4,500 followed by continuation higher
โข A rejection from 4,500 leading to a deeper corrective pullback
At this stage, the market is not reversing โ it is pausing inside bullish structure.
โธป
2. Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
โข Trend: Bullish
โข Market structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact
โข Price is above 20, 50, and 200 EMA
โข No daily bearish reversal or distribution pattern
โข The recent pullback respected daily demand around 4,300โ4,350
Conclusion: Daily trend remains firmly bullish. Only a daily close below 4,350 would weaken structure.
โธป
H1
โข Bullish BOS confirmed after the reaction from 4,430
โข Price is riding the rising trendline and holding above the EMA cluster
โข Current price is pressing into a weak high near 4,497โ4,500
โข No bearish CHoCH is present
Conclusion: H1 is bullish but overextended and compressing into resistance โ conditions favor either breakout continuation or a controlled pullback.
โธป
15M โ 5M
โข Intraday structure is bullish with higher lows and demand respected
โข Momentum is slowing, but no bearish structure shift has formed
โข Multiple small BOS events confirm active buyers
โข No distribution or topping pattern confirmed yet
Conclusion: Intraday is in continuation mode, not reversal mode.
โธป
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Primary Impulse Swing: 4,430 โ 4,497
Level Price
38.2% 4,471
50.0% 4,463
61.8% 4,455
Golden Zone: 4,471 โ 4,455
This zone aligns with:
โข Rising trendline
โข EMA cluster
โข Prior BOS zone
โ High-confluence bullish demand
โธป
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
Scenario A โ Continuation Pullback Buy (Primary)
Condition: Price pulls back into demand without breaking structure
Entry Zone: 4,471 โ 4,455
Stop: Below 4,445
Targets: 4,497 โ 4,515 โ 4,540
Rationale:
โข Golden zone + trendline + EMA support
โข No bearish structure shift present
โธป
Scenario B โ Bullish Breakout Continuation
Condition: Price breaks and holds above 4,500
Break Level: 4,500
Retest Zone: 4,490 โ 4,495
Stop: Below 4,480
Targets: 4,515 โ 4,540 โ 4,580
Rationale:
โข Liquidity above weak high taken
โข Trend continuation extension
โธป
Scenario C โ Rejection and Deeper Pullback (Countertrend)
Condition: Strong rejection at 4,500 with bearish CHoCH on 5M
Short Entry Zone: 4,485 โ 4,497
Stop: Above 4,505
Targets: 4,471 โ 4,455 โ 4,430
Rationale:
โข Mean reversion inside strong uptrend
โข Only valid with confirmed structure shift
โธป
Scenario D โ Bearish Breakdown
Condition: Break and close below 4,465
Retest Zone: 4,470 failure
Stop: Above 4,480
Targets: 4,450 โ 4,430 โ 4,405
Rationale:
โข Loss of intraday structure
โข Deeper corrective leg inside bullish macro
โธป
5. Fundamental Watch
โข No major Asia macro data releases.
โข Market positioning remains risk-sensitive.
โข Geopolitical tensions involving the US, Venezuela, Russia, and China continue to provide a structural bid to gold as a safe-haven asset.
โข No catalyst currently present to reverse the trend โ only to accelerate or pause it.
โธป
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
4,497 / 4,500 / 4,515 / 4,540
Support:
4,485 / 4,471 / 4,455 / 4,430
Structure Line:
Trend invalidation below 4,465
โธป
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is in a strong bullish trend across all higher timeframes. The current behavior is not distribution โ it is consolidation beneath resistance. This makes continuation more probable than reversal.
The two highest-probability paths are:
1. Pullback into 4,471โ4,455 followed by continuation higher
2. Clean breakout above 4,500 followed by upside expansion
Shorts are strictly tactical and require confirmation.
โธป
8. Final Bias Summary
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation
Secondary Bias: Shallow pullback then continuation
Reversal Risk: Low unless 4,465 fails
Trend Control Level: 4,465
โธป
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ PERFORMANCE 06/01/2026 ๐ฅ
โก๏ธ Smart entries. Controlled risk.
๐ BUY +40 PIPS
โ๏ธ SELL โ BE
๐ BUY LIMIT +40 PIPS
โ BUY -70 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY LIMIT +210 PIPS
๐ BUY +547 PIPS
๐ BUY +40 PIPS
โ BUY -50 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY +160 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฐ TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +917 PIPS
๐ฏ 9 Signals โ 6 Wins | 2 SL | 1 BE
๐ Accuracy: 75%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฅ Strong volatility day โ big winners covered the controlled losses.
Discipline kept the edge intact.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (31/12/2025, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)Welcome โ and thank you for following! ๐
Youโll find our free daily Gold (XAUUSD) analysis posted here to help you stay aligned with the market.
If youโd like more free forecasts and trade setups for Gold and Bitcoin, make sure to subscribe to our free YouTube channel โ link in bio.
โธป
Date: 31 December 2025
Session Context: Asia โ Early Europe
Current Price Area: ~4,335โ4,345
โธป
1. Market Overview
Gold is trading inside a deep corrective phase after failing to sustain acceptance above the 4,540โ4,550 high. The impulsive selloff toward the 4,300 zone completed a full corrective leg, and price is now consolidating above higher-timeframe demand.
This is not a trend environment โ it is a distribution โ correction โ compression environment.
The market is currently balancing between:
โข Higher-timeframe bullish structure
โข Short-term bearish momentum
โข A major weekly demand zone around 4,300โ4,320
This creates a reaction-driven market, where continuation or reversal depends on how price reacts at structural boundaries.
โธป
2. Technical Breakdown
Daily (D1)
โข Primary trend remains bullish (higher highs & higher lows still intact).
โข However, the rejection from 4,550 created a major corrective leg.
โข Current candle structure shows acceptance below the prior bullish expansion range.
โข Daily demand sits between 4,300โ4,320.
โข A daily close below 4,300 would formally threaten the bullish structure.
Daily Bias: Bullish trend, bearish correction active.
โธป
H1
โข Clear CHoCH + BOS confirmed on the breakdown from 4,520.
โข Price is below the EMA cluster and under a descending trendline.
โข Lower highs continue to print โ bearish intraday structure remains intact.
โข The recovery attempts are corrective, not impulsive.
H1 Bias: Bearish structure, corrective rallies.
โธป
15M โ 5M
โข The initial sell impulse has completed.
โข Price is now forming compression inside a falling channel.
โข Liquidity has already been swept below 4,310.
โข Momentum is weak and corrective, not reversal-driven.
Lower TF Bias: Range-to-bearish with continuation risk.
โธป
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Primary Sell Swing
High โ Low: 4,550 โ 4,302
Level Price
38.2% 4,395
50.0% 4,426
61.8% 4,458
Premium Sell Zone: 4,395โ4,458
โธป
Reaction Buy Swing
Low โ Retrace High: 4,302 โ 4,350
Level Price
38.2% 4,332
50.0% 4,326
61.8% 4,320
Reaction Buy Zone: 4,332โ4,320 (countertrend only)
โธป
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
A. Sell-the-Rally (Primary)
Context: Continuation within bearish corrective structure.
โข Entry Zone: 4,380โ4,400
โข Confirmation: Lower-TF rejection / CHoCH / failure at EMA
โข Targets:
โข 4,350
โข 4,330
โข 4,300
โข Invalidation: Above 4,415
โธป
B. Breakdown Continuation
Trigger: Acceptance below 4,300
โข Retest zone: 4,300โ4,315 (as resistance)
โข Targets:
โข 4,275
โข 4,245
โข 4,210
โข Invalidation: Reclaim above 4,330
โธป
C. Countertrend Buy (Only at Demand)
Context: Structural reaction from HTF demand.
โข Entry Zone: 4,332โ4,320
โข Required: Strong rejection + bullish BOS on 5M/15M
โข Targets:
โข 4,350
โข 4,380
โข 4,400
โข Invalidation: Below 4,300
โธป
5. Fundamental Watch
โข USD data releases during Asia โ Europe transition.
โข Increased probability of liquidity sweeps and false breaks.
โข Execution risk is elevated during news windows.
โข Technical structure should be respected after volatility stabilizes.
โธป
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
4,380 โ 4,400 โ 4,415 โ 4,458
Support:
4,350 โ 4,330 โ 4,320 โ 4,300
Structural Flip Levels:
Bearish acceptance below 4,300
Bullish recovery only above 4,415
โธป
7. Analyst Summary
Gold is in a bearish corrective phase within a bullish higher-timeframe trend. The market is not trending โ it is compressing between structural demand and declining supply.
Until price either:
โข Accepts below 4,300 (continuation), or
โข Reclaims above 4,415 (structural shift),
the correct approach remains reaction-based, not predictive.
โธป
8. Final Bias Summary
Condition Bias
Below 4,380 Bearish continuation
Below 4,300 Strong bearish continuation
Above 4,415 Structural shift bullish
Inside 4,320โ4,380 Range / compression
Primary Bias: Bearish continuation until proven otherwise.
โธป
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ PERFORMANCE 30/12/2025 ๐ฅ
โก Smart Entries. Consistent Execution.
๐ SELL +35 PIPS
๐ BUY +110 PIPS
๐ SELL -30 PIPS (SL)
๐ SELL LIMIT +60 PIPS
๐ BUY +120 PIPS
๐ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
โช BUY LIMIT โ Not Activated
๐ BUY +40 PIPS
๐ BUY +100 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฐ TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +375 PIPS
๐ฏ 8 Trades โ 6 Wins | 2 SL
๐ Accuracy: 75%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ
Another disciplined trading day โ profits secured while risk remained controlled.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐
Bitcoin Trapped in the Holiday Range โ Breakout Comes BITCOIN (BTC/USD) โ 1H MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Context
Bitcoin is currently trading in a well-defined range, trapped between a strong support zone around 85,000 USD and a major resistance zone near 90,000 USD. The current structure reflects consolidation and accumulation, not distribution.
1. Price Structure
Price continues to form higher lows near the support area, indicating that buyers are still actively defending this zone.
Each approach toward 89,500 โ 90,000 is met with strong selling pressure, confirming this area as a valid resistance zone.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are flattening and overlapping, a typical sign of a sideways market.
โก๏ธ No confirmed breakout = no new trend yet.
2. Market Behavior
The price is moving in a controlled zigzag pattern inside the range, which is characteristic of:
Liquidity accumulation
Market makers controlling both sides of the range
Sharp intraday spikes without follow-through suggest liquidity sweeps, not trend continuation.
3. Key Scenarios (Outlook)
Scenario 1 โ Range Continuation (High Probability)
Price continues oscillating between 85,000 โ 90,000.
Best approach:
Buy near support
Sell near resistance
Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range
Scenario 2 โ Bullish Breakout (Confirmation Required)
Trigger conditions:
Strong H1/H4 candle close above 90,000
Clear increase in volume
If confirmed:
Range is broken
Next upside targets: 92,000 โ 95,000
Scenario 3 โ Bearish Breakdown (Lower Probability)
Only valid if price breaks below 85,000 with strong momentum.
In that case:
Deeper correction may follow
Next key demand zone: 82,000 โ 83,000
4. Summary
Market state: Sideways / Accumulation
Primary trend: Pausing, not reversing
Optimal strategy: Trade the range or wait for confirmation
Risk note: Avoid entries in the middle of the range poor risk-to-reward
๐ The market rewards patience and discipline, not impatience.
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (30/12/2025, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)Welcome โ and thank you for following! ๐
Youโll find our free daily Gold (XAUUSD) analysis posted here to help you stay aligned with the market.
If youโd like more free forecasts and trade setups for Gold and Bitcoin, make sure to subscribe to our free YouTube channel โ link in bio.
โธป
Asia opens with gold trading around $4,331, following a sharp US-session selloff that swept liquidity below the prior week lows and printed a new short-term swing low around $4,302 before rebounding slightly. The market remains in a corrective / distribution phase after rejecting from the $4,545โ$4,550 highs, with intraday structure still bearish while price holds below key reclaimed levels.
Price is currently consolidating above the weekly demand zone ($4,300โ$4,320), making Asia a stabilization or continuation session rather than a full reversal environment.
If price fails to reclaim $4,360โ$4,380, downside pressure remains dominant.
โธป
๐ Technical Outlook (D1, H1, 15Mโ5M)
๐น D1
โข Macro trend remains bullish but is in active pullback phase.
โข Strong rejection from the $4,550 swing high confirmed higher-TF supply.
โข Price is testing the rising trendline / higher-TF demand around $4,300โ$4,320.
โข A daily close below $4,300 would signal a deeper correction toward $4,180โ$4,150.
๐น H1
โข Clear CHoCH down followed by multiple BOS confirming bearish intraday structure.
โข Price is trading well below the EMA cluster, confirming sellers remain in control.
โข Last impulsive leg swept $4,320 and reacted from the weekly demand zone.
โข $4,360โ$4,380 now acts as key intraday resistance.
๐น 15Mโ5M
โข Strong impulsive selloff followed by tight sideways consolidation.
โข Buyers are only reactive; no bullish structure shift confirmed yet.
โข Minor higher lows forming, but structure remains corrective.
โข Momentum is stabilizing but not yet bullish.
โธป
โจ Fibonacci Golden Zones
1๏ธโฃ SELL Swing: $4,480 โ $4,302
โข 38.2% = $4,370
โข 50% = $4,391
โข 61.8% = $4,412
๐ฅ SELL Golden Zone: $4,370โ$4,412
2๏ธโฃ BUY Reaction Swing: $4,302 โ $4,360
โข 38.2% = $4,338
โข 50% = $4,331
โข 61.8% = $4,324
๐ฉ BUY Reaction Zone: $4,338โ$4,324 (inside current consolidation)
โธป
๐ฏ High Probability Zones
๐ SELL Scenario (Main Bias)
Sell Zone: $4,370โ$4,412
๐ฏ Targets โ $4,345 โ $4,320 โ $4,302
๐ SL: Above $4,425
โก๏ธ Confirmation:
โข 5M rejection / CHoCH
โข Failure to reclaim EMA
โข Weak bullish candles into resistance
โโโโโโโโโ
๐ SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & hold below $4,300
Retest: $4,300โ$4,315 fail
๐ฏ Targets โ $4,260 โ $4,220 โ $4,180
๐ SL: Above $4,340
โโโโโโโโโ
๐ BUY Scenario (Countertrend Only)
Buy Zone: $4,320โ$4,300
๐ฏ Targets โ $4,345 โ $4,370 โ $4,390
๐ SL: Below $4,260
โ ๏ธ Only valid if strong rejection and bullish structure forms.
โธป
๐ฐ Fundamental Watch
โข No high-impact USD news during early Asia.
โข Post-US volatility hangover may cause slow grind or liquidity sweeps.
โข Watch for fake breaks around $4,320 and $4,360.
โข Larger directional move more likely in London / NY.
โธป
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: $4,360 / $4,380 / $4,412 / $4,450
Support: $4,320 / $4,302 / $4,260 / $4,220
Break-Sell Trigger โ < $4,300
Break-Buy Trigger โ > $4,412
โธป
๐ Summary
Gold is in a corrective bearish phase after rejecting from $4,550 and breaking intraday structure to the downside. Price is currently consolidating above the weekly demand zone at $4,300โ$4,320. While the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, Asia is best approached with sell-the-rally logic into $4,370โ$4,412, unless a strong bullish structure forms from demand.
Trend-defining level: $4,300
โธป
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ PERFORMANCE 29/12/2025 ๐ฅ
โก Smart Entries. Consistent Execution.
๐ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY +30 PIPS
๐ BUY +100 PIPS
๐ SELL +20 PIPS
๐ SELL +210 PIPS
๐ SELL +210 PIPS
๐ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY +50 PIPS
๐ BUY -30 PIPS (SL)
๐ BUY +110 PIPS
๐ SELL +210 PIPS
๐ BUY +20 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฐ TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +830 PIPS
๐ฏ 12 Signals โ 9 Wins | 3 SL
๐ Accuracy: 75%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ
Solid execution in mixed conditions โ strong sellers and disciplined risk control kept the day firmly profitable.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (29/12/2025, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)FOLLOW AND SUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL!!!!!
โธป
1๏ธโฃ Market Overview
Gold remains in a strong bullish macro trend, trading near the upper boundary of the current bullish channel after a sustained impulsive leg from the 4450s into the 4550 liquidity region.
Price has:
โข Broken and held above the previous weekly highs.
โข Rejected from the 4550 liquidity pool and is now consolidating between PDH and trend support.
โข Maintained structure with higher lows intact.
This is not distribution yet โ this is acceptance after expansion.
โธป
2๏ธโฃ Technical Breakdown
๐น Daily (D1)
โข Trend: Strong bullish (HH / HL sequence intact).
โข Price is holding above:
โข 20 EMA (white)
โข Bullish trendline
โข Prior resistance now acting as support ~4500โ4520.
โข Last daily impulse is still uncorrected beyond 38.2% fib โ trend intact.
โก๏ธ Daily bias: Bullish continuation unless 4485 breaks.
โธป
๐น H1
โข Structure:
โข BOS above 4510
โข HL formed around 4498
โข Price is compressing just under PDH and weak highs.
This is classic bullish compression, often preceding either:
1. Continuation breakout
2. Liquidity sweep โ continuation
โธป
๐น 15M โ 5M
โข Range compression between 4510โ4535.
โข No confirmed bearish structure shift.
โข CHoCH attempts are failing โ buyers still defending trend.
โธป
3๏ธโฃ Fibonacci Analysis
Impulse leg: 4448 โ 4549
Level Price
38.2% 4509
50% 4498
61.8% 4486
๐ฉ Golden Zone: 4509 โ 4486
โ High-probability buy zone if retraced.
โธป
4๏ธโฃ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
๐ Primary Buy (Trend Continuation)
โข Zone: 4509 โ 4486
โข Targets: 4524 โ 4549 โ 4565 โ 4600
โข Invalidation: Below 4480
โข Logic: Trend continuation from fib support + structure HL.
โธป
๐ Breakout Buy
โข Trigger: Break & hold above 4535
โข Retest: 4525โ4530
โข Targets: 4549 โ 4565 โ 4600
โข Invalidation: Back below 4510
โธป
๐ Countertrend Sell (Lower Probability)
โข Zone: 4549 โ 4560 (weekly liquidity)
โข Targets: 4530 โ 4510 โ 4498
โข Invalidation: Acceptance above 4565
โข โ ๏ธ Only valid on clear rejection + bearish structure.
โธป
5๏ธโฃ Fundamental Watch
โข No immediate high-impact releases during Asia.
โข Volatility likely returns during London / US with potential catalysts:
โข US macro data mid-week.
โข Bond market flows (risk sentiment driver).
โข DXY neutral โ not pressuring gold currently.
โธป
6๏ธโฃ Key Technical Levels
Resistance
โข 4535 (range high)
โข 4549 (weekly high liquidity)
โข 4565
โข 4600
Support
โข 4510 (range base)
โข 4500 psychological
โข 4498 (H1 HL)
โข 4486 (golden zone)
โข 4448 (structure low)
โธป
7๏ธโฃ Analyst Summary
Gold is in a mature but still healthy bullish trend. The market is not showing distribution characteristics โ it is showing post-expansion consolidation.
As long as price holds above 4500โ4490, the path of least resistance remains higher, with continuation toward 4565โ4600 favored.
Shorts are only justified at higher liquidity zones with clear rejection and structure shift.
โธป
8๏ธโฃ Final Bias Summary
Condition Bias
Above 4500 Bullish
4509โ4486 Buy zone
Break above 4535 Strong continuation
Below 4485 Structure weakening
Below 4448 Bearish shift
Primary Bias: ๐ข Bullish continuation
Invalidation: Daily close below 4485
โธป
EURUSD - Bulls in Controlโฆ But For How Long?OANDA:EURUSD
Daily Timeframe
Swing Structure: Bullish
Fractal Structure: Bullish
Price continues to respect the daily bullish swing structure, with two upside liquidity pools (previous highs) acting as longer-term objectives.
Our primary Point of Interest (POI) sits within the daily fractal structure, aligned with a Daily FVG, where an immediate bullish response is expected โ contingent on LTF confirmation.
Below the daily fractal low, price intersects a confluence of Daily FVG + BB + OB, which could provide another bullish reaction point. However, if price reaches this zone, the daily fractal structure shifts into a potential bearish transition, and therefore stronger confirmation is required before considering long positions.
Invalidation:
A clean break below the Daily OB would weaken the current bullish narrative, suggesting the need to reassess the structure as bearish on the higher timeframe.
4H Timeframe
Swing Structure: Bullish
Fractal Structure: Bearish
On the 4H chart, early short positions taken on the bearish daily fractal structure have been liquidated, followed by price entering a small consolidation phase. From there, we observed a fractal shift from bullish to bearish, aligning the 4H direction with the potential HTF pullback.
The immediate reaction zone is the Daily bullish FVG, where price may deliver a short-term move higher.
The ideal setup would involve a touch of both the Daily FVG + 4H FVG, allowing for structural alignment.
Execution Plan:
Conservative: Wait for 4H bullish fractal confirmation before entering longs.
Aggressive: Look for a dual fractal break to the upside on the 1H as early confirmation.
If the Daily FVG fails, the next POI becomes the next 4H FVG in confluence with a nearby OB.
Again, long positions require 4H bullish fractal change or the same 1H double-break confirmation.
Deeper retracement scenario:
A move below the Daily fractal low places focus on the next Daily FVG + BB + OB confluence, ideally aligned with 4H BB + 4H OB.
In this case, LTF confirmation becomes insufficient โ I would require either:
Double 4H fractal break โ bullish, or 1D fractal break to the upside to signal a shift in orderflow.
XAUUSD H1 CHART QUICK ANALYSIS I 26/11On Wednesday, Gold experienced a strong pullback from the new ATH at 4525 down to 4448.
The key point is:
๐ Price only retraced to the H1 ascending trendline and then bounced strongly.
This move was NOT a reversal, but a healthy technical pullback within a strong uptrend.
During todayโs Asian session, Gold surged again and printed a new ATH at 4530, confirming:
โข The uptrend remains intact
โข Buyers are still in full control
โข All pullbacks are simply momentum resets
๐ 2. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
โข H1 structure: Clear Higher High โ Higher Low
โข Ascending trendline still respected
โข No bearish structure break at all
โก๏ธ This is a textbook example of a healthy and sustainable uptrend, not a fake rally.
๐ฏ 3. TRADING PLAN
โ
Main bias: BUY with the trend
โข Look for BUY opportunities at support and value zones
โข Avoid counter-trend SELLs (SELL only for experienced scalpers with small size)
โข Strict risk management โ SL is mandatory because trading is probability-based
๐ Reminder:
Winning is not about buying everywhere, but buying at the right zone, with the right size and discipline.
BTC Isnโt Breaking Out โ Itโs Hunting LiquidityBTC/USD โ 1H Quick Read
Bitcoin remains trapped inside a defined range between support and resistance. Price is holding near the range mid, showing balance, not momentum.
Repeated wicks at both extremes confirm liquidity sweeps, not trend acceptance. Buyers defend support aggressively, but upside attempts still lack follow-through.
Key Points
Range market = rotation, not trend
Breakouts are faded, pullbacks are absorbed
Liquidity is prioritized over direction
Outlook
Expect continued chop and false moves until BTC clearly accepts above resistance or loses support.
Bottom Line
No breakout yet.
Trade the range wait for confirmation for direction.
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (23/12/2025, ASIA SESSION UPDATE)
1๏ธโฃ Market Overview
Gold remains in a strong bullish macro trend, having completed a full impulsive leg from the 4310โ4330 accumulation base into the 4449 liquidity high.
Current price action shows extension + consolidation, not reversal.
The market is now in a decision phase:
โข Either continuation above 4449, or
โข Healthy retracement into premium pullback zones before the next expansion.
No higher-timeframe bearish shift is present at this stage.
โธป
2๏ธโฃ Technical Breakdown
๐น Daily (D1)
โข Structure: Bullish (HH / HL intact)
โข Price holding above:
โข Rising daily trendline
โข Daily EMA support
โข The last daily candle shows strong bullish follow-through, not exhaustion.
โข No daily CHoCH or bearish engulfing present.
๐ Daily Bias: Bullish continuation unless 4310โ4280 fails.
โธป
๐น H1
โข Clear bullish BOS after reclaiming PDH / PWH.
โข Strong impulse leg โ consolidation under 4449 HTF weak high.
โข No bearish BOS on H1.
โข EMA + trendline support rising into 4400โ4380.
๐ H1 Bias: Bullish pullbacks are corrective, not distributive.
โธป
๐น 15M
โข Momentum slowing, structure compressing.
โข Minor CHoCH attempts are counter-trend only.
โข Buyers continue defending 4420โ4400.
๐ 15M Bias: Compression โ expansion setup forming.
โธป
๐น 5M
โข Liquidity resting both sides:
โข Above 4449
โข Below 4400
โข Micro BOS still bullish.
โข Ideal timeframe for:
โข Breakout continuation
โข Pullback execution inside HTF zones
๐ 5M Bias: Execution timeframe only โ no directional bias without HTF context.
โธป
3๏ธโฃ Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zone)
Impulse Leg Used:
Swing Low 4310 โ Swing High 4449
Level Price
38.2% ~4400
50.0% ~4380
61.8% ~4360
๐ฉ Golden Zone: 4400 โ 4360
This zone aligns with:
โข H1 trendline
โข EMA support
โข Prior BOS origin
๐ High-probability re-accumulation area.
โธป
4๏ธโฃ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
๐ข Scenario 1: Bullish Pullback (Primary Setup)
Zone: 4400 โ 4360
Confirmation:
โข 5M / 15M BOS
โข Strong bullish displacement from zone
๐ฏ Targets:
โข 4449
โข 4480
โข 4520
๐ Invalidation: Below 4350
โธป
๐ข Scenario 2: Breakout Continuation
Trigger: Clean break & hold above 4449
Retest Zone: 4435 โ 4449
๐ฏ Targets:
โข 4480
โข 4520
๐ Invalidation: Back below 4420
โธป
๐ด Scenario 3: Countertrend Sell (LOW Probability)
Zone: 4445 โ 4460
Conditions:
โข Clear bearish BOS on 5M / 15M
โข Strong rejection wicks + volume spike
๐ฏ Targets:
โข 4420
โข 4400
๐ Invalidation: Above 4460
โ ๏ธ This is a scalp correction only, not a trend trade.
โธป
5๏ธโฃ Fundamental Watch
โข No high-impact Asia data.
โข London will likely inject:
โข Liquidity raids
โข Expansion or deeper pullback
โข Market is technically driven until London open.
โธป
6๏ธโฃ Key Technical Levels
๐ด Resistance
โข 4449 (HTF weak high)
โข 4480
โข 4520
๐ข Support
โข 4420
โข 4400
โข 4380
โข 4360
โ ๏ธ Structural Invalidations
โข Bullish bias invalidated only below 4350
โข Major trend invalidation below 4280
โธป
7๏ธโฃ Analyst Summary
Gold is NOT topping โ it is pausing after expansion.
Structure remains bullish across D1 โ H1, with lower timeframes compressing.
Best trading logic:
โข Buy pullbacks, not tops
โข Follow HTF structure
โข Let London confirm direction
โธป
8๏ธโฃ Final Bias Summary
โ
Primary Bias: Bullish
๐ข Best Opportunity: Pullbacks into 4400โ4360
โ ๏ธ Caution: Avoid chasing highs without confirmation
โ Bearish Bias: Only valid below 4350
โธป
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ PERFORMANCE 22/12/2025 ๐ฅ
โก Precision over noise. Clean execution.
๐ BUY โ BE
๐ SELL +40 PIPS
๐ BUY +430 PIPS
๐ BUY +40 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ช BTCUSD BONUS
๐ BUY +2,200 PIPS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ SWING TRADES โ STILL RUNNING
โข Entry 3959 โค +4,900 pips
โข Entry 4000 โค +4,490 pips
โข Entry 4124 โค +3,250 pips
โข Entry 4275 โค +1,740 pips
โข Entry 4293 โค +1,560 pips
โข Entry 4325 โค +1,240 pips
๐ Floating Swing Total: +17,180 pips
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฐ **DAY RESULT (Gold only)
+510 PIPS**
๐ฏ 3 Signals โ 3 Wins
โ๏ธ BE Shown (Not Counted)
๐ฅ Accuracy: 100%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ
Another disciplined trading day โ controlled risk, strong momentum, and swing positions compounding smoothly.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐
ElDoradoFx โ GOLD ANALYSIS (22/12/2025, LONDON SESSION)
1๏ธโฃ Market Overview
Gold opens the London session trading around $4,410, after a strong bullish continuation from last week that pushed price into weekly premium territory. The market has already tapped the weekly high at $4,420, where short-term selling pressure has appeared.
Overall sentiment remains bullish, but price is now in a decision zone, where continuation or a corrective pullback will be defined during LondonโNY.
โธป
2๏ธโฃ Technical Breakdown
๐น Daily (D1)
โข Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish.
โข Price continues to respect the ascending trendline and holds above the daily EMA.
โข The last impulsive leg confirmed continuation toward $4,420โ$4,450 liquidity.
โข Daily structure remains valid as long as price holds above $4,300โ$4,280.
๐ HTF Bias: Bullish continuation
โธป
๐น H1
โข Clear bullish BOS sequence from the $4,310 swing low.
โข Price is currently consolidating just below weekly high resistance ($4,420).
โข Momentum is slowing, suggesting either continuation after consolidation or a pullback into demand.
โข No bearish structure break yet.
๐ Intraday Bias: Bullish, cautious near resistance
โธป
๐น 15M โ 5M
โข Short-term structure shows loss of momentum after tapping highs.
โข Minor CHoCH visible on lower timeframes, signaling potential retracement, not reversal.
โข Buyers remain active above $4,380โ$4,365.
โข Any pullback holding structure is considered corrective.
๐ Execution Bias: Buy-the-dip unless structure breaks
โธป
3๏ธโฃ Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zones)
๐ Bullish Swing
Swing Low โ Swing High:
$4,310 โ $4,420
โข 38.2% โ $4,378
โข 50.0% โ $4,365
โข 61.8% โ $4,352
๐ฉ Golden Buy Zone: $4,378 โ $4,352
This zone aligns with trendline support and EMA confluence.
โธป
4๏ธโฃ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
โ
BUY Scenario (Primary Bias)
โข Buy Zone: $4,378 โ $4,352
โข Targets: $4,410 โ $4,420 โ $4,450
โข Invalidation: Below $4,330
โข Confirmation: 5Mโ15M BOS + bullish rejection candle
โธป
โ ๏ธ SELL Scenario (Countertrend Only)
โข Sell Zone: $4,420 โ $4,430
โข Targets: $4,395 โ $4,380
โข Invalidation: Clean break & hold above $4,430
โข Note: Scalp-only, against HTF trend
โธป
๐จ Breakout Scenario
โข Bullish Break: Acceptance above $4,430
โข Continuation Targets: $4,450 โ $4,480
โข Confirms renewed HTF expansion.
โธป
5๏ธโฃ Fundamental Watch
โข No high-impact USD news during early London.
โข Volatility expected to increase during NY session.
โข With fundamentals light, technical levels and liquidity behavior dominate.
โธป
6๏ธโฃ Key Technical Levels
Resistance
โข 4,420
โข 4,430
โข 4,450
Support
โข 4,395
โข 4,378
โข 4,365
โข 4,330
โธป
7๏ธโฃ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, but price is currently reacting at weekly highs, making this a high-risk chase zone for late buyers. The preferred strategy is patience โ waiting for either:
โ๏ธ A pullback into premium demand for continuation buys
โ๏ธ Or a confirmed breakout above $4,430
Any weakness above $4,365 is considered corrective, not bearish.
โธป
8๏ธโฃ Final Bias Summary
๐ข Primary Bias: Bullish continuation
๐ก Short-Term: Consolidation / pullback possible
๐ด Bearish Only If: Price breaks and holds below $4,330
โธป
๐ฅ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 โ WEEKLY PERFORMANCE RECAP ๐ฑ
๐
15 โ 21 DECEMBER 2025
๐ฐ Precision โข Discipline โข Consistency
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ข MONDAY 15/12
โ
BUY +40 PIPS
โ
SELL +210 PIPS
โ
BUY +40 PIPS
โ
BUY +170 PIPS
๐ Strong directional bias โ clean execution.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ต TUESDAY 16/12
โ BUY -30 PIPS (SL)
โ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
โ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
โ
SELL +60 PIPS
โ
BUY +950 PIPS
โ
SELL +20 PIPS
โ
BUY +120 PIPS
โ
BUY +230 PIPS
๐ Volatility managed โ big swing absorbed losses.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฃ WEDNESDAY 17/12
โ
SELL +20 PIPS
โ
BUY +210 PIPS
โ
SELL +20 PIPS
โ
SELL +40 PIPS
โ
BUY +110 PIPS
โ
BUY +110 PIPS
โ
BUY +770 PIPS
๐ Momentum continuation โ strong trend follow-through.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ด THURSDAY 18/12
โ
BUY +90 PIPS
โ
BUY +90 PIPS
โ
BUY +220 PIPS
โ
SELL +60 PIPS
โ
BUY +60 PIPS
โ
BUY +20 PIPS
โ
BUY +20 PIPS
โ
BUY +220 PIPS
โ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
๐ Minor pullback โ structure held firmly.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ก FRIDAY 19/12
โ
BUY +310 PIPS
โ
BUY +210 PIPS
โ
BUY +210 PIPS
โ๏ธ SELL - BE
โ
BUY +100 PIPS
๐ฅ Strong weekly close โ buyers in full control.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ธ BTCUSD WEEKEND BONUS
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BUY +1,100 PIPS
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๐ WEEKLY RECAP
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GOLD NET PIPS: +4,660
๐ช BTC BONUS: +1,100
๐ TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +5,760 PIPS
โ
32 Signals Counted
๐ 28 Wins | 4 SL | BE Shown (Not Counted)
๐ฏ Win Rate: 88%
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๐ฅ Another high-performance week โ controlled risk, strong swing execution, and disciplined entries across GOLD & BTC.
๐ Congratulations if you profited โ we keep building with precision.
โ ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team ๐๐
BTC Is Being Traded, Not TrendingBTC/USD โ 1H Brief Analysis
Bitcoin is locked inside a high-liquidity range, where price repeatedly sweeps both highs and lows without follow-through. Sharp moves are quickly faded, confirming rotation and order flow balance, not trend continuation.
Price is currently oscillating around the mid-range and key EMAs, showing indecision rather than strength or weakness. As long as BTC remains inside this box, the marketโs objective is simple: collect liquidity on both sides.
Key Read
No clean acceptance โ no trend
Breakout attempts are being sold
Dips are being absorbed, not extended
Expectation
More range rotation and false breaks until price decisively exits the zone.
Bottom Line
This is a liquidity environment.
Direction becomes tradable only after the range is resolved.
Gold Isnโt Stalling โ Itโs Loading Liquidity for BreakoutGOLD (XAUUSD) โ DETAILED TECHNICAL & MACRO ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
- Gold remains in a clear bullish market structure on the H1โH4 timeframes.
The impulsive leg that pushed price toward $4,380 confirms strong buyer dominance.
- Instead of rejecting sharply from the high, price has transitioned into a sideways-to-slightly-up consolidation, which is a classic continuation pattern, not distribution.
- Higher lows continue to form inside the range, showing controlled pullbacks rather than panic selling.
This behavior indicates acceptance near highs, which is a key characteristic of strong trends.
2. Key Price Zones & Liquidity Behavior
Resistance Zone: $4,350 โ $4,380
This zone is being tested multiple times without aggressive rejection.
Each pullback from resistance is becoming shallower, signaling supply absorption.
Sellers are active, but they are not in control.
Support Zone: $4,250 โ $4,270
Buyers consistently defend this zone.
No clean breakdown or high-volume sell-through has occurred.
This confirms that downside moves are corrective, not trend-reversing.
Liquidity Insight
Liquidity is building above the range highs.
Compression inside the box suggests the market is preparing for expansion, not exhaustion.
3. Price Action Interpretation
- Gold is forming a bullish consolidation below previous highs, often seen before breakouts.
- Volatility contraction inside the range implies energy buildup.
- Chasing price inside the range is low probability.
- Edge only appears on confirmation : a clean acceptance above resistance or a sweep-and-hold from support.
4. Macro Environment (Why Gold Is Supported)
Federal Reserve Policy
The Fed remains restrictive, but markets increasingly price rate cuts in 2025, not further hikes.
Real rates are no longer accelerating higher.
The โhigher-for-longerโ narrative is fully priced, reducing downside pressure on gold.
U.S. Dollar & Yields
The U.S. Dollar is struggling to extend its upside momentum.
Real yields have stabilized, removing a major headwind for gold.
This macro balance allows gold to hold elevated levels instead of correcting deeply.
Risk & Capital Flows
Risk assets (equities, crypto) remain volatile and rotational.
Capital is flowing toward defensive and hedging assets.
Central bank gold demand remains structurally strong.
Seasonality
Year-end and early Q1 historically favor gold due to:
Portfolio rebalancing
Lower liquidity amplifying moves
Institutional positioning for the new year
5. Scenario Outlook
Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Continued consolidation above support
Gradual pressure against resistance
Clean breakout โ new ATH above $4,380
Alternative Scenario
Another rejection from resistance
Range extension without breakdown
Structure remains bullish as long as $4,250 holds
Only a strong, high-volume breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis โ currently not supported by either price action or macro data.
6. Final Conclusion
Gold is not topping โ it is digesting gains.
Technically: bullish structure + acceptance near highs
Macro-wise: supportive environment, not restrictive
Behavior: accumulation and compression, not distribution
This is a macro-aligned continuation setup, where patience is rewarded and impulsive entries are punished.
Gold Is Not at a Top โ Itโs Compressing Below HistoryGold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure on H4, with a clear sequence of higher lows confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. After the impulsive leg up, price is now consolidating directly below the previous highest high around 4,380 a textbook bullish consolidation rather than a distribution phase. This range-bound movement shows that selling pressure is being absorbed, not expanded, as pullbacks remain shallow and demand consistently steps in. As long as price holds above the higher-low base of the consolidation, the broader bias stays bullish, and this sideways action should be viewed as a buildup of pressure. A clean acceptance above the 4,380 resistance zone would likely trigger continuation toward a new ATH, while failure to break simply extends the consolidation, not invalidates the trend. This is a wait for expansion environment patience is the trade.
ETH - at $8,000 โ the biggest review on TradingView.COINBASE:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSD CRYPTO:ETHUSD
Why will ETH cost $8,000? Let's figure it out.
The most comprehensive analysis of Ethereum on the TradingView platform. Cycles, metrics, patterns, technical analysis.
Let's break down the price of Ethereum by year, go back in time and use the PoC (Point of Control) tool to determine the bottom of each time period.
Let's switch to a weekly timeframe and drag the POC to April 2025 - what was the reaction from this level? Absolutely - long.
Next, we move closer to the current year. We pull up the PoC and see the following information: we are already close to the PoC level (at which there will be a 100% reaction!).
Now we start measuring everything by volatility (including time frames) and get the following picture.
I took into account all the momentum and time frames. I got a picture that, the cost of Ethereum by mid-2026 to early 2027 will be around $8,000.
ETH is currently forming a base, and it will continue to do so within this range (from $2,100 to $3,400).
Rising lows on the weekly timeframe:
Breaking through the daily downward trend line and testing it:
Bullish divergences on the daily timeframe:
Let's take a look at what Ethereum looks like on a weekly timeframe.
It's a large, huge 5-year sideways movement
Monthly timeframe:
Don't you think that the ETH has been drawing a beautiful structure for the past five years? The lows have been rising over the years! This is not a local 4-hour or daily timeframe, it is a monthly timeframe.
This tells me a lot.
A clear structure of an ascending triangle.
That's absolutely right. Important: That is not small timeframes, that is higher ones (weekly, monthly) - that says a lot! The higher timeframe always takes priority.
Let's move on to the metrics:
ETH.D - dominance, % of Ethereum's dominance over the entire crypto market.
What do we see? We are at the lower range, and there is enormous chance for growth.
ETHBTC โ Ethereum/Bitcoin pair. The picture is similar. We see that we are at the lower limit. There is chance for growth.
USDT.D โ stablecoin dominance in the current market phase. Weekly timeframe. Already in the overheated zone according to RSI. This means that in the coming months, the market will take a breath of fresh air, and stablecoins will pour into assets.
Conclusion:
- PoC zones. Globally, values are close to the bottom.
- Volatility confirming long-term growth prospects.
- Rising lows on the weekly TF along the trend. UP trend.
- Currently testing the daily trend (all locally).
- Bullish divergences on the daily timeframe, historically UP.
- Ascending triangle (weekly, 1-month timeframe).
- ETH dominance - practically at the bottom.
- ETH/BTC price - there is chance for growth.
- Cash dominance in the market is at a high level.
Historically, a fall in cash dominance in the market means UP (cash does not wait, cash flows into assets).
Of course, this is not financial advice or a recommendation. However, based on all the data, it is worth actively accumulating ETH at current prices ranging up to $2,100 per Ethereum coin.
As a bonus, here's a little psychology. The greed and fear index is at a critical point. Everyone is scared and uncertain. Historically, this is the best time to buy assets.
Ethereum: 2100-3000$
As a bonus, here's a little psychology. The greed and fear index is at a critical point. Everyone is scared and uncertain. Historically, this is the best time to buy assets.
Greed and Fear Index: 11
Bitcoin Is Trapped in a High-Liquidity RangeMarket Structure (H1)
Bitcoin is currently locked inside a clearly defined range, capped by a heavy resistance zone around 90,500 and supported by a well-defended demand area near 85,200. Price action inside this box is choppy and overlapping, with repeated sweeps of both highs and lows โ a classic liquidity-building environment rather than a trending phase.
The sharp sell-off from the left side of the chart established a lower structural regime, after which BTC transitioned into sideways rotation. Each bounce toward resistance fails to achieve acceptance, while each dip into support is aggressively defended. This confirms balance, not strength or weakness.
Liquidity & Price Behavior
The green projected swings highlight how price is likely to continue oscillating between resistance and support, hunting liquidity on both sides. This behavior typically precedes a range expansion, but until a clean breakout occurs, moves inside the range remain low-probability and noise-driven.
Macro & U.S. Policy Context
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin remains constrained by unfavorable U.S. conditions:
The Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive policy stance, keeping real yields elevated.
A relatively strong USD continues to pressure risk assets.
Liquidity conditions remain tight, reducing follow-through on upside attempts.
These factors explain why BTC struggles to accept above resistance despite multiple tests โ macro headwinds are capping momentum.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not trending it is accumulating liquidity.
Above 90,500 with acceptance โ upside expansion becomes likely.
Failure at resistance โ continued rotation and potential downside sweep toward support.
Until price leaves the range with intent, patience is the edge.
SOL: Range trading. This is not a trading setup!NOT A TRADING SETUP! Trading plan: If a model similar to the one shown on the chart forms, then we are more likely to reach the upper limit of the range.
We are closely monitoring the development of this model on the four-hour timeframe.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P






















