STXUSDT.P โ 14.05.2026 Phase 2 Trade Setup
Price spent an extended period consolidating within the 0.25โ0.27 range before breaking out and pushing to the 0.29 resistance zone. It has since pulled back and found support at the 0.25 level โ a zone that held as strong demand.
๐ Current Situation:
Price is now sitting directly on top of the EMA 50 in a flat/sideways structure. The EMA 50 itself is not yet clearly sloping upward, and MACD momentum remains weak, with the histogram and signal line showing no strong conviction yet.
๐ฏ What I Need to See for a Long Entry:
โข A clean bullish break and hold above the 0.25 zone
โข EMA 50 is beginning to slope upward with the price sustained above it
โข MACD line crossing above signal line with at least 2 consecutive green histogram bars (no fading greens on entry)
โข Entry candle: hammer, bullish engulfing, or two consecutive green candles, no pump candles
โ ๏ธ No trade until full confluence is confirmed. Currently on watch only.
TP: 0.2834 area (nearest resistance)
SL: Max 3 candles below entry / just below EMA 50 (5โ7% range)
Leverage: โค 20x
Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.
Analyse
XAUUSD Bullish ContinuationGold is holding above key support after a strong bullish market structure shift. Buyers remain active near the demand zone, with price targeting the 4760โ4772 resistance area. A confirmed breakout could lead to further upside momentum. Trade with proper confirmation and risk management.
chart (Gold M30)...chart (Gold M30):
Price is reacting from a descending trendline and also rejecting near resistance. The arrow my marked suggests a short move toward the rising support.
Bearish scenario (more likely from this setup):
Entry zone: around 4635โ4650 (rejection area)
Target 1: 4600
Target 2: 4570
Target 3 (strong support): 4555โ4545
That 4555โ4560 zone matches my drawn support + previous structure โ good main target.
XAUUSD: Relief Bounce Into Trap? Smart Money Preparing Next DropXAUUSD (Gold) is currently in a post-liquidity reaction phase after a strong bearish expansion that pushed price into the 4500 demand zone. Following this move, price is forming a relief bounce, which is a typical behavior after liquidity is taken.
At the moment, price is approaching a key liquidity rebalance / sell zone between 4620 โ 4670, where smart money is likely to distribute positions again. This zone aligns with EMA resistance, previous supply, and market structure, making it a high-probability area for bearish continuation.
๐ด Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Relief bounce โ trap buyers โ rejection โ continuation to the downside
If price fails to break and hold above this zone, we can expect a continuation toward the 4500 liquidity zone and potentially lower levels.
๐ก Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks structure and sustains above the sell zone, a short-term bullish move or deeper correction may develop.
โ ๏ธ Important Trading Insight:
This is NOT a buying zone โ it is a decision and trap zone.
Most retail traders will chase the bounce, while experienced traders wait for confirmation and trade with the dominant trend.
This analysis is based on price action, liquidity concepts, smart money behavior, and trend structure, focusing on high-probability setups rather than emotional entries.
๐ฏ KEY LEVELS
Sell Zone: 4620 โ 4670
Current Reaction Zone: 4500 โ 4550
Bearish Target: 4500 โ possible liquidity sweep below
(ETH/USD 1H), price...(ETH/USD 1H), price is forming a symmetrical triangle / descending trendline breakout setup.
๐ Key Levels & Targets:
๐น Current Price: ~2256
๐ Bullish Targets (if breakout above triangle + trendline):
TP1: 2320 โ 2340 (first resistance zone)
TP2: 2400 โ 2420 (major supply / highlighted zone)
TP3: 2440+ (extended move if strong momentum)
๐ Bearish Scenario (if support breaks):
SL zone / breakdown: below 2230
Downside targets:
2200
2160
โก Setup Idea:
Wait for clear breakout + candle close above trendline (~2300 area)
Retest confirmation = stronger entry
EURUSD (1H) chart...EURUSD (1H) chart:
Structure:
Overall bearish trend (descending trendline intact)
Price just rejected trendline resistance
Lower high formed โ continuation likely
Your marked demand (grey zone) is the draw
๐ฏ Bearish Targets:
First target: 1.1680 (minor intraday support)
Main target: 1.1650 zone (your marked demand + liquidity)
Extended target: 1.1620 (if 1.1650 breaks)
โ Invalidation:
Clean break & hold above 1.1735โ1.1750 โ bearish idea fails
Summary:
Bias = sell
Most probable move: continuation down into 1.1650 liquidity zone
WTI (1H) inside a rising channel...WTI (1H) inside a rising channel, and price just pulled back into mid-support.
Structure read:
Trend = bullish (higher highs & higher lows)
Price reacting from channel mid-zone (grey demand)
Previous high near 109โ110 is key liquidity
๐ฏ Bullish Targets:
First target: 107.50 (minor resistance / recent lower high)
Main target: 109.50 โ 110.00 (channel top + liquidity)
Extended target: 111.50โ112.00 (if breakout above channel)
โ Invalidation:
Clean break below 103.50โ103.00 support โ bullish setup weakens
Below that โ possible drop to 101.50
Summary:
Bias = buy on dips
Most likely move: push back toward 109โ110 zone
(Gold, 1H), structure ...(Gold, 1H), structure is bearish with a clear descending trendline + supply zone rejection.
Key observations:
Price rejected the red supply zone (~4,650โ4,680)
Lower highs are intact
Weak bounce, no strong bullish continuation
Down arrow already aligns with structure
๐ฏ Bearish Targets:
First target: 4,560 (recent minor support / reaction zone)
Main target: 4,520 (my marked grey demand zone)
Extended target: 4,480 (if 4,520 breaks cleanly)
โ Invalidation:
Break and close above 4,650โ4,680 zone โ bearish idea weakens
Summary:
Bias stays sell-side unless price breaks supply.
Most probable move: push down into 4,520 zone, possible liquidity sweep there.
Gold (XAUUSD) Update: Why This Drop Is NOT FinishedXAUUSD (Gold) analysis on the 1H timeframe shows a clear bearish expansion phase, with price continuing to form lower highs and respecting key resistance zones.
After a strong downside move, the market is now showing a pullback structure, which aligns with a typical sell-on-pullbacks strategy in a bearish trend.
๐ด Market Structure:
Bearish trend intact (lower highs & lower lows)
Strong rejection from supply / liquidity zone
EMAs aligned for downside continuation
Momentum still weak despite short-term bounce
๐ฏ Scenario 1 (High Probability):
Pullback โ Rejection โ Continuation lower
Targets:
โข 4600 (intermediate level)
โข 4500 (major liquidity zone)
๐ก Scenario 2 (Alternative):
Price sweeps highs into liquidity zone โ traps buyers โ sharp sell-off continues
โ ๏ธ Current move is a pullback โ NOT a reversal.
Patience is key: wait for confirmation before entering trades.
๐ง Key Insight:
Most traders buy during pullbacksโฆ
But experienced traders wait and sell into strength.
๐ Full breakdown shown on chart โ follow structure, not emotions.
#XAUUSD analysis #Gold price forecast #Smart money concept
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects current market structure. Always manage your risk.
XAUUSD / Gold (2H) โ Bearish Continuation...๐ XAUUSD / Gold (2H) โ Bearish Continuation
๐ Market Structure
Clear downtrend (lower highs + lower lows)
Trendline resistance respected
Strong break below support zone (โ4660โ4670)
Now forming bearish continuation below resistance
๐ฏ Targets
๐ป TP1 (Immediate Target):
โก๏ธ 4520 โ 4500
Short-term support / reaction zone
๐ป TP2 (Mid Target):
โก๏ธ 4470 โ 4450
Previous demand area
๐ป TP3 (Final Target ๐ฏ):
โก๏ธ 4400 โ 4380
Strong liquidity zone (matches my marked target)
๐ Sell Zone (Best Entry)
โก๏ธ 4580 โ 4620
Retest of broken support โ now resistance
โ ๏ธ Invalidation
โก๏ธ Above 4680 โ bearish structure weakens
๐ Setup Summary
Bias: Bearish ๐ด
Strategy: Sell on pullback
Confirmation: Rejection from 4600 zone
GBPUSD (1H) chart...GBPUSD (1H) chart:
๐ Structure:
Market is range-bound overall
Recently rejected from 1.3550โ1.3540 supply zone
Price now around 1.3514 after a drop โ possible pullback or continuation
๐ฏ Targets:
๐ฝ Bearish continuation:
1.3490 โ 1.3480 โ minor support
1.3460 โ strong demand zone (my grey area) โ
1.3430 โ if strong sell pressure continues
๐ผ Bullish pullback:
1.3535 โ 1.3545 โ key resistance retest
1.3580 โ higher supply
1.3600 โ major resistance
๐ Trade idea:
Below 1.3540 โ bearish bias
Best move is sell on pullback, not chasing price
(15m Gold)...(15m Gold):
Clear downtrend (trendline respected)
Strong break of support zone ~4680
Now price around 4595 after a sharp drop
๐ฏ Targets based on structure:
Upside (pullback target):
4635 โ 4645 โ retest of broken support (now resistance) โ
(your marked target looks correct)
Downside (if bearish continues):
4575 โ 4560 โ next support zone
4530 โ deeper continuation level
๐ Simple idea:
Market is bearish
Any move up is likely a pullback (sell opportunity) unless trendline breaks
BTCUSD 1H setup...BTCUSD 1H setup is clearly bearish after trendline break + distribution range ๐
I have got:
Break of ascending trendline
Rejection from supply (red zone)
Lower highs forming โ continuation likely
๐ฏ Targets (sell continuation)
TP1: 75,500 โ 75,800
โ Minor support / recent reaction lows
TP2 (main target): 73,800 โ 74,200
โ my marked target zone + major support / liquidity pool
TP3 (extended): 72,800 โ 73,200
โ If strong momentum continues (liquidity sweep below range)
๐ง Structure logic
Range (yellow box) โ distribution
Fake breakout above โ liquidity grab
Strong drop = smart money shift bearish
Now price likely to seek liquidity at range lows (~74K)
โ Invalidation
1H close above 77,200 โ 77,500
Reclaim of supply zone (red box)
๐งญ Bias
Sell rallies, not bottoms
Best entries: pullback into 76,800 โ 77,200
EURUSD 1H chart ...EURUSD 1H chart ๐
Whatโs happening
Clear descending trendline resistance
Price just rejected near the trendline (~1.1740โ1.1750 area)
I have marked a support/demand zone around 1.1650
Overall structure: lower highs โ bearish bias
๐ฏ Downside Targets
๐ฏ Target 1 (primary support)
โ 1.1650
My marked demand zone
High probability reaction level
Good first take-profit
๐ฏ Target 2 (breakdown continuation)
โ 1.1620 โ 1.1600
Previous lows
Liquidity below support
If 1.1650 breaks cleanly
๐ฏ Target 3 (extended move)
โ 1.1550
Higher timeframe support
Only if strong bearish momentum continues
โ Invalidation
Break and hold above 1.1750 โ 1.1760
Clean breakout of trendline = bearish idea weakens
Clean Summary
TP1: 1.1650
TP2: 1.1620โ1.1600
TP3: 1.1550
SMC Outlook: Gold Accumulation Phase Before Bullish ContinuationGold is currently trading near a strong POI (Point of Interest) around the 4670 โ 4685 zone, which aligns with previous demand and liquidity areas. Market has been forming lower highs, indicating short-term bearish pressure, but price is now sitting at a key reaction zone.
A liquidity sweep (SSL) below recent lows is likely before any strong move. If price holds this demand and shows confirmation, we can expect a bullish expansion.
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Zone (POI): 4670 โ 4685
* Intraday Resistance: 4725 โ 4750
* Breakout Confirmation (BOS): Above 4800
* Major Target: 4890 โ 4900
๐ Market Expectation:
* First: Possible fake breakdown / liquidity grab below 4670
* Then: Strong reversal towards 4750 โ 4800 โ 4900
โ ๏ธ If price breaks and sustains below 4650, bullish setup becomes weak and further downside can continue.
โธป
Note: This is a structure-based analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
Not Financial Advice
EURUSD 1H chart...EURUSD 1H, price is rejecting a strong resistance zone (~1.1750) and still respecting the overall downtrend line โ short bias looks valid.
Current price: ~1.1722
Key levels:
Resistance: 1.1745 โ 1.1760
Support: 1.1690 โ 1.1680 (highlighted demand zone)
Targets (sell scenario):
๐ฏ First target: 1.1700
๐ฏ Second target: 1.1685
๐ฏ Final target: 1.1665 โ 1.1650
Idea:
Lower highs + trendline rejection = bearish continuation
If price breaks 1.1700, downside momentum can accelerate
Invalidation:
Clean break above 1.1760 โ bearish setup fails
Gold 1H chart...Gold 1H chart is showing a possible bullish reversal from support with a projected move upward.
Current price: ~4681
Key zones:
Support: 4660โ4670 (recent bounce area)
Resistance 1: 4740โ4760
Resistance 2: 4820โ4840 (major supply zone)
Targets:
๐ฏ First target: 4740โ4760
๐ฏ Second target: 4800
๐ฏ Final target: 4820โ4840
Setup idea:
Price is forming higher lows โ bullish structure building
If it holds above 4660 and breaks 4740 โ strong move toward 4800+
Invalidation:
Break below 4650 โ bullish idea weak
USD/JPY (1H) Sell Setup Target...USD/JPY (1H) Sell Setup Target.
Entry Zone: 159.20 โ 159.40
Target 1: 158.90
Target 2: 158.50
Target 3: 158.00 (main support zone)
Stop Loss: 159.75 above resistance
Analysis: Price has broken below the rising trendline and is showing weakness under resistance. If bearish pressure continues, downside move toward 158.00 is possible. If price breaks above 159.75, sell setup weakens.
Why are you losing: you are not trading YOUR time frame!๐ Why timeframe is the basis of trading?
Many beginners think that the secret to profitable trading is in indicators, signals or a โsecret strategyโ.
But the reality is simpler and harsher:
You may be right in your forecast...but lose money because of the time frame.
Because the market moves in several directions at the same time!
At 1H - growth
At 5M - drop
On D1 - sideways
And they are all correct at the same time.
What is a timeframe?
The timeframe is the โscaleโ of the market.
The same thing applies if we present a map of the planet.
For example, the text inscription on the map is โ1 cm - 30 kmโ. This is the easiest way to quickly estimate distance.
Unlike paper maps, we can view the chart under a magnifying glass:
M1-M5 (timeframe 1-5 minutes) โ noise and fast movements
M15-H1 (time frames up to 1 hour, volatile environment) โ intraday logic
H4-D1 (time frames several hours to 1 day) โ medium-term trends
W1-M1 (time frames from 1 week to several months) โ global picture.
โผ๏ธ The larger the time frame, the more important it is!
W1 - much more important globally than M15
๐ Example (how beginners lose money)
You see:
On M5 - strong growth ๐โ go long
But on H1:
price at resistanceโ market turns around
๐ Result: stop (at best)
You were not mistaken...You just traded the wrong time frame and because of this the price quickly returned to the stop.
How does a beginner and an experienced trader see a chart?
Newbie:
M5: Growth +5%:
Woow the rocket! A strong trend is starting.
Experienced:
Growth +5%:
What happened? Why price up?
M5: There seems to be momentum, me need to be ready to quickly open a trade.
H1: On the hourly time frame, the price tends to correct downwards.
D1-W1: But globally, the trend is downward.
Not good deal for invest, but good momentum for trading if you have profitable strategy.
The right approach: Top to bottom!
W1-ะ1 โ determination of the global trend (up or down?!)
The first thing you need to start analyzing is ANY ASSET on the market.
D1 โ where is the market heading in the coming months?
H1 โ where are the nearest levels of support and comparison?
M15 โ where is the nearest best trade entry?
This is called multi-timeframe analysis.
โ๏ธ How to choose your timeframe
Here's where most break down:
๐นScalper (the most difficult, as you need to compete with trading robots)
* Timeframe: M1โM5
* Deals: many
* Stress: very high
๐น Day trader
* Timeframe: M15โH1
* Trades: 1โ5 per day
* Balance of risk
๐น Swing trader
* Timeframe: H4โD1
*Deals: 1โ5 per week
* Minimum noise
Each trader has his own suitable time frame.
The number of transactions means nothing!
You can open 100 trades and 99 of them will be negative.
Or you can study the market in detail and open just one trade with a risk/profit of 1/10, which will bring big profits.
And if you are not trading your time frame: you're nervous, close early, you come in late, catch your feet.
Golden Rule: Timeframes should match, not conflict
Example: Price 100$.
Analysis by timeframe:
* D1 โ upward trend (this means it is advisable to open longs)
* H1 โ rollback down to $90 (buy, support and resistance zones)
* M15 โ search for the entry point into a trade.
This is a strong deal
The most common mistakes made by newbies
1) Watch 10 timeframes at once
2) Enter on the junior against the senior
3) Change style every day
4) Trade โaccording to your moodโ
๐ Summary
A timeframe is more than just setting up a chart.
This is your style, your psychology, your strategy. Find yours and 50% of problems will disappear immediately.
The best asset that always grows against all currencies is Gold OANDA:XAUUSD
Its most often more profitable to trade long and accumulate for the long term.
I recommended buying gold in October 2023, when it cost ~$1900 - post in pinned messages.
XAUUSD - Current ViewPrice is still holding its recovery structure after the sharp sell-off, and the short-term bias remains tilted towards bullish continuation, as long as the 4,767 โ 4,750 area is not decisively broken.
On the left-hand chart, price has already delivered a liquidity sweep around 4,781, then reacted well from the fib 0.5 region and the lower liquidity zone. That suggests buyers are still defending the discount area rather than allowing a full breakdown. The current consolidation above that reclaimed zone also looks more like absorption before another push higher.
On the higher-timeframe chart to the right, price has recovered from the deeper low and is now trading back into an important neutral area. If it continues to hold above 4,781, the market is likely to follow the bullish path and push towards the upper supply zones.
Main scenario
โ Hold above 4,781
โ A minor dip into 4,770 โ 4,767 remains possible for liquidity collection
โ Then continuation towards 4,810, followed by an extension into 4,856
โ If momentum expands, the higher target sits around 4,888 โ 4,890
Invalidation
โ If price breaks decisively below 4,750
โ The short-term bullish bias is invalidated
โ In that case, the market may rotate back into the lower liquidity zone before finding a new balance
Conclusion
For now, this still looks like a buy-the-dip structure rather than a place to chase price aggressively. As long as price remains above 4,767 โ 4,750, the probability still favours continuation to the upside.
XAUUSDGold is currently pulling back after reaching the 4840โ4850 resistance zone. For now, this decline still looks more like a breakout backtest rather than a complete bearish reversal.
The key area to watch is 4736โ4740. If price holds this zone, the short-term bullish structure remains valid and gold may continue higher towards 4800, followed by 4850 and potentially beyond.
On the other hand, if price breaks decisively below 4736, bullish momentum would weaken and the market could extend lower towards 4722 before finding balance again.
Outlook:
I still favour a bullish continuation scenario after the pullback, as long as the 4736 zone remains intact.
Bitcoin Monthly โ Drop First, Then New Highs?On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin is showing signs of a major corrective phase after forming a strong impulsive move toward the recent highs. The rejection from the upper zone indicates weakening bullish momentum, suggesting that the market may not continue upward immediately.
Price is likely to follow a corrective structure, with a potential move toward the 0.618โ0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone (โ58Kโ40K). This area aligns with a strong demand zone, making it a key region for potential accumulation.
If Bitcoin successfully holds this zone, it could trigger a massive bullish continuation, targeting new highs above 120K+ in the long term. However, failure to hold support may lead to a deeper correction before any bullish recovery.
Overall, the higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but a healthy pullback is expected before the next major rally. not financial advice






















