XAUUSD/Gold on 3rd May 2025As yesterday I posted that golds is in major uptrend and it is still active. On daily timeframe gold made breakout upward direction of channel and 3382. As I said gold made gap wile opening on Monday so it was strongly bullish, now we want it to fill the gap. And did it is first rejection and coming down. No gold is trading at 3360-65 range, and it is support, soon if it get's break toward downward then price can surge to 3323-3330. Waiting for confirmation and then execute trade.
Key point.
Support - 3364, 3330, 3313
Resistance - 3386, 3400, 3414
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Analyse
The volatility is an illusion, and gold is brewing major changesGold fluctuated downward in the Asian session on Friday, while it remained in the range of 3287-3303 in the European session. Although it tried to break through the short-term pressure level of 3300-3306 many times, it has never been able to stand firmly. I arranged to go long at 3288-3289 in advance, notified to enter the market at the point, and finally reached the target of 3303 perfectly, earning 15 points of profit! Quick, accurate and ruthless, with the right idea, profit-taking is as easy as drinking water! Therefore, it is recommended that we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3290-3285 below. If the price fails to break through the support range like in the early trading, you can consider trying to enter the long position.
Given that today is Friday, the market volatility may be "demon-like", so you need to be extra cautious in operation and pay close attention to the changes in the market. At the same time, you must keep in mind the principle of "taking profits for safety"-lock in profits in time when you can see them, and don't easily bet on trends that you don't understand. If your current gold operation effect is not ideal, I hope my analysis can help you avoid some detours. Welcome to communicate at any time!
Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify.
From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
Gold retested as expected, what to do next?
Gold rebounded from 3308 in the US market and fell to 3272. The recent market is good-looking but difficult to do. The long and short positions are repeatedly washed. The monthly line basically closed at the cross star. Under the fierce game between long and short positions, the performance was balanced.
The short-term hourly line is only a single negative line that fell rapidly, and it does not have downward continuity. The high point of the US market rebound is around 3302. If you want to participate, you can go short when it reaches around 3302. As of press time, gold is accumulating strength around 3293. If you step back below, you can rely on the low point for defense.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short!
📊Comment analysis
Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion, so gold did not continue to rise today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested, and the 1-hour moving average of gold has also begun to turn downward and has not crossed upward, so the momentum of gold shorts has begun to increase, and gold rebounds and continues to be short. After gold surged, it has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Therefore, gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short at highs under pressure at 3310.
💰Strategy Package
US trading operation ideas:
Gold 3304-3310 short, stop loss 3315, target 3280-3270-3260;
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold awaits tariff volatility!
📌 Driving Events
Gold rebounded from a weekly low near $3,245 and broke through the $3,300 mark on Thursday, boosted by optimism following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and a U.S. court ruling halting President Trump's proposed tariffs.
Gold fell on Friday as the dollar rose slightly, while investors await a U.S. inflation report that could provide further insights into the Fed's policy trajectory.
📊 Commentary Analysis
The market continued to fall for an hour, fluctuating back and forth, lacking continuity - it rose yesterday and fell today. Gold rebounded above $3,320 in early trading before retreating. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is still dominated by range fluctuations rather than unilateral gains or losses.
I think shorting gold should be considered today, with support below at $3,280-3,270-3,260. However, prices may struggle to make new lows. As today is the monthly close, large fluctuations suggest that we should avoid chasing ups and downs.
💰Strategy plan
XAUUSD
Sell: 3330-3320-3310
tp: 3300-3290-3280
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline.
Gold/USD
Sales @3270-3280
TP: 3250-3240
sl: 3290
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Golden Jedi counterattack! Key support ignites the bull engine📌 Gold Technical Analysis & Operation Strategy Update
Gold bottomed out and rebounded as expected, and the trend basically met recent expectations - oscillating upward around the support range below.
💡 Key Point Review
Today, gold opened at around 3300, with a minimum of 3291, and then rebounded, reaching a maximum of 3325. The overall trend still fluctuates within the range, with strong support below and obvious suppression above, and the overall performance is a narrow range of fluctuations.
📉 4-hour chart analysis
Support focus: 3285-3295 area
Pressure focus: 3330-3340 area
Short-term long-short watershed: 3275-3283 line
🔎 Before effectively falling below the watershed, it is still mainly seen as range fluctuations, and the high-altitude low-multiple strategy continues to be implemented.
📈 Operation strategy suggestions
1️⃣ Try to go long with a light position if the price falls back to 3295-3300
2️⃣ If the price falls back to 3280-3285, you can add to your position appropriately
🎯 Target focus: 3316-3320, and look to 3330-3340 after breaking through
⚠️ Risk control suggestions: strictly set stop loss, control position, and prevent the risk of range breakout.
How to seize this golden short-term opportunity!Yesterday, gold continued to fall from its highs, and the short-term trend was in line with our expectations. The lowest price of gold yesterday hit around 3285, which was also the long area given in yesterday's analysis. In addition, the secondary layout of long orders in yesterday's analysis brought us good returns.
At present, gold is in a rebound stage as a whole. Although the momentum and amplitude of the rebound have not increased significantly, this trend has shown signs of a gradual recovery in the market. In terms of short-term operations, it is recommended to follow the trend and wait for the price to fall back before choosing an opportunity to go long. Yesterday, the gold price fell again to around the 3285 mark and received effective support. Today, we still need to focus on the support performance of this area.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, today's gold price relies on this area as a short-term strength and weakness dividing line for long and short layout. The lower support focuses on the 3275-3283 range, and the upper pressure is around 3316-3320. The short-term key watershed is around 3275-3280. As long as the daily level does not effectively fall below this area, the overall judgment of the long and short shock range is still maintained. In terms of operation, the "high-altitude and low-multiple" rotation idea will continue to be the main focus. If the market situation or rhythm changes, the strategy will be adjusted in time according to the actual market situation and will be notified separately.
Gold operation strategy reference:
1. If gold falls back to the 3275-3285 area, you can consider placing long orders, with the target at 3316-3320.
2. If gold rebounds to the 3316-3321 area, you can try to short with a light position, with the target at 3288-3290.
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone
The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level.
Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285
📌 Driving events
On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed.
From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280.
💰Strategy Package
Operation strategy;
Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285
Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold 3315 gains and losses are the key
📌 Driving events
From the news perspective, data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed that U.S. durable goods orders in April plunged 6.3% month-on-month, with an expected value of -7.8% and a previous value revised from 9.20% to 7.50%. Volatile commercial aircraft orders plunged 51.5% in April after rising in March. Boeing said it received only eight aircraft orders in April, the lowest since May 2024, far lower than the 192 orders in March, the highest since 2023. Affected by the sharp drop in commercial aircraft orders, U.S. durable goods orders fell more than expected in April, with core capital goods orders (excluding aircraft and military hardware) falling 1.3%, the biggest drop since October last year. Under the influence of uncertainty in tariffs and tax policies, corporate investment willingness is weakening.
Through the data, it is not difficult to find that American companies have shown obvious caution in assessing the demand outlook and have shifted their focus to cost reduction, which directly reflects the impact of uncertainty brought about by Trump's trade policy. At the same time, the tax legislation being debated in Congress has also put companies on the sidelines, further suppressing the impulse to invest.
📊Comment Analysis
After the pullback on Monday this week, the decline accelerated on Tuesday, and the continuous decline came back, changing the strong upward trend of last week
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operation, in the short term, long and short operations can be carried out in the range of 3315-3297 US dollars, and the support position of 3285/80 should be paid attention to below; medium and long-term investors can buy on dips and take advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of weak US dollars to gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
3278-3320 key position is mainly high sell low buyAt present, gold rebounded after falling back to 3287, and fluctuated around 3300 in the short term. Pay attention to the support area of 3278-3283 below. If it does not break this area, you can still try to go long in the short term. After all, from a technical point of view, the decline during the day is a correction and adjustment to the previous rise.
From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term focus is on the suppression of the 3316-3320 area, and the lower focus is on the support of 3278-3283. In terms of operation ideas, continue to maintain the interval strategy of "high-altitude and low-multiple", rely on key positions to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for effective signals before entering the market. If the structure or rhythm of the market changes, the strategy will be adjusted in time and notified separately.
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark
📌 Driving events
The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events:
First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned
Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices.
Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330.
📊Commentary Analysis
This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk.
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold hits around 3280, please go long in the short term
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell more than 0.50% on Monday as demand for safe-haven assets decreased after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a postponement of tariffs on the European Union. Trading activity remained subdued as the U.S. and UK markets were closed for public holidays. As of this writing, the gold/dollar exchange rate was around $3,294. Trump issued a statement on Sunday, postponing the date of the 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9, and market sentiment improved. As a result, gold prices came under pressure and fell after a sharp rise of 4.86% last week (the strongest weekly performance since early April)
📊Commentary Analysis
Focus on the support level of 3285/80. If this area is touched for the first time, go long
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling area: 3345-3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3333
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3308
🔥Buying area: $3280-$3285 SL $3275
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How will the short-term trend of gold develop?From a technical perspective, the overall volatility is limited. In the near future, the upper side is under pressure from the trend line, and the lower side is affected by the 4-hour middle track support. The overall trend is maintained in the range of 3365-3322. The current monthly line is approaching its closing, and the short-term market is temporarily in a high-level oscillation stage. In the 4-hour cycle, the price range is gradually narrowing, waiting for a directional breakthrough. The lower support focuses on the 3325-3320 middle track position and the previous top and bottom conversion support of the 3308 line; the upper pressure focuses on the 3352 and 3365 areas. After a slight high opening, it weakened. The overall idea is still to treat it as a wide range of fluctuations. It is recommended to be long and short in operation, and adjust the strategy after breaking through.
Operation suggestion: Go long near 3330-3323, and the target is 3340 and 3352;
If the pressure near 3352 is not broken, consider shorting, and the target is to fall back to the 3330 line.
Short term is still dominated by short positions!Although the easing of trade tensions in the short term has led to a correction in gold prices, the three core factors supporting the strength of gold still exist: expectations of loose global monetary policy, rising geopolitical risks, and the long-term weakening trend of the US dollar. In particular, the market expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain loose monetary policy will continue to provide momentum for gold to rise.
From the daily chart, the price of gold has shown a clear upward trend since this year. Although there have been several corrections in the middle, the bulls still control the medium and long-term market. After the previous rise in the H4 cycle, it is not so strong now. Instead, it is a volatile trend. The Bollinger band is closed, and the trend strength still needs market stimulation to rise again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn, so the rising strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The high point of the 1-hour rebound of gold has been getting lower and lower, and the low point has also begun to fall. The 1-hour gold has begun to fluctuate downward. The downward trend of the gold rebound is suppressed near 3340. Gold rebounds near 3340 and can still be shorted.
GBPCHF: Long Setup – Bounce from Trendline + EMA CrossThe price has bounced from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and confirmed a bullish reversal after EMA cross. Current momentum supports a long position.
📌 Entry: Market buy (current price ~1.1142)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 1.1291 – minor resistance
TP2: 1.1394 – upper channel border
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below 1.1090 (under channel + EMAs)
This setup favors continuation of the bullish trend after liquidity grab and structure shift.
Going long on pullbacks remains the mainstream.Fundamentals: Risk aversion is still the mainstream in the current market; risk aversion funds and risk aversion sentiment are still dominant in the gold market; although risk aversion and bullish sentiment have weakened at the war and trade war levels; the overall global fundamentals have not returned to their original state; behind various small fundamentals, there is still the possibility of triggering various risk events
Gold continued to rise on Friday due to the rise in risk aversion caused by tariffs, and the price of gold continued to rise to around 3365, and the daily line closed with a full big positive line again. If gold can successfully break through and stabilize in the 3360-3365 range in the future, the bull market is expected to regain its dominant position.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the price of gold continues to rise based on the unilateral moving average. Although there is a temporary divergence in the current indicators, in terms of form, the price of gold has achieved a short-term break. Next Monday, it is necessary to focus on the support strength of the 3345-3335 position, and the upper pressure range is maintained at 3365-3375. Do not blindly chase the rise before successfully breaking through and stabilizing. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to wait for the opportunity to step back, buy on dips, and continue to be bullish on gold prices. If gold can continue its strong performance next week, it is expected to test the previous high of 3430-3440 again.
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3335
TP3: $3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Plan ahead Sell high and buy low to take the lead.Yesterday, the technical side of gold rose first and then fell. We directly arranged 3327 long orders to take profit and exit at 3340. After further accelerating to break through the 3345 mark, it fell under pressure and fell rapidly. We also successfully shorted at 3341, and the target successfully reached 3330-20. The European session continued to fall and broke through the 3300 mark and continued to fall to around 3280 to stabilize and rebound. We went long at 3280, and the target was 3300-3306. The daily K-line closed at a high and fell back to oscillate in the middle. The overall gold price was suppressed and oscillated at the 3345 mark in the short term. Yesterday's three orders also reached the take-profit target as expected.
From the 4-hour market analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is around 3315-3320. If the upper pressure 3315-3320 is not broken, shorting can also be done. Focus on yesterday's high pressure of 3345. The support level below is still 3280-3275. If it breaks down, pay attention to 3255-3250. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles during the day. Observe more and move less in the middle position, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Operation suggestions:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3285-3275, and look up to 3300 and 3315.
2. Go short when gold rebounds to 3340-3345, and look down to 3325 and 3315.
XAUUSD Bull flag/ Break out or rejectionCurrently on the 4hour chart I have notice a bull flag forming, we are currently in a critical phase where price may break out to the upside or be rejected to anywhere as low as 3235 or even lower.
If price is rejected this could be the final leg down before we break out of the bull flag.
Gold bulls push prices to around 3355
📌 Driving events
Gold prices rose more than 0.50% and held above the $3,300 mark, driven by renewed safe-haven demand and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. As of writing, gold/USD is trading around $3,317, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,285.
Market sentiment remains fragile, with US stocks falling into negative territory and US Treasury yields slightly higher. All eyes are on the upcoming vote on President Trump's tax reform plan. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the plan could lead to an approximately $3.8 trillion expansion of the US national debt. Uncertainty about the fiscal outlook continues to stimulate demand for gold as a defensive asset.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price recovery is good, pay attention to the 3358 price area, adjust downward, and continue to accumulate funds around 3300
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell gold area: 3358-3360 SL 3365
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3337
TP3: $3322
🔥Buy gold area: $3284-$3276 SL $3270
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3320
TP3: $3340
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
The unilateral offensive is fierce: the bulls have clear goalsGold is performing strongly sideways. We are in the same rhythm as yesterday and continue to maintain bullishness. Gold broke through the key resistance of 3280 on Tuesday and then rose strongly. It is currently above the area near 3330. The technical side shows that the bullish trend continues. The next target may point to the high of 3400. After rising continuously on Monday and Tuesday, it slightly adjusted back to around 3285 on Wednesday and stabilized before rising again. The daily line closed positive and stood firmly on the middle track. The Bollinger band opened upward, and the upper track pressure was at 3400, suggesting that the medium-term upward space is open. The Bollinger band opened significantly, the moving average was arranged in a bullish pattern, and the upward momentum was strong. Short-term support focuses on the moving average at 3315. If the correction does not break this position, the trend long order can follow up. If the key resistance of 3350 is effectively broken, it will further open up the upward space.
Gold operation suggestions: continue to go long after stepping back to 3320-3315, with a target of 3350. If it rises to around 3350 without breaking, you can arrange short-term short orders, with a target of 3330.






















