XAUUSD Bullish Trend in Play — Path Open Toward 4,300 TargetHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAU/USD (Gold) based on the current market structure. Gold remains in a broader bullish trend, supported by a clearly defined rising Trend Line that has guided price action since the beginning of the impulsive move. After the initial breakout from the Support Level, the market formed a well-structured range, followed by a corrective pullback and another consolidation phase, confirming healthy bullish rotation. Price is currently trading above the key Support Level near 4,140, while attempting to stabilize above the rising Support Line, which keeps buyers in control of the short-term structure. The recent breakout from the second range indicates renewed bullish momentum, with price now approaching the major Resistance Level around 4,260–4,270. As long as Gold holds above the support zone and respects the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. The structure suggests continued pressure toward the upside, with TP1 positioned near 4,300, which aligns with the next key resistance area. A clean breakout above this level could open the door for further trend continuation and higher upside targets. However, a failure to hold the Support Line could lead to a deeper pullback toward the lower support zone. For now, the technical structure favors the buyers, with bulls aiming for a retest and breakout of the 4,260–4,300 resistance zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Analysis
BTCUSDT: Failed Recovery Opens Path to 87,000 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT is trading inside a broader ascending channel, but the recent price action shows clear signs of weakness near the upper structure. Price previously attempted a breakout above the 90,000 Resistance Zone, however this move turned into a fake breakout, confirming strong seller pressure in that area. After the rejection, the market shifted into a corrective phase and formed a descending triangle structure, defined by the Triangle Support Line and repeated failures near resistance.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the 90,000 resistance, while gradually sliding along the descending support of the triangle. The 87,000 Support Zone remains the key downside buffer where buyers previously stepped in. The overall structure now suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, and sellers are gaining short-term control as long as price remains below the 90,000 resistance level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish, as long as BTCUSDT stays below the 90,000 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the descending triangle structure. I expect price to attempt another breakdown toward the 87,000 Support Zone, which aligns with the lower channel support and previously active demand area. A clean break below 87,000 would confirm bearish continuation and open the path toward deeper downside targets.
However, if price once again reclaims the 90,000 resistance with strong volume and holding strength, the bearish scenario would be invalidated and a renewed push toward the upper channel could follow. For now, the market supports a short bias, with the main focus on a potential move toward the 87,000 support area.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USD/JPY - Interest Rate Ahead! (08.12.2025) 📝 Description FX:USDJPY
USD/JPY continues to respect the Bearish Channel Pattern, with price rejecting the upper boundary and failing to break the resistance zone. Combined with strong fundamentals—expected Fed rate cut and potential BoJ tightening—the setup favors downside movement.
A break and retest of intraday support confirms continuation toward lower channel targets.
📌 Trading Plan📉 Bearish Continuation
Entry Idea: Look for sells below 155.00 after confirmation
Target 1: 154.28 (1st Support)
Target 2: 153.94 (2nd Support / Channel Bottom)
Bearish Confirmation: Clean rejection from resistance zone + break below small retracement support
⚠️ Fundamental Updates (Today)
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Meeting
→ Markets widely expect a rate cut, weakening the USD.
2️⃣ Bank of Japan Rate Outlook
→ BoJ may increase interest rates, a JPY-strengthening factor.
Combined effect:
🔻 USD weak + 🔺 JPY strong → Bearish USD/JPY bias
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational analysis only.
Not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
👍 Support the Analysis❤️ LIKE the post💬 COMMENT your view🔁 SHARE to help others
Your support motivates more high-quality analysis! 🙌
#USDJPY #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #ChannelPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #JPY #USD #FXMarket #TradingView #PriceAction #Kabhi_TA_Trading
EURUSD: Buyers Push Toward the 1.1680 Triangle Resistance BreakHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is transitioning out of a prolonged bearish phase that previously unfolded inside a well-defined downward channel. After forming a major swing low in early November, the pair initiated a recovery and gradually shifted into a corrective bullish structure. Price is now trading inside a developing triangle formation, defined by the ascending Triangle Support Line and the descending Triangle Resistance Line. During the decline, the market repeatedly respected the key Support Zone around 1.16200, which acted as a strong demand area and triggered bullish reactions on multiple occasions. Most recently, EURUSD completed a clear Head and Shoulders reversal pattern near the lower boundary, signaling exhaustion of sellers and the start of buyer control. Following this structure, price broke above the support zone and is now consolidating above it, confirming the zone as a valid demand base.
Currently, the pair is approaching the major Resistance Zone at 1.16800, which also aligns with the descending triangle resistance. This area remains the key upside barrier for buyers and represents a critical decision point for the market.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish, as long as price remains above the 1.16200 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending Triangle Support Line. I expect EURUSD to maintain upward pressure and attempt a breakout toward the 1.16800 resistance, which is the next major supply area. A clean breakout above this zone would confirm bullish continuation and open the way for further upside toward higher targets.
However, if price reaches the resistance and shows strong rejection, a corrective pullback back toward the 1.16200 demand may occur. Still, the overall bullish structure remains valid as long as the support zone holds. For now, market conditions favor a long bias with focus on a breakout attempt toward the 1.16800 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Short: Supply Holds — Pullback to 1.1610 in FocusHello, traders! The price action on EURUSD is unfolding within a well-defined technical structure shaped by an ascending Trend Line, with the market transitioning from consolidation into a corrective pullback. After a prolonged bullish advance, the pair formed a Head and Shoulders pattern near the upper Supply Zone around 1.16660, signaling exhaustion of buying momentum. Following this distribution phase, price broke below the neckline and started moving lower, showing a clear shift in short-term control toward sellers.
Currently, EURUSD spent time consolidating inside the highlighted Range, where multiple false breakouts occurred before bullish continuation resumed. However, the recent rejection from supply and the breakdown from the pattern suggest that upside momentum is weakening. Currently, the price is trading below the former range support and is approaching the Demand Zone near 1.16100, which also aligns with a key horizontal support level.
My scenario for the next move is a continuation toward the 1.16100 demand area, where buyers may attempt to slow the decline. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a corrective rebound back toward the broken structure. However, if the price fails to hold this demand, the bearish pressure may intensify and open the door for a deeper pullback. As long as the market remains below the 1.16660 supply, the short-term bias stays bearish. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Uptrend Structure Intact — Path Toward 1.1700 ResistanceHello traders! I want to share my view on the current EURUSD setup. After a corrective decline, the pair formed a solid local bottom around the Support Level near 1.16200–1.16400, where buyers stepped in and stopped the downward momentum. As shown on the chart, price is now trading inside a clear ascending structure, supported by the rising Support Line and guided by a parallel Resistance Line, forming a well-defined upward channel. Inside this structure, the Buyer Zone has played a key role, serving as the base for multiple impulsive breakouts in the past. Several breakdown attempts turned into fake breakouts, confirming that buyers continue to defend this area and maintain short-term trend control. After these rebounds, EURUSD pushed into the upper part of the channel, reaching the Resistance Line and forming a local rejection that caused a pullback back toward the Buyer Zone. Currently, price is hovering near the ascending support line, and as long as EURUSD stays above the 1.16400 support area, the bullish scenario remains intact. If buyers successfully defend this zone and maintain structure inside the rising channel, I expect the market to move toward TP1 → 1.17000, which aligns with the major Resistance Level highlighted on the chart. A clean breakout above this level would open the way for further continuation, potentially driving the pair deeper into the higher resistance zone. However, if the price breaks below the Buyer Zone and violates the ascending Support Line, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and the pair may revisit lower support levels around the 1.16000 area. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish as long as demand holds and EURUSD continues respecting the rising channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD Long: The 4,160 Support Holds – Path to 4,260 is OpenHello, traders! The price action for XAUUSD is currently developing within a well-defined ascending trend structure, supported by a rising major Trend Line from the lows. The market previously showed multiple rejections from the Triangle Supply Line, each marked by clear breakout attempts followed by corrective pullbacks. These reactions formed a sequence of higher lows, confirming that buyers remain in control of the broader structure.
Currently, after the last strong impulsive move upward, Gold reacted from the Supply Zone around 4,260, forming a short-term corrective phase while respecting the rising Triangle Demand Line near the 4,160 demand level. Price is now compressing between the descending supply line and the ascending demand line, creating a tightening triangle structure that signals growing pressure for a directional expansion. This compression reflects a balance between profit-taking sellers at resistance and aggressive dip-buyers along demand.
My scenario for the further development is bullish continuation as long as price holds above the Triangle Demand Line and the 4,160 demand zone. I expect a rebound from current levels, followed by a renewed attack on the 4,260 Supply Zone. If buyers manage to produce a clean breakout above this resistance, Gold may accelerate toward higher targets with strong momentum continuation. However, if the supply zone holds and price breaks below the demand line, a deeper corrective pullback toward the main rising Trend Line could develop. For now, the structure favors buyers, with the key focus on a breakout attempt toward 4,260. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Early Week Bullish Outlook After Tokyo SweepQuick Summary
EURUSD remains strongly bullish, and the recent corrective decline is healthy for bullish continuation. Price is expected to dip early in the week to sweep the previous Tokyo low and go deeper into the hourly orderblock that aligns with the ascending trendline before resuming its upward move.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD continues to show strong bullish momentum, and the recent pullback is completely in line with a healthy trending market. Despite the strength of the prior upward move, the pair produced a controlled correction
This corrective move is particularly meaningful because price tapped into a clean hourly orderblock that aligns perfectly with an ascending trendline. Such confluence typically provides a strong foundation for buyers, showing that the market structure remains intact and supportive of further upside.
As we head into the new week, the expectation is that EURUSD may continue to dip slightly to sweep the previous Tokyo low. This potential sweep is important because the liquidity resting below that level can act as fuel for the next bullish expansion. Once the liquidity beneath Tokyo is taken, price is likely to react strongly from the same hourly orderblock zone and resume its upward trajectory.
EURUSD Bullish Continuation After Expected CorrectionQuick Summary
A short term corrective move may occur on EURUSD to retest the Bullish trendline where the 61 Fibonacci level aligns with a clean orderblock. This confluence strengthens the likelihood of a bullish continuation once the correction is complete.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD is still maintaining an overall bullish structure, but the current price action suggests that a corrective decline could develop before the pair continues its upward movement. This expected pullback is not a sign of weakness but rather a healthy retracement within an established uptrend.
The key area to watch lies around the Bullish trendline, or slightly above it, where multiple elements converge to form a high probability demand zone. The 61 Fibonacci retracement level aligns almost perfectly with this Zone, providing a strong technical base for buyers to re enter the market.
BTCUSDT Long: Buyers Defend 91K Zone – Targeting 96K ExpansionHello, traders! The current BTCUSDT price action is developing within a strongly structured bullish environment after a prolonged decline driven by the Descending Channel. Earlier, the market broke down from the upper supply region and continued to move lower while respecting the descending channel boundaries. After reaching a pivot low near the demand zone around 91,000, buyers stepped in, initiating a reversal and shifting momentum to the upside. Following this, Bitcoin formed a clean Ascending Channel that confirmed growing bullish pressure. Price then entered a Range phase, indicating temporary equilibrium before the next impulsive move. After completing this consolidation, BTCUSDT created a clear Head and Shoulders reversal structure near demand, signaling a strong bullish reversal. Buyers took control and pushed price sharply upward, breaking through the range and reclaiming higher structure levels.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading inside a new Ascending Channel, steadily climbing toward the 96,000 supply level, where sellers previously reacted. As long as price remains above the 91,000 demand zone and continues to respect the ascending channel structure, the bullish scenario remains valid. The next upside target is the 96,000 resistance area, aligned with the upper channel boundary.
My scenario is a continuation toward 96,000 as long as buyers maintain control of the channel. However, a strong rejection from this supply zone may trigger a corrective pullback back toward demand before buyers attempt another move upward. Manage your risk!
The Trap Is Set — Ethereum Preparing for Liftoff🚀 ETHEREUM 4H OUTLOOK – ACCUMULATION BEFORE BULLISH EXPANSION
1. Market Structure Overview
- ETH is currently respecting the broader bullish structure after rejecting from the upper Resistance Zone (≈ 3,180–3,220) and pulling back into the mid-range.
- The recent drop is not a reversal; it is a healthy retracement into demand after an impulsive rally.
- Price is now stabilizing above the Support Zone (≈ 2,940–2,970) — the key area that previously launched a strong bullish leg.
✔ The trend remains bullish on higher timeframes
✔ Current structure shows a corrective pullback into liquidity
✔ Bullish orderflow still intact as long as support holds
2. Scenarios Ahead
🔹 Main Scenario (High Probability) – Bullish Continuation
If price holds above the support area and continues forming higher lows:
→ ETH is expected to bounce and build structure toward the upside.
Upside Targets:
🎯 3,460
🎯 3,605
🎯 3,655 (major liquidity + extended target)
The drawn projection on your chart (higher low → stair-step structure → rally) is perfectly aligned with bullish continuation.
🔹 Sub Scenario (Low Probability)
If ETH breaks below 2,940, structure shifts short-term bearish:
→ Deeper pullback into 2,850 – 2,880
→ Only triggered if a clean break + close below support happens.
Currently, there is no confirmation for this scenario.
3. Summary – Structure & Liquidity Alignment
ETH continues to follow a textbook bullish model:
✔ Corrective pullback into demand
✔ Accumulation above support
✔ Clean rejection from supply, but no trend reversal
✔ Bullish projection remains valid toward liquidity clusters above
The move is simply compression → accumulation → expansion.
4. Intraday Trading Setups (Based on Chart Structure)
📌 SETUP 1 – Intraday Buy Setup (Preferred Scenario)
ETH BUY ZONE:
👉 2,940 – 2,970
Take Profit:
🎯 3,120 – 3,180 (short-term)
🎯 3,460 – 3,605 (swing)
Stop Loss:
❎ 2,915
⚠ Manage risk properly — crypto volatility is high.
📌 SETUP 2 – Intraday Sell Setup (Only for Countertrend Traders)
ETH SELL ZONE (Resistance):
👉 3,180 – 3,220
Take Profit:
🎯 3,050 – 3,000
Stop Loss:
❎ 3,245
⚠ Countertrend trades should use smaller sizing.
Stay patient. The market always rewards those who wait for price to come to their zone — not those who chase it
BTCUSD Pauses at Structure Top — Bulls Aim for 95,500 RetestHello traders! Here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSD setup. After a strong bearish phase, Bitcoin found support near the major Support Level around $89,100. Before reaching this zone, price was trading inside a broad descending channel, where both the Resistance Line and Support Line guided the downtrend. A fake breakout occurred near the lower boundary, showing early buyer interest, but overall momentum remained bearish until price reached the support. From there, BTC formed a clear sideways Range, signaling accumulation before a reversal attempt. Once buyers gained strength, price broke out of the range and shifted into a bullish structure. BTC began climbing within a rising wedge-like channel, respecting both the ascending Support Line and the diagonal Resistance Line. Along the way, the market formed multiple breakouts and fake breakouts, confirming active participation from both sides. However, buyers consistently defended the rising trendline, maintaining higher lows while approaching the key horizontal Resistance Level near $95,500. Currently, BTCUSD is pulling back slightly after touching the wedge resistance. As long as price holds above the ascending support and stays above $89,100, the bullish structure remains intact. My scenario suggests a potential continuation toward TP1 → $95,500 upon a successful rebound from the local support. If the market breaks below the rising structure, however, a deeper correction may unfold before any further upward attempt. For now, buyers are favored while the price remains inside the ascending channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold is trending sideways ahead of major news.1️⃣ Trendline
Short-term rising trendline (black dotted):
Price is still moving above the trendline → the uptrend remains valid. Every pullback continues to find support.
Long-term rising trendline (below):
This is the major structural support, crucial for determining the medium-term trend if it gets broken.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,260 – 4,265:
A strong resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times → strong selling pressure.
➜ Break and close above this zone: opens a new upside expansion.
➜ Failure to break out: likely leads to a corrective move.
3️⃣ Support
4,165 – 4,170:
Short-term support, a confluence of the rising trendline and a previous demand zone.
Below 4,165:
Price may slide quickly toward a lower rising trendline → higher risk of a deeper correction.
4️⃣ Main scenarios
Primary scenario: Sideways consolidation below resistance → pullback toward 4,165, then watch for price reaction.
Strong bullish scenario: Only valid if price decisively breaks above 4,265 with volume confirmation.
👉 Strategy: Avoid FOMO at resistance. Focus on price reaction at support or clear, confirmed breakouts.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,169 – 4,067
Stop Loss: 4,159
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,263 – 4,265
Stop Loss: 4,275
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
XAUUSD: Triangle Breakdown Setup Points Toward $4,160 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has recently moved out of a strong upward channel, where price previously showed consistent bullish momentum supported by higher lows and clean breakouts. After breaking out of the first channel, XAUUSD formed a consolidation range, signaling temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This range acted as a base for the next impulsive bullish leg, which drove price back into a new upward channel. However, after the strong rally, gold formed a fake breakout near the $4,240 resistance area, which coincides with the upper boundary of the triangle resistance line. This false breakout indicated weakening bullish pressure and exhaustion near the top of the structure. Once price failed to hold above the resistance, it rotated downward and began forming a tightening triangle pattern between the descending resistance line and the rising support line.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading inside this triangle structure, with price gradually compressing. The $4,160 support level remains a key reference point, as it previously acted as a major demand zone during the last correction and is now aligned with the triangle’s lower boundary.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish as long as gold stays below the triangle resistance line and continues to respect the lower highs forming within the pattern. If price maintains this structure and fails to reclaim $4,240, I expect a downward move toward the $4,160 support zone.
Therefore, a clean breakdown below the triangle support line would confirm bearish continuation and could open the door for a deeper correction. On the other hand, if price rejects the support and breaks above the triangle resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid, and buyers may attempt another retest of the $4,240 level. For now, the structure favors a short bias with the main objective being a move toward the $4,160 support level, which remains the next significant target for sellers.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC Macro Roadmap: Multi-Year Support/Resistance StructureThis chart presents a long-term BTC roadmap based on major weekly and monthly support/resistance zones, reflecting how BTC typically behaves during mid-cycle phases. Price has recently reacted to the 110K macro resistance, triggering a corrective leg that fits the broader rhythm of previous BTC cycles.
The projected path highlights a realistic multi-stage structure:
• Mid-Cycle Corrective Phase
BTC is forming lower highs and lower lows after the rejection from 110K, with a likely retest of key demand zones between 83K → 67K. Deeper liquidity sweeps into the 56K region remain possible before establishing a macro higher low.
• Accumulation Zone
Inside this lower region, BTC historically creates sideways, choppy movement—sweeping liquidity both directions as market participants reposition. This mirrors prior mid-cycle accumulation phases and sets the foundation for the next macro advance.
• Recovery Phase & Re-Accumulation
Once accumulation stabilizes, structure favors a recovery back toward 91K → 110K, driven by regained momentum and market strength. A successful breakout from this zone signals the beginning of the next expansion wave.
• Macro Expansion Phase
Clearing 110K opens the door toward 126K–140K, the next major macro resistance region and potential cycle extension target.
This idea isn’t a prediction—it’s a structural map, focused on how BTC historically behaves around cycle midpoints: parabolic advance → correction → accumulation → breakout → expansion. The chart emphasizes market memory, key levels, and BTC’s typical volatility during expansion phases.
Macro Levels to Watch:
• 110,077 – major resistance, recent rejection zone
• 91,167 / 89,688 – mid-level pivot controlling short-term direction
• 83,907 – key support that preserves bullish structure
• 67,363 – strong historical demand and liquidity magnet
• 126,809 – next major resistance above ATH
Gold Forex Trading During Major Economic Events & News Releases
I guess you already noticed how impulsively the markets may react to economic events and news.
In this article, I will teach you a simple strategy to follow during important news release s and how to trade news.
1. Sort out the economic calendar
There are a lot of news in the economic calendar.
They are not equal in their impact.
Most of the economic calendars indicate the potential significance of each event: while some news have low importance, some have medium importance and some are considered to be extremely important.
For example, above is the list of coming UK fundamental news.
You can see that these news have different degree of importance.
My recommendation to you is to sort out the economic calendar in a way, so it would display only the most important news.
Among the news that we discussed above, only one release has high importance.
2. Know on what trading instruments does the news have an effect
While some of the news in the economic calendar may impact many financial markets and trading instruments, some news may affect very particular instruments.
For example, a FED Interest Rate decision may have a very broad effect on financial markets.
At the same time, Interest Rate Decision in Australia may affect only Australia - related instruments.
3. Don't trade one hour before the news and one hour after the release
Once you see the important fundamental news coming, don't trade the trading instruments that can be affected by the new s 1 hour before and after the release.
For example, in 5 minutes we are expecting important UK news - CPI data.
I stopped trading GBP pairs 1 hour before the release of the news, and will resume trading them one hour after the release.
4. Protect your trading positions 5 minutes ahead of the news
If you have an active trading position and related important news are expected, move your stop loss to entry 5 minutes ahead of the release of the news.
For example, I have a short trade on GBPAUD. I see that in 5 minutes important UK data is coming. I will move stop loss to entry 5 minutes ahead of the news and make a position risk-free.
I always say to my students, that news trading is very complicated. Due to a high volatility, it is very hard to make wise decision during the news releases.
The approach that I suggest will help you to avoid all that and trade the markets when they are calm.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Line Holds — Path Toward 96,500 Opens UpHello, traders! BTCUSDT is respecting the Triangle Demand Line after completing a full bearish cycle inside the descending channel earlier. Sellers maintained control for an extended period, pushing price steadily lower until it reached the pivot point near 88,800, where buyers finally stepped in and broke the bearish structure. This pivot zone became the foundation for a new bullish sequence, with price forming higher lows along the Triangle Demand Line. After the breakout from the descending channel, BTCUSDT entered a consolidation Range, where multiple fake breakouts occurred on both sides. This range acted as a transition phase before buyers regained momentum. Following the range, price made another bullish attempt, but faced resistance near the 96,500 Supply Zone — an area where sellers have shown strong activity in the past.
Currently, BTCUSDT is moving toward the Triangle Demand Line once again, retesting it as support. As long as buyers defend this trendline and price remains above the Demand Zone at 88,800, the bullish structure stays intact.
My scenario: if the trendline holds, BTCUSDT may bounce and continue moving toward the 96,500 resistance, which remains the main upside target for the current bullish leg. A clean breakout above 96,500 would open the path for stronger continuation. However, if price fails to hold the demand line, a corrective pullback toward the lower demand region becomes possible. For now, the market structure remains bullish while price respects the Triangle Demand Line. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD: Buying Pressure Aims for the $4,260 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold (XAUUSD) setup.
Market Analysis
Gold continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, with price action developing inside a well-defined ascending channel. After the previous impulse move higher, the market entered a consolidation phase below the $4,260 Resistance Zone, where sellers repeatedly defended the level. Earlier, XAUUSD produced a breakout from the upward channel structure and formed a temporary base above the mid-support area near $4,200, confirming that buyers still control the broader trend.
Currently, price is holding above the Triangle Support Line, showing that demand remains active on dips. The recent pullback into the $4,200–$4,190 support area looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that bearish pressure remains limited for now. As long as price stays above this triangle support, the bullish market structure remains valid.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bullish while XAUUSD holds above the $4,200 Support Zone and respects the Triangle Support Line. I expect price to stabilize in this area and attempt a renewed push toward the $4,260 Resistance Zone, which is the key barrier for continuation.
Therefore, a clean breakout above $4,260 would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion toward higher historical levels. However, if price fails to hold the triangle support and breaks below $4,190–$4,180, this would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a deeper corrective pullback toward the lower channel boundary. For now, the market maintains a long bias, with the main objective being a renewed test and potential breakout of the $4,260 resistance zone.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD – PDH Reclaimed | Liquidity Sweeps on Both Sides BTC swept liquidity at the weekly high zone (94,116) and delivered a sharp rejection.
Price then dropped into the demand zone around the Previous Day Low (87,775–89,000), where strong buy interest stepped in twice.
Now price is trading back above PDH (91,778) and retesting intraday supply.
Key Points:
Multiple liquidity grabs on both ends
Buyers defended PD Low zone aggressively
Market reclaiming PDH hints at short-term bullish continuation
Break above 92,295 may open the path back toward the weekly high
Bias:
Bullish above PDH; neutral-to-bearish only if price falls back below 89,875.
BTC is preparing for a decisive move — watching reaction at intraday supply.
XAUUSD – Rejection From PDH | Price Respecting Demand ZoneGold swept Previous Day High (4258), grabbed buy-side liquidity, and sharply rejected.
Price has now returned to the demand zone around PD Low (4192–4201) where buyers previously stepped in.
Key Observations:
Daily Wick 50% acted as intraday resistance
Strong reaction from weekly liquidity zone above
Bullish recovery forming from demand
Break above 4234 may open path back toward PDH & Weekly High
Bias:
As long as price holds above PD Low, intraday bullish continuation is favored.
A breakdown below the yellow zone shifts bias toward deeper sell-side liquidity.
Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 4234 / 4258 / 4264
Support: 4201 / 4192
Price is rebuilding structure — waiting for confirmation before the next impulse.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 8, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is holding near multi-week highs on expectations of a Fed rate cut as soon as this week and on the stabilization of government bond yields around the 10-year area. As of Monday morning, the pair trades near 1.16400–1.16500, reflecting a weaker dollar after a run of soft US data and sustained interest in risk assets. Comments about a possible “cautious” policy easing by the Federal Reserve support demand for the euro, while short-term profit-taking merely cools the momentum.
On the European side, the tone is set by improving business activity in the services sector and expectations that the ECB will keep the rate unchanged, focusing on growth and inflation risks. Lower hedging costs for dollar assets for euro-area investors also provide a tailwind for the euro and reduce the premium for dollar liquidity. As a result, the fundamental balance over the near horizon looks moderately favorable for EUR/USD.
The trading idea is based on a scenario of a mild step by the Fed and neutral signals from the ECB, which would shift rate expectations in favor of the euro. A buy from 1.16450 with a stop at 1.16250 accounts for possible swings around US releases, while the 1.17050 target assumes the continuation of an upward correction if the current news backdrop holds. Strategy risks include a sudden dollar rebound on strong US data or firm comments from individual Fed officials.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16450, SL 1.16250, TP 1.17050
ETH — [2D] WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/05/2025ETH — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/05/2025
Ticker: BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Timeframe: 2D
This is a reactive structural classification of ETH based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition [ Numbers to Watch ]
Current Price @ 3,030
• Trend Duration @ +70 Days ( Bearish )
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bullish ) @ 3,689
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bullish Confirmation ) @ 3,534$
• Pullback Resistance @ 3,914
• Correction Support @ 3,096$
• Structural Support @ 1,946$
⸻
2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
Testing Structure (approaching 38.2%)
• Position Status:
Unstable (price below both structural layers)
⸻
3) Temperature :
Cooling Phase
⸻
4) Momentum :
Bearish
⸻
Author’s Note
DOWNWARD STRUCTURAL ALIGNMENT
This mark identifies a moment where the market showed clearer alignment with downside direction. It does not predict future movement, but acknowledges where weakness became more evident within the prevailing structure. Its relevance remains only while price continues to hold beneath key structural boundaries.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
BTC — [2D] WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/05/2025BTC — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/05/2025
Ticker: BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Timeframe: 2D
This is a reactive structural classification of BTC based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
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1) Current Trend Condition [ Numbers to Watch ]
Current Price @ 89,200
• Trend Duration @ +98 Days ( Bullish )
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bullish ) @ 103,400
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bullishh Confirmation ) @ 103,400
• Pullback Support @ 100,002
• Correction Support @ 79,436
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2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
Correction (approaching 61.8%)
• Position Status:
Unstable (price below both structural layers)
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3) Temperature :
Cooling Phase
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4) Momentum :
Bearish
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Author’s Note
DOWNWARD STRUCTURAL ALIGNMENT
This mark identifies a moment where the market showed clearer alignment with downside direction. It does not predict future movement, but acknowledges where weakness became more evident within the prevailing structure. Its relevance remains only while price continues to hold beneath key structural boundaries.
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Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.






















