Get started

Analysis

EMA Reaction Sparks a Bounce — Correction or the Start of TrendEURUSD is still operating inside a broader bearish structure, with the dominant trend defined by a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. However, the most recent price action shows a counter-trend corrective bounce emerging from oversold conditions rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The strong bullish candle from the recent low signals short-term short covering and reaction buying, but this move should be treated as corrective within a downtrend until proven otherwise. EMA Reaction & Technical Confluence Price has just reacted precisely from the EMA zone, which has acted as dynamic resistance throughout the downtrend. The current push above the EMA reflects momentum relief rather than structural change. Importantly: - The EMA is still sloping downward - Price remains below major prior supply - No higher high has been formed yet This setup often leads to a pullback–continuation sequence, where price retests higher resistance levels before sellers reassert control unless strong acceptance occurs above key levels. Key Levels Resistance: 1.1698 – 1.1713 (prior supply / corrective target) 1.1750 – 1.1760 (major structure resistance / trend invalidation) Support: 1.1650 – 1.1660 (EMA reaction zone) 1.1620 (recent swing low / bearish continuation trigger) EMA / Dynamic Level: EMA acting as short-term balance, still bearish in slope Scenarios ➡️ Primary Scenario (Corrective Bounce): Price continues the corrective move toward the 1.1698–1.1713 resistance zone. This area is expected to attract selling interest, where the market may form a lower high before resuming the broader downtrend. ⚠️ Risk Scenario (Trend Shift Attempt): A strong breakout and acceptance above 1.1750 would weaken the bearish structure and signal a potential transition into a broader range or trend shift. Until that level is reclaimed, bullish moves remain corrective.
Long
by HENRY_TraderGold
ETHUSD At a Critical Support Test — Accumulation or Breakdown?On the H1 timeframe, ETHUSD is currently trading at a key decision zone, where market structure, EMA positioning, and liquidity dynamics are all converging. From a broader perspective, the market previously completed a clear bearish cycle, with price trending below the EMA and producing lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the dominant structure before the current phase was bearish, not impulsively bullish. As price reached the lower area around 3,080–3,100, selling pressure began to weaken. The market transitioned into a sideways accumulation phase, marked by compressed candles and reduced downside follow-through. This zone now acts as a critical support and liquidity base, where buyers and sellers are actively battling for control. Currently, price is trading below the EMA, which is an important technical detail. As long as ETH remains below this dynamic resistance, upside moves should be treated as corrective pullbacks, not confirmed trend reversals. The recent push up and rejection back into the support zone reinforces the idea that the EMA is still capping price. Two primary scenarios are now in play: In the bullish cycle continuation scenario, if price holds above the highlighted support zone and forms a higher low, this would signal successful absorption of sell-side liquidity. A reclaim and acceptance above the EMA would then shift the structure into early markup. In this case, the first upside target sits near 3,163, followed by a higher liquidity objective around 3,218, where previous supply and imbalance remain untested. In the bearish continuation scenario, a clean break and close below the support zone would confirm that accumulation has failed. This would open the door for a renewed markdown phase, with price likely targeting the lower liquidity pool around 3,036–3,026, where unfilled demand and stops are resting. In summary, ETHUSD is sitting at a cycle inflection point. The support zone is the line between accumulation and further distribution. Traders should remain patient and wait for confirmation — either a strong reclaim above the EMA for bullish continuation, or a decisive breakdown below support to confirm bearish expansion.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
1
Bitcoin Rejected at EMA — Bearish Continuation Still in PlayPrice has failed to reclaim the EMA around 90,900, confirming the EMA as dynamic resistance within a broader downtrend. The sharp rejection from this level signals that buyers lack follow-through and sellers remain in control. As long as BTC stays below 90,900–91,000, downside pressure is favored, with a move toward 90,200 as the first reaction level. A clean breakdown below 90,200 would likely accelerate selling into the 88,500–88,400 target zone. Only a strong close back above the EMA would invalidate this bearish continuation setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
2
Ethereum Enters a New Market Cycle — Accumulation CompleteOn the H1 timeframe, Ethereum is showing a classic market cycle transition, aligning well with Wyckoff / cycle theory rather than random price movement. The recent structure strongly suggests that ETH has already completed a full corrective cycle and is now rotating into a new bullish expansion phase. From a cycle perspective, the market first experienced a distribution phase near the previous highs around the 3,280 region, where strong selling pressure entered and ended the prior uptrend. This was followed by a markdown phase, clearly visible in the sustained bearish leg where price traded below the fast and slow moving averages, confirming bearish control and momentum continuation to the downside. As price approached the 3,050–3,080 area, selling pressure began to weaken. This zone marked the accumulation phase of the cycle. Price action shifted from impulsive bearish candles into a rounded, basing structure, forming a smooth curvature that reflects smart money absorption rather than panic selling. This rounded bottom is a textbook sign that supply is being absorbed and that the market is preparing for a trend transition. The current price action shows Ethereum moving into the early markup phase. This is confirmed by higher lows, improving structure, and price reclaiming and holding above the faster moving average while compressing toward the slower one. The slope of price is now turning upward, indicating momentum rotation from bearish to bullish control. From a cycle continuation standpoint, as long as ETH holds above the basing area and maintains acceptance above the moving averages, the bullish cycle remains intact. The projected path aligns with a healthy expansion structure: impulsive pushes higher followed by shallow pullbacks, targeting the previous liquidity high near 3,280 as the next major cycle objective. In summary, Ethereum is no longer in a corrective or bearish phase. The cycle has reset, accumulation appears complete, and the market is transitioning into markup. Unless price aggressively re-enters the accumulation range, the dominant expectation remains higher highs as the bullish cycle unfolds.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
The Wyckoff Trading MethodThe Wyckoff Trading Method The Wyckoff Method is a classical approach to market analysis designed to help traders understand trend development, market cycles, and potential reversals. Despite being developed over a century ago, it remains highly relevant in modern financial markets and is widely used across stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. What Is the Wyckoff Method? The Wyckoff Method is a form of technical analysis created in the early 20th century by Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneering trader and market analyst. The core idea behind this method is that price movements are governed by supply and demand, and that large institutional participants (often referred to as “composite operators”) leave identifiable footprints on the chart. Wyckoff believed that by studying price, volume, and time, traders could anticipate future price behavior rather than react to it. Core Principles of the Wyckoff Method The Wyckoff methodology is built around several foundational concepts: 1. Supply and Demand Price rises when demand exceeds supply and falls when supply exceeds demand. Observing how price responds to changes in volume helps traders identify who is in control of the market. 2. Market Structure and Phases Markets move in recurring cycles, typically broken down into: - Accumulation - Markup - Distribution - Markdown Recognizing these phases allows traders to align with institutional activity rather than trade against it. 3. Price and Volume Relationship Volume acts as a confirmation tool. Strong price movement with weak volume often signals exhaustion, while strong volume supports trend continuation. 4. Liquidity and Institutional Behavior The method emphasizes how large players accumulate or distribute positions over time, often through range-bound price action designed to absorb liquidity. The Market Cycle The Wyckoff Market Cycle The Wyckoff methodology describes market behavior as a repeating four-phase cycle driven by supply and demand. These phases help traders understand where the market is in its process, rather than simply reacting to price movements. Accumulation Phase Accumulation typically appears as a range-bound market after a decline. During this phase, large institutional participants quietly build long positions while price remains relatively stable. To most traders, the market appears directionless, but in reality, buying is taking place without pushing price higher. The true intent of the market is concealed until accumulation is complete. Markup Phase Once sufficient long positions have been accumulated, institutions begin to drive price higher. This phase is characterized by a clear uptrend as increased demand attracts additional buyers. Breakouts from accumulation ranges often trigger momentum traders and breakout strategies, reinforcing the trend. Markups may include re-accumulation phases, where price pauses and consolidates before continuing higher. Distribution Phase Distribution occurs after an extended advance, when upward momentum begins to slow. During this phase, large players gradually offload long positions and build short exposure. Price often moves sideways in a range, giving the illusion of stability, while smart money exits positions. This phase prepares the market for the next directional move lower. Markdown Phase The markdown is the declining phase that follows distribution. Selling pressure overwhelms demand, leading to a sustained downtrend. As price falls, traders are encouraged to enter short positions, further accelerating the move. Similar to markups, markdowns may include redistribution phases, where price consolidates before continuing lower. Why the Wyckoff Model Works Large financial institutions must execute trades of significant size, which requires liquidity. Liquidity is often found around stop losses, breakout levels, equal highs and lows, and key support or resistance zones. By intentionally pushing price into these areas, institutions can fill large orders efficiently without excessive slippage. This interaction between liquidity and market psychology forms the foundation of the Wyckoff model across all asset classes. Core Principles of the Wyckoff Method A key concept in Wyckoff theory is the Composite Man, a symbolic representation of institutional or “smart money” participants. Traders are encouraged to analyze price action as if a single, highly informed entity is controlling the market. The Composite Man accumulates or distributes positions strategically before allowing price to trend. The Law of Supply and Demand explains that price rises when demand exceeds supply and falls when supply exceeds demand. The Law of Cause and Effect states that the size and duration of accumulation or distribution determine the magnitude of the subsequent price move, with higher-timeframe structures producing larger effects. The Law of Effort versus Result compares volume (effort) with price movement (result), highlighting potential trend continuation or exhaustion when these two factors diverge. Wyckoff Schematics Wyckoff schematics visually represent accumulation and distribution structures. Although these patterns may appear complex at first, they are mirror images of each other, with accumulation and distribution sharing identical phases and logic—only inverted. Studying these schematics helps traders recognize institutional behavior and align their trades with the dominant market process. Type 1 Schematics Accumulations Phase A: Stopping the Downtrend Phase A marks the transition from a markdown to the beginning of accumulation, where selling pressure starts to weaken. - Preliminary Support (PS): After a prolonged decline, initial buying emerges and temporarily halts the downtrend. Volume increases as early demand appears, signaling that selling pressure is no longer dominant. - Selling Climax (SC): Panic selling accelerates as long positions are stopped out and breakout traders enter short positions. At this point, the Composite Man absorbs this excess supply. The SC often leaves long lower wicks, reflecting strong buying interest. - Automatic Rally (AR): Once selling pressure is exhausted, price rebounds quickly as shorts cover and new buyers step in. The high of the AR establishes the first resistance boundary of the accumulation range. - Secondary Test (ST): Price revisits the SC area to test remaining supply. This test may form equal or slightly higher/lower lows, usually with reduced volume, confirming that selling pressure has diminished. Phase B: Building the Cause Phase B is where accumulation develops over time. The Composite Man continues to build long positions while price fluctuates within a range. - Sign of Strength in Phase B (SOS(b)): In some cases, price rallies above the AR, creating a higher high within the range. This move suggests improving demand but still remains below preliminary resistance. - Secondary Test in Phase B (ST(b)): A sharp decline follows, designed to trigger stop losses below prior lows and attract breakout sellers. This “liquidation” move provides the liquidity institutions need to continue accumulating, forming the underlying cause for the next trend. Phase C: The Final Shakeout Phase C is the critical phase that distinguishes accumulation from continuation lower. - Spring: Price makes a final push below established support, sweeping remaining stop losses and trapping late sellers. This move briefly violates the range before quickly reversing. - Test: After the Spring, price retests the area to confirm that supply has been fully absorbed. These tests typically form higher lows and occur on lower volume, signaling reduced selling interest. Phase D: Transition to Markup Phase D confirms that accumulation is complete and the market is ready to trend higher. - Last Point of Support (LPS): Following the test and a rally, price pulls back shallowly, forming a higher low. This pullback reflects strong demand and is often the final opportunity before markup. - Sign of Strength (SOS): Price breaks above the accumulation range with expanding volume, confirming bullish control. After this breakout, the market enters the markup phase, where the effect of prior accumulation is realized through sustained upward movement. Distributions Phase A: Stopping the Uptrend Phase A marks the transition from an uptrend into distribution, where demand begins to weaken and supply quietly enters the market. - Preliminary Supply (PSY): After a sustained advance, large operators start unloading positions, causing the first noticeable pause or pullback in price. - Buying Climax (BC): Buying pressure reaches an extreme as late buyers enter aggressively, often accompanied by very high volume. This is where smart money sells into strength. - Automatic Rally (AR): Once buying is exhausted, price pulls back sharply as demand fades. The AR typically forms below the BC and defines the first support boundary of the distribution range. - Secondary Test (ST): Price revisits the BC area to test remaining demand, usually failing to make a new high. Volume is generally lower, indicating reduced buying interest and building liquidity for later phases. Phase B: Building the Distribution Phase B is where the Composite Man continues distributing positions while price fluctuates within a range. - Sign of Weakness in Phase B (SOW(b)): A decline below the AR signals that supply is beginning to dominate. This move does not always appear, but when it does, it establishes a second support boundary. - Upthrust (UT): Price briefly breaks above resistance to trigger buy stops and attract breakout buyers. This false breakout allows institutions to sell into increased demand and build short exposure. Phase C: The Final Liquidity Grab Phase C completes the distribution process by targeting remaining demand. - Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): Similar to a Spring in accumulation, UTAD is the final false breakout above resistance. It is designed to capture the last wave of liquidity before the true bearish move begins. - Test: Price often revisits the UTAD area to confirm that demand has been fully absorbed. These tests typically occur on lower volume, signaling weakening bullish participation. Phase D: Transition to Markdown Phase D confirms that distribution is complete and bearish control is established. - Last Point of Supply (LPSY): After price begins to decline, weak rallies attempt to test demand. These rallies are shallow and usually represent the final bullish reactions before the markdown. - Sign of Weakness (SOW): Price breaks decisively below the range, confirming a bearish structure. Additional LPSYs may form, but this phase marks the final transition into the markdown. Type 2 Schematics Type 2 Wyckoff schematics contain the same structural components as Type 1, but without a Spring (in accumulation) or a UTAD (in distribution). In these cases, the market does not perform a final liquidity sweep before trending. A Type 2 schematic can be identified by observing a direct transition into trend confirmation: - In accumulation, price forms a Secondary Test (ST) and possibly an ST(b), then proceeds directly into a Sign of Strength (SOS) followed by markup. - In distribution, price forms an ST or Upthrust (UT), then transitions directly into a Sign of Weakness (SOW) followed by markdown. If markup or markdown begins without a Spring or UTAD, the structure should be classified as Type 2. Importantly, Type 2 schematics are traded using the same principles and execution logic as Type 1 structures. The Five-Step Wyckoff Trading Strategy Richard D. Wyckoff proposed a structured five-step approach to applying his methodology in real market conditions. This framework helps traders align with market structure and institutional intent. 1. Determine the Market Trend Identify whether the broader market environment is bullish or bearish. Trading in alignment with the dominant trend increases probability. 2. Select a Suitable Market Choose an asset or trading pair that clearly reflects the identified market trend and shows strong structural clarity. 3. Identify Accumulation or Distribution Focus on assets that are currently forming a Wyckoff accumulation or distribution structure rather than those already trending. 4. Assess Readiness for a Move Analyze the current Wyckoff phase and volume behavior. Events such as a Spring, UTAD, SOS, or SOW help confirm whether the market is prepared for markup or markdown. 5. Execute the Entry Entries are commonly taken on Tests, Last Points of Support (LPS), or Last Points of Supply (LPSY), where risk can be controlled and structure is clear. Does the Wyckoff Method Still Work? - Despite being developed nearly a century ago, the Wyckoff Method remains highly relevant in modern markets. Its core principles supply and demand, market structure, volume analysis, and liquidity behavior are universal and apply across forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. - When combined with complementary tools such as support and resistance, indicators, or pattern analysis, Wyckoff can form the foundation of a robust and disciplined trading approach. Its enduring value lies in teaching traders how markets move, not just where price is going. Educational Disclaimer This material is provided for educational purposes only. It reflects a general interpretation of the Wyckoff methodology and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to trade. Traders should always conduct their own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by BlackGoldMarket
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2026 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding around 1.16600–1.16700. Demand for the dollar has eased on reports of political pressure on the US Federal Reserve: investors are treating US assets more cautiously and are partially reducing dollar positions. The euro is receiving moderate support, although overall market sentiment remains restrained ahead of US macroeconomic releases. For the dollar, key drivers remain rate expectations and confidence in the predictability of the regulator’s policy. When uncertainty rises, Treasury yields fluctuate more and interest in alternative currencies increases. Inflation is also important: signs of slowing price growth raise the likelihood of lower rates later this year and limit the upside potential for USD strength. In the euro area, inflation moved closer to target levels by the end of 2025, and the economy looks relatively resilient, supporting a scenario of a prolonged pause by the ECB. If nervousness around the US persists, the baseline risk for the pair is further dollar weakening and a gradual shift in EUR/USD higher as the market weighs fresh data on prices and consumption. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16600, SL 1.16400, TP 1.17300
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Is Expanding After Accumulation — Bulls Eye the Next Major Price has successfully broken out of the accumulation price zone around 4,450, confirming a strong bullish continuation after a prolonged consolidation and liquidity absorption phase. The EMA alignment and impulsive candles signal smart money participation and trend expansion. The recent pullback and consolidation near 4,580–4,600 (POC area) appear corrective, forming a healthy pause (wave 4) rather than distribution. As long as price holds above this zone, bullish control remains intact. A clean continuation above 4,600 opens the path toward the next upside target near 4,650–4,670, completing the next expansion leg. Only a sustained breakdown back below 4,550 would weaken the bullish structure, but for now, the trend clearly favors further upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
How did gold prices fluctuate on January 13, 2026?1️⃣ Trendline Short-term trend: CLEARLY BULLISH Price is respecting the rising trendline and staying above the EMA, which means buyers are in control. Market structure: Higher High – Higher Low ⇒ no reversal signal yet. 2️⃣ Support 4548 – 4550 Nearest support, not tested yet → good zone for scalp buys 4520 – 4515 Strongest support (Demand zone + Fibonacci 1.618 + Rising trendline) ➡ If price pulls back to 4,520 and holds, it’s a high-probability trend-buy setup. 3️⃣ Resistance 4630 – 4632 Short-term resistance → scalp sell / profit taking 4643 – 4645 Major resistance (Fibonacci 2.618 + previous supply zone) ➡ 4,645 is a high-probability reversal / heavy profit-taking zone. 4️⃣ Price Scenarios Main scenario (preferred): Price pulls back to 4,520 → bounces → moves to test 4,645. Bearish scenario: If H1 closes below 4,520, the trendline breaks → price may drop to 4,495 – 4,480. 🎯 Trade Plan BUY GOLD Entry: 4520 – 4522 Stop Loss: 4510 Take Profit: +100-300-500 pips SELL GOLD Entry: 4643 – 4645 Stop Loss: 4653 Take Profit: +100-300-500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
2
Weekly outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 16 January 2026XAUUSD: BUY 4570.00, SL 4540.00, TP 4660.00 Gold starts the week near $4,570 per ounce, holding close to record highs amid stronger demand for safe-haven assets. Support comes from rising geopolitical tensions and a softer US dollar as investors reassess the stability of US monetary policy. Over the coming days, the main driver will be US inflation data and the Fed’s messaging: if price growth remains moderate, expectations of rate cuts should keep gold in demand. A sharp jump in government bond yields could cap gains, but ongoing buying by central banks continues to provide a fundamental cushion. Trading recommendation: BUY 4570.00, SL 4540.00, TP 4660.00 #SP500: BUY 6970, SL 6940, TP 7060 The S&P 500 begins the week near 6,966 after setting fresh record highs. Sentiment is supported by expectations of resilient corporate earnings, but the market has become more sensitive to Fed-related headlines and potential political and legal risks in the US. Key focal points this week are US inflation data and the start of the earnings season for major banks and technology companies. Softer inflation and strong results may sustain demand for equities, while higher inflation and a new wave of uncertainty could increase caution and temporarily cool risk appetite. Trading recommendation: BUY 6970, SL 6940, TP 7060 #BRENT: SELL 63.40, SL 64.00, TP 61.60 Brent starts the week around $63.39 per barrel: geopolitical risks in the Middle East add a premium, but the market is not yet pricing in serious supply disruptions. At the same time, attention is growing around a potential recovery of Venezuelan exports. Over the week ahead, pressure comes from expectations of excess supply in 2026 and cautious demand estimates. Support could appear if there are signs of production cuts or new restrictions on supply from major producers, but without such news the balance of factors still favors a modest decline in Brent. Trading recommendation: SELL 63.40, SL 64.00, TP 61.60
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
RSI and MACD TogetherRSI and MACD are often paired together under the idea of confirmation. If both indicators point in the same direction, the trade feels safer. In practice, this combination frequently creates confidence without clarity. The reason is simple. Both indicators are derived from the same source, price, and they often respond to the same information at different speeds. RSI reacts relatively quickly to changes in momentum. MACD responds more slowly, smoothing price action to highlight broader momentum shifts. When traders wait for both to align before entering, they are often reacting to a move that has already unfolded. The result is late entries, compressed risk-to-reward, and increased sensitivity to pullbacks. Confluence adds value only when each tool is assigned a clear role. RSI can help assess the current momentum environment, showing whether price behavior supports continuation or suggests slowing participation. MACD can help keep traders aligned with the dominant swing, reducing the urge to exit positions prematurely during normal retracements. Used this way, the indicators support decision-making rather than replacing it. The combination becomes misleading when it is used to anticipate reversals. Divergences lining up across RSI and MACD feel powerful, but they often appear multiple times during strong trends. Momentum can weaken and reaccelerate without price structure ever breaking. Traders who act on indicator-based anticipation usually enter before the market has resolved its internal balance. Another issue is redundancy. When both indicators are used to trigger entries, they rarely provide independent information. Agreement between them does not necessarily increase probability. It often just reinforces an interpretation the trader already wants to believe. RSI and MACD work best after structure and location are established. When price has already shown intent, indicators can help manage timing, confidence, and trade duration. When used in isolation, they tend to encourage reaction instead of understanding.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by tomas_jntx
9
EURUSD Long: Bulls Defend 1.1620 Demand, Targeting Supply 1.1680Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. During this consolidation phase, the market attempted several breakouts, including a fake breakout to the upside, which signaled weakness and lack of bullish continuation. Eventually, price achieved a valid range breakout, initiating an impulsive bullish move. Following this breakout, EURUSD reached a pivot point, where bullish momentum stalled and sellers began to step in. From this pivot high, price structure shifted into a descending channel, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. Price respected the channel boundaries well, indicating an orderly corrective move rather than panic selling. As EURUSD continued lower, it approached a strong Demand Zone around 1.1620, which aligns with a rising higher-timeframe trend line. This confluence area acted as a key support, where buyers responded aggressively. From this demand zone, price broke out of the descending channel, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a potential shift back toward bullish control. Currently, price is reacting positively from demand and attempting to move higher. The next key level to watch is the Supply Zone around 1.1680, where previous selling pressure is expected to reappear. This level also coincides with prior structural reactions, increasing the probability of a pause or rejection. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1620 Demand Zone and respects the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to push price toward the 1.1680 Supply Zone, where a reaction or short-term pullback may occur. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would confirm bullish continuation. However, a strong rejection from supply or a breakdown below demand would increase the probability of bearish continuation. For now, price is at a key decision area, and disciplined risk management is essential. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
25
XAUUSD Long: Demand Defended - Bulls Prepare for Push To $4,530Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming sustained bullish control and a strong trending environment. Price has consistently respected both the channel support and resistance, forming higher highs and higher lows. This structure highlights healthy momentum rather than an exhausted move. Earlier, XAUUSD pushed into the Supply Zone around 4,500–4,530, where selling pressure appeared and price experienced a sharp rejection. This rejection led to a corrective pullback, during which price briefly broke below short-term structure before finding support at the Demand Zone near 4,400. This area aligns with the channel support and acted as a key reaction level. Within the pullback, price formed a Head and Shoulders–type corrective pattern, which completed near demand. Instead of continuation lower, sellers failed to follow through, and buyers stepped in aggressively. Price reclaimed structure with a clean breakout back above local resistance and the rising Demand Line, signaling that the move lower was corrective rather than a trend reversal. Currently, XAUUSD is holding above the 4,400 Demand Zone and continues to respect the ascending channel. Price is consolidating and building higher lows, suggesting accumulation before the next impulse. My scenario: as long as Gold holds above the demand zone and the rising demand line, the bullish structure remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and push price toward the 4,530 Supply Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a decisive breakdown below the demand zone would weaken the structure and increase the risk of a deeper correction. For now, the trend favors the bulls, with demand holding and momentum gradually rebuilding. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
13
BTCUSDT: Consolidates Above Support, Bulls Preparing Next MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup. Market Analysis BTCUSDT previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, indicating balance and accumulation between buyers and sellers. This consolidation phase ended with a clean breakout to the upside, confirming a shift in market control toward buyers. Following the breakout, price respected a rising trend line, forming higher highs and higher lows, which validated a bullish market structure. As BTC continued higher, it reached a key Resistance Zone around 91,700, where selling pressure appeared. Price reacted from this area and pulled back, but the move remained corrective rather than impulsive. During the pullback, BTC found support at the Support Zone near 90,100, which aligns with previous breakout structure and the rising trend line. At the same time, price is trading below a descending triangle resistance line, suggesting compression and preparation for a directional move. Currently, BTC is holding above the support zone and the ascending trend line, while consolidating below resistance. This structure suggests buyers are still defending the market, and the overall bullish bias remains intact as long as support holds. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario: as long as BTCUSDT remains above the 90,100 Support Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt a breakout above the 91,700 Resistance Zone, which would open the door for continuation toward higher levels. However, a decisive breakdown below support and the trend line would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, price action favors consolidation followed by potential upside continuation. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
26
EURUSD: Fake Breakout at Resistance Targets 1.1600 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined upward channel, respecting both the rising support and resistance lines, which confirmed a short-term bullish structure. During this phase, price produced a series of higher highs and higher lows, showing steady buyer control. This bullish move eventually led to a breakout into a broader range, where price action shifted into consolidation, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the key Resistance Zone and is moving toward the Support Zone near 1.1600, which aligns with prior demand and a structural reaction area. The sharp rejection from resistance suggests that the recent bullish move was corrective rather than impulsive, and momentum has now shifted in favor of sellers. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1690 Resistance Zone, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to continue its downside move toward the 1.1600 Support Zone, which acts as the first key downside target. Acceptance below this support would open the door for further bearish continuation toward lower levels. However, a strong bullish reclaim and acceptance back above the resistance zone would invalidate the short scenario and signal a potential return into the range. For now, sellers are in control after the fake breakout, and price action favors further downside as long as resistance holds. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
18
Bitcoin at a Long-Term Inflection Point — Hold the Base or RESETBTCUSD 1W – Long Term Market Analysis 1. Current Market Structure (Macro View) On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a macro bullish structure, but is currently in a late-stage consolidation / distribution phase below major resistance. After the strong impulsive rally from the 2022–2023 accumulation base, price expanded aggressively and is now digesting gains rather than reversing. However, momentum has clearly slowed, and recent weekly candles show overlapping ranges, signaling indecision and profit-taking. Importantly: - The primary uptrend is still valid - But BTC is no longer in impulsive expansion it is in a decision zone This is where long-term trends either: - Continue after re-accumulation, or - Correct deeply to reset structure 2. Key Long-Term Zones & Market Positioning Major Resistance Zone: 120,000 – 126,000 → Previous weekly highs, strong sell pressure → This zone must be broken and accepted to unlock the next macro leg up Current Distribution / Range Zone: 85,000 – 100,000 → Price is compressing here, showing balance between buyers and sellers Critical Macro Support: 67,000 – 69,000 → Previous breakout level → Confluence with EMA 200 on weekly → This level defines bull vs bear control Bearish Breakdown Support (Last Line): 49,000 – 50,000 → Loss of this zone would signal a full macro trend reset As long as BTC holds above 67K, the macro bullish thesis remains intact. 3. Liquidity, Volume & Smart Money Behavior Volume has declined significantly compared to the impulsive rally phase This confirms the market is not in expansion, but in absorption Multiple failed pushes near resistance indicate: - Profit distribution - Liquidity building above highs The key insight: Smart money is not aggressively selling but they are not buying breakouts either This behavior aligns with re-accumulation below resistance, not a top yet. However, failure to hold support would trigger sell-side liquidity acceleration. 4. Long-Term Market Scenarios 🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (High Probability if Support Holds) Expected macro flow: - BTC holds above 67K - Extended consolidation (weeks to months) - Momentum rebuilds - Clean weekly break and acceptance above 126K - Next macro expansion phase begins ➡️ This scenario supports new all-time highs later in the cycle. 🔽 Secondary Scenario – Deep Correction (Still Within Bull Market) If BTC: Loses 67K decisively on a weekly close Then expect: - Sharp correction toward 50K - Long-term EMA retest - Full reset of leverage and sentiment This would not immediately invalidate the bull market, but it would delay the next expansion significantly. 5. Long-Term Trading & Investment Perspective - Macro Bias: Bullish above 67K - Investor Strategy: Accumulate fear, not euphoria - Trader Strategy: Avoid chasing highs near resistance - Risk Zone: Between 100K–126K without confirmation Bitcoin is currently at a structural crossroads, not a breakout zone. Patience is the edge here. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT BITCOIN IN 2026?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
Gold Defends Buyer Zone, Upside Toward 4,550 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, showing balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation acted as an accumulation phase and marked the point where the market started to grow. A strong breakout to the upside from the range confirmed renewed bullish interest and initiated an impulsive move higher. Following the breakout, price respected a rising Support Line, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a bullish market structure. During this phase, XAUUSD advanced steadily within an ascending channel, with pullbacks remaining shallow and corrective — a sign of strong buyer control. As gold pushed higher, it reached the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,550, where selling pressure emerged. Price reacted from this level and pulled back, indicating that sellers are actively defending this resistance. The pullback, however, remained controlled and corrective, with price returning toward the Buyer Zone, which aligns with a key Support Level around 4,400 and a previous breakout area within the broader bullish structure. Currently, XAUUSD is holding above the Buyer Zone and the ascending support line, showing that buyers are still defending structure. The recent price action suggests consolidation rather than a breakdown, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as support holds. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Support Line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 4,550 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
30
Reversal or Breakdown Will Define the Next Major MoveBitcoin is currently trading at a critical decision zone, where price action will determine whether the market stages a bullish reversal from demand or transitions into a deeper bearish continuation. 1. Market Structure Overview - BTC has been in a short-term corrective / bearish structure, trading below the EMA 50, which continues to act as dynamic resistance. - After the recent impulsive drop, price is now pressing directly into a well-defined demand zone around 89,600 – 90,000. This area has previously triggered strong reactions, making it a high-probability response zone, not a place to chase entries. 2. Demand Zone Significance The highlighted demand zone represents: - Prior accumulation - Strong historical buying interest - Liquidity resting below recent lows Current price action shows selling pressure slowing down as BTC enters this zone, which increases the probability of at least a technical bounce. 3. Two Key Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario (Reversal from Demand) If price holds above the demand zone and prints bullish confirmation (strong rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or structure shift): BTC could rotate back toward: - 92,464 - 92,976 - 93,745 - Extension toward 94,416 if momentum builds This would align with a range-to-expansion move, trapping late sellers below demand. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown & Continuation) A clean breakdown and acceptance below 89,233 would invalidate the reversal idea. This would open downside liquidity targets toward: - 88,415 - 87,269 The red arrow on the chart highlights this bearish expansion risk if demand fails. 4. EMA & Momentum Insight EMA 50 remains overhead any upside move will need to reclaim and hold above it to shift short-term bias bullish. Without that reclaim, rallies should still be viewed as corrective. 5. Trading Plan ❌ Avoid trading in the middle of the zone. ✅ Wait for: Bullish confirmation at demand for longs Or confirmed breakdown below demand for continuation shorts Let price show its hand this is a reaction zone, not a prediction zone. Conclusion Bitcoin is at a make-or-break level. Demand zones like this often produce sharp reactions, but only confirmation separates reversals from traps. The next impulsive move — up or down — will likely be fast and decisive. 💬 Do you expect BTC to defend this demand zone, or is a deeper sell-off coming? Share your bias below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Is Reclaiming Structure — Support Flip1. Current Market Structure - EURUSD has been trading in a short-term bearish structure, respecting a descending trend and staying below the EMA 50 for most of the session. However, the most recent price action signals a potential structural shift. - Price aggressively swept the lows, then reclaimed the key support zone with strong bullish displacement, breaking the sequence of lower lows. This move is not corrective in nature — it shows intent and strength from buyers. - While the broader trend was bearish, the latest impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a corrective to bullish phase, rather than immediate continuation to the downside. 2. Key Zones & Market Positioning Support Zone (Structure Flip Area): 1.1654 – 1.1659 → Previous resistance turned support → Strong reaction and acceptance above this zone Immediate Resistance Zone: 1.1700 – 1.1705 → Key supply area → Likely pause or reaction zone on first test Upside Target / Liquidity Pool: 1.1740 – 1.1744 → Unfilled liquidity and prior high → Main upside objective if bullish momentum holds As long as price holds above 1.1654, the bullish corrective structure remains valid. 3. Liquidity & Price Behavior The sharp bullish candle from the lows indicates a sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by strong buy-side absorption. Key observations: Long lower wick at the lows → stop-hunt confirmation Strong close above support → acceptance, not rejection Rising volume on the bullish impulse → real participation This behavior aligns with a liquidity grab followed by a reversal, not a weak bounce. 4. Today’s Market Scenarios 🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Corrective Rally) Expected flow: - Price holds above 1.1654 – 1.1659 - Minor pullback into support - Higher low formation - Push toward 1.1700 – 1.1705 If broken and accepted → extension toward 1.1740+ This scenario favors buying pullbacks, not chasing the initial impulse. 🔽 Alternative Scenario – Range / Failed Follow-Through If price: - Fails to reclaim 1.1700 - Starts printing lower highs below resistance Then expect: - Sideways consolidation - Range between 1.1655 – 1.1700 - Market waiting for new liquidity ❌ Invalidation Scenario Only if price: - Breaks and closes below 1.1654 This would invalidate the bullish reversal thesis and signal continuation of the broader bearish trend. 5. Trading Perspective Bias: Short-term bullish (corrective) Execution: Buy pullbacks above support Risk: Chasing price into resistance EURUSD is not trending aggressively yet but it is shifting control from sellers to buyers.
Long
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Respects EMA 50 — Short-Term Bullish Continuation in FocusGold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe is showing early signs of bullish continuation after completing a healthy pullback within a broader recovery structure. Following the prior impulsive leg higher, price corrected in a controlled manner and has now reacted cleanly from the EMA 50, confirming it as dynamic support. The recent higher low formed along the ascending trendline indicates that buyers are still in control of the short-term structure. This pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the market is reloading for the next expansion phase instead of reversing. Price is currently trading back above the EMA 50 and holding above the 4,458–4,460 intraday support area, which acts as a key pivot zone. As long as this level holds, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario. On the upside, the next liquidity objectives are clearly defined. The 4,495–4,500 zone marks the first resistance and reaction area, followed by the higher-timeframe target near 4,545–4,550, where previous highs and resting liquidity sit. Trading Plan: Bullish scenario: Holding above the EMA 50 and the 4,458 support opens the door for continuation toward 4,495, with extension toward 4,545–4,550 if momentum accelerates. Bearish scenario: A loss of the EMA 50 followed by acceptance below 4,440 would invalidate the short-term bullish setup and expose a deeper pullback toward 4,420–4,400. Overall, Gold is behaving technically clean on M30. As long as price respects dynamic support, the bias remains buy-the-dip, with confirmation favored over anticipation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
2
EURUSD Stays Under Pressure — Bearish Continuation Still in PlayEURUSD on the H1 timeframe continues to trade within a clear bearish trend, with price respecting a descending structure and printing consistent lower highs and lower lows. The overall market context remains firmly bearish, with sellers maintaining control. Price is currently trading below the EMA, which is acting as dynamic resistance. The recent pullback into the EMA area was met with rejection, confirming classic sell-the-rally behavior rather than any meaningful bullish recovery. This reaction reinforces the idea that the move up was corrective, not impulsive. Structurally, the market has now pushed back toward the 1.1640 area, and downside pressure remains active. As long as price stays capped below the EMA and the descending trendline, the path of least resistance continues to favor further downside. Below current price, the next key liquidity objectives sit around 1.1590 and 1.1555, where resting demand and prior reaction lows are located. These levels are natural downside magnets if bearish momentum persists. Bearish scenario (preferred): As long as price remains below the EMA and the descending trendline, continuation toward 1.1590 is favored, with extension toward 1.1555 if selling pressure accelerates. Bullish invalidation: Only a strong reclaim and acceptance above 1.1670–1.1680, followed by a clear structure break, would invalidate the bearish continuation bias. At this stage, EURUSD remains in a controlled bearish environment. Patience is key — the highest-probability opportunities continue to come from selling pullbacks into resistance, not from attempting to catch bottoms in a trending market.
Short
by HENRY_TraderGold
EURUSD Breaks Support — Sellers Target Deeper LiquidityPrice has cleanly broken and closed below the 1.1645 support, confirming a continuation of the bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows firmly in place. Selling pressure remains dominant, and recent pullbacks are being sold aggressively. As long as price stays below 1.1650, any short-term bounce is likely corrective and vulnerable to renewed downside pressure. A sustained move lower opens the path toward 1.1620, followed by the major liquidity target near 1.1590. Only a strong reclaim back above 1.1680 would invalidate the bearish continuation scenario and signal a potential shift in short-term momentum.
by XauMasterNetwork
Ethereum Breaks Descending Structure — Is a Fresh Bullish Leg UnEthereum (ETHUSD) on the H1 timeframe is showing a notable shift in short-term structure after breaking cleanly above a well-defined descending trendline. This trendline had capped price throughout the recent corrective phase, so the breakout signals that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are beginning to regain control. The prior move down now appears corrective within a broader bullish context rather than the start of a trend reversal. Price has formed a higher low after the breakout and is stabilizing above the 3,080–3,100 support zone, confirming this area as a key demand base and structural pivot. With the trendline broken, the market is transitioning from sell-the-rally behavior into a potential buy-the-dip environment, provided price continues to hold above the breakout area. Overhead, ETH faces a sequence of clear resistance levels that will define the strength of any continuation: - 3,180 – first reaction and intraday structure resistance - 3,260 – prior consolidation high and liquidity magnet - 3,300–3,320 – major resistance and key upside objective Bullish: As long as price holds above 3,080–3,100 and respects the broken trendline, continuation toward 3,180, then 3,260, becomes likely. Acceptance above these levels opens the path toward 3,300+. Bearish: A failure to hold above the breakout zone and a sustained move back below 3,080 would invalidate the bullish shift and suggest a return to range or deeper correction. At this stage, Ethereum is at a post-breakout validation phase. Patience is key the highest-probability opportunities come from holding above the broken trendline or clean continuation through resistance, not from chasing price mid-structure.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
4
Gold at Resistance While Riding the EMAHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Gold remains within a broader bullish trend, established by a strong sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After an impulsive rally into the upper range, price is now stalling beneath a key resistance zone, signaling a pause in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. The recent candles show compression and reduced follow-through, suggesting buyers are becoming cautious as price trades near premium levels. At the same time, sellers have not yet delivered a decisive bearish impulse, keeping the structure technically bullish but vulnerable to a corrective move. 🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES Major Resistance / Supply Zone: The 4,520–4,550 area is a well-defined resistance zone, where prior rallies were rejected. This zone represents strong overhead supply and is the main barrier for bullish continuation. Dynamic Support (EMA Confluence): Price is currently hovering near the EMA 34 and EMA 89, a critical dynamic support cluster. The EMA 89, in particular, has acted as a reliable trend support during previous pullbacks. Key Support Zone: Below current price, the 4,270–4,300 region stands out as a major demand zone. A move into this area would represent a deeper but still healthy correction within the broader uptrend. 🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION Currently, Gold is trading just below resistance while sitting on dynamic EMA support, placing price at a high-impact decision area. This positioning often precedes either a continuation breakout or a corrective rotation lower to rebalance liquidity. The market is no longer impulsive; it is waiting for confirmation. 🧠 MY SCENARIO As long as Gold fails to break and hold above the 4,520–4,550 resistance zone, the probability favors a corrective pullback toward the EMA 89, and potentially into the 4,270–4,300 support zone, before buyers attempt another push higher. If price can accept above resistance with strong bullish momentum, that would invalidate the pullback scenario and open the door for trend continuation toward new highs. For now, this remains a bullish market in correction mode, not a trend reversal. ⚠️ RISK NOTE Price is trading at a premium decision level. Wait for confirmation at resistance or support, avoid chasing breakouts, and always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD