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Fundamental Market Analysis for November 13, 2025 EURUSDThe euro/dollar pair is holding below 1.16000, as markets digest US news, Federal Reserve communications, and the European Central Bank’s decision to keep policy settings unchanged. Reduced uncertainty around the US budget and the imminent return of key data releases help the dollar keep the upper hand. Against this backdrop, the yield differential remains in favor of the US, which limits EUR/USD’s upside in the absence of fresh positive signals from the euro area. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is constrained by soft industrial indicators and weaker external demand, while the US resumes the flow of macro reports that can confirm resilient domestic demand. Investors are cautious ahead of fresh inflation data and policy signals, preferring currencies with steadier income profiles, which supports the dollar. Industry commentary highlights consolidation below 1.16000 and sensitivity to incoming US headlines. Given the balance of risks and the current fundamental setup, the base case assumes a gradual drift lower toward 1.15350, with limited potential for corrective rebounds. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.15850, SL 1.16250, TP 1.15350
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold 30 m – Gatekeeper Zone: Momentum or Pullback1. Fundamental Overview Gold (XAU/USD) finds support amid safe-haven demand and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, which eases the opportunity cost of holding gold. The relaxing risk-sentiment (e.g., government funding issues, geopolitical risks) is adding to underlying buying pressure. On the flip side: A stronger U.S. dollar and improved risk appetite may cap upside in the near term. Fundamental bias summary: Neutral-to-bullish. The backdrop remains supportive, but momentum needs to catch up. 2. Technical Analysis (30 Minute Frame) Price recently approached the USD 4,150-4,155 zone but showed signs of hesitation. Key levels to watch: Resistance zone: ~ USD 4,150-4,200. A clear break and close above here on 30m would signal momentum. Support zone: ~ USD 4,050-4,000. A break below this region risks a pullback. Technical indicators: The RSI remains above mid-line, suggesting room for upside—but momentum is not yet decisive. Technical bias summary: Slight bullish tilt only if a breakout above ~4,150 occurs. Otherwise, risk of consolidation or pullback increases. 3. Trade Plan & Key Levels 📌 Bullish Scenario: Entry: Go long if price closes on a 30-minute candle above ~USD 4,150 and retests it. Stop-Loss: Around USD 4,000, below key support. Targets: TP1: ~USD 4,250 TP2: ~USD 4,350 (if breakout is strong) 📌 Bearish Scenario: Entry: Consider short if price rejects the 4,150-4,200 zone and breaks below USD 4,050-4,000 on 30-min chart. Stop-Loss: Around USD 4,170. Targets: TP1: ~USD 3,900 TP2: ~USD 3,800 📌 Wait Mode: If price remains trapped between ~4,050 and ~4,150 without clear trigger → hold off and wait for clarity. 4. My View for Today I am leaning conditional bullish: the fundamentals support gold, but the trigger will be a technical breakout above ~USD 4,150. If that happens, upside momentum could run toward ~4,250+ levels. If no breakout, the more likely scenario is sideways action or a pullback toward ~USD 4,000-3,900. I will not chase until a clear 30-minute confirmation emerges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
BTCUSD Long: Breakout From Descending Channel Targets $108KHello traders! Bitcoin is showing a potential continuation of bullish momentum after breaking out of the descending channel, where sellers had previously maintained control over the market structure. During the prolonged downtrend, the price consistently made lower highs and lower lows, until forming a strong Pivot Point near the $100,500–$101,000 Demand Zone — an area that has historically triggered solid bullish reactions. Currently, after a fake breakout below this demand zone, the price quickly recovered, signaling liquidity sweeps and seller exhaustion. Since then, BTCUSD has rebounded strongly, confirming a structural shift from bearish to bullish control. The pair has now broken above the channel resistance, establishing a short-term bullish bias supported by steady higher lows. At the moment, Bitcoin is approaching the $107,500–$108,000 Supply Zone, which coincides with previous market consolidation and marks a potential reaction area where sellers might temporarily slow down the move. A clean breakout and close above $108,000 would open the door for a further rally toward the $111,000 Supply 2 Zone, reinforcing the medium-term bullish structure. I expect the $104,500–$105,000 area to act as immediate support and a key retest level, allowing buyers to maintain momentum and target $108,000. Holding above this zone maintains the bullish scenario, while a confirmed break below it could trigger a pullback to the previous demand level before a new rally develops. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by heniitrading
4
EURUSD Retests Buyer Zone — Bullish Momentum Aiming for 1.1600Hello traders! I’d like to share my view on EURUSD. After an extended bearish trend inside a descending channel, the pair finally found strong buying interest around the 1.15300–1.15400 Buyer Zone, where price reacted multiple times in the past. This area aligns with both the horizontal Support Level and the ascending Support Line, which together form a solid base for potential bullish continuation. Recently, EURUSD broke above the descending resistance line, confirming a possible short-term trend reversal. The price is now retesting the breakout area, showing signs of accumulation above support. As long as price remains above 1.15300, the bullish structure stays valid. The immediate upside target (TP1) is seen around the 1.16000–1.16100 zone, which coincides with the previous consolidation and minor resistance area. A breakout and confirmed close above this zone could open the way toward the 1.16600 Resistance Level. However, a clear bearish rejection pattern near 1.16000–1.16100 might lead to another corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before further continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
28
Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next. The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales. You’ll Learn: ✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms. ✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures. ✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week. ✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data. Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action. Timestamps: 00:01 – Welcome & overview 01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown 06:55 – USD/JPY analysis 11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights 14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset ⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure: the policy stance between the U.S. and Japan continues to diverge, and the Bank of Japan is still acting gradually and avoiding sharp steps so as not to choke off the economic recovery. In this environment, any rebound in global risk appetite quickly leads to yen weakness and a rise in USDJPY. The price environment for energy also matters: elevated energy import bills traditionally worsen the trade balance and support demand for the dollar against the yen. In the U.S., Treasury yields have stabilized without signs of a major decline, which supports the dollar’s premium over the yen. The market is closely watching U.S. inflation and consumer activity data: the lack of a sharp slowdown in these series creates conditions for dollar-denominated assets to remain attractive to global investors, especially compared with Japanese instruments. Risks of verbal signals from Japanese authorities and episodic “pauses” in the pair’s ascent remain, but without a change in the Bank of Japan’s approach to rates and yield control, a sustained downward reversal in USDJPY is not in sight. With a moderate news backdrop, the underlying balance of factors still favors the dollar. Trading recommendation: BUY 154.350, SL 153.500, TP 155.500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC/USD 1D Chart🧭 Overall Market Picture Bitcoin is in a medium-term downtrend, as confirmed by: a descending channel (marked with white lines), lower highs and lower lows, price below the key EMA and SMA. The price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, so it will be crucial whether it manages to break out of it to the upside or rebounds further down. 🔹 Key Price Levels Support: $100,650 — short-term support, previously seen price reactions. $98,550 — next demand level from late October. $96,950 — lower boundary of the descending channel, potential target for continued declines. Resistance: $106,300–$106,500 — current resistance (upper boundary of the channel + SMA100). $109,700–$110,000 — strong resistance converging with the EMA200 and SMA200. $112,000+ — channel breakout and trend change. 🔸 Technical Indicators 1. MACD The histogram is starting to turn positive (descending red). The MACD line is attempting to cross the signal from below — a potential bullish signal, but not yet confirmed. ➡️ Indicates a possible short-term upward correction within a downtrend. 2. RSI (14) Value: ~40.5 — low, but has rebounded from oversold levels. No bullish divergence, but the RSI is rising from below, suggesting a potential technical bounce. ➡️ Still more upside than downside before entering the overbought zone. 🔹 Moving Averages EMA50 (~109,970 USD) and EMA200 (~110,380 USD) are above the price, confirming the downtrend. The EMA50 < EMA200 cross holds – a classic death cross. SMA100 (~106,300 USD) has just been tested – a key level that could determine the direction of the coming days. 🔸 Short-Term Scenarios 🟩 Bullish (30–40% chance) Breakthrough of the upper channel line (~106.5k USD) + daily close above 107k USD. Confirmation of the MACD and RSI signal > 50. Targets: 109,700 → 111,500 → 113,800 USD. ➡️ A medium-term trend reversal is then possible. 🟥 Bearish (60–70% chance) Bounce from the upper channel line and fall below 102k–101k. Continuation of the downtrend. Targets: 100,600 → 98,500 → 96,900 USD. ➡️ In this scenario, the market will maintain a lower high/lower low structure. ⚙️ Summary Trend: Down, but with a short-term rebound attempt. Key moment: reaction to the 106k–107k USD level. If the channel with volume breaks, a bullish reversal. If a rebound, a new low around 97k–99k USD is very possible.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil is going up strong to the all time high, Expecting strong reaction from that area, Volume is going down in the last 2 3 weeks witch means bulls are getting weaker, If we look into the valuation ratios , the company is getting overvalued, If we look at the 10 Ma on weekly we can see that price is getting away from MA fast witch indicates that the company is getting overvalued quickly, It will be interesting to see how price will react from that area when it goes up, But overall trend is bullish,
NYSE:XOM
by PacoW
USD/CHF - Trendline Rejection (10.11.2025)📊 Setup Overview : FX:USDCHF USD/CHF continues to respect the descending trendline and Ichimoku cloud resistance, signaling potential downside pressure. Price is currently retesting the resistance zone (0.8070–0.8085) — a strong supply area that has rejected multiple times.As long as this zone holds, we expect a move toward the next support zones. 🧭 Trade Plan Bias: 🔻 Sell / Short-term Bearish Entry Zone: 0.8060 – 0.8080 (wait for confirmation candle or rejection) Target 1 (1st Support): 0.8015 Target 2 (2nd Support): 0.7995 Invalidation: Break and close above 0.8085 (Resistance Zone) ⚡ Fundamental Updates 1️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields eased slightly as consumer confidence declined. 2️⃣ Markets now price a 66% chance of a rate cut in December, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. 3️⃣ U.S. government shutdown concerns keep the dollar under mild pressure as investors watch debt issuance risk. 💬 Summary A clear trendline rejection combined with fundamental USD weakness supports a short bias. Wait for confirmation before entering — patience protects capital. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk wisely. 📢 Support My Work 💚 Like, Comment & Share this idea to motivate more chart updates! 🧠 “Charts Don’t Lie, Traders Don’t Quit.” #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #Trendline #Ichimoku #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrader #Fundamentals #SwingTrading #KABHI_TA_TRADING
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
72
EURUSD Long: Bullish Correction Toward 1.16100 ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD is showing signs of recovery after an extended period of bearish movement inside a descending channel, where sellers controlled the market structure. After several failed attempts to break above the upper boundary, the price has formed a Pivot Point near the Demand Zone around 1.15300, a level where buyers have previously shown strong reaction. Currently, a rising Demand Line now supports the bullish correction, helping price break out of the descending channel to the upside. The pair is currently moving toward the Supply Zone located at 1.15900–1.16100, which aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered reversals.For now, the 1.15300 area remains the critical support for buyers. I expect, holding above this level may allow EURUSD to continue pushing toward the 1.16100 resistance. However, any bearish rejection pattern in the 1.15900–1.16100 zone would signal a potential pullback toward the Demand Line or a retest of 1.15300. On the other hand, a confirmed break and close above 1.16100 would indicate a possible shift toward a medium-term bullish structure. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
15
XAUUSD: Buyers Defend $4,040 — Targeting $4,140 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD has recently confirmed a bullish structure after bouncing strongly from the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, an area that coincides with the ascending Trend Line visible on the chart. This level has repeatedly acted as a Buyer Zone, where multiple fake breakouts occurred — signaling liquidity sweeps and failure of sellers to maintain downward momentum. Each test of this support has been followed by a sharp bullish reaction, confirming strong demand and accumulation activity in this zone. Currently, Gold is showing a controlled recovery phase, moving above the $4,040 Support and gradually approaching the $4,120–$4,160 Resistance Zone, which also aligns with the Trend Line extension and previous consolidation area. This zone represents the next critical reaction level for price. A confirmed breakout above it could open the way toward further continuation, while a rejection may lead to a corrective pullback back toward the $4,040 support. The recent price behavior — including several fake breakouts followed by strong recoveries — suggests that large buyers remain active, defending the bullish structure. As long as price holds above $4,040, the overall sentiment stays constructive and favors a gradual continuation toward the upper resistance levels. My Scenario & Strategy As long as XAUUSD remains above the $4,000–$4,040 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid.The next upside objective is located around $4,140–$4,160, where sellers may reappear based on past reactions. I expect the market to potentially form a small pullback before resuming its move higher. A sustained breakout and close above $4,160 would confirm a continuation toward $4,200 and possibly higher in the medium term. However, if Gold breaks below $4,000, this bullish setup becomes invalid, and the price may return toward deeper support levels near $3,960–$3,940 before any new buying interest develops.For now, the structure supports buying pullbacks while the price stays above key support. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
30
NASDAQ-100 4H: demand is not gone, only waiting for the priceAfter the recent upward impulse, the price retraced into the key demand zone at 25 350–25 208, an area that has repeatedly triggered buying reactions in the past. T he latest correction pushed the price into the 0.79–0.705 Fibonacci range, which frequently acts as a retest zone before continuation. Below that lies an even stronger demand zone at 24 710–24 381, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous volume accumulation. The trading logic here is simple: don’t chase the move, let the price come to demand and wait for confirmation. As long as the market structure holds, the primary scenario remains bullish from demand zones with a target toward 26 360 and potentially higher. Fundamentally, NASDAQ remains supported by expectations of softer Fed policy, strong tech capital inflows, and continued investment in AI, cloud, and data-center infrastructure. Smart money accumulates on corrections, not on peaks. When price falls into demand, it’s not fear — it’s opportunity.
TAIFEX:UNF1!Long
by InvestWorld_777
1
Gold Technical Outlook Price has stabilized around the 4060 resistance zone (confirmation with a 1H or 4H candle close). If the level holds, the bias remains bullish, with potential upward movement toward the 4100 resistance. A break above 4100 would open the way for continued bullish momentum, targeting the next levels at 4133 and 4168. However, if the price fails to sustain above 4060 and confirms a reversal candle, it may trigger a downside correction toward the 4030 support zone. A confirmed break below 4030 (1H candle close) would likely extend the bearish move toward the 3965 level. Bias Trend: Bullish Volatility: High
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
Gold 30 m Decision-Point: Breakout vs. PullbackFundamental Overview The spot price of Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering around USD 4,115-4,130 per ounce. Bullish drivers: Expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support gold as a non-yielding store of value. Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid global uncertainty and weaker U.S. economic data. Bearish/neutral risk factors: The U.S. Dollar (USD) is finding some strength, which could cap gold’s upside. With gold already near recent highs, the risk of profit-taking or consolidation is higher. Fundamental Bias Summary: Neutral to slightly bullish — fundamentals support upside, but need trigger for meaningful move. Technical Analysis (30 Minute Frame) Price is trading near USD 4,115-4,130, above yesterday’s range. Key resistance zone: USD 4,150-4,200. A clean breakout here could fuel further gains. Key support zone: USD 4,050-4,000. If price drops below, look for weakness. Technical indicators: RSI on daily/4-hour shows momentum is positive; however intraday momentum may be thinner on the 30m frame. Technical Bias Summary: Favor bullish bias if price breaks above resistance and confirms. Without that, expect range bound or pullback toward support. Trade Plan & Key Levels Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play): Entry: Long above USD 4,150, after 30-min candle close above. Stop-Loss: Around USD 4,010-4,000, depending on risk tolerance. Targets: TP1: ~USD 4,250 TP2: ~USD 4,350 (if momentum strong) Bearish Scenario (Rejection/Breakdown Play): Entry: Short if price fails at resistance zone (4,150-4,200) and breaks below USD 4,000 on 30-min. Stop-Loss: ~USD 4,170-4,200 Targets: TP1: ~USD 3,900 TP2: ~USD 3,800 No-trade / Wait Mode: If price remains stuck between ~USD 4,050 and USD 4,150 without clear breakout or breakdown — better sit out and wait for clearer directional cue. My View for Today I lean slightly bullish, but only if we see a valid breakout above USD 4,150. The fundamental tailwinds (Fed cut hopes + safe-haven) support this. However, if that breakout fails and price rejects, the more likely scenario is a pullback toward USD 4,000-3,900. Thus, I’ll be watching closely for the trigger on the 30-minute chart — execution only after confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
Gold H1 - Holds Above 4,140$, Eyes the 4,200$ Breakout🔍 Market Context Gold continues its relentless climb, trading near a three-week high at 4,146$ as buyers remain firmly in control. Despite a mild rebound in the US Dollar — driven by cautious sentiment across Asian markets — gold’s momentum stays intact, fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve may proceed with a rate cut in December. Soft US data last week and weaker consumer sentiment readings have further strengthened this outlook, keeping real yields under pressure and reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) The market structure remains bullish, forming a clear ascending channel. Price has broken above the previous resistance at 4,086$ and is now consolidating around 4,140$, preparing for a potential continuation move. Key Levels: • Support Zones: 4,086$ – 4,039$ → retest area for new buyers • Immediate Resistance: 4,146$ • Breakout Target: 4,203$ • Extended Bullish Target: 4,382$ (ATH zone) If gold maintains structure above 4,080$, the bias remains strongly bullish. Only a confirmed close below this zone would suggest a short-term pullback before continuation. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Momentum follows liquidity. Once price reclaims key structure, smart money builds the next leg — not noise, but narrative.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 11, 2025 GPBUSDEvent to watch today: 09:00 EET. GBP - Unemployment Rate GBPUSD: Sterling trades around 1.31600–1.31700 after early-week losses: progress on resolving the U.S. budget issue supports the dollar while narrowing the scope for a GBP rebound. Additional pressure comes from domestic U.K. discussions about the need for fiscal consolidation and prospects for new tax measures, which heighten investor caution toward growth. Against this backdrop, the pair retains a downside bias from 1.31650. From a monetary perspective, the U.K. still faces the likelihood of further policy easing in 2026 amid cooling activity and softer price pressures. This tempers the pound’s appeal versus the dollar, which in the near term benefits from clarity on budget risks and a potential increase in Treasury supply without the threat of a technical default. The market is unlikely to quickly overturn its cautious stance: the combination of fiscal restraint in Britain and normalization in the U.S. fundamentally favors USD strength against GBP. Absent fresh positive surprises from the U.K., the base case is a gradual move toward the 1.31 area and lower. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.31650, SL 1.32150, TP 1.30950
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Ends Its Pullback, New Bullish Wave Targets to 4,268?Hey Realistic Traders! "XAUUSD Correction Wave is Over, Could This Be the Next Big Move?" Let’s dive into the technical analysis to see what the chart is really telling us. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, XAUUSD has rebounded once again around the EMA200, with multiple bounces confirming the strength of its broader bullish trend. Afterward, Gold consolidated within a symmetrical triangle pattern, a formation that often appears as a corrective phase within an uptrend where selling pressure gradually weakens. A breakout from this pattern typically marks the beginning of a new bullish wave. The recent breakout was accompanied by strong momentum. A bullish Marubozu candlestick highlighted renewed buying interest, while the MACD golden cross added confirmation to the bullish bias. Together, these signals reinforce the case for a continuation of the prevailing uptrend. In this scenario, the first upside target is located near 4,163 , aligning with a historical resistance area, where a short-term pullback may occur. If bullish momentum continues, XAUUSD could extend higher toward the second target near 4,267, just below its all-time high. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above 3,916. A move below that level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral. Beyond technicals, Gold’s bullish outlook is also supported by a broader macro trend, as many central banks continue to reduce their U.S. dollar exposure and increase gold allocations in their reserves, adding further strength to the long-term bullish narrative. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
What will gold do in the US trading session?📈 Market Structure Price Action: Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area. 📊 Trendlines Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level. Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone. 🧱 Support Zones 3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor. 4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally. ⚔️ Resistance Zones 4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone. 🎯 Scenario If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000. A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation. 🧭 Summary Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance. Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970. 💼 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028 Stop Loss: 4,018 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117 Stop Loss: 4,127 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
1
Gold 30m Outlook: Fundamentals Meet Technical Crossroads1. Fundamental Overview The price of Gold (XAU/USD) has recently jumped to a two-week high, buoyed by expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December and growing global growth concerns. Reuters Key drivers: Weaker U.S. economic data (job losses, retail weakness) are reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold (non-yielding asset). Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and central-bank buying. Head-winds: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) showing strength and rate-cut expectations being questioned. Recent profit-taking after strong rally: gold corrected about 11% from its October highs. Structural outlook remains bullish for medium-term, according to some institutions: large central-bank purchases, de-dollarisation flows, and weak growth support gold over time. Fundamental bias summary: Neutral-to-bullish overall, conditional on macro data and Fed policy. Short-term risk of correction is present because of recent excesses. 2.Technical Analysis (30-Minute / Short Term) On the 4-hour and daily charts the price remains below several key moving averages: e.g., 20 SMA ~ USD 4,002, 100 SMA ~ USD 4,105. Price is in a consolidation range around USD 4,000–4,050, forming a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. According to short-term technical snapshots: Upside target if momentum builds: USD 4,050+ zone. Downside risk if breakdown: USD 3,950-3,900 support area. Key pivot/resistance level appears near USD 4,050–4,060. If price fails here, it may lead to a sharp pullback. Momentum indicators (RSI, volume) show weak conviction, suggesting range-bound or corrective phase rather than strong trending. Technical bias summary: Tilt slightly bullish only if price breaks above ~USD 4,050 with volume. Otherwise, downside risks and range trapping remain higher-probability. 3. Trade Plan & Key Levels Entry Strategy (30-minute timeframe): Bullish Scenario: Enter long if price closes above USD 4,050 and retests it, with momentum. Stop: ~USD 3,995 (just below support) Target: First leg ~USD 4,150, stretch to ~USD 4,250 if strong. Bearish Scenario: If price rejects near USD 4,050–4,060 and breaks below ~USD 3,990, then short. Stop: ~USD 4,070 Target: USD 3,900–3,850 zone. Avoid/Wait: If price remains stuck between ~USD 4,000-4,050 without clear trigger—better skip until directional clarity. Support & Resistance Levels to Note: Resistance: USD 4,050-4,060 Support: USD 3,950-3,900 Intraday pivot: ~USD 4,000 Risk Management: Given the 30 m timeframe and gold’s volatility, keep position sizes conservative, place stops strictly, and avoid chasing breakout without confirmation. 4. My View for Today Given the current fundamentals and technicals my preferred bias is slightly bullish if we see a trigger. The macro backdrop supports gold (rate-cut hopes, safe-haven flows), but the technicals demand a breakout for momentum. If no breakout, the default is sideways to mildly bearish (range or pullback). I’ll lean long only after breakout above ~USD 4,050. Otherwise treat any rally as potential short opportunity. 📈 Stay patient – gold is near a key decision zone. Wait for clear 30 m confirmation before entering trades. #Gold #XAUUSD #SignalAndAnalysis30m #GoldTrading #AthensBySahan #ForexSriLanka #SmartTrading #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Rebound Targeting $4,050 LevelHello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a constructive bullish structure after rebounding from the $3,930–$3,960 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the Ascending Channel. This zone has acted as a strong accumulation area where buyers stepped in multiple times, confirming active defense and sustained demand. Earlier, price moved through a corrective phase shaped by the Fibonacci Arc, which guided the downside retracement before buyers regained control. Several Pivot Points formed along the channel, marking clear areas where momentum shifted back in favor of buyers. Additionally, a recent fake breakout below the channel support further emphasizes that sellers are failing to break structure, while liquidity sweeps continue to fuel bullish re-entry opportunities. Currently, XAUUSD is moving steadily toward the channel midline, with the next key objective located at $4,050, which represents short-term resistance and a known reaction level. A confirmed breakout above $4,050 would open the door for a broader continuation toward the $4,130 Supply Zone, a region where a previous distributive phase occurred. As long as Gold holds above the $3,930–$3,960 Demand Zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. I expect price to gradually continue higher within the ascending channel. At this stage, the market structure continues to favor buyers, and dips remain attractive opportunities to participate in the upward move. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
3