GBP/JPY -H1- Channel Breakout (14.07.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 196.70
2nd Support – 195.53
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Analysis
MSTR -- Cup & Handle Breakout // Long & Short SetupsHello Traders!
There is a beautiful cup and handle pattern that has formed on MSTR (Microstrategy).
This pattern offers us a wonderful long setup, as well as a potential short at the all time high.
Pattern Failure: If price both breaks and confirms below the C&P neckline the pattern is void.
Price will likely temporarily pull back from the all time high, giving us our short setup. However you'll want to be in and out quick considering price will likely continue to new highs after pulling back.
I will be swing trading the long setup and likely day trading the short setup.
Have fun and best of luck to everyone on their trading journey!
Looking for catalysts - Gold Outlook July 7 - July 11, 2025All about last week you can find here:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD Gold is currently seeking fresh catalysts this week. 🧐
While the economic calendar appears light for this time of year, a lack of economic data doesn't mean nothing is happening. Geopolitical events, especially tariff wars or other flashpoints, remain significant. Are there increasing signs for peace in the Middle East between Israel and Hamas? 🕊️
This week Gold could take advantage from an exisiting reversal head and shoulders pattern and painting pitchfork in the chart shows possibillities for Upside targeting $3400.
## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
Israel / Iran ⚔️🛑☢️
After fierce clashes in June, a **ceasefire** began June 24. 🇮🇷 Iran's Supreme Leader reappeared July 6, claiming victory 🎤. Tehran has now **banned IAEA inspectors** ❌🔍. Over 900 Iranians reportedly killed ⚰️.
🔮 Outlook: ⚠️ Nuclear tensions growing, diplomacy frozen 🧊. Regional powers remain on high alert 🚨.
India / Pakistan 🗻🔫🕌
Tense calm in Kashmir 😐. India launched its sacred **Amarnath Yatra** 🕉️ under heavy security 🛡️. Pakistan killed 30 militants near the Afghan border ⚔️, while China 🐉 admitted sharing intel 📡.
🔮 Outlook: Diplomatic track stays open 🕊️, but **border flare-ups** and water disputes 💧 remain volatile 🔥.
Gaza Conflict 💣🏘️🕊️
Israel launched deadly airstrikes ✈️, including one on a beach café ☕🏖️ killing 22. Dozens more died 💔. IDF admitted accidental strikes on aid sites 🚚❌. U.S.-led talks seek a **60-day truce** 🤝.
🔮 Outlook: Ceasefire possible 🛑, but **humanitarian crisis** worsening 🚨🩺. Trust remains fragile 💔.
Russia / Ukraine ⚔️
Zelenskyy 🇺🇦 and Trump 📞 discussed new air defense aid 🎯. Russia answered with **massive drone strikes** on Kyiv 🚁🔥. NATO boosts arms shipments 🔫 and backs Ukraine’s domestic weapons production 🏭.
🔮 Outlook: War grinds on ⚙️. No peace in sight, with **global stakes** rising 📈.
U.S. / China Trade War 💼📦🔥
With new tariffs looming 📆💣, Treasury said “multiple deals” are near 🤝. Trump claimed a **partial deal with China** 🐉, though tariffs remain high 📊.
🔮 Outlook: More piecemeal deals 🍰, but a **full-scale trade reset** looks unlikely before elections 🗳️.
🌍 Global Trade War 📉🚢💸
Trump’s shifting tariffs 🎯 hurt global growth 🌐. Markets hit record highs 📈 but investment chills ❄️. The 💵 dollar had its sharpest 6-month drop 📉 in decades.
🔮 Outlook: Businesses remain cautious ⚠️. **Supply chains** reroute 🔄. No global rebound without clarity 🔍.
Trump vs. Powell 💥🏛️📉
Trump demanded Powell’s resignation ❌📉, accusing him of weak rate policy 📊. Powell held firm 🧊, citing inflation risks 📈. Trump eyes replacements 👀🪑.
🔮 Outlook: Fed independence 🏛️ under fire 🔥. **Rate policy** may get politicized ahead of 2025 elections 🗳️.
📈 U.S. Inflation 🛒💰🧾
Inflation slowed to 0.1% 🐢, but tariffs raised prices on appliances 🔌 (+4.3%) and toys 🧸. Fed projects 3% inflation by year-end 📊.
🔮 Outlook: As **tariffs bite** 🦷, inflation likely to climb 📈. Fed stays cautious 🧐 on cuts.
Technical View 📐📈
Analysis Period: May 25 - June 6, 2025 | Forecast: June 7-11, 2025
1. ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis 🧠
Market Structure
Higher Timeframe Bias: The chart shows a clear bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows from the major low around 3,250. 🐂
Current Structure: Price is in a consolidation phase after reaching highs near 3,370, showing potential distribution. ⚖️
Key ICT Concepts Identified:
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Multiple gaps visible during the strong rally from 3,250 to 3,370. 💨
Order Blocks: Significant demand zone around 3,250-3,260 level (major accumulation area). 📦
Liquidity Zones:
Buy-side liquidity above 3,370 (recent highs). 💸
Sell-side liquidity below 3,320 (recent consolidation lows). 📉
Market Maker Models: Classic accumulation-manipulation-distribution pattern visible. 🔄
Session Analysis:
London Session: Shows strong directional moves. 🇬🇧
New York Session: Continuation of trends with increased volatility. 🗽
Asian Session: Consolidation and range-bound behavior. 🌏
2. Gann Analysis 🧙♂️
Gann Angles & Time Cycles:
Primary Trend: 1x1 angle supporting the bullish move from 3,250. ↗️
Resistance Angles: 2x1 and 3x1 angles providing resistance around current levels. 🚧
Time Cycles:
7-day cycle showing completion around June 2-3. 🗓️
14-day cycle suggesting potential reversal window June 7-9. ⏳
Gann Price Levels:
Major Support: 3,250 (1/8 level). 🛡️
Current Resistance: 3,370 (7/8 level). 🛑
Next Target: 3,400 (full octave completion). 🎯
Geometric Relationships:
Price squared relationship suggests 3,380-3,400 as natural resistance. 📐
Time-price balance indicates consolidation period before next major move. 🕰️⚖️
3. Fibonacci Analysis ✨
Retracement Levels (from 3,250 low to 3,370 high):
23.6%: 3,341.6
38.2%: 3,324.2
50.0%: 3,310.0
61.8%: 3,295.8
78.6%: 3,265.6
Extension Levels:
127.2%: 3,402.6
161.8%: 3,444.2
200.0%: 3,490.0
Current Analysis:
Price has respected the 23.6% retracement level multiple times. ✅
Strong support confluence at 38.2% level (3,324). 💪
Extension targets suggest potential move to 3,402-3,444 range. 🚀
4. Institutional Levels Analysis 🏦
Psychological Levels:
3,300: Major round number providing support. 💯
3,350: Mid-level resistance. 📊
3,400: Next major psychological target. 🎯
Institutional Order Flow:
Accumulation Zone: 3,250-3,280 (heavy institutional buying). 💰
Distribution Zone: 3,350-3,370 (profit-taking area). 💸
Breakout Target: 3,400+ (next institutional objective). ⬆️
Volume Analysis:
High volume on the initial move up from 3,250. 📈
Decreasing volume during consolidation (typical distribution pattern). 📉
Volume expansion needed for breakout confirmation. 💥
5. Cycle Timing Analysis ⏰
Short-Term Cycles:
3-day cycle: Currently in compression phase. 🤏
7-day cycle: Completed around June 2-3. ✅
14-day cycle: Due for completion June 7-9. ⏳
Medium-Term Cycles:
Monthly cycle: Bullish momentum phase. ⬆️
Quarterly cycle: In expansion phase. 🌟
Cycle Projection:
Next major cycle turn expected June 7-9. 🔄
Potential for either breakout or correction during this window. 🤞
6. FORECAST: June 7-11, 2025 🔮
Primary Scenario (60% probability): Bullish Breakout 🚀
Target 1: 3,400-3,410
Target 2: 3,440-3,450
Catalyst: Break above 3,370 with volume. 💥
Timeline: June 7-9 initial move, June 10-11 extension.
Secondary Scenario (35% probability): Corrective Pullback ⬇️
Target 1: 3,320-3,325 (38.2% Fibonacci)
Target 2: 3,300-3,310 (psychological support)
Catalyst: Failure to break 3,370 resistance. 🚫
Timeline: June 7-8 decline, June 9-11 consolidation.
Low Probability Scenario (5% probability): Deep Correction 📉
Target: 3,280-3,290 (61.8% Fibonacci)
Catalyst: Major risk-off sentiment. 😱
Timeline: Extended throughout the week.
7. Key Assumptions & Risk Factors 🤔
Bullish Assumptions:
Continued institutional accumulation at current levels. 🏦
Breakout above 3,370 with confirming volume. ⬆️
Favorable macroeconomic backdrop for gold. 🌍
Weakness in USD supporting gold prices. 💵
Geopolitical tensions maintaining safe-haven demand. 🕊️
Bearish Risk Factors:
Profit-taking at psychological 3,400 level. 🤝
Stronger USD due to economic data. 💹
Reduced safe-haven demand. 📉
Technical failure at key resistance levels. 🚧
Central bank policy shifts. 🏛️
8. Trading Recommendations 💡
Entry Strategies:
Bullish Setup: Buy on pullback to 3,340-3,345 with stop below 3,320. 🎯
Breakout Play: Buy break above 3,372 with stop below 3,350. 🚀
Conservative: Wait for retest of 3,324 support area. patiently 🧘
Risk Management:
Position Size: Limit to 2-3% of portfolio per trade. 📏
Stop Loss: Always use stops below key support levels. ⛔
Take Profit: Scale out at Fibonacci extension levels. 💰
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: 3,365-3,370 🛑
Support: 3,340-3,345 🛡️
Breakout Level: 3,372 🚀
Major Support: 3,320-3,325 💪
9. Conclusion ✅
The XAUUSD chart presents a constructive bullish setup with multiple confluences supporting higher prices. The completion of various cycles around June 7-9 suggests a potential catalyst for the next major move. While the primary bias remains bullish targeting 3,400+, traders should remain alert to the possibility of a corrective pullback to test lower support levels. 🧐
The institutional accumulation pattern, combined with favorable Gann angles and Fibonacci projections, supports the bullish thesis. However, proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility around key psychological levels. ⚠️
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
ATH Mode On => Request Your Altcoin Analysis NowThe bulls are back in action, and momentum is building fast! ⚡
To celebrate this major milestone, I’m opening the floor to YOU 👇
Request any altcoin in the comments, and I’ll personally share my technical analysis on it! 📊✅
Let’s make the most of this market together — it’s altcoin season waiting to happen! 🚀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin facing breakout, active management recommended__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (MTFTI “Strong Up”).
Key supports: 110,483–111,949. Major resistances: 118,689–119,499.
Volumes normal to slightly elevated. No anomaly or climax.
Behaviour: early caution signals on ISPD DIV (4H–2H), sector “sell” trigger on the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (15min).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
Overall bullish bias on all timeframes. Structural uptrend confirmed, but early behavioural/sector divergence at short term.
Buy zones: pullback to 110,483–111,949. Stop/alert below 110,483 H4/H6 close.
Opportunities: tight trailing above 118,689 to capture extension. Partial take profit advised in upper range (118,689–119,499) if divergences persist.
Risks: geopolitical risk-off catalysts, start of selling extension, or loss of support.
Plan: active management required, avoid overexposure, plan for key break levels, readiness to exploit imminent breakout.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D : Price above all pivots, strong momentum. Key resistance in play (119,499), supports at 110,483/105,054. Volumes normal, bullish alignment.
12H : Confluence of resistances (119,499–115,495), structure intact, buy opportunity on retrace. No major alert.
6H : Strong buying extension, pure momentum. No excess signals.
4H : First divergence (ISPD DIV “sell”). Consolidation on resistance, consider partial profit-taking.
2H : Bullish momentum but ISPD DIV “sell” and moderately high volumes. Localized euphoria risk.
1H : No excess, post-breakout consolidation.
30min : Extreme consolidation, decelerating volumes, possible fatigue.
15min : Sector “sell” trigger (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Sell”). Trend remains up, but caution is advised.
Multi-tf summary:
Bullish alignment across all horizons. Short-term behavioural caution, but trend remains unchallenged as long as above 110,483–111,949.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Strategic Bias
Multi-timeframe momentum confirmed, watch supports at 110,483–111,949.
Buy on valid retrace, take profit at highs if behaviour diverges.
Break below 110,483 (H4/H6 close) = invalidation signal.
Key triggers: geopolitical news, broken supports, selling spikes.
Base scenario: likely imminent directional breakout (volatility). Watch for spikes on major headlines.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamentals and Macro News
Uncertain backdrop (Fed, US inflation, bonds & FX), no major macro trigger in 48h but latent volatility.
Crypto: Bitcoin stable, general accumulation, no violent distribution detected.
Geopolitics: rising tensions (Iran, Ukraine). Can prompt sharp risk-off if escalation occurs.
No major macroeconomic event scheduled (empty calendar).
__________________________________________________________________________________
On-chain Analysis
Accumulation phase for all holders, >19k BTC/month absorbed. Extreme volatility compression (coiling).
Realized & implied volatility is exceptionally low, setting up violent move.
ETF (IBIT BlackRock): record accumulation. Downside break could trigger psychological stress.
Baseline: technical & on-chain setup disfavors bears. Any exogenous shock accelerates volatility.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Recap & Action Plan
Bullish bias validated, risk of market fatigue on short-term signals.
Buy on controlled pullback, tight trailing at highs, partial profit-taking in 118,689–119,499 band.
Swing stop below 110,000 (H4); total invalidation if daily support fails.
Expect directional move + volatility on next impulse (8–48h).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
BTC remains in a primary bullish trend, supported by on-chain accumulation and extreme structural compression. Only active management (profit, leverage, stops) optimizes R/R and prepares to respond to an imminent, directional volatility event. Stay proactive and plan!
__________________________________________________________________________________
USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
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GBP/USD - H1- Bearish Flag (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3520
2nd Support – 1.3460
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Ethereum can make a small correction before it continues to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. After a long period of consolidation within a descending triangle, Ethereum broke out and started forming a steady upward channel. The impulse move from the buyer zone gave the market fresh bullish energy. We saw the price pushing through key resistance levels, showing strong momentum and confidence from buyers. Eventually, ETH reached a local peak and is now hovering just above the current support level at 2835. This area is crucial - it previously acted as resistance and has now turned into a support area, giving bulls a chance to regroup. Based on the structure, I expect a short-term correction toward the support area, followed by a continuation to the upside. The trend remains strong, and the impulse is not yet exhausted. That’s why I set my TP at 3240 points, which aligns with the upper expansion target based on previous movement. Given the breakout, strong uptrend, and support zone now being retested, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth from the current levels. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 11, 2025 USDJPYThe dollar is holding steady at 146.500 against the yen: another rise in US yields and stable demand for safe US assets following comments from the Fed are fueling appetite for the USD, while demand for the JPY remains sluggish.
The tariff front exacerbates the imbalance: the White House has already imposed 25% tariffs on Japanese goods, and new ideas for “umbrella” tariffs are heightening fears of a trade war, forcing investors to flow into financing currencies. Reuters notes that the yen weakened to 146.400, recording a weekly decline of more than 1%.
At the same time, the Bank of Japan is not yet ready for aggressive tightening: a decline in inflation to 1.8% y/y and weak real wage dynamics make it difficult to raise rates above 0.5%. The divergence in monetary policy and expectations for Japanese macro data (machine tool orders, industrial production) until July 14 form the fundamental basis for the pair's growth to 147.500 and above, while the risks of correction are limited to the 145.900 zone.
Trading recommendation: BUY 146.500, SL 145.900, TP 147.500
XAG/USD (Silver) - Triangle Breakout (09.07.2025)The XAG/USD (Silver) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3749
2nd Resistance – 3781
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Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High: What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) has once again captured the world’s attention by smashing through its previous all-time high (ATH). This milestone has sparked excitement and speculation across the crypto community and beyond. But the key question remains: Will BTC continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon?
Long-Term Outlook: The Bullish Case
In the long run, the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong. Several factors support a positive outlook:
Institutional Adoption: More institutional investors are entering the market, providing greater liquidity and legitimacy.
Scarcity and Halving Cycles: Bitcoin’s fixed supply and periodic halving events historically drive long-term price appreciation.
Macro Trends: Ongoing concerns about inflation and fiat currency devaluation continue to make BTC an attractive hedge.
Given these dynamics, we believe Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains upward.
Short-Term Caution: A Correction May Be Coming
While the long-term view is optimistic, the short-term picture may be less rosy:
Overheated Market Indicators: Rapid price surges often lead to overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Profit-Taking: After breaking ATH, some investors may lock in gains, adding selling pressure.
Technical Resistance: Historical patterns suggest that corrections often follow major breakouts.
We anticipate a potential correction, possibly pulling BTC back to the $90,000 range. This adjustment could unfold in the coming week or weeks as the market digests recent gains.
What Should Investors Do?
Stay Calm: Volatility is part of the crypto landscape. Corrections are healthy for sustainable growth.
Focus on Fundamentals: Remember why you invested in BTC in the first place.
Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Spreading out purchases can help mitigate the impact of short-term swings.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s break above its all-time high is a testament to its enduring appeal and the growing confidence of investors. While a short-term correction may be likely, the long-term case for BTC remains compelling. As always, prudent risk management and a focus on fundamentals are key to navigating the exciting—and sometimes turbulent—world of crypto.
Do not consider it as investment advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #analysis
GBP/AUD - Bearish Flag (10.07.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0671
2nd Support – 2.0607
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Bitcoin can rebound up from support line of upward wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In this chart, we can see how the price dropped from the 102800 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and later entered to wedge upward. In this pattern, price made an impulse up from the support line of the wedge pattern and broke the 102800 support level, after making a retest, and continued to move up. Bitcoin rose to the current support level, which coincided with a support area and even entered this area, but soon turned around and fell below. Next, price rose to this area again and then made a correction movement, after which it turned around and made an impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 108000 level. After this movement, the price bounced from this line and fell back to the current support level, where it some time traded in the support area. Later price rebounded and continued to move up. Now, I expect that BTC can correct to support line of the wedge and then rise to the resistance line of this pattern. That's why I set my TP at the 112600 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 10, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims
GBPUSD:
The British pound remains under pressure amid increased risk-off sentiment linked to new White House statements about additional tariffs from August 1. This is boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe haven and prompts investors to take profits on long GBP positions.
Domestic factors in the UK also have a negative impact: revisions to social spending programs and weak manufacturing PMI and retail sales data signal a slowdown in economic activity. The Bank of England is expected to keep the rate at 5.50% until year-end, which limits the pound’s attractiveness for investors.
The current GBP/USD rate is 1.35900. In the absence of positive drivers from the UK economy and persistent demand for the dollar, the pair remains vulnerable to further declines toward 1.3520.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.36000, SL 1.36300, TP 1.35200
Bitcoin Update – Bullish Falling Wedge in Play?BTC/USD is currently trading near $108.8K, compressing within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish continuation pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
Why the Bias Remains Bullish:
Bullish MA Cross: Short-term MAs (9/21) are aligned for upside momentum.
Falling Wedge: Price compressing with lower highs and lows, coiling for a breakout.
RSI Strength: RSI (purple) remains elevated, supporting continued upside pressure.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Trump delays trade war announcements, reducing global uncertainty.
FOMC meeting in late July: Trump pushes for rate cuts, potentially bullish for risk assets like BTC.
If BTC breaks out above the wedge resistance with convincing volume:
Retest likely at ~$110K
Targets : $115K → $120K+
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025
The price is currently trading around the 3,295 level, after a recent Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The market has formed a consolidation zone (highlighted in purple), suggesting a possible bearish continuation setup. Price is expected to retest the supply zone and then move lower.
Sell Setup Details:
Entry Zone: Inside the purple consolidation range (~3,295–3,297)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,305
Target (TP): 3,282
Key Support Levels:
3,292.16
3,288.16
3,282.39 (Main Target Zone)
This setup anticipates a bearish move after a rejection from the supply area, aiming for the liquidity zone near 3,282.
Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis
In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction.
Technical Analysis:
Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points.
For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights.
Conclusion:
Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals.
Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
Is a Reversal on the Horizon or a Deeper Correction? 🔘Gold Faces Strong Resistance at 3300 – Is a Reversal on the Horizon or a Deeper Correction? ⭐️
Gold has recently faced a significant price correction after bouncing off key resistance levels. As geopolitical events settle and economic data comes in, the market is now testing crucial support levels. Today’s session could provide important insights into whether gold will maintain its bullish momentum or continue to correct further.
🔹Market Overview – USD Rebounds, Creating Short-Term Pressure on Gold
The US dollar has seen a strong rebound following positive developments in the global trade talks. Several key agreements between major nations, including the US, have been signed, which seem to support the USD in the short term. This has put downward pressure on gold, as traders shift their focus towards a stronger dollar and risk appetite returning to the market.
🔹US inflation data has come in lower than expected, creating room for the Fed to hold off on rate hikes, which helps the dollar further.
🔹FOMC meeting minutes later this week could reveal insights into the Fed's stance on interest rates, which could be key for market direction.
🔹Geopolitical tensions are cooling off slightly, which has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🔹Technical Analysis – Gold in a Range-Bound Market, Testing Key Levels
On the H1 chart, gold is forming a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, suggesting that the price could continue its correction within this range. If the price stays within this zone, we might see a deeper pullback toward the 3250 region.
However, as always, waiting for confirmation signals before entering any trades is crucial. The false breakout risk is high when the price moves quickly and without clear confirmation from higher timeframes.
🔹Buy Bias in the Short-TermGiven the current technical structure, a buy bias seems more likely than further selling. The market may test 3320-3325 in the near term, with the potential to bounce back if the buying momentum continues to build. Additionally, the rejection wick on the D1 candle from yesterday suggests that sellers are losing control, and we may see more buying pressure in the coming sessions.
🔹Resistance and Support Levels to Watch:
🔺Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361
🔻Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248
⬜️Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones
🔺BUY ZONE:3250 – 3248
🔹Stop Loss: 3244
✔️Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ????
🔺SELL SCALP: 3303 – 3305
🔹Stop Loss: 3310
✔️Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260
🔺SELL ZONE:3334 – 3336
🔹Stop Loss: 3340
✔️Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ????
🕖Important Notes for Today: FOMC and Trade Policy Updates
With FOMC minutes and other important trade policy updates expected today, it’s crucial to stay alert for any sudden changes in market sentiment. Always ensure that you are adhering to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account.
ETH/USDT 1W Chart📊 Trend structure (Price Action)
Downtrend (historical):
A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic downtrend.
Confirmed by the orange downtrend line.
A change in structure — a possible beginning of an uptrend:
A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL).
Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards.
Currently:
The price is testing the upper downtrend line.
A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change.
🟢 Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines):
Level Meaning
3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation
2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested
3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH)
🔴 Key Support Levels (Red Lines):
Level Meaning
2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout
1.883 USDT Early 2023 support
1.507 USDT Local bottom
1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme
📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator):
Currently in the overbought zone.
This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout.
However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time.
📈 Potential scenario:
If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds:
A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target.
Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH).
If the breakout fails:
Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower.
There is a risk of returning to a downtrend.
✅ Bullish signals:
Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL).
Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout.
Volume is increasing (based on candles).
⚠️ Bearish threats:
Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone.
Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767).
Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move.
📌 Conclusion:
Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3545
2nd Support – 1.3485
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