ETH/USDT (4H Timeframe)The chart shows Ethereum’s price action on the 4-hour timeframe with key supply–demand zones, structure levels, and an active long setup.
1. Market Structure
ETH has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows, but recently it created a short-term bullish reversal from the demand zone near $2,880–$2,950.
Price broke a small internal structure high (marked “XX-Liquidity”), indicating potential short-term bullish strength.
2. Key Zones
Major Supply Zone (Upper Blue Box):
Around $3,360–$3,414 — a strong resistance area where price previously dropped heavily.
Major Demand Zone (Lower Blue Box):
Around $2,888–$2,949 — where price had a strong bullish reaction.
3. Order Block (OB+)
A bullish order block is marked just below the current price (~$3,000).
Price is pulling back into this OB, suggesting possible bullish continuation if it holds.
4. Current Position Setup
There is a highlighted long trade zone from the OB, targeting the $3,257–$3,257+ region.
Entry appears near $3,000, SL below the OB, and TP at the previous major structure high.
5. Price Reaction
ETH is hovering around $3,003, testing the order block for liquidity.
If OB holds, price may push toward the target zone. If broken, price may revisit the demand zone at $2,880–$2,940.
Analysis
GOOGL Stock Forming a BIG Pattern — Key Levels You MUST Watch!In this video, I break down a clear chart pattern forming on GOOGL (Alphabet) stock, using detailed technical analysis.
You’ll see exactly how the pattern developed, what levels matter right now, and where the stock could move next.
🔍 What’s Covered in This Analysis:
GOOGL’s current chart structure
Clear pattern formation (triangle / channel / flag / wedge — based on your chart)
Key support & resistance zones
Breakout / breakdown levels
Trend strength and momentum
Short-term price targets
Medium-term technical outlook
Risk levels & invalidation points
📈 Why This Matters
Alphabet (GOOGL) is showing a highly tradable technical setup, and understanding this chart pattern can help you spot the next big move before it happens.
Perfect for:
Day traders
Swing traders
Long-term technical investors
Anyone following large-cap tech stocks
Bank holiday what will gold price be on 28 november 2025?1️⃣ Trendline
Ascending Trendline (red channel)
Price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Recently touched the upper boundary → a technical pullback toward the lower boundary is likely.
Descending Trendline (red dotted)
This is a dynamic resistance from the higher timeframe.
Price has just broken above it; a retest is normal → creating a strong confluence area.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance
Resistance
4,240 – 4,245 (Fibo 1.618 + major supply zone)
→ This is the upside target if price continues to hold within the ascending channel.
Support 1 (nearest)
4,165 – 4,170 (trendline + MA + previous consolidation zone)
→ This zone is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure.
Support 2 (stronger)
4,095 – 4,112 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 + broad demand zone)
→ If Support 1 breaks, price may retrace deeply into this area.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Levels
Fibo 1.0 at 4,162 → currently the main retest point.
Fibo 0.618 at 4,111 → strong confluence with the major demand zone.
Fibo 1.618 at 4,245–4,255 → matches the top resistance → primary bullish target if the trendline holds.
4️⃣ Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (preferred)
If price holds above 4,165 – 4,170
→ it continues following the ascending channel → target 4,240 – 4,245.
Bearish Scenario
Break of the trendline + candle close below 4,165
→ confirms a correction phase → price likely moves down to 4,109 – 4,105.
Trade Ideas
BUY GOLD:
4165 – 4162
Stoploss: 4152
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD:
4240 – 4243
Stoploss: 4250
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Trend Exhaustion: How to Spot a Reversal Before It HappensReversals rarely start with dramatic candles. They begin quietly, through subtle shifts in momentum and structure that most traders overlook.
A strong trend doesn’t collapse all at once. It loses strength in stages, and those stages are visible long before price turns in the opposite direction.
The first sign of exhaustion is weakening impulse strength. In a healthy trend, impulsive moves are clean and decisive, and retracements are controlled. When each new push produces smaller higher highs or lower lows, it signals reduced participation.
Buyers or sellers are still present, but the force driving the trend is fading.
The second clue lies in how price interacts with liquidity. Strong trends break key levels with conviction. Exhausted trends start reaching above highs or below lows only to reject immediately.
These sweeps show that the market is clearing liquidity without gaining follow-through, often trapping late entries and signaling that larger players are offloading positions.
A third indication appears when structure begins to fracture. An uptrend losing its higher-low sequence or a downtrend failing to maintain lower highs is a shift in narrative. A single break is not confirmation, but when it aligns with slowing impulses and liquidity failures, momentum is clearly changing.
Volatility then begins to compress. Candle ranges shrink, movement becomes less directional, and price enters a tightening pattern.
This compression often precedes expansion in the opposite direction. When a decisive candle breaks out of this cluster, the reversal typically accelerates.
Trend exhaustion is about recognizing when the conditions that supported continuation no longer exist.
By reading momentum, liquidity, and structure together, you can anticipate shifts earlier, manage risk more effectively, and position yourself on the right side of the next move.
Gold Buyers Regain Momentum — Aiming for 4,240 RetestHello traders! Let’s break down the current XAUUSD structure. Gold is trading within a broad ascending structure after forming a strong local bottom around the Support Line, where buyers entered the market and started to push the price higher. This upward movement follows a long corrective phase, during which the price respected the diagonal Support Line multiple times — confirming the presence of a stable bullish trend. Earlier, XAUUSD broke out of the Buyer Zone (4,110–4,120), retested it, and successfully held above it. This zone now acts as a key demand area and the primary level where buyers continue defending the trend. A previous bearish attempt failed here, forming a fake breakout and leading to a new bullish impulse. The price is now approaching the descending Resistance Line, which has repeatedly pushed gold lower during the recent correction. A clean breakout above this trendline may open the way for the price to move toward the major Resistance Level at 4,240.00, which also aligns with the first take-profit area (TP1). This Resistance Level has acted as a strong reaction zone multiple times, causing sharp pullbacks and marking the boundaries of the Seller Zone. Buyers will likely face significant opposition here once again. If gold respects the Buyer Zone and maintains trading above 4,110, the bullish scenario remains intact, and the price may push toward TP1 → 4,240. A confirmed breakout above this level would signal continuation toward higher targets within the broader bullish structure. However, if XAUUSD fails to hold the Buyer Zone and breaks below 4,110, the bullish outlook becomes invalid. In this case, the price may revisit the lower trendline or enter a deeper correction toward previous support areas. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish, with buyers dominating as long as the price stays above demand and respects the ascending Support Line. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
EURUSD Approaching a Key Buy ZoneQuick Summary
EURUSD is approaching a potential buy zone near 1.15370 where the pair is expected to take liquidity below the low at 1.15474 before showing a bullish reaction The likely target after the rebound is the break of the descending trendline on the H4 timeframe with the demand zone aligning with the 61 Fibonacci level
Full Analysis
The pair is gradually moving toward an important area around 1.15370 This zone represents a potential point where strong buying pressure may appear The current movement seems focused on collecting liquidity below the low at 1.15474 and once this liquidity is taken the probability of a bullish reaction becomes higher
If the price reacts from this level the next objective will be a move toward breaking the descending trendline on the H4 timeframe This scenario aligns with a previously formed demand zone and converges with the 61 Fibonacci level which adds more strength to the bullish continuation outlook
The main focus now is to wait for a clear reaction from the 1.15370 zone Whether it appears as a strong bounce or a shift in control toward buyers this area is likely to play a key role in guiding the next move of the pair
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 28, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is fluctuating near 1.16 after a series of mixed signals: in the euro area, focus is on flash inflation readings in Germany and a broader data block, while the ECB maintains a cautious tone ahead of the December meeting. Comments from Governing Council members indicate it is premature to discuss further easing while core price pressure remains above target, and short-term liquidity is reflected in €STR without signs of a sharp loosening in conditions. Against a modest uptick in U.S. Treasury yields, interest in the dollar is supported, which caps the euro’s upside.
In the U.S., after the short holiday week, the policy path is being reassessed: markets are reluctant to bring forward expectations of rapid Fed easing as some recent macro indicators point to resilient consumption and labor demand. That keeps the dollar from weakening further and pushes participants to cautiously take profits on long-euro positions. An additional factor is cross-asset rotation into dollar assets amid ongoing fiscal risks in several EU countries.
The current setup favors a tactical pullback in EURUSD: neutral ECB communication alongside steady U.S. data supports the dollar around 1.16. Against this backdrop, we prefer selling from 1.15950 with a stop at 1.16250 and a target at 1.14950—the idea rests on the balance of fundamental drivers and the likelihood of flows into defensive assets if sentiment deteriorates.
Trade idea: SELL 1.15950, SL 1.16250, TP 1.14950
EURUSD Long: Upside Pressure Targets Retest of 1.1610 LevelHello traders! EURUSD is forming a clear technical structure after reacting precisely to both the Supply and Demand levels, creating a clean sequence of trend shifts and breakout points. Earlier, the pair moved inside a strong Descending Channel, where each retest of the upper boundary produced sharp bearish impulses. This confirmed that sellers were fully in control during that phase. A breakout from the channel led to a short consolidation Range, showing temporary buyer accumulation before a trend reversal. Following this accumulation, EURUSD entered an Ascending Channel, where price consistently made higher highs and higher lows. Multiple breakouts occurred along the way, showing how buyers gained strength while defending each pullback. However, an important Fake Breakout near 1.1570 revealed that bullish momentum was still fragile, and price slipped back into the channel before resuming the upward movement.
Currently,, the market formed a clear Inverse Head and Shoulders reversal pattern at the bottom, located directly inside the 1.1500–1.1520 Demand Zone. This zone acted as a major support cluster, generating strong bullish reactions. After confirming the neckline breakout, EURUSD rallied aggressively toward the current structure. At the moment, price is pushing higher and approaching the 1.16100 Supply Zone, which has repeatedly acted as resistance in previous market swings. This level is now the main obstacle for bulls and the next key reaction zone.
My scenario as long as EURUSD remains above the 1.15700 Demand Zone, the bullish trend structure remains intact. A continuation toward the 1.16100 Supply Zone (TP1) is the most likely scenario. This level is expected to create the next significant reaction, as it aligns with previous selling pressure. A clean breakout above 1.16100 would reinforce the bullish momentum and open the path toward the next upside levels. However, if EURUSD rejects the supply area, a pullback toward 1.15700–1.15500 may occur before buyers attempt another upward move. Only a breakdown below the demand zone would weaken the bullish outlook and shift momentum back toward sellers. For now, the market favors buying pullbacks into demand while monitoring reactions closely at the 1.16100 resistance. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD: Bulls Defend 4100! Is a Breakout to 4220 Imminent?Hello traders! XAUUSD continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but with repeated volatility around key zones. The chart highlights how Gold has reacted multiple times to the major Demand Zone near 4,100, which has consistently acted as a strong support area. Each dip into this zone triggered a bullish response, confirming active buyers. Earlier in the structure, price formed a clear Double Top inside the Supply Zone around 4,220–4,230, which led to a strong bearish reversal and a breakdown below the trend line. After that, Gold entered a prolonged Range Phase, where the market consolidated sideways before breaking out to the upside. Recently, XAUUSD attempted a bullish continuation, but the move resulted in a Fake Breakout above the supply zone, signaling that buyers lacked the strength to maintain momentum above 4,220. This rejection pushed price downward and back below the main Trend Line, which now acts as dynamic resistance.
Currently, Gold is trading above the 4,100 Demand Zone, forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern — an early sign that buyers may be preparing for another upward push. As long as price holds above 4,100 and stays above local structure, the bullish scenario remains valid.
My scenario, if XAUUSD holds above the 4,100 Demand Zone, buyers may gain momentum and attempt another breakout toward the 4,200–4,220 Supply Zone, which is the next major resistance and the primary upside target. A sustained break above 4,220 would confirm bullish strength and could open the path toward higher continuation targets. However, if buyers fail to hold the 4,100 level, Gold may drop back into the previous range or retest lower support areas before attempting another reversal. For now, the bias is moderately bullish, supported by demand reactions and reversal patterns — but a confirmed breakout above 4,200 is needed for stronger trend continuation. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: Buyers Preparing for a Move Toward $90,000Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSD continues to recover after a prolonged downtrend, where the market consistently respected the descending Trend Line and formed a series of Range structures. Each range acted as a consolidation phase inside the broader bearish movement, with multiple breakdowns continuing the trend to the downside. Despite occasional bullish breakouts, none of them were strong enough to reverse the bearish structure, leading to further declines. Eventually, price reached the Support Zone around $84,000–$85,000, where the market produced a fake breakdown, signaling initial buyer activity. This fake breakout formed a local bottom that became the base for a reversal attempt. Following this reaction, BTCUSD began forming an Upward Channel, marking a shift in market structure from bearish to early-stage bullish. Inside this channel, price has started to create higher highs and higher lows—an essential signal of growing bullish momentum. The structure remains clean and technical: every pullback respects the lower boundary of the channel, while short impulses are reaching toward the midline of the structure. Buyers are gradually gaining control.
Currently, BTCUSD is stabilizing above the Support Zone while trading near the lower half of the ascending channel. As long as price respects this channel structure, sentiment remains bullish. The key area ahead is the Resistance Zone around $90,000, which previously acted as a pivot point and rejected bullish attempts multiple times. A clean breakout above this zone would confirm broader bullish strength.
Scenario & Strategy
I expect BTCUSD to continue moving inside the Upward Channel, gradually approaching the $90,000 Resistance Zone. A retest of this area is the most probable outcome if buyers maintain control. Short-term corrections may occur as the price approaches resistance, but overall structure favors a bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout above $90,000 could trigger a stronger move toward higher targets, opening the way for a larger trend reversal. This level remains the key barrier for buyers in the short and medium term.
However, if BTCUSD breaks down from the Upward Channel and falls below the $84,000 Support Zone, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. Such a move would likely signal a deeper correction or a return to bearish conditions. For now, buying the dips within the channel remains the more favorable approach as long as the structure stays intact and buyers continue defending support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC Rebounds From 85K Support — Rally Toward 93K ResistanceHello traders! Let’s take a look at BTCUSD (Bitcoin). BTCUSD continues to trade within a broader corrective structure after a long bearish decline. Earlier, the market formed a large descending wedge, where price consistently respected both the Resistance Line and the Support Line. After the breakout from this wedge pattern, Bitcoin briefly turned bullish but soon entered a sideways Range, showing indecision and weakening momentum. The Range eventually broke to the downside, sending BTCUSD directly into the Seller Zone around $93,000, a key area that triggered several strong rejections in the past. A clean retest of this zone confirmed bearish pressure, leading to another impulsive drop. During the decline, price briefly pushed below the Support Zone near $85,000, creating a fake breakout, which trapped sellers and sparked a strong bullish reaction. From this point, buyers gained control and pushed price into a new ascending structure, supported by a rising Support Line shown on the chart. This indicates a shift in short-term momentum, with BTCUSD now forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching the $93,000 Resistance Level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the previous Seller Zone. This is the key barrier for buyers. If price manages a clean breakout above this level, bullish continuation toward higher resistance zones becomes likely. As long as BTCUSD holds above the ascending Support Line and the $85,000 Support Area, the outlook remains bullish in the short term. From my perspective, BTCUSD is showing a short-term bullish continuation setup, supported by the ascending Support Line and the strong rejection from the $85,000 demand zone. If BTCUSD breaks back below $85,000, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and a deeper correction could follow. For now, market structure supports a bullish recovery as long as buyers defend support and maintain the ascending trend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 27, 2025 USDJPYThe yen firms on two overlapping forces: markets lean toward a gentler U.S. rate path next year, and Japan preserves the prospect of further normalization of monetary settings supported by wage agreements and stickier domestic prices. As U.S. Treasury yields edge lower, the relative appeal of dollar assets versus the yen decreases, pressuring the pair.
The risk of official comments from Japan’s financial authorities on the exchange rate also discourages aggressive dollar buying at elevated levels. The market remains sensitive to verbal signals and to willingness to prevent excessive volatility. Attention stays on Japanese government bond yields: a narrower U.S.–JGB yield premium reinforces downward pressure on USDJPY.
Holiday-thinned U.S. liquidity and month-end rebalancing can magnify reactions to news. In this setup, the pair retains scope for a corrective pullback if there are no fresh firm signals from the U.S. side and Japanese data remain neutral, with ongoing progress on inflation and wages supporting the yen over the medium term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 156.050, SL 156.350, TP 155.150
Gold is still moving sideways and waiting for a breakout1. Trendline Structure
Ascending Channel (red)
Upper trendline: price has been repeatedly rejected at the upper boundary → strong dynamic resistance.
Lower trendline: recently pierced slightly → indicates weakening buying pressure and increased correction risk.
2. Key Resistance
4,186 – 4,210: Strong supply zone + confluence with the upper trendline.
This is a zone that price will struggle to break without strong volume.
→ If price breaks above and successfully retests → the next target is the 4,210 area.
3. Key Support
4,105 – 4,110: Major support zone, confluence with EMA & the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
→ High probability that buyers will step in around this area.
4. Overview
Major Resistance: 4,186 – 4,210
Major Support: 4,105 – 4,110
Short-term Trend: weakening, leaning toward a corrective move.
Key Signal: a break below 4,140 → confirms a drop toward the support zone.
Bullish Scenario: only activated if the price reclaims 4,186.
BUY GOLD : 4107 - 4109
Stoploss : 4097
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
SELL GOLD : 4209 - 4211
Stoploss : 4221
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
US MARKETS CLOSED TODAY - THANKSGIVING🚨 US MARKETS CLOSED TODAY - THANKSGIVING 🦃
Current Price: $4,150 - $4,156 📊
Yesterday's Close: $4,130
Monthly Performance: +3.94% ✅
Yearly Performance: +57.69% 🔥
Status: 🟡 HOLIDAY - THIN TRADING
🎉 MAJOR BULLISH NEWS! DEUTSCHE BANK UPGRADES FORECAST! 📈
BREAKING: Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,450/oz from $4,000, citing stabilizing investor flows and persistent central bank demand. The bank now expects a $3,950-$4,950 range next year
This is HUGE news for gold bulls! Major institution showing strong confidence in gold's future!
📊 IMPORTANT: TODAY'S MARKET CONDITIONS
🦃 Thanksgiving Holiday Schedule:
Gold will NOT be traded on November 27, 2025 due to U.S. Thanksgiving holiday
What This Means:
❌ US markets CLOSED all day
⚠️ Very thin liquidity globally
⚠️ Wide spreads expected
⚠️ Price gaps possible
✅ Good time to review positions
Friday (Nov 28):
Markets open but shortened hours
Very low volume expected (Black Friday)
Many traders still on holiday
💎 DEUTSCHE BANK FORECAST DETAILS
The Upgrade:
Deutsche Bank's new average forecast for 2026 stands at $4,450/oz, up from previous $4,000/oz. Bank anticipates gold to trade within range of $3,950 to $4,950 per ounce in 2026, with possible high near $4,950/oz - approximately 14% above current December 2026 futures prices
Why They're Bullish:
Key drivers: resilient investor demand, strong central-bank buying, limited supply response. Third-quarter supply-demand data supports continued central bank bid, with inelastic demand from central banks and ETF investment diverting supply from jewelry market. Overall growth in demand outpaces supply
Gold's unusually wide trading range in 2025—the largest since 1980—underpins constructive outlook for 2026
📈 CURRENT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Market Structure: BULLISH CONSOLIDATION 🟢
Gold trading near two-week highs above $4,170 after recent rally. Consolidating gains before next move.
Key Development:
Gold shrugging off Tuesday's small dip and pushing to multi-day highs above $4,170 per troy ounce. Move higher comes as US Dollar loses steam, even though US Treasury yields trying to rebound
Support Levels 🔵
Support 1: $4,130 - $4,140 (Yesterday's close - Immediate)
Support 2: $4,059 - $4,100 (Strong zone)
Support 3: $3,977 (55-day SMA)
Support 4: $3,886 (October 28 low)
Support 5: $3,750 (50% Fib retracement)
Resistance Levels 🔴
Resistance 1: $4,170 - $4,173 (Current highs)
Resistance 2: $4,245 (November 13 peak)
Resistance 3: $4,254 - $4,280 (Major barrier)
Resistance 4: $4,380 - $4,381 (All-time high - October 17)
📊 TECHNICAL INDICATORS
RSI: Heading toward 60 (Bullish momentum building) 🟢
ADX: Holding above 19 (Trend slowly gaining strength) ✅
Moving Averages: All pointing UP - Bullish alignment ✅
For now, momentum still leans bullish: Relative Strength Index heading toward 60, and with Average Directional Index holding above 19, underlying trend looks like it's slowly gaining strength
🎯 TRADING STRATEGY FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK
TODAY (Wednesday - Thanksgiving):
⚠️ DO NOT TRADE!
Reasons:
Markets closed
Zero liquidity
No meaningful price discovery
High risk of gaps
Best Action:
Review your positions
Plan for Friday/next week
Take the day off!
FRIDAY (Black Friday - Nov 28):
Trade with EXTREME Caution!
On November 28, XAUUSD may continue to rise, but price reversal still possible. Key support and resistance levels expected at $4,059.90 and $4,254.97
Strategy:
Wait for normal hours to resume
Use smaller position sizes
Expect wider spreads
Watch for gaps from Thursday close
NEXT WEEK (December Trading):
Back to Normal - Key Levels:
BULLISH Scenario (65%):
IF holds above $4,130-$4,140
Target: $4,245 → $4,280 → $4,380
Entry: Pullback to $4,140-$4,150
BEARISH Scenario (35%):
IF breaks below $4,100
Target: $4,060 → $3,977
Entry: Break and retest of $4,100
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️⬆️⬆️
✅ Deutsche Bank Upgrade - Major vote of confidence!
✅ Analysts predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 by end of November
✅ Central banks purchased 634 tonnes YTD, WGC expects 750-900 tonnes for 2025
✅ Fed Rate Cut Expected - December odds rising
✅ Dollar Weakness - DXY losing momentum
✅ Demand > Supply - Structural bull market
✅ ETF Inflows - First net buying in 4 years
✅ Geopolitical Tensions - Safe-haven support
Key Quote:
Central banks planning record high gold allocations. Gold positioned as "ultimate protection against black swan tail risk events." ETFs returned to net accumulation in 2025 after four years of outflows
Risk Factors ⬇️
⚠️ Profit Taking - After 57% yearly gain
⚠️ Technical Overbought - Short-term
⚠️ Holiday Volatility - Thin markets
⚠️ Strong US Data - Could delay Fed cuts
💡 WEEK RECAP & OUTLOOK
This Week's Performance:
Current XAU/USD exchange rate: $4,155.98. Over past year, XAU/USD changed by 57.69%, trading within 52-week range of $2,583.49 to $4,381.60
Gold rose to $4,138.45 on November 25, up 0.07% from previous day. Over past month, gold's price risen 3.94%, up 57.22% compared to same time last year
November Performance:
✅ Recovered from $3,886 low
✅ Now at $4,150+ (Multi-week highs)
✅ +3.94% for the month
✅ On track for analysts' $4,456-$4,509 target
🔮 FORECAST & TARGETS
End of November (3 Days):
Expected: $4,200-$4,300 range
Target hit probability: 70%
December 2025:
Range: $4,150-$4,400
Target: Retest all-time high $4,381
2026 Targets (Deutsche Bank):
Average: $4,450/oz
Range: $3,950-$4,950
Potential High: $4,950 (+19% from current)
Long-term (Other Analysts):
Some forecasts: $5,000+ by late 2026
Ultra-bullish: $6,000+ by 2027-2028
🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Gold is in a STRONG POSITION entering the holiday period. The Deutsche Bank upgrade is a major institutional endorsement of the bull market.
The Big Picture:
Technical: Bullish trend intact, consolidating at highs
Fundamental: Demand > Supply, Central bank buying strong
Sentiment: Major banks turning more bullish
Positioning: Healthy after recent consolidation
Key Insight:
Gold's upward trajectory is structurally supported rather than merely cyclical
This means the rally has LEGS - it's not just speculation, it's backed by real supply/demand fundamentals!
💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY - HOLIDAY EDITION
Take a Break!
Markets are closed, you should be too! Use today to:
Spend time with family 🦃
Review your trading journal
Plan for December
Recharge your mental energy
Remember: The best trade is sometimes NO trade!
🎯 POST-HOLIDAY TRADING PLAN
Friday (Nov 28):
⚠️ Avoid trading (thin liquidity)
Watch for any gaps
Let market settle
Monday (Dec 2):
Resume normal trading
Watch $4,140 support
Target $4,245 if bullish
Key Levels to Watch:
Above $4,170: Bullish → Target $4,245+
Below $4,130: Caution → Support at $4,100
📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY
Critical Support: $4,130-$4,140
Strong Support: $4,100, $3,977
Weak Resistance: $4,170, $4,200
Strong Resistance: $4,245, $4,280, $4,380
Breakout Level: $4,245 (Opens $4,380 retest)
Breakdown Level: $4,100 (Triggers correction)
🔔 THANKSGIVING MESSAGE
Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃
Whether you're trading gold or not, take time today to be grateful. The markets will be here tomorrow, next week, and next year. But today is for family, friends, and reflection.
Three Things to Be Grateful For in Trading:
Opportunity - Markets give us chances every day
Learning - Every trade teaches us something
Community - We're all in this together!
Enjoy your day! 🙏
⚠️ FINAL REMINDERS
For Today:
Markets CLOSED ❌
No trading possible
Relax and recharge 🦃
For Friday:
Shortened hours
Very low volume
Trade with extreme caution
Smaller positions
For Next Week:
U.S. third-quarter GDP data may influence gold prices
Back to normal volume
December rate decision approaching
Year-end positioning begins
📈 YEAR-END OUTLOOK
December Catalysts:
Fed rate decision (Dec 17-18)
Year-end positioning
Q4 GDP data
Holiday season (thin trading Dec 24-Jan 1)
2026 Setup:
With Deutsche Bank's $4,450 target and bullish structure, gold entering 2026 with strong momentum!
🦃 Happy Thanksgiving from the Trading Desk!
📱 Enjoy the holiday - markets resume Friday
💎 Stay blessed and grateful
🙏 See you next week for December trading!
#Gold #XAUUSD #Thanksgiving #DeutscheBank #BullMarket #GoldForecast #HappyThanksgiving #MarketHoliday #2026Outlook #TradingBreak
EURUSD — Sell Setup After Sweep at 1.15882Quick Summary
EURUSD is forming a bearish opportunity around 1.15882.
The plan: wait for a sweep of the candle at that level, confirm the rejection, and then sell.
A bearish setup is supported by the internal CHoCH on the 15m, and the strong push upward has left behind a liquidity void, which makes it a downside target.
Full Analysis
According to the current price action, EURUSD is setting up for a potential sell from 1.15882. The key condition here is not selling immediately, but waiting for a sweep of the candle at that level. Once the sweep occurs and the market shows a clear rejection, the sell entry becomes valid.
The reasoning behind this setup is aligned with the short-term structure:
On the 15-minute timeframe, the market printed an internal CHoCH, signaling early weakness and a potential shift in intraday direction.
The recent sharp move upward created a noticeable liquidity void. Price often seeks to rebalance these inefficiencies, making that void an attractive downside target once selling pressure begins.
MSFT — Bullish Structure Intact Above 373.22, Targeting 739.88.Microsoft remains in a well-defined long-term bullish structure despite the current pullback from the 0.40–0.50 Fibonacci resistance cluster. The recent decline appears corrective in nature and does not signal any structural weakness as long as the stock preserves its main support foundation.
Key Support (Primary Structural Level): 373.22
The level at 373.22 represents the most critical demand zone on the chart.
It marks:
The origin of the previous bullish impulse,
A zone of strong institutional accumulation,
The base that
continues to anchor the long-term trend.
As long as price stays above 373.22, the broader upward cycle remains intact.
Fibonacci Expansion Targets (Long-Term Investor Levels)
The current impulsive leg projects the following upside targets:
483.97 (0.333)
509.67 (0.40)
548.04 (0.50)
593.32 (0.618)
643.96 (0.75)
701.51 (0.90)
739.88 (1.00 — primary long-term extension)
These levels correspond to strategic zones where institutional models anticipate consolidation or profit-taking.
Market Structure & Investor Outlook
The long-term trend remains strongly bullish.
The current pullback is normal retracement behavior.
Secondary demand pockets sit at 446.75 and 413.75 if the pullback deepens.
Macro structure remains fully intact above 373.22.
Bullish Continuation Scenario (Base Case)
If MSFT holds above 483.97 and regains momentum, the price can progress through:
509 → 548 → 593 → 643 → 701 → 739.88
This represents the natural continuation path of the current expansion.
Bearish Scenario (Limited & Non-Structural)
The only valid bearish scenario for now is a return to retest the key support at 373.22.
This move would represent:
A technical retest,
A liquidity sweep,
A refresh of institutional demand, not a trend reversal
As long as price holds 373.22, the long-term bullish structure remains unchanged.
Conclusion
Microsoft continues to demonstrate strong long-term structural integrity.
The only bearish possibility is a corrective move back toward the 373.22 support, after which the broader trend is expected to resume toward the long-term targets: 509, 548, 593, 643, 701, and 739.88.
BTCUSD Long: Demand-Zone Rebound Targets $91,000 ResistanceHello traders! BTCUSD continues to trade inside a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming a strong bearish structure where the market consistently forms lower highs and lower lows. Throughout the chart, price repeatedly respects both channel boundaries, showing that sellers continue to dominate the trend. Earlier in the chart, Bitcoin created a Range Phase, indicating consolidation before sellers regained control and pushed price back down toward the mid-channel zone. Each time BTCUSD approached the channel’s upper boundary, it reacted with a clear pivot rejection, which initiated new downward waves — a classic pattern showing persistent sell-side pressure. A notable highlight is the Fake Breakout below the $84,000 area, where liquidity was swept before buyers stepped back in. This move created a strong reaction and initiated the current upward correction. The Demand Line drawn from recent lows has supported the price, helping BTCUSD climb back toward the mid-channel area.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading just above the $84,000 Demand Zone, which previously generated significant buying interest. The structure suggests that buyers may continue defending this zone, especially as price remains supported by the rising demand trendline. However, BTCUSD is still positioned below the $91,000–$92,000 Supply Zone, where sellers previously took control and where another reaction may occur.
My scenario, If buyers maintain momentum, price may attempt a corrective push toward the $91,000 resistance level — a key supply area aligned with the descending channel’s mid-line. A rejection here would be fully in line with the prevailing bearish trend. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Fake Breakout Reversal Points to 1.1580 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is currently trading within a broader Upward Channel, maintaining a medium-term bullish structure despite several corrective pullbacks. The chart shows that price has repeatedly respected both the channel’s lower boundary (around 1.1500–1.1510) and its upper boundary near 1.1650–1.1660, confirming the validity of this rising structure. Earlier in the move, EURUSD formed a Range Phase, followed by a clean Breakout, which established bullish momentum and pushed the pair higher toward the channel midpoint. Each breakout retest acted as support afterward, signaling strong buyer interest. However, the most recent movement shows a fake breakout below 1.1500, where sellers temporarily pushed price under support before it sharply recovered — a classic liquidity grab near the channel’s lower boundary.
Currently, EURUSD is trading just above the Support Zone (1.1500–1.1510) and forming an early bullish reaction. This area has repeatedly acted as demand and aligns with both channel support and the prior fake breakout region. The nearest obstacle for buyers remains the 1.1580 Resistance Level, which has consistently served as a rejection zone on multiple attempts. A sustained break above this level would confirm bullish control and allow price to retest higher channel areas.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1500–1.1510 Support Zone and stays within the upward channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A corrective move upward is likely, with the first target at 1.1580 Resistance — a key level that aligns with previous breakout and retest points. A clean breakout above 1.1580 would signal continuation of bullish momentum, opening the path toward 1.1650–1.1660, located near the channel’s upper boundary and previous reaction zones.
Alternatively, if EURUSD fails to break 1.1580 and forms another rejection, sellers may attempt to push price back into the support area. A confirmed breakdown below 1.1500 would invalidate the current bullish structure and could shift the market toward a broader bearish correction. For now, long positions remain favorable while price stays above the channel’s lower boundary, with bullish continuation dependent on overcoming the 1.1580 resistance level.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD: Buyers Aiming for a Rebound Toward $4,170 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD continues to trade within a corrective structure, forming a broad Triangle Pattern defined by the Triangle Resistance Line above and the Triangle Support Line below. After a strong impulsive rally earlier, gold entered a prolonged consolidation phase, highlighted by a clear Range Zone where price repeatedly tested both the upper and lower boundaries without establishing a directional breakout. Several Breakouts occurred during this period, but each bullish attempt failed to secure continuation, leading to pullbacks that kept the market inside the broader consolidation. This showed clear indecision and a balanced battle between buyers and sellers.
Currently, gold retested the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,060, which coincides with the Triangle Support Line. A fake breakdown occurred below this level, but the market quickly bounced back, confirming strong demand and rejecting the bearish attempt. This rebound signals that buyers are actively defending the structure. Price is now stabilizing above support and showing early signs of bullish pressure. If buyers maintain control, the next logical target becomes the major Resistance Level at $4,170, which has acted as a key cap on previous bullish attempts. As long as XAUUSD stays above the Support Zone and trades within the rising trendline structure, the overall market bias remains moderately bullish.
Scenario & Strategy
I expect gold to gradually move upward from the current support area and retest the $4,170 Resistance Level. Minor corrections may occur along the way, but as long as price holds above $4,040, the bullish scenario remains valid. A clean breakout above $4,170 could trigger a stronger bullish continuation toward the next supply zone.
However, a breakdown below the Support Zone and Triangle Support Line would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the way for deeper correction. For now, buying the dips remains the more favorable approach as long as gold respects demand and stays within the triangle structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 26, 2025 GBPUSDOn Wednesday, 26 November 2025, GBP/USD is holding above 1.31000 ahead of the UK’s Autumn Budget announcement. In recent sessions, the pair has been fluctuating around the month’s recent highs but has not formed a sustainable upside impulse: UK government bond yields are drifting lower and market participants prefer to reduce risk until there is more clarity on the spending and tax details of the budget. Against this backdrop, the short‑term balance of factors is tilted against the pound, given the currency’s high sensitivity to fiscal decisions and their impact on business activity.
October data point to slowing consumer inflation in the UK and further easing of price pressures in the services sector. Combined with signs of cooling demand, this strengthens expectations of a Bank of England rate cut as early as December. Potential fiscal consolidation that the Treasury may outline today would further restrain domestic demand and growth prospects, which typically reduces the pound’s premium and leaves it more vulnerable to a correction when the external backdrop is neutral.
At the same time, the US retains a relative advantage in terms of growth and yields, while caution ahead of a series of US releases supports the dollar. In such conditions, there remains a risk of a pullback in the pound from elevated levels: a sustained move below the area of recent highs could bring renewed interest in selling. Given the current news configuration, a short setup from 1.32000 looks justified, with moderate risk limits and a target return to the 1.31100 area.
Trading idea: SELL 1.32000, SL 1.32200, TP 1.31100
How did gold perform after the PPI news?🧭 1. Trendline
Descending trendline (red – dynamic resistance)
Price has clearly broken out above the descending trendline.
Price is currently in a slight retest of this trendline → if it holds above 4,150–4,160, a short-term uptrend is confirmed.
Ascending trendline (hidden in the underlying structure)
Confluence support zone is around 4,107–4,110
→ This is a very strong area for a pullback if it occurs.
🧱 2. Support – Resistance
Key Resistance
4,209–4,212: Strong supply zone, also a confluence with the previous peak area.
4,240–4,242: 1.618 Fibonacci extension + peak in the major supply zone → important target.
Support
4.107 – 4.110: Confluence of:
Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618
EMA as support
Retest zone breakout
→ This is a priority buy area if the price pulls back.
📐 3. Fibonacci
The 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci of the rising wave is right in the green support zone → confirming strong demand.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension points to 4.240 – 4.245 → most likely the final target of this rising wave.
BUY GOLD: 4107 - 4110
Stop Loss: 4097
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4209 - 4212
Stop Loss: 4222
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
Tech giants and a crypto exchange under pressure!Recently, the stocks of Advanced Micro Devices (#AMD), Coinbase Global Inc. (#Coinbase), Oracle Corp. (#Oracle), NVIDIA Corp. (#NVIDIA), and Arm Holdings plc (#Arm) have come under pressure amid a reassessment of artificial intelligence (AI) valuations and growing caution toward risk assets. Investors are reacting nervously to the cost of capital, the pace of AI monetization, and the resilience of demand within adjacent ecosystems.
5 Factors Behind the Decline:
#AMD (−10.33%) — profit-taking after a strong rally and growing doubts about the scalability of server GPUs. Additional pressure comes from margin risks driven by aggressive capital spending and competition in high-performance GPU accelerators.
#Coinbase (−10.31%) — a weakening crypto market reduces trading volumes and fee revenue. Regulatory risks and volatile client flows deepen the valuation discounts.
#Oracle (−10.29%) — concerns over rising debt levels amid heavy investments in cloud and AI infrastructure. The market fears shrinking free cash flow and pressure on valuation multiples if growth slows.
#NVIDIA (−4.08%) — “overvaluation + maxed-out expectations”: even strong earnings reports fail to calm concerns about cyclical demand in data centers. Added to this are risks of margin normalization and potential inventory build-ups among customers.
#Arm (−3.02%) — high sensitivity to sell-offs in the “AI sector,” especially given its premium valuation. Investors question how quickly the royalty-based model can translate into stable accelerated growth.
If concerns about AI-related spending and uncertainty around interest rates persist, stocks inflated by AI and crypto market expectations may continue to fall. Further capital outflows or rising borrowing costs would serve as triggers for additional downside.
FreshForex analysts see potential for a correction in #AMD, #NVIDIA, #Arm, #Oracle, and #Coinbase due to slowing AI infrastructure growth and persistently high capital costs. For #Coinbase , elevated crypto market volatility is an additional pressure factor. The current market situation creates conditions for developing scenarios for asset price declines.






















