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Euro can fall to support area and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price, after a period of sideways trading, the price started to grow gradually and formed a consistent bullish structure. The trend was supported by regular bounces from the support line, confirming the bullish sentiment. At some point, price made a temporary drop below the support area, but this move was short-lived; bulls quickly stepped in, and the pair recovered. After that, EURUSD returned back into the channel and began forming higher highs and higher lows again, confirming the continuation of the trend. Right now, the price is declining slightly and approaching the support area again, which is located between 1.1455 and 1.1430. This zone has shown itself as a strong support during previous moves and is now being retested from above. Given the current structure and the upward channel in play, I expect the Euro to rebound from this support area and continue growing toward the 1.1580 points - that’s my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
4
EURUSD pushing away from 2025 highsAfter creating a new 2025 high last week, MARKETSCOM:EURUSD is now in a slight correction mode. Will the bears take control from here? Let's have a look. FX_IDC:EURUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart🧭 General Context (1D, Long-Term): The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025. ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth → decline → correction → potential consolidation/accumulation. 🔹 Market Structure (Price Action) 🔸 Trends: November 2023 – March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+ March 2024 – February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600 February 2025 – May 2025: dynamic rebound – probable trend change (new higher low + higher high) May – June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400–2,800 📉 Key Support and Resistance Levels Type Level Notes 🔴 Resistance ~2,800 – 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above 🟡 Resistance ~3,200 – 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024 🟢 Support ~2,300 – 2,400 Local lows in June 2025 🟢 Strong support ~1,600 – 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase) 📊 Technical indicators ✅ Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart): Currently in the oversold zone (~0–20) → may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards → possible rebound Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements 🔍 Technical formations ⚠️ Possible formations: Double Bottom: February–March 2025 → classic trend reversal formation Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present – ​​prices are moving in a slightly rising channel Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase) 📌 Summary – scenarios 🟢 Bullish scenario: Breakout of resistance ~2,800 → possible test of levels 3,200 – 3,400 USD Confirmation of a higher low → continuation of the uptrend Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone → potential for an uptrend 🔴 Bearish scenario: Drop below 2,300 USD → possible return to the area of ​​1,800–1,600 USD Breakout of the structure of higher lows Confirmation that the increase was only a correction 🧠 Final conclusions Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting. Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance. For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching. For investors: 1,600–1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral). Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k). Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks. Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance. Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k. Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k. Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy. Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings. 12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY. 6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness. 4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume. 2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic. 1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds. 30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing. 15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed. Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro and Fundamental Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift. Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility. S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant. Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC. Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record. Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds. Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance __________________________________________________________________________________ Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low). Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes). Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility. Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.
Long
by Ox_kali
$SOLANA $180 PUMP INCOMINSOL/USDT – 4H Chart Summary Market Structure: HTF: Bullish trend remains intact. LTF: Previously bearish, now showing early signs of a bullish reversal. Pattern Formation: Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders forming. Neckline at $157 — must hold for pattern to complete. Break above previous high will invalidate Inverse Head & Shoulders. Trendline & Breakout: Price has broken above the descending bearish trendline. Indicates a momentum shift from bearish to bullish. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 1D FVG below current price – potential retest & long entry zone. 2x 1D FVG above price – act as targets or supply areas. Psychological Levels & Volume: Key levels at $165, $170, $175. Volume profile shows high liquidity at each of these levels – strong TP zones. OBV Indicator: OBV has broken above resistance – supports bullish continuation. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Setup: Long on retest of lower FVG zone ($142–$145). Target TPs: $165 → $170 → $175 (align with psychological & high-volume areas). Invalidation: Break below FVG support or failure to hold above $142.
Long
by King_BennyBag
6
$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. Key Zones: Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975 Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45 Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement. Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence: Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area. Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal: If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80) Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation: If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups. Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
by King_BennyBag
2
Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?XAUUSD – Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout? After several days of sideways action, gold has finally broken out of its consolidation channel — but not upward. The price action signals uncertainty, while underlying global risks suggest a larger move may be brewing. With US markets closed for a bank holiday, low liquidity could lead to sharp, unexpected spikes — traders, stay alert. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 📌 As widely expected, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone, warning that inflation risks remain due to ongoing geopolitical instability and rising commodity costs. 🔥 The gold market now hinges on two major geopolitical scenarios in the Middle East: If the US intervenes diplomatically to ease tensions between Iran and Israel, gold may continue to correct further — possibly into the 3,325 – 3,300 range or lower. However, if reports are accurate that Trump is coordinating with Israel for potential strikes on Iran, gold could spike aggressively as safe-haven demand surges toward 3,417 – 3,440. 📊 Technical Breakdown (M30 – H1) Price has broken below the range-bound structure, suggesting a potential momentum shift to the downside. The EMA cluster (13–34–89–200) is sloping downward, confirming bearish short-term pressure. The 3,345 level has acted as support, but if it gives way, 3,325 becomes a critical liquidity zone where buyers may step in. ✅ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE 1: 3,325 – 3,328 Entry: Only after a clear bullish reversal (pin bar / bullish engulfing candle) SL: Below 3,320 TP: 3,345 → 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 🟢 BUY ZONE 2: 3,345 – 3,348 Entry: On price retest and bullish confirmation SL: Below 3,340 TP: 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440 Entry: If price rallies into resistance with no supporting fundamentals SL: Above 3,445 TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,360 → 3,345 💬 Final Thoughts Gold is at a pivotal point. While today’s break could indicate a new leg down, we’ve seen countless false breakouts during low liquidity sessions. Only trade on confirmation — not emotion. Watch for geopolitical headlines and let price action guide your risk-adjusted decisions. Stay patient. Stay sharp. Let the market prove itself before you do.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
1
GBP/USD - For FOMC & Fed Interest RateThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3567 2nd Resistance – 1.3682 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
34
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) 🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard... While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal... 🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive… 🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities... 📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets. 📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective) Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO… EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers… Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills… 🎯 Trade Setup 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 Stop-Loss: 3339 Take Profits: 3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ??? 🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 Stop-Loss: 3448 Take Profits: 3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase. 🧠 Final Thoughts Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever. Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you. 📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 18, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision Declining confidence in the US economy amid trade policy is undermining the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR). Data released by the US Census Bureau on Tuesday showed that US retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in May, compared to a 0.1% decline (revised from +0.1%) recorded in April. The figure was weaker than estimates of -0.7%. Meanwhile, US industrial production in May declined 0.2% m/m vs. 0.1% previously (revised from 0%), worse than expectations of 0.1%. Traders expect the US Federal Reserve to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its June meeting on Wednesday. Markets now estimate a nearly 80% chance that the Fed will cut rates in September and then another in October, according to Reuters. The mood of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is supportive of the common currency. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end as the central bank is now in a “good position” to deal with the current uncertainty. Meanwhile, investors will keep an eye on geopolitical risks. Israel is set to step up strikes on Tehran, while the US is considering expanding its role amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1560, TP 1.1260
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3485 2nd Support – 1.3444 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
115
Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
13
Bitcoin will make a small upward move and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was confidently growing inside an Upward Wedge, showing a series of higher highs and higher lows. This rising structure was supported by consistent momentum until BTC reached the seller zone between 110300 and 111100, where the growth slowed down and started to fade. From there, the price rejected this resistance and shifted into a Range, bounded by 100500 and 110300. BTC has been fluctuating inside this horizontal structure for some time, unable to break above the seller zone or below the buyer support. Now BTC is showing signs of weakness, forming a minor correction and struggling to reclaim previous highs. Given this structure and rejection from the seller zone, I expect BTC to make a small upward move and then start a decline toward the support level at 100500, which also coincides with the bottom of the range and acts as a strong psychological level. For this reason, I set my TP at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
14
Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?USDCAD 17/06 – Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound? After a significant drop to the 1.355x area, USD/CAD is showing early signs of recovery. However, the pair remains influenced by strong macro headwinds—particularly oil prices and Canadian monetary policy signals. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview WTI crude oil is rising due to ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, which increase the risk of global supply disruptions. This supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a commodity-linked currency. Canada’s 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in 5 months (~3.4%), reinforcing expectations that the BoC may remain hawkish in the near term. USD weakens slightly as traders await more clarity from the Federal Reserve about the next rate cut timeline, potentially in Q3. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30 Chart) Price is printing higher lows above the key trendline. EMAs 13–34–89 are tightening → sign of sideways pressure before breakout. Short-term bullish channel still intact. Key resistance zones: 1.3581 and 1.3605. 🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios 📈 Long Scenario Entry: 1.3556 – 1.3560 (trendline bounce) Stop Loss: 1.3535 Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3605 ✅ Wait for M30/H1 confirmation like bullish engulfing or price-action breakout. 📉 Short Scenario Entry: 1.3605 (if price rejects resistance) Stop Loss: 1.3630 Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3556 ⚠️ Trigger only on bearish rejection with strong candle and volume at resistance. 📌 Strategic Outlook USD/CAD is caught in a tug-of-war: stronger Canadian fundamentals (oil + yields) vs. cautious USD movement post-FOMC. If oil prices and Canadian yields continue to climb, CAD may remain in favor. However, short-term technical rebounds toward 1.3600 remain valid if price structure holds.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout? The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious. US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY. Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum. 🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart) Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support. EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300. Key support zones: 144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test. 143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652 Entry: 144.650–144.700 Stop Loss: 145.250 Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126 Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments. 📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126 Entry: 143.100–143.150 Stop Loss: 142.700 Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200 Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure. 🧠 Final Thoughts USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly. 🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central BanksGBPUSD 17/06 – The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central Banks The GBPUSD pair is coiling in a tight range near the mid-1.3500s as traders brace for two high-impact events: UK CPI data on Wednesday and interest rate decisions from both the Fed and BoE this week. Price remains supported above the 200 EMA and is compressing within a symmetrical triangle – typically a precursor to a major breakout. 📊 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 🔹 Federal Reserve (FOMC): Expected to hold rates steady, but growing anticipation of a dovish tilt toward September is weighing slightly on the USD. 🔹 Bank of England (BoE): Markets are pricing in deeper rate cuts following recent UK GDP weakness, pressuring the GBP in the short term. 🔹 Geopolitical Risks: Rising Middle East tensions are fuelling demand for USD as a safe haven, reinforcing its strength ahead of data events. 📝 Bottom Line: The CPI release could be the first trigger to shift GBPUSD’s current consolidation. A hot inflation print might push GBP higher; a miss could fuel further downside. 🔧 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart) Price is ranging between 1.3535 (support) and 1.3609 (resistance) EMAs 13/34 crossing below EMA 89 → signal of potential bearish continuation Uptrend line from 1.3467 is still intact and acting as dynamic support Break below 1.3559 may lead to a move toward 1.3495 and 1.3467 A confirmed breakout above 1.3609 opens the door to 1.3630+ 🎯 Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy from Trendline Support Buy Zone: 1.3495 – 1.3467 Stop Loss: 1.3440 Targets: 1.3535 → 1.3559 → 1.3596 → 1.3630 🟢 Best setup if price prints a bullish engulfing or hammer candle on key support + UK CPI surprise. Scenario 2 – Sell on Resistance Rejection Sell Zone: 1.3609 – 1.3630 Stop Loss: 1.3660 Targets: 1.3590 → 1.3559 → 1.3535 → 1.3495 🔴 Only valid with strong rejection signals + softer UK data or hawkish Fed tone. 💡 Market Sentiment Retail traders are trapped in a waiting zone – expecting a breakout Institutions may push price into one direction pre-data to collect liquidity Risk appetite is fragile, and traders are cautious ahead of back-to-back central bank announcements 📌 Final Thoughts GBPUSD is preparing for volatility. Instead of chasing moves, let the market come to your key zones and react with discipline. The 1.3467–1.3495 support area could be crucial for the next directional move. Stay patient. Wait for confirmation. Respect your risk.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals... 🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix. Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload. Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets. 📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1) After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal. The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness. Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone. 🎯 Trading Playbook ✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone" Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344 Stop Loss: 3338 Take Profit Targets: → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+ 💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering. ❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance" Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442 Stop Loss: 3446 Take Profit Targets: → 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 ⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event. Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity. Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move. 📌 Final Note Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone. ✅ Stay patient. 📊 Trade with logic. 🧘‍♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation. 👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session. However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders. In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢ 𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31. ⊢ I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00): ∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average; ∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend; ∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement. ✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73): ∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle; ∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery; ∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases. ✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun: ∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support; ∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range; ∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles. ✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980): ∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance; ∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants; ∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause. ✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82): ∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April; ∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating; ∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume. ✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56): ∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria; ∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle; ∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation. ✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish. ⊢ ▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC): ∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation; ∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance; ∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs. ✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion. ⊢ II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures: ▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00): ∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00; ∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge; ∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range. ✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated. ⊢ III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits; ∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution; ∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment. ✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets; ∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest; ∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation. ✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily; ∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus; ∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions. ✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rates – (Binance): ∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment; ∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage; ∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves. ✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice. ⊢ IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU): ▦ MACRO CONTEXT: ∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes; ∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets; ∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value. ✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop. ⊢ ⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢
by Magister_Arcanvm
2
GOLD- XAU-USD Hello Traders! The GOLD MARKET is on fire! 🚨🔥 XAUUSD has officially broken above the key resistance zone — this is not just a move, this could be the start of something BIG! 💥📈 Is this the golden breakout we’ve been waiting for, or just a short-lived spike? Are we heading toward the next major target, or is a pullback on the horizon? 🎯🔍 Your insights matter — comment below with your analysis and let’s decode this golden move together! Stay sharp, stay golden! ⚔️💰 #XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #ForexTraders #MarketMomentum #GoldAnalysis #TradeSmart
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
1
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation... 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil. Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential). Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices. 📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure) Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after. EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover. Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today ✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill) Entry: 3383 – 3385 Stop Loss: 3377 Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ 📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation. ❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection Entry: 3456 – 3458 Stop Loss: 3462 Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone. 🧠 Market Psychology Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions. Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum. Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term. 📌 Final Thoughts This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation. 🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385 📉 Avoid chasing moves 📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro — 🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading