Bitcoin Tests Resistance - Downside Risk Toward $85,700Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a clearly defined descending channel, Bitcoin attempted a recovery and managed to break out of the channel. However, this upside move lacked strong follow-through. Price entered a consolidation range, where multiple reactions and fake breakouts signaled distribution rather than accumulation. This behavior suggested that sellers were still active at higher levels. Following the range, BTC formed a triangle structure, capped by a descending Triangle Resistance Line and supported by a rising Triangle Support Line. Price has been compressing within this structure, but recent attempts to push higher were rejected near the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1), confirming strong selling pressure at this zone. Currently, BTC is trading near the upper boundary of the triangle, where sellers continue to defend resistance. As long as price remains below the Triangle Resistance Line and fails to reclaim 88,500, the bearish scenario remains in play. My scenario: I expect a rejection from the triangle resistance, followed by a move back toward the 85,700 Support Level, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. A clean breakdown below 85,700 would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper decline. Only a strong breakout and hold above 88,500 would invalidate this short setup. For now, the market favors sellers below resistance, with 88,500 as key resistance and 85,700 as the main downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Analysis
EURUSD Bearish Continuation After Liquidity SweepQuick Summary
EURUSD remains in a bearish trend. A short term rise is expected first to sweep the H1 candle wick around 1.17379, after which the pair is likely to resume its decline toward 1.16607. Once liquidity above that wick is taken, there is no clear reason supporting further upside.
Full Analysis
The overall direction of EURUSD continues to favor the downside, with bearish structure still intact. Within this context, price may first push higher in a corrective move to take liquidity resting above the H1 candle wick near 1.17379. This type of movement is typical in trending markets, where price seeks nearby liquidity before continuing in the dominant direction.
The move toward 1.17379 should be viewed strictly as a liquidity grab rather than a bullish reversal. Once this liquidity is cleared, the market is expected to shift back into bearish continuation, as there are no unmitigated demand levels or structural reasons that justify sustained upside at this stage.
After the sweep of the H1 wick, the next logical target becomes 1.16607. This level represents the continuation objective for the current bearish trend and aligns with the broader expectation of further downside expansion.
$GOLD -Wave 5 Completed (NATH)- TVC:GOLD and TVC:SILVER prices climbed to new highs in Asian afternoon trading session as Geo-Political tensions escalated.
The Wall Street Journal, citing three U.S. officials, reported that the U.S. Coast Guard was pursuing another oil tanker transporting oil from Venezuela.
This came shortly after the U.S. seized an oil tanker not on its sanctions list. Additionally, on Friday, U.S. forces launched attacks on more than 70 targets in Syria.
Gold Analysisafter bullish choch . market is bullish so buying looks more valid setup, we can trade from recent ob or liquidity sweep.
in December end we usually have low volume , so i am aware this may be the buyers trap. in that case we will sell after bearish scoob conformation to target trendline liquidity. for now everything is bullish , so we will go buy side.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 22, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD is trading near 1.34000, and the pair remains sensitive to interest-rate expectations and fresh macro data from the UK and the US. During a shortened week, investors are reducing risk, closely watching US releases on growth and consumer sentiment, which can reshape expectations for the Fed’s next steps.
The fundamental backdrop for the pound is complicated by the fact that the Bank of England cut the policy rate to 3.75% at its latest meeting, with a very close vote, and signaled that future decisions will be taken “meeting by meeting.” The regulator aims to bring inflation back to target, but softer economic momentum and a cooling labor market fuel the debate about supporting demand.
If upcoming UK growth readings confirm a slowdown, the market may price in a more accommodative rate path, lowering the pound’s appeal. At the same time, the US continues to show signals that rates could be held steady for several months, especially if inflation declines more slowly than expected. This combination increases the likelihood of a stronger dollar and pressure on GBP/USD.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.33950, SL 1.34250, TP 1.33050
$APE is EXTREMELY underpriced for being a meme coinWhen it got added to the canadian market Wealthsimple it, like every other new crypto added to Wealthsimple(not anymore there's too many), It Shot to the moon in a week tripling in value! A back of the mind crypto once worth nearly 8 BILLION is finding a floor at 100m+. A psychological target of $1 from 20 cents will easily 5x with such little market cap!
XAUUSD: Resistance Holds Strong - Support $4,270 Retest LikelyHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action shows signs of a short-term corrective phase after a strong impulsive move higher. Earlier, gold successfully broke above the Triangle Resistance Line, which marked the end of the previous bearish pressure and confirmed a shift in market control toward buyers. Following this breakout, price entered a Range phase, where the market consolidated and built liquidity before the next move. This consolidation was later resolved with a strong breakout above the Range, pushing XAUUSD into a higher price zone and confirming continued bullish momentum.
Currently, after the breakout, gold rallied sharply and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,350–4,360, where sellers began to react. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and the current rejection indicates that selling pressure is increasing at these highs. At the moment, price is pulling back from the resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,270, which aligns with the previous breakout structure and the rising Trend Line. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is short-term corrective as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this level. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,270 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be critical for short-term direction. A clean breakdown below the 4,270 Support Zone would signal a deeper correction and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the trend line.
However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the market is in a pullback phase, with 4,270 as the key level to watch for confirmation of either continuation or deeper correction.
That’s the setup I’m monitoring. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Holds Demand - Retest of 1.1760 Resistance LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish phase inside a descending channel, EURUSD found a solid base near the lower boundary, where selling pressure weakened and price turned around. This reversal led to a clean breakout above the descending resistance, signaling a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. Following the breakout, price moved higher but entered a corrective phase, forming a series of pullbacks while maintaining higher lows. As momentum rebuilt, EURUSD broke above the key horizontal level and accelerated into an ascending channel, confirming bullish continuation. Price then pushed into the Seller Zone near 1.1760, where a fake breakout occurred — indicating strong supply but not a full trend reversal. After this rejection, the pair pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 1.1700–1.1720, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending structure. Currently, EURUSD is holding above the support level, suggesting that the pullback remains corrective. Buyers continue to defend this zone, keeping the bullish structure intact. My scenario: as long as price holds above the 1.1700 Buyer Zone, EURUSD may bounce and make another attempt toward the 1.1760 Resistance / TP1. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would open the door for further upside continuation. A failure to hold support, however, could lead to a deeper correction within the structure. For now, the bias remains bullish, with support holding and resistance as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Bullish Continuation Toward 1.17802Quick Summary
After the recent strong rally, EURUSD is expected to continue higher following a brief corrective move. The pair has not yet reached 1.17802, which remains a valid upside target. A pullback toward the H1 orderblock at 1.17080, aligned with the 61 Fibonacci level, may provide a solid buy opportunity if a clear reversal signal appears.
Full Analysis
EURUSD has delivered a strong bullish move recently, confirming sustained buying pressure in the market. Despite this strength, EURUSD has not yet reached the key level at 1.17802, which remains an active target within the current bullish structure.
Before continuing toward this level, a short term correction is likely. This pullback is expected to bring price into the H1 orderblock around 1.17080. The importance of this zone is reinforced by its alignment with the 61 Fibonacci retracement, making it a technically strong area for potential demand.
The preferred approach is not to buy the level blindly. A clear reversal signal or rejection from the orderblock is required to confirm that buyers are stepping back in. If such a reaction appears, the correction would likely be complete, opening the path for EURUSD to resume its upward move and continue toward 1.17802.
Trading plan for the last week of 20251️⃣ Trendline
Main ascending trendline (price channel):
The medium-term trend remains bullish. Price is moving within the channel and is currently in the upper half, → favor buying with the trend.
Upper trendline:
Dynamic resistance, aligning with Fibonacci extensions → high probability of volatility and profit-taking around this area.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,380 – 4,400:
Strong resistance zone, confluence of the upper trendline + Fibonacci 2.618 → a clear breakout and hold is required to open further upside momentum.
4,510:
Next upside target if price breaks and holds above 4,380 (higher Fibonacci extension zone).
3️⃣ Support
4,260 – 4,270:
Short-term support, demand zone + moving averages → losing this zone may trigger a deeper correction.
4,140 – 4,150:
Major support below, near the lower trendline of the ascending channel → strategic buy zone in line with the overall trend.
4️⃣ Fibonacci
Fibonacci retracement highlights:
0.382 – 0.5: Intermediate support during pullbacks.
2.618 – 3.618: Key resistance/target zones above, where price is likely to react strongly.
📈 TRADE SETUPS
BUY GOLD: 4,260 – 4,258
Stop Loss: 4,248
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,400 – 4,402
Stop Loss: 4,412
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
267 handle move bullish - NQ
Lower 1D Shadow quadrant exactly respected, which is a strong bullish sign according to ICT
1D Breaker MT (midpoint or mean-threshold) exactly respected with the candle bodies, which is also a strong bullish sign according to ICT
The event horizon - which is the midpoint of 2 new-day- or new-week-opening-gaps align exactly with the 1D volume imbalance CE (consequent encroachment or midpoint)
Strong bullish market-structure and the movement aligns with seasonal tendencies as well
Will EURUSD continue to 1.17793?EUR/USD has been moving strongly upward over the past 10 days, leaving a significant liquidity void. The next key level to watch is 1.17793, which aligns with a large wick at a previous order block. Price is likely to test and potentially break this level. After reaching it, a corrective pullback may occur, partially filling the liquidity void left behind. This retracement could provide a better entry for traders anticipating the continuation of the bullish trend. Overall, while momentum remains strong, short-term corrections are natural before further upside.
EURUSD Daily Bullish Outlook Toward 1.17281Quick Summary
EURUSD continues to show strong bullish momentum on the daily timeframe, with expectations of reaching 1.17281. A mild corrective pullback toward 1.16576 may offer a clean buy opportunity before the pair resumes its upward move.
Full Analysis
The (internal) bullish structure on the daily chart for EURUSD remains intact and continues to strengthen with each upward leg. After the recent surge supported by yesterday’s interest rate announcement, the pair is showing clear buying pressure that limits the likelihood of any deep decline. The current momentum suggests that EURUSD is heading toward the next major target at 1.17281
Before reaching this level, the market may offer a small corrective move to retest the support zone around 1.16576. This zone aligns with the broader bullish structure and provides a favorable price point for buyers who are waiting for a cleaner entry. Any rejection or confirming signal from this level would further validate continuation to the upside
So far there is no strong reason for the market to push lower. Even the expected correction appears weak because of the strong accumulation visible after the interest rate news. The consistent buying pressure supports the idea that bulls remain in control and that any dip into demand levels is more likely to act as a continuation rather than a reversal
ETH Is Bouncing — But This Is Still a Reaction, Not a BreakoutMarket Structure (H1)
Ethereum is showing a clear rebound from the 2,750–2,800 support zone, confirming that buyers are defending demand effectively. The impulse off support is strong, but structurally ETH remains below two key resistance layers — the first around 3,000–3,050, and the higher supply zone near 3,150–3,200. As long as price trades beneath these zones, the broader structure remains corrective.
Price Action & Context
The recent sell-off flushed downside liquidity, which often leads to sharp relief bounces. However, current price action still fits a range-to-range rotation rather than trend continuation. A rejection from the first resistance would likely form a lower high, keeping ETH compressed inside the larger consolidation. Only clean acceptance above resistance would shift control back to buyers.
Macro & U.S. Policy Backdrop
Macro conditions remain a headwind for crypto:
- The Federal Reserve is maintaining a restrictive stance, with rate cuts not yet clearly signaled.
- U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the USD and limiting risk-asset expansion.
- Liquidity conditions favor short-term trades, not sustained upside trends.
This macro environment explains why rebounds are fast but often lack follow-through.
Conclusion
ETH is reacting well from support, but this move is still technical in nature.
- Acceptance above 3,000–3,050 is required to unlock upside continuation.
- Failure at resistance keeps ETH vulnerable to another rotation lower.
For now, this is a relief rally inside consolidation patience and confirmation remain key.
Is Face book undervalueLet’s start with fundamentals:
1.Earning for q4 was about 4 % below estimate (33.67 B) but still 20 % higher than same period last year.
2.Totall net income for 2020 was 29.15 B and for 2021(4 quarters) is 39.37 B. Isn’t it wonderful?
And FB is trading at 232$ (is equal to the average price of 2020, but with 34% higher net income.)
And after all FB is heavily investing in metaverse. This investment reduces net income for the current year and it will gain it back in near future.
Now technical:
1.Who bought 181 M of FB shares yesterday and 42 M of shares until 12 PM while the average volume was about 20 M? Yes, big boys
2.look at the chart at weekly period:
The important 200 moving average is touched and since 2016 only was touched 2 times, once in Dec2018 and the second was in March 2020 at the beginning of the pandemic. This moving average is an important support.
3.The volume that has been traded in this week is more than the volume in the peak of covid19 decline.
4.You can see the black line is a very strong support.
5.The CCI level is -385 which is the lowest amount from the IPO
6.The RSI level is 23 which is the lowest amount from the IPO.
All saying that it will see the real value.
Energy market cools down: oil and gas under pressureOver the past three months, global prices for oil (#BRENT/#WTI) and gas (#GAS) have declined noticeably. Benchmark oil grades Brent and WTI have lost around 11–12%, ending the year near multi-month lows. U.S. natural gas has also entered a correction after a strong rally at the start of the winter season.
Factors Behind the Decline:
#BRENT — U.S. production is at record levels, supplies from Brazil and other countries are rising, and some African oil remains unsold for extended periods. As a result, Brent struggles to stay above $60 , with any price rebound quickly sold off.
#WTI — Economic and fuel demand forecasts have weakened, while crude oil and fuel inventories continue to grow, making WTI more vulnerable to selling on pullbacks.
#GAS — In autumn, gas prices surged on colder weather forecasts and record exports, but later forecasts turned milder, production stayed high, and inventories remained sufficient — leading to a price correction.
Brent and WTI are ending the year amid a clear supply surplus: record U.S. output and rising supplies from other regions prevent prices from holding above recent levels, while OPEC+ has not yet moved toward aggressive production cuts. This suggests that the risk of a gradual further decline in oil prices may persist into early next year.
The gas market follows the same logic: high production, well-filled storage facilities, and a relatively mild winter create room for prices to move lower after the recent rally. Altogether, this makes #BRENT, #WTI, and #GAS vulnerable to a continuation of the correction unless there is an unexpected surge in demand or a sharp supply disruption.
FreshForex analysts note that in the coming months, the price trajectory of oil (#Brent/#WTI) and natural gas (#GAS) will largely depend on whether the supply surplus persists, how the global economy develops, and whether expectations of a mild winter are confirmed. In such an environment, investors and traders are advised to maintain strict risk management and closely monitor news from the commodity markets.
BTCUSDT Short: Range Rejection Signals Move Toward $85,800Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT is currently showing signs of increasing bearish pressure after failing to hold above the key 88,000 Supply level. Earlier, price repeatedly tested this resistance zone and produced multiple breakouts that failed, clearly indicating seller dominance at this level. Each attempt above supply was followed by rejection, confirming that this area remains a strong selling zone. After these rejections, BTC entered several Range phases, reflecting distribution rather than accumulation. The most recent range near the upper structure resolved to the downside, with price breaking below the range low and accelerating lower. This breakdown signals a shift in short-term market control from buyers to sellers.
Currently, price is trading below the former range and moving toward the rising Demand Line, which aligns with the 85,800–85,600 Demand Zone. Although this zone previously acted as support, the current price action suggests weakening demand, as rebounds are becoming smaller and less impulsive.
My scenario is bearish as long as BTCUSDT remains below the 88,000 Supply / Resistance level and continues to reject attempts to reclaim it. I expect price to continue pushing lower toward the 85,800 Demand Zone, which is the next key downside objective. A clean breakdown below the 85,800–85,600 Demand Zone would confirm stronger seller control and open the path for a deeper bearish continuation toward lower levels. However, if price reaches demand and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce toward previous structure may occur — but this would still be considered corrective unless BTC reclaims 88,000 with strength. For now, the market favors sellers, with 85,800 as the primary downside target while price remains capped below resistance. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD Holds Bullish Structure - Resistance at $4,380 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (Gold) based on the current chart structure. After a corrective phase, Gold established a solid base and transitioned into a bullish recovery, forming higher lows and respecting the rising Support Line. The price previously moved through a consolidation Range, where accumulation took place before a clear breakout confirmed renewed buying momentum. Following this breakout, XAUUSD continued to trade within an ascending channel, showing a well-structured bullish trend. Recently, price pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 4,280, which aligns with the horizontal Support Level and the lower boundary of the rising structure. Buyers successfully defended this area, keeping the bullish structure intact. From this support, Gold has started to rebound and is now pressing higher toward the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 4,380 (TP1) — a key supply area where sellers may attempt to slow the move. As long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,280 Support, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect continued upside pressure toward the 4,380 Resistance (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this seller zone would open the path for further bullish continuation. However, rejection from resistance could lead to a short-term consolidation or a healthy pullback back toward support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 4,280 as key support and 4,380 as the main upside target. Always manage your risk and trade with confirmation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Expected Downward Move with Potential EQH SweepQuick summary
EURUSD is expected to fall to 1.16622 without mitigate any levels above as there is no reason for it to do so but it may sweep the EQH first and thats a very low probability
Full analysis
EURUSD is expected to continue its downward movement toward 1.16622, as most key levels have already been tested and there is little technical reason for further upside. The overall bearish structure remains intact, with price showing no significant bullish signals on both the short-term and long-term charts.
However, there is a minor possibility that EURUSD could temporarily rise to sweep the EQH at 1.17632. Such a sweep would act as a liquidity grab, potentially clearing remaining stop orders above recent highs. If this occurs, it would strengthen the bearish bias, signaling that the market is preparing for a more decisive move downward. you should monitor this level closely, as price reaction here could provide an excellent entry point for short positions.
GOLD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving to the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The volatility of the movement has decreased.
The price has reached the resistance level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – 2H Market Structure & Liquidity AnalysisXAUUSD (Gold Spot) – 2H Market Structure & Liquidity Analysis
This 2-hour XAUUSD chart clearly highlights a liquidity-driven market, where price is reacting precisely around key supply, demand, and liquidity levels. The structure shows how smart money manipulation plays out before the next directional move.
Higher Timeframe Liquidity Sweep & Rejection
At the top of the chart, price sweeps the previous 1D high, labeled as “1D Sweep / Rejection”. This is a classic liquidity grab, where buy-side liquidity above the highs is taken, followed by an aggressive rejection. The long upper wick confirms strong selling pressure from premium levels, signaling that institutions used this area to distribute positions rather than continue higher.
This rejection shifts market bias from bullish continuation to range or corrective behavior.
Cold Squeeze & Compression Phase
On the left side, price consolidates inside a tight range marked as “Cold Squeeze”. This area represents low volatility and order accumulation, where both buyers and sellers are trapped. Such zones often precede strong impulsive moves, and in this case, price eventually expands out of the range with increased volatility.
Supply Used & Rising Wedge Formation
As price moves lower, we see a labeled “Supply Used” zone, meaning sellers previously active here have already been absorbed. Following that, price forms a rising wedge / ascending channel, which is a bearish corrective structure rather than true bullish strength.
This wedge acts as a pullback within a broader bearish context, allowing smart money to reload sell positions while retail traders chase longs.
QFL Reaction & Weak Highs
Near the mid-section of the chart, price reacts around a QFL (Quasimodo / Failed Low-High concept) area. The highs formed here are weak and overlapping, showing lack of momentum. This confirms that buyers are struggling to push price higher sustainably.
Indecision Zone & Any-Side Break
On the right side, price enters a tight consolidation marked as “Any-side Break”. This zone represents market indecision, where liquidity is building on both sides. A strong candle close above or below this range will likely trigger a sharp impulsive move as stop orders get activated.
Until that break happens, the market remains neutral and reactive, favoring short-term scalps rather than aggressive directional trades.
Key Reversal Zone Below
Below current price, a clearly marked Reversal Zone sits around the discount area. This zone aligns with:
Previous demand
Liquidity resting below equal lows
A potential mitigation area for bullish reaction
If price breaks down from the current range, this zone becomes a high-probability bounce or reversal area, especially if bullish confirmation appears on lower timeframes.
Overall Market Bias
Short-term bias: Neutral → Waiting for range breakout
Above range: Possible stop-hunt but expect selling pressure again
Below range: High probability move toward the reversal / demand zone
Smart money behavior: Liquidity sweeps, false breakouts, and controlled distribution
Trading Insight
This chart is a textbook example of liquidity engineering. Instead of chasing direction, the smarter approach is to wait for confirmation after the any-side break, then align entries with liquidity targets and higher timeframe context.
Patience here is key — the market is loading fuel, not yet revealing direction.
⚠️ Note: Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly. This analysis is based on price action and liquidity concepts, not financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 19, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is trading around 1.17250. The euro is supported after the European Central Bank kept its rate at 2% and highlighted the resilience of the euro area economy. The lack of signals about near-term policy changes reduces rate-related pressure on the single currency.
For the US dollar, expectations around the US policy rate remain key: after the Federal Reserve’s December rate cut, the market has become more cautious about the outlook for yields. Recent inflation data point to slower annual price growth, but the figures remain mixed due to disruptions in the collection of some indicators, which increases swings in demand for the dollar.
With a neutral external backdrop, fundamentals slightly favor a moderate rise in EUR/USD: the euro area looks more stable in terms of rate expectations, while the US path depends more on upcoming macro data and the central bank’s messaging. The main risk to this scenario is a sudden increase in safe-haven demand for the dollar.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.17250, SL 1.16850, TP 1.18450






















