“Exactly What I Saw” promises value and transparency.
In today's analysis, I’ve identified a clear completion of Wave D, securing a 3% ROI across just two trades – all before the move unfolded.
🔍 What’s inside this breakdown?
• Multi-timeframe analysis: Weekly ➝ Daily ➝ 4H ➝ 1H
• Elliott Wave structure with confluence zones
• Trade psychology at key turning points
• Exact entry & exit insights explained
• Risk management for consistent returns
---
⚡ Highlights:
Precise reversal spotted before it was obvious
No indicator clutter – just clean, confident price action
Part of my 100-day breakdown series: real, raw, and repeatable setups
---
👣 Day 7 of 100 is just the beginning.
Tap Follow to stay ahead of the market – one wave at a time.
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #Forex #TradingViewUK #SwingTrading #PriceAction #RiskReward #FXMindset #ForexTradersIndia #ForexEducation
Analysis
Bitcoin will continue to decline to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following a period of a broad downward trend, bitcoin's price action has been channeled into a large downward wedge, a pattern that signifies converging volatility and a period of consolidation before an eventual decisive move. This market action is taking place between two critical, well-established zones: a major seller zone capping rallies around the 119500 resistance level and a significant buyer zone providing support near 116000. Recently, an upward rebound attempted to test the upper boundary of this wedge but was met with strong selling pressure from the seller zone, confirming its validity as a formidable barrier. The price is now correcting downwards after this rejection. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, anticipating that the bearish momentum from this recent failure will continue to drive the price lower. While a minor bounce or retest of local resistance is possible, the path of least resistance within the pattern's structure is now towards its lower boundary. Therefore, the TP is strategically set at the 116000 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Over an extended period, the price action of Gold has been contained within a large descending triangle, a pattern characterized by a series of lower highs testing a descending resistance line and a relatively flat support base. The major seller zone around the 3415 resistance level has consistently capped upward rebounds, establishing a clear downward pressure on the asset. The most critical recent development has been a decisive breakdown, where the price broke below a key ascending trend line and, more importantly, below the horizontal support at 3310. This structural break has shifted the immediate market dynamics, turning the former support area of 3310 - 3320 into a new ceiling of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario based on the principle of a breakdown and retest. It is anticipated that the price will attempt a corrective rally back towards this new resistance area around 3310. A failure to reclaim this level, confirmed by a strong rejection, would validate the breakdown and signal the continuation of the larger downward trend. Therefore, the tp for this next bearish leg is logically placed at the 3240 level. This target represents a significant area of potential support and a measured objective following the resolution of the recent consolidation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTC Short Update Hello ❤️
Bitcoin
Let's have an update on Bitcoin analysis
💁♂️ First Target 🔥
Near Second Target
According to the analysis I posted on the page, Bitcoin touched the first target and is now near the second target
It is a good place to save profits. The price gap is filled
Please don't forget to like, share, and boost so that I can analyze it for you with more enthusiasm. Thank you. 💖😍
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 1, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound remains under pressure due to the strengthening of the dollar and expectations of further easing of the Bank of England's policy at its meeting on August 7. The regulator's rhetoric in June-July pointed to a “gradual and cautious” course of rate cuts amid weak growth, and the market is pricing in the likelihood of another move at the next meeting. The situation is complicated by the fact that July inflation in Britain unexpectedly accelerated, but the regulator interprets it as a temporary consequence of tariff and price shocks, not wanting to tighten financial conditions excessively.
The external environment is also unfavorable for the GBP: the US has imposed new tariffs on a number of trading partners, strengthening demand for the dollar as a risk-free asset. For the UK, the trade implications are mixed: part of the supply chain is focused on the dollar zone, and industry is sensitive to global demand, which, in the context of prolonged uncertainty, is hitting investment and employment expectations. The risks of a decline in private sector business activity remain elevated.
Today, attention is focused on US employment data: if the labor market confirms its stability, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September will decrease further, which will keep the dollar in the ascendancy. All these factors combined create a bearish bias for GBPUSD in the short term, with any brief rebounds from local oversold conditions typically being used for selling.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.32000, SL 1.32500, TP 1.31000
XAU/USD (Gold) - Triangle Breakout (1.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3249
2nd Support – 3225
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY USDOLLAR CRASH Incoming!Long-term fundamentals are bearish
Long-term sentiment = bearish
Long-term technicals = bearish
Trump wants a weaker dollar + FED injecting endless amounts of cash into the markets
driving stocks/ gold up, and the dollar down, losing purchasing power.
My plan is to look for shorts on the 1hr-4hr timeframe with lower timeframe confirmation.
Once price starts turning over, day-traders can join in.
Agree or disagree?
PUMPUSDT: Bullish Breakout and Retest - A Potential 34% Upside?Hello, traders!
Today we're looking at the PUMP/USDT pair on the 4-hour timeframe, and a very clean technical setup is unfolding that points towards potential bullish continuation. Let's break down the key elements of this analysis.
The Analysis
The chart presents a classic breakout and retest scenario, which is often a strong indicator of a trend reversal or continuation.
Descending Trendline Breakout: The most significant feature is the decisive breakout from a major descending trendline that had been capping the price for a considerable period. Breaking this trendline is a primary signal that the previous bearish momentum is weakening and buyers are starting to take control.
Break of Horizontal Resistance (S/R Flip): Following the trendline break, the price also successfully pushed through a key horizontal resistance zone, identified on the chart between approximately $0.002966 and $0.003044. This level has now, as expected, turned into a new support base.
The Retest: We are currently witnessing a pullback to this newly established support zone. This "retest" is a critical phase. A strong bounce from this level would confirm the breakout's validity and suggest that the market has accepted this price floor, paving the way for the next leg up.
Volume Confirmation: Notice the volume bars at the bottom of the chart. There was a visible spike in volume during the initial breakout candles, which adds conviction to the move. It indicates that the breakout was backed by significant buying interest.
The Trade Idea
Based on this structure, a potential long opportunity presents itself.
Entry: A favorable entry point could be found within the current support zone ($0.002966 - $0.003044), especially upon seeing confirmation of a bounce (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle or a hammer on the 4H or 1H chart).
Target: The analysis points to a primary target at the next major resistance level, located around the $0.004000 psychological mark. As measured on the chart, this represents a potential upside of over 34%.
Invalidation: This bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price fails to hold the current support and decisively closes back below the $0.002966 level. Placing a stop-loss below this zone is a prudent risk management strategy.
Conclusion
In summary, PUMPUSDT is displaying a textbook bullish setup. The combination of a trendline breakout, an S/R flip, and a live retest offers a compelling case for potential upside. As always, manage your risk carefully and wait for your preferred confirmation signals before entering a trade.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis provided is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any investment decisions.
Nifty 24780 Pullback possible on next 1-2 days On 31 July, if someone watch closely price action he could capture Today up move coz Nifty gave almost same price action as 13 June let's try to find what is the Same thing: -
(A)31 July 2025: gap down is (-70%)
volume around 97 million
Bounce Back after gap down around +1%
(B) 13 June: gap down was (-80%)
Volume around 93 million
Bounce back after gap down around +1
On 13 June Nifty faced resistance of 24980 level then retraced. Due to such similarities, we can conclude that it could be pullback around 24780 level although I don't say market will behave same as before, I know every second of market is very dynamic and different from past days, but technical analysis always based on historical data. so, this is just assumption. take the trade on your own analysis & research.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 31, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD:
The pound remains under pressure as consumer spending and the labor market in the UK are weakening, reducing the likelihood of an aggressive response from the Bank of England. Core inflation has dropped to 3.3% y/y – the lowest in two years – allowing the regulator to keep rates steady for longer.
External factors are also unfavorable: demand for the defensive dollar is strengthening ahead of the FOMC meeting, and the yield spread between 10-year gilts and USTs has narrowed to 115 basis points – the lowest since March, stimulating flows into the dollar.
Additional negative dynamics come from the rise in the UK current account deficit to 3.9% of GDP, amid higher prices for imported energy and declining exports of services. Expectations of tighter fiscal consolidation are increasing fiscal risks and encouraging investors to reduce long GBP positions.
Risks to the bearish outlook are limited: these would be a surprise in the form of hawkish Bank of England comments or a sharp deterioration in US macro data that could weaken the dollar.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.32700, SL 1.32900, TP 1.31700
XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (30.07.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3360
2nd Resistance – 3377
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Retests Broken Trendline Minor Resistance in Focus!Bitcoin has recently taken support from the lower levels and moved upward, successfully breaking above a key trendline resistance. Currently, the market appears to be forming another minor trendline resistance on the short-term chart. Interestingly, the previous trendline that was broken is now acting as a support zone, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
If the price manages to break this newly developing minor trendline resistance, we may expect a possible retest of that level. Should the retest hold, it could provide a strong bullish signal, allowing Bitcoin to continue its upward movement toward higher liquidity zones or resistance levels.
WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart Analysis (symmetrical triangle)WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart Analysis
**Trend & Structure:**
* The chart displays a **symmetrical triangle** formation, signaling a **potential breakout setup**.
* Price is currently trading around **\$66.78**, gradually rising from its recent consolidation.
* **Higher lows** and **lower highs** indicate a tightening range, which usually precedes a sharp move.
**Support & Resistance:**
* **Support Zone:** Around **\$65.47–\$66.15**, marked by the 50 EMA and prior price reactions.
* **Resistance Levels:**
* **\$68.95** – Short-term resistance and previous peak.
* **\$72.81** – Strong horizontal resistance.
* **\$77.75–\$80.00** – Projected upper trendline zone of triangle.
**Moving Averages (Bullish Setup):**
* EMA 7: **\$66.15**
* EMA 21: **\$66.14**
* EMA 50: **\$65.47**
* All EMAs are aligned in bullish order (7 > 21 > 50), confirming **bullish momentum**.
**Volume Insight:**
* Volume remains relatively steady; a spike in volume with breakout from the triangle would confirm trend continuation.
**Trade Setup Suggestion (based on chart):**
* **Breakout Buy Idea:** If price breaks above **\$68.95–\$70**, potential upside to **\$77–\$80**.
* **Invalidation:** A break below **\$65** would invalidate the bullish structure.
**Conclusion:**
WTI crude oil is trading within a symmetrical triangle, supported by bullish EMAs and tightening price action. A breakout above \$69 could trigger a bullish rally toward \$77–\$80. Keep an eye on volume confirmation and geopolitical headlines that can impact oil fundamentals.
DCF VALUATION ANALYSIS OF BSEConclusion: OVERVALUED
:-OVERVIEW
BSE Limited has shown strong financial growth in recent years. Its revenue jumped from ₹924.84 crore in FY23 to ₹1,592.50 crore in FY24 (a 72% increase), and further surged to ₹3,212 crore in FY25, doubling year-on-year. EBITDA grew impressively to ₹1,779 crore in FY25 with a 60% increase, and EBIT reached ₹1,670 crore, up 56%. Net profit also rose significantly to ₹1,112 crore, with earnings per share increasing to ₹81. Dividend per share improved to ₹23, reflecting healthy returns
DCF:
-The valuation was performed using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach based purely on verified financial data and market risk parameters without relying on user-specific growth assumptions.
-The cost of equity was calculated using an adjusted risk-free rate plus equity risk premium multiplied by beta, resulting in a discount rate of approximately 13.58%. The terminal growth rate was conservatively taken as 4%. Using these reliable inputs and actual EBIT cash flows, the intrinsic enterprise value was estimated at around ₹36,839 crore, translating to an intrinsic value per share of approximately ₹1,364.
-Currently, BSE’s market price is around ₹2,480 per share, which is substantially higher than the intrinsic value derived from fundamentals, indicating the stock is trading at a significant premium. This valuation is grounded in audited company financials and globally accepted valuation methodologies, providing a trustworthy reference point for investors.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2025 EURUSDThe pair is consolidating at 148.500, leaving behind a nearly 1% gain since the start of the week. High Treasury yields (10-year bonds — 4.34%) are supporting demand for the dollar, while the easing of the US-Japan trade conflict is reducing defensive demand for the yen. As part of yesterday's statement by the US Treasury, tariffs on Japanese cars are being reduced to 10%, which improves the outlook for export-oriented corporations, but at the same time reduces investors' need for safe-haven currencies.
Despite inflation of 3.7% y/y and rising food costs, the Bank of Japan is likely to keep its rate at 0.5% following its July 30-31 meeting and only revise its CPI forecasts upward. Former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank Hiroshi Nakaso acknowledges that further increases are only possible after assessing the effect of US tariffs, i.e., not before 2026. This scenario reinforces negative real interest rates and a widening yield differential with the US.
In addition, the inflow of Japanese investment into foreign bonds has resumed amid confidence in a gradual, rather than sharp, normalization of BOJ policy. Taken together, these factors point to the likelihood of a test of 150.00 in the coming days in the absence of verbal intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.500, SL 147.900, TP 150.500
USD/JPY(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buy and sell boundaries:
148.19
Support and resistance levels:
149.23
148.84
148.59
147.78
147.53
147.14
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.59, consider buying, the first target price is 148.84
If the price breaks through 148.19, consider selling, the first target price is 147.78
Potentially, A Safer Way To Long The EURUSDIn contrast to my previous outlook, the current price action suggests an increased probability of a deeper bearish move—potentially invalidating the buy zone marked out in the previous analysis. This sudden change is largely driven by the prospect of untapped liquidity residing beneath that zone, reinforcing the well-known market principle that price seeks out liquidity before committing to directional moves.
Given this development, the newly identified zone on the chart emerges as a more technically sound and reliable area from which to anticipate bullish interest. It aligns better with the broader liquidity profile and offers a stronger base for accumulation. Traders may opt to wait for confirmations within this zone or, depending on their risk appetite, consider executing buy positions upon price entry.
As always, patience and clarity are key as we allow price to reveal its intention.
Fingers crossed 🤞
Wishing you all a focused and profitable trading week.
Catch you on the next one. 🫡
Euro will rebound from support line of wedge to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After breaking out decisively from a prior downward channel, the euro initiated a significant structural shift, moving from a clear downward trend into a new and more volatile market condition. This transition has led to the development of a large broadening wedge pattern, which is characterised by higher highs and lower lows, indicating an expansion in volatility as both buyers and sellers fight for control. The boundaries of this struggle are well-defined by a major buyer zone around 1.1650 and a formidable seller zone near 1.1750. Currently, the pair is in a corrective phase, moving downwards within the wedge after a recent upward rebound was rejected from the upper resistance line. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates that this downward correction will find strong support at the confluence of the wedge's ascending support line and the horizontal buyer zone around 1.1650. A confirmed bounce from this critical area of support would validate the integrity of the broadening wedge pattern and likely trigger another powerful upward rotation. Therefore, the TP is strategically placed at the 1.1750 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Next Move On EURUSD: A Bullish ContinuationWith this 4H bearish impulsive move, it’s easy to assume a reversal is underway to break the previous daily swing low. However, this appears more like a liquidity grab—fueling the next leg to the upside.
Price has retraced into a key zone that previously performed a strong liquidation. With significant liquidity already swept and clean inducements now resting above, this level becomes crucial.
This zone is the last stand: a break downward may target the daily swing low, while a hold and reaction could propel price toward the swing high.
Fingers crossed 🤞 as we watch price play out.
Have a great trading week, traders.
Catch you in the next one. 🫡






















