EURUSD Short Setup if Key Level BreaksIf the EURUSD manages to break below the 1.15243 level, a potential short opportunity may develop around 1.15273. However, this setup is not confirmed yet, and the key element here is patience and proper validation.
For this scenario to become valid, the market must first close a 15-minute candle below 1.15243. Such a close would indicate that the price has successfully broken through the level and is showing signs of rejection from the 15-minute orderblock, suggesting that sellers are stepping in with intention.
This type of confirmation is essential because it filters out false breaks and ensures that the market is truly shifting momentum. If this rejection is validated, then the retest of 1.15273 could provide a precise and clean entry for short setups, with structure and liquidity alignment supporting the move.
Until that break and close happen, the level remains a potential reaction point rather than a confirmed bearish continuation signal. As always, waiting for clear confirmation helps avoid entering the market prematurely, especially during periods where liquidity sweeps are common.
Analysis
EURUSD Short: Price Sliding Back Toward 1.1540 SupportHello traders! EURUSD continues to move within a broader bearish trend structure, consistently respecting the descending Trend Line that has acted as a dynamic resistance for several weeks. Each retest of this line has resulted in strong bearish reactions, confirming persistent seller dominance. Throughout the decline, the market formed several pivot points and repeated breakouts, showing how price reacts to key liquidity areas. A notable pattern on the chart is the Rounding Top, which formed near the mid-trend zone and signaled an early shift from bullish correction to renewed bearish pressure. After completing this pattern, EURUSD dropped sharply, breaking down through support and heading toward the demand area. Recently, price attempted a breakout above the descending Trend Line but created a Fake Breakout, indicating that buyers were unable to hold gains above resistance. This rejection occurred inside the Supply Zone around 1.1620, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the trend line once again, showing weakening bullish attempts and maintaining the overall downward trajectory. Price is slowly drifting toward the Demand Zone at 1.15400, which has previously served as a strong reaction area.
My scenario if EURUSD fails to break the descending Trend Line and stays below the Supply Zone, the pair is likely to continue moving lower toward the 1.15400 Demand Zone. This area is the next major support and the most probable target for sellers. However, if buyers defend the current levels and push price back toward resistance, a short-term correction toward the trend line may occur before another bearish impulse. A confirmed break below 1.15400 would open the way for further downside continuation, in line with the broader bearish structure. For now, the bias remains bearish while price trades under the Trend Line and below 1.1620. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Sellers Target Move Toward 1.1550 Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is currently reacting within a broader corrective structure after failing to break above the major Resistance Area around 1.16500. This zone has repeatedly acted as a strong supply region, where price formed multiple rejection points and false breakouts. Each attempt to move higher was stopped by the descending Resistance Line, confirming continued bearish pressure. Earlier, EURUSD moved inside a wide Range Phase, followed by a breakout that initiated an upward correction inside an Upward Channel. However, bullish momentum weakened once price reached the upper boundary of the channel and the major resistance area. This led to a strong reversal and a bearish breakout below channel support.
Currently, EURUSD is climbing again toward the same Resistance Area near 1.16500, but the structure suggests the move is likely a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal. Price is approaching the intersection of the Resistance Line and the Resistance Zone, creating a confluence area where sellers are expected to regain control.As long as the market trades below this resistance cluster, the overall trend remains bearish. A rejection from the 1.16500 level could trigger a decline toward the Support Zone at 1.15550, which previously acted as a key demand region.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to complete its pullback soon and resume the bearish trend once price reaches the 1.16500 Resistance Area. This zone remains the strongest supply region in the current structure. Potential short entries become valid once bearish confirmation appears near 1.16500, with the primary target at the 1.15550 Support Zone (TP1).
A clean breakdown below 1.15550 would signal continuation of the downtrend.
Alternatively, if EURUSD successfully breaks above 1.16500 and stays above the descending resistance line, bullish momentum may develop — but for now, this scenario remains secondary. Market bias stays bearish as long as price trades below resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN – THE TIDES ARE TURNING Traders,
On November 5 I mapped out a scenario where Bitcoin would push into 107k to 108k and then decline to 98k first and 89k second.
This entire scenario has now played out perfectly to the pixel. We swept 108k, we dumped to 98k, and then we flushed into 89k. Where I expected price to retrace from exactly this level: $88.912
So the real question now is simple. What now? Do we break lower, or do we go up?
Let’s break Bitcoin down cleanly, without bias, and only by reading structure, levels, and order flow.
Levels, Structure and Order Flow
AVWAP at the core of the structure
Bitcoin is currently trading right near the AVWAP from the 06 August 24 anchor. This is the blue line on your chart and the exact level is 90.881. This anchor began with a large volume impulse.
When heavy volume kicks off a leg, the AVWAP from that point becomes a core reference level for the entire future auction. We are now sitting right on top of it, which is exactly where you would expect absorption or a strong reaction.
The market is basically deciding if this AVWAP will hold or break.
AB=CD completion
The full AB=CD measured move has completed exactly into the AVWAP zone. This is a clean harmonic completion and adds confluence to why price reacted here. AB=CD means the downside leg is symmetrical and usually marks exhaustion inside a trend.
Fixed Range Volume Profile
Using a FRVP from the start of the current HTF auction (07 April until now), we see price wicked directly into the LVN that sits inside the weekly FVG. This area had imbalance and low participation. A wick into an LVN inside an FVG often means that the inefficiency is now cleaned and the auction has reached completion for that side of the range.
Wedge breakout
Bitcoin technically broke out of the falling wedge, but the breakout does not look clean.
We are outside the wedge, but momentum on the breakout is weak. True confirmation would come if price re-enters the wedge from the outside and climbs back through the wedge body.
Re-entering the wedge tells you that the breakdown was liquidity and not a structural continuation. If we reclaim it, upside targets become more likely.
Order Flow – What the data shows
Spot and Futures CVD
Across the 15m, 30m and 1h charts, Spot CVD is forming a bullish divergence. Price keeps making lower lows, but Spot CVD is holding higher. This shows that spot buyers are stepping in at the lows and absorbing sell pressure.
Futures CVD on both stablecoin margined and coin margined contracts continues to push lower.
Price is not following these lower lows. This creates hidden bullish divergence and confirms that aggressive sellers are hitting the market while limit buyers are absorbing the pressure.
This is a classic sign of absorption. Selling continues, but the market is refusing to break lower with the same intensity.
Open Interest – A shift
Earlier in the dump, Open Interest was falling. This means positions were being closed.
Most of this was shorts taking profit or exiting the move. When OI drops during a downtrend, continuation becomes harder because the move loses fuel.
Near the end of the screenshots, there is a shift. Both stablecoin margined and coin margined OI start to rise again.
This rise in OI happens while:
CVD continues to make lower lows
Price stops making new lows
Price begins to stabilize
This tells us that new positions are being opened at the lows. Given the CVD behavior, most of these are new shorts entering the market.
When new shorts enter and price does not break, the probability of those shorts becoming trapped increases. If buyers step in, this setup often leads to a short squeeze.
This is how reversals form in a controlled market.
Funding rate – Binance
Funding is positive but very small. This means there is no extreme long pressure. There is no overcrowding on the long side. The market is not stretched. With fresh shorts entering at the lows and funding staying neutral, the market can turn quickly if support holds.
What this means
The combination of:
Spot CVD divergence
Hidden bullish divergence on futures CVD
Rising Open Interest at the lows
Neutral funding
Price refusing to break down - So price needs to hold.
shows that the market is absorbing aggressive selling at a key level. If buyers defend the current level, this can force newly opened shorts to cover, which would fuel the next move up.
Targets
109k
This is the first upside objective.
There is a CME ETH gap resting at this level and gaps of this type tend to get filled.
109k also aligns with the 1.113 Fibonacci extension of the latest wave.
This makes it the first logical level if price continues to hold the AVWAP and absorb selling pressure.
112k
The next major level is 112k.
This area contains single prints on CME and matches an AVWAP level on the BTC CME chart.
112k also lines up with the 1.272 extension of the wave.
From a Fibonacci rotation perspective, 1.272 is the next stop after 1.113 and often acts as a mid-cycle continuation target.
118.800
The final target sits at 118.800.
This is the full 1.618 extension of the wave and mathematically completes the auction.
If the market rotates from AVWAP support, this level becomes the natural endpoint of the move.
As long as price continues to hold the AVWAP at 90.881 and the market keeps absorbing futures selling, all three upside targets remain in play.
Invalidation
The structure changes only if price breaks below 88k. A clean drop under 88k opens the door for the next major high timeframe support at 85k.
85k carries strong confluence. It aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the HTF move and sits directly on a Point of Control zone within the Fixed Range Volume Profile.
Below that level, the auction shifts into a lower structure entirely.
TLDR
Bitcoin completed the downside scenario perfectly.
Price is now sitting directly on the AVWAP at 90.881.
AB=CD is complete.
LVN inside weekly FVG has been cleaned.
Futures CVD is still pressing lower but price is not. That is absorption.
But the key update is OI. OI was dropping earlier on the LTF, but now OI is rising again, and this is happening while CVD continues down and price holds steady.
That means new shorts are entering the market and getting absorbed.
If AVWAP holds, expect a bounce.
Targets:
109k
112k
118.8k
If 88k breaks, 85k is next.
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Abbreviation List
AVWAP
Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. A dynamic support or resistance level based on volume since a chosen anchor.
AB=CD
A harmonic measured move where AB equals CD.
FRVP
Fixed Range Volume Profile. Shows where volume was traded inside a chosen range.
LVN
Low Volume Node. A low interest level where price often rejects strongly.
FVG
Fair Value Gap. An imbalance left by aggressive price moves.
CVD
Cumulative Volume Delta. Tracks buying vs selling pressure.
OI
Open Interest. The amount of open futures positions.
POC
Point of Control. Level with the highest traded volume.
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If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow.
The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying.
Stay sharp.
Stay objective.
And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks.
- ThetaNomad
Bitcoin on a roller coaster: is 2026 ready for a new high?On November 18, BTCUSD fell by about 29% — from a peak of around $126,000 to ~ $89,000 . The fall in Bitcoin was due to a combination of factors: after the record high, many investors took profits, money flowed out of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (spot ETFs), and caution set in on global markets, with tech stocks and AI companies falling. The sharp price fluctuations triggered forced closures of leveraged trades, which exacerbated the decline, while altcoins fell even faster and drained liquidity from the market — as a result, there were more sellers than buyers, and the price fell even further.
Five reasons to expect a new BTCUSD impulse in 2026:
Inflows into spot ETFs. If funds start actively buying BTC on the spot market again, this will generate stable demand from large players.
The halving effect. Fewer new coins are being mined, but demand remains high, which will eventually push the price up.
A more dovish Fed. Lower rates → more liquidity → investors are more willing to take on risk assets, including BTC.
Clear rules and business acceptance. Clear regulation and integration with banks/companies simplify entry for mass investors.
Infrastructure development. L2/Lightning, convenient custody, and new on-chain use cases make BTC more useful — demand is growing.
FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, Bitcoin's dynamics will largely depend on three factors: capital inflows into spot ETFs, the general “risk-on/risk-off” regime against the backdrop of Fed decisions, and key statements from regulators about the crypto market. Investors are advised to maintain a strict risk management system and focus on the macroeconomic calendar.
BTC At Sub 80k? The Structure Says It’s PossibleBTC has followed one pattern for two years.
Every major pullback reset 33–34% before the next leg up.
Look at the last cycles:
• 2024 dropped 34% from January to December
• Oct 2024 → Jan 2025: new highs, then a 33% retrace across four months
• Apr 2025 → Oct 2025: price ran from 74k → 125k, then stalled
• Every breakout in this range ended with the same size correction
The structure didn’t change. The market behaved the same every time.
From the 125k top, BTC still has room to drop 10–15%.
If the cycle repeats, the retracement lands near 80k before the next push.
History doesn’t repeat perfectly, but BTC has been consistent with this pattern.
I’m watching the range. My shorts stay open.
GBP/USD - H1 - Trendline Breakout (19.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview FX:GBPUSD
GBP/USD has broken below a long-term ascending trendline, followed by a clean retest rejection — a strong bearish confirmation signal.
Price also remains below the resistance zone (1.3180–1.3200) and is showing consistent lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control.
With bearish fundamentals supporting USD strength, further downside pressure is expected.
📊 Trading Plan🔻 Sell Bias (Primary Scenario)
Look for bearish candles forming below the trendline retest
Target the next support levels
🎯 Targets:
1st Support: 1.3077
2nd Support: 1.3039
❌ Invalidation:
A break and close above 1.3200 (resistance zone) cancels the bearish view
⚡ Fundamental Outlook – Today (19 Nov 2025)
🇺🇸 USD Fundamentals
1️⃣ U.S. yields continue to climb as investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain tight policy for longer due to sticky inflation.→ Higher yields → Stronger USD
2️⃣ Risk sentiment remains weak, with markets rotating into safe-haven assets, supporting USD strength.
🇬🇧 GBP Fundamentals
3️⃣ UK economy shows slowing momentum, and BoE policymakers remain cautious.
→ Weaker GBP outlook
➡️ Combined outlook favors a bearish continuation on GBP/USD.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Not financial advice — always confirm entries and manage your risk properly.
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GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (18.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview
GBP/USD has broken below the triangle structure, signaling a shift toward bearish momentum after repeated rejections from the upper trendline.
Price is sitting under the breakout region, indicating that sellers are gaining control.
With fundamentals supporting USD strength, the downside continuation scenario looks favorable.
📊 Trading Plan🔻 Primary Bias: Sell
Wait for a retest & rejection near the triangle support-turned-resistance
Look for continuation toward the lower support zones
🎯 Targets:
1st Support: 1.3091
2nd Support: 1.3062
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always follow your confirmation signals and risk management rules before trading.
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XAUUSD Long: Buyers Eye Push Toward $4,100 ResistanceHello traders! XAUUSD is developing a clear technical structure after reacting multiple times to both the Supply and Demand zones, forming a well-defined pattern of price behavior. Recently, Gold rejected the Supply Line after creating a new Pivot Point near the $4,230 area — the same region where a previous strong rejection occurred. This confluence confirms that sellers remain active at the upper boundary of the market. Earlier, the market formed a Double Top pattern near the same Supply Zone, which triggered a strong bearish reversal. After the breakdown, price retested the $4,100 level several times, turning it into a meaningful local resistance. Multiple breakout attempts above this level failed, signaling strong selling pressure from the supply area.
Currently, XAUUSD is testing the Demand Line that has been respected consistently throughout the recent bullish leg. Each touch of this trendline resulted in a higher pivot point, confirming active buyers stepping into the market. This area aligns with the $4,000–$4,010 Demand Zone — a key support cluster where price has reacted with strong bullish impulses before.
My scenario as long as XAUUSD holds above the Demand Line and the $4,000–$4,010 support, the bullish structure remains valid. A rebound from this zone may initiate a fresh move toward the $4,100 Supply Zone (TP1), where the next important reaction is expected. A clean breakout above $4,100 would strengthen the bullish scenario and open the path toward $4,150–$4,170, aligning with the upper Supply Line. If Gold fails to hold above the Demand Zone, sellers may regain control and push the price lower toward the $3,960 support, signaling a deeper correction phase. For now, the market favors buying pullbacks near demand while monitoring price action closely around the $4,100 resistance. Manage your risk!
THE GOLDEN-PRINT STRATEGY XAUUSD continues to hold firmly above the major support zone around $4000.00. A confirmed break and close above the $4100.00 resistance could signal a potential continuation of bullish momentum.
With the upcoming G20 Summit, market volatility is expected to increase. Depending on the outcomes, this event could either strengthen or weaken the bullish outlook.
In addition, reports suggesting that D. Trump may not attend the summit in South Africa could weigh on USD sentiment. Weakening USD often supports upside moves in gold, which aligns with the bullish scenario if price breaks the $4100.00 zone.
Overall bias:
➡️ Bullish above $4000
➡️ Strong continuation expected above $4100
➡️ Fundamentals currently lean slightly in favor of gold
XAUUSD: Bullish Rebound Setup as Price Holds Above Wedge SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure after rebounding from the key Wedge Support Line, which continues to act as a major dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. The chart shows that Gold previously formed a broad Range at the top, followed by a sharp rejection from the Resistance Area near $4,170–$4,200, where strong sellers stepped in. This zone remains the primary supply region and aligns closely with the Wedge Resistance Line, creating a strong confluence barrier. After the rejection, price moved back into a correction phase, retesting both the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,070 and the ascending wedge structure. Notably, the recent bullish reaction inside this zone indicates that buyers are still defending this area effectively. Multiple breakouts and a prior fake breakout highlight that sellers are struggling to maintain downward momentum, while buyers continue to accumulate at lower levels.
Currently, XAUUSD is stabilizing just above the Support Zone, forming early signs of a potential upward continuation. As long as the price respects the wedge support and holds above $4,070, the bullish structure remains intact. The market behavior suggests increasing buyer interest, especially during retests of lower support.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect Gold to continue its upward movement from the current support area and retest the $4,170–$4,200 Resistance Zone once again. This level will be the next major decision point; a successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward higher highs and potentially signal a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
However, if XAUUSD breaks below the Wedge Support Line, the bullish outlook would weaken, and the price could revisit deeper support levels before buyers attempt another recovery. For now, bullish continuation remains the most probable scenario as long as the support structure holds. Pullback-based long entries remain the best approach while price continues to trade above the key support zone and upward trendline.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD Rebounds From Channel Support — Targeting $93K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, where price has repeatedly respected both the resistance and support lines. Every touch of the upper boundary resulted in a Turned Around reaction, confirming strong seller dominance throughout the downtrend. After breaking below a key local support, BTCUSD shifted into a deeper bearish phase and moved toward the broader Support Zone beneath $90,000. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and has acted as a strong reaction area in previous price swings. Recently, price reached the channel’s support line, where buyers stepped in and formed an early rebound attempt. BTCUSD is now showing signs of a potential short-term correction, with price aiming toward the nearest resistance cluster at $93,000–$96,000, which also represents the mid-channel region and a key retest zone. As long as Bitcoin stays below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. However, a corrective move toward TP1 near $93,000 is likely if the current support continues to hold. A rejection from the resistance area could send the price back toward the channel bottom for another test. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance line would be the first signal of a potential shift in momentum and could open the way for a stronger recovery. Until then, BTCUSD remains in a bearish structure with a possible short-term bullish pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Rejected From Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1560 in PlayHello traders! Let’s analyze the current EURUSD market structure. EURUSD continues to move within a broad descending channel, where both the Resistance Line and the Support Line have been respected multiple times, confirming a well-defined bearish market structure. Throughout the past sessions, price formed several Range phases near key levels, followed by Breakouts that maintained the overall downward momentum. Recently, EURUSD approached the upper boundary of the channel and reacted strongly from the major Resistance Level near 1.16600, which overlaps with the Seller Zone. This area has triggered multiple Turned Around movements in the past, reinforcing its importance as a supply region where sellers consistently regain control. After rejecting this resistance, price started a downward move toward the mid-range structure. The pair is now approaching the Buyer Zone around 1.15500–1.15600, which aligns with both the local support area and previous Range accumulation. This zone has historically served as a strong reaction level, where short-term bullish corrections often began. As long as EURUSD remains below the descending channel’s resistance and fails to break above the Seller Zone, the bearish structure remains intact. A continuation toward TP1: 1.15600 is the most likely scenario in the short term, especially if sellers maintain momentum below the 1.16200 area. A clean break below the Buyer Zone could open the door for a deeper decline toward the Support Line at the bottom of the channel. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.16600 Resistance Level would invalidate the current bearish view and potentially shift the trend toward recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GRAB 1D - picking phones off the market floor again?GRAB pulled back exactly into the 4.90–5.10 buy-zone, where the wedge retest aligns with the MA200 - a major technical cluster that previously launched strong impulses. Oscillators show deep oversold conditions, candles print buyer tails, and the first resistance sits at 5.35, matching the 0.618 retracement. A breakout above 5.35 opens the path toward 8.65 (1.618), and a move above 6.80 could initiate a larger rally toward 11.92 based on the 2.618 extension.
Company: Grab Holdings is Southeast Asia’s largest super-app platform, combining ride-hailing, food delivery, fintech, payments, and micro-lending across Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Fundamentally , as of November 19, GRAB continues to strengthen: gross profit and GMV grow, operational efficiency improves, and both ride-hailing and delivery segments have reached sustainable profitability. Fintech is expanding at double-digit rates, margins improve as subsidies are reduced, and operating losses continue to shrink. Cash flow strengthens, the path to full profitability is visible, and the overall digital-services boom across Southeast Asia remains a long-term driver for growth. Competition cooled, monetization improved - exactly то environment the company needed.
Technically , the bullish scenario holds as long as price stays above 4.90–5.10. A breakout above 5.35 activates the 8.65 target, and the major upside - 11.92 - becomes realistic once price gets above 6.80. A drop below 4.80 complicates the picture, but current structure still looks like a controlled reset rather than a trend break.
Grab acting like usual: discounts first, acceleration later - Southeast Asia likes this script.
NEO: the market wakes up and hints at a bullish reversalNeoGenomics is breaking out of a mid-term descending wedge while forming a clear trend reversal structure with higher lows and steady support above key Fibonacci retracement levels. The 10.00–10.80 area acts as a consolidation range before a potential continuation of the upward move.
The price has already broken the descending trendline, retested it, and is now holding above the 0.705 Fibonacci zone. EMA 20/50/100 are shifting toward a bullish alignment, confirming renewed buying pressure. Volume is increasing — a classic behavior after a prolonged decline. If the structure holds, the next bullish impulse may form right after breaking the 10.80 resistance.
Fundamentally, NeoGenomics is recovering after a sector-wide selloff in biotech. The company continues to strengthen revenue growth, improve its diagnostics portfolio, and reduce financial pressure — factors that often precede medium-term trend reversals in this sector.
Tactical plan: consider long positions after a confirmed breakout above 10.80. Targets: 15.00 (primary supply zone) and 19.20 as an extended target at the upper boundary of the previous long-term structure. Invalidation: breakdown below 9.00.
If the bullish impulse confirms, the move to 15 and beyond may unfold much faster than the market currently expects.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 19, 2025 USDJPYEvent to watch today:
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes
USDJPY:
Risk-off conditions have revived interest in the yen: amid equity weakness and uncertainty around the timing of U.S. data releases, market participants are trimming dollar long positions versus JPY.
Japan-related signals add to the picture: the long end of the JGB curve is edging higher, bringing attention to inflation persistence and authorities’ readiness to react to excessive FX volatility. Cautious remarks from the finance ministry keep markets from setting fresh USD/JPY highs.
If headlines maintain a wary tone and expectations for a December Fed rate cut persist, the pair can retreat below 155 on safe-haven demand and the threat of verbal intervention.
Trade recommendation: SELL 155.500, SL 156.500, TP 154.500
GBP/CAD - Triangle Breakout (17.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview
GBP/CAD has broken below a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bearish continuation after repeated rejections from the upper trendline. The pair is now trading under the breakout level, with sellers showing strong control. If bearish momentum continues, the next support zones become key targets.
📊 Trading Plan 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Look for a clean breakdown retest and rejection for confirmation
Bearish continuation expected toward the support areas below
🎯 Targets:
1st Support: 1.8335
2nd Support: 1.8287
⚡ Fundamental Outlook — Today (17 Nov 2025)
GBP Sentiment – The Pound remains under pressure as markets expect the Bank of England to stay cautious, given ongoing inflation uncertainty and slowing economic data.
CAD Sentiment – The Canadian dollar stays supported by stable Bank of Canada policy and improving expectations around the energy sector.
– Rising US bond yields indirectly support CAD’s strength through its correlation with risk-on flows.
➡️ Overall: Fundamentals align with the bearish bias on GBP/CAD.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not intended as financial advice.
Always wait for confirmation and follow your risk management rules.
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Risk Management for Automated SystemsAutomation gives you speed, consistency, and emotionless execution, but it also has a dark side.
A bot can follow rules perfectly, but if the rules are risky, it will amplify the danger with mechanical precision.
That’s why risk management is the backbone of every successful automated strategy.
It doesn’t matter how good your code is — without proper risk control, even the smartest system can fail fast.
Below are five core pillars of risk management that every trader should build into their automation framework.
1. Know Your Maximum Drawdown
Every trading system, even the best one, goes through losing streaks.
What matters isn’t avoiding them, but controlling how deep they cut.
Setting a maximum drawdown limit defines the exact point where your bot pauses or shuts down.
Whether it’s 5%, 10%, or 20%, this boundary protects your capital and your mindset.
Why it matters:
Prevents “death spirals” during high volatility
Stops the system if market conditions change
Forces you to step back and evaluate logic
Protects the account from black swan trends
A bot that can’t stop itself, is a bot that will eventually blow up.
A bot that knows when to stop, survives.
2. Position Sizing Is Everything
You can have the best entry logic in the world, but if your position sizes are inconsistent or too large, the system becomes unstable.
Smart position sizing adapts to:
Account balance
Market volatility
Asset liquidity
A fixed-percentage model, such as risking 1–2% per trade, keeps performance steady even during rough periods.
It also allows your system to grow naturally without taking oversized risks.
Think of sizing as the volume knob of your bot — turn it too high, and you distort everything.
3. Avoid Correlated Exposure
Running several bots doesn’t automatically mean you are diversified.
Many traders make the mistake of running multiple strategies that all rely on the same market behavior.
For example:
Three momentum bots on BTC, ETH, and SOL are still highly correlated
Two trend systems may fail at the same time if the market suddenly ranges
Several “dip-buying” strategies will all get hit hard during a crash
True diversification means mixing:
Uncorrelated assets
Different signal types
Varying timeframes
Both trend and mean-reversion logic
The goal is for your bots to perform differently, not identically.
4. Review Your System’s Risk Profile
Markets change, and so should your risk model.
Volatility increases and decreases, spreads widen, volume dries up, and certain assets become more unpredictable.
Regular reviews ensure your system stays aligned with real conditions.
What to check:
Has drawdown increased over the last quarter?
Are trades becoming larger than planned due to volatility shifts?
Has your system entered a new market phase it wasn’t designed for?
Are win rates or profit factor weakening?
A quarterly or monthly audit reveals issues before they explode.
Risk management isn’t a one-time setup — it’s a continuous process.
A strategy tester can be very good tool to help you manage risk properly and evaluate risk.
Here is an example from one of our strategies.
5. Let Risk Management Be Automated Too
If your entries are automated but your risk controls aren’t, you’re only half-protected.
Risk management logic you can automate:
Stop-loss placement
Progressive stop tightening
Position scaling
Reducing size after a losing streak
Pausing after reaching a daily or weekly limit
Complete shutdown at max drawdown
This turns your bot into a self-regulating system that responds to both opportunity and danger.
The more risk rules you automate, the less emotional interference you’ll face — and the more consistent your results become.
BTCUSD Long: Short-Term Correction Eyes $97,500 ResistanceHello traders! BTCUSD continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a broader bearish structure while forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. Throughout the move, the price has created multiple pivot points along both the upper and lower channel boundaries, confirming the strength of this trend. Inside the channel, Bitcoin developed two notable range phases, each reflecting temporary consolidation before continuing downward. A key formation on the chart is the Rounding Top Pattern, which developed near the mid-channel area. This structure signaled weakening bullish pressure and preceded a sharp decline back toward the channel’s lower boundary. After the breakdown, BTC attempted a small recovery, but price failed at the Supply Zone, creating a rejection that aligned with a bearish breakout confirmation.
Currently, the price is approaching the $97,500 short-term target, which sits close to the lower edge of the Supply Zone. This level has acted as a significant reaction area several times, and the market may retest it before deciding the next direction. As long as BTC trades within the descending channel, the broader trend remains bearish, but short-term corrective moves to the upside are possible due to the strong reaction from demand.
My scenario as long as BTCUSD holds above the Demand Zone ($94,000–$94,500) and shows continued strength, a corrective move toward $97,500 remains likely. This level represents the nearest resistance and aligns with previous supply reactions. A clean breakout above $97,500 would open the way for a deeper correction toward the channel’s mid-line or even the upper boundary. However, if price gets rejected at the supply zone again, sellers may regain control and attempt another push back toward the demand area. A confirmed break below the Demand Zone would invalidate the bullish recovery setup and could trigger continuation of the broader downtrend. For now, the structure supports short-term bullish correction, but overall trend remains bearish until the descending channel is broken. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: Buyers Aiming for a Move Toward 99,000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSD has recently completed a strong downward phase inside a well-defined Downward Channel, where price continuously formed lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the Support Zone around $94,500–$95,200, buyers stepped in and created a fake breakout, followed by a quick recovery — a sign of weakening seller pressure. Following this rebound, Bitcoin formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential bullish reversal. Price has now broken above the Triangle Resistance Line, signaling the first structural shift from bearish to bullish.
Currently, BTCUSD is consolidating just above the $95,500–$96,000 support zone, which now acts as a retest area for the breakout. As long as BTC stays above the Triangle Support Line, bullish momentum remains intact, and the market structure favors further upward movement. The nearest target for buyers is the $99,000 Resistance Zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area. A successful breakout above $99,000 would confirm bullish continuation and open the way toward higher resistance levels. If price fails to hold above support, a short-term pullback toward the lower triangle boundary may occur before buyers try to regain control.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect BTCUSD to maintain its bullish bias as long as price trades above the Triangle Support Line and the key support zone. Potential long entries remain valid on retests of the $95,500–$96,000 area, with a primary target at the $99,000 Resistance Zone (TP1).
A confirmed breakout above $99,000 would strengthen bullish momentum and open the next leg upward. However, a breakdown below the triangle structure may lead to a deeper correction toward $94,500. For now, sentiment remains bullish, and Bitcoin appears ready for a continued recovery within the new reversal structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
RESOLV Hello my friends 😍
Is the end of the bullish trend of the RESOLV cryptocurrency near? 🤔
The RESOLV cryptocurrency seems to have reached the end of the uptrend and should change direction soon
⚠️ The question is, should I enter a short position at this point?
💁♂️ Absolutely not!
🤔 When should we enter a trade?
💁♂️ When we see a logical structure with a trigger in this area
⚠️ If I don't see a structure and a trigger in this area, I won't enter a trade
The analysis targets will be the lower orange areas
⚠️The analysis may not reach the final target, so at each target, if you make a good profit and see signs of a trend change, you can exit the trade or manage your capital.
⚠️ None of the analysis is a recommendation to buy or sell, but simply my personal opinions on the charts. You can use the charts and choose any that interest you and take a position if you wish.
To support me, I would appreciate it if you boost the analysis and share it with your friends so that I can analyze it with more energy for you, my dears. Thank you all. ❤️
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 18, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBPUSD pair is holding near 1.31500–1.31600, as the dollar is supported by cautious market sentiment ahead of upcoming US data and by revised expectations for a Fed rate cut. Any strong figures on employment or inflation in the US strengthen the case for keeping rates high for longer and limit the upside potential for the pound.
On the UK side, pressure comes from weak growth and signs of a cooling labor market. Recent GDP figures confirmed only modest expansion, while labor market reports indicate slower job creation, which increases the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut next year.
Additional pressure on the pound comes from the high sensitivity of households and businesses to borrowing costs and from uncertainty around fiscal policy. Against the backdrop of a strong dollar and growing expectations of a softer stance from the Bank of England, fundamental factors tilt the balance in favor of further GBPUSD downside, which supports short positions from around 1.31550 with a target near 1.30550.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.31550, SL 1.32050, TP 1.30550






















