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XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support). We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation. 🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals) Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick). Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14 Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest. 🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support) Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93. Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49 Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven. 🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish. 🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size) Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660. Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624. ✅ Break Confirmation Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626. ❌ Invalidation Breakout closes back inside the box (trap). Multiple wicks with no continuation. 📌 Bottom Line Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666. Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621. Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
ES (SPX) - Analyses - Key zones - Trade Setups for Tue, Sep 16Bias: BUY DIPS into 6653–6643. Continuation long on 15m acceptance ≥ 6722–6726 with a 5m hold. Counter-trend short only on a clean 15m rejection at 6722–6726 (2.0R gate). Why bullish bias (even with short fade allowed) So, here’s why I’m leaning bullish (but I’m cool with a short fade now and then): First off, when you check out the higher time frame (HTF), the trend is up. It’s usually a better bet to buy when prices dip rather than trying to call the top. Then there's the risk situation: if we look at support around 6638–6643 and resistance levels at 6678/6700, we can set up for a nice 2R–3R trade with tight stops based on the 15-minute chart. As for shorts, we’re going against the trend here. The only reason to short would be if we hit major resistance around 6722–6726. But if we don’t see a proper rejection, I’m not going to push it—I’ll just stick to going long. Setups: Long — Dip Buy (primary) • Zone: 6653–6658 (Support-Initial) → 6638–6643 (Support-Next). • Trigger: 15m reclaims support (body back above) → 5m re-close up with HL → 1m HL entry. • SL: under the 15m trigger-low −0.25/−0.50. • TPs: 6678–6683 → 6700–6706 (then trail only after TP2). Tomorrow’s key U.S. events (ET) • Retail Sales & Core Retail Sales — 8:30 (consumer pulse; can move index futures). • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization — 9:15. • NAHB Housing Market Index — 10:00. • Import/Export Price Indexes — 8:30. • Treasury bill auctions (4- & 8-week; supply headline). • FOMC (two-day) begins Tue; decision & SEP/dot plot Wed. • Monthlies/OPEX: Fri Sep 19 (flows can affect tape later in week). Long — Acceptance Continuation (secondary) • Flip condition: 15m full-body ≥ 6722–6726 and 5m holds ≥ 6720–6722. • Entry: 6721–6723 HL retest. • SL: under the 15m trigger-low −0.25/−0.50. • TPs: 6760–6765 → 6804–6808. Short — Rejection Fade (counter-trend, extremes only) • Zone: Resistance — Major 6722–6726 (or 6700–6706 if Major remains untagged). • Trigger: 15m sweep & body back inside → 5m LH re-close → 1m fail/reclaim sell. • SL: 15m sweep-high +0.50. • TPs: 6678–6683 → 6653–6658 → 6638–6643.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Holding above 3,675 favors bullish continuation1. Key Levels Resistance zone: 3,675 – 3,685 (blue box). Price is consolidating right around this area. Support zone: 3,630 – 3,640 (red box below). This is the key downside level if the breakout fails. 2. Current Price Action Price had a strong bullish impulse pushing above 3,675 but is now stalling and retesting this resistance zone. The zig-zag lines you drew highlight two potential paths: 🔺 Red arrow (bullish): Break above 3,685 → continuation to 3,700 – 3,710. 🔻 Blue arrow (bearish): Rejection from this zone → drop back towards 3,640 support. 3. Trading Scenarios Bullish Case If gold holds above 3,675 and breaks 3,685 with momentum, buyers could target 3,700 – 3,710 first. Above that, 3,720+ becomes the next resistance zone. Bearish Case If gold fails to stay above 3,675 and breaks back below → expect a deeper retracement towards 3,640. If 3,640 fails, the next strong support is 3,620 – 3,630. 4. Summary The market is at a decision point. Holding above 3,675 favors bullish continuation, while losing this level favors a pullback correction. Traders should watch for a clean breakout or rejection at this zone before entering.
TVC:GOLD
by AstronautPioneer
near target is 3,700 – 3,720.1. Main Trend The chart is currently in a short-term uptrend, shown by the rising channel (red parallel trendlines). Price has bounced multiple times from the lower trendline → confirming that buyers remain in control. 2. Support & Resistance Zones Nearest Resistance: 3,675 – 3,685 (blue zone). This level has been tested multiple times and price is now trading around it. Key Support: around 3,640 (lower trendline). Further below, the strong support is at 3,520 – 3,540 (red box). 3. Current Signals Price has just broken out above the 3,675 – 3,685 resistance zone, and is now pulling back for a retest. If price holds above 3,675 → the bullish trend will be reinforced. The chart also has an upward arrow drawn → indicating expectation of a move towards 3,700. 4. Scenarios Ahead Bullish Scenario (priority): If price holds above 3,675 – 3,685 and bounces up, the next target is 3,700 – 3,720. A break above 3,720 could extend the rally towards 3,750 – 3,770. Bearish/Correction Scenario: If price fails to hold 3,675 and breaks lower → it may retest the rising trendline around 3,640. If the trendline also breaks, there is risk of a drop towards the strong support at 3,520 – 3,540. 5. Conclusion The overall trend is still bullish. The key level to watch: 3,675 – 3,685 (retest zone). Trading Strategy: Prefer long positions if price holds above 3,675, with stop-loss below the trendline. Target 3,700 – 3,720. Conversely, if 3,675 and the trendline fail, wait for lower supports.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
CHFJPY: Trend ContinuationAfter a pullback throughout August, it seems like this pair is gaining its momentum back. Here are my observations over on different timeframes. Daily Timeframe: EMA20 is above EMA60, which signals there's an overall uptrend Price also pulled back and stayed above the DTL, indicating that this breakout is successful H1 Timeframe: Price crosses above the DTL, which is another indication that trend confluence is resuming EMA20 being above EMA60 and diverging is giving indications that momentum is likely picking up
Long
by FinancialGamblR
USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (15.09.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. TRADENATION:USDCAD This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3814 2nd Support – 1.3796 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
60
CADCHF: Trend ContinuationCADCHF continues to remain bearish as it holds below the key level on the daily timeframe. Here's a summary of my key observations over on the daily and intraday timeframes. Daily Timeframe: Price broke the key support level in early September After some sideways price action, price is currently making a bearish bar that engulfs the prior day's doji H1 Timeframe: Price broke through the ATL, which shows confluence with the downtrend EMA20 is also below EMA60, moving further apart to signal momentum is picking up Price is also below EMA20, which signals confluence with downtrend as well
Short
by FinancialGamblR
GBP/USD Full Analysis: Can W e Break Through This Resistance!Price has been moving around a very strong area of resistance and as shown on the on the chart u will see multiple wicks trying to push through this res and failed completely. my prediction for this pair is that USD on the index is struggling to move to the upside and the maid direction is down, also if we combine fundamentals too i believe strongly that USD will continue melting. for GBP/USD pair i will wait for a daily candle stcik closure above this area of resistance. if i get this then entering a buy trade will be the best and low risk setup
Long
by Forex_Wealth_Factory
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1) 1. Overall Trend Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines. After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact. 2. Key Support & Resistance Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern. Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid. Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength. 3. Chart Pattern Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern. If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD. 4. Trading Scenarios Bullish (preferred): Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680. Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD. Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline. Bearish (alternative): If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible. This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction. 👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 15, 2025 USDJPYThe pair trades around 147.4. Last week the yen firmed after political headlines from Tokyo: the prime minister’s resignation increased uncertainty and supported safe-haven demand for JPY. At the same time, US yields pulled back on softer labor data and a mild PPI, narrowing the rate differential in the dollar’s favor. On Japan’s side, debate has revived about further BoJ normalization as wages rise and inflation stabilizes. Even if the BoJ leaves settings unchanged at the next meeting, the risk balance is shifting from one-sidedly dovish toward more neutral, which limits USD/JPY upside as a Fed cut appears likely. The combination of a prospective Fed cut on Wednesday and elevated political noise in Japan makes further downside drift plausible. We prefer selling at 147.500 with a 146.000 target and a 148.500 stop. A “hawkish” Fed reaction and/or an ultra-cautious BoJ could push the pair back toward 148+. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 148.500, TP 146.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC: What to expect on Monday?BTC: What to expect on Monday? Sunday is the perfect time to sync up with the market while most people are resting. Historically, Monday sets the tone for the entire week, often bringing increased volatility after the CME futures open. Currently, we can see the price of BTC on the 1-hour chart moving neatly within an ascending channel, gathering strength before the next impulse. This is the calm before the storm. Fundamentally, everyone is awaiting this week's US Federal Reserve meeting, where there is a high probability of a rate cut. This could weaken the dollar and provide a powerful boost to risk assets, including Bitcoin. Technically, we have run into a key resistance zone of $117,200 - $117,500. It is here that the short-term fate of the trend is being decided. A breakout above this level will open the way up for us. My plan is simple: I am not entering a position right now, but rather waiting for confirmation. I need a confident breakout and for the price to hold above $117,500. If that happens, my first target will be the $119,000 area.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by formula_capital
fed press confrencehere to share an idea and show a road , on 17th the press is gonna decide where the markets will be going towards and probably on the next monday im expecting to see another gap on the CME chart which the market will tend to fill it where when how i dont know but based on my experience and expectation there will be another cme gap created in the upcoming weeks , certainly saying and claiming that the BTC price will get pumped or dumped is not really a professional way to look at the markets im expecting to see a 135k to 160k btc on new years eve but these again are just expectations. thank you for reading this if it was helpful leave your impression that would help my account to reach more people and help them to understand the markets better
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Sinadarvishzadeh
XAUUSD: Rully Will Continue in ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the price of Gold has been in a strong and sustained uptrend for some time. This entire bullish phase has been neatly contained within a well-defined Upward Channel, which has been guiding the price through a series of higher highs and higher lows, establishing a clear bullish market structure. Currently, the price is trading in the upper half of this channel, consolidating after its most recent push higher. The momentum appears to be pausing, which is a normal and healthy sign in a sustained trend. This pause often precedes a brief corrective move before the next leg higher. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is based on the expectation that this dominant uptrend will continue to be respected. I am looking for the price to make a small corrective dip from its current position. Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce as a potential entry to rejoin the trend. A confirmed rebound would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the next impulsive wave higher is 3710 points, aiming for a new high within the channel's structure. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
1
BTCUSD Short: A Corrective Decline is AnticipatedHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been clearly defined by a large ascending channel. This bullish structure has guided the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the demand zone 2 at the 110000 level acting as a major foundational low. The initiative has remained firmly with the buyers throughout this trend. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, having reached the upper supply line of the ascending channel. This test of the highs comes after a sustained rally, and the market is now in a key area where selling pressure is expected to emerge. This price action could indicate a phase of trend exhaustion. The primary scenario anticipates a short-term corrective move from these highs. The expectation is that after a potential final push higher, the price will be rejected from the channel's resistance. A confirmed reversal would signal a temporary shift in control to sellers. The take-profit for this corrective play is therefore set at the 113400 level, targeting the major horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heniitrading
6
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Key Level (Pivot): 3630 If price holds above 3630, bullish momentum may extend towards: 🎯 First target: 3656 (resistance) 🎯 If 3656 breaks strongly → continuation towards: 🎯 Second target: 3675 🎯 Third target: 3697 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If price fails and sustains below 3630, bearish move may develop towards: 🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone) 🎯 If 3595 breaks decisively → continuation towards: 🎯 Second target: 3546 📌 Summary: 3630 = decision zone 3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets 3595, 3546 = downside targets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 12, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound is trading near 1.35500 amid a weak dollar and expectations that the Bank of England will keep rates unchanged on September 18. The market highly values the likelihood of a pause, as wage growth and persistent “hard core” service inflation are keeping the regulator from easing anytime soon. This supports the interest rate differential in favor of the GBP against the dollar in the coming weeks. The US, in turn, is providing additional tailwinds through growing signs of a weakening labor market and easing inflationary pressures in segments relevant to PCE. Risk appetite remains strong, which is combined with investor caution towards the long dollar ahead of the Fed meeting. Political and fiscal risks exist in the UK, but in the short term, they are secondary to the monetary agenda. Based on the fundamental balance, the base scenario is to buy with careful money management: BUY 1.35550, SL 1.35150 (below the nearest macro news “risk threshold”), TP 1.36250 — provided that the Fed/BoE rhetoric remains moderately dovish and there are no surprises on inflation. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35550, SL 1.35150, TP 1.36250
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around1. Main Trend Gold remains in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. The rising channel (red trendlines) is still intact, though price is now testing a strong resistance zone. 2. Resistance Zone & Upside Target Key resistance area: 3,650 – 3,670 USD/oz (blue box on the chart). If price breaks clearly above 3,670, the next target will likely be 3,700 – 3,720 (psychological level and Fibonacci extension zone). 3. Pullback Scenario If price fails to break resistance, a pullback may occur toward Fibonacci retracement levels: Fib 0.786 ≈ 3,574 USD (nearest support). Fib 0.618 ≈ 3,509 USD (major support, aligning with previous demand zone – red box). Fib 0.5 ≈ 3,463 USD (intermediate support). The 3,500 – 3,510 USD zone is a critical support area; if broken, a deeper correction could unfold. 4. Technical Signals Price is forming a small triangle/pennant pattern right at resistance → suggesting a strong breakout is likely soon. RSI/Momentum (not shown here but typically at these levels) may be in overbought territory, increasing the chance of a short-term correction before resuming higher. 5. Trading Scenarios Bullish case (preferred): Buy if price breaks above 3,670 with confirmation, target around 3,700 – 3,720. Bearish case: If price gets rejected at resistance and breaks below the rising trendline, short-term selling may target 3,574 – 3,510. 📌 Summary: The main trend remains bullish, but the 3,650 – 3,670 zone is the decision point. A confirmed breakout → 3,700+. Failure to hold → correction toward 3,574 or deeper to 3,510.
TVC:GOLD
by AstronautPioneer
If gold stays above 3,585 and breaks 3,680, it could target 3,70 External News Factors Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, which continues to drive safe-haven inflows. Additionally, geopolitical tensions (Russia–Ukraine, Middle East) and concerns over the U.S. debt crisis (interest payments surpassing $1.1 trillion, fiscal deficit nearing $2 trillion) further strengthen gold’s bullish momentum. The U.S. dollar is showing slight weakness, adding more fuel to gold’s upside. Overall Trend Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend, clearly shown by the steep rally from the support area around ~3,420 USD. Price has already broken through several key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now testing the upper resistance zone (~3,650 – 3,680 USD). Key Support and Resistance Main Resistance: 3,650 – 3,681 USD (red zone on the chart). This is a strong supply zone where price is consolidating. Nearest Support: Around 3,585 – 3,517 USD (Fibo 0.786 and 0.618 levels). Major Support: 3,420 USD (aligned with Fibo 0.382 and the previous consolidation area marked “SUPPORT”). Price Pattern Within the resistance zone, price is showing signs of forming a triangle/sideways accumulation pattern. A breakout to the upside could confirm a continuation pattern (trend continuation). Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario (preferred): If gold holds above 3,585 and breaks through 3,680, the next target would be the psychological level of 3,700 – 3,720 USD. Bearish/Correction Scenario: If price fails to hold 3,585, it could retrace deeper to 3,517 or even 3,420 before buyers step in again. 👉 In summary: The main trend remains bullish. Gold needs to consolidate and decisively break above 3,680 to aim for 3,700+. If it fails, a pullback towards 3,585 – 3,517 is likely before another buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Key level: 3612 If the price holds above 3612, the bullish momentum is likely to continue towards: 🎯 First target: 3656 🎯 Second target: 3675 🎯 Third target: 3697 (if 3656 breaks strongly) 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks and sustains below 3612, the downside move may extend towards: 🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone) 🎯 If this level breaks and price sustains below ➝ further decline towards: 🎯 Second target: 3546 📌 Summary: 3612 = key decision level 3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets 3595, 3546 = downside targets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? $144 Target in Play? Itron (ITRI) shares are trading at $118.29 today, down 0.40% from yesterday's close but up 2.5% over the past week amid broader market gains following S&P 500 and Nasdaq record highs. As a leader in smart metering and utility analytics, Itron reported record Q2 2025 profitability and raised its full-year earnings guidance, even as revenue expectations were trimmed slightly due to supply chain hiccups. With analysts pegging a $144.40 one-year target—implying 22% upside—and the stock flagged as one of September's top undervalued picks, is ITRI poised for a breakout on IoT and energy transition tailwinds, or will sector rotation and macro jitters weigh it down? Let's dissect the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and setups for September 11, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Itron's growth is anchored in the booming demand for smart grid solutions, with Q2 2025 delivering EPS of $1.12 (beating estimates) and margins hitting all-time highs at 11.05%. Analysts forecast 2025 EPS of $6.45 on $2.5B revenue, up 10% YoY, fueled by utility digitization and partnerships in renewables. However, softer demand in some segments and persistent supply issues could pressure short-term execution if inflation lingers. - **Positive:** - Raised 2025 earnings guidance signals operational strength; strong backlog in smart metering amid global energy upgrades. - Institutional buying and ETF inflows in industrials highlight undervaluation at 18.35 forward P/E versus sector average of 22x. - Broader trends like AI-driven grid management and ESG mandates position Itron for 15%+ annual growth. - **Negative:** - Revenue trim in guidance reflects supply chain vulnerabilities and delayed projects. - Economic uncertainties, including potential tariff escalations, could slow utility capex if rate cuts stall. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Dominant market position in smart metering with a 20%+ share in North America; robust R&D pipeline yielding high-margin IoT innovations and recurring software revenue. **Weaknesses:** Heavy reliance on cyclical utility spending exposes earnings to economic downturns; elevated debt levels at 0.8x EBITDA limit flexibility amid rising rates. **Opportunities:** Expansion into emerging markets like Asia-Pacific for grid modernization; integration of advanced analytics and AI for $11.9B global utility market by 2025 end. **Threats:** Intensifying cybersecurity risks in connected devices; fierce competition from Siemens and Schneider, plus regulatory shifts in energy policies. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, ITRI is forming a bullish ascending triangle after rebounding from $115 support, with volume rising on the upside amid the broader tech rally. This follows a 3.68% monthly dip, now stabilizing near key EMAs as September forecasts eye a range of $108–$120. Current price: $118.29, with VWAP at $117.80 offering intraday balance. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 52, neutral but climbing from oversold—bullish if it sustains above 55. 📈 - **MACD:** Histogram ticking positive with lines converging for a potential crossover, signaling emerging momentum. ⚠️ - **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($116.50) but testing the 50-day SMA ($119)—a hold here maintains the uptrend. Support/Resistance: Solid support at $115 (recent low and 200-day EMA), resistance at $120 (September high). Patterns/Momentum: Triangle apex approaching; breakout above $120 targets $130. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows and analyst upgrades. 🔴 Bearish risks: Bearish MA trend could drag to $108 on sector weakness. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Clear $120 on strong earnings momentum or soft CPI data targets $130 short-term, then $144 by year-end. Buy dips to $115 for value entries. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $115 eyes $108 (monthly low); broader tech correction could trigger 10% pullback. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $115–$120 if data mixed, suitable for covered calls or waiting for Q3 catalysts. Risk Tips: Set stops 2% below support ($112.70) to curb downside. Risk 1-2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with peers like SEDG or broader industrials to dodge utility-specific traps. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if ITRI holds $115 and guidance beats continue, cementing its undervalued status with 20%+ upside on smart grid demand. But watch Q3 earnings and Fed minutes for confirmation—this echoes September's value rotation in tech amid record highs. What’s your take? Bullish on Itron's rebound or sidelining for now? Share in the comments!
NASDAQ:ITRI
by DCAChampion