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AUD/JPY - Channel Pattern (05.09.2025) The AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 97.26 2nd Resistance – 97.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
This week’s main event: Non-Farm Payrolls – Friday at 15:30!This Friday, September 5, 2025 at 15:30 EET , the U.S. Department of Labor will release one of the most anticipated macroeconomic reports — the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) . This release could confirm whether hopes for a near-term Fed policy shift are justified — the very hopes that helped U.S. equities climb to historic highs in late August. Markets see this report as a checkpoint for both the ongoing rally and rate expectations. NFP and the markets: 3 possible scenarios Strong report: If job creation exceeds expectations, unemployment falls, and wages accelerate — markets may believe the Fed will stay cautious on cutting rates. Typically, this boosts the dollar and bond yields, while growth stocks and tech underperform. More traditional sectors like banking, industry, and energy tend to hold up better. Gold and crypto often dip under pressure from a stronger USD and rising yields. Weak report: If job gains disappoint, unemployment rises, and wage growth slows — this strengthens the case for a faster Fed pivot. In this case, the dollar usually softens, yields fall, and growth stocks, gold, and major crypto (BTC/ETH) gain on expectations of lower rates. Neutral report: If numbers align closely with forecasts and there’s no big surprise, markets may remain range-bound. Initial reactions fade quickly, and focus shifts to the details — such as wage data and revisions to past reports. Price action often becomes choppy and short-lived until the next key catalyst. The September 5 NFP release is a crossroads moment before the Fed’s September 16–17 meeting. Volatility is almost guaranteed, and the market’s reaction will depend on the combination of headline jobs number, unemployment rate, wage growth, and revisions. According to FreshForex , this setup offers tactical trade setups across forex, metals, and crypto pairs.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/CAD - Bullish Pennant (04.09.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Pennant Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3835 2nd Resistance – 1.3853 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
50
XAUUSD Long: Upward Trend ContinuesHello, traders! The prior market structure for XAUUSD was dominated by a large consolidation wedge pattern. This period of balance was resolved with a decisive bullish breakout, which was subsequently confirmed by a retest of the 3440 demand zone. This successful test of former resistance as new support confirmed a structural shift in control to the buyers and initiated the current bullish phase. Currently, the price has entered an acceleration phase. Following the breakout, a strong, impulsive rally has developed, which is now being guided by a steep ascending trend line. This indicates that the bullish initiative is in full control and the market is in a clear expansion phase, having left the prior consolidation area behind. The primary scenario anticipates a continuation of this bullish momentum. Any minor corrective pullback towards the ascending trend line is expected to be met with renewed buying pressure, providing an opportunity to join the trend. A successful hold of this dynamic support would be the trigger for the next leg higher. The take-profit for this trend continuation is therefore set at 3600 points. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 04, 2025 GBPUSDOn Thursday, during the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair fell to around 1.3430. The pound sterling (GBP) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid concerns about the UK's financial situation. UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves said on Wednesday that she would present the annual budget on November 26, insisting that the economy is not “broken” and that she would control spending to help reduce inflation and borrowing costs. However, concerns about the UK's ability to control its finances are weighing on sentiment and dragging the pound down against the US dollar. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the number of job openings on the last working day of July was 7.181 million. This figure followed 7.357 million (revised from 7.437 million) job openings recorded in June and was below the market consensus of 7.4 million. The weakening of the UK labor market, announced on Wednesday, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates this month. This, in turn, could undermine the dollar and help limit losses for the major currency pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3400, SL 1.3450, TP 1.3300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURJPY: FakeoutEURJPY is currently undergoing an interesting transition. While the EMAs indicate that this pair is in an uptrend (where EMA20 is above EMA60), there's early indication that we might be seeing a downtrend soon. Daily Timeframe: Price attempted to cross above the daily level, but it failed to close above it. It's also a lower high after a strong run-up, which indicates to me that the upside momentum might be exhausting. H1 Timeframe: We see an intraday double top formation, which indicates that price is having a hard time pushing higher. Price also crossed below the intraday neckline. While it tried to pull back above the intraday neckline, it quickly reverted below, indicating quite a bit of selling pressure.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
#ARBITRUM #ARBUSDT #LONG #Eddy#ARBITRUM #ARBUSDT #LONG #Eddy ARBUSDT.P SWING Long Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for swing are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing Setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. By scratching the price and time bar, you can see the big picture of targets. Buy Position "LONG" Spot & Future Details : Entry : 0.4900 Stop : 0.4665 (( 4.80% )) "You can enter with a small stop by getting approval." Target 1 : 0.5145 "5%" Target 2 : 0.5390 "10%" Target 3 : 0.5635 "15%" Target 4 : 0.5880 "20%" Target 5 : 0.6125 "25%" Target 6 : 0.6370 "30%" Be successful and profitable.
Long
by Eddy_Trade_
2
EURAUD: Ascending Trendline BreakThis is a counter-trend trade as I see exhaustion on the daily timeframe. Daily Timeframe: I plotted an ascending trendline on the daily timeframe. Price attempted to push to a new high on August 20th, but failed to hold. That was the first indication that the uptrend might be over. The signal occurred when price crossed below the ascending trendline. Currently, the daily bar is active. If the current bar manages to close below the ascending trendline and tomorrow's daily bar does the same, it's safe to say that we can expect further downside. H4 Timeframe The bearish signal is also supported on the 4-hour timeframe. In the intraday timeframe, price made a "double top" indicating that it's not able to push higher to the upside. I'm anticipating that momentum will build up throughout the rest of the day and into tomorrow as well.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 03, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure as demand for the US dollar as a “safe haven” rises amid higher long-end Treasury yields and a broader risk-off tone. Today during Asian trading, the pair fluctuates around 1.16300–1.16500. Dollar inflows are supported by concerns over fiscal sustainability in advanced economies and a steeper US yield curve, which dampen risk appetite and reduce demand for the euro. From a fundamental standpoint the setup is mixed: markets still price a chance of a Fed rate cut in September, yet the actual backdrop—firmer long-dated yields and cautious commentary on the US cycle—keeps the dollar supported. In the euro area, attention stays on inflation and signs of cooling domestic demand: soft PMI components and CPI expectations limit upside for the euro, while the differential in real rates continues to favor the USD. Near-term drivers include the incoming US macro flow on employment (including advance gauges and Friday’s labor data) as well as fresh inflation pointers from the eurozone. Against this backdrop, the fundamental balance still tilts in favor of the dollar, keeping downside break risks elevated for EURUSD in case US releases surprise to the upside. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16300, SL 1.16800, TP 1.15800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC Futures – Falling Wedge Break Incoming? | 4H AnalysisBitcoin CME Futures is currently trading inside a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe. We’re sitting at a key decision point, with liquidity both above and below. Volume profile shows strong resistance, with a large high-volume node. Support has held, with a clean rejection and demand showing up. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are left above and below acting as magnet zones. This setup leaves us with two clear scenarios: Bullish Scenario 🟢 Breakout above wedge resistance Reclaim 110K as support Target 112K–118K FVG for liquidity fill If momentum holds, possible test of 120K resistance zone Bearish Scenario 🔴 Failure to break wedge resistance Breakdown under 107K support Target 97K–100K FVG as downside liquidity Deeper rejection could extend to mid-90K levels ⚠️ No trade bias until price confirms direction. Waiting for a break + retest is key here.
CME:BTC1!
by King_BennyBag
34
Bitcoin will continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The dominant market structure for Bitcoin remains bearish, with the price action being clearly contained within a well-defined downward channel since the major rejection from the 116800 Resistance Level. This structure has been guiding the asset lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rebounds, confirming that sellers are in control of the trend. The most significant recent development was the breakdown below the key horizontal support around the 109000 level. Currently, after this breakdown, the price of BTC is in a corrective phase, rallying back to retest this broken structure from below, which now acts as the current resistance level. This 109000 - 109800 resistance zone is a critical inflection point. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the failure of this retest. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the continuation of the bearish momentum and signal that the next impulsive downward fall is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this trend continuation play is logically placed at 104000 points. This target represents a new lower low within the channel and is the next major area of structural interest for the price. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
27
USD/CHF - Wedge Breakout (02.09.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8048 2nd Resistance – 0.8067 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
63
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 02, 2025 USDJPYA fundamental weakening of the dollar is observed in the USD/JPY pair against the backdrop of expectations of a Fed rate cut this autumn. Investors in the US remain cautious, awaiting the release of fresh labor market data, while risky assets in the Asian region are pushing the dollar down. The Japanese economy is showing positive dynamics - capital expenditures are growing, and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan are supporting the strengthening of the yen. At the same time, a slowdown in manufacturing activity is only partially holding back the growth of the national currency. The prevailing opinion is that the Bank of Japan may begin a cycle of monetary policy tightening before the end of the year, which increases the potential for the yen's growth against the dollar. External markets are also under pressure from unclear inflation prospects and a further decline in optimism about the US dollar. The conditions are in favor of a continued downward correction for the USD/JPY pair with the aim of updating support at the 146.150 level. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 147.700, TP 146.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY – Big Week Ahead, Watch These Zones-Dollar still stuck in a range. No need to guess, just watch the heavy levels: -96.66 = bullish liquidity zone -99.80 = bearish liquidity zone -This week is packed with heavy news: -NFP Friday – jobs report could shake markets hard -Fed credibility under fire – politics trying to pressure the central bank -Be careful with dollar pairs — market makers love stop hunts around news. Best to stay patient → let price show which zone breaks first.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
$3,500 per ounce: Gold’s next targetGold has hit a new all-time high, surging more than 35% since the start of the year. According to the World Gold Council, prices climbed 26% in the first half of 2025 , with another 5% gain expected in the second half. Meanwhile, silver (XAGUSD) broke above $41 per ounce for the first time in 14 years, while platinum (XPTUSD) and palladium (XPDUSD) also posted solid gains. The rally is largely driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut. Markets now assign an 88% probability of a 25 bps cut in September — up from just 38% a month ago . Additional momentum came from dovish comments by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who backed policy easing due to rising labor market risks. Despite core PCE inflation rising to 2.9%, investors are betting on a weaker dollar and a flight to safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions are adding to the bullish case. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are fueling demand for “safe harbors.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration is pressuring Swiss gold refiners to relocate production to the US — a demand they’ve refused. In August, Trump also announced that gold imports will remain exempt from tariffs, adding to investor interest. Analysts warn that trade wars and supply chain disruptions could further boost commodity prices. According to FreshForex analysts , gold is expected to trade between $3,300 and $3,600 in the coming months, before making a run toward the $4,000 mark . With global currencies under pressure and recession risks looming, gold continues to serve as a global barometer of trust — and a powerful hedge against uncertainty.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Is the Retracement Over?Hi Traders! GJ dipped in the 50% fib this past week, and bounced off the previous weekly OB again at 198.500. The retracement might be over, and I'm looking to enter a long swing trade. However, I'd like to see it bounce off the 4HR OB sitting at 199.500/.600 and make a return to the 4HR CHOCH around 199.000/.200 to determine my entry. If so, based on the Daily, I'd be swinging this trade to around 202 and 203. That'd also hit around a Weekly bearish OB. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Long
by thattradergirl
EURUSD: Price break resistance and continue to growHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, after exiting a prior Upward channel, the price action has entered a large consolidation phase. This has created a well-defined trading range between the major Support zone around the 1.1470 level and the key Resistance Zone up to the 1.1745 area, indicating a period of market balance. Currently, the price is coiling within a large pennant formation, a classic sign of contracting volatility before a significant move. The price is now at a critical point, testing the descending resistance line of this pennant, which also aligns with the major horizontal Resistance at the 1.1710 level. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is built on the idea that this pennant is a bullish continuation pattern, where buyers are absorbing supply before attempting the next leg higher. I'm anticipating a brief corrective dip from the current position before the main move begins. Following this, I expect buyers to take the initiative and push the price upwards, forcing a breakout above both the pennant's resistance line and the horizontal 1.1710 Resistance level. A successful break and hold above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for this breakout move is 1.1820 points, representing a logical next objective for an upward expansion. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
5
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 01, 2025 GBPUSDThe Bank of England's (BoE) cautious rate cut last month marks a significant divergence from the growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut borrowing costs at least twice before the end of this year. This, in turn, has been a key factor in the relative strength of the British pound (GBP) against the US dollar and confirms the short-term positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair. However, the moderate rise in the US dollar (USD) could be an obstacle for the currency pair. Traders are also showing indecision and prefer to wait for important US macroeconomic data, which will be released at the beginning of the new week, to confirm the next stage of the directional movement. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for the continuation of purchases before making new bets on the rise of the GBP/USD pair and positioning for further strengthening. Market participants are now awaiting the release of the final UK manufacturing PMI to gain some momentum amid low liquidity due to the US Labor Day holiday. Meanwhile, attention will remain focused on the closely watched US employment data to be released on Friday. The popular non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will play a key role in influencing the US dollar's price dynamics and the movement of the GBP/USD pair. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3555, SL 1.3485, TP 1.3665
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY Outlook – Bearish Lean, Choppy SetupDollar had a hard run the last three weeks with heavy bearish candles on the weekly. Price action has been messy, not easy to just get in and ride. My bias is still bearish, but I’m also looking at the bigger picture. On the monthly chart, key distribution sits under 94.095 and we haven’t reached it yet. Over the last two months price has been filling the bullish order block around 95.971 order block on the dollar index. If the market maker decides to move, it could go fast once the data lines up, whether in the first or second week. Right now we are sitting in a bearish volume channel lower end. Selling late is not smart because most of the move has already passed. That doesn’t mean there are no trades, but it does mean higher frequency and tighter risk until the next clear setup. From the economic side the jobs data is weak with only 73K added last month, which keeps pressure on the Fed to cut. The Fed is also seen as politicized, which hurts credibility and weighs on the dollar. Markets are already pricing a September cut and analysts are leaning bearish. At the same time inflation is still sticky near 2.9 percent while jobs are slowing, which leaves the Fed boxed in. Headline PCE is flat, not strong enough to flip hawkish and not weak enough to go fully dovish. That mix can trap the dollar between 97 and 100 until one side breaks. Best move is to keep watching the data closely before trading dollar markets. Bias stays bearish, but chop risk is high.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
GBP/USD Bullish Setup – Inverse H&S + EMA Cross | Target 1.3800📈 Technical Outlook GBP/USD has formed a reverse Head & Shoulders on the 4H chart. The EMA 50 has crossed above EMA 200 (Golden Cross), signaling bullish momentum. Key levels: Support: 1.3460 – 1.3400 Neckline breakout: 1.3580 Targets: 1.3660 → 1.3800 🏦 Fundamentals Federal Reserve: Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole shifted markets toward expecting rate cuts in September and December, weighing on the USD. Bank of England: Recently cut rates to 4.0% but remains cautious due to sticky UK inflation (~3.6%), giving GBP relative support. Institutional sentiment: Goldman Sachs, UBS, and BNP Paribas all see GBP/USD rising toward 1.38–1.40 in coming months. ⚠️ Watch Out U.S. Data Risks: This week’s U.S. GDP (Aug 28) and Core PCE (Aug 29) are key. Strong surprises could spark short-term USD strength and volatility before the bullish move resumes. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not a trading signal, only my personal idea based on technicals and fundamentals.
Long
by Aegis-Market