BANK OF MAHARASHTRA - DAILY CHART MY VIEW The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
We do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
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Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
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Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy K G
Analysis
EURUSD Breakout Confirmed: From Bearish Control to Bullish On the EURUSD H1, the market has just delivered a clean and technically meaningful breakout, marking a clear transition from a prolonged bearish phase into an early-stage bullish expansion. For several sessions, price was respecting a descending trendline, with lower highs and consistent rejection from the EMA a textbook sign of seller control. That structure has now been decisively invalidated.
The breakout is not a weak grind. Price impulsively pushed through the descending trendline, reclaimed the EMA, and continued straight into the prior supply/resistance zone around 1.1700. This sequence is critical: trendline break → EMA reclaim → expansion candle. That alignment strongly suggests this move is driven by real demand, not just short-term stop hunting.
The former resistance zone around 1.1680–1.1700 now becomes the key decision area. If price accepts above this zone and holds it as support, the bearish structure is officially broken and the market shifts into a bullish continuation framework. In that scenario, upside targets open toward 1.1740, 1.1780, and ultimately 1.1805, where higher-timeframe liquidity and previous highs reside.
From a price action perspective, the projected pullbacks shown on the chart are corrective paths, not reversal signals. Shallow retracements into reclaimed structure would likely act as re-accumulation, offering continuation opportunities rather than short setups. Only a sustained failure back below the breakout base would invalidate the bullish thesis.
EURUSD has exited bearish compression and entered a range-expansion phase. As long as price holds above the breakout zone and the EMA remains supportive, bulls control the narrative, with momentum favoring continuation toward higher liquidity targets.
Bitcoin Breakdown Complete: Accumulation or Just a BounceOn the BTCUSD H1 timeframe, price action has officially shifted into a post-breakdown environment, and the structure on this chart is very clear from a professional market-structure perspective. Bitcoin previously spent a significant amount of time rotating inside a tight accumulation/balance range around 93,000 – 93,500, with price holding above the EMA 89. However, that range was distribution, not accumulation. The decisive bearish impulse candle sliced cleanly through the range, the EMA, and prior intraday support confirming acceptance below value, not a fake break.
After the breakdown, price attempted to stabilize briefly, but sellers maintained control and forced continuation lower. This behavior tells us two things:
1. Buyers failed to defend the range, and
2. The market is now actively searching for real demand, not resting.
The current move into the 91,800 – 90,800 support zone is structurally logical. This zone aligns with a prior demand base and represents the first area where responsive buyers may step in. The green projected path on the chart reflects a technical rebound scenario, but it should be viewed strictly as a corrective reaction, not trend continuation.
As long as price remains below the broken accumulation range (~93,000), any upside move is classified as a lower-high pullback within a bearish intraday structure. A clean reclaim and acceptance back above that range would be required to shift bias bullish again. Until then, rallies are vulnerable to selling pressure.
This is not a dip-buy environment yet, it is a range failure followed by a liquidity run. If price reacts strongly from the support zone, short-term bounces are tradable. But structurally, Bitcoin remains weak below value, and patience is required to see whether this support produces real accumulation or simply fuels the next leg down.
Smart traders wait for confirmation not hope.
ETH Liquidity Sweep Complete: Accumulation or Trap On the ETHUSD H1 timeframe, the market has just completed a clean liquidity sweep below value, and the structure now transitions into a very sensitive decision zone.
Ethereum previously traded inside a high-volume liquidity range around 3,280 – 3,350, where price repeatedly stalled and failed to expand higher. The sharp bearish impulse candle slicing through this range was not random it was a distribution break, confirmed by strong momentum and a decisive loss of the EMA 89. Once price accepted below that EMA, upside continuation was structurally invalidated.
Following the breakdown, ETH rotated briefly inside a lower accumulation zone (~3,160 – 3,220). However, this was not true accumulation it was bearish acceptance, evidenced by overlapping candles, weak bounces, and failure to reclaim the EMA. The final sell-off flushed liquidity directly into the major support zone around 3,050 – 3,080, where reactive buyers are now expected to appear.
From a professional market-structure perspective, the current price action suggests sell-side liquidity has been largely cleared. This opens the door for a technical rebound, but context is critical: any bounce from this support should be treated as corrective, not trend-confirming, until price can reclaim and hold above the broken accumulation range near 3,220 – 3,240.
The projected upside path on the chart reflects a mean-reversion scenario a bounce from support, followed by a retest of prior value. If ETH fails at that retest, it would confirm the move as a classic liquidity grab + lower-high setup, increasing the probability of another downside leg. Only sustained acceptance back above the liquidity range would flip bias bullish again.
Key takeaway:
ETH is currently trading in a post-distribution environment. The dump was structural, not emotional. Support may produce a bounce, but until value is reclaimed, rallies are reactions not reversals. Smart traders now wait for confirmation at the reclaim, not at the bottom.
Vertical Breakout Into Resistance — Exhaustion or Just a Pause EURUSD has just printed a strong impulsive bullish leg, accelerating sharply out of its prior consolidation and driving straight into a higher-timeframe resistance zone around the 1.1740 area. This move was fast, clean, and largely one-directional a classic momentum-driven expansion, often seen when liquidity is swept and late buyers chase price higher. However, such vertical moves rarely sustain without a pause. When price reaches resistance in this manner, the probability of short-term exhaustion increases significantly.
🟥 Resistance Zone Reaction
Price is currently reacting directly at a clearly defined resistance zone, where previous selling pressure has emerged. The lack of consolidation below resistance and the immediate hesitation suggest that buyers may be losing momentum, rather than building acceptance above the level.
From a price action perspective:
- The move into resistance was impulsive.
- Any move away from resistance is likely to be corrective first.
This creates an environment where pullbacks and mean reversion become the dominant expectation.
🔄 Pullback & Target Logic
The projected path on the chart outlines a step-by-step corrective rotation lower, not an immediate collapse. This is important.
Key levels to watch:
- First pullback target: ~1.1660 area a prior intraday structure level where price may pause.
- Secondary take-profit zone: ~1.1620 aligns with previous consolidation and liquidity.
- Extended target: ~1.1590 — a deeper mean-reversion level and prior demand area.
These levels represent logical areas for profit-taking, not guaranteed destinations.
🧠 Scenario Breakdown
Primary scenario (Corrective pullback):
- Price rejects from resistance.
- Forms lower highs.
- Gradually rotates lower toward prior structure levels.
Invalidation scenario:
- Strong bullish acceptance above the resistance zone.
- Consolidation above 1.1740 would invalidate the short-term bearish pullback bias and reopen upside continuation.
🎯 Final Takeaway
EURUSD has completed a textbook impulsive run into resistance. At this stage, the market is no longer offering high-probability continuation longs instead, it is entering a reaction phase, where correction and profit-taking are statistically favored.
Strong moves invite reactions. Resistance is where decisions are made.
Patience and confirmation remain key. Let price show whether this level holds or fails.
ETH Is Testing Major Demand After BreakdownETH Is Testing Major Demand After Breakdown – Bounce Is Likely, But Context Still Matters
On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down from the prior consolidation and accelerating straight into a well-defined support zone around 3,070–3,090. The nature of this move is important: price did not drift lower gradually, but instead sold off aggressively after failing at the 3,220–3,240 resistance zone, confirming that sellers were firmly in control at higher prices.
The rejection from resistance occurred directly beneath the descending EMA cluster, which acted as dynamic resistance throughout the pullback. This alignment between horizontal resistance and EMA pressure created a high-probability sell zone, and once price failed to reclaim it, bearish momentum expanded rapidly. Structurally, this confirms that the prior consolidation was distribution rather than continuation.
Now that ETH has reached the support zone, downside momentum is beginning to slow. Long lower wicks and reduced follow-through suggest sell-side exhaustion, opening the door for a technical bounce. In bearish or corrective environments, this type of reaction is common once price reaches a higher-timeframe demand area.
However, any upside from this level should be treated as corrective by default. The first upside objective sits near 3,150–3,170, followed by the more critical 3,220 resistance zone, which now represents the key decision area. A move back into this zone would be a mean-reversion rally unless price can reclaim it with acceptance and strong follow-through.
As long as ETH remains below the former resistance and under the EMA, the broader bias stays bearish to neutral, despite the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Only a clean reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside continuation thesis and suggest that the sell-off was a false move.
In summary, Ethereum is currently reacting at demand after an impulsive breakdown. A relief bounce is technically justified, but unless structure is reclaimed, this move should be read as a pause within bearish control rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
Gold Is Breaking Price Discovery – Pullbacks Are Fuel New ATHOn the H1 timeframe, Gold has just delivered a clean impulsive breakout, pushing the market into price discovery territory. The strength of this move is evident not only in the vertical expansion, but also in how decisively price has left prior value behind. This behavior signals aggressive institutional participation rather than short-term speculation.
The breakout leg has already respected key Fibonacci expansion levels, with price reacting near the 0.618 and pressing toward the 1.618 extension zone around 4,768. Importantly, this is occurring without any meaningful distribution a strong sign that buyers remain firmly in control. In trending markets, this type of structure often leads to continuation rather than reversal.
That said, after such a sharp impulse, a corrective pullback is both healthy and expected. The highlighted demand zone around 4,660–4,680 represents the first high probability area where price may rebalance. This zone aligns with prior breakout structure and unfilled demand, making it a logical level for buyers to defend.
Below that, the large price gap acts as a deeper liquidity magnet in the event of an extended correction. However, unless Gold decisively breaks and holds below the demand zone, any retracement into this area should be viewed as re-accumulation, not weakness. Strong trends often revisit demand only to reload before the next expansion leg.
If buyers successfully defend demand and price reclaims momentum, the path toward new all-time highs above 4,768 opens quickly. In price discovery environments, resistance is psychological rather than technical, and extensions can travel further and faster than most expect.
In summary, Gold is not topping it is transitioning into a new expansion phase. Pullbacks are part of the process, not a threat to the trend. As long as demand holds, the dominant bias remains bullish, with higher highs and continued price discovery firmly on the table.
GBPAUD - END OF THE RANGE THE SELL OF BEGINS?As per previous posts - GBPAUD is struggling to hold within the range above - we can see yesterdays daily candle reject the of the support now turned resistance, todays price action we made a second attempt to break higher but failed and are continuing to trade out of the range.
I am expecting a huge drop in the pair towards TP - 1.97831
Gold Continue Bullish?Last week, the bearish configuration on Gold was not complete, and eventually the bearish setup was invalidated. This week, we are looking for potential buy opportunities. On the H1 timeframe, a minor whipsaw configuration has already formed, serving as a signal for trend continuation.
EURUSD Short: Supply Holds, Bears in Control, Move To 1.1550Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a consolidation range, where price moved sideways after a prior decline, indicating temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This range acted as a base for the next directional move. A confirmed breakout from the range triggered a bullish recovery, shifting short-term control to buyers. Following the breakout, price developed a well-defined ascending channel, marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. Pullbacks during this phase were corrective and respected the channel structure, confirming sustained bullish momentum. However, as EURUSD approached the upper boundary of the channel, upside strength began to fade. A fake breakout above channel resistance signaled buyer exhaustion and increasing sell-side pressure at higher prices. Near the highs, price formed a clear rounding top pattern around a key pivot point, reflecting a gradual loss of bullish momentum rather than an impulsive reversal. This topping structure was followed by a breakdown below internal support, confirming a short-term shift in market control. After losing the ascending structure, EURUSD transitioned into a descending channel, establishing a bearish corrective phase characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, EURUSD is trading within the descending channel and moving toward a key Demand Zone around 1.1550, which aligns with previous structural support and historical reactions. This zone represents the next important area where selling momentum may slow and buyers could attempt a defensive response.
My primary scenario remains bearish as long as EURUSD stays below the 1.1680 Supply Zone and continues to respect the descending channel structure. Pullbacks into supply that show rejection can be viewed as potential continuation opportunities, with 1.1550 Demand Zone acting as the first downside target (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below 1.1550 would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation toward lower demand levels. However, a strong bullish breakout and sustained acceptance above 1.1680 would invalidate the short bias and signal a possible transition back into consolidation or bullish recovery. Until such a breakout occurs, market structure favors sellers, and upside moves are considered corrective. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD: Holds Key Support - Buyers Aim for $4,720 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish market structure, supported by a rising trend line that has guided price action from the recent swing lows. Earlier in the move, gold advanced inside a well-defined upward channel, confirming strong buyer control with consistent higher highs and higher lows. This bullish leg eventually led to a breakout attempt near the upper boundary of the channel, after which price experienced a sharp corrective move and transitioned into a consolidation phase. Following the correction, XAUUSD formed a range, where price moved sideways as buyers and sellers reached temporary equilibrium. This range acted as an accumulation zone before the next directional move. Price eventually broke out of the range to the upside, signaling renewed bullish momentum. However, shortly after the breakout, a fake breakout occurred on the downside, where price briefly dipped below support but was quickly reclaimed by buyers, reinforcing demand strength.
Currently, price is holding above a clearly defined Support Zone around 4,650, which aligns with the former range high and a key structural level. This area is now acting as demand after the successful breakout and retest. On the upside, XAUUSD is approaching a major Resistance Zone near 4,720, where selling pressure has previously emerged. The recent price action shows controlled consolidation above support, suggesting continuation rather than distribution.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,650 Support Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line. In this case, I expect buyers to remain in control and attempt another push toward the 4,720 Resistance Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion.
However, a strong rejection from resistance followed by a decisive breakdown below the 4,650 support would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, the overall structure favors buyers, and pullbacks into support are viewed as potential continuation opportunities.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSDT: Buyers Defends, Preparing for Breakout Above $96.5KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish market structure. After a prolonged consolidation phase earlier on the chart, price successfully broke out to the upside and began forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling renewed buyer strength. Following the breakout, BTC rallied aggressively toward a key Resistance Zone around 96,500, where selling pressure became evident. Multiple tests of this resistance area failed to produce a clean continuation higher, leading price into a range formation just below resistance. This range reflects temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers after the impulsive move up.
Currently, on the downside, price is being supported by a clearly defined Support Zone around 94,000, which previously acted as a breakout level and is now serving as demand. The market recently tested this support and reacted positively, indicating that buyers are still active and defending the level. Structurally, BTC remains above both the channel support and the horizontal support zone, keeping the broader bullish bias intact. The presence of a descending triangle resistance line within the range highlights short-term compression, suggesting that a volatility expansion may follow once price decisively breaks out of the current structure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 94,000 Support Zone and respects the ascending channel structure. In this case, I expect price to continue consolidating briefly before attempting another move toward the 96,500 Resistance Zone, with a potential breakout opening the way for further upside continuation.
However, a clean breakdown and acceptance below 94,000 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper corrective move within the channel, possibly toward lower support levels. Until that happens, the market structure favors buyers, and pullbacks into support are viewed as potential long opportunities, while resistance remains the key level to watch for confirmation.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Descending Channel Points to Further Downside To 1.1560Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (3H) based on the chart structure shown in the screenshot. EURUSD initially traded inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a bullish recovery phase after forming a base from the prior decline. Price respected the rising support line and produced higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer control. During this bullish phase, the market experienced several breakouts and fake breakouts near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling increasing volatility and early signs of exhaustion. As price approached the upper resistance area, buying momentum weakened, and the market failed to sustain acceptance above the highs. Near the top of the structure, EURUSD formed a clear turnaround and distribution phase, followed by a loss of bullish momentum. Price then broke below the ascending channel, confirming a structural shift. After this breakdown, the market transitioned into a descending channel, where price is now forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that sellers have taken short-term control, and bullish moves are now corrective in nature. A key Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 1.1680 was tested multiple times after the breakdown. Each attempt to reclaim this area resulted in rejection, reinforcing it as a strong supply zone. Recent price action shows continued respect of the descending channel resistance, with pullbacks failing and momentum favoring the downside. Currently, EURUSD is trading below resistance and is moving toward the Buyer Zone and Support Level around 1.1560, which aligns with previous structure and demand. This area represents the next key reaction zone and the primary downside objective (TP1). A reaction or temporary pause may occur there, but structurally it remains a bearish continuation zone unless buyers regain control. My scenario: as long as EURUSD stays below the 1.1680 Resistance / Seller Zone and continues to respect the descending channel, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect sellers to push price toward the 1.1560 Support / Buyer Zone (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this level would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation. However, a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 1.1680 would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a shift back toward consolidation or recovery. For now, market structure clearly favors sellers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSD (GOLD) – 4-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisGuys,
I have prepared a XAUUSD-Gold analysis for you on the 4-hour timeframe.
My friends, the levels of 4657.0 and 4599.0 are the best buy entry points.
When price reaches these levels, I will definitely open a buy position and aim for the following targets:
My targets:
1st Target: 4690.0
2nd Target: 4730.0
3rd Target: 4790.0
My friends, since the U.S. president has recently imposed tariffs on Europe, there is currently strong buying volume in XAUUSD-Gold. From a fundamental perspective, this is the biggest reason for gold’s upward movement.
NOTE – Since the U.S. president has not lifted these tariffs regarding Greenland and has opened a trade war against European countries, XAUUSD-Gold may rise even from these levels and reach my 3 targets.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
ETH Is Holding Demand – Buyers Are Preparing the Next PushBITSTAMP:ETHUSD on the H1 timeframe is continuing to respect a well-defined support zone, and the way price is behaving around this area strongly suggests absorption, not breakdown. After the aggressive sell-off earlier in the session, ETH stabilized inside demand and has since started to rotate higher, indicating that sellers are losing control at discounted prices. The most important technical detail is how price is holding above the support zone around 3,070–3,090. Multiple downside probes into this area have failed to produce follow-through, while volume spikes show active participation from buyers. This is a classic sign that strong hands are stepping in, quietly building positions while volatility shakes out weaker participants. From a structural standpoint, ETH is now forming higher lows above support, while price is pressing back toward the EMA. This transition from impulsive selling to sideways compression often precedes a bullish continuation move. The EMA is beginning to flatten and curl upward, reinforcing the idea that bearish momentum has already peaked. If ETH continues to hold this base, the first upside objective sits near 3,166, where prior resistance and liquidity converge. A clean break and acceptance above this level would likely trigger an expansion toward 3,179, followed by a continuation into the 3,195–3,220 zone, which aligns with higher-timeframe targets and unfilled imbalance. The projected path highlights a shallow pullback into demand before acceleration higher a typical accumulation to expansion transition. As long as price remains above the support zone, any short-term dips should be viewed as opportunities within a bullish context, not signs of weakness. In summary, Ethereum is not under pressure it is being supported. The market has already tested the downside and failed, and with demand holding firm, the path of least resistance is gradually shifting upward. If buyers maintain control, the next leg higher could unfold faster than most expect.
EURUSD Breaks the Downside Channel — Is the Retest the EntrYEURUSD has just delivered a clear structural shift on the H1 timeframe, breaking out of a well-defined descending price channel that had controlled price action for multiple sessions. This channel was respected cleanly on both sides, confirming it as a valid downside structure rather than random consolidation. The breakout itself is impulsive, with strong bullish candles pushing price decisively above the channel low, the internal swing structure, and the EMA cluster. This type of expansion signals short-covering and fresh demand entering the market, not merely a technical bounce. However, from a professional trading perspective, the breakout alone is not the optimal entry. Price is now approaching a critical retest zone, where the former channel resistance and dynamic EMA resistance converge. This area is technically significant:
- If price pulls back and holds above the broken trendline, it confirms a bear to bull transition.
- Acceptance above this level would validate the move and open the path toward 1.1660, followed by the higher liquidity target near 1.1695–1.1700.
On the flip side, a failure at the retest, especially with bearish rejection wicks or strong bearish closes back inside the channel, would invalidate the bullish scenario and warn of a false breakout, potentially dragging price back toward 1.1580–1.1550.
➡️ Bias: Bullish continuation only if the retest holds
➡️ Key focus: Reaction quality at the broken channel
➡️ Market state: Transition phase patience is critical here
This is no longer a chase trade it’s a reaction trade.
Gold continues to be a safe haven 20/01/261️⃣ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH
Price is moving above the long-term ascending trendline → Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact.
The current pullback is only a technical correction within an uptrend, with no signs of structure breakdown yet.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,680 – 4,682: Short-term resistance, previous consolidation zone → requires a clear break and close to confirm bullish continuation.
4,715 – 4,717: Strong resistance, confluence of previous high + upper trendline → high probability of profit-taking reaction.
3️⃣ Support
4,640 – 4,642: Near-term support, technical pullback zone.
4,620 – 4,622: Strong support, demand zone + EMA confluence + GAP → ideal trend-following buy zone if price shows holding signals.
4️⃣ Preferred Scenarios
Priority: Buy with the trend at support zones.
Break and hold above 4,690 → confirms bullish continuation, target 4,715.
Loss of 4,620 → short-term trend weakens, wait for a retest of the lower ascending trendline.
Trading Plans
BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,640 – 4,642
Stop Loss: 4,635
Take Profit: 50 – 100 – 150 pips
BUY GOLD: 4,620 – 4,622
Stop Loss: 4,610
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,715 – 4,717
Stop Loss: 4,727
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
ETH Just Collapsed Into Support — Relief Bounce or Start Break1. Market Structure & Impulse Context
ETH has just printed a strong bearish impulse from the upper range, breaking decisively below the EMA cluster (fast + slow EMAs). This move is not corrective — it is an impulsive sell-off, signaling aggressive distribution from the resistance zone near 3,360–3,380.
When price leaves a range with this level of momentum, the first reaction into support often determines whether the move is: a trend continuation, or a liquidity sweep before reversal
Right now, ETH is at that decision point.
2. Key Zones on the Chart
Resistance Zone: 3,360 – 3,380 → Major supply + prior rejection area
Mid-Level / Reaction Zone: ~3,240 → Previous structure support turned resistance
Support Zone: 3,160 – 3,180 → First meaningful demand after the breakdown
Price is currently compressing just above the support zone, not bouncing strongly yet this is important.
3. EMA & Trend Alignment
Both EMAs have now rolled over and crossed bearish, with price trading well below them. This confirms:
- Short-term trend has flipped bearish
- Any upside move from here is counter trend unless price reclaims the EMA zone decisively
As long as price remains below the EMAs, rallies should be treated as pullbacks, not trend reversals.
4. Price Action & Liquidity Read
Current candles are small, overlapping, and indecisive classic pause after impulse behavior. This often leads to one of two outcomes:
- A technical relief bounce to rebalance liquidity
- Or support failure once weak buyers are absorbed
Liquidity is clearly resting below the support zone, while unmitigated supply remains above.
5. Scenarios to Watch
🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Corrective Scenario)
Support at 3,160–3,180 holds
Price pushes back toward 3,240 reaction level
Extension toward 3,350–3,360 resistance if momentum builds
⚠️ This would still be a counter-trend move unless structure flips.
🔽 Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability)
Clean break and acceptance below 3,160
Acceleration toward 3,120 → 3,080 liquidity zone
Confirms that the impulse was the start of a larger markdown
This scenario aligns with EMA structure, impulse behavior, and broader distribution context.
6. Trading Perspective
Bias: Bearish continuation unless proven otherwise
Aggressive longs are risky inside support without confirmation
Shorts favored on:
Weak bounce into 3,240
Or confirmed breakdown below 3,160
Summary
ETH has transitioned from range → distribution → impulse. The current pause at support is not yet a reversal signal. Until price reclaims key structure and EMAs, the market remains vulnerable to another downside expansion.
This is a classic moment where patience pays let the market show whether this support is real demand… or just a stop before the next drop.
ETH Lost the Accumulation – This Breakdown Shifts the BearishHello Traders....On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just delivered a critical structural signal by breaking decisively below the prior accumulation zone, confirming that the range was not continuation but distribution. The sharp impulsive sell off from the upper boundary of the range is not random volatility it reflects a clear rejection from value and a transition into a bearish phase.
For an extended period, ETH was compressing inside the 3,260–3,400 region, where price respected the EMA and rotated cleanly. However, the most important detail is how the breakdown occurred. Price did not drift lower gradually; instead, it collapsed impulsively through the range low and the EMA 98, signaling that buyers were no longer defending value. This type of move typically marks the start of a markdown cycle, not a temporary stop run.
After the breakdown, ETH is now attempting to stabilize around the 3,210 area, but this should be viewed as a weak corrective pause, not a base. Former range support has flipped into resistance, and price is struggling to reclaim it. This behavior is consistent with bearish market structure, where rebounds are sold and upside follow-through remains limited.
The next key area of interest lies at the 3,150–3,160 support zone, which represents the first meaningful demand below the range. If price continues to fail below 3,220, a rotation toward this zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. Any shallow bounce into the 3,240–3,260 region would likely serve as liquidity for sellers, rather than a signal of renewed strength.
From a cycle perspective, ETH has transitioned from accumulation → distribution → markdown. Until price can reclaim the broken range low and hold above it with acceptance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Buyers had their opportunity inside the range the market has now made its decision.
In summary, Ethereum is no longer consolidating it has resolved lower. As long as price remains below the former accumulation zone, bearish continuation toward deeper support levels remains the dominant technical scenario, and rallies should be treated with caution rather than optimism.
ETH 4H Cup & Handle Fails at the Pivot 1. Higher-Timeframe Structure Context
On the 4H chart, ETH previously developed a well-defined Cup & Handle structure, with a clean rounded base, midpoint recovery, and a strong impulsive rally into the pivot resistance zone near 3,400. This move initially signaled accumulation transitioning into markup. However, price failed to sustain above the pivot, and the rejection was sharp and impulsive a critical warning sign that buyers were not yet in full control.
2. Cup & Handle Breakdown Dynamics
Instead of holding above the handle low and grinding higher, ETH lost the handle support decisively, invalidating the bullish continuation in the short term.
Key observations:
- The handle breakdown occurred with large bearish candles, not compression
- This indicates supply dominance, not a healthy pullback
- The “current close” sits below the handle low — structurally bearish
When a Cup & Handle fails like this, price often rotates back toward the base, rather than immediately resuming higher.
3. Key Levels & Zones
Pivot Resistance: ~3,400 → Major rejection, unmitigated supply
Handle Low / Flip Zone: ~3,260 → Now acting as resistance
Midpoint of Base: ~3,160 → First reaction level
Base Demand Zone: 3,000 – 3,050 → High-probability liquidity target if selling continues
The projected path on the chart aligns with a distribution → markdown rotation, not immediate continuation.
4. Trend & Momentum Assessment
The impulsive rally into the pivot was followed by:
Failure to form higher highs
Breakdown of short-term structure
Loss of bullish momentum
This sequence typically reflects bull exhaustion, especially after a pattern becomes obvious and crowded.
Unless ETH can reclaim and hold above 3,260–3,300, upside attempts remain corrective.
5. Scenarios Going Forward
🔽 Bearish Continuation (Primary Scenario)
Price fails to reclaim handle low
Weak bounce followed by continuation lower
Rotation toward 3,100 → base demand zone (~3,000)
🔼 Bullish Recovery (Lower Probability)
Strong reclaim of 3,260, followed by acceptance
Compression below pivot
Only then does a renewed breakout attempt toward 3,400+ become valid
Without that reclaim, bullish bias is premature.
6. Trading Perspective
Bias: Cautiously bearish / corrective
Failed Cup & Handle favors mean reversion, not breakout chasing
Shorts favored on:
Weak pullbacks into 3,260–3,300
Longs only justified after clear structure reclaim
Summary
ETH’s Cup & Handle has failed at the most important level the pivot. This is not a normal pullback; it’s a structural rejection. Until buyers prove strength by reclaiming key levels, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the base, where real demand must step in.
In this phase, discipline matters more than prediction let structure confirm before committing bias.
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — It’s Respecting the Downtrend 1. Market Structure: Clean & Disciplined Downtrend
EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, clearly respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The structure is bearish by design, not chaotic lower highs and lower lows are consistently maintained. Each orange-circled area on the chart highlights failed bullish attempts. These are not random rejections; they are systematic sell-side responses at the channel’s upper boundary, confirming strong supply control.
This is a trend market, not a range.
2. Trendline & Price Behavior
The descending resistance trendline has been respected multiple times:
- Price rallies into resistance
- Momentum weakens
- Sellers step in aggressively
- Structure rolls over into continuation
The most recent pullback failed once again near the upper channel, validating this zone as an active short area, labeled clearly as “Downtrend Trade”.
As long as price remains below this trendline, bullish scenarios are counter-trend and low probability.
3. Current Positioning & Momentum
Price is currently consolidating after a minor corrective bounce, but this bounce:
Lacks impulsive bullish candles
Shows overlapping price action
Remains capped below trend resistance
This is distribution before continuation, not accumulation.
The white projected path reflects the higher-probability scenario:
➡️ a minor consolidation → another leg lower toward the lower channel boundary.
4. Key Levels & Trade Logic
Dynamic Resistance: Upper channel trendline
Short Bias Valid While Below: ~1.1640–1.1660 region (trend-dependent)
Downside Continuation Target: Lower channel near 1.1550–1.1580
Any bullish breakout must:
- Break the channel
- Hold above it
- Show impulsive continuation
Until then, selling rallies remains the dominant strategy.
5. Professional Trader’s Read
This is a high-clarity trend environment:
No need to predict reversals
No need to overcomplicate structure
Simply trade trend + location + rejection
The market is offering repeated, clean short setups the kind professional traders wait for.
Summary
EURUSD is not forming a bottom. It is printing disciplined bearish structure inside a descending channel. Every rally into resistance is an opportunity for sellers, not a signal of reversal.
In trending markets, the edge belongs to those who trade with structure not against hope.
Bitcoin After the Flush: Structured Recovery or Just a TechnicalOn the BTC/USDT H1 timeframe, price has just completed a textbook distribution-to-expansion sequence, and the current rebound needs to be read very carefully. For most of the session, Bitcoin was capped inside a well-defined accumulation price range around $95,000–$95,600, with price compressing between the EMAs. This behavior signaled order absorption and liquidity engineering, not strength. The failure to hold above the EMA cluster was an early warning that buyers were losing control. That warning was confirmed by the strong bearish expansion candle, which sliced cleanly through the range low and the EMA support a clear range breakdown and distribution confirmation. This move flushed late longs and activated sell-side liquidity, driving price directly into the 92,300–92,600 demand zone, where we now see the first meaningful reaction. The current bounce from this support is technically valid, but structurally it remains corrective, not impulsive. Price has not yet reclaimed the broken range or the EMA, meaning the broader bias is still neutral-to-bearish unless proven otherwise.
Your projected upside path aligns with a multi-step corrective recovery:
- Target 1 (~$93,600): First logical reaction level where short term sellers may defend.
- Target 2 (~$94,600): Former range low /resistance zone this is the key decision area.
- Target 3 (~$95,500): Full range reclaim, which would be required to shift structure back to bullish acceptance.
As long as price trades below $94,600–$95,000, any rally should be treated as a pullback into resistance, not trend continuation. A clean rejection from that zone would favor another leg down or a prolonged consolidation below the range. Only a strong H1 close and acceptance back inside the old accumulation range would invalidate the distribution thesis and open the door for sustained upside.
👉 The bounce is real but the trend is still on trial.
Patience at resistance will reveal whether this is smart money reloading or simply a dead cat bounce after the flush.
USD/JPY(20260120)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to sources who spoke to CNBC on Monday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell plans to appear before the U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments. The case centers on whether President Trump has the authority to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook from her post.
Powell's planned appearance comes as he faces a criminal investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia for his involvement in a multi-billion dollar renovation project at the Federal Reserve headquarters and related congressional testimony. The Associated Press first reported Powell's plans.
It is extremely rare for a Federal Reserve chairman to personally appear for oral arguments in such a case. However, the question of whether a president can remove a Federal Reserve governor in the manner Trump has attempted is considered within the Fed to be a potentially fundamental issue concerning the central bank's survival.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
157.89
Support and Resistance Levels:
158.62
158.34
158.17
157.60
157.43
157.15
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 158.17, consider buying with a first target price of 158.34.
If the price breaks below 157.89, consider selling with a first target price of 157.60.






















