BTCUSDT: Pullback To 93K Support Before Return of Bullish TrendHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
BTCUSDT previously transitioned from a strong bearish impulse into a recovery phase, where price formed a well-defined upward channel, signaling a corrective bullish structure. Within this channel, Bitcoin produced higher highs and higher lows, confirming temporary buyer control after the sell-off. During this phase, price also formed a consolidation range, reflecting a pause and balance between buyers and sellers before the next move. As price advanced, BTCUSDT approached a major Resistance Zone around 95,500–96,000, where selling pressure became evident. Multiple tests of this area failed to produce acceptance above resistance, and a clear rejection / test occurred at the top of the channel. This behavior indicates supply dominance at higher levels. Following the rejection, price broke below the upper channel structure and pulled back toward the Support Zone near 93,000, which previously acted as both demand and a breakout level.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the resistance zone and showing signs of weakness after the failed breakout attempt. The recent breakout below minor support suggests a potential continuation to the downside, while the broader structure remains vulnerable as long as price stays capped below resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bearish while BTCUSDT trades below the 95,500–96,000 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from the upper channel. Any pullbacks toward resistance that show weakness or rejection may offer short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 93,000 Support Zone as the first objective. A decisive breakdown below support would open the door for a deeper corrective move.
However, a strong breakout and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the short bias and signal a shift back toward bullish continuation. I believe there will be a correction to around 93K, and then a resumption of the bullish scenario.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Analysis
EURUSD: Sellers Take Control Below Key Resistance, Eyes 1.1600Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined upward channel, confirming a bullish recovery phase after forming a strong base from the prior decline. Buyers maintained control by producing higher highs and higher lows, eventually pushing price toward a key Resistance Zone around 1.1690–1.1700. At this resistance area, price transitioned into a broad range, signaling a balance between buyers and sellers. Multiple attempts to hold above resistance failed, indicating growing selling pressure at the highs. Eventually, EURUSD broke down from the range, confirming a loss of bullish momentum and a shift in short-term market control.
Currently, EURUSD is trading within the descending channel and moving toward a key Support Zone around 1.1600, which previously acted as a demand area and a structural reaction level. This zone represents the next important area where buyers may attempt to slow or pause the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bearish as long as EURUSD stays below the 1.1690–1.1700 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the downward channel. Any pullbacks into resistance that show rejection can be viewed as potential short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 1.1600 Support Zone as the first target.
However, a clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the short bias and suggest a possible shift back toward consolidation or bullish recovery. Until that happens, market structure favors sellers, and rallies are considered corrective within the broader bearish context.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Holds Bullish Structure Above Support - Eyes on $4,680Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on Gold (XAUUSD, 3H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish trend after reclaiming key levels and establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Earlier on the chart, price formed a consolidation range, signaling accumulation before continuation. This range was later broken to the upside, confirming renewed buyer control and continuation of the broader bullish structure. Following the breakout, price moved higher but then entered a corrective phase, pulling back toward the rising trend line and the Support Level around the 4,510 area. This pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, with buyers stepping in to defend the trend. Price respected the support line multiple times, forming fake breakouts to the downside before reversing higher, which further confirms underlying buying strength. Currently, XAUUSD has broken above the descending resistance line and is consolidating above it, signaling a successful breakout and potential continuation. Price is now trading above the Buyer Zone and approaching the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,640. This area represents a key reaction zone where selling pressure may appear. My scenario: as long as Gold holds above the Support Level and continues to respect the rising trend line, the bullish structure remains intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,640 Resistance Level would confirm continuation toward the next upside target 4,680 (TP1). However, rejection from resistance could lead to a short-term consolidation or corrective pullback toward support before the next attempt higher. For now, the bias remains bullish, and price is positioned for a potential continuation move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
The gold came down as we expected previouslyWe are going to look for a buy in gold as it came down to a cheap level and we are waiting for the price to retest to our febonachi level and 1h OB so that we put a long position in gold. I hope you guys are learning and enjoying from the experienced trader thanks.
EURUSD Short: Sellers Take Control Below 1.1680Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish phase with consistent higher highs and higher lows. During this advance, price formed a consolidation range, which eventually resolved to the upside with a breakout, reinforcing bullish momentum. However, as price approached the key Supply Zone around 1.1680–1.1700, buying pressure started to weaken. Several attempts to hold above this area resulted in fake breakouts, signaling strong seller presence and exhaustion at the highs. Following the rejection from supply, EURUSD formed a clear rounding top near the pivot high, marking a structural transition. Price then broke below the range support and the ascending channel, confirming a short-term shift from bullish to bearish control. This breakdown led to the formation of a descending channel, where price is now producing lower highs and lower lows. Recent pullbacks into the channel resistance and supply area have failed, further confirming that the upside moves are corrective rather than impulsive.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the 1.1680 Supply Zone and is moving toward the Demand Zone around 1.1600, which represents a key support level and the next potential reaction area. This zone aligns with previous structure and may attract buyers for a temporary pause or bounce.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1680 Supply Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect sellers to maintain control and push price toward the 1.1600 Demand Zone (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below 1.1600 would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation. However, a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 1.1680 would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a potential shift back toward consolidation or recovery. For now, market structure favors sellers. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Lower Highs Signal Continuation Toward 1.1590Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is currently trading within a broader bearish structure after failing to sustain bullish momentum near recent highs. Earlier on the chart, price formed a clear consolidation range, where the market paused before a breakout to the upside. However, this breakout lacked follow-through and eventually marked a local turning point, after which selling pressure began to increase. Following the rejection from the highs, EURUSD started to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming a shift in short-term market control. Price then broke below the key Seller Zone around 1.1680, which previously acted as support, flipping it into resistance. This breakdown signaled a bearish market structure shift and initiated a sustained move lower. Subsequent pullbacks into this Seller Zone were corrective and met with renewed selling interest, reinforcing its role as a resistance level. Currently, price is trading below the descending trend line, which continues to cap upside attempts. Recent corrective moves have failed to reclaim the trend line or the Seller Zone, suggesting that sellers remain in control. Below current price, the Buyer Zone / Support Level around 1.1590–1.1600 stands out as the next key area of interest, aligning with prior demand and a potential reaction zone. My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1680 Resistance Level and continues to respect the descending trend line, the bearish structure remains intact. I expect price to continue lower toward the 1.1600 Support Level (TP1). A clean break and acceptance below this support could open the door for further downside, while a strong bullish reclaim above resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential trend reversal. For now, the bias remains bearish while price trades below resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
20260116 - BTCUSD on a crossroadFollowing a significant plunge from the record high, BINANCE:BTCUSDT significantly plunged to 80,600 before recovering. The recovery was pretty slow before eventually accelerating in the last 3 weeks. The price has hit the Weekly Bearish FVG at 96,043-98,944 but still remain below the area, suggesting the current long-term downtrend remain intact.
If BINANCE:BTCUSDT fails to close above the bearish FVG, I think it may accelerate the downtrend toward the previous Sellside Liquidity at 80,600 before further falling to about 74,508.
On the contrary, if BINANCE:BTCUSDT closes above 107,500, the high of the candlestick with the bearish FVG, the trend may reverse and start a new uptrend, aiming for the record high.
In the meantime, the psychological resistance at 100,000 remains dominant in blocking the recovery.
EURUSD Possible Corrective UpsideQuick Summary
EURUSD saw a strong bearish move yesterday, This move left a clear liquidity void behind
Price may attempt to move higher to fill this imbalance. A move toward 1.16525 is possible
Long entries require a clear choch confirmation
Full Analysis
After the strong bearish move that occurred on EURUSD yesterday price left behind a significant liquidity void with clear upside objectives
Despite the current bearish pressure there is still a possibility that price attempts a corrective move higher
The descending trend is still present but there are early signs that it could be challenged
This idea is not confirmed yet and should be treated with caution
However at least, price may attempt to move higher to rebalance the liquidity void created by the impulsive selloff
The level around 1.16525 stands out as a reasonable upside objective for this corrective move
This area represents where price may seek balance before deciding on the next directional move
Any long position should not be taken blindly
A clear choch is required to confirm bullish intention and justify trading against the current internal bearish structure
Until that confirmation appears the move higher should be viewed as a potential correction rather than a confirmed trend reversal
Range Control After Impulse — ETH Is Being Prepared, Not RejectCOINBASE:ETHUSD has completed a strong impulsive breakout and is now consolidating in a controlled range on the H1 timeframe. Price remains above the EMA cluster, confirming that the recent move was a bullish shift, not a false breakout. Price is currently rotating between 3,380–3,410 resistance and 3,260–3,280 support. Rejections at the top and consistent buyer reactions at support indicate range acceptance and post-impulse consolidation, not distribution. Sellers have failed to produce a lower low, keeping the bullish structure intact. The EMA cluster is rising and aligned with the lower range, reinforcing the view that pullbacks are corrective. As long as price holds above the EMAs, bearish continuation lacks confirmation.
Primary scenario: continued range compression followed by a clean breakout above 3,410, opening the path toward 3,450+.
Alternative scenario: acceptance below 3,260 would signal a deeper correction, though still within a broader bullish context.
Summary: ETH is pausing after strength. This is consolidation, not weakness patience is required while the market prepares for its next expansion.
“Lower Highs Keep the Pressure On — EURUSD Still Trapped EURUSD remains firmly locked in a descending structure on the H1 timeframe. The chart clearly shows a sequence of lower highs, each one precisely capped by the same descending trendline. Every bullish attempt into this trendline has been sold aggressively, confirming that sellers continue to control market structure. The highlighted swing points are critical: they demonstrate repeated trendline rejections, a classic sign that this is not a random pullback, but a well respected bearish structure.
Price is currently compressing between:
- Descending trendline (dynamic resistance)
- Horizontal support base around 1.1620
This compression reflects indecision, but within a bearish context. Importantly, bullish candles into the trendline lack follow through, while bearish impulses break structure faster a subtle but crucial sign of seller dominance.
Primary Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 — High-Probability (Trend Continuation):
If price fails again at the descending trendline and loses the 1.1620 support, EURUSD is likely to enter a markdown phase, targeting the liquidity pool near 1.1590 – 1.1585.
This scenario aligns perfectly with the prevailing downtrend logic: sell rallies, not chase breakouts.
🟢 Scenario 2 — Countertrend Break (Lower Probability):
A clean break and acceptance above the descending trendline, followed by a retest, could trigger a short-term bullish correction toward 1.1660 – 1.1680. However, unless structure shifts decisively, this move would still be considered corrective, not a trend reversal.
Volume & Market Behavior Insight
Volume expansion appears mainly on bearish impulses, while pullbacks show weaker participation reinforcing the idea that smart money is still positioned on the sell side. This is typical behavior during a controlled downtrend, where liquidity is harvested above trendline touches.
Conclusion
As long as EURUSD trades below the descending trendline, the market bias remains bearish. The structure favors continuation lower, not aggressive longs. Patience here is key the market is offering information, not entries yet.
Liquidity Grab Before the Next Expansion?Gold on the H1 timeframe is currently trading in a well-defined equilibrium between higher-timeframe demand and overhead supply, and the chart reflects a classic professional accumulation–distribution dynamic rather than random price movement. After the strong impulsive rally that established the current range, price has repeatedly failed to gain acceptance above the upper resistance zone, signaling that sell-side liquidity and profit-taking remain active at premium levels. Each attempt into resistance has been met with rejection, but notably, those rejections have not produced structural breakdowns, which is a critical clue about underlying strength.
On the downside, price is rotating back toward a clearly defined support zone, which aligns closely with prior consolidation, value re-acceptance, and the rising EMA 98 a dynamic level often defended in healthy bullish trends. This overlap between horizontal support and dynamic trend support significantly increases the probability that this area acts as a liquidity absorption zone, rather than a true breakdown point. The projected curved move reflects a typical scenario where price dips into support to sweep weak longs and trigger sell stops, allowing larger players to re-enter long positions at discounted prices.
Importantly, the broader structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the lower support and does not establish acceptance below it. A clean breakdown would open the path toward the deeper liquidity pool near the lower range, but at this stage, such a move would be considered a corrective extension, not a trend reversal. The market has not yet shown the characteristics of distribution that precede sustained downside, such as lower highs on expansion or aggressive momentum selling through support.
If buyers successfully defend the support zone and reclaim the mid-range, the upside scenario becomes dominant again. In that case, a renewed push through resistance would likely be impulsive rather than corrective, targeting the next upside objective near the 4,700 region, where liquidity from prior highs is resting. This aligns with the classic range-expansion model: compress → sweep liquidity → expand.
In summary, Gold is currently in a decision phase, but the weight of evidence still favors a bullish continuation after a controlled pullback. Patience is key here the highest-probability opportunity emerges not at resistance, but at support, where risk can be defined tightly and momentum can be reloaded for the next leg higher.
Ethereum Forms a Classic Head & ShouldersHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of ETHUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Ethereum recently printed a strong impulsive bullish rally, breaking above multiple resistance levels with clear momentum. However, after reaching the highs, price action has transitioned into distribution behavior, forming a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern at premium levels. The structure is clear: a left shoulder, a higher head, and a lower right shoulder, signaling weakening bullish control. The market has shifted from impulsive expansion into overlapping, corrective price action, a classic sign that buyers are losing dominance while sellers begin to take control.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Major Supply / Distribution Zone:
The 3,390–3,410 region acts as strong supply, where the head of the pattern was formed and aggressive selling pressure emerged. This zone caps upside attempts and defines the premium area.
Neckline / Key Support:
The 3,280–3,300 zone represents the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern. This is the most critical level on the chart, acting as short-term demand and structural support.
Lower Demand Targets:
If the neckline fails, downside liquidity sits at:
- 3,230 – first demand and structure projection
- 3,080–3,100 – major demand zone and measured-move target
These zones define the potential bearish expansion path.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, ETH is trading just above the neckline, placing price at a high-impact decision zone. The recent bounce lacks impulsive strength, suggesting it is corrective rather than trend continuation.
As long as price remains below the supply zone, upside is limited and vulnerable to rejection.
🧠 MY SCENARIO
My scenario:
As long as Ethereum fails to reclaim and hold above the 3,390–3,410 supply zone, the Head & Shoulders structure remains valid. A clean breakdown and acceptance below the 3,280–3,300 neckline would confirm the pattern and open the door for a move toward 3,230, followed by a deeper pullback into the 3,080–3,100 demand zone.
If buyers manage to defend the neckline and push price back above resistance with strong momentum, the bearish pattern would be invalidated. Until that happens, rallies should be treated as corrective moves within a distribution phase.
For now, Ethereum is at risk of structural breakdown, not in clean continuation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Pattern-based setups require confirmation. Wait for acceptance below the neckline or invalidation above supply, avoid early bias, and always manage your risk.
Gold Trapped in a High-Liquidity RangeGold is currently consolidating within a well defined H1 range between 4,570–4,580 support and 4,640–4,650 resistance, following a strong impulsive bullish leg. Repeated rejections from the resistance zone indicate active supply and a lack of sustained acceptance above this level.
Recent price action shows a rotation lower from the range high, keeping the market in range continuation mode rather than immediate breakout. Liquidity continues to build at both extremes, with the support zone around 4,570–4,580 acting as the primary downside magnet in the short term. From a structural standpoint, the higher-probability behavior favors mean reversion inside the range until a decisive breakout occurs. A clean break and acceptance above 4,650 would invalidate the range and open upside continuation toward 4,700–4,730. Until then, price is likely to keep oscillating between support and resistance, favoring patience and range-based execution over trend chasing.
Ethereum Forms a Classic Head & Shoulders — Trend Reversal Risk On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum is showing a textbook Head & Shoulders formation, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is developing. Structurally, the market first printed a strong impulsive rally, followed by the formation of a Left Shoulder, then an extended push to a higher peak forming the Head, and most recently a lower high that aligns cleanly with the Right Shoulder. This sequence reflects a clear loss of upside momentum, where buyers are no longer able to push price beyond prior highs.
From a technical perspective, the neckline zone around 3,276 is the most critical level to monitor. Price is currently trading above this area but is already showing hesitation, while the rebound from the last swing low lacks strong follow-through. Notably, the structure is forming below the recent highs, which confirms distribution rather than continuation. The moving averages still slope upward, but they are beginning to flatten, often a leading signal that trend strength is fading before a larger correction unfolds.
If Ethereum breaks and closes decisively below the neckline, the Head & Shoulders pattern would be confirmed, opening the door for a downside expansion toward the 3,117 support zone, which aligns with the projected measured move of the pattern and prior demand. Any pullback toward the neckline after the break would likely act as resistance, offering continuation opportunities to the downside. Conversely, the bearish scenario would be invalidated only if price reclaims the right-shoulder high and sustains acceptance above it. Until that happens, Ethereum remains in a distribution phase, with downside risk clearly outweighing upside continuation in the short term.
EURUSD Weekly analysis 10 JanuaryQuick Summary
On the daily timeframe the overall trend is still bullish
However, signs of weakness are appearing after a liquidity sweep of the previous high
Price is likely targeting the fair value gap at 1.14597
Lower timeframes support further downside but also leave room for a potential continuation of the higher timeframe uptrend
Full Analysis
On the daily timeframe EURUSD is still moving within a bullish structure and the primary trend has not been fully broken
Despite that there are warning signs that should not be ignored
A sweep of liquidity has already occurred above the previous high which often signals weakening bullish momentum
From this perspective EURUSD appears to be targeting the fair value gap at 1.14597
This makes buying in the current area difficult as downside objectives are still active
On the H4 chart price has formed an internal choch along with a clear orderflow structure
This combination supports the idea of continued downside movement in the short to medium term
At the same time this bearish behavior could also act as a liquidity driven move that later supports continuation of the broader bullish trend
On the hourly chart the descending price channel is much clearer
This channel will be key in determining whether price continues lower or starts reversing while respecting the higher timeframe bullish structure
Overall EURUSD is currently in a conflicted state across timeframes
The daily trend remains bullish but lower timeframe structure supports additional downside
The next reaction inside the hourly channel will likely clarify whether this move is a deeper correction or the beginning of a larger shift in market behavior
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2026 EURUSDEUR/USD on Friday, January 16, 2026, is trading near 1.16100, but the single currency’s position remains fragile. The US dollar is supported by strong US data and fading expectations of near-term policy easing: the market is increasingly pricing in a longer period of high rates, which keeps demand for the dollar steady from investors and companies hedging currency risks.
The backdrop for the euro is mixed. The European Central Bank emphasizes its readiness to keep rates at current levels as long as inflation stays close to target and no new shocks emerge. At the same time, a stronger dollar and competition in external markets weigh on the region’s export outlook, while talk of possible turbulence in global markets periodically brings back interest in the dollar as a safe-haven currency.
Over the day, the key driver remains US releases and commentary: any signs that inflation pressure is holding up will work against EUR/USD. The euro could find support if euro area data improves confidence in sustainable growth, but in the base case market participants remain inclined to hold dollars, increasing the likelihood of a moderate decline in the pair.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16150, SL 1.16350, TP 1.15250
Gold price movements at the end of the week, January 16, 2026.1️⃣ Trendline
Main trend: BULLISH.
Price remains above the long-term ascending trendline → the Higher High – Higher Low structure is still intact.
Current phase: sideways consolidation below resistance within an ascending channel → the market is building pressure.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,640 – 4,642: Major resistance.
Confluence: previous high + upper trendline.
Scenarios:
Rejection → high probability of a corrective pullback.
4,668 – 4,670:
New ATH zone + break of previous high + trendline extension.
3️⃣ Support
4,578 – 4,580:
Near-term support, equilibrium zone within the range.
4,515 – 4,517:
Strong support / breakout retest + previous GAP.
Loss of this zone → short-term bullish structure weakens, downside risk increases.
4️⃣ Preferred Trading Scenarios
Sell on reaction at 4,640 – 4,645 if clear rejection signals appear.
Buy with the trend at 4,515 – 4,520 once strong holding signals are confirmed.
Primary Trade Setups
SELL GOLD: 4,668 – 4,670
Stop Loss: 4,678
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
BUY GOLD (Scalp): 4,578 – 4,580
Stop Loss: 4,574
Take Profit: 50 – 100 – 200 pips
BUY GOLD: 4,515 – 4,517
Stop Loss: 4,505
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
USD/JPY(20260116)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Bank of Japan will announce its next policy decision on January 23. Officials believe that maintaining the interest rate at 0.75% (the highest level in 30 years) is appropriate. Sources say the committee will make its final policy decision after monitoring economic data and financial markets until the last minute. Sources also indicate that given inflation trends are approaching its 2% target, officials will be watching how the yen affects underlying inflation, including price expectations for households and businesses.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
158.56
Support and Resistance Levels:
159.22
158.98
158.82
158.31
158.15
157.90
Trading Strategy:
A break above 158.82: Consider buying, first target price 158.98.
A break below 158.56: Consider selling, first target price 158.31.
Silver +144% in 2025 and another +28.7% in 2026FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, the key benchmarks for silver (XAGUSD) will remain Fed decisions, movements in the US dollar and real yields, the supply–demand balance, and investor flows into metals.
Demand for silver (XAGUSD) is picking up — here’s what’s behind its growth:
The Fed may cut rates → holding funds in bonds and deposits becomes less attractive, increasing interest in metals.
The dollar is weakening → silver priced in dollars usually becomes more expensive.
Markets are nervous → investors more often buy “safe-haven” assets, including silver.
Silver is essential for industry (electronics, solar panels) → industrial demand supports prices.
Speculators and funds are stepping in → as prices rise, new buyers enter the market, strengthening the trend.
Silver (XAGUSD) is supported by two factors at once — safe-haven demand and industrial consumption — which is why silver may grow faster than gold.
XAUUSD: Critical Supply Zone - Reaction May Define Next MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold is trading within a broader bullish environment, but recent price action shows signs of exhaustion near key resistance. After a period of consolidation inside a clear range, XAUUSD broke to the upside and formed a well-defined upward channel, confirming buyer control. This move brought price into the upper Resistance Zone around 4,590–4,600, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Currently, at this level, price printed a fake breakout, indicating a lack of acceptance above resistance and trapping late buyers. Following this rejection, gold pulled back sharply and then staged a recovery, breaking above the local structure again and retesting the Support Zone near 4,530. This area aligns with previous resistance turned support and a rising triangle support line, which is currently being tested. Despite the bullish recovery, price is once again approaching the major resistance area, where sellers have previously shown strong interest. The market structure suggests that the current move is corrective within a larger resistance context rather than the start of a fresh impulsive rally.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario favors a short setup while price remains below or reacts strongly from the 4,590–4,600 Resistance Zone. A rejection from this area could trigger a move back toward the 4,530 Support Zone and potentially lower if selling momentum increases.
However, a clean breakout and acceptance above 4,600 would invalidate the short bias and signal bullish continuation. Until that happens, the resistance area remains a key decision point, and caution is warranted near the highs.
That’s the setup I’m watching. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold Holds Premium Above the Gap — Bullish Continuation OANDA:XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe is currently trading in a strong bullish continuation structure following an impulsive expansion higher. The recent rally created a clear price gap and FVG (Fair Value Gap) / imbalance zone, which now plays a critical role in guiding the next directional move.
After the aggressive upside impulse, price has transitioned into a tight consolidation above the gap, showing strength rather than weakness. Importantly, sellers have failed to force a deep retracement back into the imbalance, which is a classic sign of bullish acceptance at higher prices.
The 4,560–4,520 zone represents a key bullish demand and imbalance area. As long as price holds above this region, the structure remains constructive. The projected path suggests a potential controlled pullback into the upper portion of the FVG, followed by renewed buying interest.
Above current price, liquidity is clearly resting near:
4,601 – short-term resistance and range high
4,630 – major upside target and next liquidity objective
This price behavior reflects institutional-style accumulation, where the market pauses above inefficient pricing before continuation, rather than immediately retracing deeply.
Bullish scenario (preferred): As long as price holds above the FVG / gap zone (4,520–4,560), look for continuation toward 4,601, with extension toward 4,630.
Bearish invalidation: A clean breakdown and acceptance below 4,520 would signal a deeper correction and invalidate the immediate bullish continuation setup.
Overall, Gold remains structurally bullish on the lower timeframe. This is a patience game — continuation setups are favored after shallow pullbacks, not from chasing impulsive candles.
Bitcoin Is Printing a Perfect Teacup – The Handle On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is forming a textbook Teacup (Cup & Handle) pattern, a classic bullish continuation structure that often appears before strong expansion phases. What makes this setup high quality is not just the shape, but the context and behavior of price inside the pattern.
The cup was formed through a prolonged corrective phase, where price transitioned from aggressive selling into a rounded base. This rounding is critical: instead of a sharp V-shaped reversal, Bitcoin spent time absorbing supply, flattening volatility, and allowing weak hands to exit. Volume gradually decreased toward the bottom of the cup and expanded again on the right side, which is a healthy characteristic of accumulation.
The impulsive rally on the right side of the cup confirms demand returning with strength. Price reclaimed the key moving average and broke out of the accumulation range decisively, signaling that buyers have regained control. This move completed the cup portion and shifted the market into the next phase of the pattern.
Currently, Bitcoin is forming the handle, visible as a shallow, downward-sloping consolidation channel. This handle is corrective, not bearish. Price is holding well above the midpoint of the cup, structure remains intact, and pullbacks are controlled. This is exactly where late sellers get trapped and early buyers reload positions.
As long as price holds above the lower boundary of the handle and does not collapse back into the cup, the bullish thesis remains valid. A breakout above the handle resistance would act as the confirmation trigger, opening the path toward the measured move target near 98,900, which aligns with the projected target on the chart.
From a cycle perspective, this pattern reflects accumulation → expansion → re-accumulation → expansion. The market has already done the hard work at the bottom; what we are seeing now is preparation, not distribution.
In summary, Bitcoin is not topping it is building pressure. The teacup pattern is structurally clean, volume behavior is supportive, and the handle is forming exactly where it should. If price breaks out of the handle with momentum, the next bullish leg could unfold rapidly, catching late participants off guard.
EURUSD Is Compressing Inside a Falling Wedge FX:EURUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading inside a well-defined falling wedge structure, following a sharp impulsive rebound from the recent lows. After the strong bullish displacement, price failed to continue immediately and has transitioned into a corrective phase, printing lower highs and lower lows within the wedge a classic sign of trend exhaustion rather than trend continuation. Importantly, bearish momentum has clearly weakened, with each push lower showing reduced follow-through, suggesting that sellers are losing control and liquidity is being absorbed near the wedge base. This structure often acts as a compression pattern, where price coils before releasing energy in the opposite direction. As long as price continues to hold above the wedge support and does not break decisively below the recent swing low, the probability favors a bullish breakout scenario, with upside targets aligned first at 1.1653, then 1.1676, and potentially extending toward 1.1698 if momentum expands. Short term dips toward the lower boundary of the wedge should be viewed as liquidity sweeps within a corrective structure, not bearish continuation. Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the wedge base would invalidate this bullish reversal thesis and shift the bias back toward continuation to the downside.






















