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Audjpyshort

AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q4 | W40 | D3 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W40 | D3 | Y25| 📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25| 📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25|FX:AUDJPY 📅 Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25| 📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25| 📅 Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25| 📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDJPY Momentum Weakens, Sellers Eye Deeper PullbackAUDJPY has lost steam after a strong recovery rally, with sellers now pressing back below trendline support. The recent rejection near 98.40 signals exhaustion, and the pair looks set for a corrective leg lower toward key support zones. Unless buyers reclaim higher ground quickly, the near-term risk is skewed to the downside. Current Bias Bearish – price action shows a breakdown from recent upward momentum, with downside targets opening below 97.10. Key Fundamental Drivers RBA Policy: Australia’s central bank remains cautious with no immediate tightening bias, limiting AUD support. BOJ Policy: Still ultra-loose but rising JGB yields and quiet speculation about adjustments give JPY some underlying support. Commodities: Weakness in iron ore and concerns around Chinese growth cap AUD upside. Macro Context Interest Rates: RBA is holding rates steady, while markets anticipate the Fed and ECB easing earlier than BOJ. Yield differentials still favor AUDJPY upside, but recent data has weakened AUD’s momentum. Economic Growth: Australia’s growth is slowing; Japan is stable but not accelerating, making yield spreads the main driver. Geopolitics: Trade tensions and tariff-related uncertainty push investors toward JPY during risk-off episodes, undermining AUD. Primary Risk to the Trend A rebound in Chinese demand or a risk-on rally in equities could boost AUD and derail the bearish setup. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Australian retail sales and CPI updates Japanese inflation data China PMIs for growth signals impacting AUD Leader/Lagger Dynamics AUDJPY is a lagger compared to USDJPY and EURJPY, which tend to set the tone for yen pairs. It is also influenced by AUDUSD moves, making it sensitive to Chinese and commodity-linked headlines. Key Levels Support Levels: 97.10, 96.29 Resistance Levels: 97.90, 98.40 Stop Loss (SL): 98.72 (above recent highs) Take Profit (TP): 97.10 (first target), 96.29 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints AUDJPY is turning bearish after losing momentum at 98.40, with sellers eyeing 97.10 and 96.29 as key downside targets. A stop above 98.72 helps protect against sharp rebounds, while risk sentiment and China data remain the main watchpoints. The pair is more of a lagger, following broader yen moves and AUD commodity flows, so traders should watch USDJPY and AUDUSD closely for signals.
Short
by ultreosforex
8
AUDJPY – SHORTA short position is proposed upon price rejection from the key resistance area. This area is defined by the confluence of the Supply Zone's POC level and a Dynamic Gann Resistance angle. The target is at the POC level within the next significant Demand Zone. AUDJPY – SHORT ENTRY PRICE - 98.150 SL - 99.400 TP - 94.400 Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management: 1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss. 2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better. 3. Never over-leverage your account. 4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software. 5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason. 6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose. Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments. Have a nice day!
Short
by Profit_Trader
1
Short AUDJPY – Momentum Reversal Play📉 **Forex Trading Idea: Short AUDJPY – Momentum Reversal Play** The AUDJPY pair presents a compelling short opportunity, driven by a confluence of macro momentum and technical precision. Fundamentally, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is under pressure amid weakening commodity demand and dovish central bank tones, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is gaining strength as risk sentiment shifts and safe-haven flows intensify. This divergence sets the stage for a strategic short position. Technically, AUDJPY has approached a key resistance zone between **97.81 and 98.12**, where price action has historically stalled. This area aligns with a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum, making it an ideal entry for a reversal trade. Traders should monitor for bearish candlestick patterns or momentum divergence within this zone to confirm entry. The trade targets are well-defined: **TP1 at 97.38** captures the initial retracement, while **TP2 at 96.95** aims for a deeper correction aligned with previous support levels. A **stop loss at 98.40** provides a disciplined exit above the resistance zone, maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio. This setup suits both day traders and swing traders, depending on execution and holding strategy. The trade thesis hinges on AUD weakness and JPY strength, supported by technical resistance and momentum indicators. As always, traders should remain vigilant for macroeconomic news or central bank commentary that could impact currency flows. In summary, this AUDJPY short is a tactical play on momentum reversal, offering a clean setup with defined levels and a strong narrative. Patience and precision will be key to capitalizing on this opportunity.
Short
by ICT_Trader_SB
AUDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25📊 AUDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D15 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
AUD/JPY Finally Decided To Go Down , Don`t Miss This 150 Pips !Here is my 1H Chart on AUD/JPY , And my opinion is we have a very clear breakout and the price will go down a little to make a retracement after this huge movement to upside without any correction , so i`, waiting the price to retest my broken supp and new Res and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if the price go up again and closed above my res area with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
1
AUDJPY – Waiting for the Long SetupThe price is currently in a corrective move, and as always, we’ve already marked our key level. 📍 We’re patiently waiting for price to reach our support zone. If a valid buy signal appears, we’ll take the long position according to our trading plan. ❌ What if the level breaks? No worries. We don’t predict — we follow the market. We’ll wait for a clean pullback and enter short if confirmed. 🎯 Our job isn’t to predict where price will go, our job is to manage risk and stay aligned with the market. Price can do anything — we’re ready for every scenario.
Long
by ForexCSP
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs. 🧠 Fundamentals: AUD Strength Drivers: RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks. Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD. Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns. JPY Weakness Drivers: BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July. Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening. Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY. 🔍 Technical Structure: Strong upward channel since early June remains valid. Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg. Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry. Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63. Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break). ⚠️ Risk Factors: Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY. China growth fears can weigh on AUD. A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets. ✅ Trade Bias: Bullish TP1: 94.77 TP2: 95.36 TP3 (aggressive): 95.63 SL: Below 93.80 Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11) 📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
Long
by ultreosforex
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT