AUDJPY Breakout on Rising Yields – Path Open to 95.70AUDJPY is maintaining strong bullish structure after breaking through key resistance around 91.65. Price is forming higher lows supported by an ascending trendline, indicating healthy buyer momentum. Fibonacci retracement levels show price holding above the 50% and 61.8% zones, strengthening the bullish case.
🔑 Key Levels:
Current Price: 91.65
Support Zone: 90.85 – 91.00 (previous structure + fib support)
Resistance Targets:
TP1: 93.15 (previous swing high)
TP2: 95.70 (full recovery move from March highs)
✅ Bullish Confluence Factors:
Ascending triangle breakout in progress
Strong higher lows and clean market structure
Holding above major 61.8% Fib retracement
Australian dollar supported by improved risk sentiment globally
BOJ expected to stay dovish and delay hikes, keeping the yen weak
🧠 Fundamental Context:
Japan Outlook: BOJ to hold rates steady at 0.5% amid US tariff risks. IMF projects a downgrade in Japan’s growth, weakening JPY outlook.
Sentiment on JPY: No strong intervention support for yen despite media noise. Japan’s government denied any push for stronger yen.
Australia Outlook: Risk sentiment steady, equities firmer globally, and higher AUD correlations to risk-on tone favor upside continuation.
💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish above 91.00
Entry: On confirmation bounce above 91.60
Target 1: 93.15
Target 2: 95.70
Stop Loss: Below 90.50
📌 Note: Watch for possible mild pullback into 91.30-91.50 zone before new upside leg. Strong US data midweek could temporarily lift JPY but broader BOJ dovishness remains the driver.
