POSSIBLE SELL SETUP EURCAD ***RISK MANAGEMENT***This chart shows EUR/CAD rejecting resistance around 1.6110, breaking out of the bullish channel. Price is expected to drop further towards the 1.5900–1.5850 support zone. 📉
For this EUR/CAD short setup, here’s a simple risk management plan:
Entry: Around 1.6100–1.6080 (after rejection confirmation).
Stop Loss (SL): Above recent highs, e.g. 1.6150–1.6170.
Take Profit (TP): First target near 1.5950, extended target 1.5850.
Risk-to-Reward (RR): Aim for at least 1:2 or better.
Position Size: Risk only 1–2% of account equity per trade.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD Pullback Toward 0.65000 as Dollar Weakens Ahead of US PCEHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.65000 zone. AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 0.65000 — an important area where buyers may look to step in.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is breaking below 98.100 support, pointing to further downside. A bearish DXY combined with bullish Gold strengthens the case for AUDUSD upside.
Event risk: Today’s US PCE release is key.
A soft print would reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, supporting dollar weakness.
A hot print could complicate the bearish dollar narrative.
Next move: Monitoring how AUDUSD reacts around 0.65000 to assess whether buyers regain control or if deeper correction unfolds.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Australian dollar extends gains, hits three-week highThe Australian dollar is coming off a positive week and has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6556, up 0.27% on the day. Earlier, the Aussie rose as high as 0.6560, its highest level since August 11. With US markets closed for Labor Day, we're unlikely to see stronger movement from AUD/USD during the day.
China's manufacturing sector continues to contract and that could spell trouble for the Australian economy and the Aussie. China's manufacturing PMI for August inched higher to 49.4 from 49.3 in August. This missed the market forecast of 49.5 and marked the fight straight month of contraction in manufacturing.
The manufacturing industry has been dampened by weak global demand and US tariffs on Chinese products. The drop in manufacturing activity means there has been less demand for iron ore from Australia, which is used in the production of steel. This has resulted in a decline in iron ore prices, which has weighed on the Australian dollar and dampened Australia's export-reliant economy.
The US core personal consumption expenditures price index (core PCE), the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, ticked higher to 2.9% in July, up from 2.8% in June. This matched the market estimate and was a five-month high. Monthly, core PCE rose 0.3%, unchanged from June and in line with the market estimate. The slight rise in US core inflation has raised expectations of a rate cut at the Fed's September 17 meeting to 89%, up from 86% just before the core PCE release on Friday.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 06552. Above, there is resistance at 0.6563 and 0.6578
0.6537 and 0.6526 are providing support
AUDUSD Daily Chart Analysis -Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Chart Analysis
📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25
Good day, Traders 👋
AUDUSD is currently showing potential for both 🔼 long and 🔽 short positions, with a clearly defined trading range visible on the higher time frames 🕰️.
While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉.
I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades.
Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈
— FRGNT 🔐
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD H4 | Could the Aussie Be Setting Up for a Reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.6550, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6590, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6500, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD-USD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 0.6624
Which is now a support
Then made a retest and
A rebound so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish Reversal Forming off Key Resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6543
1st Support: 0.6383
1st Resistance: 0.6644
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Full analysis & breakdown on EURGBP and AUDUSDFull analysis & breakdown on EURGBP and AUDUSD
Not too much to dive into in terms of charts for Week 36, given the way price action closed out last week.
However, there are clear trading ranges forming on a couple of key pairs — and with them, some directional bias we can work with.
This week, I’ll be keeping a close eye on:
EURGBP
AUDUSD
Both pairs are offering defined ranges and structure-based opportunities that I’ll break down below.
FRGNT
AUDUSD Q3 W36 Y25 ForecastHigher Time Frame Overview (Weekly/Da🔎 AUDUSD Q3 W36 Y25 Forecast
🧠 Higher Time Frame Overview (Weekly/Daily)
There hasn’t been much aggressive movement on the higher timeframes, particularly the weekly and daily charts. That said:
The 50 EMA is sitting comfortably in the middle of price action for August, suggesting consolidation or a clear range-bound market.
This kind of environment offers defined trading ranges, making lower timeframe setups more actionable for both swing and intraday traders.
✅ Plan of Action
🔹 Bullish Bias on Higher Time Frames
Week 35 closed with strong bullish price action, pushing the daily candle above the 50EMA.
This provides confirmation for a higher-probability long setup from range lows.
The weekly candle also supports bullish continuation, forming a solid base and momentum structure.
🔔 Bias: Bullish on higher time frames — prefer buying from support levels or imbalance zones.
🔍 Lower Time Frame Strategy (4H / 15M)
🔸 4H Analysis
A clear 4H order block led to the creation of a lower low, identifying a potential point of interest (POI) for a pullback and intraday short.
Target for the short idea includes:
Weekly imbalance zone
Daily 50EMA
Weekly 50EMA
⚠️ Short positions should be considered countertrend, so:
Stop-losses should be moved to breakeven quickly once structural levels are broken.
Use tight risk management and watch for early signs of rejection from key zones.
🔸 15-Minute Confirmation
Looking for a break of structure (BOS) on the 15M chart to confirm bearish intent.
After BOS, wait for a pullback into a 15M POI before entering a continuation short.
FRGNT
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD – Plan Ready for Both ScenariosWe're patiently waiting for price to reach our key zone. If we get a valid sell signal, we’ll take the short.
But if the market breaks above this level with strength and gives us a clean pullback, we’re ready to go long.
No guessing. No hoping. Just reacting to what the market shows us.
📌 Discipline over prediction.
AUDUSD H4 | Price Approaching Major Resistance The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 199% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.6558, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6619, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.6496, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Bulls Wake Up | Long Setup After CPI ReportToday I want to share with you my LONG position on AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) on the pretext of the release of the CPI y/y index .
Let's take a look at the AUDUSD from a fundamental and technical perspective .
AUDUSD Fundamental Outlook:
Australia’s CPI surprised to the upside at 2.8% YoY (vs. 2.3% exp., 1.9% prev.), mainly boosted by higher electricity costs after rebates expired. Core inflation (trimmed mean) also rose to 2.7% , reducing the odds of a near-term RBA rate cut.
Short-term : Mildly bullish — strong CPI supports AUD as markets price out aggressive RBA easing.
Medium-term : Neutral-to-slightly bullish — sustainability of inflation is uncertain since part of the rise came from temporary energy factors.
----------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the AUDUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
AUDUSD is approaching the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Support zone($0.6450-$0.6437) , the Yearly Pivot Point , and a Heavy Support zone($0.6440-$0.6338) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , AUDUSD appears to be completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave on the 1-hour time frame is most likely an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect AUDUSD to start rising to at least $0.6490 .
Second Target: $0.6514
Stop Loss(SL): $0.6425(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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AUDUSD Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.652.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.649 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish Momentum Building?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6491
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.6451
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.6558
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish Reversal at Pullback Resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6532
1st Support: 0.6495
1st Resistance: 0.6558
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU/USD | Breakout or Pullback? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday, where he hinted at the possibility of upcoming interest rate cuts, gold experienced a strong bullish rally and surged up to $3379! Currently, gold is trading around $3373, and if the price manages to stabilize below $3379, we could expect a potential pullback towards lower levels to fill the FVG area.
However, if the price breaks above $3380, we may see further upside momentum, with the next bullish targets set at $3385 and $3398. This analysis will be updated soon depending on which scenario plays out, so stay tuned for the upcoming updates!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Australian CPI expected to jump, Aussie steadyThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/IUSD is trading at 0.6468, down 0.40% on the day.
Australia's CPI for July surprised on the upside, jumping to 2.8% y/y. This followed a 1.9% gain in June and was above the market estimate of 2.3%. The spike in inflation, the highest level since July 2024, was driven by a sharp increase in electricity prices due to the end of government electricity rebates for many households. The trimmed mean, a key gauge of core CPI, rose to 2.7% in July from 2.1% in June.
The surprise jump in inflation has dampened expectations for a September rate cut. The money markets have reduced the probability of a rate cut to 22%, down from 30% before the inflation release.
Despite the hot inflation report, the Reserve Bank is expected to continue its easing cycle, with a 61% probability of a cut in November. The central bank remains very concerned about inflation but is also focused on employment, with the labor market showing signs of weakening.
The minutes of the RBA's August meeting said that upcoming rate decisions would depend on the data. The RBA meets next on September 19 and there are three key releases in September prior to the meeting - inflation, GDP and employment. The RBA has surprised the markets before and if these upcoming releases show a drop in economic activity or inflation, the RBA could respond with a rate cut next month.
The nasty feud between the Federal Reserve and Donald Trump has taken another twist, as the President said he had removed Fed Governor Lisa Cook due over charges that she made false statements on mortgage applications. The Fed says that Trump does not have authority to fire Cook. This latest spat further undermines the credibility of the US and could hurt the US dollar.
AUDUSD: Uptrend SupportedCurrently, AUDUSD is showing a steady uptrend, with the price staying above important support levels and gradually moving towards the next resistance levels. The chart shows a break of the 0.64700 resistance, which opens up further growth potential. The nearest target for this pair is 0.65600, and if the trend continues, AUDUSD may push further upwards.
Fundamental Analysis: After Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks, the weakening of the USD has given more strength to the AUD. If the core PCE index on August 29 comes in lower than expected, this could result in a less aggressive rate hike, weakening the USD, while both gold and AUD continue to rise.
Trading Strategy: If the price of AUDUSD breaks through the 0.64700 resistance zone, consider opening a buy position with a target at 0.65600. To protect the trade, set a stop-loss below the 0.64700 support level. In case of a price correction, the 0.64700 level remains an important point to monitor for a continuation of the uptrend.
With supporting technical and fundamental factors, the uptrend of AUDUSD is likely to continue in the near future. Keep an eye on economic news and adjust strategies accordingly to take advantage of this upward momentum.
Australian CPI To Keep The RBA Cautious On RatesAustralia's monthly headline inflation metrics were all above expectations. While the basing effect and likely one-off electricity costs are a factor, it doesn't explain everything. I look at some of the CPI report's internals and outline what I think this means for AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish dropThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.6492, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6531, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6452, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Strong sell opportunity above he 1D MA50.The AUDUSD pair is rebounding after almost touching the 3-month Higher Lows trend-line and is about to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Any long-term upside attempt is restricted by the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line, with the last sell signal coming above the 1D MA50.
As a result, we are waiting to sell this and target the Inner Lower Lows at 0.64150.
Pay close attention also to the 1D RSI's top Channel for a sell.
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