AUD/USD Bearish Setup with Targets ExplainedFenzoFx—AUD/USD formed new lower lows and lower highs after it was displaced by closing below $0.6485. Interestingly, the pair created equal lows at $0.6418. This indicates the trend should be considered bearish, and liquidity is present below $0.6418.
Currently, AUD/USD is consolidating by tapping into the bearish order block. From a technical perspective, we expect the downtrend to resume.
Targets: $0.6418 followed by $0.6372.
Audusdanalysis
Australian Dollar Surges SharplyAustralian Dollar Surges Sharply
As illustrated by the AUD/USD chart, while the pair was trading near a two-month low at the start of Friday, today it has jumped by more than 1.1%.
The primary driver behind this rally is the weakening US dollar, which reflects the market’s reaction to Jerome Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole Symposium. He stated that the risks of declining employment are rising. And if these risks materialise, it could happen very quickly. According to Reuters, this strengthens the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut at its meeting next month.
At the same time, market participants are preparing for the release of Australia’s CPI data, scheduled for this Wednesday.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD
On 14 August, we reviewed the dynamics of the Australian dollar and highlighted the following:
→ a descending channel was identified, with the AUD/USD chart signalling prevailing bearish sentiment;
→ the psychological level of 0.6500 was marked as critical.
Since then:
→ the pair broke through the support line S around 0.6500;
→ on Friday it dropped to a two-month low;
→ but today it is showing signs of strength.
What Could Happen Next?
Bearish outlook:
→ the pair remains within the descending channel;
→ low 5 continues the sequence of lower highs and lower lows;
→ the sharp rally in AUD/USD might prove to be an overly emotional reaction to the Fed Chair’s remarks.
Bullish outlook:
→ when forming low 5, the price fell only slightly below low 3. In SMC terminology, this can be interpreted as a bullish Liquidity Grab;
→ the black arrow indicates a long lower shadow – a sign that demand persisted over the weekend.
Price action suggests an attempt to test the resistance area formed by:
→ the 0.6500 level,
→ the QH line dividing the upper half of the channel into two quarters,
→ the bearish candle (marked with a red arrow), where selling pressure was previously aggressive, breaking support at S – meaning supply dominance may still remain to some extent.
If bulls manage to secure a foothold above 0.6500, this mght be interpreted as a significant shift in market sentiment in favour of demand. In the longer term, this could drive AUD/USD towards the upper boundary of the channel (with a possible breakout scenario).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Starts Recovery, Key Hurdles AheadMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Starts Recovery, Key Hurdles Ahead
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from 0.6415.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6415 and moved higher against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair formed a base above 0.6415. The Aussie Dollar started a significant increase above 0.6425 against the US Dollar to enter a short-term positive zone.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6568 swing high to the 0.6415 low. The pair even surpassed 0.6470 and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level at 0.6490. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.6520.
An upside break above 0.6520 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major target is near the 0.6540 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6565. If there is no close above 0.6490, the pair might start a fresh decline.
Immediate support sits near the 0.6470 level. The next area of interest could be 0.6440. If there is a downside break below 0.6440 support, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.6410. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6350.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Australian Dollar Retreats from August HighsAustralian Dollar Retreats from August Highs
This week, forex traders’ attention is firmly on the AUD/USD market following key news releases from Australia:
→ Tuesday: Interest rate decision. According to ForexFactory, analysts’ forecasts were confirmed as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 3.85% to 3.60%.
→ Today: Labour market statistics revealed that the unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%.
This dynamic fundamental backdrop has driven a rich technical setup on the AUD/USD chart, where bearish sentiment currently prevails.
Technical Analysis of the AUD/USD Chart
Since last month, AUD/USD price movements have been forming a descending channel (highlighted in red), and this week’s reversal from the August high reinforces its relevance.
Key factors emphasising the market’s bearish bias include:
→ Double top pattern formed by recent highs A and B. Notably, the long upper wicks of the candlesticks reflect increasing selling pressure.
→ The August upward move, marked by purple trendlines, may represent a corrective bear flag within the dominant downtrend.
→ Bearish RSI divergence – present not only between highs A and B, but also relative to the 7 July peak.
Potential Support Levels:
→ Lower purple trendline;
→ Line Q, which divides the upper half of the channel into two quarters;
→ The 0.65 psychological level – previously defended strongly by bulls, as evidenced by the wide bullish candle on 12 August, when price surged easily (a sign of buying imbalance).
These supports collectively form a key demand zone (shaded in purple). Bears will need significant momentum to break through this area and extend the prevailing downtrend in AUD/USD through August 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD Continues the UP Move ??!!After touching strong downs on every larger time frame, AUDUSD Continues to catch the Bullish Momentum. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market.
Disclaimer:
The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Much Higher—Uptrend Shows StrengthMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Much Higher—Uptrend Shows Strength
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6480 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6470 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6540 zone. A high was formed near 0.6541 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6449 swing low to the 0.6541 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level. If there is a downside break below 0.6495, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6470 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6530. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530.
The first major resistance might be 0.6540. An upside break above it might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6580 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6600 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD: Rate Cut Tuesday + Price At A Daily -FVG! Time To Sell?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Then last, although the week's trading range was small, the Weekly candle closed as a bearish Inside Bar. This, as price made contact with a -FVG! The scenario could be laying the ground work for a new bearish leg to form.
Couple the above with an interest rate cut coming Tuesday for the AUD, and August being a historically bad month for the aussie, things could get real interesting for sellers next week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Ready for the Aussie Heist? Is This the Perfect Entry?🚨💰 - "The Aussie Vault Raid: Bullish Robbery in Progress!" 💰🚨
AUD/USD Forex Trade Idea (Thief Style Swing/Day Plan)
📈🔥 Designed for Thief Traders, Market Robbers & Money Makers Worldwide 🤑🐱👤💸
🌍 Hello Global Robbers!
🌟 Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Salaam! Konnichiwa! 🌟
Welcome to another bold heist plan from the Thief Trading Crew. This one’s a high-stakes raid on the AUD/USD — "The Aussie" — using our signature Thief Trading Style, combining raw technical setups with real macro/fundamental edge. We're eyeing the Bullish Vault Breakout, so tighten up your gloves — it’s time to rob smart, not hard.
🔓💸 ENTRY PLAN – “The Vault is Unlocked!”
Grab the bullish loot at any valid price zone — but here’s how real thieves move:
📍 Recommended Entry Style:
Use Buy Limit Orders near local swing lows, demand zones, or key pullback entries on the 15m to 30m chart.
Execute DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) / Layered Orders for more precision.
Align with your MA lines & candle structures for max confirmation.
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Escape Route Secured”
📍 SL hidden beneath recent swing lows below MA (on 4H):
🎯 Suggested Level: 0.64550
💡 Custom-fit your SL based on:
Trade size
Number of active positions
Account risk strategy
🎯 PROFIT TARGET – “Cash Out Before the Cops Show!”
🏴☠️ Take-Profit Zone: 0.66400
This is our bullish breakout reward zone — a high-value zone where profit meets safety.
🔍 MARKET OUTLOOK – "Cops Are Watching, but We're Ahead..."
📈 The AUD/USD market is flashing bullish momentum, supported by:
✅ Risk sentiment flow
✅ US Dollar weakness and rate expectations
✅ Intermarket signals from commodities (Gold/Iron)
✅ Positive macro positioning from smart money (via COT)
✅ Technical demand forming reversal patterns from oversold zones
📎 For a deeper breakdown —
📰 Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment | Intermarket Analysis — Check Klick 🔗
⚠️ THIEF ALERT – “Avoid Sirens. Watch the News.”
Stay out of trouble by following these protocols during major news events:
🚫 Don’t enter trades blindly before/after big news
📍 Use trailing stops to protect gains
🔄 Adjust SL/TP if price nears breakout points during volatility
💥 SUPPORT THE CREW – “Smash That Boost Button!”
Love the plan? Then Boost this chart to show love for the Thief Trading Movement.
Every like, comment, and boost adds power to our robbery network across the globe. 🌍❤️💰
⚖️ DISCLAIMER – “Not Financial Advice, Just Thief Vibes”
📌 This analysis is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
📌 Trade at your own risk and always do your own analysis.
📌 Market moves fast — stay sharp, stay stealthy.
**🎭 See you at the next heist.
Until then, trade rich. Rob wise.
Thief Trader out. 🐱👤💰📉📈**
AUDUSD(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
0.6489
Support and Resistance Levels:
0.6538
0.6520
0.6508
0.6470
0.6458
0.6440
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6508, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 0.6520. If the price breaks below 0.6489, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 0.6470
AUDUSD – SHORT POSITION TRADE BREAKDOWN Q3 | W32 | D6 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – SHORT POSITION TRADE BREAKDOWN
Q3 | W32 | D6 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
AUD/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a likely setup for further downside. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
---
Technical Summary
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 0.64688
EMA 200: 0.65140 (price is below = bearish bias)
RSI (14): 48.23 (neutral to slightly bearish)
--
Key Observations
1. Break of Trendline:
The previous ascending trendline (black) was broken to the downside.
This indicates a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
2. Resistance Rejection Zone:
Price recently retested a strong supply/resistance zone (yellow box near 0.65140) and was rejected.
This aligns with the 200 EMA → strong confluence for a sell setup.
3. Market Structure:
Price is forming lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control.
The chart shows a projection of a bearish continuation pattern (zig-zag decline).
4. Target Zone:
Final target marked near 0.63700–0.63699, a previous support level.
This gives the setup a decent risk-reward ratio if the rejection holds.
5. RSI:
RSI is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum, but not oversold—still room to move down.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bearish
Sell Zone: Near the resistance area (0.65000–0.65150)
Target: 0.63700 zone
Stop Loss: Likely above 0.65200 (above resistance and EMA 200)
Confirmation: Price action forming lower highs and staying below EMA 200
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
AUDUSD BUY
AUD/USD rises to near 0.6480 as accelerating Fed dovish bets weigh on US Dollar
The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6480 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair gains as demand for risk-perceived assets has increased, following an increase in market expectations that the Fed could resume its monetary expansion cycle in the September meeting
The AUD/USD currency pair, commonly known as the “Aussie”, represents how many US dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Australian dollar (the base currency). Alongside the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the AUD is considered a commodity currency due to Australia’s significant exports of raw materials such as precious metals, Oil, and agricultural products.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has historically maintained higher interest rates compared to other industrialized nations. Combined with the relatively high liquidity of the AUD, this has made the AUD attractive for carry traders looking for higher yields.
SUPPORT 0.64852
SUPPORT 0.65074
SUPPORT 0.65285
RESISTANCE 0.64498
AUDUSD(20250805)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times starting in September; a 50 basis point cut is possible if the unemployment rate rises further.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
0.6470
Support and Resistance Levels:
0.6500
0.6489
0.6482
0.6459
0.6451
0.6440
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6470, consider buying, with the first target price at 0.6489. If the price breaks below 0.6459, consider selling, with the first target price at 0.6440.
Ready for the Aussie Heist? Is This the Perfect Entry?🚨💰 - "The Aussie Vault Raid: Bullish Robbery in Progress!" 💰🚨
AUD/USD Forex Trade Idea (Thief Style Swing/Day Plan)
📈🔥 Designed for Thief Traders, Market Robbers & Money Makers Worldwide 🤑🐱👤💸
🌍 Hello Global Robbers!
🌟 Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Salaam! Konnichiwa! 🌟
Welcome to another bold heist plan from the Thief Trading Crew. This one’s a high-stakes raid on the AUD/USD — "The Aussie" — using our signature Thief Trading Style, combining raw technical setups with real macro/fundamental edge. We're eyeing the Bullish Vault Breakout, so tighten up your gloves — it’s time to rob smart, not hard.
🔓💸 ENTRY PLAN – “The Vault is Unlocked!”
Grab the bullish loot at any valid price zone — but here’s how real thieves move:
📍 Recommended Entry Style:
Use Buy Limit Orders near local swing lows, demand zones, or key pullback entries on the 15m to 30m chart.
Execute DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) / Layered Orders for more precision.
Align with your MA lines & candle structures for max confirmation.
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Escape Route Secured”
📍 SL hidden beneath recent swing lows below MA (on 4H):
🎯 Suggested Level: 0.64170
💡 Custom-fit your SL based on:
Trade size
Number of active positions
Account risk strategy
🎯 PROFIT TARGET – “Cash Out Before the Cops Show!”
🏴☠️ Take-Profit Zone: 0.66400
This is our bullish breakout reward zone — a high-value zone where profit meets safety.
🔍 MARKET OUTLOOK – "Cops Are Watching, but We're Ahead..."
📈 The AUD/USD market is flashing bullish momentum, supported by:
✅ Risk sentiment flow
✅ US Dollar weakness and rate expectations
✅ Intermarket signals from commodities (Gold/Iron)
✅ Positive macro positioning from smart money (via COT)
✅ Technical demand forming reversal patterns from oversold zones
📎 For a deeper breakdown —
📰 Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment | Intermarket Analysis — Check Klick 🔗
⚠️ THIEF ALERT – “Avoid Sirens. Watch the News.”
Stay out of trouble by following these protocols during major news events:
🚫 Don’t enter trades blindly before/after big news
📍 Use trailing stops to protect gains
🔄 Adjust SL/TP if price nears breakout points during volatility
💥 SUPPORT THE CREW – “Smash That Boost Button!”
Love the plan? Then Boost this chart to show love for the Thief Trading Movement.
Every like, comment, and boost adds power to our robbery network across the globe. 🌍❤️💰
⚖️ DISCLAIMER – “Not Financial Advice, Just Thief Vibes”
📌 This analysis is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
📌 Trade at your own risk and always do your own analysis.
📌 Market moves fast — stay sharp, stay stealthy.
**🎭 See you at the next heist.
Until then, trade rich. Rob wise.
Thief Trader out. 🐱👤💰📉📈**
AUDUSD: Dropping To the Weekly FVG, As Expected!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for July 31 - Aug 1st.
AUDUSD
Been waiting and watching for this move, and we've tracked it for weeks! It's happening now!
Look for it to continue until we reach the +FVG!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
AUDUSD Will Keep Falling!
HI,Traders !
#AUDUSD keeps falling down
And the pair made a strong
Bearish breakout of the key
Horizontal key level of 0.64796
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
AUDUSD 2 step liquidity grab and drop?AUDUSD 4h has rejected twice from a key area after yesterday's massive breakdown with AUD negative data. Price has done a narrow pullback then this session is rejecting again with a stronger momentum could continue to drop to support. As 4h price action showing strong bearish move we may see continuation of the down trend!
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker.
The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg.
Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months.
US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week.
SUPPORT 0.65593
SUPPORT 0.65424
SUPPORT 0.65593
RESISTSNCE 0.65050
RESISTANCE 0.64973
AUDUSD(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buy and sell boundaries:
0.6538
Support and resistance levels:
0.6610
0.6583
0.6566
0.6511
0.6493
0.6466
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6538, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6566
If the price breaks through 0.6511, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6493
AUDUSD(20250725)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6598
Support and resistance levels:
0.6638
0.6623
0.6613
0.6583
0.6573
0.6559
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6598, consider buying in, with the first target price of 0.6613
If the price breaks through 0.6583, consider selling in, with the first target price of 0.6573
AUDUSD Forming Strong Bullish MomentumAUDUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum, confirming a key breakout from recent consolidation. After multiple rejections at support zones, price action has now surged through previous resistance levels around 0.6600, signaling a bullish trend continuation. As seen on the 12H chart, the pair is respecting a series of higher lows and forming a clean ascending structure, with a fresh impulse wave now aiming toward the 0.6800–0.6820 target zone.
On the fundamental front, the Australian dollar is gaining strength as recent macro data supports a more optimistic economic outlook. Australia’s labor market remains tight, and inflation prints have come in hotter than expected, increasing speculation that the RBA may maintain a hawkish tone. Meanwhile, the US dollar is under pressure as markets continue to price in a potential Fed rate cut in the coming months, especially amid signs of slowing economic momentum and easing CPI. This divergence is helping AUDUSD push higher.
Technically, buyers are clearly in control. Each dip into demand zones has been aggressively bought, and the current price action confirms continuation. The recent break above 0.6600 is a significant technical development, and as long as price holds above the 0.6520–0.6500 support zone, I expect the pair to grind higher toward 0.6819 and beyond. Risk-reward remains favorable for buyers with a clear bullish structure intact.
With strong bullish confluence both fundamentally and technically, AUDUSD offers a high-probability long opportunity. I’ll be looking for continuation setups on lower timeframes while managing risk below key support. The trend is your friend here—stay with the bulls as the market positions ahead of upcoming US economic releases.






















