Alibaba Weekly Elliot Waves AnalysisBABA is currently in Wave 5. I believe BABA Wave 5 will be an ABC correction. With that being said, I expect a relief pump (wave B) to happen which will last for 1-2 weeks before we continue dumping. I have buy orders set for $85/$86 and at worse, $58. $100 support looks weak based on the lower Fibonacci targets. Be diligent with this one!
(Side Note: Wave 1 was also an ABC correction which is why the last wave will be similar to the first.)
You can learn more about this analysis by researching ABC corrections and Zigzags. Thank you!
BABA
BABA Perfect long positionNYSE:BABA is at a strong level ahead of its next upcoming earnings, I am looking for it to continue within its already formed parallel channel on the weekly chart. The daily shows a strong rejection of its 50ema, consequently breaking a previous swing high. the break indicates possibility of bullish momentum through the level. The current consolidation phase into the long term trend and the consolidation occurring on the long term volume profile POC, all act as positive confluence to the general idea of a mid-long term buy position on BABA. CN50 is also showing great strength on the monthly chart, which is a great confluence with BABA's overall performance.
Constriction of Bollinger daily bands is an added confluence, indicating the potential for increased volatility and a large move to come out of this consolidation phase in the near term.
I have entered a large long position, with stops shown at levels shown on chart to allow the trade to breath in the midst of unexpected volatility around earnings etc. Stops and tp may be adjusted as conditions change.
Goodluck trading ;)
Ali BABA Potential Huge Up Targets ALi BABA have Potential Huge Up Targets with potential 3 years accumulation range from March 2022 to today 15 August 2025.
P&F Chart targets calculations
ATR 20 1 Box Size 3.5 calculated on 15-08-2025
Position Opened on 13-08-2025
News on 15-08-2025:
Saudi Investment Sold all 1.6 Million American Depository shares in BABA in Q2 2025 Ending its investment in the Company!!!!!!!
Lets see what this chart will unfold in the future
BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
Alibaba - Here we have the final bottom!🏮Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally created its bottom:
🔎Analysis summary:
As we are speaking, Alibaba finally managed to create a long term bottom formation. Specifically with the recent bullish break and retest, bulls are picking up momentum. We just have to see a break above the current key resistance level in the foreseeable future!
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BABA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$BABA - Structure Confirmed, Targets In Motion - 9/24/2025Back in February, we discussed how NYSE:BABA was approaching the final stages of a reversal pattern. That call has now been confirmed with the structure concluding at $117. What followed was nothing short of explosive—a 51% upswing rally that’s currently unfolding with strong momentum. 📈
Note: The stock bounced twice off the 50-week moving average, signaling strong support as the correction neared its end.
The chart highlights the projected targets for this new rally, and for transparency and educational value, the internal wave structure and labeling have been intentionally left visible. This is especially insightful for traders exploring Modern Trading Algorithms and their structural variations.
Let the rally do the talking! 📊. 🚀
Happy Trading!
$190 -$200 a possible level for BABA$190 -$200 a possible level for BABA.
I woke up to the news of possible collaboration between Alibaba and Nvidia AI collaboration.
With the AI demand and this news, I think the fundamental is great.
Technically, I will be looking at BABA pushing towards $190 zone, or to a psychological level of $200.
Remail positive and trade with care
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
Why BABA Alibaba Could Rebound Strongly by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought BABA before the recent rally:
What you need to know:
BABA’s fundamentals, fueled by e-commerce, cloud, and AI, support its technical bullishness:
E-commerce and Cloud Rebound:
Q1 2025 revenue grew 7% year-over-year, with Taobao/Tmall rebounding and cloud revenue surging due to AI demand.
Alibaba’s cloud division, China’s largest, benefits from hyperscaler AI workloads, with 15% profit margin projections by 2029.
AI Leadership:
BABA’s AI assistant and generative AI tools drove a 70% stock surge in early 2025, positioning it as a leader in China’s AI race.
At 12x forward P/E with 8% revenue CAGR, BABA is undervalued (fair value ~$162).
Share Buybacks:
Aggressive share repurchasing (6% annual reduction) boosts EPS, with $1 trillion GMV reinforcing e-commerce dominance.
Macro Tailwinds:
Easing CCP regulations and China’s stimulus measures (e.g., rate cuts) support BABA’s rally.
Minimal U.S. exposure insulates BABA from trade war risks.
Conclusion: BABA’s Path to $168
BABA’s technicals, with a bullish breaker and wedge, signal a breakout above $125–$130, targeting $150–$168 by year-end 2025. Fundamentally, its e-commerce dominance, cloud/AI growth, and undervaluation make it a standout. Traders should buy dips near $110–$115 or await a $130 breakout. With stimulus and buybacks as catalysts, BABA is set to soar.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-3-20,
for a premium of approximately $10.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out):
Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation.
Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong.
Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target.
MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation.
📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals.
Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now:
Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength.
Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings.
Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup.
⚠️ Main Risk Factor:
U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News).
✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings Report
Alibaba published its second-quarter report on Friday morning. Although the company’s gross revenue came in below analysts’ forecasts ($34.6bn vs $35.1bn), BABA’s share price surged by around 13% (to its highest level since March) as the market reacted positively to:
→ Faster growth in cloud services revenue, seen as key to the company’s success in monetising artificial intelligence, similar to Microsoft and Google.
→ Testing of a new processor designed to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
Technical analysis of Alibaba (BABA) shares
When analysing BABA’s price movements in early July, we identified a resistance zone at $126–$145.
Since then, the price tested the $126 level twice in August, reversing downwards each time. However, the earnings release triggered a wide bullish gap, meaning that $126 could now act as support.
Further bullish arguments:
→ The A-B-C-D-E formation created a contracting triangle, which can be interpreted as a long-term balance of supply and demand. The current bullish impulse breaks this balance, pointing to the potential for a major bullish trend.
→ Starting from point D, price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with its median and lower boundary potentially serving as support.
From a bearish perspective, the sharp 19% rise could encourage investors to take profits on existing long positions, as the RSI indicator has moved into overbought territory and BABA’s share price is close to the upper boundary of the blue channel.
Taking all of this into account, we could assume that after the initial strong emotional reaction to the news, the market may reassess its impact and BABA’s share price could correct (for instance, towards the lower boundary of the gap at $128.22).
At the same time, the strong fundamental outlook, driven by the company’s prospects of becoming a leader in the AI sector, suggests that by the end of 2025 we may see an attempt to break above the March high (point A).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BABA About to EXPLODE—Weekly 140C Play—Don’t Miss Out
# 🐂💎 BABA WEEKLY OPTIONS ALERT (2025-09-01) 🚀📈🔥
### 📊 Multi-Model Consensus → **STRONG BULLISH**
* ✅ **Momentum:** RSI Daily 71 / Weekly 74 📈
* ✅ **Volume Surge:** 🔺 2.9x last week → Institutions loading bags 👜
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Calls ≈ 2.84x puts 💥
* ✅ **Volatility:** VIX \~15.3 → perfect for calls 🎯
---
### 🎯 Recommended Trade (Consensus Pick)
👉 **BABA 140C (2025-09-05)**
💵 Entry: \~\$1.59
🛑 Stop: \$0.95 (-40%)
🎯 Target: \$2.39 (+50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-adjust)
⏰ Entry: Market open
🔥 Confidence: 85%
---
### ⚡ Aggressive Play (OTM)
👉 **BABA 145C (\~\$0.84)**
⚡ Higher leverage, stronger flow, but faster theta decay ⏳
---
### 🕒 Risk & Exit Plan
* Close **by Thursday EOD** 🗓️ (avoid Friday theta/gamma trap)
* Stick to stop-loss & risk sizing 💡
* Watch for profit-taking after +9.8% last week 📉
---
📌 **Trade JSON (for algo/backtest nerds 🤓)**
```json
{
"instrument": "BABA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 140.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 0.85,
"profit_target": 2.39,
"stop_loss": 0.95,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.59,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 22:19:55 EDT"
}
```
---
\#️⃣ **Hashtags / Tags**
\#BABA #OptionsTrading #FlowTrading #StockMarket 🚀📈🔥
\#UnusualOptionsActivity #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyFlow
\#CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #ChinaStocks
Is Alibaba a Buy: Fundamental Deep DiveWe have looked over some key metrics of Alibaba.
Based on Revenue, Debt, Net Income, PE, Free Cash Flow and other metric we have concluded that Alibaba can continue to move higher.
We provide some baseline targets based off of wall street EPS estimates.
We prove some hyperbolic targets based off of historical median PE targets.
Its amazing how much risk premium is built into this China valuation as Alibaba sure looks good.
EPS is set to continue to surge, Cap Ex spending should slow, net debt has been reducing.
All key metrics support a stronger balance sheet and a continued growth.
Baba cloud division is finally turning profitable and if this continues will be a major tailwind for the stock.
New AI chip development could catapult this stock as it tries to capture a tiny share of NVDA market.
We have been long NYSE:BABA since early July and will continue to buy on pullbacks (Not FA advice)
Is Alibaba entering a stage 2 breakout formation? This video depicts a pure technical summary of Alibaba on multiple different time frames.
We will follow this video up with a fundamental view.
Using previous cycles we believe Alibaba is poised for a 12-24 month explosive move.
Baba looks o be entering the explosive stage 2 formation.
Breaking out and defending monthly chart support...Baba looks great on all time frames.
Many bullish patterns are triggering....Weekly bull flags / inverse head and shoulders.
The minimum upside target if the bullflag completes is around 160 - 165.
We have been long Baba since early July when it kissed the daily 200 MA.
Alibaba - This chart is pretty bullish!🎁Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw the perfect creation of the rounding bottom on Alibaba, the trend finally shifted back to bullish. Especially with the recent bullish break and retest, Alibaba is now preparing for another major move higher. All we need now is simple bullish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BABA 1M: Chinese favorite rising againTechnical setup:
Breakout from long-term triangle
Retest of trendline confirmed
Price holds above Fibo 0.236 (116.94)
First resistance: 151.85
Fibo targets:
→ 0.5: 187.82
→ 0.618: 219.50
Trade plan:
→ Hold after successful retest
→ Add on dips to 116–118
Targets: 151.85 / 187.82 / 219.50
Fundamentals:
Alibaba is restructuring around cloud and AI. Regulatory pressure from China is easing, and earnings are stabilizing. Buybacks and renewed institutional interest provide strong mid-term support.
Conclusion:
Alibaba may fall seven times, but rise eight — especially when Fibo and price action agree.
Alibaba - A remarkable reversal!🛒Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reversed exactly here:
🔎Analysis summary:
Recently Alibaba has perfectly been respecting market structure. With the current bullish break and retest playing out, there is a very high chance that Alibaba will rally at least another +20%. But all of this chart behaviour just looks like we will witness a major bottom formation soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$110, $135
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Long $BABA - NYSE:BABA is testing 200 SMA
- NYSE:BABA moves are explodes higher then cools then retest support then explodes higher than the last high. It's called trading with higher wavelength
-> Move 1: Started April 2024 when the trend reversal started. $68 -> $89 with around +30% then retraced $90 -> $72 ( -20% )
-> Move 2: July 2024, $72 -> $116 (+61%) then retraced $116 -> $80 ( -31% )
-> Move 3: Jan 2025, $80 -> $146 (+ 82.5%) then retraced $146 -> $108?? ( correction underway ) ~ -26% so far
-> Move 4: Likely from $100-105 to $180-200






















