BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
BABA
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings Report
Alibaba published its second-quarter report on Friday morning. Although the company’s gross revenue came in below analysts’ forecasts ($34.6bn vs $35.1bn), BABA’s share price surged by around 13% (to its highest level since March) as the market reacted positively to:
→ Faster growth in cloud services revenue, seen as key to the company’s success in monetising artificial intelligence, similar to Microsoft and Google.
→ Testing of a new processor designed to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
Technical analysis of Alibaba (BABA) shares
When analysing BABA’s price movements in early July, we identified a resistance zone at $126–$145.
Since then, the price tested the $126 level twice in August, reversing downwards each time. However, the earnings release triggered a wide bullish gap, meaning that $126 could now act as support.
Further bullish arguments:
→ The A-B-C-D-E formation created a contracting triangle, which can be interpreted as a long-term balance of supply and demand. The current bullish impulse breaks this balance, pointing to the potential for a major bullish trend.
→ Starting from point D, price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with its median and lower boundary potentially serving as support.
From a bearish perspective, the sharp 19% rise could encourage investors to take profits on existing long positions, as the RSI indicator has moved into overbought territory and BABA’s share price is close to the upper boundary of the blue channel.
Taking all of this into account, we could assume that after the initial strong emotional reaction to the news, the market may reassess its impact and BABA’s share price could correct (for instance, towards the lower boundary of the gap at $128.22).
At the same time, the strong fundamental outlook, driven by the company’s prospects of becoming a leader in the AI sector, suggests that by the end of 2025 we may see an attempt to break above the March high (point A).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BABA About to EXPLODE—Weekly 140C Play—Don’t Miss Out
# 🐂💎 BABA WEEKLY OPTIONS ALERT (2025-09-01) 🚀📈🔥
### 📊 Multi-Model Consensus → **STRONG BULLISH**
* ✅ **Momentum:** RSI Daily 71 / Weekly 74 📈
* ✅ **Volume Surge:** 🔺 2.9x last week → Institutions loading bags 👜
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Calls ≈ 2.84x puts 💥
* ✅ **Volatility:** VIX \~15.3 → perfect for calls 🎯
---
### 🎯 Recommended Trade (Consensus Pick)
👉 **BABA 140C (2025-09-05)**
💵 Entry: \~\$1.59
🛑 Stop: \$0.95 (-40%)
🎯 Target: \$2.39 (+50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-adjust)
⏰ Entry: Market open
🔥 Confidence: 85%
---
### ⚡ Aggressive Play (OTM)
👉 **BABA 145C (\~\$0.84)**
⚡ Higher leverage, stronger flow, but faster theta decay ⏳
---
### 🕒 Risk & Exit Plan
* Close **by Thursday EOD** 🗓️ (avoid Friday theta/gamma trap)
* Stick to stop-loss & risk sizing 💡
* Watch for profit-taking after +9.8% last week 📉
---
📌 **Trade JSON (for algo/backtest nerds 🤓)**
```json
{
"instrument": "BABA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 140.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 0.85,
"profit_target": 2.39,
"stop_loss": 0.95,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.59,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 22:19:55 EDT"
}
```
---
\#️⃣ **Hashtags / Tags**
\#BABA #OptionsTrading #FlowTrading #StockMarket 🚀📈🔥
\#UnusualOptionsActivity #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyFlow
\#CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #ChinaStocks
Is Alibaba a Buy: Fundamental Deep DiveWe have looked over some key metrics of Alibaba.
Based on Revenue, Debt, Net Income, PE, Free Cash Flow and other metric we have concluded that Alibaba can continue to move higher.
We provide some baseline targets based off of wall street EPS estimates.
We prove some hyperbolic targets based off of historical median PE targets.
Its amazing how much risk premium is built into this China valuation as Alibaba sure looks good.
EPS is set to continue to surge, Cap Ex spending should slow, net debt has been reducing.
All key metrics support a stronger balance sheet and a continued growth.
Baba cloud division is finally turning profitable and if this continues will be a major tailwind for the stock.
New AI chip development could catapult this stock as it tries to capture a tiny share of NVDA market.
We have been long NYSE:BABA since early July and will continue to buy on pullbacks (Not FA advice)
Is Alibaba entering a stage 2 breakout formation? This video depicts a pure technical summary of Alibaba on multiple different time frames.
We will follow this video up with a fundamental view.
Using previous cycles we believe Alibaba is poised for a 12-24 month explosive move.
Baba looks o be entering the explosive stage 2 formation.
Breaking out and defending monthly chart support...Baba looks great on all time frames.
Many bullish patterns are triggering....Weekly bull flags / inverse head and shoulders.
The minimum upside target if the bullflag completes is around 160 - 165.
We have been long Baba since early July when it kissed the daily 200 MA.
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out):
Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation.
Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong.
Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target.
MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation.
📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals.
Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now:
Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength.
Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings.
Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup.
⚠️ Main Risk Factor:
U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News).
✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 135usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-3-20,
for a premium of approximately $10.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Alibaba - This chart is pretty bullish!🎁Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw the perfect creation of the rounding bottom on Alibaba, the trend finally shifted back to bullish. Especially with the recent bullish break and retest, Alibaba is now preparing for another major move higher. All we need now is simple bullish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Ali BABA Potential Huge Up Targets ALi BABA have Potential Huge Up Targets with potential 3 years accumulation range from March 2022 to today 15 August 2025.
P&F Chart targets calculations
ATR 20 1 Box Size 3.5 calculated on 15-08-2025
Position Opened on 13-08-2025
News on 15-08-2025:
Saudi Investment Sold all 1.6 Million American Depository shares in BABA in Q2 2025 Ending its investment in the Company!!!!!!!
Lets see what this chart will unfold in the future
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
BABA Perfect long positionNYSE:BABA is at a strong level ahead of its next upcoming earnings, I am looking for it to continue within its already formed parallel channel on the weekly chart. The daily shows a strong rejection of its 50ema, consequently breaking a previous swing high. the break indicates possibility of bullish momentum through the level. The current consolidation phase into the long term trend and the consolidation occurring on the long term volume profile POC, all act as positive confluence to the general idea of a mid-long term buy position on BABA. CN50 is also showing great strength on the monthly chart, which is a great confluence with BABA's overall performance.
Constriction of Bollinger daily bands is an added confluence, indicating the potential for increased volatility and a large move to come out of this consolidation phase in the near term.
I have entered a large long position, with stops shown at levels shown on chart to allow the trade to breath in the midst of unexpected volatility around earnings etc. Stops and tp may be adjusted as conditions change.
Goodluck trading ;)
BABA 1M: Chinese favorite rising againTechnical setup:
Breakout from long-term triangle
Retest of trendline confirmed
Price holds above Fibo 0.236 (116.94)
First resistance: 151.85
Fibo targets:
→ 0.5: 187.82
→ 0.618: 219.50
Trade plan:
→ Hold after successful retest
→ Add on dips to 116–118
Targets: 151.85 / 187.82 / 219.50
Fundamentals:
Alibaba is restructuring around cloud and AI. Regulatory pressure from China is easing, and earnings are stabilizing. Buybacks and renewed institutional interest provide strong mid-term support.
Conclusion:
Alibaba may fall seven times, but rise eight — especially when Fibo and price action agree.
Alibaba - A remarkable reversal!🛒Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reversed exactly here:
🔎Analysis summary:
Recently Alibaba has perfectly been respecting market structure. With the current bullish break and retest playing out, there is a very high chance that Alibaba will rally at least another +20%. But all of this chart behaviour just looks like we will witness a major bottom formation soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$110, $135
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Long $BABA - NYSE:BABA is testing 200 SMA
- NYSE:BABA moves are explodes higher then cools then retest support then explodes higher than the last high. It's called trading with higher wavelength
-> Move 1: Started April 2024 when the trend reversal started. $68 -> $89 with around +30% then retraced $90 -> $72 ( -20% )
-> Move 2: July 2024, $72 -> $116 (+61%) then retraced $116 -> $80 ( -31% )
-> Move 3: Jan 2025, $80 -> $146 (+ 82.5%) then retraced $146 -> $108?? ( correction underway ) ~ -26% so far
-> Move 4: Likely from $100-105 to $180-200
$BABA 160+ before year end looks realistic thanks $NVDA- NASDAQ:NVDA export ban lifted for China will be beneficial for NASDAQ:NVDA for sure but main advantages would be for NYSE:BABA as they can get the shovels from the shop as well so that they can compete in Gold Rush and compete with NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:META and other private companies like Open AI and Anthropic.
- There are good universities in China and NYSE:BABA is regional big tech in China which gets great talent. I'm confident that NYSE:BABA would be able to compete with NASDAQ:META & NASDAQ:GOOGL in building LLMs even better with this export ban lift.
- Long NYSE:BABA and short/avoid NASDAQ:META ( overvalued )
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 MonthsAlibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 Months
Yesterday, Alibaba (BABA) shares dropped to their lowest level since late April. The decline followed the company’s announcement of a planned bond issuance totalling approximately $1.53 billion, with a maturity date set for 2032. The funds will be used to support the development of Alibaba's cloud infrastructure and expansion of its international e-commerce business.
The market’s negative reaction may stem from concerns over rising debt levels and the potential return on these investments.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Share Price
When analysing the price movements of BABA shares in 2025, two key trading ranges stand out:
→ $126–145: This range originates from the long bullish candle on 20 February, following the release of a strong quarterly report;
→ $96–103: This zone was established in late April, as supply and demand stabilised around the psychologically significant $100 level.
The upper range has since acted as a resistance zone, with the price reversing from it in mid-May. The lower range has served as a support area, particularly in early April when the stock came under pressure after tariff-related headlines.
The current price action is notable in that Alibaba shares have:
→ Broken through the June support level at approximately $111.92;
→ Formed a bearish A-B-C structure, marked by lower highs and lower lows.
Using Fibonacci extension analysis, we can reasonably assume:
→ The $111.92 level is now likely to act as resistance;
→ The next potential target for the ongoing downtrend (leg C→D) lies at the 1 Fibonacci level ($100.55) — aligning closely with the previously identified support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Why BABA Alibaba Could Rebound Strongly by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought BABA before the recent rally:
What you need to know:
BABA’s fundamentals, fueled by e-commerce, cloud, and AI, support its technical bullishness:
E-commerce and Cloud Rebound:
Q1 2025 revenue grew 7% year-over-year, with Taobao/Tmall rebounding and cloud revenue surging due to AI demand.
Alibaba’s cloud division, China’s largest, benefits from hyperscaler AI workloads, with 15% profit margin projections by 2029.
AI Leadership:
BABA’s AI assistant and generative AI tools drove a 70% stock surge in early 2025, positioning it as a leader in China’s AI race.
At 12x forward P/E with 8% revenue CAGR, BABA is undervalued (fair value ~$162).
Share Buybacks:
Aggressive share repurchasing (6% annual reduction) boosts EPS, with $1 trillion GMV reinforcing e-commerce dominance.
Macro Tailwinds:
Easing CCP regulations and China’s stimulus measures (e.g., rate cuts) support BABA’s rally.
Minimal U.S. exposure insulates BABA from trade war risks.
Conclusion: BABA’s Path to $168
BABA’s technicals, with a bullish breaker and wedge, signal a breakout above $125–$130, targeting $150–$168 by year-end 2025. Fundamentally, its e-commerce dominance, cloud/AI growth, and undervaluation make it a standout. Traders should buy dips near $110–$115 or await a $130 breakout. With stimulus and buybacks as catalysts, BABA is set to soar.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BABA Stock: A Detailed Analysis using Elliott Wave Theory RulesHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze Ali Baba Group Holdings Limited, also known as BABA, listed on the NYSE. We'll be using the Elliott Waves theory.
Friends, as we can clearly see, after hitting a low of around $95.75 on 9th April 2025, it started an impulse wave. Within this wave, we've completed intermediate degree blue bracketed (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), and primary degree ((1)) in Black. Currently, we're completing primary degree ((2)), with a low around $111.
If it breaks the level of $111, we'll assume we're still in primary degree ((2)), as marked in scenario 2 on the chart. This means wave ((2)) is unfolding, and wave ((3)) might start after wave ((2)) is complete.
If it doesn't break the $111 level, it's likely that wave ((2)) has completed, and we've started a subdivision of wave ((3)) or its further subdivisions. If it moves further up, following scenario 1 (the black line on the chart), this is a possibility.
According to Elliott Wave theory, wave ((2)) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)). So, our main invalidation level for this count is $95.75. Yes, BABA is turning up against the 95.75 low, and in the near term, we expect the stock to trade higher.
Somewhere, this stock might move towards $150 or $160 if it doesn't break down below $ 95.75.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10🧾 BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5 trading days
Catalysts: Weakening momentum, max pain gravity, fading upside catalysts
Trade Type: Single-leg PUT option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.16 $0.385 65%
Claude Bearish 117.00P $1.75 $2.63 $1.23 65%
Llama Bearish 119.00P $2.85 $3.42 $2.28 65%
Gemini Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.35 $0.38 68%
DeepSeek Bearish 114.00P $0.79 $1.19 $0.55 70%
✅ Consensus: Moderately Bearish
📉 Core Setup: Downside pullback toward $115–118 support zone
⚠️ Outlier: Gemini and Grok see potential call upside on sentiment rebound
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Mixed structure—price stuck between declining intraday EMAs and longer-term resistances
Momentum: Bearish MACD and RSI signals across M5 & daily on 3/5 models
Sentiment: VIX 16.8 (neutral), Max Pain at $118 = gravitational anchor
Options Flow: Heavy call OI near $124–125 (potential cap); Put flows dominate below $118
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument BABA
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $115.00
Entry Price $1.13 (ask)
Profit Target $1.70 (~50% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.79 (~30% loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Favorable risk-reward in short-dated put to capture downside drift toward $115 zone. Models align around a modest pullback, driven by technical weakness and lack of fresh bullish catalysts.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Sharp bounce from short-term oversold RSI
Sudden news catalyst (AI/cloud deal, macro relief) could fuel call side squeeze
Weekly options decay accelerates sharply by Thursday
Max pain shift or volatility compression could mute movement
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: BABA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 115.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.13
🎯 Profit Target: 1.70
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.79
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 23:55:22 EDT
Alibaba: Intermediate Correction in ProgressAs Alibaba has remained below resistance at $121.28, we’ve ultimately chosen to consider the high of orange wave x as established. Thus, we currently place the stock in bearish wave y, which should conclude the corrective structure of the larger blue wave (ii). From that point, BABA should reverse, climb back above the $121.28 resistance, and move to significantly higher levels—initially completing blue wave (iii), and eventually the larger turquoise wave 3. However, there’s still a 34% chance that our bearish alternate scenario will play out. In that case, the stock would fall between the two support levels at $80.05 and $58.01, where the low of turquoise wave alt.2 would form.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Alibaba - This was just the obvious bottom!Alibaba - NYSE:BABA - will head much higher:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Ever since Alibaba actually retested the previous all time low in 2022, we have been able to see the textbook creation of a rounding bottom formation. Even the recent break and retest was perfectly playing out and if Alibaba confirmes the potental breakout, a rally of +50% will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $140, $220
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba - This Chart Speaks In Money!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) prepares for a significant pump:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Basically since Alibaba was listed on the NYSE, it always perfectly respected market structure. With the recent rejection away from the key neckline, Alibaba is now creating a bullish break and retest. After bullish confirmation, this forms a bottom and we might see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)