BAC
$BAC Possible PUT OptionIt looks like $BAC (and the banks) are set for a lower session, and we could see $BAC move towards $21.....lets see what happens!!
.....Current BAC Aug 20 - 20 PUT are trading at 1.25 and are up 12%......#FranklinCap.....If you would like to see more of this from Franklin Capital hit the LIKE button and Follow Us!...Thanks!
(PS for those that looked at the Air Canada BUY yesterday....a cool 23% came your way!)
Dare Catch A Knife? Wells Fargo.Wells is now off more than 50% since the start of the Coronavirus pandemic. However, Wells suffers from much more than a pandemic:
Over the last two years, scandals around nefarious sales practices, some unfortunate executive departures, and an inability to grow top line has hit them hard, and the crisis has hit them especially hard in revenue terms.
We're now looking at 2012 levels, not too far from where we were during the financial crisis.
Peak to trough in 2009 we saw a 69% decline in $ NYSE:WFC ... more to go here?
‘Bank of America my account got 6 figures’ 🎶So one price gap has been filled. One more to go. Let’s see how this goes.
The stock market is still not in the clear. I did long at the dip a few weeks back. If it goes lower I will purchase more. Airlines are important for the USA. They will not let China or other nations take over the aviation industry. The government has to bailout or create some new financial tool. The USA is king of financials.
In my perspective they will buy every share from the airline to prevent China from taking over.
BAC AnalysisI expect chart patterns in the current market to be statistically less reliable than in a calm market. For that reason, any trading decisions made solely based on support-resistance, harmonics, Elliot waves, and other technical strategies are relatively useless for traders who operate on holding periods between 1 day and 1 week. The mood changes with each day's news, and it is obvious from looking at the chart since the initial crash that the market is less fearful, but very cautious. Be mindful of the current situation. Those who are polluting the internet with their extreme theories of market direction are to be ignored. The SP500 is not going to zero. It is also not going to make the full V-shaped recovery as quickly as it crashed. We have a long road ahead before any certainty can be derived, and so I am planning my trades with that long road in mind.
In this moment, I am looking for stocks that have overreacted along with the rest of the market, but have yet to really feel the effects that the current state of the world will bring. I think that the financial sector fits that mold, so I am mostly trading banks at the moment. The large banks have been piling on reserves for loan losses, indicated by their collective, extremely low EPS for 1Q20. JPM, BAC, WFC, and others are preparing for the inevitable results of the record-shattering unemployment claims due to COVID-19. Banks will most certainly feel a lot of heat in the coming months. I think that they will have between 6 and 12 months of hardship after the COVID situation is managed or eliminated. Therefore, while bank stocks are in a sort of price consolidation on the charts, their recovery may not yet be upon us. All this is to say that I expect a move toward the YTD low if we don't experience a breakthrough in virus treatment, testing, or immunity in the next few weeks. University seniors will be graduating in the next couple of weeks, entering a job market that is, at the moment, several times worse than what the graduates in 08-09 dealt with. Student debt will continue to pressure many of them, Trump will almost certainly have a second term, the Fed is holding up the market with an unprecedented cost to the public, interest rates will be at virtually zero for at least a year into the future, and an already-struggling retail industry is being crushed.
These are just a few of the factors that I think put a lot of downward pressure on bank stocks. Looking at the chart, BAC is trying to make a decision near the bottom of its channel again, and I don't think it will make a decision before market close today. Monday it could open higher with a bounce off the channel, but that will not signal anything about how it will move through the summer. It seems to be running out of steam on its hard climb up, and I expect that it will move to flatten through this month. If the market's uncertainty causes the stock to move laterally for an extended period of time, it will present opportunities for traders to capture short-term swings. The only thing that can send it higher is control over the virus situation, but I still believe the stock would be defeated at the heavily resistant area from $26 to $29, and that will be the story of it for the rest of the year.
BAC. WILL IT GO LOWER?In stocks there’s about 95% probability that price gaps will be closed. The probability for price closing the gap is more real as you move up in time frames from hourly>daily > weekly. This is a daily chart so it’s high probability. This has never failed me. This is just price analysis, hopefully we can see and buy lower prices. Cheers.
Btw look at previous price gaps and look how they’ve all closed in the future.
Rising Wedge - Bearish outlookLooks like we're forming a rising wedge on this chart, with a possible 5th wave in the process.
There's 3 options I see to short depending on risk tolerance.
1. if 5th wave if truncated, Short on rejection
2. IF 5th waves at major resistance Short.
3. Short on completion of Wedge + break of wedge support.
BAC hasn't enjoyed the same V shaped rallies other stocks have. Bullish sentiment is expected to be relatively low given an expectancy in rising debt defaults, related obviously to the rising unemployment rates (now at 26mil+) and businesses that aren't able to generate incomes to cover their liabilities, creating something of a domino effect across the board.
Elliott Wave View: Bank of America (BAC) Resumes LowerElliott Wave view in Bank of America (BAC) suggests the decline from January 15, 2020 high is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse. Down from January 15 high, wave (1) ended at 32.47 and bounce in wave (2) ended at 35.45. Stock has resumed lower in wave (3) which ended at 17.95. Bounce in wave (4) is proposed complete at 25.35 as a zigzag.
Short term 45 minutes chart below shows the stock ended wave (4) bounce at 25.35. This level is now the short term invalidation level for more downside. Internal of wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag where wave A ended at 23, wave B ended at 19.51, and wave C of (4) ended at 25.35. While below 25.35, wave (5) lower is currently in progress as an impulse, but BAC still needs to break below wave (3) at 17.95 to avoid a double correction.
Down from 25.35, wave 1 ended at 21.09 and wave 2 bounce ended at 23.40. Near term, while rally fails below 25.35, expect Bank of America to extend lower within wave (5). Potential target lower is 123.6 – 161.8% external extension of wave (4) which comes at 13.3 – 16.1.






















