ARKK — A “Short” Ranting🔱 ARKK isn’t a revolution - it’s a high-fee, high-drama lottery ticket dressed in a lab coat. 🔱
🏦 Here's my take on the Fundamentals 🏦
⚠️ Overpriced Dreams:
You’re paying luxury prices for companies that don’t make money—most can’t even spell “free cash flow.”
⚠️ Interest-Rate Kryptonite:
When rates rise, ARKK melts. Its “future profits” vanish faster than smoke in a wind tunnel.
⚠️Liquidity Trap:
It owns too much of too little; one wave of redemptions and it’s forced to dump stocks into a falling market.
⚠️ Weak Alpha, Big Fee:
For all the hype, it lags a plain NASDAQ ETF - you’re paying 0.75% to underperform.
⚠️ Factor Suicide:
It’s built from the worst statistical factors. Expensive, volatile, unprofitable stocks that hate inflation.
⚠️ Concentration Bomb:
Half the fund sits in a handful of “disruptors.” If one blows up, the whole thing shakes.
⚠️ Dumb Money Flow:
Retail investors chase this thing at highs and bail at lows. Every short seller’s dream.
⚠️ Copycats and Fee Drag:
Competitors now clone the “innovation” pitch cheaper and better, while ARKK drags its old fee chain.
📈 And finally, here's the Chart Analysis
This flying Pig is ready to be Barbequed.
It missed the pump up to the Warning Line and fell back into the Fork. Today it opened inside, and if nothing superstitious happens, it’ll close inside too.
So, I’m short - period.
As always, my first target is the Centerline.
Have a great weekend, everyone and grab some gas for the BBQ.
