🟩 BEST 6 months - Seasonality AnalysisThe market is ready to enter its "Best 6 Months" as the calendar transitions from October to November.
👉 Yale Hirsch , the man behind the creation of the Stock Trader's Almanac, originally described the "Best 6 Months" tendency in 1986. The "Best 6 Months" idea is a straightforward one. Hirsch's analysis indicates that during the past several decades, a significant part of the market's gains have occurred between November and April. And over the past six months, it has generally had difficulty moving forward. I'll also point out that the edge has lasted ever since the tendency was published many years ago, with the "Best 6 Months" consistently outperforming the "Worst 6 Months".
👉 Additionally, as we enter the third year of the presidential cycle, the market is changing. Instead of measuring the Presidential Cycle years from January to December, we do so from November to October. This makes it possible for the cycle years to better coincide with the early November elections. Additionally, even though the elections always take place in the first week of November, we always begin the cycle year on November 1. Combining it with the "Best 6 Months" cycles facilitates evaluation. The third year of the presidential cycle has generally been successful.
The outcomes since 1960 when the Best 6 Months and the Third Year of the Presidential Cycle have both been in outstanding.
RESULT: Since 1950 - to present day ALL 18 instances have shown gains! The average 6 month period saw a net gain of +16.95%!
