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Bullish Nasdaq-but thread lightly Sep 15-19 CME_MINI:NQU2025 Quick summary / bias Price put in a clear bullish structure through Thursday → Friday (higher highs, higher lows) but just hit a liquidity sweep up to 24159 and pulled back into a visible Imbalance / order-block area that sits right above the 4H open / purple line at 24001.50. So my primary bias is bullish as long as price holds the 24000–24040 area. If price breaks and closes below the origin lows around 23969 → 23909 the bias flips bearish. ---------------------------------------------- What I see (structure + important levels) Higher-timeframe context: an impulsive move up from the 23960–23970 region into the 24159 high — that’s a clear displacement and creation of a bullish imbalance (the shaded box on the chart). Liquidity events: a pronounced wick above 24159 (buy-side liquidity run) followed by a quick sell—classic stop-hunt then retrace into the Price Imbalance. Key horizontal levels to use: Resistance / short-term target: 24159.00 (recent high / liquidity high). Primary support / confluence (buy zone): 24001.50 (purple line / 4H open) and the grey FVG just above it (~24000–24080 area). Invalidation / bearish trigger: a decisive break below 23969.00 (and especially below the referenced originating imbalance around 23909–23871 on the left). Current quote on the chart: 24,115.25 (shows we’ve pulled off the 24159 high and are sitting into the gap/OB). ---------------------------------------------- Trade ideas (clear entries, stops, targets) A — Primary (preferred) — Long (mean-reversion into Imbalance / structural buy) Why: Market made an impulsive rally; sweep above 24159 sucked liquidity and then pulled back into the bullish imbalance + 4H open — a high-probability area for continuation if buyers defend it. Entry (limit or 1-min confirmation): ~24020 (inside the Imbalance / just above 24001.50). If you trade micro time frames: wait for a 5-min displacement down into the FVG and then a 1-min bullish rejection (tight lower wick + bullish engulf / strong rejection) to enter. Stop: 23950 (just below the liquidity sweep low / below 23969). Targets: T1: 24159.00 (recent high). T2: 24240 ( extension if T1 runs — measured continuation ). Risk math (example): Entry = 24,020; Stop = 23,950 → risk = 70 points. T1 = 24,159 → reward = 139 points → RR ≈ 1.99 : 1. T2 = 24,240 → reward = 220 → RR ≈ 3.14 : 1. Management: scale out (25% at T1, move stop to breakeven, trail rest by structure). --------------------------------------------------- B — Aggressive Long (breakout continuation) Trigger: Clean break and close above 24159 and a retest that holds the level. Entry: Long on retest above 24159. Stop: below the retest low (e.g., 24120). Target: next measured move / psychological round levels (e.g., 24280–24320). ---------------------------------------------------- Execution rules / signals (so you’d know exactly what to do) Prefer entries at confluence: Imbalance + 4H open + prior liquidity level (24000–24040). Micro confirmation: On the 5-min, look for the displacement into the FVG; on the 1-min look for a clean rejection (long wick and quick bullish candle) before hitting “buy”. This matches your stated process (displacement on 5m, reversal on 1m). Position sizing: risk per trade = set so your stop distance × size = e.g., 0.5%–1% of account. Don’t risk full target size on one slice—scale in. If price closes below 23969 on the 1H (or a strong 5-min close below), stand down on longs and look for short entries only after a retest. ---------------------------------------------------- Invalidation & what to watch Invalidation of bullish view: clean close and follow-through below 23969 (especially if price closes and stays below 23909). That flips the edge to the bears. Confirmation of continuation: price holds the Imbalance/4H open (24001.50) and reclaims/prints above 24159 with a clean retest (shows buyers absorbed liquidity). ---------------------------------------------------- Remember that confirmation not only validates the idea but it increases the success probability of the idea.
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by JP_Tru
1
Gold at the Edge – Can 3680 Hold Before Retail Sales?🟡 Gold Daily Outlook | September 16 Hello traders, today we’re mapping the Gold battlefield step by step – from the Higher Timeframe structural zones down to intraday sniper levels. With U.S. Retail Sales on the calendar, tomorrow’s volatility could set the tone for the week. Let’s break it down 👇 🔸 HTF Structure (D1 + H4) Trend: Strong bullish continuation, price extended above 3680. Structure is intact with buyers still in control. Key Demand Base: 3630–3620 remains the clean foundation from the last retest. Key Supply Band: 3700–3710 acts as the next major resistance above. RSI: Daily reading above 80 shows strong momentum but signals stretched conditions. 🔸 Intraday Map Support floor: 3652–3645, aligned with prior breakout structure. Decision zone: 3680–3690 – holding above favors continuation; rejection could trigger a pullback. Momentum: Flow remains bullish, but risk of retracement before the news release. 🔸 Scenarios for Tomorrow Bullish 📈: If 3680 holds and Retail Sales data comes in weak, gold may extend toward 3705 → 3720 with strong momentum. Bearish 📉: If price rejects 3688–3690 and Retail Sales beat expectations, a retrace toward 3660 → 3650 becomes likely. ✅ Conclusion HTF: Bullish structure still intact. Intraday: 3680–3690 is the pivot range. LTF: Key demand at 3660–3655, tactical supply near 3690–3700. Tomorrow’s U.S. Retail Sales could ignite the next move. Keep your levels sharp, wait for confirmation, and let the market show its hand. ✨ Will Gold push through 3700 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below 👇, hit like, and follow GoldFxMinds for more daily precision plans 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
EURJPY Short, 15 SeptemberHTF Bullish, but 4H OB Reaction + 15m Bearish Shift Setup aligns as a counter-trend short inside HTF bullish context, with clean intraday bearish structure confirmation. 📈 HTF Context: ✅ Price reacting from 4H OB ✅ Daily structure bullish but forming double top liquidity above ⚠️ Trade is against overall HTF bias → requires tighter risk 📉 LTF Confirmation: 💤 Asia range formed 📉 15m broke last relevant low → clear bearish structure shift 🔑 75% probability we create a new LH from current zone (HTF alignment) 🎯 Entry Plan: ⚡ 1m BOS confirmed inside 15m decisional OB 🔑 Entry refined at 5m OB 🛡️ Risk: 0.5% (conservative since against HTF trend) 🎯 TP: Target liquidity below recent 15m low / Asia low
Short
by sTax11
SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
BSE:SENSEX
by DSKF16
Why AI Could Rise Sharply Before Friday's Options ExpirationIn a market where enterprise AI spending is projected to hit $100B+ by 2026, C3.ai's 130+ turnkey apps (from supply chain optimization to ESG tracking) position it as a must-have for Fortune 500 digital transformations. Trading at around $17.27 as of midday September 15, down a staggering 33% over the past month, the stock has been battered by leadership turmoil and disappointing quarterly results. But for options traders eyeing the September 19 expiration, this could be the setup for a sharp rebound. Last month, we loaded up on those $25 strike calls, a tough grind to profitability amid the sell-off, but with fresh tailwinds emerging. From a charting perspective on TradingView, the stock is testing support near its 200-day moving average around $16.50, with volume spiking on the downside but showing signs of capitulation.A bounce from here isn't just wishful thinking—it's backed by historical patterns. In similar drawdowns earlier this year, NYSE:AI rebounded 15-20% within a week on lighter selling pressure. With the broader Nasdaq futures pointing higher amid cooling inflation data, a risk-on rotation could propel NYSE:AI toward $20+ resistance by expiration, putting those $25 calls back in the money. Smart money appears to be accumulating; recent options flow shows unusual call volume at the $20 and $22 strikes, hinting at bets on a quick snapback. New CEO Stephen Ehikian: A Stabilizing Force with Proven PedigreeThe elephant in the room has been the abrupt CEO transition. Founder Thomas Siebel stepped aside for health reasons in late July, triggering a sales slowdown and the withdrawn full-year guidance that spooked investors. Ehikian isn't just a placeholder; he's a serial innovator with deep ties to enterprise software giants. He built RelateIQ (acquired by Salesforce to form Einstein) and Airkit.ai (now core to Salesforce's Agentforce), and most recently served as Acting Administrator of the U.S. General Services Administration under President Trump. His track record in scaling AI integrations could accelerate C3.ai's federal deals, which already made up a chunk of Q1 wins (e.g., expansions with the U.S. Air Force). In his first comments, Ehikian emphasized capturing the "immense market opportunity in Enterprise AI," and whispers from the Street suggest he's fast-tracking partner integrations with Microsoft and AWS—key channels that drove 155% YoY growth in partner-sourced deals last quarter. This leadership reset screams "buy the dip" for contrarians.3. Solid Q1 Fundamentals Amid AI TailwindsDon't let the headlines fool you—C3.ai's fiscal Q1 2026 results (ended July 31) weren't a disaster; they were a pause in an otherwise accelerating growth story. Revenue hit a record $87.2 million, up 21% YoY, with subscription revenue (86% of total) climbing to $60.3 million. The company closed 71 deals—more than double last year's tally—and federal expansions highlight sticky demand for its Agentic AI platform. Options Expiration Gamma Squeeze: The Friday Catalyst With September 19 OPEX looming, NYSE:AI 's options chain is primed for fireworks. Open interest is heavy on out-of-the-money calls around $20-$25, mirroring last month's setup where we rode the $25 strikes through volatility. As delta hedging ramps up, a modest 5-10% pop in the underlying could trigger gamma squeezes, forcing market makers to buy shares and amplifying the move. If NYSE:AI clears $18.50 early this week (a key pivot on the daily chart), momentum could carry it to $22+ by Friday.
NYSE:AILong
by TopgOptions
5
Gold Showed Scenario Setup What Should Next?XAUUSD Gold consolidation Bullish Structure due the Weakening U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields make gold more attractive (lower opportunity cost of holding a non-yield bearing asset) and boost demand. Also, geopolitical risks / safe-haven demand remain supportive. So yes, the fundamental tailwinds are relatively strong, giving gold a decent chance of pushing higher — assuming no surprise hawkish comments or upside inflation shocks. Technical situation & your levels From Previous analysis Price rejects from 3674, and from 3658 → these are resistance zones If price crosses 3658, you see resistance at 3690 If it does not cross, then a bearish trend likely toward 3612 (long-term support) and possibly 3612 (assuming 3580 perhaps?). Let’s map those to what the technical analyses are showing For your specific level 3674: yes, that appears to be a strong resistance. If gold gets there again, we should scrutinize whether momentum is strong enough to break above it. If it fails there again, that suggests the top might be forming (for now). Your support of 3612 seems well-drawn: many traders are watching ~3610-3620 as an important support zone. Below that, risks increase. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies. Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
11
USNASDEQ 100 Futures are Price consolidation High Top US100 futures are higher on Wednesday, extending gains after a cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The data eased inflation concerns, supporting risk sentiment. Oracle (ORCL) shares are surging, up more than 30% in pre-market trading following strong earnings and upbeat guidance. The index remains bullish in structure. Price is expected to test the support area near 23,200. As long as the index holds above this level, momentum favours a move higher toward 24,200 in the next leg up. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
3
The first step towards 5k - ETH weekly update Sep 15 - 21thDear investors and traders, Ethereum is currently in the second wave of the minute cycle within the larger third wave unfolding in the minor cycle.Zooming into the fractal structure of the mentioned second wave, we can easily recognize the double three pattern as shown on the chart. My primary expactation therefore is a combination of a flat structure as a minuette wave w and a following zig zag a minuette wave y. I have chosen this scenario, because it's typical for altcoins to retrace their wave two a bit deeper then assets do normally. Also, the flat structure hasn't corrected this second wave too far, making a larger pullback likely. The zig zag probably made his subminuette wave a and should retrace now to levels of around 4.6k. The alternative scenario would be, that this second wave is already completed and with that we would be looking forward to 5k. For the alternative scenario to be completed, we need ETH to climb higher than the previous high of the minuette wave x. Moving on to the liquidity analysis, we can see why this is my primary scenario: A massive amount of liquidity sitting just above the with the red line shown low of the minor wave two. I think we are going to drop again in the direction of this liquidity, but I hope it is going to melt down as people fear to get liquidated. The drawn in price target surely isn't where the liquidity sits, but it's where most fibonacci levels come together. The Orderbook is relatively empty in nearer space, but there is a large amount of short orders sitting at 5k. Derivative data shows us turbulent funding rates because of people trying to catch this drop with large leverage market orders and getting liquidated, making the funding rate apparently to come back, maybe because they fear to loose more money now. Open interest stagnates, which is on the one hand positive because there are no more short positions adding up but this also means on the other hand that there are no long positions coming in. One thing I also noted in relation to people trying to catch the drop and burning themselves is that the liquidations are declining, which is indicating the leverage is decreasing. Coming to exchange flows, the exchanges currently record an inflow of ethereum meaning that people are probably moving their coins from wallets to the exchange to sell them, which is a bearish signal. Also notable is that the exchange reserve is increasing, also indicating that people sell their ethereum. The seasonality of ethereum shows us that the current Q3 was doing exceptionally well for ethereum and looking forward Q4 is also going to be green with a probability of 60%. September in the past was rather bearish then bullish, flipping the probabilities to a 40% probability to get a positive result. Nonetheless, the average return of September is 7%, which sparks hope. Looking to Blackrock and other whales and entities, we can clearly see that Blackrock sold a part of it's ethereum (10k ETH) just slightly before the top and not buying again till now indicating the bottom is not in yet. The ETFs is still getting inflows, showing institutions accumulating ethereum. All in all I am long and I think that the anticipated lows are optimal prices to establish swing long positions. Crucial for a impulsive move and the transition from a minute wave two to a minute wave 3 is the decline of liquidity at the low of the minor wave two.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Phillipklh
CPB | Long Setup | Defensive Staples Mean-Reversion | Sep 2025🚩CPB | Long Setup | Defensive Staples Mean-Reversion off 52-Week Support | Sep 15, 2025 🔹 Thesis Summary Campbell’s (CPB) is basing just above its 52-week low with a 4.7% dividend and a discounted forward multiple. A modest earnings reset appears priced in; a staples rotation plus cost discipline can drive mean-reversion toward mid-30s/upper-30s. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry Zone: $31.20–$32.10 (staggered bids toward the 52-week floor at $30.41) Stop Loss: $26 (clear break of the 52-week floor) Take-Profits: TP1: $40 TP2: $50 Max Target: $50.00 (mean-reversion band) 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: Price has carved a multi-month base around $30–33 after a persistent 1Y drawdown. Defensive bid plus dividend support favors accumulation near the lower third of the 52-week range ($30.41–$51.56). Beta = 0.26, fitting a low-vol rotation backdrop. 🔹 Catalysts: Upcoming Q1 FY26 report early Dec; watch gross-margin commentary (inputs/tariffs), elasticity in Snacks/Meals, and Sovos integration run-rate. Ownership: ~35% insider and ~65% institutional ownership underpins stability and alignment. Dividend: 4.69% indicated yield provides carry while the base resolves. 🔹 Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply) Forward P/E = 12.45× vs peer set ~13–16× (GIS 12.99×, HRL 15.9×, KHC 9.7×, MDLZ 18.6×) → Slight discount to staples ex-value outliers → Market pricing in weak near-term EPS → Supports a mean-reversion long. P/FCF = 13.9× → FCF Yield ≈ 7.2% (mid-pack vs GIS ~8.7%, KHC ~11.4%, MDLZ ~3.6%) → Solid cash coverage of dividend and reinvestment → Helps defend the base. Growth: EPS This Y −15.5% (reset) vs Next Y +5.2% → Near-term trough dynamics with modest rebound potential → A small beat/guide raise could unlock multiple expansion. Risk: Beta 0.26 and ESG risk score ~27 (medium) → Low market-beta but operational execution still matters → Suits a defensive sleeve. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Street sits at “Hold/Reduce” with ~mid-$34 targets. The market priced in the FY26 reset; however, a low-teens forward P/E, a 7% FCF yield, and base-building above $30 set a floor. If gross margins surprise on mix/sourcing, CPB can re-rate toward 14–15×, implying $38–$40 without heroic growth assumptions. 🔹 Risks (Balanced) Further input-cost/tariff pressure compressing gross margin. Volume share loss to private label/“better-for-you” categories. Integration slippage on Sovos or incremental promo spend to defend shelf space. 🔹 Macro Considerations Staples leadership typically improves during risk-off or rising-volatility regimes; monitor XLP/SPY relative strength. Rates/inflation path drives grocery pricing power and promo cadence. Track category scans (soup/snacks/sauces) for elasticity and private-label encroachment into FY26. 🔹 Bottom Line CPB screens slightly cheap on forward earnings with durable cash flow and dividend carry. The $30–33 base offers a defined-risk entry for a mean-reversion long into year-end and early 2026. Execution on costs and stable volumes are the swing factors. 🔹 Forward Path If this post gains traction (10+ likes), I’ll publish: A weekly-chart update with level-by-level triggers, Post-earnings read-through on margins/mix, and A peer-relative valuation refresh (GIS, KHC, HRL, MDLZ). Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
NASDAQ:CPBLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
NIFTY Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025 NIFTY Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025 & WEEKLY Levels From 15th - 19th Sep 2025. MARKET Short View: At the time of this post GIFT NIFTY +> Flat to -Ve. Due to Weekly Exp. Volatility may increase. As mentioned in Last post Market Closed in RED. # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
EURU/USD Sell to Buy idea: (1.18000 towards 1.16900)This week, EU looks very similar to GU, with potential for a short-term sell before continuing higher. Price is currently sitting near a 3hr supply zone that previously caused a BOS to the downside. If price reacts from here, we could see a bearish retracement down into the 4hr demand zone. From there, I’ll be looking for price to accumulate and continue its bullish trend with a fresh leg to the upside. Confluences for Sell-to-Buy Setup: - Strong bullish trend could retrace back to demand - 3hr supply zone above that caused a BOS to the downside - 4hr demand zone below remains unmitigated - DXY near a demand zone, supporting a potential pullback - Price slowing down, showing signs of reacting to supply P.S. If price consolidates lower and respects the 4hr demand, I’ll be looking for buys to catch the next bullish move.
Short
by Hassan_fx
BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025BANKNIFTY Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025 & WEEKLY Levels From 15th - 19th Sep 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by DSKF16
USDCAD | Cracks in the Ice at 1.3725Macro Hook: USD/CAD is under pressure as oil strength provides a CAD tailwind and markets lean toward deeper Fed easing relative to the BoC. The backdrop has flipped from summer’s CAD softness (BoC dovish hold + weak Canadian data) to a September environment where USD underperforms on relative policy and risk tone. Technical Lens: Price has broken the local trendline (DL1), shifting risk lower toward the neckline pivot (DL2 at ~1.3725). Acceptance below DL2 confirms a downside path toward the 1.3600 zone (structural objective / channel support). Invalidation sits at ~1.3900 on a closing basis. RSI has also slipped beneath the midline, leaving momentum space open to extend lower. Scenarios: If DL2 (1.3725) holds → rebound risk back into 1.3860–1.3900. If DL2 breaks/accepts → path of least resistance opens to 1.3600. Catalysts: Watch crude price momentum, Fed vs BoC policy signals, and near-term US/CAD data releases for confirmation. Takeaway: 1.3725 is the decision line; below it, the structural path points to 1.3600.
by AlchemyMarkets
GBP/USD Short to Long Idea (1.36300 down to 1.35600 back up)This week, I’m focusing on the setups closest to price action while keeping the bigger trend in mind. GU has been bullish overall, but price is now approaching a strong supply zone that can’t be ignored. I’ll be waiting to see how price reacts within this supply. If it distributes as expected, I’ll look for short-term sells targeting the nearby 2hr demand zone. Confluences for Short-Term Sells: - Strong bullish run could retrace back to demand - Clean 5hr supply zone that previously caused a BOS to the downside - 2hr demand zone below still unmitigated - DXY is near a demand, aligning with this pullback idea - Price slowing down, showing signs of reacting to supply P.S. If supply doesn’t hold and price instead drops to mitigate the 2hr demand, I’ll then look for potential buys to rejoin the trend.
Short
by Hassan_fx