ETH - When In Doubt Zoom Out!!! 9/11/2025This is my personal top prediction. I don't post often, but I can't call the top after it happens. I'm not looking for any followers, but I do want to keep getting better at trading. The only way to do that is to hold my ideas accountable and put them out into the world.
This also is IMO confirming my last post price target of the Cup & Handle 🎯 Breakout Target from when ETH was in the $2,100 range. Please let me know your thoughts.
Thanks,
Beyond Technical Analysis
Short Position Established on #VNCEMarket capitalization, traded volume, gap dynamics, and dollar turnover percentage converge to indicate a high-probability dislocation.
Position has been deployed, the market may already be in adjustment.
Stock is being borrowed at this stage. The signal remains statistical, not anecdotal.
#shortselling #equities #marketstructure #analysis #capitalrotation #systematictrading #riskmanagement
Why Now is the Best Time to Load Up on T-BillsIn 2025, investors have a unique opportunity to capitalize on high yields from Treasury Bills (T-Bills) as interest rates hover at their highest levels in years. With indications that the Federal Reserve may soon start cutting rates, now could be the ideal time to invest in T-Bills through the TLT ETF. This article explores why investing in T-Bills now could reap significant returns over the next decade.
Key Points:
Highest Interest Rates in Years:
Current interest rates on T-Bills are elevated, offering attractive yields for investors.
Historical data shows that such high yield opportunities are rare and may not be seen again for years.
Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations:
The Federal Reserve has signaled potential rate cuts due to concerns about job market stability and inflation trends.
Market expectations suggest that rate cuts may begin later in 2025, which could reduce yields on T-Bills in the future.
Strategic Advantage of T-Bills:
Investing now allows investors to lock in current high yields before potential rate cuts reduce returns.
T-Bills offer a safe investment with guaranteed returns, backed by the U.S. government, making them a low-risk option.
Why TLT ETF?
The TLT ETF provides exposure to long-term Treasury securities, making it an excellent vehicle for capitalizing on current high yields.
The advantages of using an ETF include ease of trading and diversification.
Conclusion:
With interest rates at a peak and expectations of future rate cuts, now is a strategic time to invest in T-Bills via the TLT ETF. By taking advantage of the current high yields, investors can secure returns that may not be available again for years to come.
TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER BITSTAMP:BTCUSD $VNIDIA NASDAQ:TSLA VANTAGE:SP500
BANKNIFTY: Levels for 12th SEP 2025BANKNIFTY: Levels for 12th SEP 2025
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Manage Crude Oil Risk with Weekly Energy OptionsOn Sunday Opec+ agrees further oil output boost by 137K barrels per day, but less than Sep / Aug output, when market open it went higher.
How to manage short-term risk, in this case opportunity with CME Group weekly energy options on such a scheduled announcement?
Crude Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: CL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per barrel = $10.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NIFTY: Intraday & SWING Levels (NIFTY50 Spot) for 12th SEP 2025As of Now GIFT NIFTY. DJI, NASDAQ,are in +ve Bias
So there is a Possibility to GAP up OPEN.
"RL#1" Act as Strong Resistance followed by "HZ#2".
My personal Opinion Open should be Near "RL#1"
if there is no major change in Geo-Political ground.
Though as per rule i have to mention either "Long" Or "Short" and another one is "Neutral"
But I think tomorrow MKT will be Long to Short basis with big Range.
NIFTY: Intraday & SWING Levels (NIFTY50 Spot ) for 12th SEP 2025
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Spikes After CPI but Faces Profit-Taking Pressure📊 Market Move:
Right after the CPI release, gold surged from $3613 to $3643, but profit-taking quickly dragged prices back to around $3635.
📈 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance: 3645 – 3650
🔻 Support: 3626 – 3620
📉 Short-term EMA still points upward, suggesting the uptrend remains intact, though momentum has weakened after the spike.
🧐 Outlook:
Gold is undergoing a technical pullback after the sharp rally; the market needs further H1/H4 candle confirmation to see if the bullish move toward 3650+ continues.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
o Wait for a retest of 3626–3620; if reversal candles appear, consider a Buy following the trend.
o If price breaks below 3620, risk opens for a deeper drop toward 3610–3605.
EUR/AUD: Price Sitting on Support – Next Stop 1.8050?Price is sitting right on the trendline support - exactly where buyers have stepped in before. As expected, it’s showing signs of holding and could push back up toward the 1.8050 resistance.
Key watch:
Holding the trendline = bullish momentum intact.
A clean break below = shift in structure, sellers take over.
For now, bias stays up as long as this support holds.3
TSLA Battery Is still loading - May the Energy be with you.We see the slanted coil.
It act's like a Battery loading energy.
At one time it will expend it's energy, either up, or down.
Forks show the most probable path of price.
Forks provide a framework, where a Trader doesn't have to guess. Just trade the rule-book and follow your one plan.
Either we get stopped or we are happy Teslonians.
May the Energy be with you §8-)
MATA.V | Long Setup | Bitcoin–RWA Microcap | Sep 11, 2025📌 MATA.V | Long Setup | Capitulation-to-Reversal in Bitcoin–RWA Microcap | Sep 11, 2025
🔹 Thesis Summary
Post-capitulation base within a descending channel is testing a high-volume shelf (~0.44–0.50 CAD). A reclaim/hold above this node plus a channel break unlocks fast air pockets toward 0.95/1.04 and 1.84. Thin float and a BTC-treasury narrative provide torque; invalidation is clean.
🔹Trade Setup
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: ~0.33 CAD (VPVR shelf / channel retest)
Stop Loss: 0.21 CAD (close below prior swing/volume shelf)
Take-Profits:
TP1: 0.55 (prior pivot / labeled partial TP)
TP2: 0.95–1.04 (supply box / breakdown origin)
TP3: 1.84 (mid-range objective)
Max Target: 2.65–2.67 (range high); stretch: 5.55 if momentum regime returns
R:R guide (from ~0.47): to 1.84 ≈ 5:1; to 2.65 ≈ 8:1; to 5.55 ≈ 19:1
🔹Narrative & Context
Structure: Multi-month falling channel following a sharp advance; first impulsive bounce off 0.33–0.35 with demand clustering on the 0.44–0.50 shelf. Clear LVNs above 0.55 suggest gap-like travel into 0.95/1.04 on sustained bids. Marked supply (1.18–1.31) is the next decision zone; acceptance there opens 1.84.
Flow/Liquidity: Float ≈ 17.86M; thin supply can amplify moves once price clears overhead supply. “3mio shares” overhang shown on the chart looks digested.
🔹Sector/Narrative: Bitcoin-native/RWA positioning (treasury BTC + tokenized metals) ties equity performance to BTC trend and tokenization flows. If BTC is stable/up and L2/RWA headlines cycle in, microcaps on TSXV tend to re-rate quickly.
🔹Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply)
Revenue = 0 → vs. sector financials where revenue is positive → pre-revenue optionality story → price driven by treasury value, product progress, and capital access rather than cash generation.
Net Income (FY) = −CAD 4.49M → vs. profitable peers → loss-making, cash burn sensitivity → reinforces the need for tight invalidation.
Quality — ROE: Negative → vs. positive quality screens → capital not yet earning → rallies more dependent on narrative/treasury than fundamentals near-term.
Risk — 1Y Beta: −5.75 (unstable reading) → vs. ~1.0 market beta → expect outsized, non-linear moves → position sizing and staggered TPs matter.
(Market cap provided ≈ CAD 27.66M; no P/E or P/FCF available due to negatives/early stage.)
🔹Contrarian Angle (Your Edge)
Consensus dismisses MATA as too small, pre-revenue, and crypto-tied. The chart shows accumulation at a clean invalidation with multiple fast-travel zones above. If BTC holds bid and the product/treasury narrative advances, the equity can overshoot conservative models—our path maps 0.95 → 1.84 → 2.65 with a momentum extension possible toward 5.55.
🔹Risks
Capital needs / dilution if burn persists or treasury expansion is financed via equity.
BTC drawdown or crypto risk-off (kills the torque).
Regulatory or product-execution slippage in tokenized metals/RWAs.
Macro Considerations
BTC/ETH structure: Maintain longs only while BTC is above its own weekly higher-low and funding is orderly; fade if BTC loses weekly trend.
Flows/vol: TSXV microcap risk appetite, CAD liquidity conditions, and USD/DXY impulses can accelerate or cap breakouts.
Event path: Any treasury updates (BTC adds/sales), app adoption metrics, or financing announcements will likely be gap catalysts.
🔹Bottom Line
MATA is high-beta, pre-revenue, and narrative-driven but the technicals offer defined risk with asymmetric upside. Treat it like a setup, not a balance-sheet long: respect the 0.21 invalidation, scale into strength through 0.55/1.04, reassess at 1.84, and trail for a potential range-high run.
🔹Forward Path
If this post gains traction (10+ likes), I’ll share:
A weekly/H4 alignment map with trigger conditions above 0.55 and 1.04
Updated levels if supply at 1.18–1.31 rejects or accepts
Q&A in comments on sizing, scaling, and alternative invalidations
Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research. Chart elements may include AI-assisted enhancements.
🔹 Footnote
Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits.
P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency.
FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested.
ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital.
ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge.
Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative.
R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
PGEL: Pull Back Rally or Fresh Up movePGEL: Pull Back Rally or Fresh Up move
#1. Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min TF in your Chart for Better Analysis
#2.Observed BULLISH Divergence on 5 min TF
Short Description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
$MSTR undervalued in terms of $IBITThis is a ratio of NASDAQ:MSTR / NASDAQ:IBIT and the idea here is that NASDAQ:MSTR MicroStrategy is growing undervalued in terms of Bitcoin / NASDAQ:IBIT , and the ratio is about to take out an important low.
This seems like an ideal time to consider a buy on NASDAQ:MSTR if you believe the Bitcoin bull market is not yet over, as it has been in a trend of underperformance, and could quickly shift back to outperformance if the Bitcoin bull market gets back underway.
How you choose to trade this could take many forms, I mostly just wanted to raise awareness of the setup.
Trade Idea: $PYPL (PayPal Holdings)📝 Trade Idea: NASDAQ:PYPL (PayPal Holdings) —
Bias: Long-term bullish (wealth accumulation)
Entry Zone (Wholesale Area): $55 – $100
Stop Loss: Below $50 (structure break)
Target 1: $150 (mid-zone retest)
Target 2: $300 (Retail Supply Zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1:4+ if entering near $60–70
Rationale:
Price is consolidating inside a fresh Wholesale Demand Zone.
RSI reset, building a long base after heavy distribution.
Macro structure favors accumulation → long-term upside toward $300 Retail Zone.
Strong asymmetric play: limited downside risk, outsized reward if recovery unfolds.
Open is approaching a huge yearly fib. Be careful. Open has had a huge push up the past 2 months. Its been amazing to watch. For those that have been long, I would definitely recommend locking in some profits. Always have a runner position to hold for the long term. But we are at a huge level and It would make sense to see a rejection here. We might gain this level and then dump as well.
This will be a fun one to watch at these huge levels. The fib pull is my something I discovered that works very well as major levels.
EUR/CAD – Watching for ContinuationEUR/CAD has been grinding higher as CAD weakness continues to play out, mainly driven by softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish lean. Meanwhile, the euro is holding steady with the ECB staying cautious on further cuts, giving this pair a solid bullish tilt.
This can play out 1 of 2 ways, a sweep to the downside to catch liquidity before breaking through recent highs (best). Or we may see bullishness from here in which case the re test of the broken area will be the optimal entry. Trade safe, Trade smart, Trade Drippy!