Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

October 27 - October 31 2025Last week of the month and the market is back at ATH - but is this a true breakout or a final shakeout of buyers? I think the market is showing some important clues and will run through my charts again but plan on keeping this brief so I can move on to other things on this beautiful Sunday. 1. Macro As I mentioned in last week’s post, the $GOLD/GVZ spread was showing signs of trend exhaustion (gold puts were being hedged heavily compared to the underlying) which provided to be an early signal of the Gold pullback. Here we are seeing the Dollar’s continued flat movement, which may result in a move below the average this week. Yields continue to slide and are now diverging, with the 3M yield possibly showing signs of outpacing the 10Y yield to the downside, which may suggest that the market is expecting speedier intervention from the Fed. On the bottom left, I have overlaid ECONOMICS:USCCPI on my forward inflation gauge chart to illustrate that the market has been pricing in lower inflation expectations, and we are now seeing the initial tariff-bump to inflation flatten out, which is in line with the market’s expectation. Bottom line - the market should now be more sensitive to news that could indicate higher inflation since it is currently pricing for lower rather than before when the market was pricing higher inflation that ended up being slightly higher than the real data. On the commodities side, we’re seeing more of the same. I’ll touch more on gold on my Risk layout and it looks like Oil NYMEX:CL1! is still in a flat range and may be making a lower high after a lower low. This week I have expanded my commodity index (bottom right) to add Cotton ICEUS:CT1! and Aluminum COMEX:ALI1! to broaden the scope. My thinking is that corn CBOT_MINI:MZC1! is one of the most versatile crops in the world: a staple food, biofuel, and industrial crop, while Cotton is unique in that it is a non-food crop that is essential to the manufacturing of clothing and other consumer & industrial products. This pairing covers all the bases when it comes to demand for crops for various uses. Similarly, my thinking for metals is that Copper COMEX:HG1! is widely used in electrical infrastructure and consumer/industrial electronics while Aluminum COMEX:ALI1! is used in consumer products, construction, auto manufacturing, and so on. The takeaway is that the gauge here has been in an uptrend in April while real inflation and forward inflation expectations have cooled, so the market is likely absorbing these higher prices/not passing them to consumers. Conclusion: the macro environment is looking more stable, however with China tariffs in focus it will be highly important to watch the commodity gauge and TVC:US03MY . Commodity gauge rising sharply could force the market to reprice inflation expectations, which would benefit Gold, hurt the dollar TVC:DXY and possibly lead to higher bond yields. I’m cautiously optimistic here. 2. FX Using a date range of the last Fed rate decision to today, the dollar TVC:DXY has outperformed other currency baskets (while still being the worst performer for the year). When looking at global 3M and 10Y yields on indexed charts, outside of Japan there was 10Y buying during mid-October that is now showing signs of flattening out. On the 3M side, treasuries have slid while Eurozone (EU, France, Italy, Germany) are showing some divergence, likely due to a troubling combination of slow growth, high debt, and political instability. The takeaway here is that I expect the dollar’s flat range to continue, and may outperform other currency baskets as a result. This chart also indicates that the US bond market is currently providing a safe haven, especially when relatively attractive Real Yields are considered as well. 3. Risk This chart shows indexes appeared to have recovered from the period of volatility and the line chart appears to show upward momentum, rather than a top forming. This is bolstered by the High Yield-Investment Grade bond Option Adjusted Spread (top left) showing signs of consolidation or moving back down. Investment Grade bonds currently have a very low premium vs treasuries, so downside resistance should be expected. Keeping it around this level would be ideal, as the OAS moving too low could make the market sensitive to a shock and moving higher could indicate an adverse sentiment towards risk. Other signs are promising though. $ES1!/GOLD looks like it is going to move higher, further supporting the bias that the gold rally will continue to stall or pull back further. On the top right, $SPY/RSP (SPY vs the equal-weight ETF) shows the weighted index will continue in its uptrend, benefiting the companies with the most weight such as Tech. One last comment on gold: on the $GOLD/GVZ chart we can see that Gold found support near a familiar level and will either see further reversion or a new upward trend form. This could suggest that the gold downside risk is fading, so it will be important to watch if Gold catches a bid and if so, whether or not it is accompanied by strong hedging. Since I’m mostly leaning towards Gold being flat, I think the more likely scenario is that the gold rally stalling will be temporary and will probably not be accompanied by strong hedging of puts. 4. Sector Analysis Now that we have seen what is likely a volatility peak, it’s a good time to assess where the market is positioned. Good news is that even though the market pulled back and chopped around in October, Tech (XLK) is still outperforming the market and is on track to continue rising while defensive sectors underperform. Since I have already outlined other reasons why Tech and mega caps are likely to continue outperforming the broader market ( $NQ1!/YM1! and $SPY/RSP ), this is just further confirmation of what I’m already seeing. 5. Bias As I mentioned last week, I’m currently taking a shorter-term trading approach and as a result, this Bias chart is now focused more on assessing and capturing volatility than determining market bias. With that being said, the important notes I have are that VIX and VVIX look to have peaked and CVD saw some action last week with strong effort from sellers that did not really move the price down. Futures just opened higher so the session may have lower volatility on Monday (mean reversion) but overall the bullish case here is solid. Conclusion: Most signs I’m seeing here point to continued upside for stocks, as fear is being priced out and greed is being priced back in. As I mentioned above, I will watch the macro indicators and sectors for signs that the trend is changing but since we are likely seeing a true breakout, more upside should be expected unless something major changes.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ap769
3
BTCUSD SHORT1. Vector 5 represents our identified supply zone, which may soon be tested by minor buyers. 2. Vector 6 constitutes a robust structure within a minor flow. 3. The major flow is characterized by a downtrend, while the minor flow exhibits an uptrend. Minor buyers versus major sellers—on which side do you align? I will, of course, side with the major sellers. However, the appropriate time to enter this setup is to await a rejection, confirmed by a fractal bar or a bearish candle.
Short
by Lovelosing
BTCUSD1. Vector 5 represents our identified supply zone, which may soon be tested by minor buyers. 2. Vector 6 constitutes a robust structure within a minor flow. 3. The major flow is characterized by a downtrend, while the minor flow exhibits an uptrend. Minor buyers versus major sellers—on which side do you align? I will, of course, side with the major sellers. However, the appropriate time to enter this setup is to await a rejection, confirmed by a fractal bar or a bearish candle.
Short
by Lovelosing
SENSEX IntraSwing Levels for 27th Oct 2025🚀 "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. 🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
BSE:SENSEX
by DSKF16
Forex: Weekly Review. Fundamental analysis The week starting Monday 20 October was a good week for overall market positivity. Political stability in Japan, optimism for US / CHINA trade de-escalation and below expectations inflation data from the UK and US, all contributed to the positive mood as the S&P once again hit all time highs. It was very pleasing to see the JPY in particular acting in accordance to its (inverse) risk environment correlation. I felt the JPY was a potential short option all week, plus 'hopefully into next week', at least until the FOMC meeting. On the catalyst front, below expectations UK inflation considerably weakened the GBP, a BOE rate cut may be on the cards sooner than the market previously predicted. It is pleasing that despite the US government shutdown, there are still opportunities, it's just a little slow going sometimes. I have read that November's US CPI data isn't due to be reported, which doesn't bode well for an end to the shutdown anytime soon. We can only hope that won't be the case. The fact US CPI was (eventually) reported below expectations, is good news and bodes well for a continuation of 'risk on trades'. But I expect we'll continue to get US / CHINA back and forth, plus Mr Trump is taking aim at Canada again. earnings season kicks into gear this coming week and we have the FOMC, a rate cut is heavily predicted. It'll be the narrative regarding the timing of further cuts that the market will be focused on. All in all, I continue to hold my 'tentative risk on bias' likely preferring JPY short but not ruling out USD or possibly even CHF if one or the other is considerably the weakest at the time. Finally, I still consider 'AUD NZD long' to be a viable 'interest rate differential trade. On a personal note, it was another AUD JPY week. Two 'risk on' trades (see chart above). One on Monday, attempting to take advantage of JPY weakness following election news combining with dovish commentary from UEDA. I unfortunately missed the GBP short inflation catalyst opportunity. And had to wait until Thursday for my second AUD JPY long trade. Although, post trade I realised I had neglected to note upcoming JPY inflation data, I therefore closed the trade early, to avoid holding risk during the release. If US CPI data has been reported on any other day than Friday, I suspect I would have been very tempted to place another 'risk on' trade but I was ultimately put off by the possibility of 'strange Friday price action'. Let's see what the new week brings.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
GBP/CAD Roadmap: Kijun Pullback + Heikin Ashi Signal📈 GBP/CAD – “Wealth Strategy Map” (Swing/Day Trade) 🏦 Asset: GBP/CAD – Pound vs. Canadian Dollar 📊 Trading Plan The bullish trend is confirmed ✅ through a Heikin Ashi doji reversal combined with a Kijun-sen pullback on the Ichimoku system and a double bottom retest structure. I’ll be using a layered entry method (stacking limit orders at key price levels) to build into the position. This creates flexibility and smoother exposure to volatility. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Layering Method) Multiple buy limit orders placed in layers: 1️⃣ 1.86250 2️⃣ 1.86500 3️⃣ 1.86750 4️⃣ 1.87000 5️⃣ 1.87250 (More layers can be added depending on personal preference & market conditions) This style allows gradual exposure rather than a single risky entry. 🛡️ Stop Loss Initial protective stop suggested near 1.85500, just below key breakout structure. ⚠️ Important: Always adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance & strategy. This is not a fixed recommendation — manage risk responsibly. 🎯 Take Profit Target Projected upside potential towards 1.90500, which aligns with strong resistance, overbought levels, and potential liquidity traps. ⚠️ Exit strategy matters! Lock profits before exhaustion to “escape the trap.” 📝 Notes for Traders This setup is based on trend confirmation + layered entries to maximize flexibility. Both stop loss and take profit levels should be adjusted to your personal risk management style. Remember: Markets reward discipline, not stubbornness. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:GBPUSD – Correlation with GBP strength trends. OANDA:USDCAD – Tracks CAD moves against USD, often a mirror for CAD sentiment. OANDA:EURCAD – Good cross-check for CAD-driven volatility. OANDA:GBPAUD – Another GBP cross, sometimes moves in tandem with GBP/CAD. Watching these can give extra confirmation on whether momentum is GBP-driven or CAD-driven. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #GBPCAD #Forex #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Ichimoku #HeikinAshi #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Long
by The-Thief
GBP/CAD Technical Outlook: Layered Entry Strategy Explained🤑 GBP/CAD: "Pound vs. Loonie Heist" — Swing/Day Trade Wealth Map 🚀 🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief’s Lair! Buckle up for a slick, professional, and slightly cheeky GBP/CAD trading plan that’s ready to snatch profits from the Forex market! This Pound vs. Loonie Dollar setup is primed for action with a bullish vibe, confirmed by technicals that scream “Let’s ride!” 😎 Let’s break it down with style and precision to make those pips rain! 💸 📈 The Setup: Bullish Bandits on the Move! 🦸‍♂️ 🔍 Market Mood: Bullish momentum confirmed! 📈 The Triangular Moving Average (TMA) shows a solid 38.2% Fibonacci pullback, signaling a textbook retracement. 🕯️ Heikin Ashi Power: Doji candles are flashing bullish strength 💪, with institutional riders joining the party. The trend is our friend, and it’s time to hop on! 🌍 Why GBP/CAD?: The Pound is flexing against the Loonie, backed by macroeconomic vibes like UK economic resilience and CAD’s sensitivity to oil price swings. Keep an eye on crude oil moves for extra context! 🛢️ 🕵️‍♂️ The Thief’s Strategy: Layered Limit Order Heist 🏦 🎯 Entry Plan: We’re setting up a sneaky layered limit order strategy to maximize our entries. Stack those buy limits like a pro thief stacking cash! 💰 📊 Buy Limit Layers: 1.85800 🟢 1.86000 🟢 1.86200 🟢 1.86500 🟢 💡 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Customize your heist to fit your style. 😎 ❓ Why Layering?: This approach lets us scale into the trade, catching the best entries as the market dances around our levels. It’s like setting multiple traps for the pips! 🕸️ 🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot! 🔒 🚨 Thief’s SL: Set at 1.85400 to keep our risk tight. This level sits below key support, giving us room to breathe while dodging market traps. 📝 Note: Dear Thief OG’s, this SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your bucks! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size. 💼 🎯 Take Profit: Cash Out Before the Cops Close In! 👮‍♂️ 🏆 Target: Aim for 1.88500, where strong resistance meets an overbought RSI zone. The market’s screaming “trap ahead!” so let’s grab profits and ghost! 👻 📝 Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my call, but you decide when to pocket the cash. Take profits at your own risk and vibe! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch Because GBP/CAD doesn’t move alone, here are correlations worth tracking: 💷 GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ) → Often mirrors GBP momentum against the dollar. USD/CAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) → Strong CAD moves can spill over to GBP/CAD. EUR/CAD ( OANDA:EURCAD ) → CAD correlation check. Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → Sometimes inverse to CAD (commodity-driven). Keep these on your radar to confirm strength or weakness in CAD/GBP. 🧠 Key Points to Nail This Trade 🧠 ✅ Technical Confirmation: TMA + Fibonacci 38.2% pullback + Heikin Ashi Doji = a high-probability setup. ⚖️ Risk Management: Use the layered entry to spread risk and keep your SL tight to avoid getting caught! 📅 Market Context: Monitor UK economic data (e.g., PMI, BOE updates) and CAD’s oil-driven moves for better timing. 🏃‍♂️ Escape Plan: Watch for RSI overbought signals near 1.88500 to secure profits before a potential reversal. ⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️ This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and I’m not a financial advisor. Make your moves at your own risk, and always do your own research! 😎 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #GBPCAD #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #ForexCommunity #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by The-Thief
Gold consolidating a new high zone pullback from support Gold is currently consolidating after a sharp reaction, with price action moving quickly and testing the new high zone. Technically, the price broke the 4,000 level but experienced a pullback from above this support area. The next directional move will likely depend on a breakout from the current consolidation range. A clear break above resistance could trigger a move toward the next resistance zone at 4,165–4,200 a break below the range would suggest that gold remains neutral to bearish in the short term may test the support again rebound to upside. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
11
SOLUSDT ForecastSOL is maintaining a strong bullish structure, trading above the ascending trendline after breaking out from the previous descending channel. Price is currently retesting the 198–200 resistance zone, showing signs of consolidation before a potential continuation move. A successful retest of the trendline and demand zone could trigger an upside push toward the next target around 205.43, confirming bullish momentum continuation. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
CRYPTO:SOLUSD
by Pintu_sahu01
US vs China: should we be worried?Another ''Buy the rumor''? What EVERY trader should have in mind amid US-China Trade talks: 1. Beijing balks at enforcement or verification terms China could reject U.S.‑demanded mechanisms for monitoring compliance, such as agricultural purchase tracking or fentanyl control checkpoints. Past talks collapsed over the same issue, the U.S. insisting on verification, China citing sovereignty .​ If Beijing signals “framework only, no enforcement,” Washington may treat it as stalling and re‑activate the 155 % tariff threat for Nov 1 .​ 2. Rare‑earth or tech export retaliation China still holds leverage through critical‑mineral exports. If it re‑tightens rare‑earth or semiconductor‑material shipments, Washington could impose new export controls on Chinese tech, reigniting escalation.​ That “supply‑chain weaponization” was what caused the early‑October market sell‑off and would likely repeat—hurting metals, EV, and chip stocks first. 3. Unexpected Trump pivot under political pressure Analysts warn that Trump tends to shift abruptly when domestic optics change. A new social‑media statement accusing Beijing of backsliding could nullify the deal narrative overnight .​ Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson noted that any such reversal could trigger a 10–15 % equity correction due to “positioning unwind and tariff risk repricing” .​ 4. National‑security or Taiwan language slips The framework explicitly avoids defense issues, but if Trump or Xi reference Taiwan or South China Sea policy during press remarks, it could politicize the summit and freeze trade clauses .​ 5. Market complacency and over‑positioning Even with a signed “mini‑deal,” markets may have already priced it in. JPMorgan research warns that a “buy‑the‑rumor, sell‑the‑news” reaction is likely if investors had pre‑emptively rotated into cyclicals .​ Thin liquidity plus leveraged optimism could amplify any disappointment. Bottom line: Unless both leaders explicitly confirm a tariff suspension and avoid new geopolitical flashpoints, markets remain only one headline away from reversal. The biggest red flags to watch this week are (1) a stalled verification clause, (2) talk of renewed tech or rare‑earth restrictions, or (3) Trump implying that tariffs will still “go forward pending review.” Any of these could instantly shift sentiment from optimism to a fresh wave of selling. #trade #correction #economy #finance #us #china #tariff #bitcoin #crypto #stocks #equities #trading
by signalgo
Indicators and Trading Signals — How It WorksWhen you first start trading, indicators feel like the secret sauce. RSI, MACD, EMA, Volume every line promises to reveal what the market will do next. You start stacking them like LEGO blocks, thinking more confirmation = more accuracy. But here’s the hard truth: indicators don’t predict they react. The real skill isn’t using more of them, it’s knowing when to listen and when to ignore. The Role of Indicators Indicators are tools, not magic formulas. They exist to translate price action into structure. That’s it. RSI tells you about momentum. Volume shows commitment. Moving averages reveal trend direction. Volatility indicators show risk zones. The power isn’t in the tool itself, it’s in how consistently you interpret it. That’s why two traders can look at the same RSI line and do completely opposite things. The Trap: Signal Hunting Every trader falls into this phase: jumping from one setup to another, waiting for that “perfect signal.” The problem? There isn’t one. Even the best indicators will fail if your execution and mindset aren’t aligned. Signals don’t make money! Systems do. Systems combine momentum, volume, volatility, and trend logic, so signals confirm each other, not contradict. Signal vs Execution Let’s be real, getting a signal is the easy part. Following it correctly is where most traders fall apart. You get a buy signal… but wait for “one more candle.” You see a sell alert… but hold, just in case it bounces. You close early because “it already moved enough.” That’s why automation matters. It doesn’t second-guess, it executes. From Noise to System If your screen looks like a Christmas tree of indicators, you’re not trading, you’re guessing. Clean it up. Pick a few tools that complement each other, build rules around them, and stick to those rules. That’s how professionals think: less emotion, more structure.
Education
by Green_Squad
11
Moment of Fate - BTC Analysis (3D)There are many reasons to go up but also going down is starting to look way more charming than ever right now. Let's examine what we have; -FED is about to cut rates for a second time but we'll most likely to see another rate cut in december which is bullish af. -All companies are keeping buying Bitcoin more and more which is kinda good but might be a problem for decentrlation of Bitcoin. -US is more likely to bring more regulations about stablecoins which will effect positivly Bitcoin. On the other hand; -China and US are still faceing a trade war even if they state othervise. -ETF's are not buying Bitcoin as much as they did last year. -US and Venezuela might have a conflit very soon. -Israel-Hamas and Russo-Ukraine wars hasn't actually over yet. -Gold is going on god mode. -DXY is trying to recover in weekly timeframe but is less likely due to rate cuts. -Elliot wave theory tells us that we might actually be in the A-B-C correction cycle. -Volume is decreasing, which is bad and supports the Elliot waves. - Trendline support is about to be lost (Tried to break it twice in a week). -There is a CME gap left around $92K Well, all we have to do is, combining the factors. If BTC breaks below the supportive trendline we will most likely drop through demand zone which is highlited in the chart. If US and China makes peace (less likely), Bitcoin actually has real reasons to try a new all time high. The main point is simple: Wait for one of two things to happen: Either the trendline will be broken and we'll see below the $100K, which will give us new opportuinites. Or, Bitcoin recovers $118400 and the entire bearish senario would be invalidated and Bitcoin goes like crayz again. Thank you for reading.
by vs_sayin
23
How China Is Quietly Taking Over Europe’s Industrial FutureThe Lack of Rare Earth Elements Pushes Europe into Major Concessions to China. Europe’s growing shortage of rare earth elements is forcing it to make unprecedented concessions to China — so deep that analysts now warn the continent could see the collapse of entire industrial sectors within the next five to six years. Automotive, shipbuilding, aviation, and railway manufacturing are all at risk. To stay afloat, European manufacturers — especially in Germany — are reportedly transferring valuable production know-how and proprietary technologies to Chinese partners in a desperate attempt to survive just a few more months or years. China, meanwhile, is using this knowledge to strengthen its own technological base. The scenario is alarmingly familiar: just as China mastered and surpassed the West in electric vehicles, it is now poised to outpace Europe across nearly every remaining industrial field. Investing in major German corporations is rapidly becoming meaningless. These companies will either shut down or be bought out entirely. The battle for industrial dominance has already been decided — China has won against Europe. What remains is the larger confrontation with the United States, a conflict that will likely unfold on Europe’s back, among the ruins of its once world-leading industries.
XETR:DAXShort
by World-Signals
The Next Explosion, Hidden Clues in Price BehaviorCan you really feel the next Bitcoin explosion just by reading the charts? The market looks calm, but deep down something big is shifting. When everyone expects a crash, history shows that’s when the biggest moves begin. Hello✌️ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Solana: BINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing a key daily support; holding this zone could spark a 16% rally, targeting $230. 📈🛡️ Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🌋 The Calm Before the Storm The crypto market is like the ocean before a tsunami quiet but full of hidden energy. On higher timeframes, candles look small and boring, yet trading volume is rising. That mix of silence on the surface and pressure underneath is exactly what happens before every strong bull run. 💡 Hidden Clues in Price Behavior Bitcoin’s price has been building quiet support for weeks, while big transactions are slowly increasing in the background. This usually means that smart investors are buying without drawing attention. Rising volume with little price movement is often the first signal that accumulation has started. 🚀 Bitcoin The Engine of the Next Explosion In every cycle, Bitcoin moves first. Breaking major resistance levels and holding above them is a sign of growing confidence. When Bitcoin dominance starts to drop and altcoin volume goes up at the same time, that’s when the whole crypto market gets ready for a collective takeoff. 🧠 Trader Psychology During Market Silence Most traders fear a quiet market, but experienced ones see it as the best setup. When the media talks about stagnation and panic, the big players are quietly building long positions. The difference between average and professional traders is simple: one sees silence as danger, the other as opportunity. 🔍 The Path to Spotting the Next Big Move To catch the move early, start with volume. When volume rises at support levels without breaking previous lows, it usually means smart money is buying. A positive divergence between price and RSI often appears right before momentum flips. Then watch for a bullish MACD cross on the daily chart when all three signals align, the explosion is close. ⚙️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Market Explosions TradingView offers powerful tools that can help you detect big moves before they happen. 1. Volume Profile Shows where most buying and selling happened. Heavy zones are usually where whales make their decisions. 2. MACD Reveals when market momentum is changing direction. A bullish cross in the negative zone often signals the start of a reversal. 3. RSI Measures the strength of buyers versus sellers. When RSI breaks above 50, a new bullish phase is often beginning. 4. Alert System Highly underrated! Set alerts for your favorite indicators so when they align, you get notified instantly. 5. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Use multiple timeframes to avoid fake signals. Comparing daily and 4-hour charts gives a much clearer picture of big moves. ⚡ Summary All signs point to a massive move ahead. Bitcoin’s calmness is deceiving, but the data doesn’t lie. Stay patient, follow your signals, and you might witness one of the strongest uptrends in years. 🧭Golden Tips for Smart Traders Patience beats excitement. The biggest profits go to those who wait for confirmation, not those who rush in Ignore the crowd’s emotions. When the mood is darkest, opportunities are often the brightest. Trust the chart, not your fear. The market always tells the truth if you take the time to listen. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
31
Technical Analysis Update: BTCUSD - 4H Chart (Coinbase)1. Price Action & Structure • Trend: The corrective pullback within the ascending channel continues, with current price at 113,700 USD, up slightly from the recent low near 111,758 USD. This follows the lower high at 114,000 USD (versus prior 116,000 USD peak), indicating ongoing consolidation rather than acceleration lower. • Support Levels: Immediate support strengthened at 111,500–112,000 USD (61.8% Fibonacci and channel lower boundary). Secondary support at 109,000 USD (50% retracement and prior low). • Resistance Levels: Near-term resistance at 114,000 USD (recent lower high). A close above 114,500 USD targets the prior 116,000 USD level. • Candlestick Patterns: The move to 113,700 USD shows a small bullish candle with reduced red volume, suggesting potential stabilization. No clear reversal pattern yet, but diminishing downside volume implies fading seller control. 2. Trend Indicators • Channel Analysis: Price remains above the ascending channel’s lower trendline (from 101,400 USD low to 116,000 USD high), now near 112,000 USD. This level’s hold supports the broader uptrend; violation would target 108,500 USD. • Fibonacci Retracement: From 101,400 USD low to 116,000 USD previous high: ◦ 23.6% at 115,100 USD (above current price). ◦ 38.2% at 113,000 USD (recently reclaimed, acting as support). ◦ 50% at 108,700 USD (deeper correction). ◦ 61.8% at 111,000 USD (prior test, now buffer). • Moving Averages: 50-period EMA at 112,900 USD is providing confluence support and beginning to flatten, hinting at possible trend resumption if crossed upward. 3. Momentum Indicators • MACD: The bearish crossover persists, but histogram contraction (less negative bars) indicates waning downside momentum. A bullish flip above the signal line near zero would confirm reversal. • RSI: Rising to 45–48 from oversold levels, showing mild recovery without overextension. Bullish divergence emerging if price holds while RSI stabilizes above 45. • Other Oscillators: Stochastic exiting oversold (crossing above 20), supporting a potential short-term bounce. 4. Volatility Indicators • Bollinger Bands: Price is rebounding from near the lower band (112,000 USD) toward the middle band (113,200 USD), with bands stabilizing after expansion. This setup favors mean reversion to 114,000 USD if volatility contracts further. • Volume Profile: Volume on the recent low was lower than prior declines, indicating reduced distribution. Potential accumulation building at 113,000 USD. 5. Market Sentiment • Bullish Scenario (45% Probability): The uptick to 113,700 USD and momentum stabilization could lead to a retest of 114,000 USD, preserving the channel uptrend toward 116,000 USD. • Bearish Scenario (55% Probability): Renewed selling below 112,000 USD targets 109,000 USD, though less likely given volume fade. • Overall Bias: Shifting to neutral-bullish, with the price recovery reducing immediate downside risk. Trading Strategy Update • Long Entry: Enter on confirmation above 114,000 USD, with stop-loss below 113,700 USD. Target 116,500 USD (1:2 risk-reward ratio). • Short Entry: Initiate only on breakdown below 113,700 USD, with stop above 114,000 USD. Target 111,000 USD.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Milyanrouge