Day 24 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$264 Overnight WinWelcome to Day 24 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today was all about patience and levels. I noticed the market had already made a huge move yesterday, so I bet it couldn’t push much further overnight. I shorted at 6525 and woke up to a $250+ profit by market open.
That was enough for me — the plan worked perfectly, so I stayed mostly on the sidelines for the rest of the day. Both our overnight level and yesterday’s level played out exactly as expected, which made this a clean session.
Closed the day at +264.83.
📰 News Highlights
U.S. ADDS FEWER-THAN-EXPECTED 22,000 JOBS IN AUGUST, BOOSTING ODDS OF 50BPS CUT
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6470 = Remain Bullish
Below 6450 = Flip Bearish
Beyond Technical Analysis
USDT.D — 1W FVG Test & RSI Bull Div | Caution for RiskUSDT Dominance is testing a major 1W FVG support area while developing bullish divergences on the 4H RSI. Although a short-term bounce and market correction are likely, the overall bullish trend in BTC means a sharp reversal is not guaranteed. Risk management is a priority here — no high-risk positions until the RSI resets and market context is clearer.
1W FVG support + 4H RSI bull div
Bounce likely = correction on risk assets
RSI needs reset to 50 before reassessing
If lost — risk-off, possible slice down
Reasoning: Support + momentum, but trend is bullish — not risking gains here
Long from accumulation range: targets 1.50 → 2.35 (Weekly FVG)Price is sitting at the upper edge of the 0.78–0.83 accumulation. Above, unfilled FVG clusters on D1/W1 act as magnets; the first target is 1.50, then 2.00–2.35 (Weekly FVG). VPVR shows the main volume base at 0.70–0.83.
Idea
Counter-trend long from range support with base R/R ≈ 3.7. Expectation: liquidity sweep to the upside and FVG fills.
Trade Plan (laddered limits)
Entries: 0.820 (40%), 0.780 (30%), 0.650 (30%)
Hard stop (invalidation): 0.611
TP1: 1.500 (take 50%)
TP2: 2.350 (leave 50%)
Risk / Reward
Max risk to stop: −23.63% from 0.800 → 0.611.
Upside: +87.5% to 1.50 and +193.8% to 2.35.
Base R/R ≈ 3.7.
Management
After 1.00–1.05, move stop to breakeven (avg entry). After TP1, trail under the latest H4/D1 HL and hold for the Weekly FVG 2.00–2.35.
Key Levels
Support: 0.83 / 0.78 / 0.72–0.70 / 0.65
Resistance: 1.00 / 1.20–1.35 / 1.50 / 1.95 / 2.35
Confirmation Triggers
H4/D1 close above 0.90–1.00 (fresh HH)
Impulsive move from 0.78–0.83 with volume and absorption of the last bearish block
Alternative (bearish)
Clean break and acceptance below 0.611 cancels the idea; wait for a new base/re-accumulation.
Risks
Meme coins are prone to sharp liquidity flushes; use strict position sizing and respect the stop.
BANKNIFTY: WEEKLY Levels from 08th - 12th SEP 2025All Plotted and Mentioned on Chart.
Color code:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
Disclaimer: Study Purpose only.
Microsoft - A very profitable repetition!💰Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) just repeats the cycle:
🔎Analysis summary:
At this exact moment, Microsoft is once again retesting the upper channel resistance trendline. Following all previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that we will see a short term retracement. Since the trend remains bullish, the all time high break and retest will follow.
📝Levels to watch:
$450, $700
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
I'm not an oracle, but I predict good things for ORCLToday was a difficult day for the market, and not its last, I suspect, given the market's history in September. Add to that, uncertainties about tariffs back in the headlines and the potential effects the loss those revenues would have on the deficit and US Treasury rates and you have a day like we had today. That level of uncertainty is never fun to trade, so when chaos is the backdrop, I like to focus on the stocks that have proven to be good trading vehicles regardless of market conditions. That's not to say they WILL go up, but trading is about putting odds in your favor.
You could always sit out until the dust settles (not a terrible idea, tbh), but there is enough underneath the surface here in this market that I can't justify sitting on my hands right now - although with 4 week t-bill rates at 4.24 today, that's not the worst idea either. Alas, I cannot resist the market, so in I go.
Oracle has been one of the very very best performers for what I do over the years. And by years, I mean almost 40 years of real and backtested trades in ORCL. Over that span, (1100 trades), ORCL has been the 4th best performer in the universe of large cap stocks I trade for a combination of returns and safety. In times like these, I like a strong lifeboat if seas get rougher.
Over those 1100+ trades, ORCL has produced a per day held return of .23%, which is over 5x the long term average daily return for the S&P 500.
In 2025, ORCL has posted a 35% gain since Dec 31st. Over that same period, my algo has generated 13 buy signals. All have been profitable and generated a total return (excluding dividends) of +51%, and a daily rate of return of +0.42%, or almost 10x the long term market average and 7.5x the rate of return of SPY so far this year. When times are tough, it's stocks like these I turn to when I want to be able to weather the storm instead of waiting it out in cash.
Understand, though, that if we hit a really rough patch with the market, ORCL and everything else will likely not perform all that well. You can see that during the tariff tantrum earlier this year, ORCL's gains were mediocre, especially in terms of per day returns. That's to be expected. I'm hoping that while September isn't a great month, a rate cut could give things a boost later this month.
I got in at 225.10 just before the close today, and if the opportunity presents itself to add tactically before I close the trade overall, I will do so, but cautiously. This is not the time of year to get out over your skis with trades. I will update any adds or sells same day after the close as soon as reasonably possible.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
ID: 2025 - 0178.26.2025
Trade #17 of 2025 executed.
Trade entry with 10 DTE.
This is a 100% purely directional short earnings play. I believe NVDA is going to be a huge miss tomorrow after the market closes, and I want to have a few days to let the market digest the news. These options expire Friday 9.6.2025, and if NVDA closes anywhere below 169 at expiration, this will be a 7R trade win.
Happy Trading!
-kevin
Bitcoin Drops 3%—Here’s Why It’s Happening!Bitcoin jumped past $113k right after the NFP report, then retraced 2% . Why the sudden swing? Weak jobs data, recession fears, and market sentiment all played a role.
In this video, I break down:
The NFP impact on BTC
September’s historical weakness
Correlation with the S&P 500
Potential buying opportunities if the Fed cuts rates
I analyze Bitcoin daily to make sure we don’t miss any triggers. Join the community , drop your thoughts in the comments, and share with friends if this helped!
Wiki Is Ready for Next Leg UpAfter following Wiki closely and making a lot of money of the previous pump up, I feel that wiki is now ready for the next leg up. Notice the huge pump then the steep drop off, the consolidation and price is very quiet rt now. I took all my drawings and indicators off this chart view as it was cluttered. Wiki is just breaking out of the pennant flag rt now. I think we’ll see tremendous upside next few days. However, do not be surprised if it starts to move up and then drops down violently before starting the real uptrend.
Not financial advice I’m not a financial adviser. Just sharing some insights.
👊🏼👊🏼
NQ 9/5Daily resistance on top of price.
Price is currently testing and being held by a 15min Inverse FS level.
A distribution trend is trying to form. If the BS candle is not formed to create the future origin level needed to create the trend, then price is targeting a higher range.
Price is supported by an hourly BS level, (unmarked) and the 4hr RAT with its accumulation trend. The 4hr level has the potential to break the daily distribution trend.
seems likely the price will need to find support again before breaking out.
NIFTY : WEEKLY Levels from 08th - 12th SEP 2025All Plotted and Mentioned on Chart.
Color code:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
Disclaimer: Study Purpose only.
Sorry for clumsiness.
IDENTIFIED "RSI BULLISH DIVERGENCE" in between 12:55 TO 1:00 PM
and posted in Social Platform.
Given Screen shot in Chart. Notice time of POST.
HYPE | Looking for All-Time HighsHYPE | Looking for All-Time Highs
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is set for a 0.25% rate cut, with the possibility of a 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy is being adjusted not only in response to inflation but also weak labor market data. Recent August and September job numbers came in soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This shift is fueling expectations for one of the strongest bullish runs in the coming weeks.
📈 Technical Analysis
HYPE continues to show a strong HTF bullish trend — one of the most bullish structures currently in crypto. Price retraced into the 0.75 HTF discounted range and reacted strongly from there. This level also aligned with the HTF bullish trendline, creating a clean confluence. Following the bounce, price established a fresh 4H demand zone, adding further validation to the bullish outlook.
📌 Game Plan
I will be watching for price to revisit the 4H demand zone, which also overlaps with the HTF bullish trendline. This zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level, making it a key area of interest for continuation to the upside.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will look for a confirmed 1H break of structure before entering long.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low responsible for the BOS
Targets:
• TP1: $47.78
• TP2: $51.20 (ATH)
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Gold All Time High and want to Hitting Resistance PointsGold prices are trading near all-time highs as investors continue to rush into safe-haven assets. While the uptrend remains strong, the risk of profit-taking is increasing, which could trigger short-term pullbacks. Nonetheless, the metal is likely to remain close to record levels, supported by underlying demand.
The rally reflects market expectations of a more dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, a weaker U.S. dollar, and robust central bank purchases year-to-date. These factors provide a solid fundamental backdrop for gold despite elevated prices.
Technical Outlook
Immediate key level: 3558 –
If price breaks above 3558, the next resistance is seen near 3620.
Support levels to watch remain at recent breakout areas, which may act as buffers if profit-taking emerges.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
BNB Targeting All-Time Highs BNB Targeting All-Time Highs
📊 Market Sentiment
Sentiment remains constructive, supported by the prospect of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. With the USD losing strength and global risk appetite improving, conditions continue to favor upside momentum in crypto markets.
📈 Technical Analysis
BNB shows strong bullish momentum, so I’m only focused on long setups.
Price swept 4H swing liquidity and closed strongly above, signaling a deviation of the liquidity pool and intent to push higher.
A 4H demand zone was created after the liquidity raid, and price has already retested it while aligning with the 0.75 max discount zone both giving a strong bounce.
Currently, price is moving towards the LTF bearish trendline.
📌 Game Plan
I want to see a clean breakout above the bearish trendline. At least two consecutive 4H candle closes above the trendline will confirm the breakout for me.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will enter after a confirmed retest of the broken trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Two consecutive 4H closes below the broken trendline
Targets:
• TP1: $880
• TP2: $901 (All-Time Highs)
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
XAUUSD Long Price broke out explosively from the bullish triangle formation during the NFP release, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and simultaneously breaking market structure. This confirms bullish momentum.
I'll be looking for buy opportunities as price retraces into the FVG zone, which also aligns with the retest of the structure break, offering a strong confluence area for potential entries.
BTC ANALYSIS📊 #BTC Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily time frame in #BTC .
Also there is a perfect breakout and retest. There is an instant major resistance and major support zone and if #BTC breaks the resistance zone then we would see a bullish move
👀Current Price: $1,10,800
🎯 Target Price : $1,21,700
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has been moving within a medium-term ascending channel and recently managed to break above a major resistance area that had previously rejected price multiple times.
Currently, the price is facing a psychological and technical barrier at the $3500 level, acting as the next resistance.
Price is expected to consolidate slightly below $3500 before attempting another push higher.
As long as price holds above the broken resistance and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A successful breakout above $3500 could open the path toward targets at $3600 – $3700-$3900 in the medium term.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold. Expect entry into the fifth waveThe current decline looks like the 4th wave
Before it, 3 in 3 is visible
There is an alternative probability of the marking, that the marking will lengthen and we will get a stronger upward impulse.
But in both scenarios there is another increase in quotes with a target of 3600-3650
In general, the growth of gold is due to a reduction in central bank investments from American treasuries.
Just today we described how investments of India and other non-Western countries in American debt are decreasing.
All this spurred the growth of gold quotes
NIFTY IT INDEX: INTRADAY Levels for 08th SEP 2025All Plotted and Mentioned on Chart.
Color code:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
Disclaimer: Study Purpose only.