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EURCAD Looking Bullish Trend to wardsThe EUR/CAD pair is currently in a bullish trend, consolidating after a recent pullback toward a key support zone. The euro has established a strong support area, indicating that buyers may soon regain control. Although price is currently showing signs of a temporary decline, the broader trend remains upward. A bullish reaction from the current support area could trigger a rebound. However, traders should watch for a possible false breakout below the support before the next upward move If the price successfully reacts from the current level, the next resistance zone is expected between 1.6350 and 1.6500. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for Supporting
Long
by MrMartin_11
13
Report 24/10/25The full-spectrum macro and markets readout pulling together the sanctions shock on Russia, the U.S.–China trade maneuvers, the state of the U.S. consumer and housing, the leverage boom in ETFs, and the AI-infrastructure investment cycle. I weave in current market reactions and lay out what it means for the key assets you care about, gold (XAUUSD), S&P 500, USDJPY, DXY, crude oil, and the Dow, alongside policy, fiscal, and geopolitical implications. The immediate market pulse is classic “supply shock meets policy risk.” Washington’s new measures now extend sanctions to Rosneft and Lukoil, closing the last big gap after earlier actions focused on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas. The EU simultaneously tightened its energy regime, moving to phase out Russian LNG, broadening designations against sanctions evasion and “shadow fleet” tankers, while the U.K. added parallel listings. Crude snapped higher on impact; Brent jumped roughly five percent as traders priced a non-trivial hit to Russian export logistics and access to finance and services. The alignment of U.S. and EU enforcement capacity matters as much as the headline names: if dollar clearing, insurance, reinsurance, and port access are jointly policed, discounts on Russian barrels widen and barrels move more slowly. India and China, who together take the great majority of Russia’s crude, face higher legal and balance-sheet frictions; early indications are that at least some refiners are preparing to pare or reroute purchases to protect market access and banking relationships. Beyond the day-one commodity response, the sanctions land in a macro backdrop where U.S. earnings have been better than feared and liquidity is still supportive. With roughly a quarter of S&P 500 constituents reported, about 86% are beating estimates and earnings growth expectations have nudged higher. That tone, plus selective tariff respite headlines around an upcoming Trump–Xi meeting, helped keep U.S. equities resilient into week-end, though dispersion is high beneath the surface and energy leadership is reasserting.  Geopolitically, the next accelerant is Washington’s decision to reopen a Section 301-style examination of China’s adherence to the 2020 “Phase One” deal, timed just ahead of the Trump–Xi session. The scope enables fresh tariffs if the USTR concludes material non-compliance. Coupled with recent U.S. and allies’ export-control tightening and China’s expansion of rare-earth restrictions, the probability of another tariff round in 2025–26 is non-negligible. Beijing has telegraphed its own long game: the new five-year blueprint puts technological self-reliance, advanced manufacturing and a structurally higher share of household consumption at the core of policy through 2030, clear signal that the rivalry isn’t fading. Markets should treat any near-term handshake as a cease-fire, not a peace treaty.  On the domestic macro side, the U.S. consumer remains the economy’s flywheel. Big card issuers show robust spend among higher-score cohorts, easing delinquencies, and managements are again nudging underwriting less tight. American Express’ premium skew is emblematic of the bifurcation: wealthy cardholders are carrying the growth, while the Philadelphia Fed finds real spending is softer among sub-720 scores, so the averages mask a tale of two consumers. That nuance matters for 2026 margin risk if labor softens. For now, though, credit metrics are trending better than feared.  Housing is a modest bright spot off the lows. The average 30-year mortgage rate has eased to roughly 6.27% and existing-home sales ticked to a seven-month high in September. Affordability remains stretched, but every 25–50 bps of rate relief pulls some pent-up demand off the sidelines, a theme agents confirm. If long yields stay capped even with higher oil, a gradual, rate-led thaw is plausible into spring selling season. The AI buildout is the other macro elephant. Hyperscaler capex keeps ratcheting up and is now a huge share of S&P 500 cash spending. Citi and Goldman see hundreds of billions annually for several years; Bain frames the constraint starkly: to sustain compute/power trajectories, the ecosystem needs on the order of $500B per year in data-center investment and roughly $2T in annual revenue by 2030, leaving an $800B gap under most adoption curves. That’s why data-center REITs with more “traditional” compute exposure haven’t matched the hype; their ROICs remain low-single-digits and capex-hungry. Macro consequence: AI capex crowds out buybacks at the margin, pushes up on utility and grid investment cycles, and creates style churn inside equities.  Leverage at the edges is a separate, nearer-term fragility. Leveraged and single-stock ETFs have proliferated, with filings for up to 5x products even as the SEC signals caution. Banks and derivatives desks are already flagging that flows in these vehicles can amplify intraday swings. In a headline-driven tape, sanctions, tariffs, and yields, this mechanical liquidity can make drawdowns look worse than fundamentals, and it can also distort “buy the dip” mechanics when rebalancing hits late in the day.  Now, asset-by-asset: Gold (XAUUSD) is underpinned by three reinforcing factors: sanctions and tariff risk; still-elevated geopolitical uncertainty; and the perception that the Fed’s next major impulse is easier, not tighter. Spot has already chalked up record prints earlier this year and remains high; safe-haven bids tend to re-emerge on any sign that sanctions enforcement is biting or the U.S.–China tone sours. If oil sustains above recent ranges and nudges inflation expectations, gold benefits further as a hedge against “stagflation-lite.” The chief near-term headwind would be a sharp, tariff-driven rebound in the dollar and real yields; absent that, dips should stay shallow.  Crude oil has the cleanest sanction-beta. If U.S.–EU enforcement meaningfully constrains shadow-fleet operations, port services, and financing, Russia’s prompt exports face frictions that feel like a stealth cut. India/China compliance is the wild card; partial rerouting via intermediaries will continue, but price discounts and shipping time/costs likely widen. Base case is a higher floor and fatter tail risks to the upside into winter. That flows through to inflation, shipping, airlines, and EM importers; it’s supportive for U.S. energy equities and cash-rich E&Ps. The S&P 500 is balancing better-than-feared micro with geopolitics and factor churn. Energy leadership, defensive quality, and selected industrials are the winners in this tape; megacap AI continues to depend on the capex narrative and delivery of monetization. With 86% beats so far, earnings revision breadth is a cushion, but tariff uncertainty and any oil-led inflation wobble can cap multiples. Equal-weight and quality-value tilts work as insurance against AI concentration risk and ETF-related whipsaws.  The Dow Jones, with heavier exposure to industrials, autos, and staples, may keep outperforming on the days when earnings beats are concentrated in old-economy names and when energy/industrials catch a bid. The GM/3M/Coca-Cola prints and guidance bumps underscore that “real economy” earnings are still there even with tariffs in the backdrop.  DXY is caught between higher oil and safe-haven demand for dollars versus softer long rates and improving risk appetite on earnings. For the moment it’s broadly steady. If Section 301 escalates into new tariffs, the knee-jerk is usually dollar-positive; if bond yields slip on growth worries or if the Fed leans openly dovish, the dollar can fade even in risk-off. Translation: DXY skew is event-driven rather than trend-driven this week.  USDJPY is the purest real-yield and risk-tone barometer. In a sanctions-plus-risk-off day with falling U.S. yields, the yen usually firms; in a tariffs-plus-sticky-inflation day with rising U.S. yields, USDJPY can quickly re-test highs. With Tokyo sensitive about currency weakness, verbal intervention risk remains live on sharp JPY moves, which can add intraday volatility without changing the broader rate-differential regime. (Watch U.S. 10-year moves after energy spikes; that’s the dominant driver.) Strategic forecasts and policy/fiscal implications: First, energy and Russia: if enforcement proves real, dollar clearing, maritime services, and port penalties, the Kremlin’s fiscal math tightens. Russia’s budget relies heavily on energy receipts; higher discounts and stickier barrels force deeper use of the rainy-day fund or more domestic taxation and repression of private investment. The macro pain won’t end the war by itself, but it raises Moscow’s opportunity cost and complicates procurement. Expect continued circumvention attempts via third-country brokers and fleets, and, therefore, a sanctions cat-and-mouse that periodically jolts crude. Second, U.S.–China: a Section 301 review of Phase One compliance is a ready-made channel for fresh tariff lines if politics demand it. Beijing’s five-year plan tells us China will double-down on import substitution in semis, industrial software, EV supply chains, and advanced materials, while stating an ambition to lift consumption’s GDP share. For investors, that implies persistent policy friction around tech exports, a long runway for “friendly-shore” supply-chain investment in North America and allies, and periodic FX and commodity volatility as both blocs lean on industrial policy.  Third, U.S. domestic demand: premium-skewed consumption and a gradual housing thaw keep the soft-landing story intact for now, but it’s not uniform. Lower-income cohorts are stretched, so any oil-driven inflation aftershock or labor wobble will show up first in subprime card and auto delinquencies. The good news: banks’ provisioning and delinquency trends are currently improving, buying time for rates to ease further into 2026.  Risks to monitor fall into four buckets. Enforcement slippage would dull the sanctions’ bite and cap oil’s upside; over-enforcement or a maritime incident could do the opposite and spike crude beyond what central banks can comfortably “look through.” A tariff re-escalation after the Trump–Xi meeting would strengthen the dollar, hit risk beta, and likely put a bid under gold again. A surprise re-acceleration in core inflation via energy pass-through would force a repricing of the Fed path, tightening financial conditions. And structurally, the AI capex boom has real macro spillovers, crowding out in corporate cash allocation and rising grid constraints, while the expanding ecosystem of leveraged ETFs adds reflexivity to intraday moves.  Opportunities cluster where policy and cash flows intersect. Energy producers with low break-evens and disciplined capex benefit from a higher oil floor and fatter differentials; so do select shipping and marine insurers with the compliance tooling the sanctions regime demands. Gold remains an attractive portfolio hedge given the policy-risk distribution. Within equities, quality-value and equal-weight tilts help reduce crowding risk from AI leaders while still participating in the earnings updraft, and selected industrials leveraged to grid build-out and power equipment may be secular winners from AI electrification. In credit, investment-grade energy and utilities may see improving spread dynamics on rising cash flows and rate-stability. On the flip side, be cautious with highly leveraged single-stock ETFs; they are designed for daily trading, suffer volatility decay, and have already been implicated in outsized intraday swings.  All in all: I expect crude oil to trade with an upside skew so long as enforcement headlines remain credible; that keeps gold supported and incrementally raises the hurdle for big multiple expansion in the S&P 500 even as earnings beat. The Dow should fare relatively well on days when industrial and energy prints lead. DXY and USDJPY are more path-dependent: a tariff probe that escalates would be dollar-positive; a benign Trump–Xi photo-op and softer U.S. yields would let the dollar drift while giving the yen some relief. Near-term, equities’ cushion is the earnings cadence; the macro brake is energy price risk. 
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Energy, the Uncrossable Barrier for AIBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution may face its most unexpected limit: energy. According to Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE: APO), the current global energy system will not be able to sustain the growth pace of AI, not even within a generation. In a recent interview, Dave Stangis, Chief Sustainability Officer at Apollo, warned that “the energy demand required by AI far exceeds the generation and transmission capacity of the global grid.” Far from being alarmist, this statement highlights a reality that markets are beginning to factor in: the digital future could depend more on oil prices and electrical infrastructure than on Nvidia chips. Fundamental Analysis: The New Energy Imbalance Data centers powering AI currently consume an estimated 4% of the world’s electricity, a figure that could double by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Meanwhile, investment in power generation and transmission is not keeping pace, creating a structural supply deficit. On the stock market, major tech companies—Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon—remain the Nasdaq's driving engines, but their energy-intensive growth could pressure margins if electricity costs continue rising. Conversely, energy companies are emerging as potential indirect winners of this revolution. Firms like ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and Chevron (NYSE: CVX) have strong balance sheets, stable cash flows, and attractive dividend policies, trading at P/E ratios around 12x, well below those of the tech sector. Brent crude remains near $88 per barrel, supported by global demand and OPEC+ production cuts, while energy companies benefit from firm prices and potential expansion of traditional and renewable power capacity. Technical Analysis: A Quiet Rotation Toward Energy On the daily chart, Apollo Global Management shows a long-term bearish trend. After consistently resisting the $120 price zone, the stock closed yesterday with a correction at $123.05. The price has stayed below the 50-day moving average since a new bearish trend consolidated on October 2. If the current price breaks the $125 zone, we could see a recovery trend toward the control point around $132, a level where it has fluctuated since March. The RSI indicates oversold conditions at 41.21%, accompanied by a bearish MACD with a histogram entering positive territory, suggesting either consolidation or increasing buying pressure. Meanwhile, the ActivTrades US Market Pulse shows a neutral risk environment after several days in Risk Off territory, which had driven significant selling ahead of the quarter’s close. This suggests the stock is seeking to recover lost value and find equilibrium. Notably, the Nasdaq’s correction has dragged many tech companies into a consolidation phase after a period of euphoria, while the energy sector gains traction, supported by solid fundamentals and stable crude prices. AI Redefines the Energy Map Apollo’s analysis highlights a reality markets are beginning to internalize: AI not only redefines productivity but also the global energy landscape. The challenge will not be creating smarter models, but generating enough energy to sustain them. In this equation, capital appears to be shifting from silicon toward oil and electrical grids. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NYSE:APOLong
by ActivTrades
Tesla Stock Wobbles as Profit Dives 37%, Revenue Pops. Now What?Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA posted a 12% jump in revenue on Wednesday, reaching $28.1 billion, well above Wall Street’s $26.37 billion estimate. And yet, the stock slipped nearly 1% on the day before paring back that loss with a 2.3% Thursday gain. Why? Because profits fell faster than Cybertruck’s reputation — a 37% plunge year over year, with adjusted earnings per share at 50 cents versus the expected 54 cents. It’s a classic Tesla paradox: sales are booming, but margins are thinning, and Wall Street can’t decide whether to cheer the top line or cry over the bottom one. 🏎️ The Cost of Staying in the Fast Lane Tesla’s secret sauce has always been scale — crank out more cars, dominate market share, and let profits follow. But this quarter, the recipe’s a bit off. Automotive revenue rose 6% to $21.2 billion, yet net income plunged to $1.37 billion from $2.17 billion a year earlier . What happened? Price cuts. Lots of them. Musk has been slashing sticker prices across markets to stay ahead in the EV race — great for consumers, painful for margins. Add a 50% spike in operating expenses (thanks, humanoid robots and AI labs), and suddenly that sleek electric machine looks a lot less money-making. Still, Tesla’s revenue growth means one thing: demand isn’t dead. The EV slowdown hasn’t reached Palo Alto yet. 💰 Bitcoin Bounces In a crypto-centric subplot, the company made $62 million from its Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash last quarter. The crypto’s 5% rise — ending the quarter around $114,000 — gave Tesla’s treasury a nice digital cushion. The company held roughly 11,000 Bitcoins during the three months through September. 🧠 The $1 Trillion Question And then there’s the other storyline — the Elon Musk Show. Musk wrapped up the earnings call by pivoting from profits to power. Specifically, his proposed $1 trillion pay package , which he insists isn’t “compensation” at all but a question of “control.” “I just don’t feel comfortable building a robot army here and then being ousted because of some asinine recommendations from ISS and Glass Lewis,” Musk quipped, slamming the proxy firms as “corporate terrorists.” His plan is to secure roughly mid-20s voting power to keep Tesla’s destiny firmly in his hands while still, as he puts it, being “fireable if I go insane.” If approved, Musk’s stake could surge from 13% to nearly 29%, giving him the leverage he says he needs to push Tesla toward an $8.5 trillion valuation — complete with robotaxis, humanoid bots, and up to 12 million cars sold annually. 🧾 The Takeaway The stock is up roughly 16% in 2025, clawing back some early-year losses, but it still lags the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC and other mega-cap peers like Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Meta $META. The near-term question is simple: can Tesla tighten costs without killing growth? The long-term one is bigger: can Elon Musk lead the company into its next chapter without turning every quarter into a cliffhanger? That said, the earnings season continues and the next batch of big tech heavyweights is right around the corner. Off to you : What’s your take on Tesla and Musk’s lofty vision north of $1 trillion? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
28
LEARN to INVEST Like Warren BuffetHello Stock Traders and Speculators 📈📢 If you trade and or watch stocks, commodities and/or ETF's then this one is for you! Warren Buffett is probably one of the most successful investors of all time. Over the years, he has developed a set of principles and strategies over his career. He was inspired by the teachings of key financial thinkers like Phil Fisher, Benjamin Graham and Charlie Munger. Phil Fisher Fisher’s approach focusses on quality companies with long-term growth potential, emphasizing focused portfolios and long-term holdings. He believed in gathering information about a company beyond what’s readily available. His lessons on maintaining a focused portfolio and committing to long-term holdings are clear influences on Buffett’s patient, value-driven investment philosophy. Benjamin Graham Known as the father of value investing, Graham’s core principle was to buy stocks at a price lower than their intrinsic value, creating a margin of safety (MOS). This strategy helps mitigate risk and increase the likelihood of future gains. Buffett absorbed Graham’s teaching on finding stocks that are undervalued and buying them at the right price— definitely a large contributor of his investment success. Charlie Munger Munger is Warren Buffett’s long-time business partner. He introduced the concept of economic moats, which refers to a company’s long-term, sustainable competitive advantages. Munger advocates investing in businesses that can fend off competition and maintain profitability over time. This philosophy drives Buffett’s focus on companies with strong market positions and solid long-term potential, favoring these over shorter-term, speculative opportunities. Buffett's Investment Approach 1 - Buy for the Long Term. Buffett’s strategy emphasizes identifying companies that can consistently perform well over long periods. He holds stocks for years, or even decades, often looking for opportunities where other investors may overlook value. 2 - Buy at the Right Price. Buffett is known for his discipline in waiting for the right moment to invest. His approach ensures he doesn’t overpay, instead seeking stocks when they are priced below their true value, maintaining a margin of safety. 3 - Buy the Right Stocks. Buffett doesn’t just buy cheap stocks, he buys quality companies with sustainable advantages. His goal is to invest in firms with strong business models that will continue to perform well regardless of market conditions. Warren Buffett emphasizes investing in companies with simple and clear business models, ones that fall within his circle of competence. He prefers to thoroughly understand the operations, products, and long-term prospects of a company before making any investment. This principle is combined with in-depth analysis of how the company operates and how sustainable its valuations and future growth prospects are. If a business model is too complex or outside his expertise, he avoids it. He prioritizes companies with integrity and transparency in their management. He believes in backing leaders who are passionate, have strong vision and execution capabilities and who use shareholder funds wisely. Trusting management to run the company effectively, with efficiency and accountability, is critical for long-term success in Buffett’s eyes. Investing in quality companies isn’t enough—Buffett also insists on buying them at attractive prices. He maintains a strict discipline of buying with a margin of safety, ensuring the price paid is lower than the company’s intrinsic value. This means waiting for opportunities to buy great businesses at fair prices rather than settling for fair businesses at attractive prices, which may not perform well over time. Buffett has made many of his lessons and strategies available to the public through his letters to shareholders and partnership letters. These documents offer insight into his investment approach, decision-making process, and lessons from both successes and failures. There are several key books that capture Buffett’s life, philosophy, and strategies in greater detail: 📚Warren Buffett’s Ground Rules 📚The Warren Buffett Way 📚Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist 📚The Warren Buffett Portfolio 📚The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life Each of these resources provides a comprehensive look into the mind of one of the most successful investors of all time. Personally I've read Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist by Roger Lowenstein and it is fantastic.
SP:SPX
by Crypto-Check-
8
Gold (XAUUSD) – 24 Oct | Watching Key Supply & Demand Zones🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 24 October Hello Disciplined Traders, Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋 Market Context • Gold is currently ranging between 4004.6–4162.3 . • The M15 structure remains bearish and is now in a pullback phase. • Internally, price has respected the 4110–4100 demand zone multiple times, showing temporary support. Key Observations • Expecting a pullback towards the 4246–4277.8 supply zone — our primary POI for short setup. • If this zone is not respected and M15 breaks out upside , it would signal a structure shift bullish , invalidating the sell bias and opening room for long opportunities. • Recently, the market swept day low liquidity and again respected the 4110–4100 zone — short-term longs from this area are possible, but only for experienced traders and with clear LTF confirmation . Execution Plan • Prefer short setups from 4246–4277.8 zone if respected. • Short-term long trades from 4110–4100 are valid only with confirmation and controlled risk. • High volatility continues — stay patient and disciplined. In volatility lies emotion; in confirmation lies control. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
Gold price is consolidating around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,150 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by a firmer US Dollar and cautious sentiment after recent sharp losses. The end of India’s Diwali festival may also curb physical demand. However, lingering US government shutdown risks, global trade tensions, and expectations of US rate cuts could lend support to the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold's downward correction is still continuing, accumulating below 4200. Buying power is weakening and there is not much momentum to increase prices this week. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4217 - 4219 SL 4224 TP1: $4202 TP2: $4190 TP3: $4170 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3954 - 3956 SL 3949 TP1: $3970 TP2: $3990 TP3: $4015 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
XAUUSD Case Study/Trend Continuation in Action📅 20 Oct 2025 | 15M Chart | Yogiraj Trading Academy After a strong reversal confirmation, Gold has perfectly respected the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure on the 15-minute chart. As highlighted earlier, the key breakout zones of 4323 and 4380 acted as the decision points — once broken and sustained, the market confirmed trend continuation. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Timeframe: 15 Minutes Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Zone: 4323–4380 Current Status: Breakout confirmed; retest expected Next Target: 4440+ zone Stop-loss Zone: Below 4280 (structure invalidation) ⚙️ Market Psychology: This setup shows how markets transition from accumulation to expansion. Traders who entered prematurely during consolidation faced whipsaws, while disciplined traders who waited for neckline breakout confirmation entered at optimal risk-reward points. 🧘 Lesson from This Case: Confirmation > Prediction. Patterns reflect emotions — fear at lows, greed near breakouts. Structure-based entries build long-term consistency. 🚩 Yogiraj Trading Academy Insight: At Yogiraj Trading Academy, we integrate Technical Analysis + Trading Psychology + Discipline to guide traders toward independence and emotional mastery. Always trade with risk management, clarity, and patience — the real pillars of professional trading. 📊 Watchlist Levels: Support: 4280 / 4250 Resistance: 4380 / 4440 Continuation likely if sustained above 4380 ⚔️ Trade at your own risk with proper discipline and capital protection. #YogirajTradingAcademy #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #HeadAndShoulders #TrendContinuation #TradingMindset #yogeshonale
OANDA:XAUUSD
by YOGIRAJ_TRADING_ACADEMY
MSFT Tightening Into Friday — (Oct. 24 Outlook)Watching $520 Support and $525 Breakout Zone ⚙️ 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Microsoft (MSFT) continues to respect a rising structure but is now entering a compression phase under a strong resistance shelf near $525. On the 1-hour chart, the trend remains intact above the ascending trendline that started around $510. Recent CHoCH and BOS rotations highlight a healthy bullish structure, but the candles show indecision as the price tightens between $518–$523. On the 15-minute chart, MSFT is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle — a pattern that often precedes expansion. Price made a small CHoCH near $518 but quickly reclaimed $520, showing bulls are still defending short-term structure. The market’s behavior suggests buyers are absorbing dips, though momentum is cooling slightly before a potential Friday decision move. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone (Support): $512–$515 — strong institutional footprint and previous BOS area. This zone also aligns with the HVL (high-volume level) and should act as the main support to watch. * Near-Term Demand: $518–$519 — local demand zone where the 1H trendline intersects. * Supply Zone (Resistance): $523–$526 — overlapping BOS top and GEX call wall region. A clean break and hold above this would confirm bullish continuation toward $530+. Overall structure suggests that MSFT is in mid-cycle consolidation. Bulls need to push through $525 to regain dominance, while bears will likely press if $518 fails. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: On both 1H and 15M charts, MSFT is hugging the EMAs closely. The 9 EMA is flattening slightly, signaling equilibrium. A crossover back upward on the 15M could kick off a premarket breakout if volume returns. * MACD: The 1H MACD is currently cooling off after an extended bullish run — histogram fading, but the fast line remains above zero, meaning trend momentum is intact. On the 15M, MACD is near reset, suggesting potential for a new impulse wave if buyers regain control. * RSI: The 1H RSI sits around 52 — neutral and balanced, reflecting the compression. The 15M RSI near 45 shows a short-term cooldown phase, but not yet oversold. * Volume: Volume has declined during this consolidation, a typical pre-breakout setup where traders await confirmation. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment The GEX chart reveals a crucial battle between $510 (put support) and $525 (call resistance). The highest positive gamma concentration sits around $523–$525, forming the main resistance zone. Above this, open gamma levels thin out until $530+, suggesting a quick acceleration could follow if that level breaks. Below, PUT support clusters at $510–$512, acting as a strong floor. This gamma structure aligns perfectly with the technical zones, making $518–$525 the key range where dealer hedging and price magnetization are likely strongest. IVR at 29.1 and IVX avg 30.9 (-0.37%) indicate compressed volatility, again pointing toward an upcoming expansion move. Options flow leans 20.4% CALLS, which is moderate and reflects traders waiting for confirmation before loading on one side. A breakout through $525 could trigger hedging flow toward $530–$535, while failure to hold $518 could send price to retest the $512–$510 support band. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $518–$520 retest or breakout above $523.8 * Targets: $526 → $530 → $535 * Stop-Loss: Below $516.5 * Confirmation: Hold above 9 EMA on 15M, MACD green crossover, RSI > 55 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: Rejection from $523–$525 or breakdown under $518 * Targets: $515 → $512 → $510 * Stop-Loss: Above $525.8 * Confirmation: CHoCH + MACD crossdown + RSI < 45 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday’s setup for MSFT is balanced but primed for breakout. The chart structure, EMAs, and gamma data all point to tight compression between $518 and $525 — a range that will likely resolve directionally before next week’s earnings-driven volatility window. If bulls push through $525, momentum could accelerate quickly toward $530–$535 fueled by gamma shifts and short-term call delta hedging. Conversely, a failure to defend $518 may bring a controlled retest of $512–$510, where fresh liquidity likely sits. My personal bias: MSFT remains constructive, with the larger structure favoring an eventual breakout to the upside — but only if $518 holds firm overnight. 💬 Final Thought:
“MSFT is tightening between $518 and $525 — this is a coiled spring setup. A breakout above $525 could rip through $530 fast, while $518 remains the critical line for bulls to defend.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
GOOGL Coiling for a Breakout: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Watching $256–$259 as the Key Battleground Zone 🔍 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Alphabet (GOOGL) is showing signs of renewed accumulation after rebounding from the $248–$249 support range, where a clear CHoCH confirmed a short-term shift in sentiment. On the 1-hour chart, we can see a rising structure forming, with a BOS at $254.5 followed by a retest of the ascending trendline — a healthy pullback after a prior rally. Price action remains confined between $248 (demand) and $259 (supply) — a tight compression range that often precedes expansion. The presence of multiple CHoCH and BOS levels suggests smart money is defending dips while gradually building positions ahead of a potential breakout leg. On the 15-minute chart, intraday CHoCH around $252.5 shows that buyers reclaimed control quickly after a liquidity sweep. As long as price holds above $251.5–$252, short-term bias stays constructive heading into Friday’s session. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone: $248–$252 — major high-confluence demand aligned with previous CHoCH zone and FVG (fair value gap). This zone marks the critical level for buyers to defend. * Immediate Support: $252.5 — where both 15M and 1H EMAs align, acting as short-term dynamic support. * Supply Zone: $256–$259 — overlapping with previous swing high structure and multiple BOS points, making it the area where sellers are most likely to react first. A confirmed breakout above $259.3 with volume would invalidate the current compression phase and likely trigger a momentum run toward $265–$268 — which coincides with the next gamma and call wall zone. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: Both EMAs are now turning upward and close to crossing bullishly on the 1H chart, signaling momentum recovery after a three-day base-building phase. On 15M, the 9EMA is already leading with price maintaining higher lows — confirming micro bullish structure. * MACD: On both 1H and 15M, MACD is curling upward after resetting — the histogram flipped positive again, a sign of fresh momentum. * RSI: 1H RSI reads around 70, consistent with bullish control. 15M RSI sits between 55–60, showing equilibrium before potential continuation. * Volume: Gradually increasing as price tests higher support — typical pre-breakout accumulation pattern. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Friday’s GEX map shows concentrated call resistance between $255–$260, forming the main barrier. The highest positive gamma aligns perfectly with $255–$256, implying that this zone is both a magnet and a resistance pivot for dealer positioning. Below, the PUT support and HVL (High Volume Level) cluster around $248–$250, making this the “floor” of the current gamma range. If GOOGL holds above that level, dealers’ hedging flow should favor stability or slow upside grinding. IVR at 47.3 and IVX avg at 44.7 (-2.5%) show compressed volatility, often a precursor to sharp directional moves. The options sentiment leans 32.4% toward calls, not excessive but enough to suggest early bullish repositioning. A decisive move through $259 could trigger a gamma flip and accelerate hedging demand, pushing GOOGL toward the next gamma node near $265–$268. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $252–$253 retest or breakout confirmation above $256 * Targets: $259 → $263 → $268 * Stop-Loss: Below $250.5 * Confirmation: MACD histogram turns positive, RSI holds >60, and price maintains above 9EMA on 15M Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $256–$258 rejection area * Targets: $252 → $249 → $245 * Stop-Loss: Above $259.5 * Confirmation: CHoCH + bearish MACD crossover on 15M 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday looks like a make-or-break day for GOOGL. The stock has been quietly consolidating between $248 and $259 for several sessions — building energy for the next trend leg. As long as $251–$252 holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. If bulls can break through $259 with volume, expect acceleration toward $265–$268 as gamma flows shift supportive. Conversely, a failure to hold above $252 could signal another liquidity sweep down to the $245–$247 range before buyers step in again. My personal view: GOOGL looks constructively bullish with structure tightening and momentum curling higher. The $255 pivot is key — reclaim and hold that, and a breakout run becomes highly probable. 💬 Final Thought:
“GOOGL is compressing between $252 and $259 — the spring is winding tight. A clean breakout over $259 could unleash a sharp move toward $265+. Watch the volume — that’s your tell.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Testing Mid-Range Balance: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Can Bulls Reclaim $262 or Will It Slip Back to $252? 🍏 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Apple’s recent price action shows a fragile equilibrium forming between supply and demand after a clean recovery from the $252 zone. On the 1-hour chart, we’ve got a CHoCH confirming short-term buyers stepping back in around $255, but price remains capped below a key mid-range resistance zone at $260–$262, where several prior breakdown candles originated. The BOS from earlier in the week was followed by a retracement that created a local higher low structure, hinting at possible accumulation between $255–$258. However, the failure so far to push decisively through $262.50 shows hesitation — likely due to overhead liquidity and the GEX call wall there. On the 15-minute chart, Apple is consolidating inside a rising channel with small BOS/CHoCH rotations that reflect indecision. The latest CHoCH suggests short-term exhaustion, but as long as price respects $257–$258, bulls still have a chance to retake control into Friday. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone (Support): $252.5–$255.5, aligning with a previous BOS level and high-volume accumulation area. * Near-Term Demand: $257–$258 (15M fair value gap + local retest zone). * Supply Zone (Resistance): $262–$265 — key order block cluster where sellers previously initiated the drop; breakout beyond this range could ignite a trend continuation toward $268+. The chart shows clear liquidity resting above $262 and below $252 — suggesting that whichever side gets swept first will likely define Friday’s directional bias. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: On the 15M, both EMAs are converging with a mild upward slope, indicating an early transition from consolidation to possible upside momentum. The 1H EMAs are flattening — a neutral but stabilizing signal. * MACD: The 1-hour MACD is curling upward with histogram bars flipping positive, suggesting bulls are slowly regaining control. On the 15-minute, MACD shows mild bearish divergence but flattening momentum — setting up for a potential premarket expansion. * RSI: 1-hour RSI is sitting near 68, close to bullish control but not yet overbought. 15M RSI oscillates between 52–60, ideal for a momentum reset phase. * Volume: Volume picked up during the $252 bounce but has cooled — typical of compression before a possible breakout. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Friday’s GEX chart paints a tight battleground between the $252.5 HVL support and the $262–$265 gamma wall. The highest positive gamma lies right at $259–$260, meaning dealers may attempt to pin price near that zone through hedging. Below that, the PUT support around $250 aligns perfectly with structural demand and previous BOS support — this is the line bulls must defend. Above, $265 represents the dominant call wall, making it the near-term ceiling unless a gamma squeeze takes hold. The current IVR (20) and IVX avg (29.8) show low volatility, and call sentiment remains modest (7.1%), implying traders are cautious but not overly bearish. If momentum accelerates past $262, gamma positioning could flip and lead to a controlled squeeze toward $267–$270. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $258–$259 retest or breakout above $262.2 * Targets: $264 → $267 → $270 * Stop-Loss: Below $256.8 * Confirmation: Hold above 9 EMA on 15M + MACD histogram rising + RSI > 60 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $261–$262.5 rejection or CHoCH under $257 * Targets: $255 → $252 → $248 * Stop-Loss: Above $263.5 * Confirmation: MACD crossdown + RSI divergence + BOS to downside 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday looks to be a compression breakout setup for Apple — momentum is tightening between $257 and $262. If bulls reclaim $262 with conviction, watch for a potential gamma-driven squeeze toward $267+. Conversely, a rejection there with fading volume could pull Apple back toward its $252–$255 accumulation base. My personal view: AAPL remains neutral-to-bullish as long as $257 holds. Buyers have shown up at every dip this week, and Friday’s session might reveal whether that base was genuine accumulation or just short-term relief. Keep your eyes on $262 — that’s the key trigger level. 📊 Final Thought:
“AAPL is balancing between $257 and $262 — the calm before the breakout. If bulls crack $262, the gamma unwind could send it flying toward $270. If not, expect a cool-off back to the $255 zone.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
PLTR Gearing Up for a Friday Move: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Will $182 Trigger a Breakout or a Trap? 🚀 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Palantir (PLTR) is showing a bullish short-term recovery after reclaiming structure from the $169 demand zone, where a strong CHoCH (Change of Character) flipped the prior bearish momentum. The Break of Structure (BOS) around $175 confirmed buyer aggression, and price has since climbed toward the key $180–$182 resistance range. On the 1-hour chart, PLTR is now testing that upper liquidity pocket — precisely where a previous CHoCH reversal began last week. Smart money likely used the drop under $170 to accumulate positions, and now we’re seeing that energy unwind into overhead liquidity between $180–$183. On the 15-minute timeframe, a short-term rising wedge pattern has formed. The intraday CHoCH near $180.3 shows early signs of possible exhaustion, but until structure breaks below $178, the short-term bias remains bullish. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone: $175–$177 (former resistance turned support; confirmed with high-volume absorption) * Immediate Support (FVG Zone): $178–$179 — this area aligns with the 15-min fair value gap and could act as an intraday springboard for continuation. * Supply Zone: $182–$184 — heavy liquidity cluster visible from prior distribution phase, aligning with multiple order blocks and GEX resistance. If PLTR breaks and closes above $182.5 with strength, it could trigger a short-covering rally toward $185+. But a failed breakout could produce a sharp retrace back to $176 as trapped longs exit. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: The 9EMA has crossed above the 21EMA on both 15M and 1H — a solid confirmation of bullish control as long as price stays above $179. The slope is positive, suggesting trend continuation. * MACD: On the 1-hour, the histogram is strongly green with widening bars — showing bullish momentum regaining steam. On the 15-minute, momentum cooled slightly in the late session, suggesting consolidation before the next leg. * RSI: The hourly RSI sits around 70, indicating strong but not extreme momentum. On the 15M, RSI cooled back toward 60 after a near-overbought condition, giving bulls room to push again if demand returns. * Volume: Noticeable pickup on the breakout from $175, confirming participation and likely short covering. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Friday’s GEX map shows $185 as the highest positive gamma and call wall, creating a natural magnet if momentum continues. The HVL (High Volume Level) at $175 coincides with the main structural support and previous BOS zone — an important line for bulls to defend. Below $175, the PUT wall at $170 marks a critical downside risk zone where dealers may need to sell into weakness. Above, the $180–$182 region carries stacked call walls — the zone where gamma flips could fuel acceleration or rejection. IVR sits at 30.9, with moderate call bias (36.6%) and a GEX-positive environment, meaning the market is likely to lean toward volatility suppression until a breakout occurs. If PLTR clears $182 with volume, expect a gamma squeeze into $185–$187, while failure there could trap momentum longs and send price right back to $175. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $178–$179 retest or confirmed breakout above $182.3 * Targets: $183.5 → $185 → $187 * Stop-Loss: Below $177 * Confirmation: Price holds above 9EMA on 15M, MACD histogram stays positive, RSI > 55 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $182–$183 rejection zone * Targets: $179 → $176 → $172 * Stop-Loss: Above $184.5 * Confirmation: 15M CHoCH + MACD histogram flips red with RSI divergence 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday’s setup looks balanced but leaning bullish as long as $179–$180 holds intraday. A quick liquidity grab under that level early morning could give bulls a clean launch toward $185+. Conversely, if $182 rejects again with heavy volume, expect a pullback toward $175 — where both structure and gamma support align. My personal take: PLTR looks coiled for a breakout, but the move needs confirmation above $182. A low-volume fakeout would likely fade, while a strong breakout could trigger dealer hedging and send this name flying into the upper $180s. 🔥 Final Thought:
“PLTR is sitting right under the ceiling — $182 is the key. If bulls break through, $185–$187 comes fast. But if it fails again, $175 will be back on the radar.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
How Key Fundamentals Can Play A Key Role In Your InvestmentsAs popular as Technical Analysis is with the ease of plotting indicators and tools to exhibit trend changes, Fundamental Analysis also plays a role not as simply demonstrated but equally as important! Now when it comes to Fundamentals, there are a few key financial items that feed investors all the hints they need to potentially make fairly profitable investments and avoid devastatingly horrible mistakes and these are: 1) Income Statement 2) Balance Sheet 3) Cash Flow The Income Statement retains the most mentioned fundamental metrics like Revenue which is how much money a company makes by selling their goods and services, Operating Expenses like Marketing and Research and Development. Here I use NYSE:ACHR Income Statement for the example www.tradingview.com Even though Archer Aviation still has yet to post any Revenue, news for the company that's come out lately show a strong demand for NYSE:ACHR product and services: - Signing a partnership with Korean Air to commercialize its electric air taxis in South Korea, with a potential purchase of up to 100 aircraft. www.tradingview.com - Named exclusive Air Taxi partner for the Los Angeles Sports & Entertainment Commission who will be hosting the 2026 World Cup. www.tradingview.com And with Archer Aviation acquiring Lilium's Patent Portfolio this month adding 300 Patent assets, pushing Archers total patents to exceed 1,000 assets globally, shows rapid expansion potential for the company against competitors! www.tradingview.com Now for the Balance Sheet www.tradingview.com The Balance Sheet can determine how healthy a company is and produces 3 important factors that basically determine a company's Net Worth and they are: 1) Assets - What the company owns 2) Liabilities - What the company owes 3) Equity - Whats left of the Assets once Liabilities are accounted for We can see that NYSE:ACHR has maintained a stunning balance between their Assets and Liabilities with Assets just about doubling in Q'2 of 2025 from Q'4 2024 and Liabilities all the while staying relatively the same and low! Meaning less hurdles to jump and obstacles to pay off that could slow the progress of growth in the long-term with great Equity! Finally, the Cash Flow www.tradingview.com Cash Flow is a companies true way of transparency with showing the flow of cash in and out of the company and shows what's actually generated by the company from doing business and is separated in 3 sections: 1) Operating Activities 2) Investing Activities 3) Financing Activities Now we can see Operating and Investing activities may not be NYSE:ACHR strong suit yet, but as Financing goes, numbers have continued to rise exponentially since Q'2 of 2024! This suggests there is a lot of interest in the company from outside lenders and investors! Like the saying goes, "Sometimes it takes belief in others belief in you before you gain belief in yourself." - Financial Activities could help carry NYSE:ACHR further! ** Remember, nothing in trading no matter how Technical or Fundamental is ever 100% right every time. It takes a combined effort of both Technical and Fundamentals to paint a vivid picture of what a company or asset may be worth or doing. So do your due diligence in research! Don't Ask What To Invest In, Ask Why Invest In It!!
NYSE:ACHREducation
by Novi_Fibonacci
7
TSLA at a Crossroad: Can Bulls Push Through $450 Wall on Oct 241. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Tesla’s price structure is showing a clear short-term bullish shift after back-to-back CHoCH confirmations from the $415 zone, where buyers absorbed liquidity aggressively. The Break of Structure (BOS) on the 15-minute around $440–$445 confirms that smart money rotated back into long positions after a liquidity sweep of last week’s lows. On the 1-hour chart, TSLA is reclaiming momentum above its recent CHoCH zone near $420, building a stair-step structure toward the previous supply zone at $450–$455. The trendline drawn from the previous lower highs (extending from the $470s) still acts as a major trend barrier, meaning a clean break and hold above $450–$452 is the confirmation bulls need to signal a higher timeframe reversal. Smart money accumulation looks evident between $415–$425, where volume clusters align with the CHoCH reversal. Above that, liquidity resides at $455–$460, a potential magnet if momentum sustains through Friday. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone (High Probability Reaccumulation): $415–$425. This zone was defended twice and coincides with prior sell-side liquidity. * Immediate Support / Fair Value Gap Fill Area: $435–$440, likely to act as intraday springboard if retested during premarket dip. * Supply Zone / Sell-Side Liquidity: $450–$455. This aligns with the 1-hour bearish order block formed from the Oct. 17–18 breakdown. Expect a reaction near $450 — either a rejection for intraday pullback or a breakout continuation if bulls trap shorts above it. If price clears that level with strength, next supply sits around $462–$465. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Both EMAs have crossed to the upside on the 15-minute and are starting to fan out on the 1-hour, confirming a short-term bullish bias. * MACD: The histogram shows strong positive momentum with expanding bars on the 1-hour, but slight divergence on 15-minute as momentum cooled late in the session — suggesting a possible small pullback before continuation. * RSI: Hovering around 70 on the 1-hour, indicating overbought conditions but still within bullish control. On 15-minute, RSI has cooled off near 60, resetting for potential continuation. * Volume: Expansion noted during the breakout, confirming participation. Momentum remains positive unless volume fades on retest. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment According to the GEX chart, $450–$455 is the 2nd major call wall and highest positive gamma zone, while $420 remains the strongest PUT support for Friday (10/24). The HVL (High Volume Line) around $430 aligns perfectly with the mid-support of the structure. Dealer positioning remains net positive gamma, meaning we can expect controlled movement unless price breaches outside the $420–$455 zone. A sustained move above $450 would likely force dealers to hedge upward, fueling a gamma squeeze toward $460+. Conversely, if TSLA rejects and falls back below $440, expect volatility expansion downward toward the $420 PUT wall. Current IVR (6.1) and IVx (≈60) show low implied volatility, hinting that options are relatively cheap — favorable for directional plays. Call flow sits around 64%, reinforcing bullish sentiment for tomorrow’s session. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $443–$445 retest or reclaim above $450 * Target Levels: $455 → $462 → $470 (if squeeze triggers) * Stop-Loss: Below $438 (invalidate short-term structure) * Confirmation: Hold above 9EMA on 15-min with MACD histogram remaining green and RSI > 60 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $450–$455 rejection zone * Target Levels: $440 → $430 → $420 * Stop-Loss: Above $457 (invalidate bearish rejection) * Confirmation: MACD red crossover + RSI divergence + 15-min CHoCH to downside 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Tomorrow’s session could be decisive. If bulls defend $440–$445 early and reclaim $450 with conviction, it opens the door to a Friday gamma squeeze into $460+. But if momentum fades and $440 gives way, expect a controlled retrace back into the $425–$430 demand. Personally, I’m watching $450 as the battleground — it’s both a psychological level and a technical liquidity point tied to heavy options flow. Any strong break with volume could trigger dealer hedging upward. But failure to sustain above it might lead to a Friday fade, especially into the afternoon session when gamma neutralizes. 📈 Final Thought:
“TSLA is coiled between $440–$450 — and tomorrow, one side will get trapped. If bulls hold the floor, expect fireworks into $460+. If not, $425 retest is back on deck.”
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights