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Hang Seng may be ready for the rally after testing 200-maThe Hang Seng index is locked in a consolidation, right above the 200-day moving average. The market loses volatility, and in order to find a trigger for the move, it may need to test the strategic support zone below (200-day moving average). That’s the common pattern for the triangular formation - it might be shaken to both sides with quick price impacts before determining the direction. The logical destination for the move would be the 24500 area: after testing this area, the market may reverse higher and find a buying pressure as shown at the chart below. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
TRADENATION:HK50
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
DAX is setting up for breakoutDAX is setting up for the breakout of the massive consolidation pattern, having been built since June 2025. Despite the end of dovish monetary policy in the EU, inflation keeps steady around 2.3%. German bond yields have reached another peak, and stocks might attract some capital flows too, as yields are not expected to continue rising. European stocks look like a balanced decision given the pressure on the US dollar and overheated AI sector. Before breaking to the new peak, DAX is supposed to test the 20-day moving average, as the probability of immediate continuation is relatively low. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage risk!
NASDAQ:DAXLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Naturgy, the Strategic Shift Following BlackRocks DivestmentBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Movements within Naturgy’s shareholder structure are once again attracting market attention—and with good reason. BlackRock, through GIP, has decided to sell 7.1% of its stake via an accelerated bookbuild valued at approximately €1.7 billion. This operation not only closes a chapter for the fund but also opens a significant transition phase for the company itself. GIP entered Naturgy a decade ago, paying €19 per share. Now, after years of dividends and with an exit price expected to be close to €26, BlackRock will crystallize a substantial capital gain. The fund has also committed to a 90-day lock-up period on further sales, providing a short-term buffer of stability as the shareholder base is reshaped. This adjustment has clear implications: it reduces the chances of a new player—such as the Emirati company Taqa—entering the capital structure, while facilitating a potential exit by CVC, which has been evaluating options for some time. Board changes are also expected, as GIP currently holds three seats and will likely have to relinquish one. These developments come at a particularly sensitive moment for Naturgy. The company is approaching the start of a new regulatory period for natural gas assets—an area that will significantly influence its future profitability. Moreover, this year Naturgy regained its position in MSCI indices after increasing its free float, a key requirement for attracting institutional capital. Operationally, Naturgy is performing well. During the first nine months of the year, the company posted a net profit of €1,668 million, 5.6% higher than in 2024. EBITDA remains near historic highs at €4,214 million, and the expected dividend for the fiscal year stands at €1.70 per share, reinforcing Naturgy’s commitment to shareholders. Technical Analysis (Ticker: NTGY) From a technical perspective, the stock has shown solid performance throughout the year, even reaching all-time highs at €27.74, which has acted as a natural ceiling. Support within the current range sits around the 200-day moving average near €25.18, while the base of the April bullish impulse is at €22.24. A shoulder-type formation has driven the 50-day moving average below the 100-day, a pattern that may indicate a potential downward correction over the coming week and even in today’s session. Trading opened with rising volume, an oversold RSI at 27.81%, and a MACD below a negative histogram. Looking at the medium-term structure, the outlook remains constructive—provided the market absorbs the BlackRock stake placement smoothly. In that scenario, Naturgy could resume its upward trend toward the €28–30 range. However, if the price is once again rejected near €27, a corrective move back toward the lower bound of the channel would not be surprising, especially given the still-uncertain regulatory context. The Exit Should Not Weaken the Company BlackRock’s partial divestment should not weaken Naturgy; if anything, it may mark the beginning of a new chapter for the company—one in which shareholder rebalancing coincides with regulatory developments that will directly influence its valuation. With a solid business, strong cash-generation capacity, and an attractive dividend policy, Naturgy remains a stock worth monitoring closely. The coming months will be decisive. The key will lie in how the company manages the balance between shareholder transition, regulatory pressures, and strategic ambition. What is clear is that Naturgy, once again, finds itself at a turning point. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BME:NTGY
by ActivTrades
Price Reaction Near 45 Degree Level | Axis Bank | 8 Nov 2024Case Study: Price Reaction at a 45° Level (Axis Bank – 8 Nov 2024) This post presents a simple case study on how geometric levels, particularly the 45° projection, can influence intraday price behaviour. On 8 November 2024, Axis Bank approached a projected level based on a 45° calculation derived from the Square-of-9 method. The key projection came near 1168, and the market showed a clear rejection from that zone during the afternoon session. What This Case Demonstrates • Start from the intraday low to determine the 0° base • Track the instrument’s normal movement capacity along the 45° path • Observe time sensitivity—reactions often happen near time windows • A rejection at a geometric level can act as a technical confirmation for intraday setups This example highlights how combining structure, geometry, and time can help traders add clarity to intraday decision-making. Note This post is for educational discussion of chart behaviour. It is not advice or a trade signal.
NSE:AXISBANK
by WD_Gann_Theory
Crypto Markets in 2026: A Structured View on Volatility, Liquidi(Market perspective inspired by Macro Venture research) By 2026, the crypto market has transitioned into a more structured and institutionally influenced environment. While volatility remains a defining feature, it is no longer driven purely by speculation. Instead, market behavior increasingly reflects macroeconomic conditions, liquidity dynamics, and execution quality — areas that have long been central to the analytical frameworks used at Macro Venture. This article outlines the most relevant crypto trading themes of 2026 from a structural and risk-focused perspective. 1. Volatility Is No Longer Random One of the most visible changes in recent market cycles is the nature of volatility itself. According to internal market observations commonly discussed by analysts at Macro Venture, crypto price movements now tend to cluster around specific catalysts, including: macroeconomic data releases, central bank communication, regulatory updates, institutional inflows and rebalancing activity. For traders, this means volatility can be anticipated, not chased, allowing for more deliberate positioning rather than reactive decision-making. 2. Execution Quality Has Become a Hidden Risk Factor In 2026, many traders have learned that price direction alone is not enough. Market stress often reveals issues such as: temporary liquidity gaps, spread expansion during high-impact events, delayed execution near key technical levels. From a professional trading standpoint — a perspective frequently emphasized in Macro Venture’s analytical discussions — execution risk is now treated as a core component of trade planning, alongside technical and macro analysis. 3. AI as a Market Context Tool, Not a Prediction Engine Artificial intelligence continues to shape trading workflows, but expectations have become more realistic. Rather than attempting to predict outcomes, AI-driven analysis is increasingly used to: visualize volatility regimes, track correlation shifts between crypto and macro assets, detect abnormal volume behavior, support scenario-based thinking. This approach aligns with the broader market philosophy that decision support is more valuable than signal generation. 4. Technical Analysis Has Become More Selective The way traders apply technical analysis has also evolved. In 2026, a more refined approach dominates: higher time-frame structure defines bias, lower time-frames are used for execution only, volume and liquidity zones matter more than indicator stacking, fewer tools, applied with greater discipline. This selective methodology reflects a shift toward clarity and repeatability — principles widely emphasized in institutional-style analysis. 5. Risk Management Is the Primary Competitive Edge Perhaps the most important transformation in crypto trading is psychological. Experienced traders increasingly focus on: controlled position sizing, predefined invalidation levels, avoiding emotional exposure during news-driven volatility, accepting missed trades as part of consistency. From a long-term perspective — one shared by Macro Venture’s risk-focused research — capital preservation outweighs opportunity maximization. 6. Market Patience Is Being Rewarded Overtrading, once common in crypto markets, has proven costly. Traders who wait for: confirmed volatility expansion, liquidity confirmation, macro alignment with crypto sentiment, tend to perform more consistently than those reacting to every short-term movement. Crypto trading in 2026 is less about prediction and more about structure. Volatility is still present — but it follows clearer rules. Tools are more advanced — but discipline matters more than complexity. Information is abundant — but filtering it is the real skill.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CryptoPublishmentOfficial
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #9 / Daily BTC Market UpdateWelcome to My Analysis. Now, let’s break down today’s Bitcoin structure. Bitcoin is ranging with a weak bullish tilt a higher low has formed, but the highs still haven’t broken. The market is breathing before its next decision. Let’s break it down. Market Structure: Range-Bound with a Weak Bullish Bias Why? A new Higher Low has formed compared to the 89.7K bottom. But the highs are still unbroken, meaning a strong trend hasn’t emerged yet. The market is mostly in a breathing phase before making its next decision. Current Price Position Price is trading exactly inside a key zone: 92,100 – 92,300 This zone has recently flipped into support (S/R Flip). Multiple bounces from this region confirm its importance. Price is currently above SMA 28 and SMA 58, → indicating a short-term positive momentum. But it remains below SMA 99, → meaning the medium-term trend is still neutral to weak. Volume Conditions Strong buy volume at the bottom of the range shows solid demand. But during upward moves, volume decreases → the bullish momentum is still weak. To break through 92.9K, a volume spike is required. Overall View The market is moving inside a short-term range, with a weak but existing bullish bias, though not confirmed yet. Key Levels Break above 93K → bullish continuation Break below 91K → deeper correction Main supports remain: 89.7K The strong lower zone 88.8K – 88.3K ⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️ Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience. Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
by ecobyg1
APT - how much money Aptos earns🧩 1. TVL (Total Value Locked) of Aptos 📉 Current state (mid-2025 → now): Peak TVL was around $220–250M Today it sits around $60–75M A decline of 3–4x ❗Compare: Solana: $5.5B+ Sui: $500M+ Aptos: $60M (10× smaller than its younger competitor Sui) 🔥 Conclusion: Aptos has very little liquidity, which means: no trading activity no DeFi no developers no user growth no revenue APT as a Layer-1 is failing in DeFi. 📊 2. Transactions & Active Users 🔽 Daily transactions: Previously inflated by bots to 5–10M Currently 200–300k real transactions Compare: Solana — 20–30M Sui — 2–4M TON — 5–7M APT is far below second-tier blockchains. 🔻 Daily active users (DAU): Only 20–40k. Extremely low for a Layer-1 chain. 🧨 Why? Because Aptos has: no major DEX activity no NFT ecosystem no gaming no DeFi no real demand 💵 3. Network Revenue (how much money Aptos earns) Aptos does not generate real revenue. Reasons: Very low transaction fees No trading volume in DeFi No popular apps or protocols High inflation + massive token unlocks Net revenue ≈ zero. This means: APT is not self-sustaining token has almost no fundamental value the ecosystem survives only on investor funds (not on organic demand) 🚨 4. On-Chain Activity 📉 DEX volume: At peak: $50–70M/day Today: $2–5M/day (basically dead) 📉 New smart contracts: Almost zero. Developers have moved to Sui, Solana, Monad, Berachain. 📉 New projects: No real ecosystem growth for over a year. 📉 NFT market: Dead. Even Sui and TON have more active NFT ecosystems. 💣 5. Tokenomics — Aptos’ biggest weakness One of the worst tokenomics among L1 chains. ❌ 1. Enormous token unlocks for years ahead Monthly unlocks go to: investors team foundations ecosystem grants Creates constant selling pressure. ❌ 2. High inflation — 7%+ per year ❌ 3. Token has almost no utility staking yield is low no strong use case in DeFi no natural demand beyond speculation 🟡 1-Month Outlook Scenario: 🔻 Likely decline toward $1.00–1.20 Unlock pressure + weak demand. 🔂 Possible bounce A technical rebound to $2.2–2.5 is possible, but NOT a trend reversal. 🟠 3-Month Outlook The key level is $1.00. More likely scenario: Break below $1 → move toward $0.60–0.70 Less likely: Bounce from $1 → retest $2.5–3.0 → continue downward Still bearish overall. 🔴 6-Month Outlook Considering: collapsing TVL developer outflow token inflation weak ecosystem no revenue extremely bearish chart 🎯 6-Month target: $0.40 – $0.70 If the market turns bullish, decline may slow down, but the overall trend remains down. 🧠 Final Verdict ❌ Aptos is a weak, overvalued Layer-1 with minimal real adoption. ❌ Tokenomics are toxic. ❌ On-chain activity is near dead. ❌ Chart shows massive downside continuation. ❌ Not suitable for long-term investing. ✔️ Short-term trading opportunities exist (bounces / shorts). ✔️ For long-term exposure, better look at SOL, TON, ETH, BTC, SUI.
by Artem_Dishel
BTC Outlook (Post FOMC plan)It is clear to see that Bitcoin is in the late stage of what seems to be Re-distribution/a relief rally So far, we have seen aggressive stop hunting (Shorts getting stopped out/liquidated) Many major figures (Banks, firms, influencers) are now calling for crazy targets like $120K+, which shows that optimism is returning amongst people and that retail investors are finally feeling more comfortable when it comes to longing My plan is simple. I believe bitcoin will make its way to the lower end of this range, that being $80K - $85K and for that reason I am short at $93K. FOMC is right around the corner, so I expect a bit of volatility. If we move any higher, which realistically is very possible, I plan on adding more size to my short. Don't get bullish AFTER we move up $15K from the bottom , right now is the time to be bearish unless bitcoin flips major S/R levels. My invalidation is a weekly close above $100K Good luck
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RCCrypto06
NZDUSD: bearish reversal🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, NZDUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after a sustained rally. The price is now trading near a strong resistance zone around 0.5850 and is expected to execute a short-term jump towards 0.5850-0.5880 for a final liquidity grab (liquidating late buyers) before a major reversal. The chart shows a potential downside move back to the key support level at 0.5690. ——————————————— ❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ——————————————— ➡️ Entry Point: Sell at Resistance (approx. 0.5850 – 0.5880) 🎯 Take Profit: 0.5690 (Support) 🔴 Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone (approx. 0.5915) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Short
by Trade8Eight
BTC After the Flush: Building a Base Into 2026Bitcoin printed a clear correction from the 126,333 spot top into 80,625, a 36% retrace that finally reset an overheated trend. After that impulse down, price stopped bleeding and started building a base. That is the context for my long, not a breakout chase. My first entry triggered at 85,000. If price sweeps lower, I will add, with my final planned entry sitting in the 72,000 to 70,000 region. The whole idea is simple: scale into higher time frame demand after a deep reset, then let the market do the work if it wants to rotate back into risk. Technicals: on the daily, the selloff created an obvious “damage candle” sequence, followed by compression and range behavior. I am treating the 80K to 85K band as the core demand zone. The level that matters for confirmation is the recovery of the mid range resistance around 94,652, because a clean reclaim would shift the structure from “bounce” to “reversal attempt” and opens the door for a move back into the 100K area and, eventually, a retest of the prior ATH zone near 126K if momentum returns. Fundamentals : the macro backdrop is supportive for risk if financial conditions keep easing. The Fed has already moved policy lower and continues to guide the market with forward projections, which is the type of environment that can reprice duration and high beta assets.  At the same time, institutional crypto flows have been rebuilding. CoinShares reported a rebound in digital asset ETP inflows with Bitcoin leading, and daily US spot Bitcoin ETF flow data has also shown positive net flows on recent sessions.  On derivatives, CME positioning and open interest remain a key dashboard for whether this base is being built with size behind it.  Execution note: I am not trying to “be right” on the exact bottom. I am trying to be positioned where the risk is definable and the upside is asymmetric. If the narrative changes, I will adjust. If the market gives the move, I will pay myself and protect capital. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 12th Dec '25Choppy session as of Now as per OI data. Trade Carefully. [ Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by DSKF16
How To Rally After Pause In XAUUSD GoldThis video explains how the rally in XAUUSD Gold developed after a pause on the daily timeframe. The analysis focuses on how Gold formed a consolidation phase, how price held above key structure, and how momentum began to rebuild after the pause. By observing the shift in candle behavior, breakout strength, and follow-through, we explore how a rally can continue once the market completes a natural pause. The purpose of this breakdown is to highlight how daily timeframe structure, pause formation, and momentum alignment can help understand price behavior in XAUUSD Gold—purely for educational and analytical learning.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by ProTradeMatrix
META Dec 12. Coiling at a Major Decision Zone. Big Move LoadingMETA continues to climb inside an ascending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, but price is now compressing into the upper boundary near 654–656. This zone has acted as intraday supply, and each test has produced smaller candles with decreasing momentum. When price moves like this—tight range, rising structure, slowing impulse—it often signals a larger move coming. The lower boundary of the channel sits around 648–650, which held as the intraday demand zone multiple times today. Every pullback into this area was absorbed quickly, showing that buyers are still active as long as META stays above this pivot. Now the question becomes: does this structure break upward or fail back toward the mid-channel? Let check GEX option data chart below. This is where the options landscape becomes extremely useful. The GEX levels show how options positioning is influencing price behavior, and today they lined up almost perfectly with META’s price structure. The 654–656 area, where price has been stalling, corresponds with a cluster of positive gamma levels. When price approaches these upper gamma zones, dealer hedging typically suppresses volatility, which explains the repeated slowdowns and rejections near that region. Just above it, the next set of gamma resistance levels sits around 660–665. If price can break the 654–656 supply and hold above it, the hedging landscape shifts. Dealers would begin adjusting positions in a way that allows momentum to expand, opening room for META to test the 660 area first, then 665 if momentum continues. On the downside, the 645–640 zone shows up as a negative gamma pocket. These levels align with the mid-channel and lower demand regions. If META loses the 650 pivot and slips under the rising channel, hedging flow begins to work in the opposite direction—volatility expands instead of compressing. That would naturally draw price toward 645–640, and a deeper break exposes the 635 zone where negative gamma becomes even more influential. The correlation between price structure and options positioning makes the current setup straightforward: • Holding the channel above 650 gives buyers room to challenge 654–656 again
• Clearing 656 shifts both structure and GEX alignment toward 660–665
• Losing 650 flips the structure bearish and aligns with negative gamma flow toward 645–640 When both the chart structure and options landscape point to the same levels, it gives the setup much more conviction. META is approaching one of those moments where the next breakout or breakdown could set the tone for the entire day. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NASDAQ:META
by BullBearInsights
NIFTY: Rising Channel Price is moving inside a well-defined rising channel. Each dip is finding support at the lower trendline, indicating controlled and healthy buying pressure. RR improves significantly if entries are taken near channel support with stop-loss just below the trendline. This keeps risk small while targeting R2–R3. Patience is the real edge — waiting for price to come into my zone (gap-fill + trendline confluence) helped avoid impulsive trades and kept me aligned with structure.
NSE:NIFTY
by vinod0211
Professional Breakdown of the Analysis GOLD-SMCAnalysis…🫡🖤 Even though the trade stopped out by just a few pips, the institutional analysis was flawlessly respected and the market followed the projected bullish narrative exactly. 1. Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep Price clears all previous sell-side liquidity, providing the fuel institutions need to build long positions at discount. This sweep set the stage for the bullish reversal. 2. Structure Shift (BOS / ChoCH) After the liquidity grab, price prints a clean BOS/ChoCH, signaling clear bullish institutional intent. 3. POI + Fakeout + Mitigation Price returns precisely to the identified POI, performs a clean fakeout, and taps the origin of the bullish move. Although the wick hit the SL by a few pips, the reaction confirmed the validity of the zone. 4. Institutional Rejection + Bullish Expansion Once the POI was mitigated, price exploded upward, respecting every projected target: 4,230 – 4,254 – 4,277, exactly as mapped out in the analysis. 5. Conclusion The trade didn’t survive the initial volatility, but the analysis was 100% correct. The market validated every element of your institutional narrative.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
1