BITCOIN Down trend STARTed1. Rising Long-Term Trend (Blue Wedge Channel)
BTC is shown inside a large, long-term rising wedge/channel.
The lower trendline starts far left at very low price levels and gradually rises toward the right.
The upper trendline connects previous major peaks.
This suggests the chart is showing macro price structure, not short-term moves.
2. Current Price Area
The current BTC price shown is around 103,000 USD.
It has pulled back sharply from the recent high near the top of the rising channel.
3. Key Levels Marked
Horizontal Levels
98,242 USD – highlighted as an important support/resistance level.
103,750 USD – another notable level around current price.
Support Boxes (Red/Blue Zones)
You have multiple demand zones marked in the 40,000–50,000 USD range:
Upper support zone around 50k–55k
Larger and deeper support zone around 40k–45k
These look like areas where price previously consolidated.
4. The Blue Projected Path (Your Forecast Line)
There’s a blue zig-zag line showing a hypothetical future price movement:
Move Downward First
The projection suggests BTC may drop from the current area
Slowly stair-stepping down into the 40k–50k support zones
Possibly touching the lower long-term trendline
Then a Strong Uptrend
After hitting bottom:
A sharp rally shoots upward
Eventually breaking past the mid-line and returning to the top of the channel
Continues aggressively upward toward 120k+
This is clearly a speculative future scenario, not actual data.
Bigshort
SHORTS WINNING TODAY (ʘ‿ʘ)Michael Burry is once again betting against the market. For Nvidia, he bought puts covering about 1 million shares worth approximately $187 million. For Palantir the exposure is puts on roughly 5 million shares valued at about $912 million
Palantir, which has gained over 170% this year, but is currently down 8.8% on Tuesday after its latest quarterly results (which were good) were eclipsed by Burry and a general risk-off shift in the market. Palantir CEO, Alex Karp has called Burry out for market manipulation even though most analysts might call Palantir “overvalued”.
In crypto markets, Bitcoin has been hovering near the key $100,000 level, a price it hasn’t dropped below since June 23. If it breaks lower, traders could be watching $98,240 and then $96,975 as the next major support levels.
Ether tumbled as much as 9% on Monday, breaking below the $3,600 support after hackers stole more than $100 million from a major DeFi protocol. The decline leaves Ethereum about 25% below its August peak of $4,885.
A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
+20% During The Holidays - Who Said December Was Slow? In this video I break down multiple positions on FX:CADCHF through just the first week of December 2024. I hope this acts as a reminder to never switch off, you cannot afford to. Entering the holiday season early and dropping your guard can cost you a lot of money and potential scale-ups on capital.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Short #BigShortSetup #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Short #ShortSetup #BigShortSetup #Eddy
In the weekly time frame, with the third hit to the red trend line, In the price range of $90,000 to $90,500, we will enter into the big short bitcoin trades with confirmation and we will accompany it to the specified targets.
NASDAQ #NAS100 #NQ BIG SHORT THIS WEEK?Market Makers' Bias:
-Non-Commercial traders, including hedge funds and large institutional speculators, have significantly increased their net selling positions compared to the previous week. This shift indicates a strong bearish divergence, suggesting that market sentiment has turned decisively negative.
Additional Fundamental Bias:
-The Nasdaq appears overbought relative to U.S. Treasury bonds, suggesting that tech stocks within the Nasdaq Index, such as #AAPL, #META, and #GOOG already falling in prices.
-We also have the Nasdaq Futures contract Rollover Price gaps, they normally act as a magnet to be filled.
US-Election year Seasonality - Heavily Bearish this week.
Technical Analysis portion:
-We are just hit the weekly covered daily Supply zone, price may now be ready for a bearish this week.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Let’s see how this plays out... 👀👀
BTC TreysBTC to 33k for various reasons.
1. Since the beginning of Bitcoin, historical data shows BTC does yearly ATH and ATL's. What's interesting the pattern; every year since 2011 we have seen a correction of 60%-80% retracement from the ATH (followed by exponential gains) with the exception of 2024 which we have only seen a 20% retracement. 60-80% retracement for 2024 should put us at (BTC) 15k-30k.
2. Supreme Court grants US Government permission to sell (auction) 69k worth of BTC from Silk Road Case after legal win. Even if they do not sell, this will create a panic and fear and cause others to short therefore helping the price reach our target.
3. Monthly timeframe:
we can see ineverted head and shoulder pattern at the bottom between 2022 and 2024 never retested. This is the key to our target as it is slightly above the 60% retracement from last ATH.
BTC falling is also supported by the rejection/resistance on the Monthly supply zone which never broke and actually held pretty well.
Pattern wise I can see a double top pretty much formed, closing above neckline and retesting the high (bull trap) so in my books this is ready for a sell.
Candle wise we had a bearish engulfing followed by the retest of the high I just spoke about. However price failed to close above; still bearish.
4. Weekly timeframe:
Pattern - clear bearish pattern anyway you want to look at it; triple top, head and shoulder or double top.
Candle - beautiful price action, same as monthly with a bearish engulfing and retest of the high eventually closing under the neckline of bearish engulfing pattern.
SPOILER:
#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy
I'll Think Its Time to short Gold Again xD (( In the monthly time frame, it looks like we have the third collision and the completion of the monthly divergence... What you think!?... ))
Related Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
< - - - (( This Setup sl X)) -_-
First Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
My Analysis of Dollar : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
#BTC #Bitcoin #Short #Long #Setups 7+8+9 Result + 'New 10' #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #Short #Long #Setups 7+8+9 Result + 'New 10' #Eddy
It's you & Setup 10 :-) Market Maker will hate me xD
To check the reasons for my target for setup 10, check the previous analysis...
Related Relevant Analysis & setups of Bitcoin : (( BTC/USD )) : Check Link :
Don't Miss This US30 ShortClear topping action is beginning to develop with RSI confirming as bearish momentum is strengthening.
With that said, I'm expecting a stock market correction after such a solid year of performance. Unless US30 makes additional fresh highs, I'm shorting as I expect to see profit taking happening in the days ahead.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update #Wychoff #Distribution #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update #Eddy #Distribution #Schematic #1 : #Wychoff #Events & #Phases
(("What you see in the picture is Schematic 1 in the distribution structure of Wychoff.
Every increase on Bitcoin is considered as the last opportunity to open short position. I have identified and labeled the important points where you can seek confirmation for the short position ✍️
The price range of $44,000 and $45,000 are my entry points for sell trades by getting the necessary confirmations for the target of $22,500 and expecting Bitcoin to return to above $50,000 after chasing liquidity behind $20,000 is where the market maker scares everyone. And the seller makes them do heavy accumulation and purchase, and according to the approval of Bitcoin ETF, it is the best opportunity for investors to buy Bitcoin in the price range of $20,000.
People who work on futures, be careful, $20,000 will be faked in the high time frame.
Hunt points and creating fear in the market that can be touched: 17-19 thousand dollars.
Anyway, this is my scenario and it may not be true, don't forget to get confirmation, there is no certainty in the digital currency market and we all look at the market based on our perspective and analysis of the technicals on the charts.
Take care of your capital and invest with your strategy and reviews or use signals and analysis.
Serious warning!
This analysis is suitable for professionals.
I recommend beginners to watch the tutorial."))
Analyses of Trading Ranges By : Dr. #Eddy SunShine 👨🏻💻 1/13/2024 ❤️
Bitcoin (BTC) is bearish, DUMP incomingMy Algorithm flasehed a SHORT Signal couple days ago, usually it takes some time until it collapses then.
We can see BTC forming good bearish behaviour, from this point on in the chart i am SHORT, if we again touch and retrace from the 200EMA i will add to my SHORT position.
First Republic Bank | FRCFirst Republic stock plummets after revealing deposit exodus in March
The stock of First Republic FRC dropped more than 43% Tuesday after the bank surprised investors and analysts by revealing an outflow of more than $100 billion in deposits in March.
The disclosure made during the release of its first-quarter results on Monday afternoon raised new questions about the fate of a San Francisco lender that was at the center of last month's banking turmoil.the company outlined its survival strategy Monday. It said it plans to increase its insured deposits, trim the borrowings it used to cover customer withdrawals, shrink its balance sheet and reduce its workforce by 20-25% to cut expenses. It is also pursuing other “strategic” options, including a sale or raising more capital.the bank is considering divesting HKEX:50 billion to $100 billion of long-dated securities and mortgages to make an eventual capital raise easier.
Its stock, which was already down more than 85% this year, was briefly halted for volatility on Tuesday. Other bank stocks also dropped, including some of First Republic's regional rivals. PacWest (PACW), a lender based in Beverly Hills that reports earnings after the market close, was down more than 6%. HomeStreet (HMST), a lender in Seattle that reported earnings Monday, sank more than 36%. analysts said First Republic faces a lot of uncertainty as it tries to recover from last month's chaos. “First Republic appears to be in a holding pattern and burning fuel,” Evercore analysts said in a new research note. Wells Fargo analysts said in a separate note that First Republic's existence "very much hangs in the balance." "The future of this company is very uncertain," added CI Roosevelt Associate Partner Jason Benowitz in an interview with Yahoo Finance. First Republic, he added, "lost so much in deposits, they have to replace that funding somehow, so they’re doing it with borrowing.” The borrowing will “really weigh on their profitability both in the reported quarter and going forward.” Wedbush lowered its earnings estimates for that very reason, noting that the heavy deposit losses would weigh on profits. “Where does First Republic go from here?” Wedbush said in its note. “Our base case is that First Republic continues to move forward as a standalone company,” referencing an earlier note in April that argued First Republic faces a "Hobson's choice."
Even a sale of First Republic at $0 a share is unlikely, Wedbush said in that earlier note, because any buyer would still essentially have to pay billions to absorb the unrealized losses on its balance sheet.
Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein told Yahoo Finance earlier this month that the federal government will need to provide some help for First Republic to find a buyer due to this “hole” on the lender’s balance sheet. “I think First Republic Bank is clearly on a watchlist, and probably somebody at some point will buy it. But the challenge there is that it needs government assistance,” Rubenstein said earlier this month
A lot of money is riding on its fate. Everyday investors have bet HKEX:245 million on First Republic stock since the fall of Silicon Valley Bank, according to Vanda Research, the third highest inflow to a specific bank stock behind Bank of America (BAC) and Charles Schwab (SCHW). It also has one of the highest levels of interest among so-called short sellers betting on the stock to decline, according to analytics firm S3 Partners, accounting for HKEX:480 million in such bets over the last 30 days. Its stock is now down more than 85% since the beginning of the year. First Republic "will be a bellwether of sentiment for the sector," Vanda said in a note last week.
The new hand wringing about First Republic following the release of its first-quarter results Monday. Its first-quarter earnings of HKEX:269 million were down by 30% from the fourth quarter and 33% from the year earlier period. What surprised most observers is how many deposits it lost in March. As of March 9, the day before regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank, its deposits were $173.5 billion, down just slightly from the year end. On March 10, it began experiencing "unprecedented deposit outflows."
The net total outflow by the end of March was HKEX:72 billion, but the actual number was above $100 million after stripping out a temporary infusion of HKEX:30 billion in uninsured deposits from 11 of the country’s largest banks. Those deposits have to stay at First Republic for 120 days, according to a person familiar with the rescue plan. The bank said Monday that outflows began to stabilize the week of March 27 and deposit activity "has remained stable" through April 21. Its balance as of Friday was $102.7 billion, a drop of 1.7% since the end of the quarter that the bank attributed to seasonal client tax payments. "Despite the uncertainty of the past two months, and while average account sizes have decreased, we have retained over 97% of client relationships that banked with us at the start of the first quarter," First Republic CEO Michael Roffler said on a conference call following the release of results. The company didn't take questions from analysts.
BITCOIN SHORT TECHNICAL POINT OF VIEW
From technical analysis point of view I would say that in next couple of weeks we can expect that price will reach 33.000$. Everything above 33.000$ is my area for placing sell orders.
There are gaps which has to be filled.
Every trendline should have at least 3 touches.
From my analysis I can see that gap fill, perfectly connects with the 3rd touch of upper trend line.
These gaps fills are also at 18.380$ ,14.280$ and 12.480$.
12.480$ is my target for next next couple of months.
PSYCHOLOGICAL POINT OF VIEW
Put yourself in head of other investors.
Ask yourself:
How are they thinking at this moment?
Where they are placing their orders?
Are they placing buy orders or sell orders?
Are they expecting lower prices or higher prices?
.
.
.
I would say that currently we are in the phase of uncertainty. We need big push to the upside or big push to the downside to "trick" investors aka. create manipulation of the market which will cause placing more orders on false short term pump or dump which will reverse in much bigger move in right direction.
FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW
Regulation of cryptocurrencies will definitely affect markets. A lot of crypto projects will die through regulation process. I think we will hear a lot of bad news coming out before we start a new bull run.
We need capitulation (big fall of prices) which usually is more than 30% in a single month.
This capitulation will be the answer of bad news coming out.
This is only my opinion what we can expect in next couple of months before new bull run. Nothing in this post should be used as financial advice.
BIG SHORT on NOCBased on the previous uptrend movement that has been made in the previous14 years, it seems that the massive trend has been weakened and due to the breaking the trendline i think it's time to make a sell/short position. maybe befor the big drop we would see a short term of upward trend and this is making a better chance to make a short position.
stoploss of the mentioned position is NOC=483.4$ !
BTCUSDT: Dragon above the cloudsHello Traders!
Welcome back to another trade with analyst Aadil1000x.
The market is pumping really hard even after the big scandal by the banks. This is an Amazing move and this bullish run is about to end.
There is a dragon above the clouds and it will come down to eat the bulls. We are ready to ride the Dragon.
There is a True reversal point at 29327 and I am expecting that the market will drop exactly from that position and this will be the hard drop. There will be at least a 15% drop from this level which means the market will go below 25K.
This is the overview of the market and we will trade each and every wave as we did before.
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