BTCUSD – Is the Big Wave Coming?Hello everyone, what do you think about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
BTCUSD is now standing at a critical crossroads. After a short-term correction, price has continued to build a new support zone around $107,000. This is an area where buyers have consistently defended, showing that underlying demand remains strong.
In the past, after each strong rally, we saw a period of accumulation followed by another breakout. Every dip has been quickly absorbed, while volume has been increasing on each bounce – a clear signal that smart money is quietly accumulating.
On the news front, expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, combined with rising safe-haven demand amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty, are creating a powerful catalyst for BTC. This narrative positions Bitcoin not just as a risky asset, but as “digital gold” in the eyes of many institutional investors.
I expect this accumulation phase to end soon, with the Bulls regaining control.
What about you? What’s your view on BTCUSD? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN 4H Bullish Cross formed. Can it sustain a rally to 124k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed its first Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame between the MA20 (red trend-line) and the MA50 (blue trend-line). Following a rejection after marginally breaching above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), this pattern looks very similar to the Bullish Cross of June 25.
Both took place after a strong medium-term correction is the form of Channel Down patterns, with the Bullish Crosses getting formed after a Lower Highs break-out. If fact even the August 07 MA20/50 Bullish Cross led to a strong rally.
As a result, if BTC manages to turn its 4H MA100 into a Support, we expect it to initiate a new rally to test at least the previous High above $124k, similar to the July 03 High test. The 0.786 and 0618 Fibonacci levels can be used as Resistance and Support levels upon break-outs and pull-backs respectively.
So do you think this 4H MA20/50 Bullish Cross can kickstart a new rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin in the decisionBitcoin opened bearish today, and this outlook remains as long as we trade below 110,900.
At 110,300 we still have a naked POC from September 2nd, which should act as support. Since this level often acts like a magnet, I expect we might revisit it. It is important that this level holds – otherwise, a quick move down toward 108,600 could follow, which I see as the next real support.
If we somehow manage to reclaim 112,000, the picture flips back to bullish. In that case, a test of the naked POC at 113,000 would be the target, where I expect strong rejection.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence.
On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin will continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The dominant market structure for Bitcoin remains bearish, with the price action being clearly contained within a well-defined downward channel since the major rejection from the 116800 Resistance Level. This structure has been guiding the asset lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rebounds, confirming that sellers are in control of the trend. The most significant recent development was the breakdown below the key horizontal support around the 109000 level. Currently, after this breakdown, the price of BTC is in a corrective phase, rallying back to retest this broken structure from below, which now acts as the current resistance level. This 109000 - 109800 resistance zone is a critical inflection point. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the failure of this retest. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the continuation of the bearish momentum and signal that the next impulsive downward fall is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this trend continuation play is logically placed at 104000 points. This target represents a new lower low within the channel and is the next major area of structural interest for the price. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN dominance crashing. Are we ahead of a major Altseason?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on a relative correction lately, down more than $15000 from its last All Time High (ATH). Despite this obvious technical weakness, there is one indicator that delivers a very promising signal, not just for BTC but for the crypto market as a whole.
That is Bitcoin's Dominance (BTC.D, blue trend-line), which got rejected on its 8-year Lower Highs trend-line in mid-June and is pulling-back every since. This chart shows that both last two Cycles, such a rejection that took place in the last year of the Cycle, not only initiated a BTC rally but also an even stronger rise on the altcoin market, what is otherwise known as an 'Altseason'.
This time it took place about 6 months before the end of the year (projected end of the Bull Cycle), which is exactly what happened in 2017, the Cycle that the current one looks most like it.
As a result, we expect the current market weakness last at most another 2 weeks, which is roughly by the time of the next Fed meeting where the majority of the market is eagerly anticipating the first Rate Cut in years.
Do you think that is the signal of an upcoming final rally on Bitcoin and an Altseason? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN BEARISH TRANDLINE WITH DOUBLE BOTTOM - READ CAPTIONHi trade's
Bitcoin is currently trading under a bearish trendline and attempting to form a possible double bottom near support.
Price is showing multiple rejections from lower support areas, indicating short-term buyers are defending this zone.
If the market retraces upward, the first resistance to watch is 110000.
A breakout above this resistance may open the way toward the supply zone
support zone 108200-107300
resistance zone 110000
supply zone 113000
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💬 What do you think about this setup – will Bitcoin hold support or break lower?
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross.
On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence.
After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
BTCUSD: Decline Movement ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since it was rejected from the major Resistance Zone 2 near 118900. This initiated a downtrend that has since been developing within the confines of a large downward wedge pattern, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The most recent significant event was the breakdown below the key horizontal Resistance Zone 1 around the 112100 mark. After finding temporary support, the price is now in a corrective rally, heading back up towards the main resistance line of the wedge in a classic retest move.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that the dominant downtrend will continue. I'm anticipating that the price will complete this corrective bounce and touch the wedge's resistance line. Upon reaching this area, I expect sellers to show strength, reject the price, and cause a reversal that initiates the next impulsive move downwards within the overall structure.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection from the wedge's resistance. The primary target for this move is 106500 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN ahead of September crash on historically worst month??Despite the obvious hint of 2 potential rate hikes by the end of this year, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has found itself on a downtrend. And as today we entered the first day of September, this sentiment is further empowered by one simple statistical fact: that September has historically been BTC's worst performing month.
As this table on the chart shows (source: CoinGlass), September's average returns have been -3.77%, the worst average score out of all months since 2013. An interesting fact however is that out of all the Septembers that ended in green (4), they did so when there was a red August (like the one we just closed at -5.91%). At the same time out of all the times August was red (8) four times September followed in red. This shows that historical probabilities are equally distributed there.
Statistics aside, the market has a strong case of a bottom on the current levels and that's purely a technical one. As you can see, since May 01, Bitcoin has been trading within a Channel Up. This pattern has seen so far two Bullish Legs of almost identical rise (+22.07% and +21.05% respectively) and when they corrected (Bearish Legs), the first Low was on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the second on the Channel Up bottom.
This time there is an even stronger technical case, as the price hit the 1W MA20 (red trend-line), which as we've shown on a recent study, is a Support level that historically kickstarts the final rallies during Bull Cycles.
Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar, with the indicator currently being on a Lower Lows formation that previously marked the June 22 (Higher) Low.
As a result, assuming we will see the 'minimum' of +21.07% Bullish Leg, we should be expecting a $130000 Higher High, which matches our realistic Cycle Top study, based on most studies we've conducted.
So do you think Bitcoin will again declined this September or we are currently forming a new bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is going down
Now and the coin made
A bearish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 110k$ so we are locally
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin: Wave 4 Overlap Changes Expectations.Bitcoin has compromised the 108K area overlap which refers to the wave 1/wave 4 overlap rule for the broader wave 5 impulse that I have been measuring for months. While this can be very subjective, this fact prompts me to adjust my expectations in regards to trend structure, along with risk management.
The wave 4 overlap does NOT necessarily mean a bear market is ahead but it does justify considering a lower probability of new high (or wave 5), and a greater probability of a consolidation. So what does this mean for traders and investors? This pull back should not be treated like a typical pull back. In a corrective structure, after the completion of the A wave, which the current leg is likely to be, it is followed by the B wave. This typically establishes a lower high which can be expressed as a move from current prices back to the 115K area. Those who are unaware will get caught in this thinking new highs are just around the corner.
IF I am correct about this proposed corrective scenario, this can be very beginning of a very broad wave 2 which can eventually lead price back into the 80Ks. At this magnitude such a move can take a year to play out. Gold has shown similar patterns that persist for years before breaking out, so this scenario is within reason.
Key factors to watch for: there are many fundamental question marks that the market has to adjust to. There are numerous data points that are expected over the next few months like NFP, the FOMC rate cut, and how the FED hints at future quantitative easing. While this situation seems beneficial to Bitcoin, we can't take it for granted. This is a sentiment game, NOT a logical one. This is why I use prices to determine if risk is worth taking, not my economic opinion that is based on public information. This means it is possible to have a favorable easy money environment, and Bitcoin can still be stuck in a broad range.
With the 108K overlap in place, I will be mostly interested in whole number support levels like 105K, 100K, 95K ext. Even a retest of the 108K support for a double bottom, but if I consider any longs the profit objective will be low (like 1.5 to 1 or even 1:1). I am only interested in swing trades because in my opinion these are not investing levels.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD Outlook – Monthly Open AheadTomorrow we get a new monthly candle on BTCUSD. Last month price didn’t trade higher after the rally in April, May, July and August. It’s sitting in a breather position. The dollar has been dumping too after a massive rally, so both markets are in reset mode.
Last month’s low is still intact, not traded through or attacked, which keeps that level important. For now we take it day by day — watching dollar data and order flow on Bitcoin to spot which side shows weakness first.
Big flush last week took BTC from 117K to 110K on whale selling and forced liquidations. That shows leverage risk is still high. But at the same time more than $400M flowed into spot ETFs, showing real demand under the surface.
If flows stay strong and the dollar keeps soft, BTC can bounce back toward the highs fast. If we see more liquidations or a dollar squeeze, then 105K–110K stays the key support zone.
We stay in eagle mode — patient, one day at a time, waiting for clean signals.
USDSGD – Elliott Wave Breakdown - Big Drop Coming!Every swing has been unfolding with textbook precision - following Elliott Wave structure step by step.
We are now deep into the larger 5-wave decline:
Waves 1, 2, and 3 are already complete.
Price is currently in Wave 4, unfolding as an ABC correction.
Within this correction, we’re finishing wave B, with a final push into wave C expected.
The SELL ZONE is marked at the 38.2–50% retracement area, confluencing with the descending trendline. This is where Wave 4 should end before the downtrend resumes.
Trade idea:
- Once price taps into this reversal zone, we’ll watch lower timeframes for bearish confirmations such as: Break of structure (BOS) / trendline break
- Entry triggers with stops above invalidation
- Targets: 1.247 (600pips), 1.216 (900pips)
Why is the sell zone important?
Wave 4 corrections often retrace into the 38.2–50% region, but rarely go beyond 61.8% without invalidating the wave count. That’s why we focus here - it’s the high-probability turning point.
USDSGD 12H
This next leg will be Wave 5 of the broader move, likely carrying momentum to fresh lows.
Plan your trade. Wait for confirmation. Execute with discipline.
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRASH WILL STOP HERE!!!? (nobody watching) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the ultra-line time frame perspective. We are analyzing the channel and the Elliott Wave Theory on a high time frame chart. I'm sharing with you how the ABC correction is finished. We are going through the Bitcoin CME futures gap or medium time frame. I'm sharing with you the Fibonacci time zone, the Elliott Wave count, and the confirmations we are waiting for to start in your positions.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN The NIGHTMARE BEAR CYCLE fractal that Bulls must avoid!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong correction lately after the August 14 All Time High (ATH) at $124500. Every High since has been sold and the price has found itself below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Whether that's alarming or not yet, this sequence draws a lot of comparisons with the pattern that led to the Cycle Top on 2021.
As you can see both patterns started off with Lower Highs that pushed the market to a new bottom on Lower Lows. A 1D Death Cross confirmed the bottom formation (along with a 1D RSI bullish divergence on Higher Lows) and BTC started rising aggressively again, flipping both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) into Supports and forming a Bull Flag on a 1D Golden Cross.
At the end of this sequence in 2021, a Double Top Higher Highs pattern, was what formed the Cycle's Top. Unfortunately for the Bulls' case, this is very similar to the Higher High formation we got on August 14. Even the 1D RSI patterns among those two fractals are similar.
Do you think we are in a similar situation as in late November 2021, which initiated the 2022 Bear Cycle?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN RISE IN SEPTEMBER??!In August 2023, Bitcoin fell about 12% and rose about 9% in September 2023. In August 2024, it fell 15% and rose 20% in September 2024. In August 2025, it dropped about 7%, but I think it could recover in September with a 20% pump, reaching $135,000, though there’s no guarantee.
BTCUSD – Bearish Trend ? Hello traders! Let’s take a closer look at BITSTAMP:BTCUSD !
Recently, we’re seeing clear signs of a potential reversal after BTCUSD formed a double top pattern, and the EMA 34 and EMA 89 have crossed each other.
Breaking the support level around the previous key zone has strengthened the bearish momentum, potentially triggering a further decline towards the next support level near 103,500 USD.
However, I’m also watching for possible reversal signals at these support levels. If BTCUSD holds above 103,500 USD and forms a higher low, we may see the bulls make a comeback.
🔴 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 114,000 USD
Support: 103,500 USD
EMA Crossover: Strong Bearish Signal
Stay alert and be ready for potential market shifts! Will the bulls step in at 103,500 USD? Or will the bears continue to dominate?
Let me know your thoughts and happy trading!
Bitcoin Correction Unfolding — First Wave in MotionAfter successfully hitting the BITCOIN target and anticipating a major correction in my previous ideas, here’s how the first wave of that correction is shaping up on the daily chart:
1- At the recent high, a Shooting Star candle formed — a classic reversal signal.
2- Using Volunacci analysis, the price retraced exactly to the Golden Zone, validating the first leg of the pullback.
3- The next step? A breakdown of the blue trendline would likely send us toward the Volunacci target at $108,600.
4- For confirmation, we're watching the RSI trendline — if it breaks down as well, it would strongly support the bearish continuation.
The setup is clean and developing as expected — it's all about following price and letting the chart guide the story.






















