aibek

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About me EW & patterns
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Trader, blogger, technical analyst
Markets Allocation
59 % forex 9 % stocks 4 % commodities 28 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 18% | 43 USDJPY 11% | 28 USOIL 11% | 26 AUDUSD 3% | 9
aibek aibek DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: Dollar Index (DXY). Last Wave Up Is Underway.
64 0 7
DXY, D Long
Dollar Index (DXY). Last Wave Up Is Underway.

The last 5th wave up is underway. It could reach 38.2-61.8% of waves 1-3 as highlighted in rectangle. Long at open ~100+/- Stop 98.70 Take Profit 106.00 Risk/Reward > 4

aibek aibek S, W, Short ,
S: Sprint (NYSE:S) Targets 2.18
43 0 6
S, W Short
Sprint (NYSE:S) Targets 2.18

Idea is described on the chart.

aibek aibek GOLD, 240,
GOLD: Gold. Possible Ending DIagonal In Wave C
112 0 11
GOLD, 240
Gold. Possible Ending DIagonal In Wave C

C=A at the 1266 level. After Diagonal is finished I expect the retracement. Use Fibonacci levels.

aibek aibek UKOIL-USOIL, M, Short ,
UKOIL-USOIL: Brent/WTI spread. Brent Oil Could Lose Its Benchmark status
177 0 6
UKOIL-USOIL, M Short
Brent/WTI spread. Brent Oil Could Lose Its Benchmark status

Brent (UKOIL) is on the slippery path as production is falling and this could lead to the drop of it's share and loss of the benchmark status to other crudes, namely WTI or Dubai or Urals. Triangle is possible model here. Target minus $10 spread - the WTI (USOIL) becomes more expensive than Brent.

aibek aibek USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL. Blitz. Another Drop To Finish Correction
367 5 14
USOIL, 240 Short
USOIL. Blitz. Another Drop To Finish Correction

Setup is based on the clone of the left part. We are in a wave B before another drop down. Last time price got over 61.8% of wave A in wave B. So setup is as follows: Entry short: 53.12 (61.8% Fibonacci) Stop 54.33 (above the top of A) Target 50.01 - round number ahead of C=A.

aibek aibek GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD. Running Flat
128 0 13
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD. Running Flat

I think we are in a small correction with Running Flat type (blue ABC). It is possible that we can dip to previous low around 1.2400 before upmove resumes. Above 1.2706 (top of blue A) the upside would be confirmed as correction ends there. Overall this is a large countertrend correction and the pound weakness should resume once we are finished with wave Y (yellow).

aibek aibek USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Don't Try To Catch The Falling Piano
335 1 14
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY. Don't Try To Catch The Falling Piano

The consolidation described in the previous post completed. The target for this drop is located withing the Y108-110 range (50% Fibonacci / c=a / downside of the trendline) and highlighted in green rectangle.

aibek aibek SILVER, W, Long ,
SILVER: Silver Update. Reversal Targets 23.10
603 32 21
SILVER, W Long
Silver Update. Reversal Targets 23.10

The price finally confirmed the reversal breaking above the resistance. We got small correction on lower time frame (wave b). The yellow zigzag shows the anticipated path. Now the metal aims at 18.28-19.98 according to Fibonacci projections. Then we should see the larger correction. And then another leg upside, probably the final before the huge drop ...

aibek aibek USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Updated count. Another drop is possible.
208 0 14
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY. Updated count. Another drop is possible.

The main thing - the break below 112.57 (low 18JAN2017) invalidated the previous count. I think we are in abc (blue) correction before another drop down. The blue C can surpass the top of blue A. The break below white support line would confirm the start of another drop down. Targets are between 38.2% (111.99) and 50% (109.93) Fibonacci retracement levels.

aibek aibek USDCNH, D, Long ,
USDCNH: USDCNH. Triangle at Double Three (W-X-Y)
47 0 10
USDCNH, D Long
USDCNH. Triangle at Double Three (W-X-Y)

Dollar is going to continue it's growth against Renminbi (CNH, CNY). Breakup of triangle would start the upside impulsive move. Target at 7.12

aibek aibek AUDUSD, 180, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD. Pennant at the pullback.
96 0 10
AUDUSD, 180 Short
AUDUSD. Pennant at the pullback.

Previous wave up was broken. We are in a pullback that shaped pennant pattern (variation of the flag pattern). Watch Fibonacci retracement level reaction for target.

aibek aibek UKOIL, D, Long ,
UKOIL: BRENT CRUDE. Update. Triangle.
241 0 13
UKOIL, D Long
BRENT CRUDE. Update. Triangle.

We are in the last consolidation within the triangle ABCDE. Wait breakup. Target 67-70 depends on Fibo ratios between A and C. By the way, in USOIL there is no such a classic triangle shape.

aibek aibek EURUSD, 180, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD. Double Three. W-X-Y
157 0 14
EURUSD, 180 Short
EURUSD. Double Three. W-X-Y

The downmove should be impulsive and hit at least 1.0340.

aibek aibek SILVER, D, Short ,
SILVER: Silver. Alternative count. Triple Three (W-X-Y-X-Z)
176 0 10
SILVER, D Short
Silver. Alternative count. Triple Three (W-X-Y-X-Z)

Since the price has been rejected for two consecutive attepmts below 17.235 and couldn't close above that level, I think there is a probability of another leg down. Below 15.64 this count would be validated. It's unpleasant for bugs but we shouldn't be biased and trade what we see instead of what we want.

aibek aibek USDRUB_TOM, W, Short ,
USDRUB_TOM: USDRUB (MOEX). New count. Back to September idea. Target 44.
784 12 15
USDRUB_TOM, W Short
USDRUB (MOEX). New count. Back to September idea. Target 44.

Quite often the first idea in your mind is correct, call it divine providence but it works. So the more I am analyzing corrective structures the better should be labelling ))). So this detailed count of what was seen last September - into related ideas below. The target is conservative at 44 RUB where Y=W.

aibek aibek UKOIL, D,
UKOIL: Brent Crude. Possible wave count. Updated
263 2 8
UKOIL, D
Brent Crude. Possible wave count. Updated

I think it's a double zigzag. The lower degree wave 4 at 69.59 could be hit.

aibek aibek USDJPY, 240, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Wait The Break Of Corrective Structure
560 10 22
USDJPY, 240 Long
USDJPY. Wait The Break Of Corrective Structure

Simple idea. Labels are on the chart. Wave c of Y has exceeded 1.618 of wave a already. I think above 113.59 the model would be crashed. Entry above 113.60 Stop 112.55 (below the low) Target 118.66 (previous big top) Risk/Reward 1:4.76

aibek aibek USDJPY, 240, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Correction is over. Catch the impulse
265 6 14
USDJPY, 240 Long
USDJPY. Correction is over. Catch the impulse

I think correction is over. Long current (114.29). Stop 113.29. Target 118.66.

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