aibek

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About me EW & patterns
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Trader, blogger, technical analyst
Markets Allocation
58 % forex 10 % stocks 4 % commodities 28 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 17% | 43 USDJPY 11% | 28 USOIL 10% | 26 AUDUSD 4% | 10
aibek aibek AUDUSD, D, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD. Possible wave count.
91 0 10
AUDUSD, D Long
AUDUSD. Possible wave count.

It looks like we have finished a Leading Diagonal in wave a (yellow). Now it should be a corrective move down in yellow wave b between 50 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. After, it could be a final wave c upside.

aibek aibek USDCNH, W, Short ,
USDCNH: USDCNH. Possible wave count. WXY.
43 0 7
USDCNH, W Short
USDCNH. Possible wave count. WXY.

The pair is in a corrective move. Possibly W-X-Y double three.

aibek aibek WDC, W, Short ,
WDC: Western Digital (WDC). Sell On Breakdown
82 0 5
WDC, W Short
Western Digital (WDC). Sell On Breakdown

Watch when price would finally breakdown the trendline support. MACD shows huge divergence with the price. Risk 115.05/Target 38.70 (highlighted with the dashed lines)

aibek aibek UKOIL, W,
UKOIL: Brent Crude. Possible wave count.
243 0 8
UKOIL, W
Brent Crude. Possible wave count.

Price could be trapped within a giant Triangle consolidation.

aibek aibek STX, W, Short ,
STX: Seagate (STX). UpTrend was broken. Wait end of consolidation
49 0 10
STX, W Short
Seagate (STX). UpTrend was broken. Wait end of consolidation

Good to sell when the price would end the consolidation (yellow ellipse) and drop below the previous low (41.20). Move stop then lower above the top of projected consolidation. Target is above the previous low (18.75).

aibek aibek SHCOMP, M, Short ,
SHCOMP: Shanghai Composite: Bear Flag Was Broken
59 0 8
SHCOMP, M Short
Shanghai Composite: Bear Flag Was Broken

The minimum target is the previous major low at 1665. The risk is above the peak within the Bear Flag at 3305.

aibek aibek USDJPY, M, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Long Term Chart. Possible Giant Ending Diagonal
257 4 12
USDJPY, M Short
USDJPY. Long Term Chart. Possible Giant Ending Diagonal

This is the long term chart depicting the possible Ending Diagonal Pattern (green). What is interesting that small waves c (yellow) of the countertrend waves B (red) already two times are smaller that waves a (yellow). If this sequence would persist then it's quite possible to have it in the last wave down as projected with the red polyline. The pair could hit the ...

aibek aibek USDCNH, D, Long ,
USDCNH: USDCNH. Triangle Consolidation. Watch Breakup
39 0 11
USDCNH, D Long
USDCNH. Triangle Consolidation. Watch Breakup

Target - previuos top 6.987 Invalidation - below 6.8449

aibek aibek DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: Dollar Index (DXY). Last Wave Up Is Underway.
113 0 9
DXY, D Long
Dollar Index (DXY). Last Wave Up Is Underway.

The last 5th wave up is underway. It could reach 38.2-61.8% of waves 1-3 as highlighted in rectangle. Long at open ~100+/- Stop 98.70 Take Profit 106.00 Risk/Reward > 4

aibek aibek S, W, Short ,
S: Sprint (NYSE:S) Targets 2.18
92 1 9
S, W Short
Sprint (NYSE:S) Targets 2.18

Idea is described on the chart.

aibek aibek GOLD, 240,
GOLD: Gold. Possible Ending DIagonal In Wave C
136 0 14
GOLD, 240
Gold. Possible Ending DIagonal In Wave C

C=A at the 1266 level. After Diagonal is finished I expect the retracement. Use Fibonacci levels.

aibek aibek UKOIL-USOIL, M, Short ,
UKOIL-USOIL: Brent/WTI spread. Brent Oil Could Lose Its Benchmark status
211 0 7
UKOIL-USOIL, M Short
Brent/WTI spread. Brent Oil Could Lose Its Benchmark status

Brent (UKOIL) is on the slippery path as production is falling and this could lead to the drop of it's share and loss of the benchmark status to other crudes, namely WTI or Dubai or Urals. Triangle is possible model here. Target minus $10 spread - the WTI (USOIL) becomes more expensive than Brent.

aibek aibek USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL. Blitz. Another Drop To Finish Correction
376 5 15
USOIL, 240 Short
USOIL. Blitz. Another Drop To Finish Correction

Setup is based on the clone of the left part. We are in a wave B before another drop down. Last time price got over 61.8% of wave A in wave B. So setup is as follows: Entry short: 53.12 (61.8% Fibonacci) Stop 54.33 (above the top of A) Target 50.01 - round number ahead of C=A.

aibek aibek GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD. Running Flat
133 0 14
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD. Running Flat

I think we are in a small correction with Running Flat type (blue ABC). It is possible that we can dip to previous low around 1.2400 before upmove resumes. Above 1.2706 (top of blue A) the upside would be confirmed as correction ends there. Overall this is a large countertrend correction and the pound weakness should resume once we are finished with wave Y (yellow).

aibek aibek USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Don't Try To Catch The Falling Piano
348 1 15
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY. Don't Try To Catch The Falling Piano

The consolidation described in the previous post completed. The target for this drop is located withing the Y108-110 range (50% Fibonacci / c=a / downside of the trendline) and highlighted in green rectangle.

aibek aibek SILVER, W, Long ,
SILVER: Silver Update. Reversal Targets 23.10
651 32 22
SILVER, W Long
Silver Update. Reversal Targets 23.10

The price finally confirmed the reversal breaking above the resistance. We got small correction on lower time frame (wave b). The yellow zigzag shows the anticipated path. Now the metal aims at 18.28-19.98 according to Fibonacci projections. Then we should see the larger correction. And then another leg upside, probably the final before the huge drop ...

aibek aibek USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Updated count. Another drop is possible.
214 0 15
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY. Updated count. Another drop is possible.

The main thing - the break below 112.57 (low 18JAN2017) invalidated the previous count. I think we are in abc (blue) correction before another drop down. The blue C can surpass the top of blue A. The break below white support line would confirm the start of another drop down. Targets are between 38.2% (111.99) and 50% (109.93) Fibonacci retracement levels.

aibek aibek USDCNH, D, Long ,
USDCNH: USDCNH. Triangle at Double Three (W-X-Y)
54 0 11
USDCNH, D Long
USDCNH. Triangle at Double Three (W-X-Y)

Dollar is going to continue it's growth against Renminbi (CNH, CNY). Breakup of triangle would start the upside impulsive move. Target at 7.12

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