DanV

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About me Former Qualified Financial Adviser. Part-Time Forex, Equities & Option Trader and Mentor.
Online Joined UK DhanjiV www.danv-charting.com
Article on Long Term Analysis of Oil Published at http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/crude-oil-remains-a-slippery-customer-the-likely-future-direction?post=155533&uid=8599
Markets Allocation
63 % forex 18 % cryptocurrency 7 % stocks 12 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 24% | 45 BTCUSD 9% | 17 USDJPY 4% | 9 GBPUSD 4% | 8
DanV DanV GBPNZD, 1D, Long ,
360 0 15
GBPNZD, 1D Long
GBPNZD – Potential Continuation Triangle Breakout

There has been growing bearish sentiment for GBP contributed by among other things the lack of progress on Brexit negotiation which might continue. However, it might have been overdone based on COT data as at 21st August and released on 24th August 2018 (please see chart below under update). Whist it is not at absolute extreme level it at a zone where a ...

DanV DanV EURUSD, W, Education
2864 12 66
EURUSD, W Education
EURUSD – Is it doing an about turn for the worse? - Update

In my previous chart of EURUSD, you will find lots of details explaining why I am anticipating a new bearish cycle in which the wave 4 (in circle) was about completed and wave 5 (in circle) was about to commence. There are lots of additional charts in comment section to help validate longer term view. This chart is linked below for your reference. We did not ...

DanV DanV USDJPY, W, Education
USDJPY: EUR & YEN Futures - Use of Commitment of Traders data
09:59
869 7 28
USDJPY, W Education
EUR & YEN Futures - Use of Commitment of Traders data

Commodity & Futures Trading Commission gather data from various Exchanges and compile which are then released and are available on their Websites - http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm Commitment of Traders Data = COT (abberiviation) These data are released on Friday of Each Week after Market Closes. They are based on Positions as ...

DanV DanV USOIL, D, Education
USOIL: Crude Oil at critical juncture – might make a bearish reversal
10:00
1470 14 66
USOIL, D Education
Crude Oil at critical juncture – might make a bearish reversal

For more details and background please read my article on Long Term Analysis of Oil published recently at http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/crude-oil-remains-a-slippery-customer-the-likely-future-direction?post=155533&uid=8599 OPEC meeting is schedule on Thursday the 30th November 2017. It is widely anticipated that OPEC members and other cooperating oil ...

DanV DanV EURUSD, W, Education
2856 21 84
EURUSD, W Education
EURUSD – Is it doing an about turn for the worse? (Short)

Background: Since March 2015 low, the actual wave counts has been difficult as we had very overlapping swings in both directions. In the processed the strong rally from Dec 2016 low started with initial trust that do not show clear 5 minor wave and the pull back was confusing before it commenced a very strong rally define in narrow up trending channel, which many ...

1929 14 51
GBPUSD, 2D
GBPUSD – NEAR COMPLETION OF ABC ZIGZAG RALLY OF 2016 SPIKE LOW

In my original post of Pound Sterling’s Prospects - seeing through the “Brexit” fog published just before the UK’s Brexit vote, a significant low was anticipated towards the late 2016 and early 2017. That low formed in October 2016 at lower than I anticipated. Since then a sustainable rally was anticipated which due to overlapping swings has not bee easy to ride ...

DanV DanV EURUSD, D, Short ,
1684 0 43
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD – COULD RETRACE IN LONGER TERM BULLISH CYCLE

EURUSD has posted a spike low in March 2015 and subsequently has failed to close below that low on monthly charts on last 2 attempts. This suggests that potentially an important low might be in place and that the EURUSD could continue much higher from here over several months if not more in longer term bullish cycle. See monthly chart below for the details The ...

DanV DanV GBPUSD, M, Long ,
1235 0 47
GBPUSD, M Long
POUND STERLING’S PROSPECTS SEEING THROUGH THE BREXIT FOG UPDATE

My original chart on GBPUSD was published on TalkMarkets just before the BREXIT vote in June 2016. I have recently published an update which you can read here to save me having to type all again - http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/global-markets/pound-sterlings-prospects-seeing-through-the-brexit-fog-update?post=127344&uid=8599 However, in addition to all the ...

DanV DanV BTCUSD, 480, Short ,
7496 54 71
BTCUSD, 480 Short
BITCOIN’S MEGAPHONE TOP - WILL IT OFFER A GET OUT OF JAIL CARD?

Background - Bitcoin has limited price history and earlier moves are so volatile and spiky that it makes it very hard to do usual technical analysis. However from my historical charts you will see that I noted Nov 2013 as major wave 3 and was expecting wave 5 to develop from Jan 2015. Yet the price progression and the actual development of pattern call that into ...

DanV DanV EURGBP, D, Short ,
2441 14 49
EURGBP, D Short
EURGBP – POTENTIALLY CLEAREST SHORT

In my last published chart on GBPUSD and “Brexit” fog (see link below), the suggested target appears to have been met, but feel it happened too quickly. So more sideways action and decline is anticipated. The effect of “Brexit” fog in not just limited to UK as has been noted from the reaction from wider financial market. Eurozone (EU) is intricately linked to ...

DanV DanV GBPUSD, M, Short ,
1783 15 51
GBPUSD, M Short
POUND STERLING'S PROSPECTS - SEEING THROUGH THE BREXIT FOG

This chart was published along with supporting material in an exclusive article published in an on 14th June 2016 - Link http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/us-markets/pound-sterlings-prospects--seeing-through-the-brexit-fog?post=97265 Please refer to that article for detailed explanation to avoid repeating here and for proper context in terms of time and event ...

DanV DanV BTCUSD, D, Long ,
5988 34 55
BTCUSD, D Long
Bitcoin In Double Zigzag Correction - Bullish Bias

Bitcoin In Double Zigzag Correction (Bullish Bias) - exploring it's likely upside Earlier this year I outlined 4 possible scenarios (see chart link below) of which the 1 & 2 were theoretically possible but did not really feel high high likelihood of developing. I then explained this in later February in live webinar. This leaves us with 3 & 4 which in general ...

DanV DanV BTCUSD, D, Short ,
3408 11 42
BTCUSD, D Short
BTCUSD - IN INTERMEDIATE TERM BEARISH CYCLE

NOTE: Please keep in mind that just because I have drawn particular line or suggested a target does not mean it will cause the price to follow that path exactly. I say this because many appear to have religious like zeal for BTCUSD to move forever upwards without any retracement where suggesting anything else is a gross sin. Also I am ignoring all the positive ...

DanV DanV SPY, 2W, Short ,
3465 15 49
SPY, 2W Short
A GENERATIONAL TOP IN THE MAKING

In my last chart around 2 years ago entitled "SP500 BEARISH OUTLOOK - CLOSE TO FORMING GENERATIONAL TOP" (see link below), I suggested that a possible top could occur around 2000 - 2030 area which I believe is still within acceptable range for such long term analysis. It appears to me that the likely topping pattern we are witnessing could be part of a very ...

DanV DanV GC1!, M, Long ,
3637 24 60
GC1!, M Long
GOLD - HAS NOT LOST IT'S GLITTER YET - (UPDATED)

This chart originally published about a year ago anticipating a low being formed around 1150 zone did not get follow though and the price action developed a lager falling wedge resulting in eventual low which now seems to be established in 1050 area. Due to this protracted agonising ending diagonal chop, it has whipped up bearish frenzy leading to make wild ...

DanV DanV USDCHF, W, Short ,
1731 26 42
USDCHF, W Short
USDCHF - MAJOR BEARISH REVERSAL COULD UNFOLD

After SNB's intervention in 2011 and again in 2015 I felt that I would never again trade and CHF pairs. However, It is now giving the most clearest long term wave counts of any USD pairs which also confirms my view of USD bearish cycle I have held since late 2013, see other charts link below. Whilst I have been little early and premature in thinking the top in ...

DanV DanV BTCUSD, W, Short ,
5535 43 65
BTCUSD, W Short
BTCUSD - Outlook for 2016 -17 with 4 possibilities

NOTE: Please keep in mind that just because I have drawn particular line or suggested a target does not mean I will cause the price to follow that path. I say this because many appear to have religious like zeal for BTCUSD to move forever upwards without any retracement where suggesting anything else is a gross sin. Also I am ignoring all the positive and ...

DanV DanV USOIL, W, Long ,
4626 41 77
USOIL, W Long
OIL - CLOSE TO FORMING SIGNIFICANT LOW

My last oil chart posted some 10 months ago anticipated a drop to 35 area in 5 wave decline from Aug 2013 high (chart link below). That has been met and some. Some details have changed from last chart but not in the way that would make significant difference, therefore, I will not repeat the thinking behind my analysis, but rather focus on what I think appears ...

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