UDSUSD – FVG’s Not Filled, Trend Ain’t Done YetHey There Guys,
Post-BOS, the market’s still pushing with upside momentum.
That upper +FVG hasn’t been filled yet, so the trend’s not showing signs of fatigue.
The Strong Buy Zone below is still in play—if liquidity gets pulled down there, buyers could step in hard.
As long as we don’t get a daily close below the main support zone, dips are still buying opportunities.
I will share updates here.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
Bitcoin-trading
Price Trend Under Economic News InfluenceHello everyone,
Ethereum is showing important signals on the 4-hour chart as the price recently touched the $4,180 level and started to correct. Several Fair Value Gaps (FVG) have formed densely within the $4,000–$4,100 zone, suggesting that the market may return to this area for balance before determining sustainable bullish momentum. This will be a key support zone in the short term, where buyers could test their strength.
The strong volume increase at the end of September indicates continued demand, but the resistance at $4,180 may cause ETH to retreat to $4,100–$4,050 before gathering momentum to move up again. If the support holds, the bullish trend could continue towards $4,300, and even potentially reach $4,500–$4,600 if resistance breaks.
However, upcoming volatility will largely depend on US economic data, especially the NFP report. A weak report could boost expectations for policy easing, supporting ETH's rise, while strong data may apply downward pressure. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and the risk of a US government shutdown remain unpredictable variables.
What are your thoughts on this scenario? Will ETH correct, or will it continue its breakout? Share your opinion in the comments below.
ETH Outlook After Key Resistance ZonesHello everyone, let's take a quick look at Ethereum's performance over the past week.
Ethereum spent the past week trading around some crucial Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlighted at $4,100 and $4,200, both acting as resistance zones if price continues its climb. On the downside, $4,000 has held as a key support level where ETH previously rebounded. The Ichimoku Cloud suggests the asset is still in a mild correction phase, moving near the bottom of the cloud – meaning bearish pressure remains unless ETH breaks decisively above $4,100–$4,200. Holding above $4,000 could restore momentum and allow a move back into the cloud, potentially paving the way for higher levels.
From a fundamentals perspective, Ethereum ETFs saw notable outflows last week, with $796 million pulled in just seven days and $248 million on a single day (CryptoRank), signaling caution among institutional investors. At the same time, whale activity has been active, with one major address transferring 200,000 ETH to new wallets, lifting total holdings to 736,316 ETH – suggesting liquidity dynamics could shift further. Meanwhile, Ethereum is preparing its upcoming Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, 2025, aiming to boost scalability and overall network performance.
Ethereum (ETH) is currently experiencing slight fluctuations within the range of 4,000 USD to 4,100 USD. If it holds above the 4,000 USD support level and does not break it, we can expect ETH to continue testing the 4,100 USD zone before breaking through to 4,200 USD. Once it surpasses this level, ETH could move towards the 4,400 USD target in the short term. However, this process may not be smooth and could involve some light pullbacks to test new support levels.
Where do you think ETH is heading next week? Share your view!
Turn Losses into Wins with This Secret Formula!👋Hello traders!
Have you ever looked at a chart, placed a trade, and wondered, “Exactly how much will I make (or lose) if the price moves?”
Don’t worry — today I’m going to share with you a simple, easy-to-understand formula. This formula is short, easy to remember, and applies to any currency pair.
🔑 First: The Profit Calculation Formula
👉 Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit (USD)
Pip: The number of pips the price moves.
Lot: The size of your trade (0.1, 0.5, 1.0, etc.).
10: A fixed value in USD for standard currency pairs.
This small equation will immediately tell you how much you will gain or lose.
💡 Example
Let’s say you buy EUR/USD with a 1 lot position.
The price moves 50 pips in your favor.
Using the formula: 50 (pips) x 1 (lot) x 10 = Profit of $500 .
Another example: You trade 0.5 lot on XAU/USD, and the price moves 30 pips.
30 x 0.5 x 10 = Profit of $150.
See how simple that is?
------------------------------------
From the formula Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit, we can “reverse” it to calculate the appropriate Lot size based on your capital and acceptable risk level. This is the standard money management approach that professional traders always apply.
🔑 Lot Size Calculation Formula
👉 Lot = (Capital x % Risk Allowed) / (Stop Loss Pips x 10)
Capital: Your current account balance (e.g., $1,000).
% Risk: Typically 1-2% of the account per trade.
Stop Loss Pips : The distance from entry to the stop-loss point.
10: A fixed value (pip value for 1 standard lot).
💡 Illustrative Example
Capital: $1,000
Risk: 2% = $20
Stop Loss: 50 pips
Using the formula:
Lot = (1,000 x 0.02) / (50 x 10)
--> Lot = 0.04
👉 So, you should enter with a 0.04 lot size
Remember: Trading isn’t about luck, it’s about capital management and discipline. By applying these two formulas, you’ll see a big difference in your trading results.
So, next time you trade, remember this magical formula:
✅ Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit
✅ Lot = (Capital x % Risk Allowed) / (Stop Loss Pips x 10)
Have you memorized it? Hit like if you’ve remembered everything and are looking forward to more useful posts from me🚀!
Good luck!
Dogecoin: Waiting for confirmation at 0.30 USDHi everyone, Dogecoin recently surged from 0.22 USD up to 0.30 USD, clearly reflecting strong inflows into this altcoin. However, the 0.30 USD area has turned into a solid resistance zone, with selling pressure pushing the price back to around 0.26 USD. A retest of the 0.28–0.30 USD region will be crucial in determining whether DOGE can sustain its upward momentum.
On the support side, the 0.22–0.23 USD FVG zone acts as a key buffer. If price dips deeper but holds this area, the likelihood of DOGE bouncing back to continue the uptrend remains high. Additionally, staying above the Ichimoku cloud suggests the bullish structure is still intact. Trading volume has tapered off recently, reflecting investor caution, but a clear breakout above 0.30 USD could open the way for higher targets.
What’s your view – will DOGE maintain its momentum, or will we see a deeper pullback first?
BTC has formed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bullish Pattern Alert! 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern 🔄
👉 If price breaks out above the neckline, it would confirm a bullish trend 📈
⚠️ Key point: Breakout confirmation above the neckline is crucial — watch for retests to avoid fakeouts.
👉 A confirmed breakout would signal strong bullish continuation with buyers in control ✅
Quick Lesson: How to Identify Trend ReversalKnowing when to enter the market can mean the difference between making a profit and incurring a loss. The chart above clearly compares two similar-looking scenarios with very different outcomes: the one you should aim for and the one you should avoid.
- On the left , we see a textbook example of a bullish reversal. After a significant downtrend, the market prints higher lows and begins forming an ascending support. This signals that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in. Notably, there are usually lots of unfilled bags — latecomers who show strong demand below the current price level but never get their orders filled, and who then just hit the 'market buy' button, which adds fuel to the fire of pump.
- In contrast, the right side shows a very similar pattern — a downtrend followed by consolidation, but with crucial differences. Here, all prior liquidity zones have already been filled, meaning there is less incentive for buyers to support the price. The “same vector” suggests price action hasn’t changed direction, and a common short squeeze traps late buyers before resuming the decline. This is a common bull trap , where a temporary price pump gives false hope before another leg down.
To sum up , a REAL REVERSAL builds on structure, accumulation, and higher lows—whereas a FALSE BOTTOM is often characterized by brief rallies, exhausted liquidity, and no change in vector trend. Experienced traders wait for confirmation and accumulation before entering a position, not just a temporary pause in a downtrend.
3 Bitcoin Tops, Weak Green Candles, and What’s Next? If you're closely monitoring the Bitcoin (BTC) market, patterns often begin to reveal themselves in surprising ways. In the attached chart, I’ve highlighted three major local tops that Bitcoin has made, each marked by a weak green daily candle. What’s even more striking is what comes next: a dramatic increase in trading volume, followed by steep corrections.
Spotting the Pattern: Weak Green, Heavy Volume
At each pointed top (see red arrows), BTC formed an all-time high (ATH) with a relatively weak green candle, hardly the sign of euphoric buying strength.
Look closely at the volume bars below (blue arrows). Each time, as price struggled to push higher, volume surged after the top, often a signal of major sellers stepping in or longs closing en masse.
What followed? Significant corrections: -13.6%, -29.2%, and, now it might be shaping up for another potential drop (-24.1%) if history rhymes.
Why Does This Matter?
From a technical analysis perspective, volume is the fuel behind price moves. When a new high is reached with limp buying (weak green candles) but is swiftly met with rising volume on the way down, it’s a classic sign of distribution, a strong hand selling into retail euphoria.
Is Another Drop Coming?
Given the consistency in behavior, it’s not unreasonable to ask: are we about to witness another similar correction now that BTC has again hit a top with a weak green candle and volume is ticking up? The historical evidence certainly makes it plausible.
Long-Term Perspective: Still Bullish
Despite these corrections, my long-term outlook remains bullish. Every cycle has corrections, they’re opportunities for healthy consolidation, allowing strong hands to accumulate and the market to reset for its next leg higher.
*not investment advice
#crypto #btc #bitcoin #finance #trading
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K.
Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K.
Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K.
Macro Events This Week:
Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected.
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) Breakout
Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside.
Altcoin Highlights
BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum.
XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest.
Market Context
The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management.
Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
vision paintingthis is sort of a game, i would like to play with anyone interested in chart riddles. i'm being very specific with my inputs, and coloring, painting a picture of what i need to see and when. painting whats there, guiding to where itll be. wondering if i could actually create art pieces here. hypothetically the 'paintings' would need to be back checked, to artificialy create any worth to it. market involvement is day/week trades. *no advice whatsoever. so, i think ill give it a go. from here onwards, these posts are the only ill post, with updates, within the comments of such post. happy trading
ballino
Premium zone tagged — now we watch how the Smart Money reactsBitcoin just tapped into the 108,151 level — the top of a measured premium range and a likely area where profit-taking begins and fresh distribution footprints form.
This run-up wasn’t random. Price surged from inefficiency, cleanly filled the fair value gap (FVG), and is now flirting with a key liquidity pocket.
Here's what the structure says:
Premium reached: 108,151 (0% fib)
If rejection holds, Smart Money looks to discount entries:
0.236: 106,136
0.382: 104,889
0.5: 103,882
Deep retracement zone: 0.618 at 102,874
Final defense for bulls? The unmitigated FVG block between 101,440 → 99,613
Possible Playbook Scenarios:
Quick retrace → higher high:
Bounce off 104,889 or 103,882 before attacking 108,967+
Deeper sweep:
Into 102,874 (0.618) before Smart Money steps in again
Invalidation:
Break below 99,613 closes this bullish narrative and confirms a structural break
TL;DR Execution Logic:
Wait for retracement into 0.5–0.618 fibs
Look for bullish reaction (engulfing or SFP)
Upside targets:
108,151 (retest)
108,967 (liquidity sweep)
Further upside if momentum sustains
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like.
Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung.
Key points:
The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone
High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up
The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low
Targeting the prior high: 106,787
Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly
Execution mindset:
Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion
Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains
Late shorts just became the fuel.
Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum.
📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
The FVG above isn’t the target. It’s the bait.This is a classic Smart Money sequence. Most are watching the imbalance at 106.5k–108.7k and expecting immediate delivery. But that’s not how this game works.
The setup:
Price broke down violently, then reversed with momentum — stopping right beneath the daily FVG block. That alone tells me it’s not ready. It’s gathering.
Below? Multiple fib levels that haven’t been tested — 104.4k (0.236), 102.6k (0.0), and a volume-backed rejection wick that still holds weight.
The market is likely to dip again — pull into deeper discount, reset the low timeframe narrative — and only then attack the FVG and upper sweep zones.
What I expect:
Sweep of 102.6k (final liquidity run)
Reaction → reclaim 104.4k
Push into the FVG toward 106.5k (0.5) and possibly 107.4k (0.618)
No emotional reaction to the red candles — this is structure playing out, not weakness unfolding.
Plan:
Ideal Entry: 102.8k–103.2k range
SL: Below 102.6k
TP1: 105.6k
TP2: 107.4k
Final: 108.7k clean inefficiency fill
Let it dip. Let it breathe. That’s where conviction is built.
Final thought:
“The real move starts when they convince you it’s done.”
BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish):
- Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support.
- Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*.
🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term):
- Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance).
- Scenario 1 (Bearish):
→ If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K).
→ Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone.
- Scenario 2 (Bullish):
→ If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation.
- TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K).
- SL: Close above red zones.
🔹 Technical Key:
- H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1.
- Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
btc . may . w3 . friyesterdays LONG was beautiful. ny ran aLow, and never looked back pushing higher.
. new aver entry . 102353
i'm right now scalling into new limit LONGs
. aLow . wVWAP . cw0.5 . liquidity grad - in this BULLISH environment
a last limit order is placed at pdTPO
. 102862.5
SL has been lifted to give new trade breathing room
i see us go to cwHigh . 105871, to which tp1 has been changed.
cheers
XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
XRP / RIPPLE | 30M | IMPORTANT LEVELSFriends,
I valued your requests and prepared the following Ripple analysis: If Ripple drops below the level of 2.1807 for 30 minutes, the target will be the 2.1424 level. This level holds a very significant support zone.
The most critical support level is located at 2.1085.
If Ripple does not fall below this support zone, my target level for Ripple will be 2.2495.
Please don't forget to like.
Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
btc . w4 - wknd . SHORT but cautious - yet paytientfriday plan, was to SHORT (see prvs post)
sell zone
starts . friday open
ends . monday open
entry . 95.542
sl . -2.62%
10 sell orders . 1.52% spread
tp1 . 91.642 . +3.99%
funding . +0.01%
we are according to plan + collecting funding
tp1 adjusted to moderate, since bullish outlook coming from april.
tp2 . +10.11%
BTC TO $91,000!!Hello! Today we're going to analyze Bitcoin's price action. It's currently rebounding. The movement doesn't seem to have much strength. However, let's not forget that on a weekly chart, Bitcoin is at the end of wave 4 of Elliott's theory.
We have a very clear scenario: a rebound to $91,000, which is an area with a lot of shorts and liquidity. If buying pressure is greater, it's logical that Bitcoin could break out strongly to the upside, because price action always seeks out areas of less pressure, that is, it will always seek liquidity.
On 4-hour charts, we can see a lot of volatility, however, any purchases below $84,000-$87,000 can be considered conservative because it is a good buying zone. After all, you are buying at the end of wave 4 on a weekly chart, therefore, liquidations below $84,000 are not ruled out, but the short and medium-term trend is bullish.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.






















