MARA: shoulders done, now walk toward the targetOn the daily chart, MARA completed a textbook inverse Head & Shoulders reversal with a clear breakout above the descending trendline. A corrective pullback followed, and the price is now heading into the key buy zone at 15.21–15.77 - aligning with the 0.72 and 0.79 Fibonacci retracements, and the upper boundary of the broken channel. This is the area to watch for a potential continuation of the bullish impulse.
Volume on the breakout was above average, confirming strong buyer interest. The EMAs are trending below the price, supporting the upward structure. The first target is located at 21.57 (previous resistance), with a potential extension to 28.77 (Fibonacci 1.618).
Fundamentally, MARA remains highly correlated with BTC and crypto sentiment. As interest returns to crypto-related assets due to ETF flows and possible Fed easing, mining stocks like MARA gain attention. Recent reports also show improved production efficiency and lowered costs - a tailwind for bulls.
Tactically, the best setup would be a confirmed reaction from the buy zone — whether a strong candlestick formation, volume surge, or reclaim of a key level. If that happens, aiming for 21.57 and 28.77 becomes a solid plan.
The pattern played out - now it's time for the market to walk the talk.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
ETH Outlook After Key Resistance ZonesHello everyone, let's take a quick look at Ethereum's performance over the past week.
Ethereum spent the past week trading around some crucial Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlighted at $4,100 and $4,200, both acting as resistance zones if price continues its climb. On the downside, $4,000 has held as a key support level where ETH previously rebounded. The Ichimoku Cloud suggests the asset is still in a mild correction phase, moving near the bottom of the cloud – meaning bearish pressure remains unless ETH breaks decisively above $4,100–$4,200. Holding above $4,000 could restore momentum and allow a move back into the cloud, potentially paving the way for higher levels.
From a fundamentals perspective, Ethereum ETFs saw notable outflows last week, with $796 million pulled in just seven days and $248 million on a single day (CryptoRank), signaling caution among institutional investors. At the same time, whale activity has been active, with one major address transferring 200,000 ETH to new wallets, lifting total holdings to 736,316 ETH – suggesting liquidity dynamics could shift further. Meanwhile, Ethereum is preparing its upcoming Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, 2025, aiming to boost scalability and overall network performance.
Ethereum (ETH) is currently experiencing slight fluctuations within the range of 4,000 USD to 4,100 USD. If it holds above the 4,000 USD support level and does not break it, we can expect ETH to continue testing the 4,100 USD zone before breaking through to 4,200 USD. Once it surpasses this level, ETH could move towards the 4,400 USD target in the short term. However, this process may not be smooth and could involve some light pullbacks to test new support levels.
Where do you think ETH is heading next week? Share your view!
Bitcoin to Surge? Price Forecast and Key News You Can't Miss!Hello everyone, let's go through some important information regarding Bitcoin recently.
Technical Analysis:
The 109,000 USD support level is a key point as FVG zones have appeared, and there has been a clear recovery response. If Bitcoin holds above this level, there is potential for it to continue rising, with nearby resistance levels at 110,000 USD and 112,000 USD. If these levels are broken, Bitcoin may expand its rally towards 115,000 USD. The candlestick chart currently shows positive reversal signals, and technical indicators are supporting the uptrend.
News Impact:
Several factors are influencing the market:
PCE Data and US Inflation: The August PCE showed a slight increase to 2.7%, higher than 2.6% in July. This indicates that inflation pressure isn't easing quickly, which could lead the Fed to maintain high interest rates. This may put short-term pressure on Bitcoin, but if subsequent data shows inflation isn’t accelerating, Bitcoin could maintain its bullish momentum.
US Government Shutdown Risk: The market is closely watching the potential for a government shutdown on 1st October 2025. If this happens, investors might reduce their holdings in risky assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, if the situation is resolved, it could create a positive market sentiment.
Large Liquidations in Derivatives: On 22nd September 2025, the crypto market saw more than 1.5 billion USD in long positions liquidated, creating significant volatility and driving Bitcoin down temporarily. However, as the liquidation wave subsides, it could present an opportunity for fresh capital to enter at support levels.
Bitcoin ETFs and Coinbase Forecast: Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity’s Fund, continue to attract institutional investment. Additionally, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong forecasts Bitcoin could reach 1 million USD by 2030, driven by clearer regulatory frameworks and increasing demand from financial institutions. This presents a long-term support factor for Bitcoin.
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Fund: President Trump’s executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve fund has sparked new expectations. If implemented, this could provide a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s price as it becomes part of the strategic national reserves.
In conclusion, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery if it maintains support at 109,000 USD. Factors such as inflation data, Fed policies, the risk of a government shutdown, ETF inflows, and the US Bitcoin reserve fund will all play a crucial role in shaping its upcoming trend.
Do you think Bitcoin could reach 112,000 USD in this recovery phase? Feel free to share your thoughts.
$BTC Following $GOLD - Parabola Incoming !P.S. CRYPTOCAP:BTC still on track to follow the TVC:GOLD parabola with this 10-12 week fractal which we should see between Thanksgiving and Christmas 🦃🎅
Will be following GOLD a bit more closely as Total Global Liquidity gave its first real fake-out showing ATH at EOM.
$BTC CME GAP @ $111k - One Last Flush?FYI CRYPTOCAP:BTC CME GAP @ $111k
NBD ~3.5% down from here.
Would be best to fill sooner rather than later so that it's not laying around for sell pressure.
PA got rejected and closed the day below the 50MA which hopefully gives us one last flush before UpTober.
Maybe the government shutdown propels us there 🤔
Will Ripple (XRP) continue to sell XRP – Distribution Pattern & Elliott Wave Roadmap
We’ve now tapped this support line five times. The structure looks like another Lower High (LH) forming inside a distribution pattern.
• Bullish scenario: If price breaks above the LH structure, we could see continuation toward a new all-time high.
• Bearish scenario: If lower highs persist, I don’t expect a sixth touch of this support. Instead, a decisive break lower would confirm the top of Wave (5) and start a larger correction.
That correction should complete as a 3-wave structure, setting up the Super Cycle Wave (1) top. From there, leg 2 develops before a true leg 3 rally begins. Based on my count, that rally zone could emerge from $0.05 – $0.14.
This chart is part of my overall Elliott Wave view (see my first post). I’ll update that main chart when a minor leg one within this corrective phase is confirmed.
⚠️ CRYPTO:XRPUSD Stay tuned—updates will follow as CRYPTO:XRPUSD defines its path.
BTC/USDT | BTC Bounce After $111K Dip – Liquidity Gap in FocusBy analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a heavy correction down to $111,000, the price found demand again and is now trading around $113,600.
I expect Bitcoin to continue rising to fill the liquidity gap, with the first target at $114,150. Other targets and scenarios will be shared tomorrow!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BREAKING: Crypto Is A Junk Security! $JNKJust a quick PSA showing the correlation between #junk debt and #crypto.
Notice the highs and lows are all undeniably correlated.
Proceed with extreme caution. As data releases are suspended (covered up), expect the high-risk junk stuff to collapse into oblivion.
Godspeed.
Stacking logarithmic (log) channels - Secret tool in crypto Ep 3Stacking Logarithmic Channels - Bitcoin's Hidden Fractal Structure | Signal & Structure Episode 3
In this third episode of Signal and Structure, we explore a powerful but little-known technique: stacking logarithmic channels to identify critical support and resistance levels in exponentially growing assets like Bitcoin.
Core Technique Revealed:
The Logarithmic Channel Stacking Method
Start with a base channel on log scale (demonstrated from November 2011)
Copy and stack identical channels above/below the original
The midline of one channel becomes the boundary of adjacent channels
Creates a fractal structure that respects Bitcoin's exponential growth pattern
Key Principles:
Always use logarithmic scale for crypto channels
Midlines are as important as channel boundaries
Multiple touches validate channel placement
Channels maintain proportional relationships when stacked
Practical Demonstrations:
Historical Validation Points
November 2013: Top of first channel ($1,200)
December 2017: Top of second stacked channel ($19,000)
November 2021: Bottom of third stacked channel ($69,000)
March 2023: Bottom of fourth stacked channel ($15,500)
Current Market Analysis:
Bitcoin dancing around the midline of the current channel
Lower boundary support around $90-92K (aligning with CME gap)
Technical ceiling projections discussed with appropriate caveats
Channel Construction Details:
Monthly channels: Black, thickness 4, 30% opacity
Weekly channels: Maroon/brown, thickness 3
Always include midlines for additional confluence
Adjust opacity to prevent chart clutter
Advanced Insights:
Why log scale channels reveal patterns invisible on linear scale
How to validate channels using midline touches
The relationship between channel midlines and new channel boundaries
Dealing with ambiguous channel placement (multiple valid options)
Time-Saving Tips:
Use TradingView's copy/paste to maintain exact channel angles
Set consistent color coding for different timeframes
Keep channels semi-transparent for better visibility
This technique works because logarithmic scale represents percentage moves consistently - a 100% move always appears the same height regardless of price level. This creates natural harmonic levels that price tends to respect over long timeframes.
While specific price projections should be taken as possibilities rather than certainties, the method itself provides a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's price structure across its entire history. The convergence of these channel levels with other technical factors (like CME gaps) adds additional weight to these zones.
Remember: Channels are guides, not guarantees. Use them for context and confluence, not as standalone trading signals.
Bitcoin Bounces Strongly from Key Support – What’s Next?🔎 Technical Outlook (BTC/USDT, 4H):
1. Key Support: Bitcoin held the 110K – 112K zone, a historically strong demand area that triggered a solid rebound.
2. Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of a short-term descending channel, shifting momentum in favor of the bulls.
3. Immediate Resistances:
• First resistance: 115.5K – 116K
• Next major resistance: 118K – 120K (upper channel boundary)
4. Scenarios:
• 🟢 A confirmed breakout above 115.5K opens the path toward 118K → 120K.
• 🔻 Failure to clear resistance could trigger another pullback toward 112K or even a retest of 110K.
📌 Summary: Bitcoin has defended its major support and is showing bullish momentum in the short term. However, the upcoming tests at 115K+ will decide whether this move evolves into a stronger rally or just a corrective bounce.
BITCOIN Supply Area Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN price approaches the horizontal supply area, where SMC suggests bearish order flow may resume. Reaction from this zone could drive the pair toward the target at 113,300$. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Could BTC Break $100K on the Way Down?History Might Rhyme Again
Looking at BTC on the 1D timeframe, a pattern seems to be forming, one that we’ve already seen twice this cycle.
🔎 March 2024:
Price made an ATH just above the 78.6% Fib, chopped around that level, then dropped below the 50MA first a fake-out, then the real break. After that came the drop below the 200MA.
All price action stayed confined between:
• 78.6% – 61.8%
• 61.8% – 50%
Meanwhile, RSI formed higher lows → a clear bullish divergence while price was making lower lows.
🔎 December 2024:
ATH at the 127.2% Fib level, same pattern: chop → fake-out under 50MA → real drop → break below 200MA.
Price again stayed confined between:
• 127.2% – 100%
• 100% – 78.6%
And again, RSI showed higher lows while price went lower, another bullish divergence.
🔎 Today:
ATH in July (or August, with just a few dollars difference), chop at 161.8% Fib, fake-out under 50MA, now real drop under 50MA. Price is getting close to the 200MA.
The big question:
Will it do the same again?
– Drop under the 200MA
– Trade between 161.8% – 127.2% and 127.2% – 100%
– Form a bullish divergence on RSI while making lower lows
If history rhymes, we could see BTC trade below $100K before forming the next major leg up.
🎯 Plan:
I’m preparing for this scenario and adjusting risk accordingly. High-leverage trades here need surgical precision.
📌 Mindset Reminder:
This is where patience and discipline get tested. It’s not just about charts, it’s about staying calm when fear takes over.
🟠 Macro Wildcard:
The Fed has already started cutting rates.
A rate cut in October could shift BTC’s trajectory upward, but a pause in October could just as easily push price lower.
🎯 Closing Line:
History may not repeat, but right now it’s rhyming loudly and I’m listening.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #183👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into today's Bitcoin analysis. The market has had an upward movement. Let's see what's ahead in the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, I mentioned that there was a high probability of movement and that it would be a good idea to keep an eye on the chart during the New York session as the market could move.
📊 With the start of the New York session, good buying volume entered the market, and after breaking 109890, Bitcoin started an upward wave.
🔑 The first area where the price could have faced resistance was 111605, which was broken on the first attempt. After a pullback, the next leg started.
🚀 The break of 109890, along with RSI entering Overbuy and the entry of buying volume, was a good trigger for a long position, and we could have opened a position with it.
⭐ Now, the price has reached a very important resistance zone, and the probability of a correction starting is high. For taking profit, I suggest you lock in profits whenever RSI exits the Overbuy zone, as this will reduce the upward momentum and increase the chances of a correction.
📈 For new positions, no triggers are available yet, and it's better to wait until the market gives us a clearer structure. However, if the price reacts several times to the level, we can open a long position in subsequent attempts if it breaks.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Market Update – Bullish Trend RebuildingBTC Market Update – Bullish Trend Rebuilding
The market structure on Bitcoin highlights a sequence of expansion, consolidation, and sharp corrective phases. After reaching a peak around 115,000, the price shifted into a prolonged sideways phase, where liquidity built up before a decisive breakdown. This breakout introduced stronger bearish momentum, driving price toward lower ranges.
Currently, Bitcoin is stabilizing around 109,500 after the decline, with price action suggesting a potential extension into deeper liquidity zones near the lower range before regaining upward momentum. The projected flow reflects a scenario where downside movement acts as a liquidity sweep, providing the conditions for buyers to re-engage.
The broader outlook remains constructive. Even with short-term pressure favoring the downside, the long-term structure still supports recovery potential. A strong reaccumulation phase could lift Bitcoin back toward the 115,000 zone, aligning with the market’s tendency to reclaim imbalance after periods of sharp displacement.
MSTU chasing BTCThere is a nice delay on MSTR and MSTU proportional to BTC on smaller timeframes, allowing for nice entries and exits. It's already run 8% for me, but you might find a nice entry on MSTU when BTC pulls back. However, if you are long term bullish you might not want to wait. My first target is around $9 , at which point, I may just hold it for continuation depending on what BTC is doing at that time. Not financial advice, DYOR.
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Buy the Dip Before $138K!Hello guys!
Bitcoin is once again at a critical stage, and the chart is giving us a clear roadmap for the next move. Let’s break it down:
Current Setup
Price is holding above $108K–109K and has shown strength around the $103K support zone.
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC trades above $100K.
Strategy
1- Entry zones for buying:
Current market price (~$109K)
Support zone around $103K (a good second chance for buyers).
2- Stop-loss: Around $99K, just below the psychological and structural support of $100K.
3- Target: Upside potential points toward $138K , which aligns with the next major resistance zone.
⚠️ Risk Factor
If BTC breaks below $100K, the bullish phase ends, and we should expect a bearish shift in momentum. In that case, caution and defensive trading will be the smarter play.
📌 Conclusion
For now, the play is simple:
👉 Stay bullish and buy dips while BTC is above $100K.
👉 Watch the $103K zone for re-entries.
👉 Protect your capital with a $99K stop-loss.
👉 Aim high-> the next big target sits around $138K.
Bitcoin Chart Marks Its 2 Big Next Stops: $105K → $98KBitcoin has spent three months consolidating near record highs.
That kind of sideways grind usually ends with a liquidity hunt.
If the dollar finishes its current swing higher, Bitcoin likely tags the mid-range support zone next.
Two major downside targets remain on the map for the coming months.
Probability of a flush lower sits around ~80%
It’s a normal structural move: after heavy consolidation, price seeks liquidity before the next sustained leg.
Dollar drifts lower as U.S. growth stays hot—Q2 GDP +3.8% and a government-shutdown risk on deck.
Bitcoin presses $111K–112K resistance while whales quietly accumulate after recent liquidation spikes.
Price is at the hinge: soft USD supports risk, but volatility is loaded.
Trade the structure, not the noise.
SHORT BITCOIN – THE TRAP IS BELOW, NOT ABOVE!Traders,
From the current levels around $112.8K–$113K, I believe Bitcoin is setting up for another leg down into the $104K region.
Why? Because at current levels we already have multiple Anchored VWAPs (AVWAPs) lining up from different swing high → low auctions, which makes this area heavy resistance.
That means the probability of retracing higher is limited, and instead, the market is more likely to drop into $104K — where there’s significant unfinished business — before a proper bounce can occur.
🔮 Hypothesis
From current levels ($112.8K–$113K), price will reject and move down toward $104K.
Retracement higher than $113K is unlikely given AVWAP confluence + resistance stack.
The $104K region will act as a bounce zone, potentially with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) wick.
📊 Data & Confluence
🔻 Why $104K Is a Magnet
HTF Point of Control (POC): The high-volume node where markets naturally seek equilibrium.
HTF AVWAP: Anchored VWAP from major pivots aligns here, marking fair value.
4H TPO Single Prints + Fib Retracements (0.75–0.786): Gaps in auction structure converge with key Fibonacci levels.
CME Gap: The $104K CME RTH gap still needs filling — markets often return here for balance.
Sept 1st Low (Weekly TPO): Poor excess signals unfinished auction business, pulling price back down.
🔼 Why Current Levels Won’t Hold
Clustered AVWAPs (different swing high → low auctions): Acting as strong dynamic resistance.
Multiple POCs at current zone: Volume saturation suggests exhaustion.
Fibonacci confluence + harmonic pattern: Pointing to lower continuation.
💵 Macro Flows
USDT Dominance (USDT.D): Breaking higher → capital shifting to stablecoins → bearish BTC.
Aggregated CVD: Spot CVD drifting slightly higher, but futures CVD flat with no OI expansion.
→ No real demand behind the move.
📌 My Take
Bitcoin is most likely to:
Reject from current AVWAP resistance ($112.8K–$113K).
Drop into $104K, clearing imbalances and luring in shorts below the 0.786 fib.
Trigger a wick/squeeze move up (Swing Failure Pattern) to trap those late shorters.
⚠️ If $104K fails to hold, next target is the imbalance zone around $98.5K.
✅ Conclusion
The market is loaded with resistance at current levels. Until that’s broken with conviction, the path of least resistance is down into $104K.
That’s where the real battle will be.
Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t get trapped on the wrong side of the wick.
BTCUSD – Last Chance to Go HigherOver the weekend, price found support just outside the white L-MLH. That’s where I previously mentioned the red Centerline — the target for the earlier short trade.
Now, however, price has jumped back into the fork. Tthis could be the last chance to break out of the down-sloping yellow fork to the upside.
P3 would be my next level to watch for support after the break of the red Centerline.
SOLUSDT: Retracing FVG, Touching Kumo Cloud – Key Zone 212–215?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at SOLUSDT on the H4 chart.
Structurally, the primary trend remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, while the current upward movement is mainly a pullback filling the Fair Value Gaps (FVG). The immediate resistance zone lies between 212–215, coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud boundary and previous balance areas. A decisive break above this range could open the path to 220–223 and further to 228–232 (the upper red FVG cluster). On the downside, support is found at 205–202 – a newly formed green FVG. A strong breach would expose 198–195 as the next floor, and deeper support around 190–188 – the recent swing low.
From a news perspective, market sentiment continues to revolve around risk appetite: Bitcoin movements, ETF inflows/outflows, the DXY, and US Treasury yields heavily influence altcoins including SOL. This week’s US economic calendar is dense with ADP, Jobless Claims, PMI/ISM, and Non-Farm Payrolls – strong data could reinforce USD/ yields, pressuring risk assets; weaker numbers would support the rebound. Solana-specific catalysts such as network performance, dApp/TVL metrics, airdrops, or congestion events can further amplify breakouts or rejections around the mentioned FVGs.
In the preferred scenario, SOL may pull back to 205–202 to fill the green FVG, creating a higher low before retesting 212–215. A break and hold above 215 with improving volume could target 220–223 and extend to 228–232.
Where do you see SOL heading? Will this rebound hold or will it test the 200 area soon? Share your thoughts!
BITCOIN SIGNAL: MOST PEOPLE ARE DOING THIS NOW (wrong)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin as professional traders. We are using advanced technical indicators, and we are properly analyzing with an Elliot Wave perspective. We are digging deep into the sub-waves and structure. Enjoy.
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.