TOTAL - total cap crypto "this looks bad," Not saying I've done trivial work in effort to determine the end of an Elliott wave phase peak; so, the chart looks like an Elliott wave does it not? The previously major halving did not have a similar chart where an Elliott wave 1,2,3,4,5 happened. This time it does look like that. Is it possible to have 6,7 phase inclusive to the chart albeit from the idea that Elliott wave means nothing to the new community of virtual currency digital money defi tropes meme derivative foreplay variable online meta landscape of the future? If I was betting on history repeating itself and the looks of the chart here for all cryptocurrency I would say this is not good looking for me, a guy who has made literally no money on cryptocurrency since the last halving despite trying so many times. The world is against me, the trends are fake, the people in society are all brainwashed by propaganda war machine rhetoric political asylums and the minority reports of mainstream majority peoples. Why now? Why not? I'm not looking forward to losing more money then I already have. I haven't made money. Online news doesn't help. Content creators don't help. My family does not help. These indicators which I feel I have a strong understanding of, do not help. Cryptocurrency is too volatile and unpredictable in ways that prevents mathematical decision making becoming profitable. The major players that control the phases of time are established based on the backs of working class people, and savings. We created a monster(s). Now those monsters are eating cryptocurrency for lunch. Cryptocurrency ≠ main course.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC 8H – Broken Trendline Shifts Market Into New DowntrendBTC has broken below its established ascending trendline, confirming a shift into a new short-term downtrend. Price is now trading beneath prior support, with the failed retest circled on the chart.
The next major levels to watch are the liquidity zones:
Upper Liquidity: ~122,900
Lower Liquidity: ~100,400
Until the downtrend line is broken to the upside, sellers remain in control. A push into lower liquidity could offer a potential reaction zone for bulls, while reclaiming the broken support and trendline would be the first signal of recovery.
Stoch RSI is lifting from low levels, but momentum will need follow-through above resistance before invalidating the bearish structure.
WHERE ARE WE ? BACK TO BULL MARKET ?I am reading a lot of "bullmarket is back" opinions here and there, and I don't really find an argument for a V reversal for the 17k low on $BTC yet
I think we are in a rangy phase where good investors/ltf traders will get nice opportunities to build their long term portfolio
I already shared my view on the Cosmos ecosystem, so now I will share my list of alts that I am looking to accumulate and in which proportion and at what average price (ideally):
ETH $750,00 - 10%
SOL $17,00 - 20%
ATOM $8,00 - 30%
SYN $0,50 - 10%
LOOKS $0,15 - 10%
the 20% remaining of the portfolio will stay in cash waiting to ride new cycle narratives
I have no interest in Bitcoin as the expected return is probably lower than newer coins/narratives
Exciting times ahead anyway
Cheers
Bitcoin Correction Unfolding — First Wave in MotionAfter successfully hitting the BITCOIN target and anticipating a major correction in my previous ideas, here’s how the first wave of that correction is shaping up on the daily chart:
1- At the recent high, a Shooting Star candle formed — a classic reversal signal.
2- Using Volunacci analysis, the price retraced exactly to the Golden Zone, validating the first leg of the pullback.
3- The next step? A breakdown of the blue trendline would likely send us toward the Volunacci target at $108,600.
4- For confirmation, we're watching the RSI trendline — if it breaks down as well, it would strongly support the bearish continuation.
The setup is clean and developing as expected — it's all about following price and letting the chart guide the story.
BTCUSD -SUPPORT ZONE 110000 READ CAPTIONhi trade's.
BTC is currently approaching a major support area at 110000.
If buyers defend this zone, price may attempt a recovery toward the 117000 target zone.
A secondary support is seen near 10500 that could provide another reaction level.
A breakdown below 104000 risk level would invalidate the bullish view and open room for deeper downside.
Support Zone: 110000
Second Support: 10500
Risk Level: 104000
Target Zone: 117000
👉 I share daily chart updates and setups on my TradingView
TheKing Ways Up- Some Traders are still waiting for lower prices.
- But to go lower BTC must first go higher.
- TheKing is in transition phase : " Bearish to Bullish ".
- Some retracements have to happen on the way up.
- Some Fuds have to happen on the way up to create those retracements.
- Today CPI results could impact a bit the trend ( Stocks + Cryptos ).
- Notice on the Graph MA50/MA20 (4D) will cross up soon
- Those MAs will create some new support zones.
- This Graph is just based on comparison between 2018-2020 // 2020-2022 and an eventual " Story Repeat ".
- Covid19 Black Swan included.
- Just follow the Circles and keep it simple.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 24💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Bitcoin chart, BTC is in a box and has formed a V-pattern. Breaking the box's ceiling would trigger the V-pattern breakout. The breakout trigger for Bitcoin is at $112,200.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 64 and 46. When oscillation crosses 64, Bitcoin’s momentum heads toward overbought.
🕯 Volume, size, and number of green candles have increased, with buyer makers present. There was an attempt to break resistance with higher volume, but seller takers pushed the price back. Buyer makers then guided the price up from a higher low. Breaking resistance needs more volume.
💵 On the 1-hour USDT.D chart, Tether dominance is at 4.35%. Breaking this could bring significant trading volume to Bitcoin.
🔔 Bitcoin’s trading alarm zone is at $112,200, where price action could be highly reliable. No specific short position idea, but if $110,000 breaks with heavy selling, I might open a position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buying Resumes
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market review.
Yesterday, as expected, Bitcoin buying activity resumed. The price reached the resistance area around ~$112,000 (absorption of market buys) and showed an initial reaction. The seller’s response was relatively weak, so if the local high is broken, we may see a move towards the next supply zone at $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone).
On the broader picture, demand remains weak, so a retest of the local low is still likely in the near term. For now, we remain out of positions and consider shorts from the next supply zone.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (absorption of buys)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Big Short or Big Pump? The Market is Playing Ping-Pong With Us🎾 Big Short or Big Pump? The Market is Playing Ping-Pong With Us 🏓
Hey guys, Kiri here – the FX Professor.
Lately, it’s been neither a big short nor a big pump… Instead, it feels like the market is just playing ping-pong with us .
Powell talks rate cuts → market pumps.
A day later → it dumps.
Trump and Powell, back and forth like a match, while the crowd watches — dizzy, confused, getting played.
That’s why I created this image — a snapshot of the real game being played. Trump and Powell at the table, meme coins in the audience, ETH as queen, BTC as king sipping espresso ☕👑
But back to the charts…
📊 What’s Happening on the Charts:
• BTC + S&P 500: Sideways — no clear trend.
• Total Crypto Market Cap (Excl. BTC & ETH): The only chart that really matters right now.
We’ve already seen 2 rejections in the middle of the channel (Red 1 and 2).
The 3rd test at 1.12T is coming — and that’s going to be the moment of truth.
🚀 If it breaks above 1.12T:
Targets become 1.39T and 1.51T. Momentum will likely return to altcoins.
⚠️ If it rejects again:
Look for a drop toward the 898B area of support (give or take, since the support is ascending).
🪙 Snapshot:
• Bitcoin: Still king. The new digital gold. Calm and collected. ☕
• Ethereum: Outperforming majors. Despite short-term dips, still parabolic. 👑
• Altcoins: Waiting. Still not breaking out. The 1.12T level will decide the fate.
⚠️ The Takeaway:
FOMO. FUD. Headlines. Distractions.
Trump and Powell may look like they’re battling it out… but it’s us getting hit with the ball over and over again. 🎾
The only edge we’ve got? Key levels .
Watch the chart. Trade the level. Ignore the noise.
I’ll be posting updated BTC, ETH, and altcoin charts later today — stay tuned, and stay focused on what matters: the third test at 1.12T.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin | H1 Double Bottom | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today’s trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
Bitcoin is trending lower while the RSI is forming higher lows, creating positive RSI divergence — a bullish signal. I’ll be watching for the hourly candle to close within range alongside confirmation from other GTradingMethod indicators before entering.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.1
Entry: 109,104
Stop Loss: 108,234
Take Profit 1 (50%): 111,494
Take Profit 2 (50%): 112,453
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
RSI divergence can often signal a momentum shift before price action confirms the move.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: ANOTHER MASSIVE LIQUIDATION INCOMING!!?(bad)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. Professional trading requires doing analysis on multiple time frames so you can really understand the context of what's going on. On the ultra-long timeframe, I've been sharing with you the Elliott Wave plus the bearish cross, the bearish divergence.
On the high timeframe chart, we have been going through the ABC zigzag, which seems to be finished already, and we are starting the first wave of our ultra-high timeframe impulse.
On the medium time frame, we have been going through the Fibonacci and Elliott Wave count. I have been sharing with you on the RSI, a bullish divergence. We have been going through the sub-waves and where the secondary wave might end.
We didn't have enough time to go through it, but I wanted to show you the CME Futures gap that will probably close on the creation of the secondary wave.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 111,202.85.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 120,765.14 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN The key importance of the 1W MA20 that was just tested!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit early this week its 1W MA20 (blue trend-line) and so far it appears to be holding it. Whether that leads into a sustainable rebound or not it remains to be seen but this is historically a critical level for the market.
More specifically, as you can see on the charts above, the 1W MA50 has initiated every Cycle's final rally since 2013! To make this special occurrence even more interesting, every such consolidation/ pull-back before the final rally, took place within the August - September period (2021, 2017, 2013).
So if it holds once again, we see no reason why it shouldn't start again the Cycle's last rebound. And since the first two Cycles are more similar with each other, we might assume that the current would be more similar with 2017. Since that one topped very close to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the low of the final pull-back, we could get a peak this time around $140k.
Do you think history will repeat itself again and hit at least $140000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XLM Breakout Watch | How Global Markets Are Setting the StageIn this update, I break down XLM’s mid-term outlook and why the $0.65 level is a key breakout zone to confirm further upside. Based on current patterns, I’m targeting a potential move into the $100–$138 range over the mid-term.
While Bitcoin still influences XLM, the backdrop of massive money printing since 2018 has created conditions for meaningful accumulation, setting the stage for higher prices. Add to that an environment of rising interest rates, Fed interventions, and volatility cycles, and it’s clear we’re only at the beginning of what could be a period of outsized returns.
Stellar’s role in a shifting economic system also can’t be ignored. As fiat currencies face structural limits, crypto offers a framework that breaks those shackles, with altcoins like XLM poised to outperform Bitcoin in the next cycle.
Markets will continue to follow their familiar pump-and-dump patterns, but each cycle brings diminishing returns for central bank interventions—leaving room for crypto markets to step in and restore balance.
Stay tuned for the charts and insights that put these patterns into perspective.
Bitcoin/USDT – Short-term pullback pressureHello everyone, on the H4 chart, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at the $111,500–$112,000 USD zone, where the supply FVG and the Ichimoku Kumo edge converge. This clearly signals the possibility of a short-term pullback. Recent candles show increasing selling pressure: short bodies, long wicks, and weakening volume indicate buyers lack the strength to break through this resistance. The Ichimoku cloud above the price reinforces the bearish trend, and Bitcoin’s failure to stay above the cloud further increases the likelihood of a correction.
In the short-term scenario, if Bitcoin continues to be capped at $112,000, the nearest support is around $111,100, where an FVG zone exists, and if selling pressure persists, the price could drop further. Overall, the current technical structure still leans bearish, and retracements may only offer sellers opportunities to add pressure.
What are your thoughts on this pullback? Will Bitcoin continue to retreat to support, or unexpectedly bounce above the resistance?
Nvida Earnings Next, Can Cryptos Stabilize? Cryptocurrencies stabilized a bit in the last 24 hours while stocks also rebounded yesterday during the US session, but the dollar is still moving sideways. Maybe there will be a bit of slow day ahead, till NVIDA earnings are released. Data will be announced today, after the US close, when we’ll get Nvidia earnings, which should also be important for the crypto space. And if results beat expectations—or in other words if the market moves higher after hours—then cryptos could also do well. Looking at Nvidia’s wave count, price could be eyeing new highs after a bounce from 170 support, so maybe a minor fourth wave has finished and we could even see a gap higher after earnings, with potential resistance around the 200 round figure.
If earnings disappoint and price gaps lower, I would still see this as a higher-degree corrective wave four retracement, and maybe some opportunities later on to fill the gap. Key support to watch is around 150, the previous high. So even if there’s some downside, as long as any drop it’s not too deep, I still view this stock as bullish within an unfinished impulse, and whenever Nvidia is ready to print new highs, that’s when cryptos could also stabilize.
Grega
Recovery from FVG, news flow supports push toward 4.55–4.65Hello everyone, looking at the H4 chart we can see that the recent sharp drop in ETH stopped exactly at the FVG support zone of 4.30–4.36, leaving a long lower wick. From this base, price quickly rebounded to the lower edge of the Kumo and has now re-entered the cloud — a signal that selling pressure has been absorbed. The rebound also came with higher volume compared to previous pullback candles, reinforcing the possibility of recovery. On the upside, the two stacked supply FVGs at 4.55–4.65 and 4.65–4.75 are the “natural targets” for a move to retest supply.
News angle: Tailwinds for ETH
Fed rate cut expectations: After Jackson Hole, markets significantly raised the probability of a 25bps Fed cut as soon as September, with major banks (like Morgan Stanley) also shifting their forecasts. Lower rates mean broader liquidity, which benefits risk assets such as ETH.
ETF/ETP inflows: According to CoinShares, this month Ether is leading inflows into digital investment products, reversing the trend against Bitcoin. This is a sign that market sentiment is leaning towards ETH.
Improved ETF liquidity: The SEC has approved the in-kind creation/redemption mechanism for crypto ETFs, allowing more efficient issuance and redemption of shares, improving tracking — a positive factor for institutional demand.
Pectra upgrade: The mainnet has been live since May 2025, enhancing performance and wallet experience, continuing to strengthen Ethereum’s long-term narrative.
Short-term noise remains: Last week still saw some outflows from ETPs and profit-taking sales from whales, so rebounds may be choppy rather than smooth.
Connecting to technicals
With the Kumo reclaimed, the 4.30–4.36 FVG still serves as a strong support base, and the news backdrop leans positive. I favor a single scenario for the next 1–3 sessions: ETH continues moving higher, first approaching 4.50 and then filling the 4.55–4.65 FVG. This outlook only weakens if an H4 candle closes below 4.30 (breaking the cloud and slicing through support).
What’s your view on the chances of EUR/USD “breaking out of the cloud” in the coming sessions?
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positionsA signal for catching a bounce has emerged.
The bounce signal reflects a swing-to-intraday view and is not tied to the broader trend.
Maintaining the same outlook as before.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions (2x)
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
Bitcoin Outlook: Short-Term Dip, Long-Term $150K TargetCurrently, Bitcoin has entered a medium-term downtrend after breaking below the green kumo on the daily timeframe, as well as losing the support that had previously led to its all-time-high. this decline could extend toward the $103K - $98K range, where a new bullish wave will begin.
When would Bitcoin turn bearish in the long term? Only if the $98K level is lost -- though this scenario is considered unlikely.
The importance of this zone comes from the fact that on the weekly timeframe the pivot low that led to the highest peak sits at $98K. In addition, Wave strength which currently giving mixed signals, would turn fully negative if this level breaks.
For now, the broader trend remains bullish and Bitcoin is still expected to reach a new all-time-high of $150K or even higher. (Although my colleagues believes the price wont climb beyond $130K)
This analysis is Personal opinion , not financial advice.
Bitcoin Strength Analysis for September 2025Bitcoin is cooling off after an explosive summer, trading about 12 percent below its August peak. That kind of pullback is nothing unusual in a bull market and often sets the stage for the next leg higher. The broader backdrop remains supportive: the dollar is still soft, institutions are buying through ETFs, and coins keep moving off exchanges, tightening supply.
September has a reputation for being tricky. Historically it’s one of Bitcoin’s weakest months, with sharp corrections not uncommon. This time around, we may see more sideways chop in the $110K–$125K range, with $105K as the line in the sand for support. A breakdown could get messy, but as long as that level holds, the bigger picture still points higher.
The real story sits in Q4. With rate cuts on the table, strong ETF demand, and record network strength, the setup looks primed for momentum to return after September’s volatility. In plain terms: the short-term ride may be bumpy, but the path toward $150K–$180K by year-end is still very much in play.