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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Analytics: market outlook and forecasts 📈WHAT HAPPENED? Last week was marked by an update of the local minimum again. However, the breakdown turned out to be uncertain and weak, accompanied by delta absorption. We've rebuilt the global buying zone on the daily chart: now it's in the range of $108,000-$102,500. Until the price is fixed below these levels, the global trend can be considered upwards. In the short term, bitcoin is still in a downward trend. It's extremely risky to open long positions before the breakdown of the inclined line. The seller's activity remains limited, but the buyer doesn't take the initiative either. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The main scenario for the current week is the expansion of the range to collect liquidity in both directions. The minimum is most likely not formed yet. For a more confident decline, the market needs more activity. This requires two conditions: an increase in open interest from the buyer and liquidity in the form of stop orders. For now, it's better to refrain from trading the first cryptocurrency or, in anticipation of the resumption of the global long trend, consider grid spot strategies. Buy Zones: • $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: • $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone) • $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone) • ~$116,500 (volume anomaly) • $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) • $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES The following macroeconomic events are expected this week: • Tuesday, September 2, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for August; • Tuesday, September 2, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) USA for August; • Wednesday, September 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for July; • Thursday, September 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in August; • Thursday, September 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for August; • Thursday, September 4, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for August; • Thursday, September 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector (ISM) USA for August; • Friday, September 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for August. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
BTC 3-Drive Pullback. 113.5KMorning folks, BTC for now is moving accurately from one our target to another. First it was 108.4K, now it is 108K. Next should be 104-105K... Still, price stands at strong support area and is forming bullish reversal session on daily chart. On 1H chart we have clear 3-Drive Buy pattern. So, chances are above zero that before it keep going down, the pullback happens... That's why if you want to go short we call you to wait for the bounce and try to sell the rally instead. The minimum 3-Drive target is above 113K top, where we have also K-resistance area. So, just watch for it, if you want to sell. Also we have no objections against long entry with 3-Drive. Although it doesn't correspond to overall context and we do not include this trade in our plan. But, now this trade has a small risk and could be considered, if you want. I sign this update with "Long" idea, but only for pullback. Context remains bearish.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BTC USD TOday Trades Easy Profitssimple and efficent strategy follow for more 🚀 BTC/USD Today: Trade Setup for Quick Profits Bitcoin is showing bullish momentum today, with strong support holding near $114,700 and upside targets projected around $116,500. Technical indicators like RSI and moving averages are flashing buy signals, suggesting short-term opportunities for traders. 📈 Key Highlights: - Current Price Range: ~$108,000–$113,000 - Short-Term Bias: Bullish - Support Zone: $114,700 - Target Zone: $116,500 - Indicators: RSI overbought, MA signals mostly bullish 💡 Traders are eyeing breakout patterns and momentum plays. If you're scalping or swing trading, this could be a prime window—just be sure to manage risk and use stop-loss strategies.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
Crypto Market Approaching Support, While Finishing A CorrectionGood morning Crypto traders! Crypto market continues to slow down due to consolidation in stocks, but notice that the US dollar remains bearish, while gold is experiencing a strong bullish breakout. This suggests that we are still in a risk-on environment, meaning stocks could continue higher, while cryptocurrencies may soon stabilize. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart now appears to be approaching the key 3.6 - 3.5T support area within a three-wave ABC correction for wave 4, from where bulls for wave 5 may show up again, especially considering that the NASDAQ could be completing a bullish running triangle, while the US dollar index (DXY) is forming a bearish one.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ew-forecast
BITCOIN ahead of September crash on historically worst month??Despite the obvious hint of 2 potential rate hikes by the end of this year, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has found itself on a downtrend. And as today we entered the first day of September, this sentiment is further empowered by one simple statistical fact: that September has historically been BTC's worst performing month. As this table on the chart shows (source: CoinGlass), September's average returns have been -3.77%, the worst average score out of all months since 2013. An interesting fact however is that out of all the Septembers that ended in green (4), they did so when there was a red August (like the one we just closed at -5.91%). At the same time out of all the times August was red (8) four times September followed in red. This shows that historical probabilities are equally distributed there. Statistics aside, the market has a strong case of a bottom on the current levels and that's purely a technical one. As you can see, since May 01, Bitcoin has been trading within a Channel Up. This pattern has seen so far two Bullish Legs of almost identical rise (+22.07% and +21.05% respectively) and when they corrected (Bearish Legs), the first Low was on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the second on the Channel Up bottom. This time there is an even stronger technical case, as the price hit the 1W MA20 (red trend-line), which as we've shown on a recent study, is a Support level that historically kickstarts the final rallies during Bull Cycles. Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar, with the indicator currently being on a Lower Lows formation that previously marked the June 22 (Higher) Low. As a result, assuming we will see the 'minimum' of +21.07% Bullish Leg, we should be expecting a $130000 Higher High, which matches our realistic Cycle Top study, based on most studies we've conducted. So do you think Bitcoin will again declined this September or we are currently forming a new bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
USDT Dominance at a Key Decision Point ,Crash or Fly?USDT Dominance has managed to break above the descending trendline (white line) with volume, but so far it has failed to clear the order block resistance at 4.61% (green zone). At this stage, price action is stuck between two critical levels, and the next move could define the market’s mid-term direction: 🔸 Scenario 1 (Bullish for USDT.D / Bearish for Crypto): A clean break and acceptance above the 4.61% order block would confirm demand for stablecoins, signaling capital rotation out of crypto assets. This could trigger a market-wide selloff in Bitcoin and altcoins. 🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish for USDT.D / Bullish for Crypto): Failure to hold above the broken trendline and a rejection from 4.61% could drive USDT.D back below the descending line, opening the path toward the 3.8% demand zone. This would suggest capital flowing back into crypto, fueling a potential bullish rally. ⚠️ Market participants should keep a close eye on this area — the reaction around 4.61% will set the tone for the weeks ahead.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoPilot
1
XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum⭐️ XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum Buy/Hold bias aiming for $0.75 🎯; reload zone ~ $0.25 🔁. Thesis rests on tokenization (RWA) traction, US gov data on-chain, and 2025 scaling roadmap (5k TPS target, faster blocks) + AI tooling around Soroban. If thesis plays out, upside case ≈ +200% from reload—not financial advice. ________________________________________ 🔥 Why now (meaningful catalysts) • US Dept. of Commerce → GDP on Stellar First time ever: the Commerce Department is putting official GDP data on-chain (hash) on Stellar, creating an immutable, public record—big signal for gov-grade data + DeFi oracles. (Stellar) • RWA push: new partners & capital-market pipes SDF’s 2025 goal: $3B RWA value & $110B volume; continuing integrations with Franklin Templeton, Paxos, Ondo, SG Forge. Recent Archax investment targets regulated tokenization rails. (CoinDesk, Stellar) • Scaling roadmap → utility unlocks Targeting ~5,000 TPS, 2.5s blocks, OpenZeppelin token standards, and 100× payout capacity (Merkle trees). These hit the exact pain points for enterprise/RWA and payments at scale. (Stellar) ________________________________________ 🤖 The AI angle (pipeline + tools) • Official roadmap AI o Stella AI Assistant (enhanced) → a more capable agent interface for builders. o Contract Copilot → AI-assisted smart-contract generation, linting & testing. These live on SDF’s 2025 roadmap. (Stellar) • Community AI on Soroban o AI Agent Kit: lets AI agents interact with Stellar accounts & Soroban contracts. o SoroBuilder: AI-driven in-browser Soroban contract builder/auditor. o AI Transparency Token (AITT): compliance attestations on-chain. (Stellar Community Fund) Net: AI lowers dev friction (faster dApp iteration) and expands use cases (agents, audits, compliance)—a pull for builders who need programmable money + verifiable data. ________________________________________ 🧱 Building blocks already in place • Smart contracts live (Soroban via Protocol 20) → programmable RWA/DeFi. (Oodles Blockchain) • Freighter wallet upgrades + RPC/ETL improvements → smoother infra & analytics for apps. (Stellar) • Stablecoin/RWA breadth (e.g., Franklin’s BENJI, Ondo USDY coming to Stellar) → liquidity primitives that institutions recognize. (Stellar) ________________________________________ 📣 Recent social buzz (signal, not noise) • SDF amplified the GDP-on-chain milestone across socials, triggering wider crypto media pickup. See SDF’s X post and summary thread references. (X (formerly Twitter)) ________________________________________ 🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework) • Primary target: $0.75 🎯 if catalysts execute (RWA flow + scaling). • Reload zone: $0.25 🔁 (where bulls re-accumulate in my playbook). • Positioning: Buy/Hold bias for asymmetric upside tied to execution (RWA + AI-tooling + throughput). • Risk: headline/regulatory risk on RWAs, roadmap slip, crypto beta. Size accordingly. Note: A +200% outcome reflects upside math from reload zone to target; it’s not a guarantee. Do your own research. ________________________________________ 🗓 What to watch next • Roadmap drops through Q4-2025: o 2.5s block times target, o OpenZeppelin token standards for assets/RWAs, o Freighter mobile & advanced auth, o Payouts 100× capacity. (Stellar) • RWA onboarding flow: progress with Archax, Paxos, Ondo, and Franklin—TVL/volume & issuer announcements. (CoinDesk, Stellar) • Gov/enterprise data on-chain follow-ups after Commerce/GDP—possible spillover into on-chain data feeds for DeFi. (Stellar
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
26
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Fall?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. There are two ways to look for Bitcoin buying opportunities: • A valid break of the downtrend line • Bitcoin reaching the demand range It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downtrend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Starting Thursday, the U.S. government has launched a new initiative to publish macroeconomic data through public blockchains. The project, implemented by the Department of Commerce in partnership with oracle protocols Chainlink and Pyth, includes six key indicators from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), such as real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, and final sales to private domestic purchasers. These datasets will be updated on a monthly or quarterly basis depending on the indicator and, in the initial rollout, have been published across ten major blockchains, including Arbitrum, Avalanche, Base, Botanix, Ethereum, Linea, Mantle, Optimism, Sonic, and ZKsync. The official statement further noted that the data will also be accessible via networks such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Tron, Stellar, Avalanche, Arbitrum, Polygon, and Optimism. To ensure authenticity and immutability, cryptographic hashes of the data are recorded on blockchains. This method is intended as a complementary channel for releasing economic information rather than a complete replacement for existing systems. Major exchanges such as Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken have contributed by supplying the cryptocurrencies needed to pay transaction fees. Howard Lutnick, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce, stated: “We have made America’s economic truth immutable and globally accessible. The 3.3% GDP growth is also remarkable.” This initiative is part of the Trump administration’s broader cryptocurrency policy, which supports U.S.dollar-backed stablecoins and promotes the use of blockchain technology to reduce costs and enhance government transparency. In line with this direction, the Government Productivity Department, led by Elon Musk, has also conducted related studies. Since the beginning of the current year, precious metals have been leading the gains across financial markets. Silver has claimed the top spot with an impressive 32.2% increase, marking the strongest performance over the past eight months. Gold follows in second place with a 29.5% gain; despite its sideways movement in recent months, it still ranks among the best-performing assets. The third position goes to Bitcoin, which posted a 19.2% rise. Without the recent price correction, Bitcoin might have overtaken silver’s leading position. Expanding global liquidity and a roughly 10% decline in the value of the U.S. dollar have been key drivers pushing investors toward hard assets.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
BTC - 150k? BUY?!📊 BTC/USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Bitcoin has broken out of a bullish wedge pattern and is now consolidating above previous breakout levels. Long-term structure still favors upside continuation with a target towards 150K if momentum resumes. Key structural support sits near 76K – 80K (prior breakout zone). 🕰 Weekly (1W) Clear Elliott Wave count: Wave (3) peaked ~135K, now correcting into Wave (4). Price retracing into a major support/demand zone around 105K – 110K. The liquidity trendline from earlier cycles still holds, making this a critical inflection point. Next move higher (Wave (5)) projects towards 135K – 150K. ⏱ Daily (1D) Market is testing major support aligned with 0.618 retracement + demand/FVG zone. Bullish reaction here could ignite the start of Wave (5). If broken, deeper retracement into the psychological 100K handle may occur before continuation. ⏳ 8H Short-term bearish momentum pushing into demand. Liquidity building below, stops resting around 105K – 107K. A bullish reaction from this zone would confirm Wave (4) completion and set up the impulse higher into Wave (5). 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish from demand (Wave 4 → Wave 5) Entry Zone: 105K – 110K demand region Targets: 135K short-term, 150K long-term Invalidation: Clean break & weekly close below 100K
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jamesibartram
BTC/USDT – Downtrend Continues, Target Around 105KHello everyone, Over the past week, Bitcoin, after failing to break 123K, has clearly shifted into a strong downtrend, forming a continuous series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent drop broke through the 112.1K level—which aligns with the 1.0 Fib of the previous decline—and the price is now trading below all the upper resistance clusters. From a technical perspective, supply zones and FVGs are exerting significant selling pressure. Specifically, the 116.4K–117.7K area (Fib 0.618–0.5) combined with the previous FVG supply has repeatedly rejected price, while the newly formed 109K–111K zone just below 112.1K could act as a selling area if BTC retraces upward. The layered FVGs above indicate that supply remains thick, emphasizing that any rebound is likely to be capped by selling pressure. Momentum and candlestick behavior also confirm that sellers are in control. Long red candles, short pullbacks, and lack of volume expansion on upward moves all suggest that buying strength is insufficient to push the price higher. This technical signal reinforces the likelihood that the downtrend will continue. Regarding targets, the confluence support cluster at 104.8K–105.3K is a reasonable destination for the current decline, aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension and previous demand zones on the chart. If this area breaks, the risk of a deeper drop could extend toward 102.5K–103.0K. In summary, the downtrend structure is clear, supply and FVGs above are dense, and the path of least resistance remains toward ~105K. Each rebound to the 109K–111K area is likely an opportunity for sellers to reassert control, keeping the bearish trend dominant.
Short
by EmmaChartist
32
Bitcoin: Wave 4 Overlap Changes Expectations.Bitcoin has compromised the 108K area overlap which refers to the wave 1/wave 4 overlap rule for the broader wave 5 impulse that I have been measuring for months. While this can be very subjective, this fact prompts me to adjust my expectations in regards to trend structure, along with risk management. The wave 4 overlap does NOT necessarily mean a bear market is ahead but it does justify considering a lower probability of new high (or wave 5), and a greater probability of a consolidation. So what does this mean for traders and investors? This pull back should not be treated like a typical pull back. In a corrective structure, after the completion of the A wave, which the current leg is likely to be, it is followed by the B wave. This typically establishes a lower high which can be expressed as a move from current prices back to the 115K area. Those who are unaware will get caught in this thinking new highs are just around the corner. IF I am correct about this proposed corrective scenario, this can be very beginning of a very broad wave 2 which can eventually lead price back into the 80Ks. At this magnitude such a move can take a year to play out. Gold has shown similar patterns that persist for years before breaking out, so this scenario is within reason. Key factors to watch for: there are many fundamental question marks that the market has to adjust to. There are numerous data points that are expected over the next few months like NFP, the FOMC rate cut, and how the FED hints at future quantitative easing. While this situation seems beneficial to Bitcoin, we can't take it for granted. This is a sentiment game, NOT a logical one. This is why I use prices to determine if risk is worth taking, not my economic opinion that is based on public information. This means it is possible to have a favorable easy money environment, and Bitcoin can still be stuck in a broad range. With the 108K overlap in place, I will be mostly interested in whole number support levels like 105K, 100K, 95K ext. Even a retest of the 108K support for a double bottom, but if I consider any longs the profit objective will be low (like 1.5 to 1 or even 1:1). I am only interested in swing trades because in my opinion these are not investing levels. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
10
BTCUSD Outlook – Monthly Open AheadTomorrow we get a new monthly candle on BTCUSD. Last month price didn’t trade higher after the rally in April, May, July and August. It’s sitting in a breather position. The dollar has been dumping too after a massive rally, so both markets are in reset mode. Last month’s low is still intact, not traded through or attacked, which keeps that level important. For now we take it day by day — watching dollar data and order flow on Bitcoin to spot which side shows weakness first. Big flush last week took BTC from 117K to 110K on whale selling and forced liquidations. That shows leverage risk is still high. But at the same time more than $400M flowed into spot ETFs, showing real demand under the surface. If flows stay strong and the dollar keeps soft, BTC can bounce back toward the highs fast. If we see more liquidations or a dollar squeeze, then 105K–110K stays the key support zone. We stay in eagle mode — patient, one day at a time, waiting for clean signals.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #165👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Over the past few days, I unfortunately couldn’t provide updates, but starting today I’ll try to bring you daily analyses again. ⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe Bitcoin is still continuing its downward trend and has managed to consolidate below the supply zone we had marked. 📊 At the moment, a descending trendline has formed, and the price has reacted to it multiple times. ⭐ I currently don’t have any open positions on Bitcoin and won’t be opening new ones yet. For new entries, I’m waiting until my triggers are activated. 📈 For a long position, with a break of the trendline and activation of the 110183 trigger we can enter. But the main position will be after consolidation above the 113000 zone. 🔽 For a short position, with a break of 107853 the price could make another downward leg. The next support would be 105370. ✔️ There’s a strong chance Bitcoin will continue this corrective move, possibly until the next interest rate announcement. But we still need to watch the market daily, so that once triggers activate, we can open positions accordingly. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
2
Oh my god, Bitcoin is crashing · Buy the dip · PerspectiveOh my god, Bitcoin is crashing. Notice the health of this chart. Doesn't it look strong? I mean, what do you see? Do you really see a crash toward $40,000? Are you truly seeing this? Or, are you seeing a simple, classic correction or market flush? A market flush toward $100,000. Oh my god, Bitcoin is crashing. Today I looked at Bitcoin's price and it was $107,000. I thought, "Wow, that is pretty high." Oh my god, Bitcoin is crashing... And yet the trading is still happening above $100K. If it takes this much force to produce just a minor retrace, from $120,000 to $100,000, do you really belief the bears will own this game? Do you really belief sellers will sell forever and Bitcoin will move below 80K? It is not possible. "80K is already gone!" Remember? $100,000 is already gone. It doesn't look like a bear market, more like a market flush. Keep this in mind about the current market event: It happens and ends in a day. If the flush starts now, it ends later today. As soon as the low is in, it is the start of the next bullish wave. How long? 1 day, 2 days? It doesn't matter. We are ready to buy and hold. Buy the dip. The bull market is not over. Change your perspective. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
28
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 28💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe . 👀 With the breakout of this one-hour box, Bitcoin can give us either a long or short position. Keep in mind that the market is currently in the holidays and volume is decreasing. The start of the new week can be interesting for Bitcoin. ⚙️ A key RSI zone exists at 62, and with the swing limit breaking this number, Bitcoin can move upward again. The next key RSI zone is 30, which is the oversold boundary for Bitcoin. 🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has sharply decreased as we are in the holidays. The size and volume of red candles are increasing each time, but still micro buyers are present, leaving good reversal candles from supports. With increasing volume, Bitcoin can start a good trend in the new week. 📊 1H timeframe USDTDominance We observe that this dominance, upon hitting its ceiling at 4.56%, was rejected and moved down toward its support at 4.46%. Then it bounced from this area and hit the key resistance at 4.49%. With the breakout of this one-hour dominance box in either direction, good volume can flow into Bitcoin. 🔔 The alarm zone for Bitcoin is the ceiling and floor of this one-hour box, which has high price action value. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
2