Weekly and Monthly Forecast
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The volatility period has ended.
The key is whether it can rise above 89294.25.
If not, we need to check for support near 69000-73499.86.
(1W chart)
The following are important areas as the price falls below the third range:
- 116259.91-119086.64
- 87814.27-93570.28
- 69000-73499.86
A decline below the 69000-73499.86 range can be considered a long-term downtrend, so this is a very important area for now.
Therefore, as the price approaches the 69000-73499.86 range, we need to check for increased trading volume or the emergence of a new HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
If the HA-Low indicator is formed, it's important to determine whether there's support near it.
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
If the price rises near the HA-Low indicator and moves toward the HA-High indicator, the wave should be considered closed (reset).
Conversely, if the price falls near the HA-High indicator and moves toward the HA-Low indicator, the wave should also be considered closed (reset).
A closed (reset) wave means that the trend has been reestablished.
Therefore, as mentioned earlier, the basic trading strategy is created.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise uptrend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a stepwise downtrend is likely.
The end of a stepwise uptrend is a decline, and the end of a stepwise downtrend is a rise.
Therefore, a decline after encountering the HA-Low indicator is different from a decline after encountering the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, a stepwise downtrend indicates a period of truncation buying, while a stepwise uptrend indicates a period of truncation selling.
During a stepwise downtrend, even if the price declines, there's an expectation that a price increase will occur soon, so you can increase the number of coins (tokens) representing profit.
This method involves trading at each purchase price and selling the same amount of coins (tokens) when the price rises, thereby increasing the number of coins (tokens) representing profit.
The coins (tokens) representing profit are those with a purchase price of 0, which can lead to significant profits later.
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A bullish trend can be considered when the price rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and holds.
However, the point where you should actually buy is when the price rises above 108353.0.
Based on the current trend, the next volatility period is expected around December 23rd.
Therefore, you should check to see if the price holds above 89294.25 during the next volatility period.
Therefore, it appears likely that the price will move sideways to reverse the trend.
Based on the price movement, the start of a major bear market is expected to begin after the first quarter of next year.
However, if the price falls below 69000-73499.86, you should consider this a bear market and consider a response plan.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD: Bearish Sequnce Not Finished,Unless It Breaks 100kA lot of traders are wondering when Bitcoin will complete the pullback from the highs, but if we are really in a higher-degree retracement then keep in mind that the big pullbacks on Bitcoin usually lasted around 12 months, and right now we are only one and a half months away from the recent highs. That’s the first thing. The second thing, and the most important for me, is always the Elliott wave structure itself. I simply cannot ignore it, because it helps me identify the key levels that must be broken before we can confidently look for a turning point.
If you look closely at the price drop from the 116515 level, you can clearly see that this is a strong decline without a completed five-wave sequence yet. So even if we assume this is wave C rather than wave four, it still has to be structured by five waves. That means the current rebound from the 80k zone could easily be just a fourth wave, maybe stopping around 90k, which is an important swing level for this week.
Based on Elliott waves and price action, this weakness can still resume. The key level for a bullish turn is very clear: a push back above 99k, or better said 100k, which is a strong psychological pivot. Below it we stay in bearish mode with risk for one more drop.
90-91K POTENTIALLY INTERESTING FOR SELL.Morning folks,
So, our DRPO "Buy" pattern has failed. This shows is how strongly market depressed, and here we see non-market driving factors. Now we suggest that the really big game is ready to start. On weekly chart 2/3 parts of H&S is already in place. And it will be quite interesting to see what will happen in nearest 2-3 months.
In short-term, market has completed our 79K target on daily chart of the same downside AB-CD pattern. BTC is oversold now on all time frames. At the same time, the price shape here is not bullish - too slow and choppy. It's just a technical bounce. So, we think that 90-91K resistance area might be interesting for potential short entry with the minimum target around 84K - downside momentum on daily chart is rather strong.
$BTC Dead-Cat Bounce?Bitcoin tapped 88k after a sharp drop from 80.6k, showing a short-term recovery off the recent low. Relief rallies like this are common and don’t instantly confirm a bullish reversal.
On the 8-hour chart, price is starting to form a mini-range at this zone, similar to what we saw after the November 5 drop. The key area to watch now is the 84–82k region, we have a CME gap that might get filled around 84k as well. Any bounce from here has room to retest 90k or even push toward the yearly open at 94–96k.
However, the broader downtrend structure stays intact until CRYPTOCAP:BTC can reclaim the 94–96k zone.
Rising 10_Yields Ahead?Here’s How It Could Hit BTC, Gold, StocksWhy the US 10-Year Yield Matters
The US 10-Year Treasury yield is one of the most important benchmarks in global finance. It reflects investor expectations for inflation, growth, and Federal Reserve policy. Because it influences everything from mortgage rates to equity valuations and the strength of the US dollar( TVC:DXY ), understanding its direction helps traders anticipate major market shifts.
Key Scenarios to Watch
1. Yield Rising (Bullish Yield / Bearish Bonds)
Signals stronger economic expectations or sticky inflation.
Usually pushes the USD higher and puts pressure on risk assets like tech stocks and crypto.
Markets begin pricing fewer rate cuts or even potential tightening.
2. Yield Falling (Bearish Yield / Bullish Bonds)
Indicates rising recession risk, softer inflation, or expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Supports equity markets and risk assets (including crypto).
Typically weakens the US dollar.
3. Sideways / Stable Range
Suggests economic uncertainty or balanced expectations.
Markets remain in consolidation until new macro data or Fed signals arrive.
Why Traders Follow It:
Small moves in the 10-year yield can shift global liquidity, risk sentiment, and currency flows — making it a core indicator for forecasting market direction.
Given the current data and signals, my short-term forecast is for yields to remain flat or move slightly higher, but the likelihood of a significant decline in the near term seems slim.
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Now let's take a look at the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield chart on the daily time frame.
The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield is currently moving near the support lines and the 4.00% (Round Number).
In terms of classic technical analysis, we can expect that the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield's uptrend could start with an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it appears that the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY).
I expect the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to attack Resistance lines after breaking the Neckline and Resistance zone(4.24%-4.14%).
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Impact of a Rising US 10-Year Yield
•Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ):
A higher 10-year yield usually reduces liquidity and increases funding costs, which puts pressure on risk assets. BTC typically faces short-term downside or slower momentum when yields rise.
•Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ):
Gold often moves inversely to yields. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive. This usually leads to weakness or consolidation in gold.
•Stocks (Equities):
Higher yields tighten financial conditions and lower valuations, especially for tech and growth stocks. Equities generally face selling pressure when yields rise sharply.
If you would like to see technical analysis on the weekly timeframe, I recommend you take a look at the link below.👇
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💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analyze ( TVC:US10 ), Daily time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Altcoins Market ETA- So this graphic show only Cryptos and when i speak only Cryptos, it means " No BTC, No ETH, Not Stablecoins ", Only Altcoins !
- This post is not a price prediction, not a FUD, and not a FOMO, it's just my own opinion based on facts.
- Without BTC/ETH and Stables, the crypto market barely reaches $580B MC, a nutshell in the ocean of global finance. Cryptos have already been rejected four times around the $900B MC.
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- In 2021 we had DeFi.
- In 2022 we had L1/L2 wars.
- In 2023 we had AI.
- In 2024 we had memecoins.
But 2025 has no new narrative.
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Cycles always go like :
BTC → ETH → Large caps → Mid caps → Micro caps
but this time :
- There's too many new tokens, too many VCs and early insiders droping on retails.
- Altcoins are falling due to a lack of liquidity, no compelling narrative, and absent buyers, while market makers focus on protecting themselves with BTC and stablecoins. ( Dyor on what happened on 10th October 2025 ).
- Right now, most people are holding their breath, waiting for the Fed to launch the next round of QE and another rate cut.
- Money makes Money, the world is working like that.
- My advice for now: be patient. If you already hold crypto and believe in your projects, just HODL. If you’re new to crypto, stay on the sidelines and wait until the market surpasses $1 trillion.
- Comments are welcome but stay sharp and thoughtful.
Be Safe!
Happy Tr4Ding !
ETH Downtrend Strengthens as Sellers Keep Full ControlHello everyone, let’s take a closer look at ETH in the current market context.
ETH is moving in a clearly defined downtrend, where every bounce only manages to reach a Fair Value Gap before being rejected almost instantly. The Lower High – Lower Low structure remains intact, showing that sellers still maintain complete dominance over the market.
On the news side, the picture isn’t any brighter. Bitcoin is stalling at key resistance, weakening flows into altcoins. The ETH spot ETF has offered no fresh catalysts, and the Fed continues reinforcing its “higher for longer” stance. In other words, there’s nothing in the current environment that supports meaningful buying momentum.
Technically, ETH is trading below a thick, downward-sloping Ichimoku cloud. Red FVG zones continue to reject price, and the Volume Profile reveals significant liquidity resting lower — effectively “pulling” price back towards previous trading regions. Every signal is aligning in the same direction.
From my perspective, ETH is likely to slide further into the 2,720–2,740 USDT zone to fill the remaining green FVG. If selling pressure continues at the recent pace, price could even extend toward 2,650 USDT — a high-liquidity area and the nearest structural low.
What do you expect next — a deeper drop or a surprise reversal?
BTCUSDT.P - November 25, 2025Bitcoin is in a corrective phase within a longer-term downtrend, with price recently rejected from the 89,500 resistance area and now trending lower. The chart highlights a short trading range between a defined stop level near 89,500 and a profit level at 85,721, aligning closely to horizontal support and resistance. Current price action and momentum favor sellers, as the market presses toward lower support with weak upward retracement. A break below support could accelerate selling toward the next downside target, while reclaiming resistance might shift bias to a short-term reversal.
Bitcoin Market Truth: Whales, Corrections, and the BraveHello my friends,
I have carefully analyzed Bitcoin for you.
Markets never move straight up; they progress with corrections. Whales often take profit along the way. Think of it like running a supermarket: you buy apples at the cheapest price so that when customers purchase from you, you make a profit. Whales use the same logic. They trick people into thinking prices are falling, but in reality, their goal is to balance supply and demand. They feed on the losses of others.
For me, the most suitable buying zone is between 85,000 and 74,000 dollars. From this range I will enter the trade, with my first target at 107,000 and my second target at 120,000 dollars.
This business belongs to the fearless and the brave. If you act out of fear of losing money, this is not for you. Those who cannot manage risk should look for other paths.
My dear friends, every single like you give is my greatest motivation to continue sharing these analyses. Thank you to all who support me—you are the reason I keep going.
Each of my followers is like family to me, never forget that.
⚠️ And remember this: In trading, don’t trust everyone who calls themselves a “trader.” Most of the people you follow don’t earn a cent in their real accounts. This is not an easy business. Around 90% of people lose consistently, while only about 10% make money regularly. Many YouTubers or influencers you see online don’t actually profit with their real money. In fact, some of the celebrities you follow come to me asking for analysis. I won’t expose names, but these are the facts.
Respect and love
Bitcoin Price Approaches Key Support: Rebound Toward 98,700?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is approaching a key support zone, an area where buyers have repeatedly stepped in before and triggered notable reversals. That price history alone makes this level worth watching very closely. Price is pressing into this zone again, and the current structure suggests bullish potential if we see clear signs of rejection, such as a strong bullish engulfing candle, long lower wicks that show absorption of selling, or a visible increase in buying volume.
If this support holds, I expect price to push up toward the 98,700 area, which fits well with a short-term rebound scenario. If, on the other hand, price breaks below this zone and starts to hold underneath it, the bullish idea is invalidated and the door opens for a deeper downside move.
In my view, the best approach here is to let the chart confirm the story at this level. Watch how candles close, how volume reacts, and only consider long setups if the market clearly defends this zone. Solid risk management is essential: position size, stop loss placement and invalidation levels all need to respect the potential volatility around such an important area.
This is simply my personal view on the current support and resistance structure, not financial advice. Always confirm your own setup and trade with disciplined risk management. Good luck out there.
Short-term analysis of Bitcoin (12H)After the heavy drops | which we had already identified in previous analyses () | Bitcoin is now approaching a strong supportive order block.
From the point where we marked the red arrow, Bitcoin entered a bearish phase, and it is expected that wave C of this phase will complete around the green zone.
We will see whether the price reaches the green area or not.
The initial target for this bounce can be the 95K to 96K range.
For any reason, the closing of a daily candle below the invalidation level will break the structure and invalidate this upward correction
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD Liquidity Sweep Setup Before Bearish ContinuationBTCUSD Liquidity Sweep Setup Before Bearish Continuation
Overview
BTCUSD continues to display persistent downside pressure across the mid-term structure. Price action on the 3H timeframe shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting sustained bearish control. Despite short periods of stabilization, the overall market environment remains distribution-driven.
Market Structure
Recent price behavior confirms multiple break-of-structure (BOS) events, each reinforcing the broader downward momentum. Every attempt at upward expansion has been met with supply absorption, indicating that buyers are failing to regain initiative. The consolidation developing in the current region suggests an accumulation of short-term liquidity, but without structural evidence of reversal.
Supply & Liquidity Context
Price is positioned directly beneath a key supply zone highlighted on the chart. This zone remains unmitigated and acts as the primary area where counter-trend reactions are likely to be absorbed. The tightening range beneath this level indicates liquidity buildup, commonly preceding engineered sweeps by institutional players.
The current model suggests that the market may execute a short-term liquidity run above local highs before resuming its downward trajectory. Such a move would align with previous behavior in this trend cycle, where short-term rallies were primarily used to deliver liquidity into higher-timeframe supply.
Downside Expansion Risk
Should the market complete a liquidity sweep into the supply zone, the next phase of downside continuation becomes probable. The structural projection on the chart anticipates a revisiting of the lower demand region around 74,300 – 75,000, an area aligning with previous inefficiencies and untested demand.
This target supports the continuation of the broader bearish structure unless a significant shift in order flow emerges.
Summary
BTCUSD remains positioned within a well-defined bearish cycle, characterized by repeated structure breaks and unmitigated supply zones controlling price. Current compression suggests the market is preparing for another liquidity-driven move. Unless buyers regain structure above the key supply region, the market retains a high probability of extending toward lower demand zones.
BTC - NEW ATH in December or DROP?Hello BTC Watchers 📈
Bitcoin has, historically, been very bullish in Decembers. We see the most drastic increase in 2020, when BTC climbed over 140%.
During the times that BTC corrected over December, it's been 10% and 31%.
This makes it hard to predict seeing that it seems to be different every year with one year even trading in a tight range.
A few things we can do to clarify the possible direction of BTC This December:
1️⃣ Check the Macro
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin has increased and been increasing since April, with the hard drop only showing now in November.
This could mean two things - the correction before a final leg up or, the beginning of the bearish cycle.
2️⃣ Check Technical Indicators
a) The moving averages is pointing towards short-term BEARISH, since we are trading UNDER the 200d Moving averages(green line):
b) The Bollinger bands are showing an expansion (aka widening) but to the bottom, as the price is trading on the lower BBands, also indicating strong selling pressure for the short to near term:
3️⃣ Watch the News
Bitcoin has been coming up in many seemingly "bullish" articles. This is usually a bad sign before the liquidation - create hype, and then short the market.
Conclusion:
I'm leaning towards a soft pump in December to soften the blow of the current correction , but not a new ATH. The next increase will likely be a "fake-out" before the real bearish season starts in the new year.
BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 86,941.46.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 74,805.18 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bitcoin BTC Bearish Momentum: My Trade Plan ExplainedI’m keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) right now. On the 4H timeframe, price action remains firmly in a sustained bearish trend. I’m anticipating a possible continuation to the downside.
If BTC holds at the current level and fails to retrace into the imbalance highlighted on the 1H chart — and we see a bearish rotation with a clean break in market structure — I’ll be watching for a potential short setup.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Building an Early Base, High Chance to Retest 93K-108+BTC/USDT — Building an Early Base, High Chance to Retest 93K → 108K+
Bitcoin is forming a stabilization zone between 80K and 93K, which could mark the start of a deeper recovery phase. The recent bounce off the lower boundary suggests that buyers may be re-entering, setting up a potential long-term trend shift.
Key Technical Points:
📉 Support Zone: The lower range around 80.6K has held, showing strong demand at these levels.
🔁 Current Structuring: BTC’s price action shows a gradual range build — this isn’t just a short-term bounce, but a possible formation of a base.
🎯 First Upside Target: A clean breakout above 93K would signal renewed strength and is likely to trigger further buying.
🚀 Extended Target Potential: If momentum confirms and volume supports the move, BTC could aim for the 100K+ region. This would align with a multi-wave recovery to reestablish higher long-term structure.
Trade Outlook:
Holders: This could be a key accumulation setup — building on strength around the base may pay off if the breakout runs.
Short-term traders: Watch for a breakout above 93K with volume as your trigger for re-entry or scaling in.
Risk: If BTC fails to reclaim 93K decisively, a retest of the 80K base is still possible.
Summary:
There’s a realistic and structurally sound scenario where BTC could recover from this base and push toward 93K, with a strong shot at going 100K+ if the breakout materializes. Conditions are setting up for a potential multi-wave uptrend, but confirmation will be critical.
BTC 1W Breakdown: My Current Read on the Structure - Nov 23 2025Here’s the simplified version of what I’m seeing (and expecting) on this weekly chart.
Blue zones = support
Orange zone = major resistance
Teal path = my forward outlook into next year
Support Levels (Blue)
I’ve mapped out three key support areas that I think matter most on the weekly:
$80.4K: First major support. If BTC is going to bounce early, this is where it would probably try.
$72K: The big one for me. This has historical confluence, prior consolidation, and strong demand. If we’re going to get a proper “cycle reset” type pullback, this is where I think it happens.
$61K: Deeper support. I’m not calling for this in the baseline scenario, but if things get extra sloppy or we see forced liquidations, this is absolutely on the table.
Resistance (Orange)
$105K is still the level BTC needs to reclaim to flip the macro structure back into full-on expansion mode. It was the rejection area earlier in the run, and I expect it to act as the mid-cycle ceiling until momentum rebuilds.
My Expected Path (Teal)
This teal line is basically my roadmap:
Dip into support: I’m leaning toward at least a move into the low-$70Ks.
Choppy consolidation: The usual mid-cycle grind. Weeks of sideways action, fakeouts, and probably a lot of frustration.
Reclaiming the mid-range: A slow climb back toward $100K–105K.
Breakout later next year: Once that resistance is cleared, I think BTC finally gets the strength to push into new highs and run toward the $140K–160K zone.
This is the kind of structure that shakes out weak hands, clears leverage, and resets indicators before a real expansion phase kicks in.
Overall View:
It’s not the clean, vertical moonshot scenario… but honestly, this kind of multi-month reset is exactly what fuels the next big leg. If this plays out, there’s going to be plenty of opportunity to accumulate before the breakout.
This is a long-game weekly view: slow, messy, but ultimately bullish.
Bitcoin Drops Sharply – Is This Bounce Only Temporary?Hello everyone, Bitcoin continues to show weakness on the 4H chart: the bearish structure remains intact, with overlapping red FVGs above and nearly every rebound being rejected quickly. After the sharp fall from the 100,000 USD region, the price is now hovering around 85,000 USD — a level that clearly reflects persistent selling pressure.
Digging deeper into the technicals, BTC remains below the Ichimoku cloud and under several unfilled FVG zones, especially the 87,500–89,000 USD region. This forms a “lower ceiling” where any upward attempt is met with immediate selling pressure. Volume also leans heavily toward the sellers, reinforcing the view that the short-term trend is still firmly bearish. Just beneath the price, the 84,500–84,000 USD area is acting as temporary support; it’s also the nearest liquidity pocket, suggesting a technical rebound may occur.
The broader environment is not helping Bitcoin either. The USD has strengthened following a series of stronger-than-expected US economic reports, from employment data to Big Tech performance. This has pulled capital away from risk assets. US equities continue to attract speculative money, while the Fed has yet to provide any clear signal about rate cuts. Market sentiment isn’t extremely risk-off, but it is discouraging enough to limit Bitcoin’s chances of staging a meaningful reversal.
With all these factors combined, I lean toward one main scenario: Bitcoin may see a technical rebound toward the 87,000–88,000 USD region, where the nearest FVG and an unfinished supply–demand balance lie. However, I still expect this bounce to act merely as a liquidity-grab move before BTC faces renewed selling pressure and revisits the 84,000–82,500 USD zone.
What do you think — is this rebound just a trap before the next leg down?
BTCUSDT.P - November 24, 2025Bitcoin recently formed a short-term ascending channel, showing improving momentum after a strong prior selloff. Price is currently consolidating near 86,900, with key support at 85,900 and 84,400, and resistance at 88,100 and 91,900. A breakout above 88,100 would signal additional bullish momentum toward 91,900, while any failure to hold above the rising trendline could trigger a retest of lower support levels. The current structure suggests neutral to slightly bullish momentum in the immediate term.
Is ZEC in big trouble ? (part. 2)Update and continuation of my last idea.
A new dawn on that ZEC short im building
we are witnessing the biggest exhaustion since this run and more down should follow
note that, as I did for the last idea, I'll update often the post and my bias can change from bearish to bullish if ZEC give me the opportunity to do so
I opened the first short yesterday at 567 and wanted to wait the next days to post to be sure it was a good one, also was waiting for a last higher high but im not sure it will come. More positions should follow if bears stay presents.
Right now BTC is pumping with no volume (bearish) and ZEC can't follow (even more bearish), it was really tempting to publish that post
For now : if 470 fails we should just go to 380
Cheers
BTCUSDT - What's Next? Bullish is over???BTC Daily & 4H Outlook
Bitcoin is showing mixed signals across the 1D and 4H timeframes. On the daily chart, BTC failed to hold the strong support zone and has now officially flipped it into a resistance. The drop also swept liquidity down to the 80.600 area before rebounding from the daily OB, which gives us a temporary relief bounce. Right now, price is pushing upward and may retest the resistance/supply zone above.
If BTC rejects strongly from that resistance, the market could be in trouble again because the downside target reopens toward the 83k–86k region. This area becomes even more important when we look at the 4H chart, where we still have a key support between 85.650–85.000. This zone must hold—if it breaks, then 83k becomes likely, and a worst-case scenario returns us to the 80k sweep zone.
For BTC to reclaim momentum and shift into a bullish structure, the market needs to break out above the major supply at 93.240. A clean breakout and confirmation would show strength and could trigger the next leg toward 98k–100k. If that happens, we may also see a strong positive impact on altcoins.






















