US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield TVC:​US10Y

Support Resistance MA Crossover DISCLOSURE ========== The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.

The 10yr looks like it made a cup&Handle, if it plays out, it should break the resistance line also, then I'm looking for a 50-60% retrace. So target over all looks to be close to 2.9% again. To me, fundamentals seem to support this target, as US data keeps coming in good.

Will the Trump tax cut be a short term impediment for the yield curve to invert? Based on this chart and some logic... Yes, it will. The previous Fed rate hikes and quantitative tightening has made some pressures to short maturity bond yield go up almost as long maturity bond yields but on the other hand, the US state deficit has increased because of the less...

Getting close to inversion. If the 10y keeps the breakout momentum up, we will invert soon.

US10Y has just broken out of the downtrend and the inverted Head and Shoulders. Cheers!

Update to previous linked idea.

Chart of SPX price accounting for USD strength and appreciation/inflation (not sure which term is technically correct). Reveals completed massive HS pattern in conjunction with infamous Bart pattern - ups and down akin to Bart Simpson’s haircut that precede a dump. This corroborates my previous SPX bearish idea, which is based on a formula I developed for...

Here we are witnessing the minimum target from a ABC perspective since the January highs at 2.799%. This sequence from here on should be viewed as corrective and will be a shallow retrace in the broader trend. There is little support here so the key levels to watch in play remain 2.286%. We may see some choppy waters here, however, the potential to retrace as...

SPY Vs Yield Curve

low low low

Money Managment is the weapon of all strategy

Interest rate yields appear to be headed towards inversion again which means another panic drop. Looks to me like we're looking at Friday/Monday time frame.

Looks like a good indicator of past major drops. Why Not for today?

A number of string events appear to be shifting the economic landscape around the world of late. Extreme euphoria one year ago ("Economies are booming, time to raise interest rates more"), turned into panic at the end of 2018 with slowdowns across the board. The prompt support provided by US officials (is keeping markets going up their job?), made everyone forget...

The ten year yield peaks about 6 months to 14 months before two consecutive quarters of negative growth (a technical recession). Right now, from our peak in this current cycle we are 6 months divorced from a peak in the yield. Moreover, 3 year over 10 year yields inverted recently a signal that a recession is in the not too distant future. However, massive...

Yields primed to make new lows on strength of the bond market still flashing doom signals despite the rebound. Short on yields, long on bonds

Short

Important News 1. UK blocked no deal Brexit, Sterling boosted 2. US-China trade talk continued, was said to give China until 2025 to meet its commitment. Market continued being optimistic. Comment: Rate: US rates continued to rise with 10-year yield climbed over 2.50% level, given that the market continued being optimistic about the outcome of US-China trade...