The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield has just made contact with the MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 1D time-frame for the first time since December 2018! The closest it has come too after that was in January 2020. On both occasions that was the price top.
Additionally the RSI shows an interesting feature. A Double Top (red ellipse) signifies the start of a...
According to FedWatch Tool www.cmegroup.com there will be 2 or even 3 interest rate CUTS in late 2020.
It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!
The vertical dashed lines indicate the official...
📍 A quick update here on the elements of EUR and USD
Ending the 'C' part in the swing down has been a hard struggle and with such a problem a surprising retreat is expected. Buyers are threatening to bottle up their opponent.
A pullback in EURUSD towards 1.15/1.14 will make things a lot easier:
US 10 yr Bond Yield show us Everything !
everytime after FOMC meeting ,
we can observer the " smart money "
flowing in bond markets very quick.
Especially during 19 fed 20 ,
we can see very big fall from 1.59% to 0.39 % .
Market is very angry and wait for FED to react on it .
Recently US10Y bull up bit near to 0.809 %
The Bearish trend for US bond is coming...
📌 Yields are clearly hesitant to subscribe to the V shapers in Global Equities. An important observation in an extraordinarily difficult trading environment. The 0.90% - 0.50% range is clearly defined and from time to time we have had to get involved with a gentle grin and attempt to play both sides.
A rise in Treasury yields, indicates a drop in Treasury Prices. Since Bond prices and equities are typically positively correlated, a rise in yields (or drop in prices) is a bearish signal for Equities.
just a consideration:
In the first six months of this year alone the world's second-largest holder of US debts (China) dumped some $106 billion worth of US Treasury bonds (annualized) - source: Global Times
China may gradually reduce its holdings of US Treasury bonds to about $800 billion from the current level of more than $1 trillion, as the...
THE 40-YEAR BOND BULL MARKET IS OVER!
THE 30-YEAR TREASURY IS MUCH MORE INVESTOR-SENSITIVE AND IS LEADING THE 10-YEAR HIGHER!
A SPIKE IN INTEREST RATES IS INEVITABLE! THE FED WILL FIGHT IT, BUT THE BOND MARKET IS TRULY MASSIVE AND WILL NOT BE EASY TO CONTROL!
Thinking the 10 yr pushes up .95 b4 election and a big stock market push higher.
After that crashes back to .72 for what could be the most volatile election since Bush vs Gore.
Then we end the year back up around 1.3 with Joe Biden winning and markets on a F**king tear