US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield US10Y

SquishTrade Pro+ Updated 

The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke again today at a Brookings Institution event. His comments sparked a rally in markets (likely including short covering) that pushed the S&P 500 SP:SPX up about 122 points, or 3.10%, to close at 4080. The Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:NDX rose 4.58% on the day, closing at 12,030. But the bond market is sending less sanguine...

WVS_Stockscreen Premium

US 10y yields have pulled back from over 4.3% to below 3.6% in a matter of weeks on the back of FED HOPIUM. We may get a slowing in rate rises but not due for a pause yet and way too soon to price in cuts. I see yields rebounding from around 3.50s% back towards/above 4% in coming weeks/months.

SquishTrade Pro+ Updated 

This post will provide a quick macro update concerning the yield curve inversion in US bond markets, which have often (though not always) been followed by a bear market in equities. Note the various yield curve inversions in the 10-2 Treasury yield. This compares the 10Y US Treasury yield with the 2Y US Treasury yield , and when the 2Y yield exceeds the 10Y...

TradingShot Premium

The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has gone a long way since our top prediction a month ago: As you see, the Lower Highs 1D RSI Bearish Divergence, accurately projected the top and the price broke much lower than the 1D MA50. On a short-term horizon, as long as it fails to close above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we will be targeting the 1D MA100...

leandrosander_ Mod

The famous negative curve. This market concept is used when the US02Y or US03Y operate at higher levels than the US10Y, this behavior usually anticipates recessions, but why does this happen? The inversion of the yield curve distorts the expected functionality of the financial system. Under "normal" conditions, raising funds in the short term for investment in...

TradingView Updated 

Hey everyone! 👋 This month, we wanted to explore the topic of interest rates; what they are, why they are important, and how you can use interest rate information in your trading. This is a topic that new traders typically gloss over when starting out, so we hope this is a helpful and actionable series for new people looking to learn more about macroeconomics and...

techpers Premium

US 10-Year Bond Yield. Another 'failed' topping structure or will yields finally make a solid move to the downside? #US10Y

CMT_Association Premium

Big Four Overview: Part 1: Bonds I begin each year reviewing the long term technical positions of the "Big Four." 10 Year rates, SPX, Commodities, and the US Dollar. Since by profession I am a rates/credit portfolio manager and trader, I always start there. Granted, macro doesn’t typically impact shorter term (swing, daily and weekly) trading, having a framework...

ILuminosity Updated 

Crash Zone highlighted in Red. Fair warning is given as well; "Sell Sell Sell"

T-r-X Updated 

The inversion of US10Y-US03M is in my opinion the best recession indicator. Recession in 6 to 18 months.

SlipUp

JPY (light blue) vs CAD (blue) x yield formula vs spy ...Yields rule everything around me. #GotPivot?

Alt-B Pro Updated 

Hey all, I wanted to post a few thoughts of the somewhat educational variety. Hopefully this will help with perspective on where we've been and why I continue to see equity market weakness for the extended and foreseeable future (1-3 years maybe). So starting with this chart, this is the 10 year US Treasury yield below and the S&P 500 index above going back to...

TRADER-GOKU

Hello my Fellow TraderZ, Today this is not any Trade idea but a TUTORIAL on how to Trade the RANGE or the CHANNEL. This is simple, safe, profitable and straight forward Price Action strategy. Here we are taking the chart of US Govt. Bond 10Y-yield. This is the perfect setup of DECENDING CHANNEL on MONTHLY chart. No time bound you can trade at any TIMEFRAMES,...

theagileagent Pro+

US10Y treasury yield minus US02Y treasury yield is an accurate predictor of impending economic recession. Here we compare the 10 Aug 2022 yield curve inversion low point to the low points in 2007 and 2000 that pre-dated the Great Recession and Dot Com stock market crashes. While a small inversion (below 0) does not always pre-date a recession, inversions as low as...

rohitsoni2001

next cross of 10y-03y vs 10y03m would be recession next cross of 10y-03y vs 10y03m would be recession next cross of 10y-03y vs 10y03m would be recession

TradingShot Premium

The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) confirmed our huge Bearish Divergence spotted on our October 25 analysis and started the first pull-back since July: The price is now below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 19 and today is testing it as a Resistance. A double candle close above the 1D MA50, restores the bullish trend...

WXYXXZ Pro+ Updated 

Trying to find some statistical evidence to support the leading expanding diagonal on SPX500... Obvious SPX tops and bottoms with the extremes of yield difference between 10 and 2 year Treasury Notes. I am preparing for a longer down trend in SPX Trade safe