US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

TVC

US10Y (Derived Data)

LONG

The last drop in stocks markets and a recession fear makes us suspect if we are facing a bear market... Read more.

It is common knowledge that interest rates play a major role in any economy, so I recently decided to sit down and see how the 10 year U.S. bond yield has acted during recessions in the past to see if it correlates somehow with today's markets. After all, the biggest component of any recession is monetary policy which would imply interest rates and therefore bond...

Since it looks like we heading for the recession i look to buy the Bonds and looks like the technicals are in good timing

Hi there, US 10 years yield is setting up for bounce off. Its a longer term buy opportunity. We are expecting this to bounce off and reverse the trend for longer term. Watch bounce off and look for reversal. Good Luck

Looks scary

Bong v.s stocks

This is an update to previous ideas charted at New Years 2019. The 10 year yield has been following the path of lower yields in a lock step fashion, however the pace of declining yields is concerning. The 3 day looks like Niagara Falls Where do we go from here? Currently, the 10 yr yield is in the middle of the 1 (1.32%) and .786 (1.734%) retrenchment lines...

Expecting a strong reversal on the 10yr yields. Good Luck.

No longer inverted, so time for a market pump I guess, lol.

10Yr-2Yr yield approach 0, means big great depression comes ,GG!

An inverted yield curve (2/10) is an indicator but the 'cause'. Yields were 6%/5%/4% last times they were inverted and not 1.5% :) If corps can't afford to pay 1.5%, there is nothing Fed can do to resolve that issue. Policy issues are the cause and the cure is fiscal and not monetary. GL Not a trading call, just sharing my view. Peace

Here is a chart of quarterly PCE growth, which gives another useful 'recession watch' indicator. It is currently at a critical level and worth keeping a close eye on. Commentary from "The Recession Playbook" from Morgan Stanley: "With growth in real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) below 2.5% sending a reasonably consistent recession signal. Each of the...

How the US10YR and Gold correlate against each other..

View on distribution levels and cloned height- Looking at the bond market :-) Inverted and wonderful Look at the 1 month -> 10 yr Something has to be done.

We made new lows with the spread today. German and GBP 10 Year Futures major gaps. $TLT $IEF $SPY $GLD $DXY

bearish

The spread between Indonesia Bond 10Yr with US Treasury 10Yr reached the highest level since the end of 2016. The spread is now at 5.8% wherein the beginning of 2018, the spread is only at 3.6% and 5.4% at the beginning of 2019. The latest increase of the spread (since Jul'19) is caused by the falling of UST 10Yr at high speed (from 2.1% to 1.5% in just a...