US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield TVC:​US10Y

US 10yr Bond Yields are attempting to take on new highs. Watch out for more pressure on Emerging Markets if the move should extend.

US10Y will keep on increasing until China surrenders in the economic war. The outcome? the classical Accord in which US devalue its currency by 30% and the rest of the countries and economic blocs such as Eurozone, China, Japan, etc strengthen theirs which means that the end of the economic war will produce a Super-Cycle in commodities and industrial goods. trade ...

=> Our thesis of the multi month consolidation in the 10 year offering buying opportunities has been confirmed via the recent crisis in Turkey and the associated plunge in commodity prices. => There is no one size fits all framework here yet as yields have been all over the place since we confirmed 3% for the headlines. This is really just the tip of the iceberg, ...

To monitor your portfolio, it may be useful to follow this chart on daily time frame, and a potential new TOP, could confirm our idea... Although this analysis could be difficult to consult, we are sure that Professionals could find this chart useful. If you think this analysis can be usefu, please, leave a your comment or your LIKE! Thank you for support and ...

This is the US10Y at the moment in an ending diagonal (to be seen on 4h chart). I think one more small up move before this is going to fall. We can expect a correction similar to the correction of wave 1. Which means we will see a c-wave soon (which is a 5 wave impulse). The moment this C-wave starts we can buy EU Long for a nice move up.

US 10 YR YIELDS -major downtrend broken -inflation starting to pick up -rounding bottom starting to form -record debt>>major concern for debt holders worldwide -bring on the collapse

US10Y

It's the first time this year that the US Dollar index is depreciating during a flattening of the curve, represented by a blue rectangle (yellow rectangles show the flattening of the curve not altering USD value), as recently reported by a Morgan Stanley paper. It implies a slowdown in US capital inflows, and the curve being a more accurate reflection of a ...

updating the previous chart to look at how this is behaving. Keeps retesting neckline, yet it keeps getting rejected. If broken, this will rally a bit, but I still expect this to head south significantly.

Spread is currently at 30 basis points, the lowest it has been since 2005 and 1999. Both times a major recession followed. Exact timing for the bottoming of the yield spread and the S&P500 peak can vary. A recession is on the way, but until the yield spread bottoms, it will pay to stay long the market.

Recent NFP report was very positive and this confirms our long term view on US interest rates upside trend. Now, there is 99.8% probability of Fed rate increase to 2.25% in September and 77.58% probability of rate increase to 2.5% in December. Prob. has increased for ~10% due last NFP data. It totally confirms the technical picture that we have.

unsustainable in case of fulfiling this scenario. The street is buying assets. I bet Buffet and huge players are selling and cutting significant percent of their engagement and buying US bonds instead. But in few years dollar will be worth nothing, so maybe they plan to buy physical gold combined with best cryptos, and after collapse of FIAT money they will create ...

I think that UST10Y is at consolidation mode at the .382 of fibonacci level (2.919) I order to get new strength out of the new rate Hike from the next FED meeting ( In a the coming weeks). Take into account this XY will appreciate generating bullish sentiments and sending the yield higher to 3.30 and finally circa 3.60 +/-, best case scenario topping 3.90 by ...

400-Day Moving Average

Short term we do not have a crystal ball to know what the rates will do; however, if we project out the timing band of the Intermediate Cycle Lows, we can project that the next ICL will occur as indicated by the blue arrow labeled as "Right shoulder". Rates could go up or down for the next year, but the projection is that they will roll over eventually and head ...

Using Cycle Analysis we can see multiple Intermediate Cycle Lows (ICL) of about 4 to 5 years in duration with the next one due in the second half of 2020. The next event that will signal the direction of rates is if the 10 YR Bond breaks the upward cycle trend line from the last ICL. This could occur two ways: the bond moves sideways and breaks the trendline in ...

US 10 YR BOND YIELD vs FED Interest rate

Ever since mid August, the US Dollar has maintained a much stronger correlation with the US yield curve. To illustrate this relationship, in the chart one can see the curve in blue and the DXY index in green, with the red lines the long and short-dated bond yields. As the focus shifts towards re-pricing a more aggressive Fed cycle, expect the US yield curve to ...