Once again, I want to thank the moderators and Admin for choosing my analysis last week to be highlighted as 'Editors Picks' Very appreciative of that! There's three points of references this week, on being current daily PD array @$66,229 - $66,758, $69,089 @ $71,979 stretch.
After a massive run breaching all-time highs, we are currently seeing a healthy retracement which is bound to attack last Fridays lows located @ 2,391. Once again, I am aiming for low hanging fruits, with the daily FVG located @ 2391 - 2386 being my next victim.
Once the HTF equilibrium was met, a sharp rejection followed shortly after leaving little to no room for high probability trading set-ups. There is three price points that i have my scopes dialled into: T1 (weekly lows) - 1.08716 T2 - (Rejection Block) - 1.08480 T3 - (Weekly NWOG) - 1.08383 - 1.08061
Closed out the week attacking discounted prices but i don't think that's the end of the onslaught. I have got a close eye on 1.28600 as the first point of interest ending with a stretch target of 1.28000 whole. This would also go inline with the risk off scenario the Dollar Index could present to us next week
Got my sights dialled into $40,442 as YM, in comparison with ES and NQ is late to the game. What game you might ask? The game of savaging sellers!
$19,200 is regarded as a discount in this instance and this is where the most pain will lie if NQ was to continuously drop. I am expecting a relief rally, targeting short term highs at $20,162 for a potential mirror set-up in ES so i can take shorts into a discount aiming for $19,200
As you guys know, when i am in situations like this, i aim for low hanging fruits as when you are betting against the overall trend, it's easy to get your ass handed to you ! 5538 i the next draw on liquidity but the overall draw would be a liquidity pool located @ the volume imbalance @ 5500
Having a look at US10 and Dollar Index for the recent trading week session, there are similarities that, if continued, those looking to short will be in a lot of pain!
I am anticipating a continued sell-off, short-term before a rebound, aiming for relative equal highs @ 120.20 - 120.24 as smooth edges tend to be made jagged as more trust is built. 118.30-118.26 T1 118.23 draw on liquidity T2 This might take some time to pan out. Just gotta trust the process
Smooth edges loves to become jagged in the market and with 4.249% being a weekly double top, this could potentially entice more short traders into the market as the logic is 'sell resistance, buy support' I go against that logic so 4.282 - 4.288 will be the next draw on liquidity if we are to see a continuation to the upside
This weekend, i was expecting a selloff into $52,000 but wat happened was a low resistance liquidity run into premium arrays. Looking at the daily order block array @ $63,866 as the first point of interest. We also have a weekly array just above that area which spans upto FWB:65K
I want to live the lambo lifestyle so i think I'm willing to risk my entire savings to ensure i am rich! T1 = 2,424.55 T2 = 2,431.78 T3 = 2,450.10 P.s Don't be silly guys lol!
There's a higher chance Euro delivers to the upside compared to GBPUSD as we have got relative criminal highs that many retail traders will put their faith into, believing that it SHOULD be resistance when that's not how the market works.
When comparing EURO and GBP, it's clear that EURO still has a way to go in order to meet EQ whereas GBPUSD has already delivered to major macro premium arrays. Best to sit on my hands and monitor EURO as it's frontrunning the market. I do expect further upside for GBPUSD but not shying away from a sudden capitulation if Dollar was to rally and not meet it's...
Bullish elongated uptrend for sometime now and the next draw on liquidity before possible major shift is @ 40,673. When will we see it book?
Awaiting more data to make a clear judgement as the range i am working in is tight!
Patience is of virtue in conditions like this. Dealing range equilibrium stands at 5,605.50 and with Fridays trading range attacking both all-time highs and daily sellside, anything can go! The question I ask myself is where does the most pain lie?
It's looking more probable for sellside to clear than the yields but if i were to place a stake at which one has a higher chance, i think i would go for Dollar Index. I could be right and wrong at the same time but my philosophy is to aim for low hanging fruit as all a scalper needs is a few handles to make their monthly wage Will 103.885 rip my face off?