Important range: 115854.56-119177.56
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last from August 23rd to 25th.
It found support near 111696.21 and rose above 115854.56.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support near 115854.56 and rise above 119177.56.
If it falls below 115854.56, it could fall to around 108353.0.
If it rises above 119177.56 this time and holds, it could attempt to rise near the right Fibonacci level 2.618 (133889.92) during the next volatility period, around September.
Therefore, we should watch for support in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 115854.56-119177.56 and see if it rises above that level.
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Looking at the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel, it appears to be transitioning into a downward channel.
Therefore, if the OBV indicator fails to rise above the High Line, there is a possibility of forming a short-term top.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin: Wave 4 Unitl 108K Break.Bitcoin has just established a lower high in the 117K area. While this is a bearish sign for intraday time frames, the broader structure has yet to confirm a change. The change I am looking for is the price overlap of the 108K area. The 112 to 113 support area while some what broken, has not followed through yet. IF price stays in this range and manages to say above 108K, then this can still qualify as a wave 4. IF 108K breaks, then this confirms that the 5 wave structure is likely complete. If that's that case, the bigger picture outlook becomes more bearish.
The bearish scenario I am referring to is the broader Wave 2. Keep in mind, if this is the case, it can take a very long time to play out (months, years). And a series of catalysts would likely be in play. We have nothing like that yet. Also keep in mind, Bitcoin follows the Nasdaq, with lower interest rates, and easier monetary policy on the horizon, tech stocks are likely to benefit which should be a positive. Not a strong argument fundamentally. This is why if you are considering the short side, it is best to work on small time frames and keep risk tight in my opinion.
While any pull back is tempting to buy, this one is tricky because of the conflicting situation. 5 waves may be complete which means the pullbacks from here are more likely to break. Especially support levels that are obvious like 113K. Either work on smaller time frames like 1H or 4H and expect a smaller bite upon a signal confirmation, OR wait for the next level like the 105K to 108K area support for a swing trade with greater potential. Buy signals that confirm between 112 and 108K area could look to the 115 to 118K area for profit potential. It is touch to calculate when there is no confirmation on the chart.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
#Bitcoin Bearish Setup: $BTC is facing heavy resistance at 120k#Bitcoin Sunday Update Bearish Setup:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is facing heavy resistance at the long-term trendline (around 115K–120K). Volume is dropping, a double top has formed, and retail entries are clustered above 110K–120K, creating a strong trap.
🔸 Support 93K–95K:
This aligns with the CME gap, weekly EMA50 retest, and liquidity pool. Market makers likely drive price into this zone to flush weak hands before the next leg higher.
🔸 Upside Target: 135K–150K (after correction)
Once the correction plays out and retail gets washed out, BTC is expected to resume its bullish cycle and push into new highs.
🔸 Risk Level at 124K:
A clean weekly close above 124K with strong spot demand would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis.
🔸 Outlook:
Short area remains 110K–124K. Best strategy is gradual profit-taking on spot and step-by-step short positioning until the correction into 90–95K plays out. Reload lower for the next bullish leg.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 21💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that Bitcoin has still maintained a good bullish trend after breaking out of the channel and is currently in correction, but it hasn’t yet formed a proper structure for trades.
⚙️ The key RSI zones are 40 and 70. When the oscillator crosses these levels, trading volatility increases and this will cause price movement.
🕯 Candle size and volume grew during the Jackson Hole event, but since the market is in holidays, there isn’t much volume present. We need to wait for the opening of the next weekly candle for volume to enter the market.
💵 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that during the Jackson Hole event, Tether dominance moved strongly downward into an oversold area, and a large amount of Tether entered the market.
🔔 Bitcoin alarm zones are still the same as before. Breaking these levels can give us positions. Since Bitcoin hasn’t built a complete structure yet and the market is in holidays, we won’t take trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #162👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin. Since yesterday, Bitcoin hasn’t made any significant moves, so today I’ll analyze it for you on the 1-hour timeframe.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Since yesterday, Bitcoin has been sitting on a support level around 114612 and has touched this zone twice in the 1-hour chart.
📊 The volume has dropped significantly, which makes sense because it’s the weekend, and traders are waiting to see where the market will move in the coming week.
✔️ In my opinion, given Powell’s speech was positive for the market, the probability of Bitcoin turning bullish is higher, and with long position triggers being activated, the chance of profit increases.
⚡️ If the 115497 zone is broken, we can open a risky long position. I recommend keeping an eye on Bitcoin dominance while this trigger is being activated — if it’s still in a downtrend, then it’s better to open the position on altcoins.
✨ On the other hand, if the price moves downward, we can open a short position by breaking 114612. Personally, I still don’t think shorting is logical, and until I get confirmation of a trend reversal in higher cycles, I won’t open short positions.
🔽 But if you want to short, it should be for a short-term trade down to the 112233 support zone.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
(BTC/USDT) – Rally Strengthened After Fed RemarksHello everyone, Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently trading around $115,839 and approaching key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones, particularly between $115,500 – $117,000. Following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, the market responded positively. Hints of potential rate cuts weakened the USD, encouraging capital flows into safe-haven assets like Bitcoin and reinforcing the current bullish momentum.
Rising trading volumes highlight buyer dominance, while Ichimoku cloud signals remain favorable with price staying above the cloud, clearly reflecting bullish sentiment.
Combining technical factors with macro news, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook continues to lean bullish. As long as price holds above the $115,500 – $117,000 FVG zone, the next upside target around $119,000 looks well within reach.
Bitcoin Is Still Bearish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As we mentioned in the previous analysis, Bitcoin remains bearish, and our view has not changed.
We had considered two scenarios for Bitcoin, and both were bearish
Nothing has changed now either | from the current price or slightly higher, Bitcoin may see a serious correction. If the 103k zone is broken to the downside, Bitcoin’s price could correct down to the 93k area or even 86k.
Remember: when good news is released but the price cannot rally and make higher highs, the trend is bearish. It means market giants are selling to buy back at lower levels.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Looks Bearish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We identified an **ABCDE structure** in the previous analysis.
Currently, the structure remains the same, with only wave **E** appearing to be completed.
The price moved close to the **first target** from the previous analysis but was rejected. This rejection seems to mark the beginning of a new bearish wave.
Now, it is expected that either from this point or after a slight upward pullback, the price will enter a correction for **wave D** or another bearish wave.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
FOMC and Market Reactions – Simple Logic Explained💎MJTrading:
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) guides U.S. interest rates. Their decisions ripple through all major markets, not just the dollar.
🔑 How It Works (Simple View):
- When the Fed signals higher rates, the USD demand rises (investors seek higher returns), while gold, stocks, and crypto often fall because money becomes “more expensive.”
- When the Fed signals lower rates or slows tightening, the USD loses demand, and money flows into assets like gold, stocks, and crypto.
🔍 Why a Rate Cut Weakens the Dollar:
* Cutting rates means borrowing money becomes cheaper.
* Investors earn less return by holding USD in banks or bonds.
* This lowers demand for the dollar, making it cheaper in global markets.
📊 What the Current Charts Show:
CAPITALCOM:DXY (Dollar Index): Sharp drop → less demand for USD.
FX:XAUUSD (Gold): Demand rises as an alternative store of value.
FX:EURUSD : Euro strengthens against weaker dollar.
BINANCE:BTCUSD : Risk appetite returns, lifting crypto.
BLACKBULL:US30 (Dow Jones): Stocks benefit as liquidity shifts from USD into equities.
⚡ The Core Reason – Demand & Supply
Weaker dollar = reduced demand for USD, so supply flows into gold, stocks, euro, and crypto.
🔮 Looking Ahead – Will the Rally Continue?
The rally may extend if the dollar remains under pressure and the Fed stays dovish.
But caution: after the first strong impulse, markets often retrace to test demand zones before continuing.
Next week’s momentum will depend on whether buyers can sustain demand beyond the initial FOMC reaction.
👉 Takeaway for Traders:
FOMC moves aren’t random. They’re driven by where capital finds the best return. Understanding this demand–supply flow helps explain why all charts move together in these moments.
#MJTrading
#FOMC #DXY #XAUUSD #EURUSD #BTCUSD #US30 #Forex #Gold #TradingEducation #Rally
Psychology Always Matters:
BTC eyeing 200k by Q2/Q3 2026 from current price 115k. BUY!!!BTC strong uptrend has been in tact since 10k era, creating fresh massive bull cycles every year -- and doing the same DNA-like price behavior at the same time frame since 2023.
As of this posting, BTC is creating another fresh triangle behavior as we enter the Q3 of 2025 replicating the same season of accumulation from the previous pre-monster surge phase of every year as seen on the diagram.
October of every year seems to be the best month of the mother coin -- as proven by its performance history in the past.
BTC corrective phases usually is bounded by 38.6 to 61.8 fib retracement from peaks -- and we get that maxed out for this year at 61.8 fib tap at 75k. This is the maximum discounted zone for this year and thereafter, BTC has seen rosy days ever since that bottom tap.
Now, as seen on our chart, BTC is preppin for another monster exit of this long term triangle range, and a massive breakout is about to transpire any moment from here on going forward with Q2-Q3 2026 targets at 200k zone.
Best time to seed is today. No better time than this accumulation season.
We are goin north and its inevitable. And yes, it will be very very geneous.
Current price is 115k.
Target 200k.
Happy profiting guys.
TAYOR.
Trade safetly.
FOMC and Market Reactions – Simple Logic Explained💎 MJTrading:
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) guides U.S. interest rates. Their decisions ripple through all major markets, not just the dollar.
🔑 How It Works (Simple View):
- When the Fed signals higher rates, the USD demand rises (investors seek higher returns), while gold, stocks, and crypto often fall because money becomes “more expensive.”
- When the Fed signals lower rates or slows tightening, the USD loses demand, and money flows into assets like gold, stocks, and crypto.
🔍 Why a Rate Cut Weakens the Dollar:
* Cutting rates means borrowing money becomes cheaper.
* Investors earn less return by holding USD in banks or bonds.
* This lowers demand for the dollar, making it cheaper in global markets.
📊 What the Current Charts Show:
DXY (Dollar Index): Sharp drop → less demand for USD.
XAUUSD (Gold): Demand rises as an alternative store of value.
EURUSD: Euro strengthens against weaker dollar.
BTCUSD: Risk appetite returns, lifting crypto.
US30 (Dow Jones): Stocks benefit as liquidity shifts from USD into equities.
⚡ The Core Reason – Demand & Supply
Weaker dollar = reduced demand for USD, so supply flows into gold, stocks, euro, and crypto.
🔮 Looking Ahead – Will the Rally Continue?
The rally may extend if the dollar remains under pressure and the Fed stays dovish.
But caution: after the first strong impulse, markets often retrace to test demand zones before continuing.
Next week’s momentum will depend on whether buyers can sustain demand beyond the initial FOMC reaction.
👉 Takeaway for Traders:
FOMC moves aren’t random. They’re driven by where capital finds the best return. Understanding this demand–supply flow helps explain why all charts move together in these moments.
#MJTrading
#FOMC #DXY #XAUUSD #EURUSD #BTCUSD #US30 #Forex #Gold #TradingEducation #Rally
Psychology Always Matters:
Click on the image to read the caption.
BITCOIN LOCAL LONG|
✅BITCOIN went down to retest
A local horizontal support of 114,6k
While trading in a strong uptrend
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 115,6k
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Is a Bitcoin correction still on the horizon?The chart below compares BTC price (blue) and US M2 money supply (yellow). Historically, Bitcoin’s movements have closely tracked changes in US money supply, often with a few months’ lag. With current trends suggesting a potential divergence, a market correction could still be on the table.
Curious to hear your thoughts, where do you see Bitcoin heading next?
#crypto #bitcoin #btc #trading #analysis
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #161👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin’s analysis. Today, after yesterday’s upward movement, Bitcoin has entered a correction. Let’s see what triggers we have for trading today.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
After yesterday’s bullish move that came following Powell’s speech, I mentioned that since the movement was news-based and also close to the weekend, the probability of a correction was high.
⚡️ That’s exactly what happened. Bitcoin itself did not continue upward today and was rejected from the 116829 resistance level. However, Bitcoin dominance remains in a downtrend, which has allowed some altcoins paired with Bitcoin to continue moving upward.
🔍 If Bitcoin dominance continues to decline while Bitcoin ranges or trends upward, altcoins can provide very good positions and it’s better to focus on them.
🧩 But if dominance begins to correct and forms green candles, we can shift our focus back to Bitcoin and open long positions.
🚀 In this case, the current trigger for a Bitcoin long position is the breakout of 116829. Breaking this trigger could push the price toward 122545.
💥 If the RSI bounces from the 50 level and moves upward, we can take it as momentum confirmation for this position. Additionally, if volume increases while the price approaches the 116829 resistance, we can use a candlestick setup to enter, or place a stop-buy order above the resistance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 20💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is moving inside a 4H range box. The top of this box is at the $122,300 level and the bottom is at the $112,000 level. The midline of the box is around $117,000, and after touching this level the price got rejected downwards .
⚙️ On the RSI, we have two key zones: 30 and 64. When the oscillator crosses these zones, long or short trading volatility increases and the probability of entering overbought or oversold conditions rises .
🕯 On the 4H chart, the size of the buying candles has become noticeably large. After yesterday’s news, the market faced holidays and volume decreased, but with the opening of the new weekly candle, we may see an increase in trading volume. This could bring more volume into long positions .
💵 USDT.D on the 4-hour timeframe has a support at 4.19% and a resistance at 4.35%. Breaking either of these levels could inject significant volume into Bitcoin. Tether selling volume has been relatively strong and faced selling pressure, which could push this drop further .https://www.tradingview.com/x/4bTsKokC
🔔 Our trading alarm zones are placed at $117,000 and $112,000. Price action around these levels, with the start of the new week, can be strong. Selling pressure on Tether and a potential interest rate cut may shift the market sentiment toward long positions .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Multiple altcoins · The 2025 bull market is onBIOUSDT:
Here we have three weeks closing green and the highest volume ever as Bitcoin retraces. No altcoin can grow this strongly if Bitcoin is now in a bear market. No altcoin would start a bullish wave if Bitcoin is entering correction mode. The only time the altcoins grow is when Bitcoin is rising or sideways within a bull market, at other times the altcoins drop. Seeing bullish altcoins confirms a bullish Bitcoin.
BTCUSDT:
Bitcoin has been red seven days, since 14-August. Is this the start of a major correction or a period of consolidation before higher? Consolidation before higher. The proof are the altcoins.
Here Bitcoin is still trading above EMA89. Last time this level worked as support.
Bitcoin can easily move sideways within a wide range, $100,000 to $120,000, and still support major bullish action across the entire market.
Bitcoin can also consolidate between $110,000 and $120,000. $112,000 is still holding as support. Above this price, Bitcoin is bullish even short-term.
ZECUSDT:
20-August is a higher low vs 7-April and then it goes bullish, a strong breakout with two full green candles. This candles are coupled with high volume, the highest since April.
The move broke EMA89 and EMA55 as resistance. MA200 was also conquered and immediately confirmed as support.
Two strong green days while Bitcoin is moving down. It reveals what is coming for Bitcoin.
HTUSDT:
HuobiToken (HT) goes up more than 280% since 20-August. The same 20-Aug. we just saw with Zcash. Is this the latest higher low date? Let's continue.
SKLUSDT:
Here we have the highest (buy) volume week ever last week as SKLUSDT broke above EMA55. This is happening after a new all-time low. Think about it.
The market bottoms and from the bottom we have the strongest buying ever and this is also coupled with the break of a long-term resistance level. We can easily say Skale Network hit bottom and is ready to grow. While Bitcoin retraces, here we have another very strong bullish breakout, this only happens within a bull market.
Toncoin:
Clearly, a long-term rising trend. TONUSDT is trading above all the short-term moving averages; EMA8/13/21 weekly, the bulls are in.
There are many pairs like this, hundreds literally.
Remember we also saw the big ones: Cardano, Chainlink, XRP, Solana and Ethereum. Look at where Binance Coin is at right now and don't forget Tron, it is all going up.
The smaller projects are yet to catch up, yet to move; the entire market is yet to grow, but here we have proof enough that shows the 2025 bull market is on.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Trendline Breakdown: The Pullback Trap Before Further DoBitcoin has officially broken its ascending trendline on the daily chart — a strong technical signal that the bullish momentum is weakening. Yesterday’s sharp pump was nothing more than a classic pullback to retest the broken trendline, and price is now showing signs of rejecting it.
From a price action perspective, this setup often acts as a trap for late buyers, with the market typically retracing the entire pullback move.
🔑 Key Points:
• Daily ascending trendline has been broken.
• Yesterday’s rally = pullback retest of the broken structure.
• Market likely to erase yesterday’s gains and resume downward momentum.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
• Support 1: $112,000
• Support 2: $108,000
• Invalidation: A daily close back above yesterday’s high (~$117,000).
🎯 Trading Strategy:
• Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes (1H/4H) such as a CHoCH (Change of Character) or BOS (Break of Structure).
• Short entries become favorable if price fails to reclaim $117k.
• Initial targets: $112k → $108k.
• Keep stops above the recent swing high to control risk.
⚡ Summary:
The break + retest of the ascending trendline is a bearish sign. As long as BTC trades below the retest zone, the path of least resistance is down. Traders should stay patient, wait for proper entry signals, and avoid being trapped by the pullback.
⸻
$RIOT Making Moves!NASDAQ:RIOT found support at the areas mentioned last week, the weekly pivot and 200EMA.
Wave (ii) ended at the golden pocket and High Volume node support.
Retesting the descending channel resistance upper boundary again will be the 5th test and a very high probability breakout. This would bring up the first target resistance of the wave (I) swing high and High Volume Node $20.5 followed by $40.
Weekly RSI did hit overbought but this can take months to pay play out and there is no divergence!
Analysis is invalidated below $6.33.
Safe trading
$HUT Clear for take off?NASDAQ:HUT bounced strongly off the weekly pivot retest above the major resistance High Volume Node flipped support.
Path is clear for the weekly R1 pivot target resistance at $33 and a poke above the previous swing high.
Long term cyclical targets remain at the R3 weekly pivot at $61. Weekly RSI is in an uptrend but not yet overbought while weekly RSI is pointing upwards.
Analysis is invalidated below $10.7
Safe trading
$CLSK Looks like XRP at $0.4 before the move to $3NASDAQ:CLSK is hated right now as much as XRP was when it ranged between $0.4-$0.8 for 4 years before it when ballistic.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP printed a huge macro triangle similar to what I have identified here for CLSK which looks complete at the triangle EQ, where wave E is expected to terminate! This finds confluence with the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Quadruple resistance lies ahead of the weekly 200EMA, major High Volume Node, weekly pivot point and descending resistance boundary, tested multiple times weakening the point. This built up pressure could provide an explosive move to price discovery.
I have left my alternative motif wave count on their as a secondary count (1-2) with similar targets.
RSI is at the channel EQ so plenty of upside left.
Analysis is invalidated below $6.05.
Safe trading