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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Bitcoin Ready to Casually Liquidate $300MLadies and gentlemen, today is November 26. If you’re still alive in the market, let me be the first to congratulate you—because that means you actually use proper capital management and set stop losses. In this analysis, we’re going to pinpoint Bitcoin’s next triggers together, get a crystal-clear picture of the current structure, conditions, and scenarios, and trade them side by side. Hey, I’m Skeptic , and this is Skeptic Lab . If you want to level up your trading knowledge through data, psychology, and real strategy and actually become consistently profitable, you’ve come to the right place. Let’s jump straight to the charts. 📉 In the daily timeframe , after that massive sell-off candle on November 21, Bitcoin immediately went into ranging mode. Volume dropped hard, and RSI bounced back above 30. After breaking 100k—as I’ve been saying for weeks—the MWC has officially turned bearish, so every bounce back to that zone is nothing more than a pullback. If this 4H correction we’ve started continues, it can easily reach 91,213.99 (the 0.5 Fib), so if you’re opening longs, your target should be exactly 91,213.99. 🔍Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to hunt for actual triggers. In the 4H, we have a weak upward channel that’s really just the daily bearish correction. We’re ranging between two key levels: - Resistance: 88,118.70 - Support: 86,224.62 Breaking either one is our long or short trigger. But here’s the risk-management difference: 📍 For longs (which are counter-trend to the MWC), we use a very tight stop loss and take profit quickly. For shorts, we can accept slightly higher risk and scale out with partial profits. Important note: Throughout this entire range box, volume has been consistently dropping—this means the next move is getting closer and closer. Stay very alert inside this box. If this analysis helped you, I’d really appreciate a boost—it gives me energy to keep going.🩵 Now get outta here.
by SkepticLab
BTCUSDT.P - November 27, 2025On the 15-minute chart for Bitcoin, price is in a strong short-term uptrend, marked by a steep series of higher highs and higher lows culminating in a parabolic push into local resistance around 91,800–92,300. The latest candles show upper wicks and a loss of follow-through, indicating fading bullish momentum and the risk of a pullback. A corrective move toward the nearest intraday support band around 89,700–90,100 would be a normal retracement within the broader advance, and aggressive longs may look to reduce risk while conservative traders wait for a reaction at that support zone before re-entering.
Short
by miljedtothemoon
USDT.D: Smart Money Indicator for Bitcoin & Altcoin CyclesUSDT.D Dominance: The Hidden Cycle Behind Crypto Bull & Bear Markets (2021–2026) The USDT.D dominance chart offers a clear window into the underlying market sentiment: when stablecoin dominance rises, the market tends to weaken, and when it falls, risk-on assets thrive. From late 2021 , USDT.D saw a steady rise, signaling capital flowing out of risk assets . This climaxed in late 2022 , aligning with Bitcoin’s historic drop from $69k to $15k (~-74%). Following this, USDT.D entered a downtrend and consolidated for over a year, a period that coincided with multiple altcoin bull runs , highlighting the inverse relationship between USDT.D and alt markets. Recent months have shown breakout dynamics , as USDT.D reclaimed its long-term downtrend resistance. The market now faces a crucial retest around 5–5.1% , which could act as a springboard for the next major rally. 🔹 Market Implications: Short-term: Bitcoin & Ethereum likely to see significant upward momentum during early 2026. Mid-term: USDT.D may form a Bullish Cup & Handle , targeting 8–9% by late 2026 , signaling potential market corrections. Key takeaway: Stablecoin dominance is a leading indicator —tracking its patterns can provide insight into market cycles, risk periods, and optimal entry/exit windows. 💡 Pro Tip: Always combine dominance analysis with price action and volume for better timing in crypto markets.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Houseofcryptokings
Bitcoin Extends Its Downward Pressure as Sellers Stay FirmBitcoin remains pinned under selling pressure as expectations for a potential Fed rate cut in December have yet to translate into real policy action. Although several Fed members have softened their tone, the current interest-rate environment continues to discourage capital inflows into risk assets, leaving BTC without a solid catalyst for a rebound. Market liquidity is still weak, institutional flows show consistent outflows, and investor sentiment leans toward caution. With no strong driver to counter this defensive mood, Bitcoin continues to follow the broader risk-off trend. Technically, the H4 chart preserves a bearish structure, defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Repeated red FVG zones overhead signal active selling pressure, while the Volume Profile reflects distribution rather than accumulation. Given the alignment of macro signals and chart behavior, the downside remains the dominant scenario. The next key level is the 86,000 USD support area; a breakdown there would likely open the path toward 84,000 USD.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Momonoo
14
THE DAY LITECOIN FLIPS BITCOIN AND BECOMES #1 - AND HOWGrok helped me with this but regardless this is a great read. Not financial advice 1. Bitcoin fees explode again (> $50–$200 per transaction) LTC stays under 5¢ and 4× faster → merchants & users flee to “digital silver” for actual payments -Historical precedent: May 2017 & Dec 2017 fee madness → LTC pumped from $4 → $375 in weeks; repeated in May 2021 → $410 ATH 2. Bitcoin blocks stay full for months (Ordinals / Runes / BRC-20/ and now unlimited SPAM clog the chain again) People rediscover Litecoin as the cheap, fast, on-chain alternative that actually works for daily spending -Historical precedent: 2023–2024 Ordinals era → LTC quietly 3×–4× while BTC was practically unusable for small amounts 3. Major nation/state bans or heavily restricts Bitcoin mining or self-custody LTC is smaller, less of a political target → miners add Scrypt rigs, capital rotates -Historical precedent: China 2021 mining ban → Litecoin hashrate and price both spiked hard in the following months 4. A confirmed 51% attack or large double-spend actually happens on Bitcoin Trust in BTC’s immutability shatters overnight → Litecoin (merged-mined with Dogecoin) suddenly has higher combined attack cost and looks safer -Historical near-miss: 2018–2019 51% attack fears on smaller chains sent LTC up +150% in pure rotation plays 5. Credible quantum-break announcement or real progress scare (2026–2030 timeline moves up) Litecoin’s MWEB addresses are already quantum-resistant + dev team can soft-fork faster than Bitcoin’s politics allow -Historical precedent: 2023–2024 quantum FUD alone gave privacy coins and quantum-ready projects 3–10× pumps 6. Litecoin ETF (e.g., Canary Capital's) faces post-launch outflows or SEC-mandated tweaks due to BTC ETF dominance, while Bitcoin ETFs pull in record inflows BTC ETFs become the unchallenged "institutional safe bet," capping BTC's retail upside → sidelined investors, retail traders, and altcoin funds rotate into the now-proven LTC ETF as the "next logical step" for legacy alts (with Canary/Grayscale already live and showing strong early volume) -Historical precedent: ETH ETFs in 2024 saw initial outflows vs. BTC's inflows → ETH still 2–3×'ed on rotation; SOL's 2025 ETF launch pumped despite similar early teething issues 7. Lightning Network suffers major centralization scandals, hub failures, or routing collapses People remember Charlie Lee’s original pitch: simple, fast, cheap, on-chain money with no layer-2 headaches -Historical precedent: 2023–2025 Lightning UX complaints repeatedly drove spikes in LTC daily transaction volume and price 8. Bitcoin loses the “first-mover narrative” to a new nation-state adoption Example: a major country (Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, etc.) announces it will use Litecoin instead of Bitcoin for remittances or reserves because LTC is 4× faster and 100× cheaper. -Precedent: El Salvador 2021 BTC adoption pumped Bitcoin; a “Litecoin country” would do the same or more for LTC. 9. PayPal, Venmo, Cash App, or Stripe re-activates Litecoin for instant zero-fee withdrawals/deposits They all supported LTC years ago and dropped it only because of 2018 bear market. One click to flip it back on → instant 50–100 million new users. -Precedent: PayPal adding BTC in 2020 → +300 % pump in weeks; LTC would explode harder because it’s actually usable on their rails. 10. Dogecoin merges fully with Litecoin (merged-mining → full auxiliary chain) -Precedent: DOGE pumps in 2021 dragged LTC up 4–6× every single time. A real technical merger would be 10× stronger. 11. Major exchange or custodian loses billions in Bitcoin (think FTX 2.0 but only BTC exposed) Users rush to self-custody the one big coin that still has sub-$0.01 fees and 2.5-minute confirmations → Litecoin. -Precedent: FTX collapse 2022 → LTC was one of the only coins people could actually withdraw fast and cheap. 12. SEC or European regulator classifies Bitcoin as a “security” or “commodity with special rules” but explicitly says Litecoin is a commodity/currency Institutions that were forced to sell BTC rotate the exact same thesis into LTC overnight. -Precedent: XRP SEC case resolution in 2023 caused instant 3× pump; same mechanics. 13. Bitcoin Core development stalls or splits again (Blocksize Wars 2.0) Big-blockers and users frustrated with ossification move money and hashrate to the chain that kept Charlie Lee’s original “faster, lighter” vision alive. -Precedent: 2017 Bitcoin Cash hard fork → LTC price went parabolic as the “peaceful middle ground.” 14. Global remittance giants (Western Union, MoneyGram, Wise) quietly switch backend rails to Litecoin They already tested LTC in 2017–2019. A single press release announcing “instant global transfers for pennies” using Litecoin would add billions in real volume. -Precedent: Ripple/XRP partnerships in 2018 caused 10× pumps even when adoption was tiny. Real adoption would be insane for LTC.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
3
Bulls Will Take BTC to 100k Then Become Leftover Turkey Dinner!Trading Fam, First things first, Happy Thanksgiving to my U.S. followers. I hope your holiday is blessed as you enjoy time with friends and family. Let's get to the chart. As noted numerous times in previous posts, BTC is now in a longer-term bearish trend. There are many indicators that have shown us this. Our first signs came when my indicator flashed a rare sell signal This coincided with the third touch of our Pi Cycle Top Trendline It also formed what I thought at the time might be the "spring" of our Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern After these first three important indicators flashed, I waited for a drop below the support (RED descending TL) of our bearish megaphone pattern. That happened. Finally, we almost synchronized that drop with the drop below our 350 SMA I have a target down of 72-76k. We almost reached that but we were stopped by 80k support. That RED ascending TL prints on the weekly starting with one of our tops in April of 2021! We bounced off of this trendline, using it as strong support. It should be and I expected this bounce! Now, I am expecting we should go to at least 100-102k. Even that is a very underwhelming target. I will NOT be impressed at all if the bulls should succeed at hitting it. This, at least, should be expected! If we don't hit that target, I will be wrong about how bearish I should have been. Even the "Buy the Dip" Viagra being sold by all these whales as exit liquidity will not have worked for these bulls. What a disappointment they will have become! And my target of 72-76k will still be in play. But you can all see that I have a question mark there. See, the thing is, what happens when Michael Saylor's Microstrategy goes underwater? Microstrategy owns nearly 650k BTC at an avg cost of 74.5k. Current strategy is: issue shares → raise debt → buy BTC → repeat. If BTC falls below 74.5k it could become: buy back shares → lower debt → sell BTC → repeat. If this occurs, BTC could drop even further. My next serious support is not found until around 46k! Therefore, we have to keep a serious eye on this area of 72-76k if we do in fact visit it. Now, if bulls do beat 102k and then 110k after that, I think I can admit I was wrong. I missed my downside target by a whopping 4k! I will admit defeat even though I was a small fraction of a coin off. Honestly, I hope I am wrong. I hope the market is revived and Santa gives you all the profit you ever wanted for the Christmas season. But the grinch in me thinks not. So, play this rally as you like. Personally, I think it's an early gift to some of you who were not expecting this or just didn't believe it would occur. You now have your second chance to exit. This is a contrarian view. I know. But think about who might be propagating the "Buy the Dip" memes. I alluded to it above. If I were a whale and wanted to exit without crashing the market how would I best do this? Ding, ding, ding. That's right. I'd market the hell out of "Buy the Dip". It would become the meme of the hour. Retail would buy it up and hopefully provide the exit liquidity I need. This might be my only way out if I were looking for it. Something to think about. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
Bitcoin: Internal countermoveBitcoin currently appears to be forming an internal countermove within the ongoing orange wave a. Nevertheless, our primary outlook remains that this a-wave will ultimately extend into our green Target Zone, which ranges from $62,395 to $51,323. From this low, we expect another corrective move to the upside before the final downward leg of the wave (ii) correction—an overall pattern that has been developing since January—reaches completion.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by HKCM_Global
1
Downside protected, upside unprotected — BTC to 500kThere's a ton of intriguing action unfolding with Bitcoin right now. Several cycle low indicators I track have started firing off around the $80K mark—pretty wild if you ask me. Let's break them down step by step. 1. 2-Week RSI Signal It's a straightforward fact: the two-week RSI is sitting at 42, a level that has consistently marked cycle lows in the past. So, at $80K, we've got our first major cycle low signal. 2. Fear & Greed Index Historically, after a cycle top, the first wave down has driven the Fear & Greed Index to a reading of 10 in the last two cycles. The rest of the time? It's signalled cycle lows or major bottoms ahead of massive rallies. #### What This Means: History Rhyming (Again) This setup screams repetition—Bitcoin has now topped out after exactly 1,064 days, mirroring the last two cycles. On this first corrective wave, Fear & Greed has already plunged to 10. But here's where it gets really telling: layer in the Sharpe ratio for some nuance. As the chart shows, the Sharpe ratio has dipped into negative territory—a rare event that *only* occurs during true cycle lows. Invalidation & Bear Market Confirmation The chart makes it crystal clear: Bitcoin is primed to echo the last cycle's playbook, with a full rejection at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. In the prior two cycles, after the initial drop from the cycle high, any subsequent rally completely fizzled out right there at 0.382. If Bitcoin fails to rally and close decisively above that level by mid-January 2026, the odds skyrocket for a full-blown bear market. Keep an eye on it—this could be the pivot that defines the next leg. What do you think then? 500k or 67k by October 2026? Still fully on the upside boat. Risk is heavily skewed to the top side, not down
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
1
Bitcoin — Higher Low Confirmed at 86,247Bitcoin pushed away from 86,247, confirming a higher low inside the third range. Structure is still bullish for the week, even though we are sitting inside the daily bearish range discount. That means the environment favours upside, but the odds are thinner — you’re trading against the higher-timeframe imbalance. Geometrically the market is climbing from discount with compressed rhythm, and the behaviour fits a controlled accumulation rather than emotional chasing. Volume shows a cap in today’s action, which often fills later in the session or early tomorrow. If that fill forms another higher low, the path for continuation opens. We’re also sitting inside a macro week where the dollar is soft: weaker USD flows, softer yields, and reduced risk-off pressure showing across assets. That backdrop supports higher Bitcoin prints, but structure still decides the next move. Order flow shows absorption at the lows, not panic. Pullbacks are being tested and rejected fast. That’s coordinated behaviour, not randomness. A break above the bearish range high at 93,080 is the clean trigger for a fresh bullish leg. Until then, patience. Professionals load after the break — not before it. Premium trading conditions today favour high-frequency setups only. Most traders get trapped for forcing trades inside a half-formed range. Let the Composite Mind set the next intention. Behaviour is clearer than prediction. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN
1
Bitcoin Corrected, What’s Next?Back in July, I did a tutorial identifying the 120,000 level as a potential peak for Bitcoin, with the possibility of an open correction. Bitcoin subsequently formed a double top before pulling back to its recent low. In my view, Bitcoin should continue to trend along this parallel channel. We will discuss why this is the case, and also what may come next for Bitcoin after this correction. Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options Ticker: MBT Minimum fluctuation: $5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:BTC1!Long
by konhow
SOL to Bottom Out Around $103-104SOLANA – Eyes on the Final Flush? 🔥 Key Confluence at $103–$104 Solana is approaching what might be the most important support zone of this entire macro structure. Several major technical factors are all pointing to the same potential bottom area: 🟢 1. Head & Shoulders Breakdown Target The measured move from the H&S pattern puts the projected downside right into the $103–$104 zone, creating a textbook target alignment. 🟠 2. Long-Term Trendline Support (Orange) Price is now dropping toward a multi-year rising trendline that has held since early 2024. This line has acted as major dynamic support across multiple cycles, and SOL is now coming back to retest it. 🟣 3. Fibonacci 0.886 Retracement The 0.886 retrace of the full macro move lands perfectly in the same area. This fib level is often where deep retracements reverse during strong bullish expansions. 📉 Current Structure – Breakdown from right shoulder confirmed – Momentum still down, but seller exhaustion showing up – Volume declining on the drop → typical late-stage correction behavior 📌 Key Zone to Watch $103–$104 (Green Box) This is my “high-probability reaction zone” where I expect Solana to bottom or at least produce a significant bounce.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by thatsavibe_eth
mij btc ideahis is my perspective on Bitcoin. Bitcoin has fallen sharply in the last few weeks to $86,000-$87,000. There's a lot of fear in the market, which presents many opportunities. My idea is that Bitcoin will rise to its old alt-high or to $140,000 in the coming months to create liquidity so that retail traders will fully invest in crypto while hoarders will slowly take profits. After that, a bear market will emerge, and I see Bitcoin possibly falling back to around $60,000 or even lower in the next two years.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by NickyR
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #232👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. This week has been a range-bound week for Bitcoin, and this range still continues. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe The market conditions haven’t changed much compared to yesterday. Bitcoin has simply continued its range-bound movement. ⚡️ We had a resistance zone at 89,000, which the price had previously touched. In the subsequent move, the price has not been able to reach this level again, indicating a lack of buying strength. 🧩 Considering the decrease in volume and the weakening of the red candles, the chances of reaching 89,000 in this leg are quite low. 💥 The RSI oscillator has reached the momentum support zone for the price at 41.31. 🎲 If this level is broken, we can say that the bullish momentum will completely disappear, and the market will need to form a new structure. ✅ The loss of bullish momentum does not necessarily mean the end of the uptrend or the beginning of a downtrend. It simply means that the market’s momentum has faded, and we will need to wait and see what happens in the new structure. 💡 If the RSI stabilizes below this level, we can open a short position after breaking 85,770 and a long position after breaking the 89,000 level. 📊 However, if the RSI maintains its momentum and gets supported, we can enter a position earlier with the trigger at 87,942. ✨ The 87,942 trigger is considered risky, so I recommend paying attention to the volume. If the volume confirms the move, you can open the position after the breakout. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro