BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 43😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Bitcoin, we see that after the recent interest rate cut news, price started moving down. It seems that the potential upside from the news was already priced in by traders. Right now, BTC is trading in a range between resistance at $117,573 and support at $114,828. A breakout of either side could send the price toward the next support or resistance. For now, the market will likely move into a range condition, where the win rate of most setups drops, so it’s better to trade with lower risk.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is near a support zone below the 50 level. The two key levels to watch are 40 and 70. If RSI breaks above or below these zones, Bitcoin could start a new move.
🕯 Currently, the size, volume, and number of red candles are increasing. As BTC approaches support, some buy orders have been triggered. The key question is whether this support zone is strong enough to hold the price until the new week begins. Since the ATH, every correction has faced strong selling pressure from major sellers (maker sellers).
🧠 At this stage, Bitcoin itself may not provide the best setups for positions. However, altcoins that are showing bullish divergence or relative strength against BTC could present better opportunities. We can track these coins on platforms like TradingView or CoinMarketCap, identify their triggers, and look for long entries if the setups are valid.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin Analysis –> The Critical Resistance ZoneHello guys!
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel since early September, showing consistent higher lows and higher highs. Currently, price action is approaching a major resistance zone (highlighted in blue), around the $118,000 – $119,500 level.
----------Why the Blue Zone is Critical----------
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, where sellers have previously stepped in to push prices lower. It represents a significant hurdle for the bulls, and the next move from here could determine Bitcoin’s medium-term trajectory.
Bullish Scenario (Red Path):
If BTC breaks above the blue resistance area with strong momentum, it could confirm a breakout continuation. In this case, Bitcoin has the potential to test $120,000+ and eventually aim for new all-time highs (ATHs) within the ascending channel structure.
Bearish Scenario (Blue Path):
If the price fails to clear this resistance, a rejection could send BTC back to retest the channel’s lower boundary near $115,000–$114,500. Holding this support would be crucial to maintain the bullish structure. A breakdown from the channel would signal a potential trend reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance (Blue Zone): $118,000 – $119,500
Immediate Support: $115,000 – $114,500 (channel bottom)
Upside Target (if breakout succeeds): $124,000 – $125,000
Conclusion
The blue resistance zone is the make-or-break level for Bitcoin right now. A successful breakout could be the start of a new bullish leg toward ATH, while rejection here might trigger a healthy correction within the channel. Traders should closely monitor price action in this area before making directional decisions.
USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Analysis📊 Currently, USDT dominance has reacted negatively after testing the 4.33% – 4.35% resistance zone along with the descending trendline. This area is acting as a supply zone, strengthening the probability of further downside.
🔻 If the resistance holds, we expect USDT.D to enter a bearish leg, first targeting the 4.25% level, and then potentially extending toward the key support zone at 4.20% – 4.21%.
⚡ Alternative Scenario: If a strong candle closes above 4.35%, further upside toward the 4.45% region could be seen. However, as long as price remains below resistance, the bearish outlook remains more likely.
📌 Summary:
• Key Resistance: 4.33% – 4.35%
• Main Supports: 4.25% and 4.20%
• Primary Scenario: Continuation to the downside toward 4.20% if resistance holds
ACE ANALYSIS🔮#ACE Analysis 💰💰
#ACE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #ACE. Before that we will see little bit retest and then bullish movement
🔖 Current Price: $0.5745
⏳ Target Price: $0.8548
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #ACE. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
#ACE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Turn Losses into Wins with This Secret Formula!👋Hello traders!
Have you ever looked at a chart, placed a trade, and wondered, “Exactly how much will I make (or lose) if the price moves?”
Don’t worry — today I’m going to share with you a simple, easy-to-understand formula. This formula is short, easy to remember, and applies to any currency pair.
🔑 First: The Profit Calculation Formula
👉 Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit (USD)
Pip: The number of pips the price moves.
Lot: The size of your trade (0.1, 0.5, 1.0, etc.).
10: A fixed value in USD for standard currency pairs.
This small equation will immediately tell you how much you will gain or lose.
💡 Example
Let’s say you buy EUR/USD with a 1 lot position.
The price moves 50 pips in your favor.
Using the formula: 50 (pips) x 1 (lot) x 10 = Profit of $500 .
Another example: You trade 0.5 lot on XAU/USD, and the price moves 30 pips.
30 x 0.5 x 10 = Profit of $150.
See how simple that is?
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From the formula Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit, we can “reverse” it to calculate the appropriate Lot size based on your capital and acceptable risk level. This is the standard money management approach that professional traders always apply.
🔑 Lot Size Calculation Formula
👉 Lot = (Capital x % Risk Allowed) / (Stop Loss Pips x 10)
Capital: Your current account balance (e.g., $1,000).
% Risk: Typically 1-2% of the account per trade.
Stop Loss Pips : The distance from entry to the stop-loss point.
10: A fixed value (pip value for 1 standard lot).
💡 Illustrative Example
Capital: $1,000
Risk: 2% = $20
Stop Loss: 50 pips
Using the formula:
Lot = (1,000 x 0.02) / (50 x 10)
--> Lot = 0.04
👉 So, you should enter with a 0.04 lot size
Remember: Trading isn’t about luck, it’s about capital management and discipline. By applying these two formulas, you’ll see a big difference in your trading results.
So, next time you trade, remember this magical formula:
✅ Pip x Lot x 10 = Profit
✅ Lot = (Capital x % Risk Allowed) / (Stop Loss Pips x 10)
Have you memorized it? Hit like if you’ve remembered everything and are looking forward to more useful posts from me🚀!
Good luck!
BITCOIN This is where the fat lady sings..Well this is o secret. We've pointed that out many times before but it couldn't be more relevant than now as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the end of its 4-year Cycle.
So where does the 'fat lady sing'? According to the 1M RSI, at the top of its historic 15-year Channel Down. Which by the end of this year it should be above (the vastly oversold condition of) 90.00.
Is there enough time to left to do so? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AXS: Coiling Up for a Shakeout?AXS is stuck between floors and ceilings, grinding inside a tight rising wedge. While the macro picture looks juicy with the Fed turning on the liquidity taps, the on-chain data for AXS is telling a different story. We're seeing a classic setup where the chart looks bullish from afar, but the internals are weak.
Our game plan is to watch for a breakdown. The bulls' line of defense is the wedge support around $33.50. A clean break below that level opens the door to our primary target zone, a liquidity magnet around $31.90-$30.50. This area is a major support cluster and a logical place for a healthy reset before the next leg. Heavy resistance sits at the recent high of $35.76.
Patience is key here; we're waiting for the market to show its hand while the crowd gets chopped up. Don't be the exit liquidity for underwater holders looking to break even on this bounce. Smart money waits for confirmation.
Bitcoin Has Potential to Continue – Don’t Miss Out!Hello everyone, Ken here!
Let’s dive deeper into the current price action of Bitcoin.
As you can see, price is moving within a clear upward channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. After a sharp rise, the price has slightly pulled back to retest the broken resistance. This is a classic break and retest setup within a larger channel, a popular trading pattern I often use.
The key point here is that if this level holds as support, buyer confidence will be further solidified. And we’re already seeing that happen!
With this momentum, I believe 118,850 USDT is the next target, where the price could reverse depending on market reactions at that point.
Wishing you successful trades and a disciplined strategy!
BTC/USDT Analysis. Decision-Making Zones
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, we outlined two possible scenarios — and the market followed the second one. Bitcoin moved lower, testing the nearest buy zone, from which we can now reasonably expect renewed buying activity.
The current selling wave looks weak, so even a small reaction from buyers may lead to a retest of the local high. From that level, we will closely monitor price action, as a deeper correction could follow.
Buy Zones:
$116,200–$115,400 (accumulated volume, volume anomaly)
$114,300–$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volume)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volume)
Sell Zones:
$117,500–$119,000 (accumulated volume)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC 1H Aanalysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 42😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after reaching the seller trigger zone around $117,825, price was rejected to the downside. Currently, it is losing an important support level on this timeframe, and if we get a candle close below this zone, Bitcoin will likely move toward the buyer trigger area. After that, the market will enter a decision-making phase, where we will have to wait and see what happens in the coming week.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, there is a key level around 34. If momentum breaks below this level, we could see a deeper correction in Bitcoin’s price.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles are increasing, showing that many traders are selling Bitcoin and closing their long contracts. We need to watch how far this selling pressure continues. This correction, along with the selling momentum, is not unusual — it’s a natural part of Bitcoin’s price movement. Once this correction is complete, we’ll need to see what structure Bitcoin forms next.
🧠 For Bitcoin to make a real bullish reversal without entering an accumulation phase, the support level currently being lost could turn into a strong resistance trigger for future long positions. However, the main trigger remains at $117,825. If Bitcoin breaks above and holds that level, it could even set a new all-time high (ATH).
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS IS THE NEXT TARGET (scary) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bullish compression below 117k: game plan and risks__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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The trend stays bullish but capped by a multi‑TF supply zone, with higher lows supporting the structure. Event‑driven flow (options/witching) may trigger fakeouts around key levels.
Momentum: Bullish 📈 yet constrained below 116.9k–117,322; buyers control as long as 116.2k–116.3k holds.
Key levels:
- Resistances (HTF/ITF): 116,900–117,322 (multi‑TF decision zone); 117,950–118,000 (intraday liquidity); 120,000 (psychological shelf).
- Supports (ITF/HTF): 116,200–116,300 (intraday floor); 114,500–114,800 (240/720 pivot cluster); 111,965.8 (weekly support).
Volumes: Overall normal; 4H moderate (watch for a volume spike on breakout).
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H bullish (MTFTI filter), 6H/4H tactically supportive below 117,322; 15m micro risk‑off → prefer confirmed breakout or buy on support.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Neutral buy — aligns with momentum, but the 1D macro dashboard remains risk‑off, arguing for patience.
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Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
The dominant stance is cautious‑bullish below resistance; favor pro‑trend executions on confirmed signals.
Global bias: Buy‑the‑dip while 116.2k–116.3k holds; key invalidation below 114,787.9.
Opportunities:
- Breakout buy: daily/4H “break & hold” above 117,322 aiming 118k then 120k.
- Pullback buy: 116.2k–116.3k with 1H/2H bullish reaction, add above 117.0k.
- Tactical sell (counter‑trend): fade a clean rejection at 116.9k–117.3k, tight stop > 117.6k, targets 116.2k then 114.5k.
Risk zones / invalidations:
- A break below 114,787.9 invalidates the bullish bias and opens 114,471.7 then 111,965.8.
- No close > 117,322 over 2 bars (4H/1D) reduces breakout odds.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- Fed: −25 bps; USD still firm → whipsaw risk around witching/rebalancing.
- BoJ accommodative and softer oil → lighter inflation pressure, tactical risk support.
- Large options expiries ahead → gamma/hedging flows can amplify false breaks.
Action plan:
- Entry: Buy 116,200–116,350 (confirmed 1H/2H bullish reaction).
- Stop: Below 115,950 (1H close).
- TP1/TP2/TP3: 117,000 / 117,950–118,000 / 120,000.
- R/R approx: ~2.5R / ~5–6R / >10R from a 116.25k core entry.
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
HTFs are bullish while LTFs manage a compression under 117,322; the key trigger is a confirmed, high‑volume breakout.
1D/12H/6H: Uptrend compressing below 117,322; 114.5k–114.8k is the buy zone; best setups are clean breakout or controlled dip buys.
4H: Strong if triggered; “break & hold” > 117,322 with rising volume unlocks 118k then 120k.
2H/1H/30m: Range 116.2k–117.3k; watch reactions at 116.2k; 4H moderate volume could catalyze the move.
15m: Mild sell pressure; risk of a support sweep before any trigger — avoid anticipating without confirmation.
Major confluence/divergence: Single resistance 116.9k–117,322 across TFs; macro 1D risk‑off vs 4H/6H tailwinds → demand confirmation and volume.
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Macro & On-Chain Drivers
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Macro is mixed: tactical support post‑Fed contrasts with a 1D risk‑off backdrop, while options flows may dominate near‑term action.
Macro events: Fed −25 bps (tactically risk‑on), USD still firm (headwind for BTC), cluster of events (quad‑witching, rebalancing, expiries) fosters whipsaws; BoJ easy stance and softer oil ease inflation; persistent geopolitical noise.
Bitcoin analysis: Positive ETF inflows and high IBIT volumes back demand; whale withdrawals from institutional venues reduce immediate spot supply — supportive if breakout confirms.
On-chain data: ~95% of supply in profit with a key line near ~115.2k; record options OI (~500k BTC) and max pain ~110k for 26 Sep → potential magnets; perp OI stabilized.
Expected impact: Setup aligns with a cautious‑long bias, but a move > 117,322 needs a volume spike to avoid a head‑fake.
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Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is bullish but stuck beneath a key multi‑TF resistance. Trend is positive; the most relevant setup is a “break & hold” above 117,322 (or a controlled dip buy at 116.2k–116.3k) with confirming volume. On the macro side, the Fed’s rate cut helps, but options expiries can blur signals. Be patient, trade confirmed triggers, and defend invalidations.
BTCUSD Long: Awaiting Bounce from Channel SupportHello, traders! The prior price auction for BTCUSD was controlled by a downward wedge, which guided the price to the major 110000 DEMAND level. A strong bullish initiative from this demand zone caused a reversal and a breakout from the wedge, establishing the current bullish market structure and shifting control to buyers.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a new ascending channel. The auction has recently pushed up to test the significant horizontal supply at the 117600 level and is now in a corrective pullback phase, heading towards the lower support line of this channel for what I see as a critical test.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of this uptrend after the corrective dip completes. I believe the price will find strong support on the ascending demand line of the channel. In my opinion, a successful bounce from this dynamic support will confirm that buyers are still in control, triggering the next impulsive wave higher and breaking the 117600 supply level. The take-profit is therefore set at 120300, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) -> MPL and QML AnalysisHello guys!
Let's analyze btc!
⚡ Trading Strategy
MPL Level: 115,000 should be tested before the price rises, so wait for confirmation here before entering long positions.
Target: The next major target for the uptrend is around 117,500.
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📈 Outlook
Bullish: If price holds above the QML, the bullish trend could continue towards 117,500.
Watch for Retest: Keep an eye on 115,000 for a possible retest before further upside.
BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 116,794.22.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 117,811.55 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
$MSTR Falling Below the 50WMA in 2021 Bull Market Here's a look at last cycle where NASDAQ:MSTR trading under the 50WMA for several weeks led to the CRYPTOCAP:BTC bear market.
The reason why this was so significant last cycle is because they were responsible for such a large share of BTC buy pressure.
This cycle we have lots of other treasury companies, with many more to come, as well as ETFs of course, so I'm not as concerned with this PA.
XLM Weekly Market Update – Long Setup📊 CRYPTOCAP:XLM Weekly Market Update – Long Setup
As we can see on the weekly chart, CRYPTOCAP:XLM has formed a bullish double bottom pattern ✅
👉 After the pullback, it broke out of the black resistance zone, confirming a bullish structure.
🔼 Trade Idea:
📈 Entry Price (Current): 0.4002
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 → 0.4804
Target 2 → 0.6186
Target 3 → 0.7414
Target 4 → 0.8694
Target 5 → 0.9615
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.3370
⚠️ Risk: ~15.80%
💰 Potential Reward: ~140.19%
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~8.87
📌 Trade Type: Long
👉 If you’re holding CRYPTOCAP:XLM , these are the weekly targets & stop-loss to watch.