The final stage for BTC Just what if....hard to adjust by timing! Because macro to much affect the sp500/ gold and crypto. But just an idea
Probably global plan about 139k like a top for Bitcoin still relevant in October / November BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC Deep Pullback Could Offer Strategic Long Opportunity Bitcoin📊 Bitcoin remains in a strong bullish trend on the higher timeframes 📈, which is clear on the weekly chart. However, we’ve recently seen an aggressive BTC selloff on both the daily and 4H charts 🔻. Price is now moving into key support zones, trading through a prior accumulation range visible on both the daily and 4H 🏦. This zone represents a significant liquidity pool, where Bitcoin may potentially find support. I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of market structure on the 1H ⏰ — that would be my trigger for a potential long setup 🚀. This could present an opportunity to capitalize on a deep pullback within a bullish trend 💡 (not financial advice).
Bitcoin may bounce up of support line and break resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following a powerful upward trend and a significant breakout, bitcoin has established a new and higher territory for its price action, leading into the current phase of extensive consolidation. This consolidation has taken the form of a large upward pennant, a classic pattern of contracting volatility where the price is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The market has been rotating within these boundaries, with the seller zone around the 120000 resistance level capping rallies and the dynamic support line providing a floor for pullbacks. Currently, the asset is positioned at a critical juncture, testing the ascending support line of this multi-week formation after a corrective move down. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation of a successful upward rebound from this dynamic support. A confirmed bounce would validate the integrity of the pennant and suggest that another full rotation to the upside is the most probable path. This move would first challenge the horizontal resistance at 120000. Therefore, the ultimate TP for this rotational play is logically set at the 123700 level, as this precisely targets the upper resistance line of the pennant, representing the completion of the swing and a key decision point for a potential future breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN Below its 1D MA50. Is there any Support?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 02, having previously rebounded on it (August 02) on a perfect technical bounce that delivered a new All Time High (ATH).
Naturally, the 1D MA50 is the first medium-term line of Support and last time it broke convincingly, the price found a bottom (June 22) closer to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That was during BTC's previous Accumulation Phase of the 4-month Channel Up.
If that pattern is repeated, then Bitcoin's next Support could be within 112000 - 111000. On top of that, it would be useful to keep an eye on the 1D RSI, which is printing a pattern similar to he previous Accumulation Phase that bottomed on the 39.00 level.
As far as the next High is concerned, if it repeats the +22.72% rise that the previous Bullish Legs delivered from the 1D MA50 contact, then we're potentially looking at $137000 as the pattern's next Higher High.
So what's your view? Do you think the 1D MA100 will come to BTC's rescue and push it to $137k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If it moves upwards, we can look for a short-term position to sell Bitcoin from the specified supply zone.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Momentum in the digital assets market continues to accelerate, with Ethereum leading the charge. The cryptocurrency has surged from $1,500 in April to $4,300, marking its highest level since December 2021 and standing only 12.5% below its all-time high of $4,800. Historically, Ethereum has served as a leading indicator for the broader altcoin market, and its recent strength has fueled speculative activity across other higher-risk assets.
This capital rotation is also reflected in the Bitcoin Dominance index, which measures Bitcoin’s share of the overall crypto market. Over the past two months, Bitcoin’s dominance has fallen from 65% to 59%, signaling a continued flow of capital into riskier assets.
Last week, Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury Secretary, announced that Bitcoin seized by the federal government would form the core of the nation’s strategic Bitcoin reserves, established under President Trump’s March executive order. He further noted that the Treasury is exploring budget-neutral options to acquire additional Bitcoin, aligning with the administration’s commitment to making the United States the “world’s Bitcoin superpower.” He clarified that no new cryptocurrencies would be purchased, as the reserves will rely solely on confiscated assets.
Meanwhile, the balance held by Accumulator wallets—addresses that exclusively buy Bitcoin and never sell—has reached 308,150 BTC, the highest level ever recorded. Continued accumulation by these wallets implies a tightening supply in circulation and is often seen as the beginning of a new bullish phase in the market.
In parallel, Bit Digital, a Nasdaq-listed company, reported a net profit in Q2 of this year despite a decline in overall revenue. This shift came as the company focused on its new treasury and Ethereum-based staking strategy.
According to its quarterly report, Bit Digital generated $25.7 million in total revenue during the period, representing an 11.7% year-over-year decline. The company attributed the decrease primarily to reduced income from digital asset mining, as operations shifted toward treasury and Ethereum staking initiatives, though part of the drop was offset by growth in other business segments.
During the same quarter, Bit Digital posted $14.9 million in net profit, equal to $0.07 per share, compared to a net loss of $12 million in the same period last year. CEO Sam Tabar described the quarter as “the beginning of the company’s transformation into a specialized Ethereum treasury and staking platform.” In June, Bit Digital formally announced its Ethereum strategy and began the gradual phase-out of its Bitcoin mining operations.
According to Yahoo Finance data, Bit Digital’s stock fell 0.63% on Thursday to $3.19. However, despite the daily decline, the stock has risen 8.1% over the past five days and is up 8.9% year-to-date.
BTC, ETH CME Gaps Could Fill Before Bullish Continuation!Ethereum CME futures currently show a visible gap around $4,100 . Price is approaching this level, and based on historical behavior, CME gaps often act as magnets, drawing price in to fill them before a continuation in trend.
Bitcoin CME futures also have a gap sitting near $117,400. The recent rally has brought BTC close to this zone, increasing the probability of a short-term retracement to fill the gap before any significant breakout attempts.
Both gaps are key areas to watch, as a clean fill followed by strong buying pressure could set the stage for the next bullish wave in BTC and ETH.
Cheers
Hexa
114-114.50K is Vital in short-termMorning folks,
So, potential patterns that we discussed last time even had no chances to be formed, market just collapsed. It is not a surprising moment. In our weekly reports we paid a lot of attention to the US liquidity as a main fundamental driving factor. The maths here is very simple 1+Trln borrowing in 2 months. It is yet to borrow net ~250-300 Bln, while RRP liquidity source is exhausted already. Additionally US Treasury need to accumulate 300 Bln more on its TGA account. All this liquidity will be drained from the market. BTC will be under direct impact of this stuff.
Now 114 K support area seems vital in short term. We intend to watch for patterns around it and week close price. If BTC drops lower, next area to watch is 110-111K support. I do not want to speak what will happen if it will be broken, but don't exclude retracement back to 70-80K area in this case.
To remind you we still have all-time 127K target. At least following normal technical behavior, I hope that BTC will try to reach it first, before collapse will happen. This is the reason of our special attention to 114K support.
Bitcoin & STRONG SUPPORTBitcoin has reached a strong support area:
1. 78% Fibonacci level
2. August's pivot
3. Former resistance line (yellow)
4. Bullish divergence on 4H RSI
I expect a strong bounce to around 120k.
$BTC.D On the Cusp Of Breaking Down - What to WatchNothing too exciting to write home about for the Weekly Closes today, but ₿itcoin Dominance shows continued signs of breaking down, now closing the past 2 weeks below the 50WMA.
If we get one more decisive Weekly close beneath it, I’d feel very comfortable calling Alt Season.
BTC.D is also on the verge of breaking below the 8-year trendline, as well as the 0.236 Fib which would add confluence.
Breaking below 57% should seal the deal.
This will be a big week to watch.
BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran the daily swing liquidity but couldn’t close above it.
Additionally, price has tapped into the equilibrium level, which makes this a discount zone in my view.
📌 Game Plan
There are two possible scenarios to watch:
First scenario (red):
→ Price closes above 119,725$, then I’ll be looking for entries around 118,750$.
Second scenario (black):
→ Price may retrace further to 116,310$, marked by 12H swing liquidity.
→ This level also aligns with the 0.75 Fibonacci retracement, which is my max discount zone.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I’ll be watching for a 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) to initiate entries.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H–1H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
TP1: 121,680$
TP2: 124,500$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Bitcoin Dominance Below 60% & Below SupportBTCD just lost the 0.236 Fib. retracement support, the next level to be tested immediately is 55.64 followed by 52.44 followed by 49.23. All these are high probability targets.
The week closes today and is red. The chart drawings, patterns and signals are bearish; bearish confirmed, pointing lower and support additional bearish action. Everything points down for this index and the volume is just too strong. The downtrend is on.
The drop is about to intensify next week. Last week was the continuation and this week the confirmation. Now we will experience the meat of the current move. This is when bearish momentum intensifies.
Thinking of the inverse relation between Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins, this means that the 2025 bull market is about to speed up. We are about to see a massive influx of capital into the market and a large amount of bullish momentum.
Remember, Bitcoin will also grow.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market is going up.
Ethereum will continue growing.
Be prepared, no more red.
(As Bitcoin Dominance goes down, Crypto goes up.)
Namaste.
Bitcoin’s Power Law Curve — Fairly Valued With Room to RunThis chart applies a Power Law Rainbow Model to Bitcoin using a long-term logarithmic regression fitted to BTC's historical price action. Power laws are mathematical relationships often found in nature, science, and network systems — and Bitcoin is no exception.
Rather than relying on arbitrary trendlines, this model fits a curve based on the equation:
Price = a × t^b
Where:
t is the number of days since inception
a and b are constants optimized to Bitcoin's growth
Bands represent log-scaled standard deviation zones from the curve
🌈 Interpreting the Chart
The center white curve reflects Bitcoin's "fair value" according to its adoption-based trajectory.
Colored bands represent ±1σ, ±2σ, ±3σ from the model, creating a "valuation rainbow."
Historically, Bitcoin's cycle bottoms have touched the lower bands (blue/purple), while euphoria tops align with the upper bands (orange/red).
✅ Current Outlook
BTC is trading just under the fair value curve , suggesting it's fairly valued or slightly undervalued from a long-term perspective.
This position has historically preceded major upside moves, especially in post-halving environments.
From a Smart Money Concepts angle, we're in a potential accumulation or markup phase , with institutional and informed capital likely already positioning.
🧠 Why Power Laws Work for BTC
Bitcoin adoption follows network effects — more users = more value — which naturally follows a power law.
Unlike linear trends, power law curves scale with time , making them ideal for modeling exponential assets.
They offer a more objective long-term valuation framework , avoiding emotional cycle chasing.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice . The model reflects historical behavior and is a tool to support long-term perspective — not short-term prediction. Always do your own research and risk management.
Bitcoin : Decision point here: trendline bounce vs. breakdownBTC/USD – Daily
Price is testing the rising trendline support after a sharp rejection from recent highs. Currently sitting right on the line (circled), showing whether bulls can defend this level or if we risk a deeper pullback.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: $111,950 – $112,000
Resistance: $127,000
Rising trendline (watch closely for confirmation or breakdown).
Momentum is slowing, and we’ve got regular bearish divergence on the histogram—suggesting caution. If this support holds, continuation higher is likely. If it breaks, expect retest of lower demand zones.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Pullback Toward 112k Support
On the 3H chart, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold above the mid-channel resistance. Price action is rolling over, with a clear break of the short-term trendline and rejection at ~118.5k.
🔹 The structure suggests BTC is forming a corrective leg, with the next major liquidity pool resting near 112,000 – 111,500 (highlighted green zone). This level also aligns with:
• Prior demand block & consolidation base
• Lower boundary of the short-term channel
• Key Fibonacci retracement cluster
If buyers fail to defend this zone, we could see acceleration toward the deeper supports around 109k.
📊 Scenario Path (Orange Projection):
• Short-term consolidation under 118k
• Breakdown continuation toward 114.5k (intermediate support)
• Final sweep into 112k liquidity zone before any strong rebound attempt
⚠️ Risk factors:
• A reclaim of 121.5k invalidates the bearish scenario and opens the door to retesting 125k.
• Watch funding rates & BTC.D — a sudden risk-off move in alts could accelerate the drop.
🎯 Trading Outlook (Not Financial Advice):
• Short bias while below 118.5k–121.5k
• Main target: 112k
• Tight stops required due to volatility
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #155👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Bitcoin is still ranging with low volume. Let’s see what could happen to Bitcoin in the coming week.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin rose from its support zone and, by breaking 117837, it managed to hold above this level.
📊 The volume is still very low and will probably remain so until the new weekly candle opens. But if the volume increases, with the break of the 119096 zone we can open a long position.
📈 For long positions, my preference is still on altcoins because Bitcoin dominance is falling and the money flowing into altcoins is more than into Bitcoin.
✔️ If 119096 is broken and dominance continues to fall, altcoins can once again have an upward move and I will open a new position on altcoins.
🔔 On the other hand, if with the start of the new weekly candle the price holds below 116829, it is very likely the market will go into correction and range for the whole week. But if its initial move is bullish and it breaks the 119096 high, a new bullish leg for the market can begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN Rebound Ahead!
HI,Traders !
#BITCOIN made a retest
Of the wide horizontal support
Level again at 117102.1 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so a local bullish
Rebound can be expected !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Whales don't play for the whole pie…So, we have a new stage of redistribution. All liquidity has already been bought out, and the deficit of the blockchain core remains at the basis of endless replication.
BTC Hopium! $250k December? Probably wont get to $250k, but a big move to the upside is coming I believe.
Also as you can see all indicators on PMI are pointed up.
Good luck everyone, just an idea and not financial advice.
GO LONG BOYS!!!!Bitcoin is about to RIP to numbers no one would ever believe. Its also going to do it so fast that most wont be able to get in. I predict that within the next month or so we will daily candles of 10k+ maybe higher.
If you're on the sidelines still waiting for a dump then just stay there, keep waiting, and listening to the echo chamber of a big dump incoming. Fools.
This is just my opinion not financial advice.
THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT! KINDAI got a little experimental with the Bitcoin chart after seeing such a strong correlation on cycle one of Litecoin and this cycle. (I did an analysis on this exact this for Litecoin Ill past the chart below). Bitcoin and Litecoin cycles are playing out almost exactly the same as their previous cycles.
As you can see in the chart Bitcoin from the time it came out to when it topped in its first cycle on December Friday the 13th 2013. I took and compared the first wave of cycle one and compared it to the first wave of this current cycle 2 and sound that the time it took this cycle was 5.5 times greater than previous. Measuring that distance to the top of wave three brings bitcoin to July of this year for a wave three top on this much larger degree of trend before a correction. Wave 5 should complete in 2025 around December.
I know I know Bitgolder you're absolutely insane that could never happen. Well you're wrong and chances are it will happen. Do you know how much money in just derivatives there are? As of writing its almost 1 Quadrillion dollars, THATS JUST DERIVATIVES. Thats not including 75% of the rest of the assets in the world. So Bitcoin soaking up 25% of the world per say isn't that unreasonable considering the rich are now finding it as a safe haven for their wealth preservation. Theres always an out for the rich when everything is about to collapse and this time its Bitcoin and maybe gold silver and farmland. After 2025 and around there the world may look totally different. There will be some major financial issues around the world and the entire planet will be in a major global depression. Countries Governments may actually attempt to seize Bitcoin from the population because of how valuable it is. Dollar terms will be irrelevant. Things may even be priced in Bitcoin. Watch Europe. When their bond crisis begins then USA is maybe 6 months a year behind.
With bitcoin reaching the price I predict of around $40 million each in 2025 that would give bitcoin a market cap of 966 Trillon which would be a 1000x from where we are now. I think this scenario is likely if the world decides Bitcoin will be the store of value to weather out the coming depression and potential world war, cause what better time to have a world war than during a depression.
To come up with these price targets, I measured the percentage gain on each wave on Cycle 1 and measured it against the current Cycle two and its about 10x the move percentage wise.
Everyone keeps saying diminishing returns blah blah. No one can predict how Bitcoin will act. This is the first asset in our history that has had a fixed numerical supply. Supply and demand can change in a heartbeat and price can and will go straight up. Its also the most pain that can be inflicted because everyone and their brother is bearish right now calling for big drops, and so many still waiting on the sidelines for the 30k dip thats never going to happen cause they sold at 40 listening to idiotic you tubers that echo each other in their circle jerk.
Not financial advice this is just my opinion.
BTCUSD Theres No Way We Can Hit 1 Million Dollar Bitcoin, Right?I think that Bitcoin is on its way to some serious numbers. Numbers that most think are impossible. So many think that this cycle has to be like previous cycles. Oh its 840 days in the last cycle from bottom to top, or 4 year cycles etc. Its all bogus, this time is different regardless of what you think. Bitcoin is being locked in the ETF now and soon to be reserves of states, countries, city states you name the whole world is going to hoard Bitcoin. There is no more sloshing of capital like you're used to to created an altcoin season. There is no more Bitcoin dominance dropping, like you're used. It is simply different and thats the facts jack. Everyone selling now is going to regret it.
I believe that Bitcoin from 2009 to the end of 2023 was one giant cycle. We are at the beginning of a new cycle for Bitcoin. If you think the last one was fun, just wait till you see this one. Ill paste a picture of what I mean below so you can understand what Im saying.
People calling Michael Saylor stupid, saying hes buying the top, like they are smarter than him, or Blackrock, any other hedge fund, or countries, or US states. Everyone who thinks that is they are smarter than these people are going to have a rude awakening.
1 Million is just the beginning. Over the next 10 years Bitcoin is going to go to numbers that no one can even fathom. Not even the dreamiest of Bulls. I bet Bitcoin could hit 30-50 million dollars over the next 10 years. Why do I say that?
The world, especially the United States is about to go into a massive productivity boom over the next 10 years, cheap energy, increased efficiency in all sectors, AI expansion, new inventions, and massive wealth transfers from the baby boom generation. Trump saying that America is entering a Golden Age is absolutely correct. We are going to witness the most epic bull run in history from now to about 2035. Sure there will be corrections and crashes along the way, but itll just be a higher low and then off to the races again.
The baby boom generation is sitting on 78 TRILLION DOLLARS of wealth currently. As baby boomers retire or pass away, their wealth will likely be passed on to their children and grandchildren. This transfer of wealth will help future generations buy homes, pay off student debt, make other purchases, and invest. This will benefit Bitcoin tremendously because now theres barely anyone under 50 investing in Gold or Silver anymore, that stuff is stone age currecny. We are entering a digital AI age, we're not moving backwards. The gold for the new digital golden age is Bitcoin. So much money and capital will flow into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, stock market etc. That is why the smart are loading up!
Its going to be beautiful, so just have a seat, buckle up its going to be wild. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion.
Recession's here? Don't fear, Gold signifies the new frontier.Gold monthly setting up for an explosive upward move in relation to forex bulletins and potential global bifurcation.
