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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTC/USDT: Symmetrical Triangle Signals Potential Downside MoveHi! The price action is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, marked by converging trendlines, the top line showing lower highs and the bottom line showing higher lows. At present, BTC is trading near the upper half of the pattern but has recently faced rejection from the top trendline, indicating potential bearish pressure. The highlighted setup suggests a short position targeting a move toward the bottom boundary of the triangle around $106,000–$105,500, with a stop loss near $112,300. A confirmed break below the lower trendline could accelerate bearish momentum, while a breakout above the top line would invalidate this bearish scenario and signal possible trend reversal. Bias: Bearish within the symmetrical triangle until a clear breakout occurs. Key Levels: Resistance: $112,300 Support: $106,000 / $105,500
Short
by melikatrader94
13
Bitcoin’s Triple Cycle Overlap“Bitcoin’s Triple Cycle Overlap” reveals three distinct, self-reinforcing rhythms in Bitcoin’s price history: • 4-year cycle (red) — tied to halvings, driving short-term bull/bear phases • 8-year cycle (blue) — reflecting adoption waves and institutional entry • 13-year cycle (green) — capturing Bitcoin’s long-term maturation from niche asset to global reserve These cycles are not random — they are fractal, consistent, and overlapping across time, with the 2025–2029 window marking the first full convergence of all three. — Created by @drednaught0moto
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by Drednaught0moto
Bitcoin Rises After the Trade Storm?Bitcoin/USDT has surged strongly after confirmation of a high-level meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders, easing concerns over tariffs and trade tensions. At the same time, U.S. CPI data for September came in below expectations, reinforcing the possibility that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates — creating a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. On the chart, the price has rebounded from the 107,000 USD support zone and is now testing the 111,000 USD level — a clear sign that the bullish structure remains intact. If the support holds and the price breaks above nearby resistance, the next target could lie around 120,000 USD or higher. Current strategy: prioritize buying on minor pullbacks around 108,000–110,000 USD while aiming for higher targets. However, if the 107,000 USD support breaks, it would signal the need for a more cautious approach.
Long
by Octaviuss
10
Bitcoin Game Plan – RAKZ ModelBitcoin Game Plan – RAKZ Model 📊 Market Sentiment Bitcoin’s sentiment is currently volatile but shifting bullish due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. The U.S. is entering a quantitative easing (QE) phase, which historically channels liquidity toward risk assets. After a softer CPI print on 24/10, the FED is expected to cut rates twice (total 50 BPS) this year. Meanwhile, improving relations between the U.S. and China ease global trade concerns, reducing macro risks. 📈 Technical Analysis Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined range. Price recently retraced to the bearish trendline, ran Daily Swing Liquidity, and rejected from a Higher Timeframe Demand Zone — all within the 0.75 max discount zone. This setup suggests a potential range accumulation phase before a bullish expansion. I’m monitoring price action closely as it consolidates, building momentum for a possible breakout. 📘 Model in Use – Range Accumulation with HTF Key Zone (RAKZ Model) This model identifies price accumulation inside higher timeframe zones and aims to capture continuation moves once structure confirms strength. Model Steps: 1️⃣ Identify range accumulation on HTF. 2️⃣ Wait for price to tap EQ or 0.75 zone. 3️⃣ Confirm daily close above EQ or key zone. 4️⃣ Enter on breakout or retest of the key zone. 5️⃣ Validate with LTF market structure confirmation before entry. 📌 Game Plan Wait for a daily close above $113,250, the confluence of both the EQ of the range and a HTF Key Zone. That daily confirmation will signal bullish continuation. 🎯 Setup Trigger → Daily break and close above $113,250 → 4H structure shift on retest of $113,250 📋 Trade Management → Stop Loss: Daily close below $110,000 → Targets: TP1: $119,350 TP2: $126,300 (ATH) → Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is reached. 💬 If this analysis helps your trading, leave a comment or follow for more detailed model-based setups every week! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 110,605.73. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 108,030.03 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Wulf exhausted?NASDAQ:WULF appears exhausted at the upper channel boundary and I have exited completely for now. The Elliot wave pattern completes a leading diagonal which hints at higher to go after a wave 2 pullback which could end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement but more a likely target is the 0.5 Fib at $5.84 also the weekly 200EMA. Breaking out above the channel would change the count and structure and be very bullish. RSI has been overbought for a while. For now we watch and wait. Safe trading
NASDAQ:WULF
by Maddox_Metrics
RRP Exhaustion and TGA Rebuild Signal a Tightening Cycle1. Overview Liquidity conditions across the U.S. financial system have entered a tightening phase once again. The U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) has surged from its June low of around $200 billion to roughly $905 billion today, while the Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) has collapsed to just $2 billion, effectively empty. This shift marks the end of the liquidity buffer that had supported markets over the past year, and the consequences are now visible across risk assets, particularly Bitcoin, which has been trending lower since the TGA bottomed in June. 2. Liquidity Mechanics The interaction between the TGA and RRP is central to understanding current market dynamics. - When the Treasury rebuilds its TGA, it issues short-term bills and absorbs cash from the financial system. - During 2023 and early 2024, this liquidity drain was largely offset by reductions in the RRP balance, as money market funds reallocated idle liquidity into T-bills. - That mechanism kept overall market liquidity relatively stable — the RRP served as a shock absorber. Today, that buffer is gone. With RRP nearly depleted, any additional TGA build now draws directly from the banking system’s reserves, tightening liquidity conditions beneath the surface. 3. Liquidity Inflection and Market Correlation The TGA bottomed in June at around $200 billion, a point that coincided almost perfectly with the Bitcoin top near its recent cycle highs. This correlation is not coincidental, it reflects the direct relationship between system liquidity and speculative risk demand. As Treasury began rebuilding its cash balance, liquidity was redirected away from markets and into government accounts. That liquidity drain aligns with the ongoing weakness in high-beta assets such as crypto and small caps, despite relatively stable macro data and policy expectations. 4. Current Liquidity Regime: Neutral in Level, Tight in Flow At the aggregate level, liquidity may appear neutral — the increase in TGA has been offset by the decline in RRP, keeping the total size of Fed liabilities roughly unchanged. However, the composition of that liquidity has deteriorated. - The RRP is now empty, meaning the system no longer has an easy liquidity source to fund further Treasury accumulation. - TGA is high and rising, effectively absorbing capital that could have supported credit or speculative flows. - The bank reserve base is beginning to feel the pressure, tightening funding conditions quietly but steadily. The result is a liquidity regime that is not collapsing but no longer expanding, which explains why risk assets are stagnant. There is no incremental liquidity flowing down the risk curve. 5. Fiscal and Structural Headwinds The current U.S. government shutdown further complicates the outlook. It restricts Treasury operations, delays issuance flexibility, and slows the recycling of liquidity back into the private sector. This prevents the RRP from being refilled and reinforces the liquidity stasis across markets. In other words, the system is locked: - The TGA is high and still rising. - The RRP is empty. - Reserves are now the adjustment variable, meaning further tightening could emerge if the Treasury continues to absorb cash. 6. Market Implications - Liquidity exhaustion is becoming visible in market behavior. - The TGA rebuild represents a clear liquidity drain as it is no longer offset by RRP balances. - BTC’s reversal from its June peak reinforces the correlation between Treasury liquidity cycles and speculative risk performance. The neutral aggregate liquidity masks an underlying structural tightening, there is no new money reaching markets. Until the TGA begins to decline again, releasing liquidity back into the system, the bias for risk assets remains constrained. Markets are likely to remain choppy, with limited upside momentum due to the absence of fresh liquidity inflows. 7. Conclusion Liquidity conditions are neutral in total but tight in structure. The RRP’s depletion removes the last line of defense against Treasury-driven liquidity absorption. With the TGA near $905 billion and still rising, risk assets are operating in an environment where no new liquidity is entering the system, only being recycled internally. The correlation between June’s TGA low and Bitcoin’s top highlights just how sensitive speculative assets are to liquidity cycles. Until Treasury spending or Federal Reserve policy shifts inject new reserves into the system, market liquidity will remain capped and so will risk appetite.
FRED:RRPONTSYD
by junosats
1
RIOT upwards momentum well in tactNASDAQ:RIOT Price remains in momentum breaking out of the channel in a wave 3 with a minimum target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $91, a 4x from here. Wav 2 completed at triple support- Fibonacci golden pocket, High Volume Node and channel boundary before quickly overcoming the weekly pivot and 200EMA. Breaking out above wave 1 is a show of strength, Price should stall at the High Volume Nodes as supply comes in, $21, $40 and $57 but ultimately they should be overcome. Weekly RSI is overbought where it can stay for months as price extends. Higher Bitcoin = Higher targets Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
15
MSTR still in wave 4 rangeNASDAQ:MSTR Price is still in a wave (IV) which are expected to be long and drawn out, yet shallow which is what we have here. I don’t expect wave (V) to kick in until Bitcoin moves. Wave (V) has an expected of the R3 daily pivot at $1039 but will overextend if Bitcoin does. Price has fallen out of the lower channel boundary and sitting at the weekly pivot, still above the weekly 200EMA so the outlook us bullish. wave (4) may complete at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $203. For now I am waiting to see what happens before entering but believe good opportunities are setting up. Safe trading
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Maddox_Metrics
BTC - Liquidity Dynamics leading to new HighsMarket Context Bitcoin has shown a constructive reaction from the recent lows, printing a clean double bottom structure that suggests short-term demand entering the market. After a previous buy-side liquidity sweep and rejection, price has rebalanced and is now challenging a fair value gap (FVG) that previously served as resistance. This marks a key decision zone where the next directional move will unfold. Fair Value Gaps & Structure The FVG overhead has already acted as resistance, capping the first impulsive move from the lows. Should price retrace slightly to take out the remaining sell-side liquidity below the double bottom before re-engaging higher, it would confirm the area as a springboard for a bullish continuation. A clean reclaim and hold above the FVG zone would signal a shift in order flow favoring buyers. Liquidity Dynamics The current setup offers both sides of the market clear liquidity targets: sell-side liquidity resting under the double bottom and buy-side liquidity resting above the prior high. Smart money could engineer a sweep of the lower side first to accumulate before expansion, or alternatively, break directly through resistance to trigger a larger bullish leg. Final Thoughts The structure reflects a balanced but bullish-leaning scenario — a classic accumulation and breakout setup. A deeper retest to clear out lower liquidity would strengthen the foundation for continuation, while sustained strength above the FVG opens the door for a reaction toward new highs. If this analysis aligned with your view, drop a like — do you think we clear the lows first, or head straight for a bullish breakout?
Long
by Louigi_24
78
MARA Strong breakout incomingNASDAQ:MARA is stalling at the weekly pivot as expected but is above the 200EMA. Wave (II) appears complete at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with a swing below the lower boundary trend-line. Wave 3 of (III) appears to be underway so I am looking for an aggressive breakout to the upside once we clear the current resistance. The R1 pivot is the first target at $30 where the last bit of major resistance before the stronger breakout should come in, the High Volume Node. Wave (III) has a target of $83 at the next major High Volume Node resistance, just above the R5 pivot. Analysis is invalidated if we fall below $10. RSI is at the EQ with plenty of room for upside Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
14
IREN Exhausted? PUllback time?IREN wave (3) ran incredibly and I am looking for a deeper pullback as people begin to take profit. I have closed my positions at a 10x and am waiting for re-entry. The weekly pivots have been ran, RSI is at max overbought but can remain here for months (as it has done). Initial downside targets for wave (4) is the 0.236 Fib retracement at $39 followed by the 0.382, $26.43. Expect shorts to pile in adding to any downside momentum. In the long term I believe we have much higher to go towards $100 in wave (5). Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
$HUT Breaking out, test of channel done and dusted!Hut has broken out of the channel upper boundary and a test of the boundary took place as expected, quickly catching a bid and recovering 17% Friday, producing a long signal for me. The next target is the High Volume Node resistance at $82 just under the R5 weekly pivot. Fibonacci extension has a minimum target of the 1.618, $135. The Elliot wave count suggests a very bullish move come in wave III of (III) which would overextend the 1.618 target above, $200+. RSI is overbought but can remain here for months. Safe trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
Coinbase Bottom in, new all time high coming?NASDAQ:COIN had a deep pullback after its recent bullish move but caught a large bid by the end of the week leaving a long lower wick. It appears the bottom is in but investors should be cautious as price is below resistance major resistance High Volume Node and R1 weekly pivot. If the pullback is complete then we have a very shallow wave 2 within wave (II) and can expect much higher targets perhaps in the $1000s before the end of this business cycle. There will resistance at the upper boundary and R3 weekly pivot around $600 and a breakout above that area will signal we go higher. RSI has plenty of room for months over overextension in price. I will be looking to add a long so look out for the signal in my Trade Planning Substack. Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
CLSK, nothing changed, $40+ incoming, 2x minNASDAQ:CLSK is low cap asset and is prone to large volatile swing like we are seeing but also gives way to opportunities. Price is attempting to breakout the macro triangle upper boundary was rejected at first. Breaking above wave D at $24 is key to trigger the thrust I'm looking for towards $42 and $80 all time High Volume Node after that. Price has momentum above the weekly pivot 200EMA but currently trapped in a High Volume Node where we expect price to stall before continuing upwards. RSI can stay in overbought for months. Participants are still afraid of this asset coming against them and its volatility, a reflection of the broader sentiment of FEAR in retail that is still persisting at all time high. Ridiculous bear market PTSD. A recipe for MUCH higher. until market wide confidence takes hold. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CLSK
by Maddox_Metrics
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #206👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to Bitcoin’s analysis, the market is still moving upward, so let’s review it together. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, Bitcoin formed a resistance zone around 111463, which it touched once, and on the next attempt, it managed to break through this level. ⭐ In this bullish leg that started after the fake-out of 107486, the RSI is strongly supporting the trend and is now close to the Overbought area. ✔️ However, volume is still very low and doesn’t confirm the trend, which isn’t ideal. Since today is Saturday, overall market volume is weak, and there’s a high chance that with the start of the new weekly candle, this entire upward move could turn out to be a fake-out in the next couple of days. ✨ Still, I believe it’s worth the risk to keep the positions open that were entered at 108943 and 111463, because if the 113429 level breaks, price could start a very strong bullish move. 💥 If this upward move turns out to be fake and price stabilizes below 111463, we can consider that as a temporary bearish confirmation — in that case, price could again drop back down toward the 107486 level 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Bitdeer BTDR Macro Outlook. Nothing changed, Min 2x to come $54NASDAQ:BTDR is a low-cap volatile asset so traders and investors should expect wild pullbacks like we are seeing and is feature of these type of assets and is why we can make so much money from them when using the right strategy. The macro structure is bullish in an Elliot wave ABC as there are many series of 3 wave structures. Wave (3) of C of (C) is underway with a minimum target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension $41.17 but price can significantly overextend in these assets. Terminal target is the channel upper boundary and R3 weekly pivot at $55. A break out above this would be very bullish and could see prices as high as $80+ RSI has months left of upside. Analysis is only invalidated below the 200EMA. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
Weekly crypto review: BTC trend structure Price continues to move in line with the main scenario discussed in previous weekly updates. As long as the structure remains constructive and key supports hold, I'll be holding the base hypothesis of correction completion and gradual trend recovery as a prime one. In this scenario, over the coming weeks and into Q4, I’d like to see: • price holding above local support; • breakout and consolidation above the 21-day EMA and 50-day MA; • gradual movement toward next resistance zones — 115–120K, followed by 123K+. Key levels: • Local support: 109–107K • Local resistance: 114–116K, then 120–123.5K • Macro support zone: 102K A breakdown below local support may trigger another retest of the lower boundary of the macro-support zone. If weekly closes occur below 102K, it would notably increase the probability that the current long-term uptrend cycle is ending and a macro-correction phase is beginning. Daily time frame: Weekly: Thank you for your attention — wishing everyone a calm weekend and a productive start to the new week!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by artemfedorov
BTC/USDT — Holding Strength Above Low Time Frame, Eyeing 114K BTC/USDT — Holding Strength Above Low Time Frame, Eyeing 114K Zone 🚀 Bitcoin continues to show positive structure, trading above the low time frame support and aligning with the broader uptrend momentum. The recent stabilization and gradual rise in volume indicate that buyers are maintaining control, keeping BTC in a constructive phase toward the $114,000 target zone. As long as Bitcoin sustains above $109,700–$110,000, the trend remains bullish, with higher-timeframe confirmation aligning in favor of continuation. 📊 Technical Overview: Support Zone: $109,700 – $110,000 Resistance Target: $114,000 Trend: Positive continuation above low TF Bias: Bullish Momentum and volume remain healthy — suggesting BTC could attempt another push into the 114K region if current structure holds. 📈 Outlook: Uptrend continuation 🎯 Target: $114,000+
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin is now positioned below its main resistance! | Day 10👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel. ✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 Bitcoin has still not succeeded in breaking the resistance zone at $111,458. However, Bitcoin formed a higher low compared to its previous low, which increases the probability of breaking this resistance and gives it a higher win rate for a breakout. 🧮 Pay attention to the RSI oscillator. The 70 zone has maintained its overlap with Bitcoin just like yesterday, with the difference that the RSI support zone is now in the 45 range, which also overlaps with the newly formed higher low. 💰 Bitcoin’s volume in the 1-hour time frame has increased after forming a higher low, meaning this low is being respected by buyers, and the desire to break multi-timeframe resistances has increased. Breaking the current resistance zone requires strong buying volume so that sell orders are filled and some futures orders get liquidated. ✍️ The expected scenario for Bitcoin does not differ significantly from yesterday’s scenario. 🟢 Long Position Scenario Break the key resistance at $111,458, surpass the 70 level on RSI and enter overbuy territory, accompanied by increased buying volume and a price squeeze. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by Satoshimultiframe