Bitcoin HOLDING THE MAIN TREND.. UPDATE 30-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
🔻 Bitcoin is currently trading below the low time frame zone, showing short-term weakness.
✅ However, BTC is still holding the main trend, which keeps the bigger picture positive.
📊 As long as the main trend support (around $110K) is defended, the market structure remains intact.
🚀 A rebound from this area could bring BTC back into the low time frame range and open the way toward $115K+.
📌 Summary:
BTC lost the low time frame, but the fact that it’s holding the main trend is a key positive signal. This level is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #184👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's go over the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, the price got rejected from a resistance zone, and today, it has started a corrective downward movement. Let's review the market together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, after the price reached the resistance zone, I mentioned that if the RSI exits the Overbuy zone, we could take profits.
📊 This is exactly what happened. After the price was rejected from the zone, the RSI moved out of the Overbuy zone and started heading downward.
⭐ Currently, the price correction has continued towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level. The trading volume during this correction has not decreased, which indicates that sellers are still active in the market, and their trading volume is not significantly lower than buyers.
🎲 If the price continues its correction and the volume increases at the same rate, the likelihood of a trend reversal and the start of a new downward trend becomes much higher. However, if the volume decreases simultaneously with the correction, the range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels will be a very important support zone, and the price could find support there.
🔼 For a long position, the trigger we currently have is the breakout of the resistance zone. If we wait for the price to touch this zone a few more times, we can draw the exact numbers for the range and open our position upon its breakout.
⚡️ For a short position, it's better to wait and get confirmation of a bearish trend before looking for triggers. We will confirm the bearish trend if the selling volume increases and lower highs and lows are made.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
$BTC – Flip Zones Driving 4H StructureCRYPTOCAP:BTC flipped bullish after reclaiming the blue demand, then turned bearish at the red supply. We’re now pulling back from resistance, and the next clean setup likely forms on a retest of the blue zone.
🔑 Key zones
Support (blue) ~$111k area — former base of the last impulse.
Resistance (red) ~$114.5k–$115k — where sellers capped the rally.
🔎 Confluence
Prior bearish rejection at red + bullish reaction at blue.
Clear HH/HL structure only resumes if price holds blue and pushes back above red.
📊 Scenarios
Bullish 📈 Pull back into $111k (blue), print higher-low / bullish candle, then continuation toward $115k → $117k.
Bearish 📉 Lose the blue zone with a strong 4H close → open room for a deeper dip before buyers try again.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
Impulse Wave 5 Near Completion: Short Setup Ahead?The 5th wave of the current impulse structure is close to completion. Price action is showing exhaustion and the drop in volume is confirming that momentum is fading. At this stage, risk for longs is increasing and the probability of a corrective phase (A-B-C) is high.
Traders should keep an eye on bearish confirmation signals such as trendline breaks, bearish engulfing bars, or supply zone failures. A short setup could develop soon if price rejects with conviction.
Patience is key — Wave 5 can stretch, but once it’s done, downside pressure usually accelerates quickly. Manage risk carefully and adjust sizing according to your strategy.
BTC to go Parabolic to $333K, ~100 oz Gold by EOY 2025 Gold and Bitcoin are both valuable hard assets and from my observation, the Bitcoin chart to Gold is much better predictable than it's price to USD. The reason might be because Gold holds it's purchasing power over time through the history, and in fact it is the base line for the purchasing power, but Dollar depends on how much it gets printed and cannot be reliably predicted. That's why when you look at BTC/Gold chart, most of the times you see exact double tops or exact double bottoms.
I was predicting BTC would get to $100K USD when it hits it's previous top to Gold (37 oz) and so I was predicting about 8 month before it happens that BTC will be $100K when Gold is 2650 and it happened. I was surprised myself that it held true.
Looking into Gold price history, we can reliably say that Gold will not stop here and will march to $8000 within couple of years. However I think it has hit it's top for the year, or max $4000 will be the 2025 top. Then when Gold pulls back, BTC will get the chance to go parabolic, and has it's last rise of this bull market, and I expect it should take BTC to near 100 oz Gold. So if we want to put all together, Gold = 3350 where it pulls back and BTC= 100 oz = $335,000. I know the Bitcoin whales are playful sometimes, so we might get into $333,333 per BTC.
I remember in Nov 2013 everyone was talking about bitcoin flipping gold (1 BTC getting to 1 oz Gold) and well, it didn't happen at that time and it had to come back in 2017, but it got close enough. We might have the same kind of situation here so starting to drop anywhere from $270k to $330k might be what we get.
I don't publish many analysis's on TV, but I thought I'd put this here, it might get me famous ;)
BITCOIN BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 109,018.58
Target Level: 113,324.76
Stop Loss: 106,141.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD: Watching for the Dip and Bounce to the Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a large Range, just below a major descending Trend Line. This indicates a period of balance and energy build-up after a significant prior move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback within this Range. It is heading towards the lower support levels, a key area where buyers have previously shown strength and absorbed selling pressure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this consolidation is a bullish accumulation phase. I think that before the main rally continues, the market will make a small corrective movement down to test the Support zone.
I'm looking for a confirmed bounce from this Support zone around the 109000 level. This would be the key signal that the pullback is over and that buyers are ready to take control for a move towards the upper boundary of the consolidation.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the 115500 trend line at the top of the Range.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN Did the 1W MA20 just save the day??On one of our recent analyses we talked about the importance of the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the continuation of its non-stop bullish trend since the April 07 2025 Low.
As mentioned then, BTC was likely to extend the trend as long as the 1W candles keep closing above the 1W MA20. The three times a candle didn't, since June 2023, the price declined more to hit (or come very close to) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last week was again a successful 1W candle close above the 1W MA50, third time in a month (since August 25) to do so. Technically that solidifies it as a Support and as long as it holds, Bitcoin has more probabilities to repeat at least a +96.38% rally ('weakest' rally it had on this Bull Cycle) and test $145000.
So do you think the 1W MA50 just saved the day and a new rally is ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin can Bounce from Support and Start to GrowHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price structure has been defined by a complex and volatile consolidation following a prior downtrend. After initially forming a downward wedge, the price action has seen multiple breakouts and reversals, testing both the major 108800 buyer zone and the 118000 seller zone. This prolonged period of indecision has established a solid support base at the 108800 support level. Currently, after a recent sharp drop was absorbed by this support, the price of BTC has started to show signs of a renewed bullish attempt, moving up from the lows. In my mind, this successful test of the major support is the most critical recent event. I expect that the price will first make a final small dip to re-test this 108800 support level to confirm buyer strength. I think a confirmed bounce from this area will lead to a significant rally, as sellers appear to be exhausted. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 114000, targeting a key area of prior price congestion located near the resistance line of the larger wedge structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
MSTR Wave II bottom?NASDAQ:MSTR is finally catching a bid from the triple support zone of the Fibonacci golden pocket, S1 pivot and High Volume Node.
It must overcome the daily 200EMA to add confidence to a reversal and wave II bottom being in.
Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold. Vanguard disclosed massive MSTR holdings ad the sentiment is awful online adding confluence to a bottom soon.
Wave III target is the R5 daily pivot $544, losing the support zone has a downside target of $232
Safe trading
COIN wave 5 Underway!NASDAQ:COIN wave 4 appears complete at the expected Fibonacci retracement 38.2 and High Volume Node support.
A local channel has formed which could be a bear pennant so bulls should watch out. A breakout of this would hit resistance at $360 High Volume Node and the first take profit area from my recent trade. Clearing this Nose will confirm wave 5 is underway to new all time highs $500+
RSI is flipping bullish from oversold and the dail 200EMA continues to rise.
Safe trading
WULF Still in wave 3!NASDAQ:WULF continues to push onwards in wave 3 although gradually. The first target remains $13.48 High Volume Node followed by the macro channel upper boundary trend-line.
Support target is the daily Pivot and High Volume Node at at $8.27 and this is also the wave 4 expected Fibonacci retracement zone of 23.6-38.2.
Daily RSI does have bearish divergence from overbought so a retracement is likely.
Safe trading
IREN still in the bull-trend range!NASDAQ:IREN continues upwards in a tight bullish channel but how long can this extend? R5 pivot targets suggest $65.
Bearish divergence in overbought RSI keeps being negated for now.
Wave (4) downside target is currently the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at $30.44 and this iwll extend higher as long as price does.
Safe trading
HUT downside still to come?NASDAQ:HUT has had a great rally finally being subdued by the macro channel upper boundary resistance sending price back to the High Volume Node support on overbought RSI.
RSI has reset to the EQ but has room to fall (or grow again). The next target is the High Volume Node resistance and R4 pivot at $44 with a terminal target of $65
If price loses the support node the next support target is the pivot and wave 1 high $24 and I would look out for a long here if we get it.
Safe trading
BTDR Bounces from previous swing high support!NASDAQ:BTDR found support at the at the wave 1 high and R1 pivot and looks poised to continue to the first take profit target and all time High Volume Node tat $25! Wave (3) of 3 appears to be underway so should continue to be powerful!
Analysis is invalidated if we drop below $13 and lose the High Volume Node support which sits at the Fibonacci golden from the wave (2) bottom.
RSI did not reach overbought so has room to grow.
Safe trading
RIOT doesn't want to retrace this time!After hitting the High Volume Node and first take profit area NASDAQ:RIOT was rejected as expected but instead of a deep retracement continued to push powerfully back into the node looking poised for a breakout above!
Once the resistance is clear and tested as support RIOT should move quickly to the next High Volume Node and take profit area at $40.
Analysis is invalidated below the R2 pivot, $16, and the retracement will instead be underway!
Safe trading
MARA Huge bullish engulfing!NASDAQ:MARA had a huge bullish engulfing candle yesterdays almost eclipsing 9 days of price action in 1 session, a characteristic candle for wave 3!
Partial take profit target for me is the High Volume Node between the R4 and R5 pivot, $20, where I expect price to struggle before more upside. Next target is $28 at the descending macro resistance trend-line.
RSI didn't hit overbought and was rejected back to EQ resetting for higher.
Safe trading
CIFR deep pullback before more upside?CIFR appears to have completed 5 waves for wave (1) of 3 completing at the previous all time High Volume Node where we expect Elliot wave 1s to complete. The orange channel boundary also had a throwover and drop back, an ending pattern!
Wave (2) has an expected shallow pullback of the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at the daily pivot and High Volume Node support $7 where I will look out for long signals. The ascending 200EMA will also meet this point making it a quadruple support and an excellent opportunity area if price gets there!
If we continue into price discovery the analysis will be invalidated and I'll take a breakout long.
Daily RSI hit overbought but has since fell with no divergence.
Safe trading
CLSK Attempting a significant resistance breakout!NASDAQ:CLSK has awoken at long last and has smashed through the wave 1 resistance High Volume Node straight into the Macro Triangle upper boundary i have been sharing in the weekly time frame posts. Breaking out above this and wave D at $20 will be a bullish signal with significant upside to come!
The High Volume Node resistance held as support in the big drop last week, quickly recovering back to highs showing strong demand.
The next local target is the wave D resistance $20 with continued upside in wave 3
Daily RSI is overbought but divergence yet and daily 200EMA has flicked positive.
Analysis is good unless we go back below wave 2 into the golden pocket.
Safe trading
BITCOIN Is Still Bearish (1D)All these upward moves look like a pullback to the supply zone that had not yet been tested. It is expected that after some ranging around this area, the price will drop, breaking the liquidity pool forming beneath the candles and moving toward TP 1.
This outlook remains valid as long as no daily candle closes above the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH Outlook After Key Resistance ZonesHello everyone, let's take a quick look at Ethereum's performance over the past week.
Ethereum spent the past week trading around some crucial Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlighted at $4,100 and $4,200, both acting as resistance zones if price continues its climb. On the downside, $4,000 has held as a key support level where ETH previously rebounded. The Ichimoku Cloud suggests the asset is still in a mild correction phase, moving near the bottom of the cloud – meaning bearish pressure remains unless ETH breaks decisively above $4,100–$4,200. Holding above $4,000 could restore momentum and allow a move back into the cloud, potentially paving the way for higher levels.
From a fundamentals perspective, Ethereum ETFs saw notable outflows last week, with $796 million pulled in just seven days and $248 million on a single day (CryptoRank), signaling caution among institutional investors. At the same time, whale activity has been active, with one major address transferring 200,000 ETH to new wallets, lifting total holdings to 736,316 ETH – suggesting liquidity dynamics could shift further. Meanwhile, Ethereum is preparing its upcoming Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, 2025, aiming to boost scalability and overall network performance.
Ethereum (ETH) is currently experiencing slight fluctuations within the range of 4,000 USD to 4,100 USD. If it holds above the 4,000 USD support level and does not break it, we can expect ETH to continue testing the 4,100 USD zone before breaking through to 4,200 USD. Once it surpasses this level, ETH could move towards the 4,400 USD target in the short term. However, this process may not be smooth and could involve some light pullbacks to test new support levels.
Where do you think ETH is heading next week? Share your view!
Bitcoin to Surge? Price Forecast and Key News You Can't Miss!Hello everyone, let's go through some important information regarding Bitcoin recently.
Technical Analysis:
The 109,000 USD support level is a key point as FVG zones have appeared, and there has been a clear recovery response. If Bitcoin holds above this level, there is potential for it to continue rising, with nearby resistance levels at 110,000 USD and 112,000 USD. If these levels are broken, Bitcoin may expand its rally towards 115,000 USD. The candlestick chart currently shows positive reversal signals, and technical indicators are supporting the uptrend.
News Impact:
Several factors are influencing the market:
PCE Data and US Inflation: The August PCE showed a slight increase to 2.7%, higher than 2.6% in July. This indicates that inflation pressure isn't easing quickly, which could lead the Fed to maintain high interest rates. This may put short-term pressure on Bitcoin, but if subsequent data shows inflation isn’t accelerating, Bitcoin could maintain its bullish momentum.
US Government Shutdown Risk: The market is closely watching the potential for a government shutdown on 1st October 2025. If this happens, investors might reduce their holdings in risky assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, if the situation is resolved, it could create a positive market sentiment.
Large Liquidations in Derivatives: On 22nd September 2025, the crypto market saw more than 1.5 billion USD in long positions liquidated, creating significant volatility and driving Bitcoin down temporarily. However, as the liquidation wave subsides, it could present an opportunity for fresh capital to enter at support levels.
Bitcoin ETFs and Coinbase Forecast: Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity’s Fund, continue to attract institutional investment. Additionally, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong forecasts Bitcoin could reach 1 million USD by 2030, driven by clearer regulatory frameworks and increasing demand from financial institutions. This presents a long-term support factor for Bitcoin.
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Fund: President Trump’s executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve fund has sparked new expectations. If implemented, this could provide a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s price as it becomes part of the strategic national reserves.
In conclusion, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery if it maintains support at 109,000 USD. Factors such as inflation data, Fed policies, the risk of a government shutdown, ETF inflows, and the US Bitcoin reserve fund will all play a crucial role in shaping its upcoming trend.
Do you think Bitcoin could reach 112,000 USD in this recovery phase? Feel free to share your thoughts.






















