TRUMP ANALYSIS📊#TRUMP Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending triangle pattern on daily chart🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a small retest 📉
👀Current Price: $8.37
🚀 Target Price: $11.29
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #TRUMP price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#TRUMP #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin at Heavy Support – Will Bulls Defend or Break Below?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell as I expected in my previous idea .
The question is, can Bitcoin break the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) ?
Bitcoin is currently trading in the lower areas of the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) and near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($107,000-$106,330) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed 5 downwaves at the support lines, and we should expect upward corrective waves . The corrective waves could follow the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect that if Bitcoin is going to break the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) , it will attack the Resistance zone($110,920-$110,200) and the Resistance lines first. Do you agree with me!?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $110,147-$109,266
CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800
Stop Loss(SL): $105,600(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 29💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that Bitcoin is inside a descending continuation channel. With the open of the new weekly candle, it reacted to the midline of this channel and had a pullback, faking the \$109,424 level and moving downward. The price of Bitcoin is now near its resistance at \$109,400.
⚙️ Two key RSI levels are considered for Bitcoin’s volatility: 50 and 33.20. Once the oscillator crosses these levels, Bitcoin can start a new move.
🕯 The size and volume of Bitcoin’s red candles are considerably larger than the green ones, and we still don’t have confirmation that the correction has ended. With increased buying volume and a trend change, Bitcoin can print strong green candles upward.
📊 On the 4-hour timeframe of Tether dominance, we can see that Tether dominance is ranging within an ascending channel. Breaking out of this channel could bring a strong move to the market. These levels won’t unlock easily for us to step into a bull run. Complementary news is needed for whales to sell their Tether and start buying Bitcoin and strong altcoins. The results of the coming month’s news could set the trend in whichever direction it may be.
🔔 The alert zones we have considered for Bitcoin are the \$107,400 level and the \$109,400 level. With increased volume and volatility, Bitcoin can touch one of these two price levels, and if confirmation of a breakout is given, it can start its trend. There are different scenarios in this regard, but the outcome of U.S. economic news can play a key role in confirming trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross.
On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence.
After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
BITCOIN vs GOLD - Massive Fall in 2025?My prediction: TVC:XAU (Gold) will OUTPERFORM CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin) until December of 2025
Here is why:
1. Technical side. The price failed to break through the 33.5 resistance and is now heading downwards. The right shoulder of the H&S pattern has formed clearly. The TVC:XAU chart is very bullish, breaking resistance one by one. In contrast, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC failed to hold above the $117,000 resistance, resulting in a hard dump that seems to be far from over.
2. Fundamental side. People buy gold during uncertain times, and we are currently on the verge of experiencing such a period. Rate cuts are already priced in, and each FOMC meeting is a "sell the news" event. If only Powell refuses to cut rates or cut it just one - markets, especially SP:SPX , will be heavily affected. When crypto and stocks are falling, people buy gold—it's a simple rule.
I'm not calling for a massive correction in the stock and crypto markets, but holding some gold in your portfolio during the fall of 2025 seems like the right thing to do.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #166👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Today a new weekly candle has opened, so let’s analyze Bitcoin and review the trading conditions for the new week.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin has formed a ranging box in the 1-hour timeframe, and with the start of the new week and month, the candle volumes have increased significantly.
✔️ The trendline we drew yesterday on the 4-hour timeframe can also have an impact here in the 1-hour chart, and if the price reaches it, a reaction is very likely.
✨ If the price reacts to the trendline and gets rejected, the downward move can continue. The trigger we currently have for a short position is the break of 107467.
⚡️ But if the trendline is broken, we can open a long position with the activation of the trendline trigger, which is the break of 109577. In this case, Bitcoin could start a bullish move that may continue towards resistance areas.
🧩 Yesterday was the last day of the month, and today is the first day of the new month. Many companies and funds are forced to open or close their positions due to accounting strategies. This has caused some unusual volatility.
🔍 Keep this in mind: I recommend not opening any major positions today. If you do, manage them with proper risk control until the market returns to normal conditions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSD: Decline Movement ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since it was rejected from the major Resistance Zone 2 near 118900. This initiated a downtrend that has since been developing within the confines of a large downward wedge pattern, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The most recent significant event was the breakdown below the key horizontal Resistance Zone 1 around the 112100 mark. After finding temporary support, the price is now in a corrective rally, heading back up towards the main resistance line of the wedge in a classic retest move.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that the dominant downtrend will continue. I'm anticipating that the price will complete this corrective bounce and touch the wedge's resistance line. Upon reaching this area, I expect sellers to show strength, reject the price, and cause a reversal that initiates the next impulsive move downwards within the overall structure.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection from the wedge's resistance. The primary target for this move is 106500 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Risk‑Off Light: Trade the BTC Decision Zone__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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BTC is retracing off the ATH (~124.3k), leaning on the 108.8k HTF support and capped below the weekly 112.0k. Intraday flows and volume spikes are steering the tape near this pivot.
Momentum: Bearish 📉 — retracement below 112.0k with sold bounces under 109.5k/110.7k, 108.8k acting as a shelf.
Key levels:
• Resistances (intraday → HTF) : 109.1k–109.6k (zone) · 110.7k (6H) · 112.0k (Weekly)
• Supports (HTF) : 108.8k (12H/1D) · 107.4k (4H) · 98.5k (W Pivot Low)
Volumes: Very high on 15m–2H (local climax) · Moderate on 4H · Normal on 6H–1D.
Multi-timeframe signals: MTF trend is down (AVG Down) with a 4H tactical buy divergence — a bounce can develop if > 109.5k, else pressure towards 108.8k/107.4k persists.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL — light risk‑off regime, aligned with the bearish momentum.
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Trading Playbook
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Primary stance remains sell-the-bounce below 109.5k/110.7k, and while the daily sits beneath 112.0k.
Global bias: NEUTRAL SELL while daily < 112.0k; bias invalidation on a daily close > 112.0k.
Opportunities:
• Tactical long: Reclaim/acceptance > 109.5k → target 110.7k then 112.0k, stop below 108.8k.
• Fade the bounce: Clean rejection at 109.5k or 110.7k → target 108.8k then 107.4k, stop above the broken cap.
• Swing long: Only on daily close > 112.0k → 115.5k / 117.4k, stop < 109.5k.
Risk zones / invalidations:
• Lose 108.8k → test 107.4k; below 107.4k, possible “air pocket” toward 98.5k.
• Upside flip needs a confirmed daily reclaim of 112.0k.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
• Fed: rising rate‑cut odds (Powell steady at 2%) — can aid relief rallies.
• Inflation hedges: gold ATH, silver > $40, copper firm — real‑asset bid may spill over to BTC.
• Flows: short‑term rotation into ETH ETFs, BTC ETF outflows — relative headwind for BTC.
Action plan:
• Short the pop: Entry 109.5k–110.7k on rejection / Stop +0.4–0.6% / TP1 108.8k, TP2 107.4k, TP3 105–106k / R:R ~1.5–2.5R.
• Breakout long: Entry on daily acceptance > 112.0k / Stop < 109.5k / TP1 115.5k, TP2 117.4k, TP3 120k / R:R ~1.7–2.2R.
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
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HTFs lean down, while intraday strength shows in volume spikes without structural confirmation yet.
1D/12H/6H: Controlled downtrend below 112.0k; ceilings at 109.5k → 110.7k; support stack 108.8k then 107.4k — daily close > 112.0k needed to unlock 115.5k/117.4k.
4H: Short base above 108.8k with ISPD buy divergence; requires break & hold > 109.5k to open 111,997/112.0k.
2H/1H/30m/15m: Rejections under 109.5k, very high volumes (aggressive flows) — range trading favored while < 109.5k; continuation only once 110.7k then 112.0k are reclaimed.
Key confluences: 108.8k is the market pivot; “bull path” = 109.5k → 110.7k → 112.0k; “bear path” = < 108.8k → 107.4k → 98.5k (HTF).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro backdrop is “light risk‑off” (softer Fed expectations vs sticky inflation hedging), while on‑chain anchors BTC near a key STH cost base.
Macro events:
• Fed: market leaning to a cut; Powell reiterates 2% — easier policy would support risk.
• Liquidity: U.S. M2 at ATH and household debt at record — bolsters the “monetary debasement hedge” case.
• Inflation hedges: gold ATH (> $3,550), silver > $40, copper strong — real‑asset bid can spill into BTC.
Bitcoin analysis:
• Seasonality: September historically weak; risk of a wick to 100–103k before potential Q4 rebound.
• Flows: BTC ETF outflows (~$0.75B) vs strong ETH ETF inflows (~$3.87B); an OG whale rotated BTC → ETH — short‑term rotation headwind.
• Near‑term map: 106.5k–108.5k with slight bearish bias; relief supply near ~113.6k.
On-chain data:
• STH cost base: 107k–108.9k support; relief resistance ~113.6k.
• SOPR ≈ 1 (no broad capitulation); perps slightly short — fragile but not extreme.
Expected impact:
• Holding 108.8k/107.4k keeps bounces toward 110.7k/112.0k alive; losing 107.4k exposes 98.5k/95k.
• A more dovish Fed would ease a move toward 113.6k/115.5k; otherwise, HTF supports may be retested.
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Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC defends a major pivot at 108.8k while sitting under nearby resistance layers.
- Trend: bearish/neutral‑sell while < 109.5k/110.7k and below 112.0k daily.
- Focus setup: fade bounces at 109.5k/110.7k; flip long only above 112.0k (daily).
- Macro: softer‑Fed hopes vs inflation‑hedge demand — light risk‑off regime.
Stay nimble: watch 109.5k/110.7k reactions and 108.8k integrity — the next impulse will likely spring from there. ⚠️
BTC: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!As you can see, after breaking the bearish wedge, the price dropped sharply. The question is, how far will this price decline continue? In my opinion, the price could remain bearish until the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), which is around the 104.600 level. After that, an increase in buying pressure could lead to a price rise to higher levels.
LETS GIVE BTC A LITTLE BREAK SHALL WE, LET IT BOUCE A BIT, YEAH Expect a bit of bounce from this point !! Retailers have sold all their coins and now MM is gona buy back from these poor souls. BUT the end is inevitable for the ALGOS have spoken (Sorry about the messy chart guys, didn't get the time to clean it up!)
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week was marked by an update of the local minimum again. However, the breakdown turned out to be uncertain and weak, accompanied by delta absorption.
We've rebuilt the global buying zone on the daily chart: now it's in the range of $108,000-$102,500. Until the price is fixed below these levels, the global trend can be considered upwards.
In the short term, bitcoin is still in a downward trend. It's extremely risky to open long positions before the breakdown of the inclined line. The seller's activity remains limited, but the buyer doesn't take the initiative either.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The main scenario for the current week is the expansion of the range to collect liquidity in both directions.
The minimum is most likely not formed yet. For a more confident decline, the market needs more activity. This requires two conditions: an increase in open interest from the buyer and liquidity in the form of stop orders.
For now, it's better to refrain from trading the first cryptocurrency or, in anticipation of the resumption of the global long trend, consider grid spot strategies.
Buy Zones:
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
• $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
• ~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
• $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, September 2, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for August;
• Tuesday, September 2, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) USA for August;
• Wednesday, September 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for July;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in August;
• Thursday, September 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for August;
• Thursday, September 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector (ISM) USA for August;
• Friday, September 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC 3-Drive Pullback. 113.5KMorning folks,
BTC for now is moving accurately from one our target to another. First it was 108.4K, now it is 108K. Next should be 104-105K...
Still, price stands at strong support area and is forming bullish reversal session on daily chart. On 1H chart we have clear 3-Drive Buy pattern. So, chances are above zero that before it keep going down, the pullback happens...
That's why if you want to go short we call you to wait for the bounce and try to sell the rally instead. The minimum 3-Drive target is above 113K top, where we have also K-resistance area. So, just watch for it, if you want to sell.
Also we have no objections against long entry with 3-Drive. Although it doesn't correspond to overall context and we do not include this trade in our plan. But, now this trade has a small risk and could be considered, if you want.
I sign this update with "Long" idea, but only for pullback. Context remains bearish.
BTC USD TOday Trades Easy Profitssimple and efficent strategy follow for more
🚀 BTC/USD Today: Trade Setup for Quick Profits
Bitcoin is showing bullish momentum today, with strong support holding near $114,700 and upside targets projected around $116,500. Technical indicators like RSI and moving averages are flashing buy signals, suggesting short-term opportunities for traders.
📈 Key Highlights:
- Current Price Range: ~$108,000–$113,000
- Short-Term Bias: Bullish
- Support Zone: $114,700
- Target Zone: $116,500
- Indicators: RSI overbought, MA signals mostly bullish
💡 Traders are eyeing breakout patterns and momentum plays. If you're scalping or swing trading, this could be a prime window—just be sure to manage risk and use stop-loss strategies.
Crypto Market Approaching Support, While Finishing A CorrectionGood morning Crypto traders! Crypto market continues to slow down due to consolidation in stocks, but notice that the US dollar remains bearish, while gold is experiencing a strong bullish breakout. This suggests that we are still in a risk-on environment, meaning stocks could continue higher, while cryptocurrencies may soon stabilize. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart now appears to be approaching the key 3.6 - 3.5T support area within a three-wave ABC correction for wave 4, from where bulls for wave 5 may show up again, especially considering that the NASDAQ could be completing a bullish running triangle, while the US dollar index (DXY) is forming a bearish one.
BITCOIN ahead of September crash on historically worst month??Despite the obvious hint of 2 potential rate hikes by the end of this year, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has found itself on a downtrend. And as today we entered the first day of September, this sentiment is further empowered by one simple statistical fact: that September has historically been BTC's worst performing month.
As this table on the chart shows (source: CoinGlass), September's average returns have been -3.77%, the worst average score out of all months since 2013. An interesting fact however is that out of all the Septembers that ended in green (4), they did so when there was a red August (like the one we just closed at -5.91%). At the same time out of all the times August was red (8) four times September followed in red. This shows that historical probabilities are equally distributed there.
Statistics aside, the market has a strong case of a bottom on the current levels and that's purely a technical one. As you can see, since May 01, Bitcoin has been trading within a Channel Up. This pattern has seen so far two Bullish Legs of almost identical rise (+22.07% and +21.05% respectively) and when they corrected (Bearish Legs), the first Low was on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the second on the Channel Up bottom.
This time there is an even stronger technical case, as the price hit the 1W MA20 (red trend-line), which as we've shown on a recent study, is a Support level that historically kickstarts the final rallies during Bull Cycles.
Even their 1D RSI sequences are similar, with the indicator currently being on a Lower Lows formation that previously marked the June 22 (Higher) Low.
As a result, assuming we will see the 'minimum' of +21.07% Bullish Leg, we should be expecting a $130000 Higher High, which matches our realistic Cycle Top study, based on most studies we've conducted.
So do you think Bitcoin will again declined this September or we are currently forming a new bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USDT Dominance at a Key Decision Point ,Crash or Fly?USDT Dominance has managed to break above the descending trendline (white line) with volume, but so far it has failed to clear the order block resistance at 4.61% (green zone).
At this stage, price action is stuck between two critical levels, and the next move could define the market’s mid-term direction:
🔸 Scenario 1 (Bullish for USDT.D / Bearish for Crypto):
A clean break and acceptance above the 4.61% order block would confirm demand for stablecoins, signaling capital rotation out of crypto assets. This could trigger a market-wide selloff in Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish for USDT.D / Bullish for Crypto):
Failure to hold above the broken trendline and a rejection from 4.61% could drive USDT.D back below the descending line, opening the path toward the 3.8% demand zone. This would suggest capital flowing back into crypto, fueling a potential bullish rally.
⚠️ Market participants should keep a close eye on this area — the reaction around 4.61% will set the tone for the weeks ahead.
XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum⭐️ XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum
Buy/Hold bias aiming for $0.75 🎯; reload zone ~ $0.25 🔁.
Thesis rests on tokenization (RWA) traction, US gov data on-chain, and 2025 scaling roadmap (5k TPS target, faster blocks) + AI tooling around Soroban. If thesis plays out, upside case ≈ +200% from reload—not financial advice.
________________________________________
🔥 Why now (meaningful catalysts)
• US Dept. of Commerce → GDP on Stellar
First time ever: the Commerce Department is putting official GDP data on-chain (hash) on Stellar, creating an immutable, public record—big signal for gov-grade data + DeFi oracles. (Stellar)
• RWA push: new partners & capital-market pipes
SDF’s 2025 goal: $3B RWA value & $110B volume; continuing integrations with Franklin Templeton, Paxos, Ondo, SG Forge. Recent Archax investment targets regulated tokenization rails. (CoinDesk, Stellar)
• Scaling roadmap → utility unlocks
Targeting ~5,000 TPS, 2.5s blocks, OpenZeppelin token standards, and 100× payout capacity (Merkle trees). These hit the exact pain points for enterprise/RWA and payments at scale. (Stellar)
________________________________________
🤖 The AI angle (pipeline + tools)
• Official roadmap AI
o Stella AI Assistant (enhanced) → a more capable agent interface for builders.
o Contract Copilot → AI-assisted smart-contract generation, linting & testing.
These live on SDF’s 2025 roadmap. (Stellar)
• Community AI on Soroban
o AI Agent Kit: lets AI agents interact with Stellar accounts & Soroban contracts.
o SoroBuilder: AI-driven in-browser Soroban contract builder/auditor.
o AI Transparency Token (AITT): compliance attestations on-chain. (Stellar Community Fund)
Net: AI lowers dev friction (faster dApp iteration) and expands use cases (agents, audits, compliance)—a pull for builders who need programmable money + verifiable data.
________________________________________
🧱 Building blocks already in place
• Smart contracts live (Soroban via Protocol 20) → programmable RWA/DeFi. (Oodles Blockchain)
• Freighter wallet upgrades + RPC/ETL improvements → smoother infra & analytics for apps. (Stellar)
• Stablecoin/RWA breadth (e.g., Franklin’s BENJI, Ondo USDY coming to Stellar) → liquidity primitives that institutions recognize. (Stellar)
________________________________________
📣 Recent social buzz (signal, not noise)
• SDF amplified the GDP-on-chain milestone across socials, triggering wider crypto media pickup.
See SDF’s X post and summary thread references. (X (formerly Twitter))
________________________________________
🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework)
• Primary target: $0.75 🎯 if catalysts execute (RWA flow + scaling).
• Reload zone: $0.25 🔁 (where bulls re-accumulate in my playbook).
• Positioning: Buy/Hold bias for asymmetric upside tied to execution (RWA + AI-tooling + throughput).
• Risk: headline/regulatory risk on RWAs, roadmap slip, crypto beta. Size accordingly.
Note: A +200% outcome reflects upside math from reload zone to target; it’s not a guarantee. Do your own research.
________________________________________
🗓 What to watch next
• Roadmap drops through Q4-2025:
o 2.5s block times target,
o OpenZeppelin token standards for assets/RWAs,
o Freighter mobile & advanced auth,
o Payouts 100× capacity. (Stellar)
• RWA onboarding flow: progress with Archax, Paxos, Ondo, and Franklin—TVL/volume & issuer announcements. (CoinDesk, Stellar)
• Gov/enterprise data on-chain follow-ups after Commerce/GDP—possible spillover into on-chain data feeds for DeFi. (Stellar
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Fall?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. There are two ways to look for Bitcoin buying opportunities:
• A valid break of the downtrend line
• Bitcoin reaching the demand range
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downtrend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Starting Thursday, the U.S. government has launched a new initiative to publish macroeconomic data through public blockchains. The project, implemented by the Department of Commerce in partnership with oracle protocols Chainlink and Pyth, includes six key indicators from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), such as real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, and final sales to private domestic purchasers.
These datasets will be updated on a monthly or quarterly basis depending on the indicator and, in the initial rollout, have been published across ten major blockchains, including Arbitrum, Avalanche, Base, Botanix, Ethereum, Linea, Mantle, Optimism, Sonic, and ZKsync. The official statement further noted that the data will also be accessible via networks such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Tron, Stellar, Avalanche, Arbitrum, Polygon, and Optimism.
To ensure authenticity and immutability, cryptographic hashes of the data are recorded on blockchains. This method is intended as a complementary channel for releasing economic information rather than a complete replacement for existing systems. Major exchanges such as Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken have contributed by supplying the cryptocurrencies needed to pay transaction fees.
Howard Lutnick, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce, stated: “We have made America’s economic truth immutable and globally accessible. The 3.3% GDP growth is also remarkable.” This initiative is part of the Trump administration’s broader cryptocurrency policy, which supports U.S.dollar-backed stablecoins and promotes the use of blockchain technology to reduce costs and enhance government transparency. In line with this direction, the Government Productivity Department, led by Elon Musk, has also conducted related studies.
Since the beginning of the current year, precious metals have been leading the gains across financial markets. Silver has claimed the top spot with an impressive 32.2% increase, marking the strongest performance over the past eight months. Gold follows in second place with a 29.5% gain; despite its sideways movement in recent months, it still ranks among the best-performing assets. The third position goes to Bitcoin, which posted a 19.2% rise. Without the recent price correction, Bitcoin might have overtaken silver’s leading position. Expanding global liquidity and a roughly 10% decline in the value of the U.S. dollar have been key drivers pushing investors toward hard assets.
BTC - 150k? BUY?!📊 BTC/USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Bitcoin has broken out of a bullish wedge pattern and is now consolidating above previous breakout levels.
Long-term structure still favors upside continuation with a target towards 150K if momentum resumes.
Key structural support sits near 76K – 80K (prior breakout zone).
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Clear Elliott Wave count: Wave (3) peaked ~135K, now correcting into Wave (4).
Price retracing into a major support/demand zone around 105K – 110K.
The liquidity trendline from earlier cycles still holds, making this a critical inflection point.
Next move higher (Wave (5)) projects towards 135K – 150K.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Market is testing major support aligned with 0.618 retracement + demand/FVG zone.
Bullish reaction here could ignite the start of Wave (5).
If broken, deeper retracement into the psychological 100K handle may occur before continuation.
⏳ 8H
Short-term bearish momentum pushing into demand.
Liquidity building below, stops resting around 105K – 107K.
A bullish reaction from this zone would confirm Wave (4) completion and set up the impulse higher into Wave (5).
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish from demand (Wave 4 → Wave 5)
Entry Zone: 105K – 110K demand region
Targets: 135K short-term, 150K long-term
Invalidation: Clean break & weekly close below 100K
BTC/USDT – Downtrend Continues, Target Around 105KHello everyone,
Over the past week, Bitcoin, after failing to break 123K, has clearly shifted into a strong downtrend, forming a continuous series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent drop broke through the 112.1K level—which aligns with the 1.0 Fib of the previous decline—and the price is now trading below all the upper resistance clusters.
From a technical perspective, supply zones and FVGs are exerting significant selling pressure. Specifically, the 116.4K–117.7K area (Fib 0.618–0.5) combined with the previous FVG supply has repeatedly rejected price, while the newly formed 109K–111K zone just below 112.1K could act as a selling area if BTC retraces upward. The layered FVGs above indicate that supply remains thick, emphasizing that any rebound is likely to be capped by selling pressure.
Momentum and candlestick behavior also confirm that sellers are in control. Long red candles, short pullbacks, and lack of volume expansion on upward moves all suggest that buying strength is insufficient to push the price higher. This technical signal reinforces the likelihood that the downtrend will continue.
Regarding targets, the confluence support cluster at 104.8K–105.3K is a reasonable destination for the current decline, aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension and previous demand zones on the chart. If this area breaks, the risk of a deeper drop could extend toward 102.5K–103.0K.
In summary, the downtrend structure is clear, supply and FVGs above are dense, and the path of least resistance remains toward ~105K. Each rebound to the 109K–111K area is likely an opportunity for sellers to reassert control, keeping the bearish trend dominant.